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☆ The Fed has a very strong case to keep rates higher for longer
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-17 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Yet Jerome Powell and his central bank colleagues have rebuffed those forecasts, and markets have pushed their rate cut predictions further into 2024. And the producer price index for January came in at 0.3% on Friday, higher than the expected 0.1% increase. Jimmy Chang, the chief investment officer for Rockefeller Global Family Office, told Business Insider that it would be difficult for the Fed to cut rates in the current landscape. AdvertisementThe Fed's next moveThe case for keeping rates unchanged has gained momentum over recent weeks, but both markets and the Fed ultimately expect easing interest rates in 2024. Bank of America forecasts that the first cut likely won't happen until June, and policymakers could opt to cut rates "later and faster."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Nonfarm payrolls, Mary Daly, agilely, Joe Seydl, Seydl, Jimmy Chang, Chang, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, Jay Woods, We're, Woods, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Atlanta Fed, San Francisco Fed, JPMorgan Private Bank, Rockefeller Global Family Office, Fed, Chicago Fed, Council, Foreign Relations, Freedom Capital Markets, Bank of America

☆ The average Uber and Uber Eats driver saw their earnings decline over 15% in 2023, per Gridwise
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-17 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Over the past year, Uber drivers have told Business Insider that it’s gotten harder to make money . Gridwise told BI these earnings reflected the amount drivers took home after Uber took its cut of drivers' gross earnings. The average Uber driver’s earnings before expenses declined from $29 an hour in 2022 to $25 in 2023. Meanwhile, the average Uber Eats driver’s earnings fell from roughly $20 to $18 an hour before expenses — the average driver worked 27 hours a month. While Uber drivers saw the largest year-over-year decline in monthly pay, the average driver’s $25 an-hour earnings before expenses were still higher than any other gig.

Persons: Gridwise, Uber, it’s, haven’t, Lyft Organizations: Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics

If inflation remains near current levels or looks like it's ticking back up, mortgage rates could climb higher. Average 30-year mortgage rates rose 13 basis points to 6.77% this week, according to Freddie Mac. Once the Fed starts lowering its benchmark rate, the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to go down as well. This means we might not see mortgage rates fall substantially until the second half of 2024. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: Freddie Mac, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac's, Price, you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Chevron

☆ The Big Number: 2.7%
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Marie Solis | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

Reporting on the business news of the weekMarie Solis Reporting on the business news of the weekAmerican workers are getting more done. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, productivity increased 2.7 percent in 2023. Over the past two quarters, it has been growing at more than double the rate from 2005 to 2019. Here’s how it could affect the economy →

Persons: Marie Solis Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics

☆ Diners are getting annoyed at how expensive fast food has become — and the likes of McDonald's, Taco Bell, and Shake Shack seem to be listening
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Grace Dean | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

AdvertisementChains like McDonald's, Shake Shack, and Taco Bell say they're only planning small price increases in 2024 as inflation cools. But in the year to January 2024, prices at limited-service restaurants rose just 5.8%, per BLS data. Martin Jennings, a 51-year-old truck driver from Florida, told Business Insider that his family was being deterred by higher prices at fast-food chains. Customers are looking for app deals and choosing value menusCustomers are looking for ways to get cheaper meals at fast-food chains. Chipotle said it's eyeing a price increase in the mid-single digits, depending on consumer sentiment and actions taken by other fast-food chains.

Persons: —, Taco Bell, Martin Jennings, Ben Heyworth, Burger King, McDonald's, Ian Borden, Jennings, David Gibbs, Kempczinski, Gunther Plosch, Chipotle, it's, Katie Fogertey Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Shack, Taco, Brands Locations: Florida, Orlando, Burger, Taco Bell, California, America

Mortgage rates rose following the release of the latest Consumer Price Index data, and they remain elevated today. Though the Fed doesn't directly impact mortgage rates, investor expectations of Fed policy moves can push mortgage rates up or down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. Mortgage Rates for Buying a Home30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Up Closer to 7% (+0.24%)The current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.68%, up 24 points from where it was this time last week. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Back Above 6% (+0.31%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.05%, up 31 points from last week.

Persons: they've, we'll, you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Zillow, FHA Locations: reaccelerate, Chevron

☆ The racial wage gap starts as early as 16 for Black workers—and results in ‘a lifetime of consequences,’ says expert
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-15 | by ( Gili Malinsky | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The racial wage gap may be shrinking, but it's still got a ways to go. The median weekly earnings for full-time wage and salaried Black or African American 16-to-24-year-olds was $614. Though a smaller gap than the national one, that still works out to be about 82 cents to white workers' dollar. Children born in higher income and higher wealth families will have greater access to opportunities. Andre Perry Senior fellow at BrookingsThe resulting family wealth can hinder access to higher paying jobs as well.

Persons: it's, haven't, Andre Perry, Andre Perry Senior, Perry, Valerie Wilson Organizations: Nationwide, Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Brookings, Pew Research Center, BLS, Economic Policy Institute Locations: Brookings

Tuesday's CPI report suggests we may need to wait at least a few more months before we see rates start to fall. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. 30-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesThis week's average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.64%, according to Freddie Mac. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates inched down to 5.90% last week, according to Freddie Mac data.

Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, they've Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: Chevron

☆ Over 500,000 workers went on strike in 2023 — double from last year
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-15 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The report finds that, in 2023, there were 470 work stoppages — 466 of which were strikes. In total, around 539,000 workers were involved in work stoppages last year. And while most work stoppages involved workers in unions, around a fifth were actually helmed by nonunion workers — meaning they had less protection than their unionized counterparts. A common misperception around strike activity, he said, is that union leaders are pushing workers to go on strike when they don’t want to. “Unions are more willing to use the strike weapon after it being pretty quiet for quite a while,” Colvin said.

Persons: uptick, ” Alex Colvin, —, Colvin chalks, ”, Colvin, Shawn Fain, that's, ” Colvin, they're, Uber, “ Organizations: Service, UAW, Labor, School of Industrial and Labor Relations, Cornell University, Employment Relations School, University of Illinois, Business, Kaiser Permanente, Los Angeles, Cornell, SAG, of Labor Statistics, — Locations: Hollywood

The number of U.S. workers on strike more than doubled last year. But about half of 2023's total striking workers were on the picket line for more than a month, Thursday's report notes. And the amount of strikes and lockouts with a first contract demand more than doubled compared to 2022, the Labor Action Tracker found. According to Thursday's report, accommodation and food services saw more work stoppages than any other industry last year, accounting for 33.4% of the total strikes and lockouts. But the information industry had the highest number of striking workers and strike days — making up for 34.5% of all workers on strike and 83.8% of strike days.

Persons: Johnnie Kallas, “, ” Kallas, Alexander Colvin Organizations: — Auto, Labor, Cornell University, University of Illinois, Cornell University’s School of Industrial and Labor Relations, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics

A TV presenter gets ready for the daily reporting from the floor of the German share price index DAX at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, November 15, 2023. LONDON — European markets were set for a lower open Wednesday as investors assessed incoming corporate earnings and inflation prints in both the U.S. and the U.K. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 was predicted to open 15 points lower at 7,492 points, the DAX down 40 points to 16,833 points and France's CAC lower by 15 points to 7,605, according to IG data. Losses deepened after new figures showed U.S. inflation rose by more than expected in January, as stubbornly high shelter prices squeezed consumers. Wednesday will see reporting from several major European businesses, including ABN AMRO and Capgemini.

Persons: DAX Organizations: LONDON, U.S, U.K, CAC, of Labor Statistics, Dow, U.S . Federal, ABN AMRO, Capgemini Locations: Frankfurt, Germany

☆ Deflation: Here's where prices fell in January 2024, in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

These are the big deflationary factors"A lot of factors have come together to push goods prices down," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. In addition to normalizing supply-demand dynamics, a historically strong U.S. dollar relative to other global currencies has also helped rein in goods prices, Zandi said. Falling energy prices have also put downward pressure on goods prices, due to lower transportation and energy-intensive manufacturing costs, economists said. Lower energy prices also put downward pressure on the transportation of food to store shelves. Consumers get more for roughly the same amount of money, which shows up as a price decline in the CPI data.

Persons: RC Willey, George Frey, Jay Bryson, there's, Mark Zandi, Zandi, rebalancing, J.P, Hopper Organizations: RC, Bloomberg, Getty, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, Moody's, U.S . Federal, Services, Finance, Morgan's, Investment, Group, of Labor Statistics Locations: Draper , Utah, Wells Fargo, U.S, Salinas, California

☆ Wall Street learns an important lesson. Don’t fight the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

That sudden volatility highlights something that we often write about in Before the Bell: the major mismatch between policymaker and investor expectations for interest rate cuts this year. Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, have repeatedly said they envision at most three rate cuts in 2024. Wall Street, meanwhile, has ignored those warnings and has opted to practice unflinching optimism instead. It’s not the first time they’ve had to learn an important lesson: Don’t fight the Fed. Bad for the markets, good for the Fed: Markets clearly don’t often take kindly to higher-for-longer interest rates, which can negatively impact earnings and stock prices.

Persons: New York CNN —, Jerome Powell, Dow, It’s, they’ve, Don’t, –, ”, Quincy Krosby, Arnim Holzer, José Torres, Chris Zaccarelli, doesn’t, ” Carl Icahn, Carl Icahn, Icahn, Chris Isidore, JetBlue’s, Samantha Delouya, Lyft, Erin Brewer Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Treasury, LPL, Fed, Interactive Brokers, CPI, Independent, Alliance, JetBlue, Spirit Airlines, Analysts Locations: New York, December’s, “, ”

☆ Consumer prices rose 0.3% in January, more than expected, as the annual rate moved to 3.1%
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Inflation rose more than expected in January as stubbornly high shelter prices weighed on consumers, the Labor Department reported Tuesday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for a monthly increase of 0.2% and an annual gain of 2.9%. Shelter prices, which comprise about one-third of the CPI weighting, accounted for much of the increase. The index for that category rose 0.6% on the month, contributing more than two-thirds of the headline increase, the BLS said. Fed officials expect inflation to recede back to their 2% annual target in large part because they think shelter prices will decelerate through the year.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Labor Department, BLS, Energy, Stock, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve

☆ Dow tumbles more than 400 points on hot inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —Stocks tumbled on Tuesday after fresh data revealed that inflation eased somewhat but stayed stubborn in January. That comes after the Dow Jones Industrial Average on Monday notched a record high close, while the S&P 500 retreated from its record high. The Dow slid 490 points, or 1.3%, Tuesday morning after falling more than 500 points at its session lows. The Consumer Price Index revealed that prices rose by 3.1% for the 12 months ended in January, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data released Tuesday. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic told CNN in an exclusive interview published Monday that he doesn’t see the Fed cutting rates until the summer.

Persons: Stocks, Dow, ”, Greg Wilensky, Janus Henderson, Chris Zaccarelli, Raphael Bostic, Carl Icahn Organizations: New, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, of Labor Statistics, Traders, Federal Reserve, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Fed, Independent, Alliance, Atlanta Fed, CNN, JetBlue, Hasbro Locations: New York

☆ Bitcoin falls from $50,000 following hotter-than-expected inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

An image of bitcoin and U.S. currencies is displayed on a screen during the Interpol World Congress in Singapore on July 4, 2017. Cryptocurrencies fell Tuesday amid a broader market sell-off following a hotter-than-expected CPI reading. The day before, it punched through the $50,000 mark to its highest level in more than two years. "However, investors should expect longer term weakness if inflation continues to run hotter than expected, which tends to run counter to the dominant belief that bitcoin is an inflation hedge." He also said he believes bitcoin is not an inflation hedge but rather a gauge on liquidity within the financial system.

Persons: Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, Dow Jones, Nico Cordeiro, bitcoin Organizations: Interpol, Metrics, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Treasury, Reserve Locations: Singapore

☆ Inflation comes in hotter than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The consumer price index increased 3.1% year over year in January, higher than the forecast of 2.9%. The CPI rose 0.3% month over month in January. January’s year-over-year rise in the CPI was expected to be 2.9%, which would have been a massive slowdown from December’s 3.4%. CPI increased by 0.3% month over month in January. Additionally, New York Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations data shows the one-year ahead median expected inflation rate had largely been cooling but stayed at 3.0% in January.

Persons: That's, —, That’s, Mark Hamrick Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI, University of Michigan, Consumers, , New York Fed Survey, Consumer Locations: January’s, ,

☆ Here's the most troubling part for market bulls in the CPI report
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

What investors found most unsettling in the January consumer price index, which came in hotter than expected , is the core inflation reading. "The most troubling thing to me is that the core inflation rate in the last three months has shot up," said Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies. Economists polled by Dow Jones were anticipating a 0.2% monthly gain and a 2.9% annual increase. Economists were anticipating respective increases of 0.3% and 3.7%, according to Dow Jones consensus estimates. Stocks tumbled Tuesday following the report, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 500 points, or 1.3%.

Persons: Kumar, Dow Jones, Dow, Stocks Organizations: Sri, Kumar, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve

☆ Putin's big week means more uncertainty for the markets during a critical time
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Milly Struthers | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today’s big story, we’re looking at why the recent resurgence of Vladimir Putin and Russia comes at an inopportune time for the markets. The big storyPutin's big weekRebecca Zisser/Business InsiderVladimir Putin hasn't notched many personal wins since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, but last week was an exception. Putin’s successes further complicate a geopolitical situation that has silently loomed over a US economy trying to tiptoe past a recession.

Persons: —, florists, Vladimir Putin, Rebecca Zisser, Vladimir Putin hasn't, Tucker Carlson, he’s, Tom Porter, Carlson, Putin, Joe, Donald Trump, BI’s Brent D, Griffiths, Tom, GAVRIIL, Jamie Dimon, Ray Dalio, Jerome Powell, It’s, David Rosenberg, doesn’t, Alex Wong, Stocks, Savita Subramanian, Grammarly, Abanti Chowdhury, Zers, Temu, Sam Altman, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Jordan Parker Erb Organizations: Service, NATO, Sputnik, Kremlin, JPMorgan, Bridgewater Associates, Reserve, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Labor Statistics, Tech, Chiefs, 49ers, World, Ferrari, Business Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Russian, Moscow, China, Israel, Gaza, Washington ,, New York, London

☆ Biden calls on snack makers to stop 'shrinkflation' rip-offs. Here's how to spot downsized grocery store products
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-12 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The phenomenon called shrinkflation — where consumer products become smaller in quantity, size or weight while their prices stay the same or increase — is a "rip off," Biden said. "Some companies are trying to pull a fast one by shrinking the products little by little and hoping you won't notice," said Biden, who called for the companies to put a stop to the practice. These tactics tend to become more prevalent during times of high inflation, Dworsky said. "This corporate greed is one of the reasons that Americans are frustrated by expensive grocery bills," Casey said in a December statement. "I'm hoping with inflation subsiding a little bit that we'll see fewer examples, but it's never going to go away," Dworsky said.

Persons: Anna Bizon, Joe Biden, Biden, Edgar Dworsky, Dworsky, Sen, Bob Casey, Casey, it's, shrinkflation Organizations: Getty, Finance, shrinkflation, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: TikTok, Washington, shrinkflation

The 2-year Treasury yield nearly three basis points lower at 4.47%. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower Monday as investors looked ahead to key economic data and fresh comments from Federal Reserve officials that could provide hints about the interest rate outlook. January's consumer price index is due Tuesday, before the producer price index, retail sales figures and further data points which are slated for later in the week. Investors are hoping that the data will suggest that the Fed could begin cutting rates sooner rather than later. On Friday, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics revised December's consumer price index lower, saying it had risen by 0.2% that month.

Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Investors, Fed, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics

☆ 3 entertainment jobs that don't require artistic skill—one pays more than $130,000 a year
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-11 | by ( Gili Malinsky | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

In fact, the arts are packed with jobs that people might not know about, and many don't require any specific artistic talent. Here are three jobs in the arts that don't necessarily require an artistic flair, including their requirements and median annual salaries according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Arts organizations raise money to put on various events like galas and festivals and to provide resources for artists, like spaces to work and perform in. There are arts organizations based all over the country, especially ones focused on local performance. "I'm an arts fundraiser."

Persons: Oppenheimer, Bill Kramer, Adam Sharp, we're, Heather A, Hitchens, Kramer Organizations: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, Bureau of Labor Statistics, National Academy of Television Arts and Sciences, Sports, American Theatre Wing, Arts

☆ Government jobs are hot right now. You don't make as much, but people like the stability and benefits.
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-11 | by ( Ana Altchek | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Read previewBrandon Tamayo considered leaving his current job for a role in the private sector on his way to work one morning. "My friends in the private sector told me 'You could double your pay.'" AdvertisementHe could likely make six figures in the private sector — and he remains intrigued by the option. According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the median years of tenure for public sector jobs in 2022 was 6.8 years, about 2.7 years higher than private sector jobs. For Tamayo, this is the largest reason he stays in the public sector.

Persons: —, Brandon Tamayo, Tomayo, Tamayo, he's, Christine Cruzvergara, Cruzvergara, Raven Blanchard, she's, Blanchard, hasn't, Joe Biden, they've, they're, Symoné Berry, Alexxus Harris, Harris, it's Organizations: Service, Indiana State University, Business, Google, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, ISC, EAP Locations: Illinois, Virginia, Germany, Asia

☆ The Fed probably won’t cut rates in March. Here’s what that means for markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-11 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Investors now expect that the Fed will begin easing back rates in May or June, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Before the Bell: What does the Fed’s signal that it won’t cut rates in March mean for markets? I think what’s important for the markets themselves is the fact that the Fed has signaled they’re going to cut rates. So, they’re going to cut rates at some point this year, probably May or June is going to be the first cut that we get. There’s a lot of areas where your earnings … start to reaccelerate higher, and that’s a good thing.

Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Bell, Matt Orton, I’ve, We’re, it’s, Matt Egan, Read, Price Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Investors, Fed, Raymond James Investment Management, The Conference, Conference, Avis Budget Group, Hasbro, Cola, Molson Coors, The, Labor Statistics, Kraft, Heinz, The Commerce Department, National Association of Home Builders, University of Michigan Locations: New York, Wells Fargo

☆ ‘Fleeing under the cover of darkness’: How Idaho’s abortion ban is changing pregnancy in the state
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-10 | by ( Meg Tirrell | John Bonifield | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +12 min

Caldwell, Idaho CNN —Jen and John Adkins never expected to have to send a package like this. Idaho’s abortion laws meant they had to seek care across state lines after receiving devastating news about a much-wanted pregnancy. “As soon as that ultrasound technician put that wand on my stomach and I saw the baby on the screen, I knew something was wrong,” Jen told CNN. “I was sent home to grieve and mourn and call around to see if we could get an appointment out of state,” Jen said. The move, he said, was for personal reasons: “Boise is a wonderful place in general,” he told CNN via email.

Persons: Idaho CNN — Jen, John Adkins, Jen, John, Julie Lyons, who’s, “, ” Lyons, Jennifer, Jennifer Adkins, they’d, ” Jen, ‘, ’, Turner, ”, ’ ” Jen, Jennifer Adkins ‘, Roe, Wade, wasn’t, that’s, ” John, Jen Adkins, Barton Bishoff, ’ It’s, Lyons, Raul Labrador, Dr, Thomas Lee, Lee, …, he’d “, Sanjay Gupta Organizations: Idaho CNN, FedEx, CNN, Research, US, Walgreens, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Center for Reproductive Rights, Defense, CNN Health Locations: Caldwell, Idaho, Caldwell , Idaho, Boise, Portland , Oregon, Hailey, Sun Valley, Portland, St, Luke’s, Oregon

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