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Why the Fed is stressed about presidential elections
  + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
New York CNN —Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sent investors mixed messages on Tuesday during his semiannual testimony to Congress. Powell is stressed about the election: Powell was asked by multiple senators about White House politics, which he dodged. While the Fed head noted that policy decisions are data dependent, “elevated inflation is not the only risk we face,” he said. The September Fed meeting will be “live”: Powell noted multiple times that every Fed policy decision is made “live” using the latest available economic data – in other words, decisions aren’t made in advance. About 75% of investors think the Fed will cut rates, and about 25% think they’ll remain the same.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, , Donald Trump, reappoint Powell, , Joseph Brusuelas, Trump, Gregory Daco, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, Larkin, don’t, aren’t, David Rubenstein, he’ll, Airbnb, Isabelle Chapman, Majlie, Puy Kamp, Audrey Ash, Chris Isidore . Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN — Federal, White, , Reserve, RSM, Federal Reserve, US Consumer, Treasury, Fed, Economics, Washington DC, Jackson, CNN, Boeing, Alaska Airlines Locations: New York, Powell, Washington, Alaska
Lighthouse Canton discusses risks post-French election
  + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLighthouse Canton discusses one of the biggest risks post-French electionSunil Garg, managing director at Lighthouse Canton, discusses the outlook for global markets after major elections in Europe.
Persons: Sunil Garg Organizations: Lighthouse Locations: Lighthouse Canton, Europe
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPiper Sandler's Scott Siefers on state of financials ahead of earnings this weekScott Siefers, Piper Sandler managing director, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss state of the financials sector, what to expect from bank earnings this week, and more.
Persons: Piper Sandler's Scott Siefers, Scott Siefers, Piper Sandler Locations: financials
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors can't sidestep the top tech stocks, says UBS' McCartneyAlli McCartney, managing director at UBS Alignment Partners, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss her concerns about growth slowdowns, what investors should do about market concentration, and more.
Persons: McCartney Alli McCartney Organizations: UBS, UBS Alignment Partners
Shein logistics software is in beta testing with select supply chain customers, according to a person familiar with its plans. "Shein's software could provide unprecedented access to sensitive supply chain data, which the Chinese government could seize under its laws. This exposure poses a direct threat to U.S. supply chain integrity, making it vulnerable to exploitation and manipulation." Even with a headquarters based in Singapore, company supply chain data could be subject to seizure by the Chinese. Shein's fast rise to dominance Shein's dominance lies in the company's hyper-flexible supply chain, according to a recent report from supply chain intelligence firm Zero100.
Persons: Jade Gao, Shein, cybersecurity, Lee Kair, Kair, Dewardric McNeal, McNeal, Ram Ben Tzion, Ben Tzion, Department of Homeland Security's, Shein's, Srini Cherukuri, Chris Xu's, Zero100, Eric Fullerton, Project44 Organizations: Shein, Afp, Getty, Transportation Security Administration, U.S, Authentic Holdings, Simon Property Group, Longview Global, Obama administration's Department of Defense, CNBC, Standards Organization, Secretariat, IAF, Microsoft U.S, EU, Social, International, Uyghur Forced Labor, Department of Homeland, Border Patrol, New York, ITS Logistics, Logistics Locations: Guangzhou, China's Guangdong, Jade, China, U.S, Exiger, Shein, Asia, Singapore, Frankfurt, Germany, Xinjiang Province, Customs, York, United States
Big Tech firms such as Google and Microsoft are competing for top AI talent. But workers may be the real winners of the battle as they're securing bigger compensation packages. AdvertisementTech companies are embroiled in an intense war for top AI talent. "AI talent is in high demand, with companies offering impressive compensation. This competitive market is pushing up salaries and providing attractive financial incentives for tech workers," Srinivasan said.
Persons: , Ram Srinivasan, JLL, Srinivasan Organizations: Big Tech, Google, Microsoft, Service, Tech, Meta, Business Locations: Levels.fyi
Advertisement'Naked resignation'One popular phrase on Chinese social media is "两点一线," which translates to "two points, one line." And discussion is rife on Chinese social media about 裸辞 — a term that translates, quite literally, to "naked resignation." Examples seen in BI's search of the keyword included "how much to save before naked resignation," "three things to consider before naked resignation," and "20 jobs to try after naked resignation." Advertisement"There are articles on Chinese social media criticizing gap years," she said, "arguing that it is a Western concept that does not adapt well to Chinese society." "There's a popular internet buzzword among Chinese young people, "Gai溜子," which can be roughly translated to "drifter" on the street," Lim added.
Persons: , Jack Porteous, Tong, Porteous, aren't, Laurence Lim, Sally Maier, Yip, Qilai Shen, Lim, It's, Jack Ma, Qu Jing, Jenny Chan, Gen, Gai 溜 Organizations: Service, Business, Tong Global, Twitter, Publishing, Getty, Cherry, Consulting, Pictures, National Bureau of Statistics, Baidu, Hong Kong Polytechnic University Locations: China, Weibo, Xiaohongshu, Europe
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAI: You should never write China off, says JPMorgan Asset ManagementAlexander Treves, managing director and investment specialist at JPMorgan Asset Management, says artificial intelligence in China has its own "local characteristics," and the country will "pursue its own path" in light of impediments from the United States.
Persons: Asset Management Alexander Treves Organizations: Asset Management, JPMorgan Asset Management Locations: China, United States
Currently, a 40% federal estate tax applies to estate values topping $13.61 million for individuals and $27.22 million for married couples. When someone dies, their heirs have nine months to file a federal estate tax return if their inheritance meets those minimums. Here's how a Graegin loan could work in practice, according to Doyle:Related storiesHeirs of a $10 million estate could be on the hook for $4 million in federal estate taxes. The taxable estate is $1 million less, which means the family will save $400,000 in estate taxes considering the 40% tax rate. More households will be on the hook for estate taxes, and loans to pay them could become more popular.
Persons: , Sam, Jere Doyle, Jose Reynoso, Doyle, Eric Mann, Neal Gerber Eisenberg, overallocated, Mann, John F, Koons, Robert Strauss, Weinstock Manion, Strauss, haven't Organizations: Service, Business, Mellon Wealth Management, Clarfeld, Wealth, IRS, Pepsi, Republican
Wall Street is sticking with semiconductor stocks after its hot start to the year. SMH YTD mountain Share performance in 2024 That said, many investors and analysts expect another strong glide path for the industry in the second half. "The AI theme continues to remain very strong," said CFRA Research analyst Angelo Zino, who holds a buy rating on Nvidia. Many on Wall Street view this upcycle as a significant tail wind for Micron Technology as the industry edges out of its trough. But many on Wall Street viewed the sell-off as a buying opportunity , with Goldman Sachs analyst Toshiya Hari expecting market share gains in high-bandwidth memory.
Persons: frothiness, Angelo Zino, you've, Ken Mahoney, John Belton, we're, Management's Paul Meeks, that's, Harlan Sur, Baird, Ted Mortonson, Jeff deGraaf, CNBC's, Gabelli's Belton, Belton, Meeks, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Hari, CFRA, Zino, Baird's Mortonson Organizations: VanEck Semiconductor, Nvidia, Devices, CFRA, Gabelli Funds, Broadcom, JPMorgan, KLA Corp, Cadence Design Systems, Micron Technology, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple Locations: unchartered
Francois Lo Presti | Afp | Getty ImagesLONDON — A somewhat strange and ironic political shift has gripped Europe over the last few years. "There's an anti-incumbency mood again in Europe," Dan Stevens, professor of politics at Exeter University, told CNBC. Shared concernsThe U.K. is not alone in looking for a political change of scenery. A similar shift has been observed in much of western and eastern Europe in recent years, with hard-right populist and nationalist parties upsetting and unseating the old political establishment. Political analysts point out that, although far-right political parties in France, Germany and Italy made gains in the recent European Parliament elections, they also did not perform quite as well as expected.
Persons: Jordan Bardella, Francois Lo Presti, Dan Stevens, Stevens, Christopher Granville, leaderships, they've, Granville, Sofia Vasilopoulou Organizations: Union, Afp, Getty, Labour Party, Conservative Party, Europe —, Exeter University, CNBC, Conservative, Party for Freedom, EMEA, TS Lombard, King's College London Locations: France, Henin, Beaumont, Europe, euroskeptic, Ukraine, Italy, Netherlands, Germany
Former Wall Street executive Leona Qi is now president of the private aviation company VistaJet US. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . After a decade of working on Wall Street, she transitioned to the private aviation industry, becoming the managing director of Global Jet Capital before taking on her current role as the president of VistaJet US. For those hoping to level up their own careers by asking for a raise or a promotion, Qi's career advice echoes what other experts have previously shared with Business Insider: demonstrate your exceptional achievements and value to the company with quantifiable data. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Leona Qi, Organizations: Wall Street, Service, Global Jet Capital, Business
China's second quarter is 'turning softer': Goldman Sachs
  + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's second quarter is 'turning softer': Goldman SachsMichelle Chen, co-head of Asia consumer research and managing director at Goldman Sachs, outlines a few surprises, such as consumer discretionary categories outperforming consumer staples.
Persons: Goldman Sachs Michelle Chen, Goldman Sachs Locations: Asia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOne issue will continue to haunt the Conservatives after these elections, says analystCarsten Nickel, managing director at U.S. corporate advisory firm Teneo, says that immigration into the U.K. will continue to haunt the center-right after the U.K. elections.
Persons: Carsten Nickel
The artificial intelligence boom is straining America's power grid. All three trends have sparked ongoing concerns about the power-hungry nature of new technologies as they push America's shaky power grid to the limit. And with hundreds of millions of users already interacting with AI tools like ChatGPT, the power demand for AI technologies is only set to rise. Bank of America put into perspective the challenges faced by the power grid as it grapples with surging demand from AI data centers. AdvertisementSome eye-opening stats about the US power grid cited by Bank of America include:"The US grid produces 1,250 gigawatts (GW) of electricity from 9,200 generating units.
Persons: Baird, Ted Mortonson, , Mortonson, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Oracle, Wall Street Journal, Constellation Energy, Xcel Energy, NextEra, Southern Co Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, East, NextEra Energy
Handpicked as leader by National Rally (RN) doyenne Marine Le Pen in an effort to purge the far-right party of its racist and antisemitic roots, Bardella has taken it closer to the gates of power than ever before. Whether the RN forms a government and Bardella becomes prime minister after the July 7 runoff is not clear. So, who is Bardella, and what might his party do in power? Le Pen and Bardella address a crowd of RN supporters in Paris, after Macron called a snap election, June 9, 2024. When the prime minister and president belong to different parties – in a rare arrangement known as “cohabitation” – things can grind to a halt.
Persons: CNN — Jordan, , Bardella, Emmanuel Macron’s, France’s, Denis, Le Pen, Le Pen’s, Louis Aliot, Le, Macron, Julien De Rosa, Freed, Jean, Marie Le Pen, Franco, Paris Anne Hidalgo, Luc Mélenchon, ” Bardella, Julien de Rosa, Gabriel Attal, ” Mujtaba Rahman, Mario Draghi, Giorgia Meloni, Benito Mussolini, Matteo Salvini, Vladimir Putin, Antonio Masiello, Hungary’s Viktor Orban –, Macron – Organizations: CNN, National Rally, National Assembly, Front, Sorbonne university, Getty, Macron’s Ensemble, Immigrants, Ministry of, Armed Forces, New Popular Front, EU, Eurasia Group, European Union Locations: Paris, France, Europe, Seine, Macron, AFP, Vichy, Spanish, Brussels, Italy, Ukraine, Kyiv, Russia
Australia is facing an egg supply crunch thanks to bird flu outbreaks — and it's led McDonald's to trim breakfast hours by 90 minutes, also pushing supermarkets to restrict purchases to two cartons per consumer. Citing "industry challenges," McDonald's on Tuesday announced that it was temporarily serving breakfast until 10.30am instead of midday across Australia. The government added that it is currently responding to outbreaks of the H7 high pathogenicity avian influenza (HPAI) at 11 poultry farms. The Food Standards Australia New Zealand (FSANZ) noted that there is currently no evidence that people can contact the virus through "properly prepared" food. "Avian influenza (bird flu) is not a food safety concern and it is safe to eat properly handled and cooked chicken meat, eggs and egg products," the organization added.
Persons: it's, Murray Watt, McDonald's, Rowan McMonnies, there's, McMonnies Organizations: U.S, Australia Facebook, Coles, Woolworths, Food Standards, Food Standards Australia New Zealand Locations: Australia, Food Standards Australia
NVDA 1Y line Large cloud computing firms, such as Microsoft , Amazon and Google , have bought billions of dollars worth of AI chips from Nvidia over the past two years. Investors now want to know whether these Big Tech giants will be able to make a return on their investment — a precursor for further spending on AI chips. However, "tentative" signs have started to emerge that spending on AI chips may be spurring investment in the broader economy, Capital Economics said. CGI Inc For clues as to how quickly AI technologies are being adopted, Scotiabank highlighted CGI , a Canadian multinational IT firm that helps companies introduce AI into their business models and operations. The Scotiabank analyst believes that as large companies prepare to start AI spending, CGI is set to benefit and capture any future growth.
Persons: Shant, Neil Shearing, Shearing, Divya Goyal, Goyal, GIB Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Investors, Big Tech, Jennison Associates, Capital Economics, Economics, Scotiabank Locations: Britain, U.S, Canadian, Canada, New York
Uncover Essex's hidden gems with Wow Hydrate's Queenie Porter
  + stars: | 2024-07-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Just outside London's borders lies an English county filled with city amenities and laidback village vibes. Essex, which sits in the southeast of England along the North Sea, is the lifelong home of Queenie Porter, managing director of sports drink company Wow Hydrate. The company, which has partnered with high-profile sports names like Manchester United and Tyson Fury, is also headquartered in the county. "You have the best of everything," said Porter in an episode of CNBC's new travel series, Downtime London. When Porter isn't busy juggling running a business with several board roles, she likes to spend her downtime around Essex.
Persons: Queenie Porter, Tyson Fury, Porter, Porter isn't, Medispa Organizations: Manchester United, Essex Fight Academy Locations: London's, England, London, Chelmsford, Brentwood, Essex
Before the refinancing, Peloton would have needed to pay around $800 million toward its debt by November 2025. Now that it has refinanced, Peloton has eased investor concerns about liquidity and has the breathing room it needs to try to turn around its business. Peloton faces risks aheadWhile the refinance may have bought Peloton some time, it's far from a panacea. Under the terms, Peloton will now be spending about $133 million annually in interest, up from around $89 million previously. As of the end of March, Peloton had about 6.6 million members — woefully behind that long-term target.
Persons: Michael Nagle, JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, hasn't, Liz Coddington, Coddington, Evan DuFaux, Soros didn't, Neil Saunders, Barry McCarthy's, Karen Boone, Chris Bruzzo, Scott Stuart, Simeon Siegel, Siegel, John Foley, McCarthy, , McCarthy – Organizations: Interactive, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Soros Fund Management, Silver Point, GlobalData, Netflix, Turnaround Management Association, BMO Capital Markets, Spotify Locations: New York
McDonald’s has cut breakfast service timings by 90 minutes, the company said, after a shortage of eggs caused by bird flu outbreaks that have led to the slaughter of about 1.5 million chickens. Australia is battling outbreaks of several strains of highly pathogenic avian influenza that have struck 11 poultry facilities, most of them egg farms, in its southeast since May. None of the strains are the H5N1 variant of bird flu that has spread through bird and mammal populations worldwide, infecting billions of animals and a small number of humans. “Consumers can be assured there’s still over 20 million hens under the care of hundreds of egg farmers across Australia that will continue to work hard to ensure there’s eggs on shelves,” he added. Bird flu spreads to farmed animals from wild birds.
Persons: McDonald’s, ” McDonald’s, Rowan McMonnies, there’s Organizations: Good, Facebook Locations: Canberra, Australia
Post-pandemic revenge spending is still continuing, but in one part of the world there's something starkly opposite happening — revenge saving. Rather than splurging on impulsive purchases, China's young are saving ferociously as the world's second-largest economy remains in the doldrums. Revenge saving has become a trend on Chinese social media websites, with Chinese youth setting extreme monthly saving targets. "Chinese youth have a revenge savings mentality," said China Market Research Group's Managing Director Shaun Rein. "Unlike youths in the 2010s who often spent more than they earned and borrowed money to buy fancy items like Gucci handbags and Apple iPhone, young Chinese have started saving more," he told CNBC.
Persons: Zhai Zhai, Shaun Rein, Gucci Organizations: Research, CNBC Locations: China
Some of the main winners of the AI boom will be stocks currently sliding under the radar. Across the road, ground has been broken on another data center. This specifically means data centers, which will be increasingly key for storing information as AI becomes more mainstream. On a single-stock basis, Digital Realty Trust — the only data center real estate investment trust listed on the New York Stock Exchange — has jumped 38% over the last year, while the Global X Data Center & Digital Infrastructure ETF has climbed 12%. Mortonson says it's difficult for software companies to build around AI.
Persons: , Ted Mortonson, Baird, we're, Goldman Sachs, hasn't, That's, Travis Miller, Miller, Mortonson, There's Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Goldman, Digital Realty Trust, New York Stock Exchange, X Data, Digital Infrastructure ETF, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Morningstar, Business, Software, Utilities Locations: US, Korea, India, Europe
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAlmost 70% of our customer base belongs to the employer category: Stanley LifestylesSunil Suresh, founder and managing director of the luxury furniture manufacturer and retailer, discusses India's consumer trends and says there's "a lot of traction in the premium housing of the country today."
Persons: Stanley, Sunil Suresh
At the heart of the plan is Starbucks' "Siren Craft System," a series of processes that aim to make baristas' jobs easier and speed up service times for customers. Starbucks said more than 10% of its 10,000 stores have already implemented the system, which includes changing the production order for hot and cold drinks. Starbucks reported rates of incomplete mobile app orders in the mid-teens and said occasional customers came in less. Losing customers because of slow orders and other store frustrations could cost Starbucks at a particularly vulnerable time. The company plans to train existing workers for the role or potentially add new baristas, if needed.
Persons: Beata Zawrzel, Laxman Narasimhan, Katie Young, Peter Saleh, Young, Howard Schultz, Narasimhan, Schultz, Macoy McGlaughlin, Walker, we're, McGlaughlin, Baristas Organizations: Starbucks, Nurphoto, Getty, CNBC, Workers Locations: Krakow, Poland, North America
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