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☆ Toronto market seen higher if economic downturn not too severe: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-29 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"If the downturn doesn't prove to be severe, equity markets could stabilize even as economic data and earnings underwhelm," said Angelo Kourkafas, an investment strategist at Edward Jones in St. Louis, Missouri. Canada's economy is likely to be particularly sensitive to higher rates after households borrowed heavily during the pandemic to participate in a red-hot housing market. "While corporate earnings will likely continue to decline for many industries, we see continued growth in earnings across most commodities," said Arthur Salzer, chief executive officer of Northland Wealth Management. Adding to investor enthusiasm, the TSX last Wednesday closed above the 200-day moving average for the first time since May 4. (Other stories from the Reuters global stock markets poll package:)Reporting by Fergal Smith; polling by Susobhan Sarkar and Sarupya GangulyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ These ETFs can help round out your midterm election investing playbook
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-08 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Even if the election results match expectations, stocks may still rally as some unknowns are removed. Broad sector ETFs from firms like iShares, State Street and Vanguard are one way to play these sectors, offering cheap broad exposure. For example, the Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) and Vanguard Communications Services ETF (VOX) both have an expense ratio of 0.10%. Under-the-radar elections Federal elections are not the only contests on Tuesday that could move stocks. The biggest marijuana ETFs — AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS) and ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ) — are each down more than 50% for the year.

☆ Analysis: Recession fears threaten perfect track record of post-midterm U.S. stock gains
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-27 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

NEW YORK, Oct 27 (Reuters) - A potential recession could end a streak of gains for U.S. stocks that has followed every midterm election since World War Two. Since 1946, the S&P 500 (.SPX) has climbed 19 out of 19 times in the 12-month period after midterm elections, according to data from Deutsche Bank. The vote helps clarify the policy outlook regardless of the result because the make-up of Congress is known. November and December rank as the second- and third-best performing months of the year since 1950, with average S&P 500 gains of 1.7% and 1.5%, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. Meanwhile, the current inflationary environment makes post-midterm fiscal stimulus less likely, another factor that could limit stock gains.

☆ TSX posts lowest weekly close in 20 months as oil prices fall
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-14 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) ended down 287.28 points, or 1.5%, at 18,326.25. "The interest rate sensitive sectors of the market like housing is cooling down at a meaningful pace." Canadian home sales fell 3.9% in September from August, with actual monthly activity about 12% below the pre-pandemic 10-year average, data from the Canadian Real Estate Association showed. read moreThe Toronto market's energy group fell 3.4% as U.S. crude oil futures settled 3.9% lower at $85.61 a barrel. The materials group, which includes precious and base metals miners and fertilizer companies, lost 4% as gold and copper prices declined.

☆ Stock futures rise slightly with Fed set to kick off September meeting on Tuesday
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-19 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stock futures rose slightly on Monday evening as Wall Street looked to build on a modest rebound ahead of another rate hike from the Federal Reserve. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average inched up 49 points, or less than 0.2%. S&P 500 futures added 0.2%, and those for the Nasdaq 100 rose roughly 0.2%. During a choppy trading session on Monday, stocks rose in the afternoon to snap a two-day losing streak and claw back some of their recent losses. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite gained roughly 0.7% and 0.8%, respectively.

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