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Morning Bid: Irksome inflation won't die down
  + stars: | 2023-02-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Friday's latest U.S. inflation surprise was matched in Europe on Tuesday, with French and Spanish headline inflation rates unexpectedly rising again in February - making for an uncomfortable final day of a transformative month for markets. And worryingly, market-based measures of inflation expectations are rising sharply again too. U.S. two-year 'breakeven' inflation rates , taken from inflation-protected Treasury securities, have jumped 80 basis points this month to 2.8% - wiping away the prior assumption that inflation would return to the Fed's 2% target over two years. In Europe, the five year, five-year forward inflation linked swap has jumped 20bps to a 9-month high just under 2.5%. Stock markets steadied after early losses, with U.S. futures only slightly in the red ahead of the open and month end.
The optimism about inflation and the U.S. economy is quickly waning on Wall Street, and the early 2023 rally for stocks is fading. The market was under pressure again on Friday after a hotter-than-expected reading for personal consumption expenditures, sending rates higher and stocks lower. Economic updates Next week brings a new round of economic indicators to see how the sticky inflation is affecting consumers and business. Other looks at the economy will come through key earnings reports. Speech by Fed Governor Christopher Waller Friday: 9:45 a.m. Markit Services PMI 10:00 a.m. ISM Services PMI 3:00 p.m.
The latest Fed projection for the so-called terminal rate — the level where the rate hikes stop — was just over 5%. Before this past week, those intraday levels hadn't been seen since November 2022. ET: ISM Services Looking back January's hot reading on core PCE on Friday was the most influential economic number of the past week. In Club earnings this past week, Nvidia (NVDA) was certainly the highlight. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Discovery — Shares of the media company jumped more than 6% after Bank of America added the stock to the "US1" list. Coinbase — Shares jumped almost 6% after the cryptocurrency exchange shared plans to trim its workforce by 20%. Bed Bath & Beyond — The retailer jumped nearly 19%. Frontline — Shares of the shipping company jumped 26% after Frontline announced that it was terminating a deal to combine with Euronav. Agilent Technologies — Shares rose more than 4% a day after the company announced a $2 billion share repurchase program.
World Wrestling Entertainment — The wrestling entertainment stock surged 21% after WWE announced that founder Vince McMahon is returning to its board of directors and that the company is exploring strategic moves. R1 RCM — Shares of the healthcare technology firm soared more than 11% after the company raised its revenue outlook for 2023. Costco Wholesale — Shares of the big-box retailer jumped more than 6% after it reported solid sales numbers for December. First Solar — Shares of First Solar rose more than 4% after Wells Fargo upgraded it to overweight, saying Europe's energy crisis and the Inflation Reduction Act in the U.S. will boost demand for solar energy. Bed Bath & Beyond — Shares plunged 20% after the retailer warned it was running out of cash and was considering bankruptcy.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has done so much better than the average semiconductor company, or even the above-average enterprise software company that it's insane that we even focus on some of the latter. The 600 companies formed in the last two years rent too much of your brain space even in passing. What enterprise software company can say that? As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
The best performer this week was electronics retailer Best Buy , which is up about 14% this week. Its performance comes off per-share earnings and revenue beats reported in third-quarter earnings Tuesday. The stock is rated a buy by 61.1% of analysts, whose average price target implies shares should go up about 2.4%. Shares of discount retailer Ross Stores popped after the company beat expectations for per-share earnings and revenue last week. Just over half, or 52.2%, of analysts give it a buy rating, with an average upside of 1.6%.
Best Buy Co Inc (BBY.N) jumped 12.4%, leading gains on S&P 500 (.SPX) index, after forecasting a smaller drop in annual sales than previously estimated, confident that a ramp up in deals and discounts will lure more customers. "People are hopeful that consumers can still squeeze out a strong holiday season despite the headwinds they're facing," said Brandon Pizzurro, director of public investments at GuideStone Capital Management. "It would be an upside surprise if consumers really brought their full wallet to the table this year, probably what's driving Best Buy movement today." Gains in Best Buy boosted the S&P 500 retail (.SPXRT) sector index, but a 9.4% fall in Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR.O) capped the upside as the discount retailer lowered its annual profit forecast for the second time. Energy (.SPNY) led gains among the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes, up 3.0%, as oil prices rose after top exporter Saudi Arabia said OPEC+ stuck with output cuts.
Check out the companies making headlines before the bell:Best Buy (BBY) – Best Buy rallied 7% in the premarket after its third-quarter results beat analyst estimates. Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) – The sporting goods retailer reported better-than-expected third-quarter profit and revenue and an unexpected increase in comparable store sales. Dick's initially surged more than 7% in premarket trading before it dipped negative. Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) – Abercrombie & Fitch soared 12.8% in premarket action after reporting an unexpected quarterly profit and beating Street revenue forecasts. Dell Technologies (DELL) – Dell fell 1.6% in premarket trading amid a weaker-than-expected current quarter revenue forecast.
Abercrombie & Fitch – Shares of the retail stock jumped 19% after the apparel retailer beat Wall Street's revenue forecasts for the third quarter and posted unexpected quarterly profit. Deutsche Bank reiterated the stock as buy and said it doesn't see any meaningful changes coming to its direct-to-consumer strategy. Best Buy – Best Buy's stock surged 11% after the consumer electronics retailer beat Wall Street's estimates and maintained its outlook for the holiday period. Demand remains below its pandemic heights, but Best Buy indicated its faring well even as inflation weighs on consumers' pockets. The stock slipped even after the company beat top and bottom line estimates for its latest quarter and better-than-expected comparable store sales.
Though the videoconferencing company topped expectations for earnings and revenue, it gave a weak outlook for the fourth quarter. Dell – The technology company popped as much as 6% after it beat anticipated revenue and earnings per share in its third quarter. Per-share earnings came to $2.30, after adjustments, about 44% above the $1.60 expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv. Urban Outfitters – The clothing company added 2.6% after reporting better-than-expected revenue growth in its latest quarter, despite earnings per share falling a penny short of estimates. Agilent – Shares of the consumer electronics company gained 4.1% after it beat expectations for per-share earnings and revenue in the fourth quarter.
Oil stocks have been huge winners this year, thanks to the spike in crude prices…which boosted sales and profits. For now, at least, energy investors are reaping the rewards. And there are also opportunities for investors looking for a little more risk…and potential reward. Finally, investors who’ve bet against the stock market also can give thanks for this year’s volatility. PC giants Dell (DELL) and HP (HPQ) also report results this week.
The week in review, the week ahead — Nov. 18, 2022
  + stars: | 2022-11-18 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
It certainly gave the market some pause in the back half of the week. Looking ahead, we remind members that markets will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving, and will close early at 1:00 p.m. Also Thursday, initial jobless claims for the week ending Nov. 12 came in at 222,000, a decrease of 4,000 from the prior week and below expectations of 228,000. Below are some other earnings reports and economic numbers to watch in the week ahead. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Investors may be a bit more cautious in the week ahead, with stocks seeking direction in quiet trading and the bond market's warnings about recession getting louder. "That's going to cause its own pressure on markets because markets never look through a profit recession." In the past week, Fed officials maintained their tough tone and some even sounded more hawkish. A rallying stock market is a sign of looser financial conditions. "The stock market is complicating the Fed's objective," said Lyngen.
Keysight Technologies is underrated and ready to grow within more technology spaces than the market has given it credit for, Wells Fargo said Thursday. Aaron Rakers initiated Keysight with an overweight rating, calling it an "instrumental play on digital transformation." Rakers said the company has the potential to increase margin by bringing up software mix. It was spun out from Agilent Technologies, which Rakers said did not invest in the company enough for it to reach its potential. To be sure, the company faces the risk of not being able to gain further market growth or increase margins.
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