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☆ Barclays cuts 2023 oil price forecasts on resilient Russian output
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Companies Barclays PLC FollowMarch 8 (Reuters) - Barclays cut its 2023 oil price forecasts on Wednesday, due in part to more resilient output from Russia than expected, and said the market could flip into a deficit in the second half of the year due to growing demand in China. China's oil demand could increase by 500,000 to 600,000 bpd in 2023, Haitham Al Ghais, the secretary general of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), said on Tuesday at the CERAWEEK conference, with global oil demand seen rising by 2.3 million bpd in 2023. Barclays, meanwhile, revised its 2023 demand estimate 150,000 bpd higher due in part to a somewhat improved growth outlook for the United States and Europe. It sees a 900,000 bpd increase in Chinese demand this year. The Group of Seven economies, the European Union and Australia agreed a price cap on Russian oil late last year, aiming to deprive Moscow of funds for its war in Ukraine.

The dinner with shale producers and OPEC officials continued a tradition that began around five years ago when they were fierce competitors. It has been held in most recent years during the CERAWeek energy conference in the U.S. oil industry capital. Among the other topics that came up were strong oil demand and what U.S. shale producers could do to meet it given what shareholders want, he said. The event comes at a tumultuous time for global markets with the war in Ukraine disrupting global oil and gas flows while enriching both producer groups. Fewer OPEC officials are present at this year's annual CERAWeek conference, with ministers from key countries, including Saudi Arabia and Iraq, absent from the attendee list.

March 6 (Reuters) - U.S. energy executives met privately with top OPEC officials on Monday on the sidelines of a Houston conference, people familiar with the matter said, continuing a tradition that began around five years ago when the two groups were fierce competitors. OPEC had viewed shale as an untamed force that undercut its revenue by bringing vast new oil supplies to market. The secretive dinner has been held in most recent years during the CERAWeek energy conference in the capital of the U.S. oil industry. This year's private dinner comes at a tumultuous time for global markets with the war in Ukraine disrupting global oil and gas flows while enriching both producer groups. Fewer OPEC officials are present at this year's annual CERAWeek conference, with ministers from key countries, including Saudi Arabia and Iraq, absent from the attendee list.

The comments at the CERAWeek energy conference in Houston show the industry remains on edge after weathering the initial aftermath of one of the biggest shocks to global energy flows in recent memory. On Feb.5, the G7 and allies also implemented a price cap on Russian fuel sales. On Tuesday, the Kremlin said it did not recognize the price cap. A STABLE OIL MARKET? China's oil demand will grow 500,000 to 600,000 barrels per day in 2023, OPEC's Al Ghais said, while global oil demand growth is expected to grow 2.3 million barrels per day in 2023.

The secretive dinner has been held almost annually at the CERAWeek energy conference. This year's event will be the first with Haitham Al Ghais as secretary general for the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. OPEC had viewed shale as an untamed force that undercut its revenue by bringing vast new oil supplies to market. Fewer OPEC officials are present at this year's annual CERAWeek conferencing, with ministers from key countries including Saudi Arabia and Iraq absent from the attendee list. Reporting by Liz Hampton and Ron Bousso in Houston; additional reporting by Stephanie Kelly Editing by Marguerita ChoyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Most Gulf bourses rise on higher oil prices; Egypt down
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-12 | by ( Md Manzer Hussain | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Feb 12 (Reuters) - Most Gulf bourses closed higher on Sunday in response to Friday's oil price rise, driven by Russian plans to reduce crude production next month. Oil, which fuels the region's economies, rose more than 2%, with Brent crude gaining $1.89 to $86.39 a barrel. Russia plans to reduce crude production by 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) in March, or about 5% of its total output. The index was dragged down by a 4.7% loss in Commercial International Bank Egypt (COMI.CA) and a 2.9% fall in Telecom Egypt (ETEL.CA). Among other losers, Misr Fertilizers (MFPC.CA) and Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank Egypt (ADIB.CA) slid 3.7% and 4.3% respectively.

☆ Iran OPEC official sees oil rebounding to $100/bbl in H2
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-08 | by ( Nidhi Verma | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

BENGALURU, Feb 8 (Reuters) - Global oil prices may rebound to about $100 per barrel in the second half this year as Chinese demand recovers while supply remains limited, Iran's OPEC representative Afshin Javan said on Wednesday. "I think OPEC is moving in right direction," Javan told reporters on the sidelines of the India Energy Week, referring to the group's decision in December to cut production. "Why OPEC did it was because it was not very optimistic about the demand side," Javan said. Iran is a member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) although its oil exports are subjected to U.S. sanctions aimed at curbing Tehran's nuclear programme. On Monday, OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais also defended the group's decision to cut production, adding that the move helped stabilise global oil markets.

☆ Davos 2023: Big oil comes in from the cold on energy transition
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-20 | by ( Maha El Dahan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

CHINA OUT./File Photo/File PhotoSummarySummary Companies Energy transition front and centre at Davos meetingEurope energy crisis forces moment of reckoningClimate activists sceptical of oil industry inclusionDAVOS, Switzerland, Jan 20 (Reuters) - A different type of energy transition has taken place at this year's World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting. Unlike 2021's COP26 climate conference in Glasgow, where oil and gas executives were personae non gratae, fossil fuel chiefs and renewable energy bosses sat cheek by jowl in Davos. Thunberg's was not the only voice at Davos with strong objections to the industry's new mantra that the energy crisis justifies new oil investments. Like Birol, British opposition leader Keir Starmer said the oil and gas sector has a role to play in the energy transition. Jaber, who is the founding CEO of Abu Dhabi’s renewable energy firm Masdar and has overseen the UAE's mandate to adopt renewables is not without green credentials.

☆ OPEC's U.S. shale worries subside as it cuts forecast
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-16 | by ( Alex Lawler | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

On Tuesday, OPEC trimmed its forecast for 2023 growth in U.S. tight oil, another term for shale, to 780,000 barrels per day. The group kept its 2022 forecast unchanged at 590,000 bpd, having steadily cut the figure from 880,000 bpd in July. from OPEC's monthly oil market reportU.S. shale oil drillers over the last two decades helped to turn the United States into the world's largest producer. OPEC+ in October made its biggest output cut since the pandemic took hold in 2020. Rapid growth in shale has previously caused problems for OPEC, as when it helped to create a supply glut during 2014-2016.

☆ OPEC chief says OPEC+ plays instrumental role in supporting market stability
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

CAIRO, Dec 10 (Reuters) - The OPEC+ alliance plays an instrumental role in supporting market stability, OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said on the sixth anniversary of the group's formation. "Six years later, the framework continues to play an instrumental role in supporting market stability, which is essential for growth and development, as well as attracting the necessary investment to ensure energy security," Al Ghais said in a statement. OPEC+, which groups together the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia, last met on Dec. 4. Reporting by Maha El Dahan and Moaz Abd-Alaziz; Editing by Alex RichardsonOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $1.60, or 1.85%, to $88.13 after falling 1.6% in the previous session. The OPEC+ cuts and record U.S. oil export data also support oil price fundamentals, said CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng. Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM, meanwhile, said that dwindling oil supply, a possible halt to release of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and reinvigotated oil demand growth could also send crude back above $100 a barrel. OPEC raised its forecasts for world oil demand in the medium and longer term on Monday, saying that $12.1 trillion of investment is needed to meet this demand. In a further cap to price gains, U.S. crude oil stocks are likely to rise in the week to Oct. 28, a preliminary Reuters poll showed.

☆ OPEC raises long-term oil demand view, calls for investment
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-31 | by ( Alex Lawler | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Summary OPEC raises 2030, 2045 oil demand forecastsMaintains view that oil demand will plateau after 2035Sees $12.1 trillion of oil investment needed to 2045ABU DHABI, Oct 31 (Reuters) - OPEC raised its forecasts for world oil demand in the medium-and longer-term in an annual outlook released on Monday and said$12.1 trillion of investment is needed to meet this demand despite the energy transition. Another decade of oil demand growth would be a boost for OPEC, whose 13 members depend on oil income. In the report, OPEC maintained its view that world demand will plateau after 2035.Other predictions from companies and banks see oil demand peaking earlier. ENERGY SECURITY DEMAND BOOSTThe report said world oil demand will reach 103 million barrels per day in 2023, up 2.7 million bpd from 2022. By 2030, OPEC sees world demand averaging 108.3 million bpd, up from 2021, and lifted its 2045 figure to 109.8 million bpd from 108.2 million bpd in 2021.

☆ OPEC expected to stick to view of long-term oil demand rise
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-28 | by ( Alex Lawler | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries is scheduled to update its long-term oil demand forecasts in its 2022 World Oil Outlook on Oct. 31. The 2021 version sees oil demand plateauing after 2035. The latest update is likely to keep OPEC among the more optimistic forecasters of oil demand. OPEC World Oil Outlook 2021"It is similar to last year in terms of the demand outlook," one of the OPEC sources said. LOWER PROJECTIONSLast year, OPEC saw oil demand reaching 108.2 million barrels per day in 2045, up from 90.6 million bpd in 2020.

☆ OPEC Sec Gen says oil markets are going through 'great fluctuations'
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

ALGERIA Oct 16 (Reuters) - OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said on Sunday that "oil markets are going through a stage of great fluctuations" during his two-day visit to Algiers. Al Ghais added that the goal of OPEC and producers outside the organisation is to maintain market stability. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Lamine Chiki; Editing by Louise HeavensOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

CAIRO Oct 16 (Reuters) - OPEC+ member states lined up on Sunday to endorse a steep production cut agreed this month after the White House, stepping up a war of words with Riyadh, claimed Saudi Arabia had pushed some other nations into the move. Iraq, OPEC's second largest exporter, said the decision was based on economic indicators and was taken unanimously. The cut came despite oil markets being tight, with inventories in major economies at lower levels than when OPEC has cut output in the past. But some analysts have said recent volatility in crude markets could be remedied by a cut that would help attract investors to a market that was underperforming fundamentals. Oman's energy ministry said OPEC+ decisions were based purely on the realities of market supply and demand.

Energy analysts believe the deep production cuts could yet backfire for OPEC kingpin and U.S. ally Saudi Arabia. Energy analysts believe the deep production cuts could yet backfire for OPEC kingpin and U.S. ally Saudi Arabia, particularly as Biden hinted Congress would soon seek to rein in the Middle East-dominated group's influence over energy prices. OPEC and non-OPEC allies, a group often referred to as OPEC+, agreed on Wednesday to reduce oil production by 2 million barrels per day from November. "In light of today's action, the Biden Administration will also consult with Congress on additional tools and authorities to reduce OPEC's control over energy prices," the White House said. While the group likes to say they keep politics out of their decisions, there's no denying that there are potential ramifications to this beyond the oil price.

☆ OPEC+ to cut oil production by 2 million barrels per day to shore up prices, defying U.S. pressure
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-05 | by ( Sam Meredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Oil prices have fallen to roughly $80 from over $120 in early June amid growing fears about the prospect of a global economic recession. OPEC and non-OPEC allies, a group often referred to as OPEC+, decided at their first face-to-face gathering in Vienna since 2020 to reduce production by 2 million barrels per day from November. Energy market participants had expected OPEC+, which includes Saudi Arabia and Russia, to impose output cuts of somewhere between 500,000 barrels and 2 million barrels. Oil prices have fallen to roughly $80 a barrel from more than $120 in early June amid growing fears about the prospect of a global economic recession. "In short, OPEC+ is prioritising price above stability at a time of great uncertainty in the oil market."

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