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The most important driver in second quarter for bitcoin and crypto, however, could be the Federal Reserve decision on interest rate cuts. Traders are now pricing in a roughly 61% chance of a first Fed rate cut taking place in June, according to the CME FedWatch Tool . Demand has increased from 40,000 bitcoin at the start of the year to 213,000 bitcoin currently, largely driven by ETF buying ahead of the late April Bitcoin halving, according to CryptoQuant. However, the SEC's decision on whether or not to allow spot ether ETFs to trade, due in May, will "very likely" be market moving, he added. "If it's not priced in today, then it very likely will be a market moving event if it happens," he said.
Persons: Bitcoin, Zach Pandl, Pandl, , bitcoin, Julio Moreno, Chris Kuiper, — CNBC's Ganesh Rao Organizations: Securities and Exchange Commission, Federal, Metrics, Fidelity Digital Assets, CNBC, Fidelity, SEC Locations: U.S, BlackRock
Wall Street could be in for another solid quarter as stocks have embarked on a strong start to the year. Specifically, in the second quarter, the S & P 500 was higher 9 out of 11 times, averaging a 2.7% gain. Significantly, two occurrences of those 10% first-quarter gains Detrick reviewed took place during election years, with the S & P 500 ending higher on the year. In 1976, the S & P 500 went on to register a 1.5% increase in the second quarter, and a 4.6% jump for the rest of the year. The Wall Street firm maintained its year-end S & P 500 target of 5,050, representing a 3.8% slide from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Ryan Detrick, We've, there'd, Detrick, CNBC's, Research's Sam Stovall, Stovall, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Brian Nick, Nick, John Stoltzfus, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, CFRA's Stovall, FactSet Organizations: Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, Dow Jones, Carson Group, Macro, PMI, Manufacturing, ADP, Survey, Services PMI, Weston Holdings, Conagra Brands, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S
Using options to bet on a Boeing turnaround
  + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The shake-up at Boeing this week with the CEO set to step down by year-end has sparked optimism among investors. Boeing (BA) has faced significant challenges over the years with the latest incident involving a door plug on an Alaska Airlines 737 Max 9 in January. When the RSI falls below 30, it indicates that the underlying asset, in this case, BA stock, is in an oversold condition. The trade To go bullish on BA, the trade structure I have used here is called a bull call spread. You may find trading platforms using other names like call debit spread or long call spread.
Persons: Nishant Organizations: Boeing, Alaska Airlines
Here's an options strategy that allows traders to rent a stock instead of buying outright. United Rentals (URI) , headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, is the world's largest equipment rental company. According to a recent Deutsche Bank research report, United Rentals "operates in attractive end markets that are experiencing tailwinds from mega-projects, which are expected to provide a multi-year boost." URI 1Y mountain United Rentals, 1 year The only concern for those interested in purchasing United Rentals now is that perhaps things look too good. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: they're Organizations: United Rentals, Deutsche Bank Locations: Stamford , Connecticut
Gold holds ground as investors seek direction from Fed
  + stars: | 2024-03-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
An employee arranges one kilogram gold bars for a photograph in Bangkok, Thailand, on Jan. 13, 2016. Gold held steady on Tuesday as investors stayed on the sidelines ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting this week, which could offer further clues on the timing of likely interest rate cuts this year. With the Fed widely expected to hold rates steady at the end of its two-day monetary policy meeting on Wednesday, the market is awaiting policymakers' updated economic and interest rate projections. Gold prices fell 1% last week after data showed that U.S. consumer prices increased solidly in February and producer prices rose more than expected, reducing hopes around early Fed rate cuts. Traders are currently pricing in an about 51% chance of a Fed rate cut in June, compared with 56% on Monday, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Gold, Jerome Powell, Tim Waterer Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, KCM, PPI, Traders Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, Japan, England, Australia, Norway, Switzerland, Mexico, Taiwan, Brazil, Indonesia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer President Donald Trump: I consider Facebook to be an enemy of the peopleFormer President Donald Trump and former SEC Chairman Jay Clayton join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, his vision for the country, fate of entitlements and cutting federal spending, bitcoin and crypto regulation, competition against China, U.S. trade policy and power of tariffs, and much more.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jay Clayton Organizations: Facebook, SEC, China Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer President Donald Trump on entitlements: There's tremendous numbers of things you can doFormer President Donald Trump and former SEC Chairman Jay Clayton join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, his vision for the country, fate of entitlements and cutting federal spending, bitcoin and crypto regulation, competition against China, U.S. trade policy and power of tariffs, and much more.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jay Clayton Organizations: SEC, China Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer President Donald Trump on crypto: Not sure I'd want to take it away at this pointFormer President Donald Trump and former SEC Chairman Jay Clayton join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, his vision for the country, fate of entitlements and cutting federal spending, bitcoin and crypto regulation, competition against China, U.S. trade policy and power of tariffs, and much more.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jay Clayton Organizations: SEC, China Locations: U.S
We'll look at a health insurer stock with an interesting set-up heading into a big industry conference this week and break down various options trades being applied on it. Centene (CNC) traded nearly 9 times the average daily call volume on Friday ahead of Barclays 26th annual Global Healthcare Conference this week. Most active were the March 22nd weekly $82 calls and the March 28th weekly $82 calls. The mid price on the March 28th weekly $82 calls was nearly $2, substantially higher than the trader who initiated the block paid, and the weekly March 22nd calls would collect less than a quarter. If one owns the stock, a hedge might make sense, such as a weekly at-the-money put spread as illustrated below.
Persons: Bernstein, Centene, Cowen, what's Organizations: Barclays, Global Healthcare, Traders Locations: Texas, Florida, Georgia
Former President Donald Trump: China is, right now, our boss
  + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer President Donald Trump: China is, right now, our bossFormer President Donald Trump and former SEC Chairman Jay Clayton join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, his vision for the country, fate of entitlements and cutting federal spending, bitcoin and crypto regulation, competition against China, U.S. trade policy and power of tariffs, and much more.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jay Clayton Organizations: SEC, China Locations: China, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer President Donald Trump on Ken Langone: I've never been a fanFormer President Donald Trump and former SEC Chairman Jay Clayton join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, his vision for the country, fate of entitlements and cutting federal spending, bitcoin and crypto regulation, competition against China, U.S. trade policy and power of tariffs, and much more.
Persons: Donald Trump, Ken Langone, I've, Jay Clayton Organizations: SEC, China Locations: U.S
Three Senate Democrats from auto manufacturing states on Thursday urged the Biden administration to hike import tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles to address national security risks, the latest push by lawmakers to protect the U.S. auto sector. Three Senate Democrats from auto manufacturing states on Thursday urged the Biden administration to hike import tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles to address national security risks, the latest push by lawmakers to protect the U.S. auto sector. "Artificially low-priced Chinese EVs flooding the U.S. would cost thousands of American jobs and endanger the survival of the U.S. automotive industry as a whole." Auto industry officials told Reuters last month Biden is considering hiking tariffs on Chinese EVs and the letter is the latest in growing pressure on the White House to take further steps to prevent Chinese vehicle imports. The senators also asked Commerce to focus on the threat from potential imports of "highly connected Chinese vehicles and high-risk China-controlled connected and autonomous technologies."
Persons: Biden, Gary Peters, Debbie Stabenow of, Sherrod Brown, Gina Raimondo, Katherine Tai, USTR Organizations: Reuters, Auto, . Trade, Commerce Locations: U.S, Debbie Stabenow of Michigan, Sherrod Brown of Ohio, China
A onetime commodities backwater, congestion trading has become a growing business in recent years as the demand for electricity and volatility on the power grid in the US has soared. The financial category, which includes specialized power-trading companies, banks, hedge funds, and large proprietary trading firms, dominates the market, in part because the physical power firms typically operate in only one or two regions. He launched three congestion trading teams for the firm, including in California and Texas after those states introduced congestion trading in 2008 and 2010, respectively. Citadel, along with Susquehanna International Group and Tower Research, has been involved in FTR trading since the market's infancy. Volatility has been increasing on the power grid, in part because of changing weather patterns, Jeev added.
Persons: Kumar Jeev, Jane Street, Richard Roseblade, who's, There's, Roseblade, Bill Clark, Jeev, DC Energy's Tyler Kuhn, DRW, California Al Seib, Brevan Howard, Jane, Stephanie Staska, Staska, couldn't, Joe Biden's, It's, Meredith Angwin, Angwin Organizations: Business, Capital, Midwest, Citadel, Tower Research, Yes Energy, Energy, Anadolu, Getty, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, FERC, Nasdaq, York Stock Exchange, Nvidia, Johns Hopkins University, DC Energy, Wayfair, Squarepoint, Appian, Boston Energy, Susquehanna International Group, DC, Bloomberg, Commodities, Traders, Wall Street, Workers, GreenHat Energy, JPMorgan, Hill Energy Resource & Services, P, Grid, & $ Locations: Wall, East Coast, DRW, Susquehanna, FTRs, New York, Canada, Texas, Virginia, California, Berlin, Chicago, Oregon, California Al, Ukraine, Russian, Uri, Northern Virginia
Next week, the first full trading week of March, macroeconomic concerns will take center stage for investors. Next week, the Fed chief is largely anticipated to stick to the same talking points in testifying before Congress. In fact, the February jobs report, due out next Friday, is expected to show a moderation in payroll gains. Hourly Earnings preliminary (February) 8:30 a.m. Average Workweek preliminary (February) 8:30 a.m. Manufacturing Payrolls (February) 8:30 a.m. Nonfarm Payrolls (February) 8:30 a.m. Private Nonfarm Payrolls (February) 8:30 a.m. Unemployment Rate (February) — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Jeff Cox and Yun Li contributed to this report.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Shannon Saccocia, Kim Forrest, Webull, Michael Hartnett, CNBC's Yun Li, Melissa Brown, Brown, Wealth's Saccocia, Saccocia, Nonfarm Payrolls, , Michael Bloom, Jeff Cox, Yun Li Organizations: Federal, Fed, Capitol, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, FactSet, Barclays, Bokeh Capital Partners, Labor Department, Bitcoin, BofA Global Research, Apple, Nvidia, Ross Stores, Costco Wholesale, Kroger, . Semiconductor, Broadcom, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Ross, Target, ADP, Labor, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S, REITs, Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's concern China is building significant overcapacity in the auto sector: CFR’s Michael FromanMichael Froman, Council on Foreign Relations President and former U.S. Trade Representative in the Obama administration, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the security risks posed by China, the auto competition between U.S. and China, and more.
Persons: Michael Froman Michael Froman, Obama Organizations: Foreign Relations, U.S . Trade Locations: China
SUZHOU, CHINA - FEBRUARY 27: A gantry crane hoists vehicles for export at Taicang Port's International Container Terminal on February 27, 2024 in Suzhou, Jiangsu Province of China. Gene Seroka, executive director of the Port of Los Angeles, told CNBC that Biden's executive order is a wake-up call for the port and supply chain industry. "The bottom line is that today's high-tech cranes can collect data and that is why this executive order is so important," said Seroka. "It's no secret that China has both the capability and the intent to challenge the rules based trade system. The Biden administration has positioned the executive order as part of a "whole government approach" in securing the nation's ports.
Persons: Biden, Christa Brzozowski, ZPMC, Gene Seroka, Brzozowski, Carlos Gimenez, John Vann, Vann, Wayne R, Arguin Jr, Arguin Organizations: Taicang, Getty, Department of Homeland Security, Homeland Security, Coast Guard, Transportation, Maritime Security, Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries Co, Capitol, CNBC, Cyber Security Operations Center, Guard, White, Resilience, of Commerce, Defense, Coast Guard Cyber Command, US Coast Guard, U.S Locations: SUZHOU, CHINA, Suzhou, Jiangsu Province, China, Capitol, United States, U.S, Republic of China, Shanghai, Beijing, Capitol Hill, of Los Angeles, Los Angeles
NVDA 5Y mountain Nvidia 5 years The Nvidia phenomenon is something for all investors to take note of and study. The first question we got on the call was in relation to the sustainability of the Data Center sales momentum. Generative AI isn't possible in a data center built for traditional general-purpose computing. In fact, Nvidia believes AI inferencing was responsible for about 40% of Data Center sales over the past year. This is why Nvidia was designated by Jim Cramer and the Club as an "own it, don't trade it" stock.
Persons: Jensen Huang, it's Nvidia's, Thursday's, we've, Colette Kress, we're, Nvidia's Huang, Huang, inferencing, It's, Jim Cramer, Apple's, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Ann Wang Organizations: Nvidia, Revenue, U.S, Data, Microsoft, Moore's Law, world's, Management, Software, Enterprise, Club, Apple, CNBC Locations: tacking, China, Taipei, Taiwan
Dropbox — Shares of the cloud storage company pulled back nearly 13% after the company issued lower-than-expected first-quarter revenue guidance. Dropbox now forecasts revenue in the range of $627 million to $630 million, while analysts surveyed by FactSet expected $632.5 million. The company also announced plans for a $250 million share repurchase, and said it planned to lay off 550 employees . Trade Desk — Shares skyrocketed more than 18% after the company beat revenue estimates in the fourth-quarter and issued higher-than-expected first-quarter guidance. DoorDash reported a loss of 39 cents per share while analysts polled by LSEG called for a 16-cents loss.
Persons: Ingersoll Rand, Ingersoll, Vulcan, FactSet, Roku, DraftKings, DoorDash, LSEG, Coinbase, Wells, Raymond James, Wayfair, Sarah Min, Michelle Fox, Jesse Pound, Alex Harring Organizations: Wall, FactSet, Vulcan, LSEG, Revenue, Bank of America Locations: Wells Fargo
Despite the market's lack of direction this week, investors nonetheless poured into some specific stocks, pushing them into overbought territory. The RSI, which measures the magnitude and speed of price moves, is a popular yardstick used to evaluate whether shares are overbought or oversold. A stock with a 14-day RSI above 70 is considered overbought, signaling a possible selling opportunity. Biogen is another stock on the list that took a sizable drop this week, with shares tumbling more than 7%. But Wall Street anticipates a turnaround, with the consensus price target reflecting the potential for upside of more than 38%, according to FactSet.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Terence Flynn, FactSet, Uber, Stephen Bersey, Bersey Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, CNBC, RSI, pharma, Traders, Uber, Technologies, HSBC Locations: Thursday's, Biogen
Coinbase Global — Shares surged nearly 16% after the cryptocurrency exchange reported its first profit in two years. Roku — The streaming service provider slid 24% after posting a larger-than-expected loss for the fourth quarter. Dropbox — Shares shed 20% after the cloud storage company issued lower-than-expected first-quarter revenue guidance. Dropbox now forecasts revenue in the range of $627 million to $630 million, versus the $632.5 million expected from analysts polled by FactSet. Super Micro Computer — The information technology company shed 11.6% after Wells Fargo initiated coverage of the stock with an equal weight rating.
Persons: Coinbase's, Yelp, FactSet, Toast, DoorDash, Wells, Carvana, Raymond James, , Samantha Subin, Sarah Min, Alex Harring, Pia Singh Organizations: LSEG, Revenue, Nike —, Oppenheimer, FactSet, Bloom Energy, Nvidia —, Loop Locations: Carvana's
GENEVA (Reuters) - Gaza will need a new "Marshall Plan" to recover from the conflict between Israel and Hamas, a U.N. trade body official said on Thursday, adding that the damage from the conflict so far amounted to around $20 billion. Speaking on the sidelines of a U.N. meeting in Geneva, Richard Kozul-Wright, a director at trade body UNCTAD, said the damage was already four times that endured in Gaza during the seven-week war in 2014. "We are talking about around $20 billion if it stops now," he said. Kozul-Wright said the estimate was based on satellite images and other information and that a more precise estimate would require researchers to enter Gaza. War in Israel and Gaza View All 209 ImagesThe reconstruction will require a new "Marshall Plan", he said, referring to the U.S. plan for Europe's economic recovery after World War Two.
Persons: Richard Kozul, Wright, Kozul, Emma Farge, Gabrielle Tetrault, Farber, Toby Chopra Organizations: Hamas, UNCTAD Locations: GENEVA, Gaza, Israel, Geneva, U.S
"That's just created this once-in-a-decade momentum," said Mehdi Hosseini, an equity research analyst covering the stock at Susquehanna International Group. While the company posted robust results and guidance, analysts have cast doubt over the magnitude of recent stock moves, which include a 48% post-earnings rally and a 19% drop during Tuesday's session. ARM mountain 2024-02-08 Arm since reporting earnings One key factor at play is the limited number of shares in the marketplace. Traders typically buy shares short as a bet that the price of an asset will fall. The unwavering excitement around AI that's driven an investing frenzy over the last year may also be a factor at play with Arm.
Persons: That's, Mehdi Hosseini, Needham, Charles Shi, Ryuta Makino, there's, SoftBank, Hosseini, Shi Organizations: Holdings, Susquehanna International Group, Apple, Nvidia, Devices, ARM, GAMCO Investors, Retail, Tesla, Vanda Research, Partners, Traders
Although revenue rose 27% to $2.3 billion, outpacing LSEG estimates, the loss of 39 cents per share was wider than expected. First-quarter earnings per share of $2.13, excluding items, bested estimates of $1.90 per share, from LSEG. Revenue came in slightly below analysts' estimates at $1.23 billion, versus $1.24 billion expected. Yelp — Shares dropped about10% after the website's first-quarter guidance for both adjusted EBITDA and revenue missed analysts' estimates. Bio Rad Laboratories — The life science equipment company's fourth-quarter earnings per share exceeded analysts' consensus estimates, FactSet said.
Persons: , Yelp, FactSet, Macheel, Scott Schnipper Organizations: Revenue, Texas, Rad Locations: LSEG, FactSet . Texas
A momentum-focused fund that has gained favor among traders could be in for a turnaround, according to BTIG. The iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) is trading about 26.5% above its 200-day moving average, said Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at the firm. MTUM YTD mountain The ETF this year The fund tracks large- and mid-cap stocks that have shown relatively strong price momentum, according to iShares. Market wisdom says that trading above the 200-day average indicates conviction and buying interest from investors. That comes after the fund lagged the market last year, finishing just 7.5% higher while the S & P 500 surged more than 24%.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Eli Lilly —, , Dow Jones Organizations: Meta, Nvidia, Amazon, Microsoft, Netflix, Morningstar, Tesla
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Jim Cramer said Monday equities are in a "flop and chop mode" following record highs from the S & P 500 and the Dow . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Traders, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nvidia, Melius Research, UBS, GE Healthcare
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