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☆ Good news for markets next week. Everyone agrees the debt ceiling 'X-date' is not here yet
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-12 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Good news for markets next week: no default, no credit agency downgrade, no apocalypse. Worrying 2011 precedent Recent history tells investors that stocks will move more violently during a debt ceiling standoff. Retail sales update Debt negotiations aside, investors get updates next week on the state of American consumer spending when April retail sales are reported Tuesday alongside earnings from Home Depot. Deutsche Bank estimates that April retail sales expanded month over month by 0.7%, the market consensus. Credit Suisse is less optimistic, forecasting that April retail sales grew by 0.6%, but, excluding vehicles, were unchanged.

Besides Koerner, who spent over a decade at UBS before returning to Credit Suisse in 2021, UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti largely leaned on UBS executives in pulling together his new team. Commenting on Koerner's future role, UBS said Koerner would be responsible for Credit Suisse's operational continuity and client focus, while supporting its integration. Credit Suisse executive board members will report to both their relevant UBS executive board member and Koerner. Reuters reported last week that options under consideration for that business include a sale or an initial public offering of Credit Suisse's domestic unit. “This is a pivotal moment for UBS, Credit Suisse and the entire banking industry," Ermotti said in the statement.

☆ Here are Tuesday's biggest analyst calls: Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, JPMorgan, PayPal, Shoals & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

JPMorgan initiates Alkami as overweight JPMorgan said the regional banking software company has strong fundamentals. " Bernstein reiterates Microsoft as outperform Bernstein said AI is going "everywhere and in everything" that Microsoft does. Goldman Sachs reiterates PayPal as buy Goldman said it sees further earnings upside after the company's earnings report on Monday. " Raymond James reiterates Palantir as strong buy Raymond James said it's standing by its strong buy rating on shares of the AI beneficiary. Credit Suisse downgrades PayPal to neutral from outperform Credit Suisse said it's too "challenging" to recommend shares right now.

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☆ UBS says Credit Suisse CEO Ulrich Koerner will join its board
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Besides Körner, who spent over a decade at UBS before returning to Credit Suisse in 2021, UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti largely leaned on UBS executives in pulling together his new team. Some media had speculated that a number of Credit Suisse bankers would take up senior roles at the new group. Credit Suisse executive board members will report to both their relevant UBS executive board member and Körner. “This is a pivotal moment for UBS, Credit Suisse and the entire banking industry,” Ermotti said in the statement Tuesday. Zuercher Kantonalbank said this meant there would be initially no big changes for the current Credit Suisse management.

☆ It's JPMorgan to the rescue
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

JPMorgan Chase is buying First Republic Bank after it was put into receivership from regulators earlier today. It's the third US bank to fail since March, following Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. The deal represents another chance for JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon to come to the rescue. Why its Wall Street rivals could follow suit. Read more on the report in The Wall Street Journal.

☆ Here are the top 10 Wall Street research firms of the past decade, according to TipRanks
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-30 | by ( Tipranks.Com Staff | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Henry Nicholls | ReutersAfter identifying the 10 best analysts on Wall Street of the past decade, here is a list of the 10 top research firms. To create this list, TipRanks analyzed every stock recommendation made by investment research firms in the past decade. This explains why some research firms may have a higher success rate and average return yet rank lower. TipRanks has leveraged its Experts Center tool to identify the top 10 research firms. Top 10 Wall Street Research FirmsThe image below shows the most successful Wall Street research firms in descending order.

☆ Obesity is a chronic disease. It's why treating it will be so profitable unless payers push back
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-30 | by ( Christina Cheddar Berk | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

Lilly manufactures tirzepatide, which is sold under the brand name Mounjaro as a type 2 diabetes treatment. It's the chronic nature of obesity that will make these drugs so profitable, analysts have said. Huynh increased his target due to higher expectations for Mounjaro sales this year. Huynh boosted his prediction for the drug's sales this year to $3.7 billion from an prior estimate of $2.7 billion. "$48 billion is a monster number," Holz said, referring to an annual sales estimate that Bank of America has floated for future Mounjaro sales.

☆ Resolving Credit Suisse: an alternative history
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-27 | by ( Liam Proud | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

Reuters GraphicsThe market shock will be all the more extreme because Credit Suisse doesn’t obviously need more capital. It seems perverse to put taxpayer money on the line while leaving the Credit Suisse bonds untouched. Of the 30 global lenders classed as systemically important by the Financial Stability Board, Credit Suisse is the third-smallest by total assets. It also enables the Swiss National Bank to offer Credit Suisse an open-ended credit line, hopefully ending the bank run. Credit Suisse is suffering from a crisis of confidence brought on by years of mismanagement, rather than a system-wide meltdown.

☆ Goldman Sachs M&A team doesn't get out of bed for less than $10 billion
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Goldman Sachs' M&A team operates under a similar mandate, albeit with a few more zeros. Why bother stressing over 10 $1 billion deals when you can just do a $10 billion deal? It's not just the M&A market that's facing issues. The bank has held the top spot on the year-end M&A league tables for decades, but it is hearing footsteps. More on Goldman's M&A strategy amid an industry drought.

☆ Short-sellers raise their stakes against these 2 European banks by billions since the SVB crisis
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-25 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Short-sellers significantly increased their bets against European banks Santander and ING amidst a turbulent month for the global banking sector. Madrid-headquartered Santander's stock saw the biggest surge in short interest among European banks since Mar. The table below shows 10 European banks with the largest increase in shorts between Mar. Meanwhile, France's BNP Paribas had attracted the largest short interest in dollar value among European banks, followed by Santander and ING. The below table lists the 10 European bank stocks with the largest short interest as of Apr.

☆ Stocks making the biggest premarket moves: Coca-Cola, First Solar, C3.ai and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

First Solar — Shares dropped 2.5% in the premarket following a downgrade by Citi to sell from neutral. Credit Suisse — U.S.-listed shares of the Swiss bank gained about 2% in the premarket. Credit Suisse said it experienced net asset outflows of 61.2 billion Swiss francs ($68 billion) during the first quarter. However, it reported 12.43 billion Swiss franc profit for the quarter thanks to the write-off of 15 billion Swiss francs of AT1 bonds. Albemarle — Shares of the mining company gained nearly 3% in premarket trading, trimming Albemarle's losses from last week.

☆ Wall Street veteran Michael Klein is the latest casualty of the banking crisis
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( Carter Johnson | Kaja Whitehouse | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Michael Klein was tapped last year as CEO of CS First Boston, Credit Suisse's investment banking spinoff. There's a new casualty of the banking crisis: Wall Street deals veteran Michael Klein. Credit Suisse and Klein "have mutually agreed to terminate the acquisition of The Klein Group," the company said in its first-quarter earnings announcement. It marks the latest blow for Credit Suisse's investment bankers. Here's everything you need to know about Klein and what the scuttling of the deal means for Credit Suisse's investment bankers.

☆ Russia is landing new buyers for its sanctioned diesel all over the world and Brazil's taking advantage of the steep discounts.
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-22 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Today we're talking energy — and I'm sharing a conversation with a leading expert on Russian diesel flows. Phil Rosen: You shared some data on how Brazil is seeing a dramatic uptick in Russian diesel imports, and a decrease in diesel imports from other sources, including the US. It really does appear that Russian diesel is muscling in on US market share in Brazil. How does this data on Brazil's diesel imports fit into the broader picture with China and India? Russian diesel is displacing traditional suppliers to these countries, while trade flows are changing to backfill the loss of Russian diesel into Europe.

☆ Guest view: Why bank investors have it the hardest
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-21 | by ( Rupak Ghose | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

But what matters at least as much for shareholders is the risk of near or total wipe-out, as demonstrated by Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse. No investor could have known that Credit Suisse allowed Archegos to fund its trades with insufficient cash collateral. More recently, U.S. authorities seemed to flip-flop on whether uninsured depositors at other banks would enjoy the same protection offered to Silicon Valley Bank’s customers. The upshot for bank investors is that seemingly low valuations might not be low enough. Previously, he was head of corporate strategy at UK-based brokers ICAP and NEX, and an equity research analyst at Credit Suisse focused on the financial sector.

☆ UBS says this semiconductor stock is a ‘buy’ — and doubles its price target
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-21 | by ( Zavier Ong | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

UBS is upgrading Taiwanese foundry United Microelectronics from "neutral" to "buy." The Swiss investment bank raised its price target on the stock from 37 Taiwan dollars ($1.20) to NT$75, representing a potential upside of nearly 50% from its closing price on Wednesday. UMC's year-to-date rerating reflects the "increasing optimism" about the semiconductor industry's recovery and the greater profitability of the stock, the analysts said. UBS isn't the only bull UBS isn't the only bank bullish on United Microelectronics. In a note on April 19, the bank maintained its "outperform" rating on the stock and raised its price target on the stock to NT$60.

☆ Factbox: Lawsuits lodged over state-backed Credit Suisse takeover
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

April 21 (Reuters) - Several lawsuits have been filed over the terms of last month's emergency deal to save Swiss lender Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) by selling it to its bigger rival UBS (UBSG.S). Around 16 billion Swiss francs of Additional Tier 1 (AT1) Credit Suisse debt was written down to zero, in a shock to markets. But it has declined to name claimants or provide an ongoing tally of those lodged by bondholders or their lawyers. UNITED STATESOne of the first proposed U.S. class action s against Credit Suisse over alleged false or misleading statements pre-dates the rescue. Credit Suisse declined to comment.

☆ Premarket stocks: The earnings recession is here. There could be worse to come
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

New York CNN —Earnings reports are coming thick and fast, showing how companies fared in the first few months of the year. But even as earnings are forecast to slump to their lowest level in three years, investors fear the worst is yet to come. This left significant gaps in the forensic search for Nazi-linked records, the Senate Committee stated. AlixPartners, according to the Senate committee, has indicated it will conduct a “supplementary review” of Credit Suisse’s connections to ratlines amongst other allegations. Credit Suisse is Switzerland’s second-largest bank by assets and has spent the past few years plagued by scandals and large losses.

☆ Goldman Sachs' David Solomon had the right idea. But that's only half the problem.
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

David Solomon at Goldman's 2023 investor day Screenshots by Emmalyse Brownstein and Dakin Campbell1. Goldman Sachs' $12.2 billion in revenue from Q1 fell short of analysts' estimates, which is never a good sign — but it's not a complete disaster. As Insider's Carter Johnson reported, there is a case to be made for a turnaround at Goldman led by its embattled CEO David Solomon. We've written a lot about the struggles at Goldman Sachs recently, and rightfully so. More on what David Solomon needs to do to get Goldman Sachs back on track.

☆ Credit Suisse limited investigations into Nazi-linked accounts, Senate Committee alleges
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-18 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

This left significant gaps in the forensic search for Nazi-linked records, the Senate Committee stated. The bipartisan Senate investigation follows a March 2020 report by the Simon Wiesenthal Center (SWC) that linked Credit Suisse accounts to a list of 12,000 Nazis in Argentina. Credit Suisse has thus far failed to meet that standard,” said Sen. Grassley in a statement. AlixPartners, according to the Senate committee, has indicated it will conduct a “supplementary review” of Credit Suisse’s connections to ratlines amongst other allegations. Credit Suisse is Switzerland’s second-largest bank by assets and has spent the past few years plagued by scandals and large losses.

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Alphabet, Charles Schwab, State Street, Moderna and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-17 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

State Street , M&T Bank – Shares of State Street dropped 11% after the company posted disappointing earnings and revenue. State Street posted earnings of $1.52 per share on revenue of $3.10 billion, while analysts called for per-share earnings of $1.64 and revenue of $3.12 billion, according to Refinitiv. Meanwhile, M&T Bank shares popped 5% higher after the bank reported beats on the top and bottom lines. Charles Schwab — Shares of Charles Schwab rose about 2.5% after the brokerage firm posted better-than-expected earnings on Monday. Schwab posted adjusted earnings of 93 cents per share, beating analysts' forecast of 90 cents per share, according to Refinitiv.

☆ These 15 stocks will matter the most to corporate profits during a quarter where earnings will fall again, according to Credit Suisse
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-17 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Markets are preparing for a second straight quarter of negative earnings growth. Credit SuisseMarkets are bracing for weaker profits in seven of the 11 S&P 500 sectors, Golub wrote. Q1 earnings revisions are more negative than usual, according to Credit Suisse. Weaker bottom-lines are also masking anticipated strength in sales growth, Credit Suisse found. Those 15 stocks are below, along with the ticker, weight of S&P 500 profits, expected earnings growth, and expected contribution to earnings growth for each.

☆ Credit Suisse is getting even more bullish on Apple into earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Credit Suisse is adding to bullish sentiment toward tech giant Apple . Credit Suisse also thinks the company will increase both dividends paid to shareholders and stock repurchases. Credit Suisse reiterated an outperform rating for the stock, and raised its price target to $188 per share from $184, which represents roughly 13% upside for investors from Thursday's close. AAPL YTD mountain Credit Suisse is even more bullish on Apple stock, and thinks the forthcoming earnings report will be a winner for investors. "Our revenue estimate is slightly higher than consensus and guidance on our belief that demand is improving in China," Cross said.

☆ Club meeting recap: Cramer is 'very excited' about Apple's growth opportunity in India
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Stocks rise Stocks climbed Thursday after U.S. wholesale inflation in March came in cooler than expected . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

☆ Swiss mega-bank has scope to shrink to greatness
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-05 | by ( Liam Proud | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

In UBS (UBSG.S), which is rescuing Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) in a government-brokered deal, they almost have one. The combined Swiss mega-bank will start out with a $1.7 trillion balance sheet, making it the 10th largest Western bank, based on Refinitiv data. Credit Suisse was in the process of running down, selling or carving out trading and investment-banking businesses with risk-weighted assets (RWAs) of $68 billion. Credit Suisse CEO Ulrich Körner was hamstrung by large losses, which drained capital and limited how quickly he could shrink. The emergency combination of UBS and Credit Suisse has created a banking giant.

☆ UBS Credit Suisse rescue is messy but unstoppable
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON, April 3 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Very few people seem to want UBS (UBSG.S) and Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) to merge, but it’s unlikely that anyone will stop it. Switzerland’s Federal Prosecutor has opened an investigation into the state-arranged deal, the office of the attorney general said on Sunday. Credit Suisse’s share price is just 3% below the level where it should be based on the deal terms. A Credit Suisse 2033 bond , which could be converted to equity and potentially wiped out in a resolution, trades with a 6.4% yield, compared with 13% before the rescue. The lower return implies a high likelihood that it will be absorbed by UBS through the merger.

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