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☆ European stocks head for higher open as markets look ahead to U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

The UK economy has reportedly seen faster growth than initially estimated in early 2024. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open higher Thursday as global markets look ahead to the next U.S. inflation reading. Thursday's inflation report could cement expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in the coming months. Recent economic releases have suggested that inflation and economic growth are both cooling, including last week's report that unemployment in June ticked up to 4.1%. The consumer price index report for June will be released at 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: City of, LONDON, CAC, IG, U.S . Federal Locations: Bishopsgate, City, City of London

Average 30-year mortgage rates have been hovering in the upper 6% range so far this month, according to Zillow data. That would likely mean we'd need to wait longer for mortgage rates to drop. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Lower mortgage rates will bring more buyers onto the market, putting upward pressure on prices.

Persons: Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, ARM Locations: Chevron

☆ Kelly Evans: The cuts are coming
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Kelly Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Seeing the June CPI print with a negative sign. You can be pretty sure now that Fed rate cuts are coming. Core CPI for the past three months annualized is now running just 1.1%. In fact, core goods prices have dropped 12 out of the past 13 months in the CPI. We could actually be at a pretty nice economic inflection point right now--but only if the labor market doesn't keep slowing.

Persons: we've, we're, Julia Coronado, J.P, Morgan, Powell, Goldman Sachs, Gary Cohn, Kelly Twitter, @KellyCNBC, @realkellyevans Organizations: CPI, Treasury, Trump, CNBC, Nasdaq

☆ Live Updates: Inflation Likely Cooled Further in June
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

Overall inflation was probably 3.1 percent in June on an annual basis, down from 3.3 percent in May and the coolest reading since January, based on Bloomberg economist forecasts. Economists forecast just 0.2 percent core inflation on a monthly basis, which would match the reading for May. Fed officials have been watching for evidence that inflation is still coming down as they contemplate when to begin cutting interest rates. And Thursday’s inflation reading is poised to be markedly cooler than the 9.1 percent rate when inflation peaked at in 2022. Fed officials meet in late July, but few economists expect a move that early.

Persons: ” Jerome H, Powell, that’s, “, ” Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Fed

☆ Biden touts cooling inflation, slams Trump tariffs at press conference
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Josephine Rozzelle | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

President Joe Biden on Thursday trumpeted the latest inflation report in the opening remarks of his highly anticipated solo press conference in Washington. "Just this morning, we had a great economic report showing inflation is down," he said. Biden then criticized former President Donald Trump's proposed economic policy, which includes a 10% baseline tariff on all U.S. imports. "Meanwhile, Trump's calling for a 10% tariff on everything Americans buy, including food from overseas, vegetables and other necessities," he said. The press conference was a high-stakes event for the president, who has been facing calls to drop out of the 2024 race after his performance last month at the first debate with Trump.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump's Organizations: U.S . Department of Labor, Trump Locations: Washington

☆ Gold climbs as traders brace for U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices firmed for a third consecutive session on Thursday, with investors awaiting U.S. inflation data due later in the day for more insights on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. Gold prices firmed for a third consecutive session on Thursday, with investors awaiting U.S. inflation data due later in the day for more insights on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. Any downside surprise in the CPI report could weaken the dollar and push up gold prices to the $2,400 level, said Marex analyst Edward Meir. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that the U.S. central bank would make interest rate decisions "when and as" they were needed. Spot silver climbed 0.7% to $31.04 per ounce, platinum firmed 0.4% to $993.25 and palladium gained 0.7% to $992.90.

Persons: Edward Meir ., Lisa Cook, Meir, Jerome Powell, Wang Tao Organizations: Index, Traders Locations: U.S

☆ Oil prices tick up as crude, gasoline inventories ease
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices edged higher on Thursday as crude stocks fell after U.S. refineries ramped up processing and as gasoline inventories eased, signaling stronger demand. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 36 cents, or 0.5%, to $82.47 a barrel. U.S. crude inventories fell by 3.4 million barrels to 445.1 million barrels in the week ended July 5, far exceeding analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 1.3 million-barrel draw. Gasoline stocks fell by 2 million barrels to 229.7 million barrels, much bigger than the 600,000-barrel draw analysts expected during the U.S. Fourth of July holiday week. Lower interest rates decrease the cost of borrowing, which can boost economic activity and oil demand.

Persons: Brent, Beryl, Price, CME's, Jerome Powell Organizations: . West Texas, U.S, of, Petroleum, Federal Locations: Los Angeles , California, U.S, CME's FedWatch

☆ Here's the inflation breakdown for June 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

They also generally like to examine "core" inflation readings. The monthly core CPI reading was 0.1% in June, the smallest increase in about three years, since August 2021. Shelter inflation has moderated much slower than expected, one of the big reasons inflation hasn't yet fallen back to target, economists said. There were encouraging signals in the latest CPI report: Monthly shelter inflation dropped to 0.2% after being stuck at 0.4% for four consecutive months. Services inflation is the trouble spotInflation for physical goods spiked as the U.S. economy reopened in 2021.

Persons: David Paul Morris, Mark Zandi, Zandi, Sarah House, Aubrey George, George, Joe Seydl, Olivia Cross Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, U.S . Labor Department, Moody's, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, U.S . Federal Reserve, CPI, Housing, of Labor Statistics, Morgan Private Bank, Capital Economics, BLS Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, North America

☆ Prices fell in June for the first time since the start of the pandemic
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

CNN —US consumer prices did something in June that they haven’t done since the early part of the pandemic: They fell. Economists were expecting a 0.1% monthly increase and an annual gain of 3.1%, according to FactSet consensus estimates. Excluding energy and food prices, a closely watched “core” index of underlying inflation also slowed more than expected. Dow futures rose 80 points. Nasdaq futures rose 0.3% as well.

Persons: — Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury

☆ Fresh Inflation Data Is Expected to Show Continued Cooling
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The Consumer Price Index likely climbed at a moderate pace in June, which would be welcome news for Federal Reserve officials who are watching for further evidence that they have wrestled rapid inflation under control. After stripping out food and fuel prices for a sense of the underlying trend, the “core” price index is expected to have climbed 3.4 percent compared to year earlier, unchanged from the previous report. Inflation is expected to remain moderate on a monthly basis. Economists forecast just 0.2 percent core inflation on a monthly basis, which would match the reading for May. Fed officials have been watching for evidence that inflation is still coming down as they contemplate when to begin cutting interest rates.

Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Fed

☆ Inflation cooled off more than expected in June
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The consumer price index increased 3.0% in June from a year earlier. It was expected to cool off slightly — from a year-over-year increase of 3.3% to 3.1%. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe consumer price index rose 3.0% year-over-year in June, the lowest headline year-over-year rate in a year. The expected increase noted on Investing.com was 3.1%.

Persons: — Organizations: Service

☆ The Nasdaq looks ugly, giving many stocks in the broader market their time in the sun
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

However, most stocks were up with about 6 to 1 advancers to decliners on the New York Stock Exchange. The reverse happened Thursday as those stocks became a source of funds to buy the rest of the market, especially the housing stocks, solar stocks, real estate stocks, utilities, cyclical, and small caps. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on July 11, 2024 in New York City.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Russell, Banks, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange, Meta, Palo Alto Networks, Big Tech, FedWatch, CPI, PPI, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, Getty Locations: decliners, Wells Fargo, New York City

☆ Why fast food value menus aren’t as good a deal as you might think
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

But just how much value is there in these kinds of “value” meals? Well, actually, not as much as you may think, since prices for many key ingredients used in value meals are coming down. Cheese, potatoes and tomatoes are getting cheaperMany of the recently announced value meals use cheese, potatoes and tomatoes. Meat eaters benefit the most from the value meal warIf you eat meat, you’re more likely to benefit from some value menu items. Given that meat prices are rising at a faster pace than most foods, it’s no wonder most fast-food chains are only offering value menus for a limited time.

Persons: McDonald’s, Joe Erlinger, ” Organizations: New, New York CNN, Taco Bell, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, McDonald’s, Wall Locations: New York, Burger, McDonald’s USA

☆ Live Updates: Inflation Cooled Further in June
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | Danielle Kaye | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

On a monthly basis, prices fell overall, and the core price index was up just 0.1 percent. Fed officials have been watching for signs that inflation is still coming down as they contemplate when to begin cutting interest rates. And Thursday’s inflation reading is poised to be markedly cooler than the 9.1 percent rate when inflation peaked at in 2022. Fed officials meet in late July, but few economists expect a move that early. Fed policymakers officially target 2 percent annual inflation, and they define that goal using the Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation measure, which is related to Thursday’s Consumer Price Index but released later in the month.

Persons: ” Jerome H, Powell, that’s Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Fed

☆ Here's why the cooler consumer inflation we wanted flipped the stock market on its head
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

It also gave investors the green light to rotate out of this year's tech winners and into rate-sensitive stocks. In other words, we're right back to the market expecting as many as three cuts by the end of the year. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.

Persons: Jim Cramer, toolmaker Stanley Black, Decker, Jim, Price, That's, We've, we've, Jim Cramer's, Eric Thayer Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, PPI, Walmart, Costco, PepsiCo, CPI, U.S, Nasdaq, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Aldi, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Alhambra , California

☆ Jim Cramer explains how to trade Thursday's tech sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

After buyers fled from Big Tech on Thursday, CNBC's Jim Cramer advised investors to take advantage of the rotation but beware that it may not last long. It's historically broadened things out, and tomorrow you'll get another chance to make money with today's winners," he said. "But if interest rates stop going down, and stop going down hard, then please do not overstay your welcome." The move was propelled by a low consumer price index reading, fueling Wall Street's hopes that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. Housing and industrial stocks such as Home Depot and Caterpillar saw a boost as they stand to benefit from lower rates.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, you'll, Cramer Organizations: Big Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Federal Reserve, Depot, Caterpillar

☆ High inflation is largely not Biden's or Trump's fault, economists say
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The Federal Reserve, which acts independently from the Oval Office, was slow to act to contain hot inflation, for example. That Biden is seen as stoking high inflation is due somewhat to optics: he took office in early 2021, around the time inflation spiked notably, economists said. "In my view, neither Trump nor Biden is to blame for the high inflation," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. At a high level, hot inflation is largely an issue of mismatched supply and demand. For example, Trump imposed tariffs on imported steel, aluminum and several goods from China, which Biden largely kept intact.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Justin Sullivan, Trump, Biden, David Wessel, Mark Zandi, Wu Shaoyang, Wessel, Zandi, Stephen Brown, Eric Baradat, —, Michael Strain, Strain, Jerome Powell, Olivier Douliery Organizations: CNN, Getty, Federal Reserve, Biden, Trump, Hutchins, Brookings Institution, Moody's, Qingdao Port, International Monetary Fund, North, Capital Economics, American, Afp, American Enterprise Institute, Federal, . Federal Locations: Atlanta, U.S, Ukraine, Qingdao, Shandong Province, China, North America, Washington, It's

☆ Treasury yields hold steady ahead of latest consumer inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by nearly one basis point to 4.2880%. The 2-year Treasury yield was nearly flat at 4.6304%. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Thursday as investors looked ahead to fresh inflation data and considered remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Investors awaited fresh inflation insights that could provide hints about the path ahead for interest rates. The central bank has said it would not cut interest rates until data shows that inflation is sustainably easing toward this target.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Dow Jones, Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Investors, CPI, Financial

☆ US Job Market Is Getting Worse, Unemployment Rising. Fed Needs to Cut.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Neil Dutta | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

But increasingly, there are signs that the job market is losing some steam. Whether it's hard data like the unemployment rate or sentiment-based surveys of businesses, it's clear that the labor market has cooled off. It's clear that the Federal Reserve should be the force to slow down the sliding job market. The job market is at an inflection pointThe emergence of the US from the worst of the pandemic shutdowns in early 2020 helped usher in a historic boom for the labor market. If 3% growth could not keep unemployment from climbing in 2023, why would the unemployment rate remain stable in 2024 if growth comes in substantially lower?

Persons: Beveridge, Taylor, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal, Fed, Atlanta, Federal Reserve

watch nowHousing inflation has remained stubbornly high even as inflation in the broad U.S. economy has cooled significantly from peak levels during the pandemic era. At a high level, "shelter" inflation is a measure of U.S. rental prices, said Jessica Lautz, deputy chief economist at the National Association of Realtors. Why CPI shelter inflation has fallen slowlyThe pullback in shelter inflation has been slower than expected, economists said. How the CPI reflects homeownershipThe shelter inflation index is meant to measure the average cost of housing in the U.S. economy, J.P. Morgan's Seydl said. "When it comes to the CPI, [shelter] does not mean the cost for homes for purchase," said the NAR's Lautz.

Persons: Joe Seydl, Jessica Lautz, Olivia Cross, We've, Jerome Powell, Selma Hepp, Morgan's Seydl, Powell, Seydl Organizations: Morgan Private Bank, Housing, National Association of Realtors, of Labor Statistics, Capital Economics, Finance, Federal, CoreLogic, BLS, Olivia Cross North, Capital, CPI Locations: North America, U.S, Olivia Cross North America

☆ Mortgage refinance demand drops further, despite homeowners sitting on $17 trillion in equity
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Diana Olick | In Dianaolick | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The recent run-up in home prices, a staggering increase of more than 40% from pre-pandemic levels, should have current homeowners rushing to refinance. But for most, pulling that cash out simply costs too much now that interest rates are more than twice what they were just two years ago. Applications to refinance a home dropped last week for the fourth straight week, down 2%, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's seasonally adjusted index. Homeowners were sitting on a collective $17 trillion in equity at the end of the first quarter of 2024, according to CoreLogic. Mortgage rates haven't moved at all so far this week, despite Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's testimony before Congress on Tuesday.

Persons: Joel Kan, Kan, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Matthew Graham Organizations: Mortgage, Homeowners, Consumer, Mortgage News

☆ DuPont is a buy at current prices for investors who don't already own the stock
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. If you don't own DuPont stock, Jim Cramer said current prices are a good entry point. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jerome Powell, we're, Jim, it's, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Federal, Honeywell International, Air, Honeywell, DuPont, Big Tech, NVDA

Mortgage rates have been holding steady so far this week, but they could fluctuate on Thursday when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases June's Consumer Price Index data. If this index shows that inflation slowed last month, rates could ease. As inflation slows and the Federal Reserve is able to start lowering the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to go down. This should remove some of the upward pressure off of mortgage rates and allow them to trend down more substantially. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: they're, you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Investors, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Chevron

☆ Gold rangebound with spotlight on U.S. inflation reading
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold traded in a narrow price range on Wednesday as investors looked forward to a key U.S. inflation reading that could shed more light on the Federal Reserve's interest rates trajectory. Gold traded in a narrow price range on Wednesday as investors looked forward to a key U.S. inflation reading that could shed more light on the Federal Reserve's interest rates trajectory. Spot gold rose 0.2% to $2,367.79 per ounce by 0229 GMT. Non-yielding bullion's appeal tends to shine when interest rates are lower. That may weigh on gold, which could see prices fall back towards the $2,300 level of support," Yeap said.

Persons: Gold, Jerome Powell, Powell, Yeap Jun Rong, Yeap Organizations: Traders, Global, Gold Locations: U.S, Europe, Asia

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on June 14, 2024. U.S. stock futures were little changed Wednesday night after both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed at new all-time highs. Futures tied to the broad market index slipped less than 0.1%, as did Nasdaq 100 futures . These moves come before a key inflation report due to be released Thursday morning, which could help solidify expectations for a rate cut in September. "Any upside surprises in inflation are going to be downside surprises for markets.

Persons: Dow Jones, Mike Bailey Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Costco Wholesale, Dow, FBB Capital Partners, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines

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