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☆ What normalizing the yield curve means — and why investors should care
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

It also means lots of talk from the experts about "normalizing the yield curve" in the bond market — meaning getting back to a setup where bonds with longer maturities yield higher rates than those with shorter-term maturities. That's referred to as "yield curve inversion," which has historically signaled an upcoming recession. Currently, however, the yield curve looks more like a check mark than a gradually rising hill. An inverted Treasury yield curve messes with that dynamic. Everyone, from private citizens to multinational corporations benefits from a normalized yield curve because normal means less uncertainty, which means more predictability.

Persons: Jerome Powell, shouldn't, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, CNBC, Federal, Getty Locations: U.S, Washington , DC

☆ Yen nurses losses as BOJ meets, dollar dogged by rate outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Japanese 10,000 yen, left, and US 100 dollar banknotes arranged for a photograph in Tokyo, Japan, on Friday, May 10, 2024. It has been a tough week for the yen, with the euro gaining 2.2% to 159.46 as speculators booked profit on recent long yen positions. The dollar was up 1.4% for the week at 142.84 yen , though off an overnight high of 143.95. "As such, there is scope to further raise the policy rate while keeping financial conditions accommodative," she said. "The recent financial market ructions and the upcoming Liberal Democratic Party election may make the BOJ more cautious about raising."

Persons: Samara Hammoud, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling Organizations: Bank of, U.S ., CBA, 25bp, Liberal Democratic Party, U.S Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Bank of Japan, Samara, China, U.S . Federal, Bank of England

☆ European markets set to open higher following Fed cut; Bank of England rate decision in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bank of England in the City of London as economists and mortgage holders await this week's interest rate announcement on 28th July 2024 in London, United Kingdom. LONDON — European markets were poised to open higher as investors digested the U.S. Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut in four years and looked ahead to the Bank of England's rate decision later in the session. Back in Europe, investor attention is now turning to the Bank of England, with the central bank largely expected to hold rates steady at 5%. The Fed's jumbo rate cut is unlikely to impact the Bank of England, according to economists, as the central bank ratified its decision around lunchtime Wednesday, hours before the U.S. announcement. Also on Thursday, Norway's central bank will deliver its latest interest rate decision.

Persons: Germany's DAX, Tiina Lee, CNBC's Organizations: of England, City of, LONDON, . Federal, Bank of, FTSE, France's CAC, Fed, Bank of England, Citi UK Locations: City, City of London, London, United Kingdom, ., Trading, Asia, Europe, U.S, Norway's

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Markets need time to digest the 50-point cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Anna Moneymaker | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. By contrast, the prevailing sentiment among experts was that a 25-point cut was more likely, according to a CNBC survey. And he was likely aware that a bigger-than-usual cut might connote that the Fed's worried about the economy. "I don't see anything in the economy right now that suggests that the likelihood of a recession, sorry, of a downturn, is elevated," Powell said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker, Jerome Powell's, Powell, –, Jeff Cox, Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Washington , DC

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Markets seemed taken aback by the 50-point cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. By contrast, the prevailing sentiment among experts was that a 25-point cut was more likely, according to a CNBC survey. And he was likely aware that a bigger-than-usual cut might connote that the Fed's worried about the economy. "I don't see anything in the economy right now that suggests that the likelihood of a recession, sorry, of a downturn, is elevated," Powell said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Jeff Cox, Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Washington , DC

☆ Ray Dalio says the Fed faces a tough balancing act as the economy faces 'enormous amount of debt'
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates co-chairman and co-chief investment officer, speaks during the Skybridge Capital SALT New York 2021 conference. Brendan McDermid | ReutersAs the U.S. Federal Reserve implemented its first interest rate cut since the early Covid pandemic, billionaire investor Ray Dalio flagged that the U.S. economy still faces an "enormous amount of debt." The central bank's decision to cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5%. On Wednesday, Dalio listed debt, money and the economic cycle as one of the top five forces influencing the global economy. The country's central bank only recently lifted interest rates in March this year.

Persons: Ray Dalio, Brendan McDermid, CNBC's, Dalio, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Bridgewater Associates, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal, U.S . Treasury Department Locations: U.S, Japan

☆ Hong Kong central bank cuts interest rate, tracks Fed move
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

People wearing face masks walk by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority on March 4, 2020 in Hong Kong. HKMA said the U.S. interest rate cut will have a positive impact on the economy of the Asia financial center and will provide some room for easing of local interest rates. "In Hong Kong, our financial and monetary markets have continued to operate in a smooth and orderly manner. "The rate cut cycle has just begun, interest rates will remain at relatively high level in the foreseeble future. The public should carefully assess and continue to manage the interest rate risk when making property purchase, mortgage or other lending decisions," Lee added.

Persons: HKMA, Howard Lee, Lee Organizations: Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Hong, HK, U.S ., U.S . Federal Reserve, Hong Kong Locations: Hong Kong, United States, U.S, Asia

☆ The Fed's interest rate cut is an inflection point for real estate markets: Hines
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed's interest rate cut is an inflection point for real estate markets: HinesDavid Steinbach of Hines discusses the U.S. Federal Reserve's September interest rate cut and what this means for investor interest in the real estate market.

Persons: Hines David Steinbach, Hines Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: U.S .

☆ Gold holds ground after Fed's oversized rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices held steady on Thursday after hitting a record high in the previous session, after the U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a super-sized interest rate cut. Spot gold was little changed at $2,562.85 per ounce, as of 0319 GMT after scaling a record high of $2,599.92 on Wednesday. Powell, however, said the economy remained strong, with many job market indicators like unemployment claims and even the current 4.2% unemployment rate not at worrying levels. Zero-yield bullion tends to be a preferred investment in a lower interest rate environment and during geopolitical turmoil.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Kelvin Wong, OANDA's Organizations: Aurum, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Asia, Traders Locations: ., Lebanon

☆ 'I was surprised': S&P economist on the Fed's bumper rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'I was surprised': S&P economist on the Fed's bumper rate cutSatyam Panday, chief economist at S&P Global Ratings, says it's clear the U.S. Federal Reserve doesn't want to get behind the curve.

Persons: Satyam Panday Organizations: Satyam, U.S . Federal

☆ Trump says Fed's rate cut was 'political move'
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump holds a rally at Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, in Uniondale, New York, U.S., September 18, 2024. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump said on Thursday the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by half of a percentage point was "a political move." Most people thought it was going to be half of that number, which probably would have been the right thing to do," Trump said in an interview with Newsmax. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday kicked off what is expected to be a series of interest rate cuts with an unusually large half-percentage-point reduction. Trump said last month that U.S. presidents should have a say over decisions made by the Federal Reserve.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Republican, U.S, U.S . Federal, Newsmax, Federal Reserve, Senate, Fed Locations: Uniondale , New York, U.S, U.S .

☆ Bank of England holds interest rates steady after August cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Commuters cycles past the Bank of England (BOE), left, in the City of London, UK, on Monday, Sept. 16, 2024. The central bank's Monetary Policy Committee's interest rate decision is scheduled for release on Sept. 19. LONDON — The Bank of England on Thursday said it would hold interest rates steady following its initial cut in August, even after the U.S. Federal Reserve opted for a jumbo rate cut the day before. The Monetary Policy Committee voted by 8 to 1 to hold, with the dissenting member voting for a 0.25 percentage point cut. Many strategists had expected a smaller 25 basis point cut at the September meeting, despite market pricing through this week pointing to more than 50% probability of the more aggressive option.

Persons: BOE Organizations: Bank of England, City of, LONDON, U.S . Federal, Monetary, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: City, City of London, U.K

☆ Fed interest rate cut expected and global trail behind Hezbollah pager explosions: Morning Rundown
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Elizabeth Robinson | Elizabeth Robinson Is A Newsletter Editor For Nbc News | Based In Los Angeles. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +8 min

Fed expected to cut key interest rateChair of the U.S. Federal Reserve Jerome Powell speaks at the U.S. Capitol in July. Bonnie Cash / Getty ImagesThe Federal Reserve is poised to cut its key interest rate for the first time since the onset of the Covid pandemic in 2020. But mixed signals from the economy have some Wall Street traders predicting it’s more likely that there will be a 0.5% cut. It’s for Prime members only, so you’ll have to sign up in time if you want to shop. And did you know that in addition to free shipping, members also get benefits like Prime Video and Grubhub+.

Persons: Sean “ Diddy ” Combs, Jerome Powell, Bonnie Cash, Hsu Ching, kuang, Cristiana Bársony, Arcidiacono, Gold, “, ”, pagers, Sean ‘ Diddy ’ Combs, Combs, Mike Johnson, Trump, Donald Trump, Harris, Kamala Harris, Chuck Todd, Gisele Pelicot, Christophe Simon, I’m, don’t, Annie Hill, Elizabeth Robinson Organizations: U.S . Federal, U.S, Capitol, CNBC, Fed, Consulting, Prosecutors, of, National Association of Black Journalists, Republicans, NBC, Trump, Polaris, University of North Texas Health Science, The, Getty, Amazon Locations: Lebanon, Taiwan, Iran, Israel, Hungary, Southern, of New, Springfield , Ohio, Gaza, Ohio, San Diego, Mazan, France, AFP

☆ Oil prices steady, with investors focusing on Fed decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices steadied on Wednesday, after rising in the previous two sessions, as investors await the U.S. Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cut, with the potential for more violence in the Middle East supporting the market. "Markets have calmed down as concerns over hurricane damage and escalating tensions in the Middle East have been factored in," said Mitsuru Muraishi, an analyst at Fujitomi Securities. "Now, investors are focusing on the Fed's rate cuts which could revitalize U.S. fuel demand and weaken the dollar," he said, predicting that oil prices are likely to maintain a bullish tone after Brent hit its lowest since 2021 last week. Traders kept bets the Fed will start an expected series of interest rate cuts with a half-percentage-point move downward on Wednesday, an expectation that may itself put pressure on central bankers to deliver just that. Oil stockpiles rose by 1.96 million barrels in the week ended Sept. 13, according to market sources citing the API figures, but gasoline and distillate stocks both rose by about 2.3 million barrels.

Persons: Hurricane Francine, Mitsuru Muraishi, Brent, Biden Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, Brent, Fujitomi Securities, Traders, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, American Petroleum Institute, Reuters, U.S . Energy Locations: U.S ., U.S, Israel, Lebanon, Beirut

☆ Gold has rallied ahead of Fed rate cuts. Here's why there could still be more upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Gold is already near the top of the 2024 range of outcomes projected by BlackRock Investment Institute, for example. Emerging market central banks have about 6% of their FX reserves in gold, and developed markets have about 12%. "Weaponizing dollar-based systems, including SWIFT , has led to more people, more countries specifically — more sovereign wealth funds and central banks — not trusting dollar-based assets as much. ETF flows As central banks have been bidding up gold, smaller investors were selling for much of this year. The VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ) and the Abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) are the other funds with at least $100 million in net inflows this year, according to FactSet.

Persons: there's, Robert Minter, Minter, SWIFT, Lauren Goodwin, we're, Chris Verrone Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, BlackRock Investment Institute, Abrdn, World Gold Council, U.S ., FX, United, Russia, New York Life Investments, MiniShares, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Abrdn . Central, Central, United States, Ukraine

☆ European markets set for lower open as investors weigh UK inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Italy's FTSE MIB meanwhile was set to fall by around 39 points to 33,784. LONDON — European markets were headed for a lower open on Wednesday as investors considered key data from the region and looked to the U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate decision. In Europe, U.K. inflation figures for August were published Wednesday, coming in at 2.2% according to data from the Office for National Statistics. The data comes ahead of the Bank of England meeting and interest rate policy decision scheduled for later this week. The Fed is all but guaranteed to announce an interest rate cut on Wednesday, which would be its first since it started hiking rates in March 2022.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: CAC, LONDON, U.S . Federal, Office, National Statistics, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal Reserve, Traders Locations: Europe, Asia, Pacific

☆ Ray Dalio names the top five forces shaping the global economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Dalio made his remarks Wednesday ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Debt, money and the economic cycleWith uncertainty still circling around what the Fed will do at its meeting this week, Dalio raised concerns about how the country's debt will be managed. 'Acts of nature'Dalio then said "acts of nature" have historically posed a bigger threat to humanity and society than war. "Acts of nature, droughts, floods and pandemics have killed more people and been responsible for more domestic orders and international orders changing," Dalio noted. According to the World Economic Forum, the climate crisis results in a 12% loss in global GDP for each 1°C increase in temperature.

Persons: Ray Dalio, Dalio, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Bridgewater Associates, Milken Institute Asia Summit, Bloomberg, Getty, SINGAPORE, Milken, Summit, U.S, CNBC Fed, Economic, Technology Locations: Singapore, U.S, U.S . Federal, China, The U.S, South China

☆ UK inflation holds steady in August, matching expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Anadolu | Getty ImagesLONDON — U.K. inflation held steady during the month of August, data from the Office for National Statistics showed Wednesday, and matched analyst expectations. Headline CPI had come in at 2% in May and June, in line with the Bank of England's target rate. Services inflation — which is closely watched by the BOE, given its dominance within the U.K. economy and its reflection of domestically-generated price rises — rose to 5.6% in August from 5.2% in July. Core inflation, excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, came in at 3.6%, up from the 3.3% recorded in July. "Despite recent data showing a stagnation in UK economic output and easing wage growth, core inflation remains sticky, with services inflation rising from 5.2% to 5.6% which will weigh heavily on the BOE's decision-making," Carter said in a note.

Persons: BOE, Richard Carter, Cheviot, Carter Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, Office, National Statistics, Headline CPI, Bank of, U.S . Federal Reserve

☆ What a Fed rate cut could mean for the world
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

watch nowThe U.S. Federal Reserve is on Wednesday heading for its first interest rate cut since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic — and despite the move being widely forecast, global investors are braced for impact. Global impactA key concern is the pressure interest rate differentials put on currencies. Oil and other commodities, usually priced in dollars, often receive a boost with a rate cut as a lower cost of borrowing can stimulate an economy and increase demand. "Interest rate cuts reduce the cost of borrowing in U.S. dollars, thereby creating easier liquidity conditions for companies around the world," Quilter Cheviot's Richard Carter continued via email. That includes whether the initial cut will reduce the Fed funds rate by 25 basis points or 50 basis points below its current 525 to 550 range.

Persons: —, Richard Carter, Cheviot, Cheviot's Richard Carter Organizations: U.S . Federal, Turkish, U.S ., Fed, Federal, Equity Locations: U.S, Canada, Mexico, Switzerland, Sweden

☆ Economist: 50 basis point Fed rate cut will give ASEAN central banks scope to move on policy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomist: 50 basis point Fed rate cut will give ASEAN central banks scope to move on policyKai Wei Ang of BofA Global Research discusses his outlook for Southeast Asian central banks amid a looming interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Persons: Kai Wei Ang Organizations: ASEAN, BofA Global Research, U.S . Federal Reserve

☆ The Fed forecasts lowering rates by another half point before the year is out
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a press conference following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy in Washington, U.S., July 31, 2024. The Federal Reserve projected lowering interest rates by another half point before the end of 2024, and the central bank has two more policy meetings to do so. Through 2025, the central bank forecasts interest rates landing at 3.4%, indicating another full percentage point in cuts. Through 2026, rates are expected to fall to 2.9% with another half-point reduction. The central bank lowered the federal funds rate to a range between 4.75%-5% on Wednesday, its first rate cut since the early days of the Covid pandemic.

Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve Locations: Washington , U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Tech might not be the biggest beneficiary of rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gary Hershorn | Corbis News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineTechnology stocks benefit the most from low interest rates, conventional market wisdom says. When rates are low, that proposition appears attractive because returns are low elsewhere. This implies investors have been moving out of tech to other sectors that might experience tailwinds amid lower rates.

Persons: Gary Hershorn, Goldman Sachs, Christopher Barto, It's, CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Pia Singh, Yun Li Organizations: Trade Center, Corbis, CNBC, Nvidia, Meta, U.S . Federal, VanEck Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Fort Pitt Capital Locations: Manhattan, Jersey City , New Jersey

☆ Fed should cut by 50 basis points after almost achieving a "perfect" soft landing: EFGAM
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed should cut by 50 basis points after almost achieving a "perfect" soft landing: EFGAMJonathan Rawicz of EFG Asset Management discusses why he thinks it is a good idea for the U.S. Federal Reserve to get ahead of the curve and cut interest rates by 50 basis points at its September meeting.

Persons: Jonathan Rawicz Organizations: Management, U.S . Federal Reserve

☆ Oil extends gains on U.S. output concerns, expected drop in stockpiles
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Oil prices extended gains on Tuesday as the market eyed U.S. output concerns in the aftermath of Hurricane Francine and expectations of lower U.S. crude stockpiles. The market is keeping a close watch on the upcoming decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve on the interest rate cut. A lower interest rate will reduce the cost of borrowing and can potentially lift oil demand by supporting economic growth. "Growing expectations of an aggressive rate cut boosted sentiment across the commodities complex," said ANZ analysts in a note, adding that ongoing supply disruptions also supported oil markets. China's oil refinery output fell for a fifth month in August amid declining fuel demand and weak export margins, government data showed on Saturday.

Persons: Hurricane Francine Organizations: Brent, Federal, U.S . Bureau of Safety, U.S . Federal Reserve, ANZ, Investors Locations: U.S . Gulf, Mexico, U.S, China

☆ The Fed's biggest interest rate call in years happens Wednesday. Here's what to expect
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The meeting wraps up Wednesday afternoon, with the release of the Fed's rate decision coming at 2 p.m. "I hope they cut 50 basis points, but I suspect they'll cut 25. Here's a breakdown of what's on tap:The rate waitThe FOMC has been holding its benchmark fed funds rate in a range between 5.25%-5.5% since it last hiked in July 2023. The 'dot plot'Perhaps just as important as the rate cut will be the signals meeting participants send about where they expect rates to go from here. In June, FOMC members penciled in just one rate cut through the end of the year.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Andrew Harnik, they'll, Mark Zandi, that's, Tom Simons, Zandi, Robert Kaplan, There'll, Seema Shah, FOMC, Moody's, Goldman Sachs, Powell presser, Goldman, Simons Organizations: Federal Reserve, Committee, Moody's, Wall, Jefferies, Dallas Fed, CNBC, Asset Management Locations: Washington , DC

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