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The S & P 500 can rise to 4,400 by the end of the year as near-term recession talk proves unfruitful, according to Stifel. "We see no imminent U.S. recession as the S & P 500 climbs the proverbial Wall of Worry," Bannister wrote to clients in a note. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 this year The average market strategist expects the S & P 500 to finish 2023 at 4,358, according to a CNBC Pro survey. That's because there's too much fear in the market, with the S & P 500 at one point moving into correction territory. Avoiding a recessionary-level slowdown for the ISM PMI would imply upside for the S & P 500 over the next six months, he said.
Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister, outperformance, , Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, ISM, PMI, Federal Reserve Locations: Wednesday's
Asking prices of UK homes show smallest October rise since 2008
  + stars: | 2023-10-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Asking prices for homes in Britain have risen at their slowest pace for the time of year since 2008, property website Rightmove said on Monday in a latest sign of how the climb in borrowing costs has slowed the housing market. Average asking prices for homes increased by 0.5% between Sept. 10 and Oct. 7 from the previous four weeks, well below the average increase for the period of 1.4%, Rightmove said. Prices were down 0.8% compared with a year earlier and the number of agreed sales was down 17% in annual terms. Other measures of Britain's housing market - which boomed during the COVID-19 pandemic - have also cooled with the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors' measure of house prices showing the most widespread falls since 2009 in September. Reporting by William Schomberg; editing by William JamesOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Rightmove, Tim Bannister, William Schomberg, William James Our Organizations: Royal Institution, Chartered Surveyors, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Britain
A rainbow is seen over apartments in Wandsworth on the River Thames as UK house prices continue to fall, in London, Britain, August 26, 2023. Rightmove said average asking prices for homes increased by 0.4% from the sharp 1.9% drop in the month before, but below the ten-year average of a 0.6% rise in September. A closely-watched Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors report last week showed a sharp contraction in the market was underway. Rightmove said the number of home sales was down 7% compared with 2019, before the pandemic distorted the market. It said the rate of reduction in asking prices and the number of homes reduced in price hit the highest since January 2011.
Persons: Kevin Coombs, Rightmove, Tim Bannister, Bannister, Suban Abdulla Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of England, Royal Institution, Chartered Surveyors, Bank of England's, Nationwide, Thomson Locations: Wandsworth, London, Britain, Halifax
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe see markets staying flat for the rest of the year, says Stifel's Barry BannisterBarry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the state of the U.S. economy, Bidenomics, and more.
Persons: Stifel's Barry Bannister Barry Bannister Locations: U.S
The S&P 500 (.SPX) has gained more than 16% on a year-to-date basis, though it was last trading largely flat on Thursday. The latest CPI report "is good news. However, another CPI report is due to be released before that meeting. The CPI report is "obviously positive for the markets," said Paul Nolte, senior wealth advisor and market strategist for Murphy & Sylvest Wealth Management. The month of August has delivered on average the third-lowest return for the S&P 500 since 1945, with September ranking as the lowest, according to CFRA Research.
Persons: Carlo Allegri, Jack Ablin, Guy LeBas, Janney Montgomery Scott, LeBas, Paul Nolte, Murphy, Refinitiv, Barry Bannister, Bannister, Lewis Krauskopf, Karen Brettell, Ira Iosebashvili, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, CPI, Cresset, Sylvest Wealth Management, Research, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
The "no recession relief rally" has ended for the stock market, according to Stifel's Barry Bannister. The S&P 500 is up about 17% year-to-date, but has declined by about 3% since the start of August. Bannister expects the S&P 500 to finish the year at 4,400, suggesting potential downside of about 2% from current levels. According to data from Bank of America, stock market returns are typically muted between July and December in the third year of the Presidential Cycle, which reference a four-year stock market cycle that tracks with the four-year term of the US President. That's well below consensus estimates of the S&P 500 generating $226 in earnings per share next year.
Persons: Stifel's Barry Bannister, Bannister, Barry Bannister, committement, wouldn't, Stephen Suttmeier Organizations: Service, Federal, Bank of America Locations: Wall, Silicon
The New York Stock Exchange building is seen from Broad Street in Lower Manhattan in New York, January 20, 2016. The S&P 500 has rebounded 16.4% so far this year after plunging in 2022, as the economy has so far defied fears of a downturn. Bannister projected the S&P 500 would "trade sideways" in the second half of 2023 and end the year at around 4,400. While inflation has been moderating, Bannister said he expected the consumer price index to end 2023 at around 3.5%, versus a 2.3% average in the 30 years before the COVID-19 pandemic. The inflation rates would result in "keeping Fed tight and S&P 500 flat" in the second half, Bannister said.
Persons: Mike Segar, Barry Bannister, Bannister, Lewis Krauskopf, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Thomson Locations: Lower Manhattan, New York
Advertised rents are 9.3% higher than a year ago and 33% more than in 2019, before the COVID-19 pandemic. Tim Bannister, Rightmove's director of property science, said the big increase in rents since the pandemic reflected a significant surge in demand from tenants and contrasted with stagnant rents from 2015 to 2019. Rightmove said there were 7% more properties available for rent than a year ago, but 42% fewer than in 2019. Rightmove said 16% of properties for sale were previously on the rental market, up from 13% in January 2019. Tenant demand was 3% higher than in the same period in 2022 and 42% higher than 2019, Rightmove added.
Persons: Rightmove, Tim Bannister, Suban Abdulla, David Milliken Organizations: Thomson Locations: Britain, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock market's Q3 will be led by 'cyclical value' stocks, says Stifel's BannisterBarry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss which areas of the market will do well this quarter, why Stifel doesn't have more aggressive price targets, and why 'buy and hold' will be dead for the next decade.
Persons: Stifel's Bannister Barry Bannister
Property website Rightmove said average asking prices of homes coming onto the market declined by 0.2% last month, compared with the 0% norm for this time of the year. Tim Bannister, director of property science at Rightmove, said stubborn inflation and further mortgage rate rises contributed to the fall in prices and number of agreed sales. "The interest-rate brakes being applied more strongly to slow the economy are now beginning to bite in the housing market," Bannister said. The central bank increased its Bank Rate by more than expected to 5% in June, pushing up the cost of mortgage borrowing. Average two-year fixed mortgage rates reached a 15-year high last week.
Persons: Rightmove, Tim Bannister, Bannister, Suban Abdulla Organizations: ., Nationwide, Halifax, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Britain
A common phrase you'll hear from folks at Smead Capital Management is "fear stock market failure." He manages the Smead Value Fund (SMVLX), which has beaten 99% of similar funds over the last five-year period, and 97% over the last 10- and 15-year periods, according to Morningstar data. Value stocks to buyWithin value stocks, Smead is most bullish on the energy sector, as he believes we're in the earlier stages of a "commodities super cycle." Another area of the market Smead is bullish on right now is shopping mall real-estate investment trusts, or REITs. "Collecting a 6% dividend from them and having upside potential in a stock market that might struggle looks like a winning hand."
Persons: Bill Smead, Smead, he's, Smith Barney, Wells, Ben, we're, Stifel's Barry Bannister, millenials, it's Organizations: APA, DVN, MAC, Smead Capital Management, Morningstar, Smead Capital, Smead, Management, Occidental Petroleum, ConocoPhillips, Property Group, Simon Property Group Locations: OXY, Devon
One adtech executive believes MediaMath's bankruptcy is a sign of more pain to come. MediaMath's filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection has sent shock waves throughout the digital-ad industry. Now MediaMath's creditors, who are cumulatively owed more than $100 million, are scrambling to figure out their next moves. It's likely that the unsecured creditors owed money by MediaMath would receive just pennies on the dollar once the bankruptcy proceedings are resolved. Bannister said Raptive was in the process of seeing how much money MediaMath owed it.
Persons: MediaMath, SSPs, Goldman Sachs, PubMatic, Ana Milicevic, Milicevic, It's, Paul Bannister, Bannister, Raptive, Scott Messer, he's, they're, Brian O'Kelley Organizations: MediaMath's, MediaMath, Fuel, Sparrow Advisers, Messer Media, YouTube, ANA Locations: MediaMath, there's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailI don't think we end the year 'any better than we are right now', says Stifel's Barry BannisterBarry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, where the market is headed for the rest of the year, and more.
Persons: Stifel's Barry Bannister Barry Bannister
Want to Run a World-Record Time? Follow the Green Lights.
  + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Ben Bloom | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Jakob Ingebrigtsen was ready to become a Pac-Man when he stepped on the track in early June. (The distance is not considered world-record eligible because it is not an official World Athletics distance.) Incredibly, it was one of three records set on that balmy summer evening at the Paris Diamond League meet. Faith Kipyegon of Kenya set a world record in the 5,000 meters just a week after setting the 1,500-meter world record, and Lamecha Girma of Ethiopia broke the world record in the 3,000-meter steeplechase. Bram Som, Wavelight’s co-creator and operational director, was a successful pacer himself after a career as a professional runner.
Persons: Jakob Ingebrigtsen, Ingebrigtsen, Faith Kipyegon, Wavelights, Roger Bannister, Bram Som, Wavelight’s Organizations: Paris Diamond League Locations: Norwegian, Kenya, Ethiopia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's got some balance sheet issues, says Stifel’s Barry BannisterBarry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins ‘Squawk on the Street’ to discuss why he thinks that cyclical value will join the growth rally, what he thinks about the Chinese market, and more.
Persons: China's, Stifel’s Barry Bannister Barry Bannister, Squawk
Watch CNBC’s full interview with Stifel’s Barry Bannister
  + stars: | 2023-06-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Stifel’s Barry BannisterBarry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins ‘Squawk on the Street’ to discuss why he thinks that cyclical value will join the growth rally, what he thinks about the Chinese market, and more.
Persons: Stifel’s Barry Bannister Barry Bannister, Squawk
Average asking prices over the previous decade for this time of the year had increased by 0.6% on average, the survey showed. Nationwide, Halifax and HSBC were some of the major lenders that have announced a shake-up in their mortgage rates. British homebuyers typically take out mortgages with an interest rate that is fixed for two or five years, and then remortgage on to a new fixed rate or accept a floating rate. While Britain's housing market activity recovered in early 2023 from the autumn turmoil triggered by the economic agenda of former prime minister Liz Truss, analysts are waiting to see how much interest rates rises will hurt the sector. Bannister said the increases in interest rates and monthly mortgage payments could prompt prospective buyers to pause.
Persons: Rightmove, Tim Bannister, BoE, we've, Bannister, remortgage, Liz Truss, Suban Abdulla, David Milliken Organizations: Bank of, ., Nationwide, HSBC, Bank of England, British, Thomson Locations: Bank of England, British, Halifax
"One reason for this increased confidence may be that the gloomy start-of-the-year predictions for the market are looking increasingly unlikely," Tim Bannister, director of property science at Rightmove, said. Earlier this year, British house prices were forecast by sector analysts to fall by as much as 15% by mid-2024. Rightmove said mortgage rates had been stable on a week-to-week basis. Mortgage lender Halifax said earlier this month that property prices grew at the slowest annual pace in over 10 years in April. But rival Nationwide said prices rose by a monthly 0.5% in April after falling for the seven previous months.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBull markets don't end with this much bear market sentiment, says Stifel's BannisterBarry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if now is the time to worry about equities, the timeline of Bannister's price target for the S&P and how Bannister justifies the price target's valuation.
Stifel just got more bullish on where stocks will land at the halfway point of 2023, and encouraged investors buy cyclical stocks. However, the strategist expects investors will not have to worry about a downturn until later down the road. Given this, Bannister said he's been bullish on cyclical growth and value stocks since October. Meanwhile, he expects cyclical value stocks in basic materials, capital goods, banks, transportation and others that took a hit during the regional banking crisis are "oversold" if the economy continues to hold up. He said defensive value stocks are "last year's story," while defensive growth stocks will benefit when the U.S. reaches a recession.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Stifel's Barry Bannister on raising S&P mid-year targetBarry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if now is the time to worry about equities, the timeline of Bannister's price target for the S&P and how Bannister justifies the price target's valuation.
In the years that followed, male athletes treated their first sub-four-minute mile as a watershed moment – a rite of passage on the way to becoming a top middle-distance runner. “Back then, getting under that four-minute mile was a big thing, especially for milers,” he added. Edmund Hilary and Sherpa Tenzing Norgay had become the first people to summit the world’s highest peak the year before, and the first four-minute mile duly became running’s own Everest summit, expanding perceptions of human potential. Wes Santee, seen here competing in a three-mile cross-country race, came close to running a sub-four-minute mile during his career. “It still has some mystique,” Magness says about the status of the four-minute mile today.
According to Stifel's Barry Bannister, the market is on a road to nowhere for almost the next decade. "Easy money is behind us, the hard money is now," the firm's chief equity strategist told CNBC's "Fast Money" this week. The price earnings multiple comes down." But it's a strategy "Fast Money" trader Dan Nathan questions during a sluggish market. "I do not think you want to be overweight small caps right here," said RiskReversal Advisors principal Dan Nathan.
UK house prices show weak rise in April, Rightmove says
  + stars: | 2023-04-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, April 24 (Reuters) - Asking prices for property being put on sale in Britain over the past month rose less than normal for the time of year, figures from property website Rightmove showed on Monday, adding to signs of more subdued momentum in the property market. Rightmove said that average asking prices were up by 0.2% over the month, less than the average 1.2% gain seen at this time of year. Compared with a year earlier, asking prices were 1.7% higher, down from a 3.0% annual increase a month earlier. Rightmove said transaction volumes were now back to around the level they were before the start of the pandemic. ($1 = 0.8045 pounds)Reporting by David Milliken, Editing by Kylie MacLellanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Property website Rightmove (RMV.L) said the number of sales agreed between sellers and buyers was just 1% lower last month than in March 2019 as borrowing costs edged down from their leap after the September 'mini-budget'. However, while the total number of agreed sales had improved from being 21% below 2019 levels as recently as January, they remained down 18% when compared with March 2022. Real estate agents noted a "significant upswing" in buyer demand for apartments of all sizes, with agreed sales rising 10% from 2019, up from a fall of 11% at the start of 2023. London saw the most pronounced recovery in the broader market, with overall agreed sales increasing 11% compared to March 2019, and agreed sales of apartments 23% higher. Rightmove said a third of properties were reduced from their original asking price, up from 19% last year although in line with pre-pandemic levels.
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