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☆ Nikki Haley voters prepare to pick sides: From the Politics Desk
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +6 min

In today’s edition, national political reporter Ben Kamisar breaks down our latest NBC News Deciders Focus Group, which featured voters who supported Nikki Haley in the Republican presidential primary. Uncomfortable Haley voters weigh their options with Election Day loomingBy Ben KamisarKamala Harris’ deployment of prominent Republican critics of Donald Trump hasn’t convinced a new focus group of voters who backed Nikki Haley in the GOP presidential primary. Such was the reaction among the 11 focus group participants in a new NBC News Deciders Focus Group conducted Monday evening, produced in collaboration with Syracuse University and the research firms Engagious and Sago. “Most of the voters we heard from have known for months which camp they’re in,” she continued. Four of these 11 voters plan to vote for Trump or are leaning that way, with another choosing between Trump and a write-in or third party.

Persons: Ben Kamisar, Nikki Haley, Chuck Todd, Donald Trump, Haley, Ben Kamisar Kamala Harris, Donald Trump hasn’t, Harris, Trump, ”, Margaret Talev, Jennifer S, ” “ I’m, would’ve, Chase Oliver, Read, There’s, Donald Trump’s, George W, Chuck → That’s Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Republican, Syracuse University, Trump, White, they’re Republicans, Syracuse University’s Institute for Democracy, Trump Cabinet, Madison, Republicans, Democratic Locations: Trump, New York City, Washington, ”, Pennsylvania

From 2008 through 2020, the winning candidate either swept or nearly swept the final six to eight battleground states. Are we still under-sampling Trump voters? Then again, is Trump’s improvement in the polls this cycle an indication the polling community finally got it right on the Trump vote? In 2020, the Trump campaign was the only one knocking on doors during Covid, as the Biden campaign feared scaring its supporters at the doors. The Harris campaign appears invested in doing traditional get-out-the-vote programs in all sorts of places.

Persons: There’s, Donald Trump's, George W, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, John Kerry, he’d, Barack Obama, ”, there’s, I’ll, Nikki Haley, you’re, I’ve, Hillary Clinton, “ We’ve, let’s, she’s, Biden, Elon Musk, Charlie Kirk’s, Roe, Wade, Toss, hasn’t Organizations: Trump, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Sun, Democrats, Republican Party, Democratic, North, NBC, GOP, Republican, White, Republicans, Madison Locations: Northern, Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina , Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Omaha , Nebraska, Harris, U.S, New Mexico, Ohio, North, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Florida, Georgia, Las Vegas, Omaha, Trump, New York

☆ Judge rejects GOP congressmens’ lawsuit challenging vetting process for Pennsylvania overseas ballots
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Tierney Sneed | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —A federal judge on Tuesday tossed out a Republican lawsuit that sought to segregate overseas ballots in Pennsylvania for additional vetting. The overseas vote has long been viewed as sacrosanct because of its connection to the military vote, and the Pennsylvania lawsuit – which would have jeopardized the ballots of service people abroad – drew a sharp backlash. He cited other procedural issues with Republicans’ lawsuit as well. In the Pennsylvania case, the Republicans were arguing that election officials should take additional steps to verify ballots cast in the state from overseas voters. Correction: This story has been updated to reflect the judge who ruled in the case is Judge Christopher Conner.

Persons: Christopher Conner, –, Conner, ”, ” Conner, George W, Bush, “, It’s Organizations: CNN, Republican, Republicans, Republican National Committee, House Republicans Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina

☆ Influencers are playing a big role in the 2024 election. There’s no way to tell who’s getting paid for their endorsements
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Clare Duffy | Brian Fung | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +12 min

Angelo was paid by a Democratic political action committee for the post, a fact that’s clearly noted in the caption. Campaigning moves to social mediaIn 2024, political content posted by social media creators has become just as important as traditional celebrity endorsements — if not more. Together, the two organizations paid 15 social media creators to produce content encouraging Latinos to vote. Election advertisements are overseen by a different agency, the Federal Elections Commission, which lacks a similar disclosure rule for individuals who are paid to make endorsements on social media. Meta, the parent company of Facebook and Instagram, has since 2020 allowed paid political content from influencers, so long as the organization paying for it is registered in its ad library.

Persons: ” influencer Mikey Angelo, who’s, Angelo, they’ve, ’, they’re, “, ”, Krysten Stein, Jake Paul, Donald Trump, Trump, ” Paul, Tim Walz, Matt Nelson, Walz, Nelson, Paul, Kamala Harris ’, Harris, “ It’s, Danielle Butterfield, Butterfield, ” Butterfield, Influencers, Trump’s, Axios, Jack Posobiec, Riley Gaines, Tana Mongeau, Mongeau, she’d, ” Mongeau, they’d, Mitchell Katz, Ellen Weintraub, Shana Broussard, George W, Bush, aren’t, TikTok, Somos, Ari Cohn, ” Cohn, Robert Weissman, ” Weissman, Cate Domino, Domino Organizations: New, New York CNN, Democratic, influencers, Commission, Pew Research Center, University of Cincinnati Blue Ash College, YouTube, Convention, USA, Somos, CNN, NCAA, Democratic National Committee, Republican National Committee, Federal Trade Commission, Federal Elections Commission, FEC, Facebook, Public Citizen Locations: New York, Trump

Ad views per household For presidential and non-presidential TV ads, Aug. 1 to Oct. 25 Ads for Harris Ads for Trump Other Dem. Ads for Harris Ads for Trump Alaska Fla. Other Dem. Hawaii Ad views per household For presidential and non-presidential TV ads, Aug. 1 to Oct. 25 Other Rep. ads Ads for Harris Ads for Trump Other Dem. Alaska Fla. Hawaii Ad views per household For presidential and non-presidential TV ads, Aug. 1 to Oct. 25 Ads for Harris Ads for Trump Other Dem. TV ad views Ads for Harris Ads for Trump Other Dem.

Persons: Harris, Idaho Conn, Mo ., Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, outspending Mr, Trump, ”, Lynn Vavreck, Ruben Gallego, Republican Kari Lake, Ted Cruz, Colin Allred, ’, Erika Franklin Fowler, ” Fowler, FiveThirtyEight, Vavreck, John Sides, Christopher Warshaw, David Broockman, Ms, Willie Horton, George H.W, Bush, Hillary Clinton Organizations: Won, Harris Ads, Trump Other, ., Ind, Delaware ., W.Va, Trump Alaska Fla, AdImpact, Comscore, Democratic, Republican, Google, Wesleyan Media, Democrat, Democrat Independent, Neb . Ohio Texas Ariz, Democrats ’, Senate, Wesleyan University, Democrat Republican, Pa, Colo ., Colo, Iowa, Health, Harris Trump Immigration, Security, ’, Republicans, Mr Locations: Maine, . Vt, Minn, N.Y, Conn, Mich, Wis . Iowa Ohio, . Pa, R.I . Ill, Del, Mo, Ky . Va . Md, N.C, Tenn, Ark, New Jersey, Delaware, S.C . Miss ., La, Fla, Georgia, Trump . Montana, Mont, N.D, Ore . Idaho, Neb, Nev . Utah Colo, Calif, Kan, Ariz . Texas Alaska Hawaii Montana, N.H . Vt, Ore, Idaho, S.D, Wis, Wyo, R.I . Iowa Ohio, Delaware . Ind, Ill . Utah Colo, Mo . Kan . Va . Ky . Md, N.M, Okla . Tenn, . Ala, Texas, Trump . Hawaii, Mass, S.D . Mich, Wyo . Iowa Ohio, Nev . Ill, Ind . Utah Colo, Mo . Kan, Texas La, Alaska Fla, Hawaii, Ala, Ariz . Texas Alaska Hawaii, Trump’s, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, — Montana , Ohio, Pa . Wis . Ohio, . Texas, Nev, Neb . Ohio, Pa, Arizona, Alaska, Iowa, Va, Berkeley, Siena

☆ Trump was doing historically well among Hispanic voters before Madison Square Garden rally backlash
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Consider an average of recent polling data on Hispanic voters: Kamala Harris is ahead of Trump by just 13 points. That’s well off an average of post-election and exit poll data from 2020, when Joe Biden carried Hispanic voters by 26 points. Trump lost Hispanic voters by 39 points to Hillary Clinton, according to an average of exit poll and post-election data. Trump has been doing particularly well among Hispanic men, as well as Hispanic voters without a college degree. Immigration ranked third for all likely voters, at 12%, which, again, mirrors the 15% of likely Hispanic voters who felt the same way.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Tony Hinchcliffe’s, Trump, George W, Bush, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Spencer Platt, Harris, it’s, Biden, Will Organizations: CNN, Madison, New York City, GOP, Trump, Getty, New York Times, Siena College, Immigration, White, Google Locations: New York, Puerto Rico, New York City, South Bronx, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, Both Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Philadelphia, Detroit, Madison , Wisconsin, Madison

☆ Trump's immigration crackdown could deplete the construction workforce and make housing more expensive
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-27 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Related storiesA 2022 George W. Bush Institute study found that US metros with the highest immigrant population growth scored the lowest construction costs. Without the supply of these workers, history suggests housing costs are likely to rise. These could be significant, given that the construction industry would be competing against other immigrant-dependent sectors. Trump's campaign has implied that cracking down on immigration will help ease housing unaffordability by effectively removing one source of demand. Meanwhile, Trump's platform is also pushing another policy initiative that's unlikely to help housing costs: tariffs.

Persons: Donald Trump, —, Donald Trump's, doesn't bode, Jim Tobin, Tobin, George W, JD Vance Organizations: Service, Republican, National Association of Home Builders, Home Builders Institute, Bush, SC, Congressional

☆ What is the ‘red mirage’ or the ‘blue shift’ and will it happen this year?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-27 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN was able to project that Biden would win the election four days after Election Day, on November 7, but counting would continue. That means a blue shift in the popular vote could still occur even if it does not delay figuring out the presidential election results. A person votes early at a polling station in Deland, Florida, on October 21. North Carolina no longer accepts mail-in ballots if they arrive after Election Day. The Center for Election Innovation & Research has a rundown of the various rules and timelines for processing mail-in ballots.

Persons: CNN — It’s, ”, Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, Phil Mattingly, Biden, CNN’s Marshall Cohen, Hillary Clinton, Miguel J, Rodriguez Carrillo, Brad Raffensperger, Raffensperger, “, Jocelyn Benson, Benson, Republican Al Schmidt, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Harris, George H.W, it’s Organizations: CNN, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Biden, Trump, AFP, Getty, North, Brennan Center for Justice, Georgia, Republican, CBS, Election Innovation, Research, NPR Locations: Arizona , North Carolina , Nevada , Wisconsin , Michigan, Maine, Georgia, Pennsylvania, California, Deland , Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Michigan, “, Florida

☆ Georgia faces an uncertain future as all sides claim election victory
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-26 | by ( ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

The Georgian Dream-supporting Imedi TV channel showed the ruling party winning 56%. Georgian Dream did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Members of an election commission count ballots at a polling station after the parliamentary election in Tbilisi, Georgia, on Oct. 26, 2024. Georgian Dream has drawn the ire of its Western allies for what they cast as its increasingly authoritarian bent. Sandro Dvalishvili, a 23-year-old Georgian Dream activist, told Reuters last week that Georgia would face “danger” if his party of choice was defeated at the polls.

Persons: Georgia Reuters —, Bidzina Ivanishvili, Ivanishvili, Tina Bokuchava, Mikheil Saakashvili, Ivanishvili’s, Bokuchava, “, Irakli Gedenidze, Salome Zourabichvili –, ”, Andronikashvili, George W, Bush, Kostya, Viktor Orban, Sandro Dvalishvili Organizations: Georgia Reuters, United National Movement, Reuters, ”, Party, EU, Georgian Locations: TBILISI, Georgia, South Caucasus, Georgian, Russia, Ukraine, Europe, Tbilisi, Soviet, Tbilisi’s, Tbilisi , Georgia, Moscow

☆ Election Day stress is affecting some companies' sales
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-26 | by ( Alex Bitter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Companies from United to Nestlé have talked about a sales slowdown due to the presidential election. AdvertisementOther companies have invoked the election but not provided details about the dynamics leading consumers to pull back. AdvertisementPeople under 34 were also more likely than older consumers to put off a major financial commitment until after the election, 84.51 found. AdvertisementMany companies are also forecasting that demand will return after either Trump or Harris wins the election. Polls show that the race between Trump and Harris is close to a toss-up just over a week ahead of Election Day.

Persons: Nestlé, —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Brian Olsavsky, Olsavsky, Anna Manz, Alex Trott, Trott, Gen, Ron Hill, Harris, George W, Bush, Hill Organizations: United, Service, Constellation Brands, Delta, Nestlé, Business, Research, Boomers, BI, Deutsche Bank, Harris, Modelo, Constellation, Kogod School of Business, Trump, White Locations: Modelo, Butler , Pennsylvania

☆ Obama again feels the ‘fierce urgency of now’ as Trump eyes return to power
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Stephen Collinson | Jeff Zeleny | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

Drew Angerer/AFP/Getty ImagesObama is fired up and ready to goObama is feeling “the fierce urgency of now” again. “We do not need to see what an older, loonier Donald Trump looks like with no guardrails,” Obama said this week in Detroit. No president, no vice president, no senator, no governor is going to solve every problem,” Obama said in Madison, Wisconsin, this week. I think it should happen.”Yet for all his political skills, Obama has sometimes been unable to transfer his idiosyncratic appeal to other leaders. Former first lady Michelle Obama – who has become a female icon – will campaign with Harris on Saturday in Michigan.

Persons: Barack Obama, Bruce Springsteen, Obama, Kamala Harris, Springsteen, ”, Harris, Donald Trump, ” Obama, John Kelly, he’d, Adolf Hitler, Trump, “, wouldn’t, Hitler, ” Harris reminisced, Obama’s, Barack Obama’s, Drew Angerer, He’s, loonier Donald Trump, ” Trump, It’s, Joe Biden, Obamaism, we’ve, “ We’re, We’re, everything’s, ” Harris, Joe Raedle, Bill Clinton, That’s, Harris –, Kristen Roland, ” Roland, Kamala, ” Roland doesn’t, Janavus Davis, Davis, ” Davis, couldn’t, Hillary Clinton, Sen, George W, John Kerry, David Urban, Clinton, Jon Bon Jovi, ” Urban, CNN’s Erin Burnett, Michelle Obama –, – Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Republican nominee’s, White House, Getty, Trump, Obama, White, CNN CNN, Republican Locations: Cleveland, Georgia, United States, American, Las Vegas, Clarkston, Atlanta, Springfield , Illinois, Clarkston , Georgia, AFP, ”, Pittsburgh, Tucson, Detroit, Madison , Wisconsin, Oakland County , Michigan, America, Michigan, Iraq, New Orleans, Bush, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia

☆ CNN Poll: Harris and Trump remain in a locked race and are tied heading into the final stretch
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Jennifer Agiesta | Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

Registered voters’ views of both Harris (41% favorable to 52% unfavorable) and Trump (41% favorable to 54% unfavorable) break negative. More likely voters say Harris rather than Trump cares about people like them (43% Harris to 37% Trump), is honest and trustworthy (41% Harris to 29% Trump), and will put the country’s interests above their own (45% Harris to 39% Trump). Across each of those attributes though, 16% or more of likely voters say neither candidate fits the bill. Harris holds a wide advantage on handling abortion and reproductive rights (52% Harris to 31% Trump) and a smaller one on protecting democracy (45% Harris to 41% Trump). Harris holds the advantage over Trump among women (50% Harris to 44% Trump), younger voters (51% Harris to 41% Trump among voters younger than 35), and voters of color, including Black likely voters (79% Harris to 13% Trump) and Hispanic likely voters (54% Harris to 37% Trump).

Persons: SSRS, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, who’ve, ”, Barack Obama, George H.W, Bush, Ronald Reagan, Al Gore, Bill Clinton’s, Harris ’, JD Vance, Tim Walz, Walz, Vance, Trump’s, White Organizations: CNN, Trump, Biden, Suburban, Republican, Democrat Locations: Black

☆ As North Korea, Iran and China support Russia’s war, is a ‘new axis’ emerging?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Simone Mccarthy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

The remains of an unidentified missile, which Ukrainian authorities claimed to be made in North Korea, is seen at a site of a Russian strike in Kharkiv, Ukraine on January 2. China, Russia and Iran have also held four joint naval drills since 2019, and China is by far Iran’s largest energy buyer. Beijing also carefully manages its relationship with North Korea – which is almost wholly economically and diplomatically dependent on China. “Russia, North Korea, Iran is the type of grouping that China least wants to openly associate itself with,” said Tong Zhao, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. An Iranian military boat patrols ahead of the start of a joint naval drill of Iran, Russia and China in the Indian Ocean in May.

Persons: They’ve, Lloyd Austin, George W, Bush’s, ”, Kim Jong, Kim, there’s, what’s, Bashar al, Assad, Israel –, Xi Jinping, Putin, Alex Gabuev, Sofiia Gatilova, Xi, Loup, “, Tong Zhao, Zhao, Sydney Seiler Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Korean, Moscow’s, US, North, West, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, China’s, National University of Singapore’s Middle East Institute, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Iranian Army, AP, UN, National Defense Strategy, NATO, Center for Strategic, International Studies Locations: Hong Kong, Russia, Ukraine, United States, Tehran, China, Iran, North Korea, Washington, Europe, Pacific, Nazi Germany, Fascist Italy, Imperial Japan, Iraq, South Korea, Pyongyang, Syria, Beijing, Moscow, Berlin, Kharkiv, Kazan, Israel, Jean, South, Taiwan, “ Russia, ”, Iranian, Asia, Australia, Japan, New Zealand, North Asia, Sydney

☆ A contested election that leads to weeks of uncertainty is a risk being overlooked by markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Investors should beware of a contested US election, BlackRock's Jean Boivin told Bloomberg TV on Thursday. AdvertisementInvestors are dismissing the risk of a disputed US election, BlackRock Investment Institute head Jean Boivin told Bloomberg TV on Thursday. Recent battleground state polling shows a race too close to call with the election less than two weeks away. Other market strategists have echoed in recent weeks Boivin's concern over what an election dispute would mean for markets. Meanwhile, stocks rose during Trump's election dispute in 2020, likely due to signs that the COVID-19 pandemic was ending.

Persons: BlackRock's Jean Boivin, —, Jean Boivin, Boivin, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, hasn't, Morgan Stanley, Brian Gardner, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Gardner Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, BlackRock Investment Institute, Trump, Republican Locations: Washington

☆ Justice Department to defend DEI policy that threatens to derail Boeing deal
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Evan Perez | Hannah Rabinowitz | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

O’Connor set a deadline of Friday for the administration to explain its use of so-called DEI policies in that program. The diversity language used in the Boeing criminal plea deal has been around since at least 2018 – during the Trump administration, according to a person familiar with the policy. Still, it has become a key holdup as O’Connor mulls whether to approve the plea deal. Now, the court battle playing out in Texas will decide whether to allow Boeing to plead guilty as part of a deal with the Justice Department to resolve a criminal investigation stemming from plane crashes that killed 346 people. The issue first arose at an October 11 hearing in Fort Worth, where O’Connor worked through the routine details of the plea deal before taking a sharp detour to ask why the Justice Department included DEI considerations in choosing a monitor.

Persons: Reed O’Connor, Trump, Biden, O’Connor, Sean Tonolli, interjecting, Tonolli, ” O’Connor, George W, Bush Organizations: CNN, The Justice, Boeing Co, Justice Department, Boeing, Department, DOJ, Democratic, Supreme Locations: Texas, Whites, Fort Worth

Between the time it takes to process mail ballots and deal with provisional ballots in some battleground states, votes will not be fully tabulated on election night. Projections of who won a close presidential race might not come for days, similar to the 2020 election. The sources all noted they did not have direct knowledge that this was a formal Trump campaign plan. The Trump campaign did not respond to a request seeking comment. In 2020, Trump quickly proclaimed victory on election night, even though he ultimately ended up losing to Joe Biden.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Seven Harris, —, Trump, ” Harris, Donald Trump, ”, “, Joe Biden, there’s, “ I’ve, ” “, ” Al Schmidt, Harris, Rudy Giuliani, “ That’s, Susie Wiles, Chris LaCivita, ’ ” Roger Stone, James Baker, George W, Bush, Joseph Kennedy, John F, Kennedy, Stone, ” Stone, ‘, Biden, Harris ’, ” Trump Organizations: NBC, Trump, NBC News, United States Capitol, Republican, CBS, New, “ Locations: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Wisconsin , Michigan, Georgia, Pennsylvania’s, North Carolina, New York City

☆ The election is still incredibly close with 2 weeks to go, with warning signs for both Trump and Harris in the Sun Belt
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Harris and Trump are aiming to win in the Sun Belt, but there are challenges for both candidates. AdvertisementWarning signs in the Sun BeltTrump is looking to flip Arizona and Georgia, states that he won in 2016 but lost to now-President Joe Biden in 2020. In the poll, Harris is earning the support from roughly 74% of Black voters, a robust figure. But it's well below the 88% support that Biden received from Black voters in Georgia four years ago. And the poll also showed that nearly 18% of Black voters remained undecided, in a state where Black voters could make up roughly 30% of the electorate or more.

Persons: Harris, Trump, —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Dan Kanninen, Liz Cheney, Melina Mara, Harris isn't, It's, Cheney, Joe Biden, George W, Bush, Brandon Bell, Biden, Nikki Haley, Mitt Romney, Trump's, it's Organizations: Washington, Schar, Service, Republicans, Democratic, Trump, NBC, Getty, Sun, Republican, Nevada, GOP, Biden, South Carolina Gov, Black Locations: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Phoenix, Atlanta

“Losing the workers would devastate our companies, our industry and our economy.”‘The math is just not there’There is evidence that foreign-born construction workers help keep the housing market in check. “Immigrant construction workers in Sun Belt metros like Raleigh, Nashville, Houston, and San Antonio have helped these cities sustain their housing cost advantage over coastal cities despite rapid growth in housing demand,” the authors wrote. Undocumented workers would likely flee ahead of any national deportation effort, Hetrick said, even though many have been in the U.S. for well over a decade. Past as prologueLast year, the state’s Republican governor, Ron DeSantis, enacted a series of restrictions and penalties to deter the employment of undocumented workers. Many immigrant workers hastily left the state even before the policies took effect, with social media videos showing some construction sites sitting empty.

Persons: Trump, You’d, couldn’t, Stan Marek, Marek, “ You’d, ” Bryan Dunn, ”, “, Trump’s, ” Taylor Rogers, Karoline Leavitt, ” Tobin, Jim Tobin, ” Marek, George W, Bob Croslin, Ron Hetrick, Hetrick, Ron DeSantis, Luciano, Taylor, Rick Roth, weren’t, Dunn, ” Dunn, he’s “, Kamala Harris, ” Taylor Organizations: Republican, Trump, Companies, Big, Republican National, National Association of Home Builders, Bush Institute and Southern Methodist University, U.S, Sun, NBC, Workers, NBC News Republican Locations: Texas, an, Arizona, Southwest, Greenland, Aurora , Colorado, U.S, Raleigh, Nashville, Houston, San Antonio, Tampa, Fla, Florida, Mexico, South Florida, Tempe, “ Arizona

☆ Trump vows to deport millions. Builders say it would drain their crews and drive up home costs
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Jing Feng | Nicole Acevedo | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"It would be detrimental to the construction industry and our labor supply and exacerbate our housing affordability problems," said Jim Tobin, CEO of the National Association of Home Builders. Brent Taylor President of Taylor Construction Group, Tampa, Fla.Nearly 11 million undocumented immigrants were living in the U.S. as of 2022, the latest federal data shows, down from an 11.8 million peak in 2007. The labor pool is tight already, with the U.S. construction industry still looking to fill 370,000 open positions, according to federal data. 'The math is just not there'There is evidence that foreign-born construction workers help keep the housing market in check. Undocumented workers would likely flee ahead of any national deportation effort, Hetrick said, even though many have been in the U.S. for well over a decade.

Persons: Mike Blake, Donald Trump's, Jim Tobin, Brent Taylor, Taylor, couldn’t, Stan Marek, Marek, Tobin, George W, Ron Hetrick, Hetrick Organizations: Reuters, National Association of Home Builders, Taylor Construction Group, Pew Research Center, NBC News . Industry, Sun, Companies, Bush Institute and Southern Methodist University, U.S Locations: Menifee , California, Tampa, Fla, U.S, Florida, Texas, Raleigh, Nashville, Houston, San Antonio

☆ Your election questions, answered
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +26 min

They ranged from questions about the Electoral College to specific inquiries about why ballots in some counties look the way they do. We’ll add answers to new questions weekly until the election and also send them out to the What Matters newsletter audience. CNN did not project that President Joe Biden would win the 2020 election until four days after Election Day. -- Linda in WashingtonThere were a lot of questions about the Electoral College, which should frustrate people on both sides of the aisle. I’m not including the election of 1800, even though it resulted in a tie in the Electoral College.

Persons: I’ve, Debbie, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Read, they’ve, Will, Trump, Dennis, Donald Trump, don’t, faithless, Sen, Bernie Sanders of, Ron Paul of Texas, Jeanette, Elon Musk, –, Democrats –, Elena, you’re, that’s, you’ve, Harris, Kamala Harris, CNN’s KFile, it’s, Ron, CNN’s Tami Luhby, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, George W, Bush, Jennifer Agiesta, what’s, we’re, hasn’t, noncitizens, Critics, doesn’t, Sheila, Nicole Unzicker, Unzicker, Terry I’m, Harvey Let’s, Doug Sosnik’s, Patricia, Al Gore, Rutherford B, Hayes, Samuel Tilden, Tilden, John F, Kennedy, Richard Nixon, James Garfield, Winfield Hancock, I’m, Sandra, Jack Smith, Julie Organizations: CNN, Electoral College, Washington, Puerto Rican, Social Security, Electoral, Library of Congress, Elon, Democrats, Trump, Colorado Presidents, Security, Federal, Republican, Heritage Foundation, Dominion, Senate, White, Democratic, Lumina Foundation, Supreme, eventual, Michigan Trump, Gallup Locations: Florida, Madison, Chad, Virginia, Michigan, Puerto Rico, Guam, Minnesota, Washington, DC, Puerto, Congress, Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Pennsylvania, Colorado, South Carolina, United States, California, Harris, Georgia, North Carolina, . Pennsylvania, Missouri, North Dakota, California , Maryland, Vermont, Washington ,, Ohio, Butler County, Texas, New York, It’s, today’s America, New Hampshire

☆ Trump’s mass deportation plans would be costly. Here’s why
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Catherine E. Shoichet | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +15 min

Experts noted then, as they note today, that high costs and complex logistics make mass deportation more complicated than campaign promises suggest. Immigrants deported from the United States arrive in Guatemala City on an ICE deportation flight on February 9, 2017. John Moore/Getty ImagesSo what would deporting the millions of undocumented immigrants living in the United States cost? The organization also argues that mass deportation would make more jobs available for Americans. The economic impact of mass deportation, he says, would amount to “utter disaster.”“We Americans, we, the country, we, in our communities, would be significantly damaged,” he says.

Persons: Donald Trump, he’ll, he’s, Trump, they’ve, Tom Homan, Stephen Miller, JD Vance, he’d, Biden, ”, John Sandweg, Obama, ” Trump, wasn’t Trump, “ It’s, Laura Collins, George W, Sandweg, John Moore, Collins, Miller, Jason Houser, “, Houser, “ That’s, ” Collins, …, you’re, ” Sandweg, they’re, ” Houser, it’s, “ They’re, who’d, —, Lisa Sherman Luna, Saul Young, Michael Ettlinger, Zeke Hernandez, Hernandez, that’s Organizations: CNN, Republican National Convention, Customs, Trump, Migration, ICE, Bush Presidential, Immigrants, American Action, American Immigration, Pew Research Center, of Homeland Security, Syracuse University, Department of Homeland Security, Migration Policy, MPI, Pew Research, Tennessee, Refugee Rights Coalition, Community, Knoxville News Sentinel, USA, Carsey School of Public, University of New, Taxation, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, Federation for American Immigration Reform Locations: United States, United, Guatemala City, China, Cuba, India, Russia, Venezuela, Mississippi, Tennessee, Morristown , Tennessee, University of New Hampshire

☆ Biden administration forgives $4.5 billion in student debt for over 60,000 public service workers
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Annie Nova | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Biden administration announced on Thursday that it was forgiving another $4.5 billion in student debt for over 60,000 borrowers. The latest round of relief is a result of the U.S. Department of Education's fixes to the popular, but once troubled, Public Service Loan Forgiveness program. "Public service workers – teachers, nurses, firefighters, and more – are the bedrocks of our communities and our country," Biden said in a statement. Before Biden took office, only 7,000 people had ever received the debt relief under PSLF, the U.S. Department of Education said. By contrast, Trump has called for the elimination of the Public Service Loan Forgiveness initiative and expressed opposition to the Biden administration's other efforts to cancel education debt.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, George W, Bush, it's, Mark Kantowitz, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump Organizations: Biden, U.S . Department, Public, Consumer Financial, Bureau, U.S . Department of Education

☆ Independent panel issues scathing report on Secret Service and recommends leadership overhaul after Trump shooting
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Holmes Lybrand | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

“The Secret Service has become bureaucratic, complacent, and static even though risks have multiplied and technology has evolved,” the panel wrote in its report released Wednesday. A refreshment of leadership, with new perspectives, will contribute to the Service’s resolution of those issues,” the panel wrote. Kevin Mohatt/REUTERS/REUTERSUS Secret Service acting Director Ronald Rowe leaves after holding a press conference in Washington, DC, on September 20, 2024. These failures, the panel said, were part of a lack of critical thinking among Secret Service personnel responsible for security that day. The Butler, Pennsylvania campaign rally site is empty and littered with debris on July 13, 2024.

Persons: Alejandro Mayorkas, Donald Trump, Butler, Trump, rallygoer, Mark Filip, George W . Bush, Janet Napolitano, Barack Obama, Ronald Rowe, –, Kimberly Cheatle, Kevin Mohatt, Ben Curtis, ”, Evan Vucci, “, selflessness Organizations: CNN, of Homeland, Secret Service, Service, Homeland Security, Secret, Capitol, REUTERS, Getty, Butler, Republican, Trump, Pittsburgh Locations: Pennsylvania, Washington ,, Iran, Butler

☆ Kamala Harris works to fortify the ‘blue wall’ as Democrats fret over a 2016 repeat
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Jeff Zeleny | Eric Bradner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +14 min

“It’s both persuading and mobilizing at the same time – really until the end,” said Dan Kanninen, battleground director for the Harris campaign. In Pennsylvania, Harris lacks a key element of Biden’s appeal: The Catholic, working-class son of Scranton had local and cultural ties to the state. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign event in Washington Crossing, Pennsylvania, on October 16, 2024. “Kamala is for they/them,” a Trump campaign ad declares. But he said it was clear to him that the Harris campaign has learned lessons from 2016.

Persons: Milwaukee CNN — Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, lockstep –, Harris, Trump, “, Gretchen Whitmer, Brian Schimming, I’ll, ” Schimming, ” Harris, ”, Liz Cheney, It’s, –, Dan Kanninen, Donald Trump, ” Kanninen, Joe Biden, – Whitmer, Tony Evers, Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania –, “ We’re, ” Evers, Whitmer, Evers, ” Whitmer, Sarah Kloepping, Michael Dukakis, George H.W, Bush, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, “ It’s, they’ve, Barry Burden, Biden, ” Biden, Barack Obama, Kamala, Harris ’, Tim Walz, Walz, Let’s, Howard Stern, Kamala Harris, Evelyn Hockstein, outspending, “ Kamala, Jill Stein, Stein, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, “ She’s, Christine Fink, Fink, “ I’ve, Phil Swanhorst, “ Trump, Clinton, ” Swanhorst, ” CNN’s David Wright Organizations: Milwaukee CNN, CNN, Wisconsin Republican Party, GOP, Democratic, Republicans, Wyoming, Trump ., Pennsylvania, “, ” Michigan, USA, Elections Research, University of Wisconsin -, Philadelphia Democrats ’, International Brotherhood of Teamsters, International Association of Fire Fighters, Democrats, Republican, Trump, Keystone State, Michigan, Green Party, Cornel West, Democratic National Committee, ”, Libertarian Party, Democratic Party Locations: Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Lakes, lockstep, Michigan, Wisconsin, Harris, Bucks County , Pennsylvania, Bucks County, Oakland County , Michigan, Waukesha County , Wisconsin, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Tony Evers of Wisconsin, Hudson , Wisconsin, Green Bay , Wisconsin, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Scranton, ”, Dearborn, Gaza, Detroit, Minnesota, Washington Crossing , Pennsylvania, Georgia , North Carolina, Arizona, Trump, Eau Claire, Ireland, Hillary, Eau Claire County

State polling misses in presidential elections with Trump Polls underestimated Democrat Republican 2020 D+10 D+5 Even R+5 R+10 Iowa Result Poll avg. State polling misses in presidential elections Polls underestimated Democrat Republican 2012 D+10 D+5 Even R+5 R+10 S.C. One theory, presented by a report evaluating 2020 polls, is that Trump supporters were less likely to respond to surveys. Past polling misses in presidential elections for battleground states Years in bold indicate those in which the polling leader lost in that state. D+15 D+10 D+5 Even R+5 R+10 R+15 Note: Averages not available for some states in some years.

Persons: it’s, Donald J, Hillary Clinton, Joseph R, Biden, pollsters, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Trump, Mr, Clinton, Obama, Mitt Romney, John McCain, George W, Bush, John Kerry, Al Gore, ”, Chris Jackson, Kamala Harris, Trump’s, “, Berwood Yost, we’ve Organizations: Republican, Mr, Trump Polls, Ohio Texas, Iowa Ohio, Electoral, N.H . Iowa Nev, Nev . Ohio N.M, Nev . Ohio N.M . Iowa Wis, ., . Ohio Mo, Democratic, Ipsos, Biden, Pew Research, Wisconsin Polling, Michigan Polling, Nevada Polling, Carolina Polling, Arizona Polling, Georgia Polling, Franklin & Marshall, Poll of Pennsylvania Locations: Ohio Texas Fla, N.C ., Ariz . Wis, Pa, Nev . Mich . Wisconsin, N.C, Ariz . Fla, Wis, Pa . Mich, N.H, Minn, Nev, Colo, Fla . Ohio Va, N.H . Iowa, Mich, South Carolina, Mont, Mo, Ind, Indiana, Fla, Nev . Ohio, Nev . Ohio N.M . Iowa, Ore, Hawaii, . Ohio, N.H . Fla, Iowa Minn, Wash, Ill, Florida, pollsters, State, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Carolina, Arizona, Georgia

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