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Deutsche Bank is moving to the sidelines on shares of Netflix despite another solid quarter from the streaming giant. Analyst Bryan Kraft views the company as the "best story in media among the vertically integrated producers/programmers/distributors," but nevertheless downgraded Netflix to a hold rating. He said that its leadership position and good news look "fully priced" in to the stock already after its 65% runup in 2023. The downgrade from Deutsche Bank comes in the wake of another strong quarter from the dominant player in entertainment media . Netflix topped revenue estimates and added 13.1 million subscribers, easily topping the 8 million to 9 million additions expected by Wall Street analysts.
Persons: Bryan Kraft, Kraft, it's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Netflix, Wall Street, Kraft
CNBC Daily Open: A mixed picture on earnings
  + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on November 15, 2023 in New York City. Asia largely downAsia-Pacific markets mostly fell on Wednesday but Hong Kong's Hang Seng index jumped as much as 2.67%, powered by tech stocks. In her speech after the primary contest was called for Trump, Haley insisted she will stay in the race. It showed retail investors aren't completely sold on the new funds.
Persons: Wall, Haley, Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, bitcoin Organizations: CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow, Industrial, Netflix, Trump, South Carolina Gov, EV, Tesla, Deutsche Bank, Securities and Exchange Commission Locations: New York City, Asia, Pacific, New Hampshire, U.S, Europe
ET, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was down by around 3.7 basis points at 4.1050% and the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond slipped 3.7 basis points to 4.3418%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Wednesday morning as investors brace themselves for two key pieces of economic data in the second half of the week. Two significant pieces of economic data are on the slate this week: a preliminary fourth-quarter gross domestic product growth figure is due on Thursday, followed by the Commerce Department's closely watched personal consumption expenditures price index for December on Friday. Both data points will inform the Federal Reserve as it maps out when and by how much to begin cutting interest rates, which will be a key factor in determining the path of markets and the economy this year. Auctions will be held for $60 billion of 17-week Treasury bills, $61 billion of 5-year notes and $28 billion of 2-year FRNs (floating-rate notes).
Persons: Jim Reid, Bullard, Reid, that's Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Commerce, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank's, Global, Bank of Canada, European Central Bank, St Louis Fed, PMI
Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Citi reiterates Chipotle as buy Citi raised its price target on Chipotle to $2,699 per share from $2,292. "We are launching coverage of NKLA with an Outperform rating and a $2 price target." Polestar : On a Road to Nowhere - Initiating Coverage with a target price of $1.15, Underperform." Citi upgrades Sunoco to buy from neutral Citi said the oil and gas company is "compelling." Citi reiterates Microsoft as buy Citi raised its price target on the stock to $470 per share from $432 and said "ramping GenAI should keep growth accelerating."
Persons: Chipotle, Daiwa, Wells, Morgan Stanley, it's, Baird, Nikola, Bernstein, Biogen, Webster, Redburn, Tesla, Apple, Morgan Stanley downgrades PagerDuty, Gordon Haskett downgrades Uber, Gordon Haskett, Oppenheimer, PulteGroup, Wolfe Organizations: Citi, Verizon, Netflix, Amazon, EV, Devices, AMD, UBS, Apple, Uber, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Barclays downgrades, Barclays, Microsoft, BMO, HSBC, Stellantis, Entertainment, Nvidia, Wolfe Alpha, Valero, Phillips Locations: H1'24, Nowhere, China
There’s plenty for investors to celebrate right now, but a look under the hood reveals quite a bit of decay. But it’s largely Big Tech that’s driving markets higher, and that concentration of gains in so few stocks carries inherent risk. But investors are adjusting expectations: Investors eventually get used to strong data, and come to expect it. “It’s hard for data to keep surprising in the same direction, since investors simply adjust their expectations,” said Allen. Just one month ago, more than 75% of investors thought the central bank would cut rates at their March meeting.
Persons: Bell, Debbie Downer, Wall, Dow, Germany’s DAX, Henry Allen, , Allen, Christopher Waller, That’s, Bill Gates, Larry Fink, Chris Isidore, “ I’m, Scott Kirby, they’ve, ” Kirby, Boeing Max, Max, Kirby, “ We’re, Samantha Delouya, Amy Reinhard, Netflix’s, , we’ve Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Nvidia, Microsoft, Investment, Deutsche Bank, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, University of, National Association of Business Economics, University of Michigan, Fed, ” Financial, BlackRock, Boeing United Airlines, Boeing, United, CNBC, Alaska Airlines, Federal Aviation Administration, United Airlines, Refinitiv, Max, FAA, Netflix Locations: New York, Europe
Here’s what analysts are expecting from Tesla earnings
  + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Analysts are largely cautious on Tesla — and the broader autos industry — ahead of the electric vehicle company's earnings on Wednesday. TSLA 1Y mountain Tesla shares over the past year. "There is continually growing evidence that the global EV market is in an unfavorable balance of supply (growing) vs. demand (slowing)." The analyst rates Tesla stock a buy with a $260 price target. Higher units likely require more price cuts," analyst Joseph Spak forecasted about Tesla's earnings in a Jan. 15 note.
Persons: Tesla, outsized, John Murphy, Murphy, Wells, Colin Langan, Langan, Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Emmanuel Rosner, Rosner, Joseph Spak Organizations: Tesla, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank Deutsche Bank Research, UBS UBS, UBS Locations: China, Tuesday's, Downside, Wells Fargo, Europe
Crypto skeptics aren't changing their tune just because they can now buy bitcoin exposure through an exchange traded fund, according to a Deutsche Bank survey. Since the launch of the ETFs on Jan. 11, bitcoin has fallen about 20% to roughly $39,000, according to FactSet. So far, institutions have been slow to adopt the new funds in portfolios and retail investors aren't entirely convinced they need to, London-based Deutsche Bank analyst Marion Laboure said in a note Tuesday. Looking at bitcoin specifically, Deutsche said 39% of survey participants think it will stick around in the coming years, while 42% anticipate it will disappear. "The crypto world is gradually moving towards greater institutionalization as traditional financial players (tradFi) enter the market," Laboure said.
Persons: bitcoin, Marion Laboure, Deutsche, Laboure, Michael Bloom Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Securities and Exchange Commission, Binance, SEC Locations: London, U.S, Europe, FTX
There could still be further gains ahead for tech stocks, even as the sector boosted the S & P 500 to a new record-high closing last Friday. After kicking off the new year with a lukewarm start, the technology sector turned the ship around, largely driven by the ongoing artificial intelligence frenzy . Despite these gains, broader analyst consensus indicates that there are still tech stocks poised to go higher from here. Likewise, analysts on average think design software company Synopsys could rally another 18%. Last week, the company announced it would acquire engineering simulation software company Ansys in an approximately $35 billion deal .
Persons: Brad Zelnick, John Vinh, Trimble, , Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC Pro, Oracle, Deutsche Bank, Semiconductor, KeyBanc Capital Locations: Oracle's
The long wait between S & P 500 all-time highs is a friendly factor for forward performance, as far as historical observations go. John Kolovos of Macro Risk Advisors says, "It is OK to be bullish on the stock market (S & P 500) just not the market of stocks (everything else)," from a trend-following perspective. Barry Knapp of Ironsides Macroeconomics calculates that the equal-weight S & P is one standard deviation cheap versus the market-cap-weighted index. Remarkably, the S & P 500 first pushed above 19-times forward earnings exactly four years ago, right before the Covid crash. Well, the S & P 500 has delivered an annualized total return near 11% in the four years since.
Persons: Ned Davis, Wayne Whaley, Whaley, I've, haven't, John Kolovos, Barry Knapp, Knapp, USTs, it's, hasn't Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Foresight, Federal, noncommittal, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Deutsche Bank
Alaska and Hawaiian Airlines planes takeoff at the same time from San Francisco International Airport (SFO) in San Francisco, California, United States on June 21, 2023. President Joe Biden's Justice Department has successfully had two airline link-ups halted in court in recent months. That doesn't necessarily spell doom for Alaska Air's plan to buy Hawaiian Airlines . The decision immediately sparked questions of whether an Alaska-Hawaiian combination would suffer a similar fate in an antitrust lawsuit. The Justice Department didn't immediately respond to a request for comment about whether it plans to challenge Alaska and Hawaiian's proposed deal.
Persons: Joe Biden's, William Young, Michael Linenberg, Department didn't, Hawaiian's, Herbert Hovenkamp Organizations: Hawaiian Airlines, San Francisco International Airport, Department, Hawaiian Airlines . U.S, Justice Department, JetBlue Airways, Spirit Airlines, Deutsche Bank, JetBlue, University of Pennsylvania's Carey Law School, Spirit Locations: Alaska, San Francisco , California, United States, Hawaiian Airlines ., Hawaii
Technology stocks had a banner year in 2023, but Deutsche Bank thinks there could be even more upside ahead. Although these gains may seem hard to match, Deutsche Bank analyst Brad Zelnick and his team expect software stocks to outperform in the new year. In particular, the analyst listed buy-rated Salesforce and Oracle as his two top picks for 2024. Oracle stock has climbed 3.1% in 2024 , and shares popped 29% last year. ORCL YTD mountain ORCL YTD chart "We see the multiple recovering and the stock steadily making its way out of the penalty box in 2024," the analyst wrote.
Persons: Brad Zelnick, Zelnick, prem Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Software, Oracle Locations: Thursday's
Goldman Sachs upgrades Fiverr to buy from neutral Goldman said the Israeli online marketplace is well positioned for AI. Bank of America reiterates Amazon as buy Bank of America said it's standing by its buy rating on Amazon shares. Bank of America downgrades Celsius to neutral from buy Bank of America says it sees "uncertainty to sales momentum" for the energy drink company. Deutsche Bank names Starbucks a top pick Deutsche says it sees an improved same-store sales environment for Starbucks in 2024. Bank of America upgrades Teekay Tankers to buy from neutral Bank of America upgraded the tanker stock due to "rising rate upside."
Persons: Stifel, McKhann, thoughtfully, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, FVRR, Raymond James, TXN, Oppenheimer, Morgan Stanley, ASML, Citi downgrades Blackstone, Carlyle, it's bullish, headwinds, Evercore, Price, Apple Evercore, Janney, Jefferies, Hertz Organizations: Broadcom, Semiconductor, Enterprise, Nvidia, Bank of America, Amazon, North, Holdings, Netflix, Deutsche Bank, Starbucks, Deutsche, SSS, UBS, Texas, Barclays, Nokia, Ericsson, Citi downgrades, Citi, BMO, Marvel, " Bank of America, United Rentals, of America, IBM, Enterprise IT, Apple, Shoals Technologies, Inc, HSBC, Discover, Motorola Solutions, HERTZ Locations: North America, 4Q, 2026E, CY24
Stock buybacks struggled to recover last year after taking a hit in 2022, even as corporate earnings began to rebound. Investors view buybacks as an indication that a company’s leadership believes its own shares are undervalued and are confident about its future performance. Buybacks also tend to push up share prices due to the added demand. ONEOK, a natural gas company, on Wednesday unveiled a $2 billion share repurchase program. The week’s total for initial claims landed far below economists’ projections for 205,000 initial claims, according to FactSet estimates.
Persons: Stock buybacks, Buybacks, buybacks, , , Howard Silverblatt, Dow, Sundar Pichai, Brian Fung, Pichai, ” Pichai, Read, , Alicia Wallace Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Deutsche Bank, Wednesday, Deutsche, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Dow Jones, Google, CNN, of Labor Locations: New York, Lennar, buybacks
The dollar is 'between two forces,' Deutsche Bank says
  + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe dollar is 'between two forces,' Deutsche Bank saysStefanie Holtze-Jen, Deutsche Bank Private Bank's chief investment officer for Asia-Pacific, discusses how interest rate cuts from the U.S. Federal Reserve and the "two hot wars" might affect the currency.
Persons: Stefanie Holtze, Jen Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Deutsche Bank Private, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: Asia, Pacific
The S & P 500 just notched a record high to declare its bull market status, but according to one money manager who helps oversee more than $1 trillion, there are a few names investors could focus on for the next leg of the cycle. "We're concerned about U.S. consumers, who are burdened by record levels of credit card debt at elevated interest rates." .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 The S & P 500 , which hit an all-time intraday peak on Friday, roared back at the end of 2023, notching a 24% gain for the year. Infrastructure stocks Malik believes that global infrastructure companies benefit from inelastic demand for the necessary services they provide, and are thus insulated from most recession risks. "Both dividend growth and global infrastructure stocks have historically weathered down markets relatively well," Malik said.
Persons: Saira Malik, Malik, that's, Linde Organizations: Investors, Fed, CNBC Pro, Motorola Solutions, Deutsche Bank, Motorola, CMS Energy Locations: Jackson, Michigan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Deutsche Bank CEO Christian SewingTalking to CNBC in Davos, Switzerland, Deutsche Bank CEO Christian Sewing discusses M&A rumors, the banking industry more broadly and the outlook for interest rates.
Organizations: Deutsche Bank CEO, CNBC, Deutsche Bank CEO Christian Locations: Davos, Switzerland
Christian Sewing, Chief Executive Officer of Deutsche Bank, has acknowledged that a recession in Germany is inevitable, and urged leaders to accelerate its decoupling from China. Denis Balibouse | ReutersDeutsche Bank CEO Christian Sewing on Thursday said that merger and acquisition activity is not a priority for his group, as speculation resurfaces over the future of domestic rival Commerzbank . The state still has a 15% stake in Commerzbank, but Reuters reported earlier this week that Finance Minister Christian Lindner is open to disposing of it. The merger of Germany's two biggest banks would create a combined entity with around $2 trillion in assets, although Deutsche Bank's low valuation could complicate any such move. The bank trades at around 12 euros per share, a fraction of its book value, and a significant portion of assets would need to be marked down.
Persons: Denis Balibouse, Christian Lindner Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Reuters Deutsche Bank CEO, Commerzbank, Reuters, Deutsche, CNBC, Economic Locations: Germany, China, Commerzbank, Davos, Switzerland, Europe
Bank of America upgrades Apple to buy from neutral Bank of America said AI and Vision Pro should drive upside for Apple. Bank of America reiterates Microsoft as buy Bank of America raised its price target on Microsoft to $450 per share from $430. Guggenheim reiterates Target as buy Guggenheim said Target is well positioned in 2024. Bank of America names Harley Davidson a top pick Bank of America said the motorcycle company is well positioned for 2024. " Bank of America reiterates ServiceNow as a top pick Bank of America said the stock remains a top idea for 2024.
Persons: KBW downgrades Charles Schwab, KBW, Mizuho, Robinhood, ., DA Davidson, Baird, Rivian, Wolfe, it's, Wells, it's bullish, Bernstein, Guggenheim, Piper Sandler, Tempur Sealy, TPX, CFRA, Harley Davidson, Oppenheimer, Morgan Stanley, Hertz, ServiceNow, Argus, Salesforce, Mike Blake Organizations: UBS, Netflix, Bank of America, Apple, of America, Nvidia, Semiconductors, Barclays, Red Rock Resorts, Vegas Locals, Microsoft, Guggenheim, Citi, JetBlue, Spirit, Costco, Piper, Palo Alto Networks, Paramount, Nasdaq, Hertz, Blackrock, Amazon, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, JPMorgan Locations: repurchases, Palo, Palo Alto, Southeast China, 1H24, Los Angeles
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDeutsche Bank's Sewing: Diversification of business will help overcome normalization challengesChristian Sewing, CEO at Deutsche Bank, discusses his outlook for M&A in the banking sector, and explains the bank's global strategy.
Organizations: Deutsche Bank
A sale to JetBlue represented a lifeline for Spirit, which faces $1.1 billion in debt maturing next year. But a federal judge in Boston scuttled that plan by ruling Tuesday that JetBlue’s $3.8 billion proposal to buy Spirit violates antitrust law. But Frontier has its own challenges and is in no position to renew merger discussions with Spirit now, Baker said. Like Spirit, JetBlue has not had a profitable year since 2019, before the pandemic. Investors are also trying to gauge what the ruling against the JetBlue-Spirit deal means for Alaska Airlines' pending proposal to buy Hawaiian Airlines.
Persons: Airlines hasn’t, haven’t, William Young's, , Helane Becker, Cowen, , Jamie Baker wasn’t, ” Baker, Baker, Judge Young, Young, Robin Hayes –, Biden, hasn't, Michael Linenberg Organizations: Airlines, JetBlue, Justice Department, Bank of America, Pratt & Whitney, Airbus, Frontier Airlines, , Investors, Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, Deutsche Bank, Spirit, American Airlines Locations: Boston, Miramar , Florida, Alaska
Wall Street's outlook on Fed rate cuts is setting the stage for a "lose-lose situation," says Deutsche Bank macroeconomic strategist Henry Allen. Indeed, the last four times we've seen rate cuts that fast, it's been because of the most recent four U.S. recessions," he wrote. To be sure, rapid rate cuts without a preceding recession isn't an impossible scenario, but that doesn't mean it's likely either, Allen noted. Paul Volcker's chairmanship of the Fed in the 1980s, for example, saw steep rate cuts, although that followed a period of extremely restrictive monetary policy. "[It's] hard to see how both rate markets and risk markets can both continue to thrive as they have recently," Stanley said.
Persons: Henry Allen, Allen, Paul Volcker's, Allen isn't, Stephen Stanley, Stanley, Stocks, Deutsche Bank's Allen Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Markets, Federal, Traders, Santander U.S, Deutsche Locations: U.S, Vietnam
Deutsche Bank is remaining bullish on aerial mobility company Archer Aviation in 2024. Joby Aviation is developing a similar electric flying vehicle that will also operate as an air taxi vehicle. The stock has been volatile since Deutsche first called it a top pick in November , which maintained the same $12 per share price target. ACHR mountain 2023-11-01 Archer Aviation stock since November. Roughly 39 million shares of Archer stock are being sold short, according to data from FactSet, or more than 21% of the floating shares.
Persons: Archer, Edison Yu, Yu, Archer's, Joby Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Archer Aviation, NASDAQ, Joby Aviation, Federal Aviation Administration, U.S . Air Force, Deutsche Locations: Archer
Spirit Airlines , JetBlue Airways — The airline stocks slid after a federal judge blocked JetBlue Airways' proposed $3.8 billion acquisition of Spirit Airlines. JetBlue shares fell nearly 1%, while Spirit Airlines dropped more than 20%. SolarEdge Technologies — The solar stock fell 5% following a downgrade by Barclays to underweight from equal weight. Twist Bioscience — Shares climbed 3.2% on the heels of an upgrade to buy from neutral at Goldman Sachs. Ford — Shares shed 2.3% on the back of a UBS downgrade to neutral from buy.
Persons: Sinclair —, Sinclair, Goldman Sachs, Davidson, William Blair, Nutanix, Wolfe, Uber, Tesla, Morgan Stanley —, Ted Pick, Visteon, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, , Sarah Min, Yun Li, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox Organizations: Spirit Airlines, JetBlue Airways —, JetBlue Airways, Bank of America Securities, Susquehanna Financial, JetBlue, LSEG, Diamond Sports Group, Diamond, Technologies, Barclays, Goldman, , Broadcom, VMware, Deutsche Bank, Ford —, UBS, JPMorgan, Polaris, Mattel Locations: Rivian, China
Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Citi reiterates Apple as buy Citi said it's standing by its top pick status on Apple shares. UBS downgrades Ford to neutral from buy UBS said it sees limited upside to estimates. TD Cowen downgrades Fisker to market perform from outperform TD said it sees too many growing pains for Fisker. KeyBanc initiates Rocket Lab as overweight Key said it sees upside for the rocket satellite company. "We initiate coverage on Rocket Lab USA (NASDAQ: RKLB) with an Overweight rating and $8 price target, reflecting ~50% upside."
Persons: Jefferies, Tesla, Elon, Ford, TD Cowen downgrades Fisker, JPMorgan downgrades Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley, it's, Christine Barone, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Davidson downgrades Teladoc, Key, Evercore, Wolfe, Piper Sandler, TGT, BURL, SolarEdge, Mizuho, William Blair, it's bullish Organizations: Citi, Apple, Huawei, UBS, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Bros, Rocket Lab, Lithia, Dealers, Susquehanna, JetBlue Spirit, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, EV, CART, Target, Barclays, Boeing, Airbus, Mizuho, Amazon, " Bank of America, Netflix Locations: China, 2Q24, 3Q24, Burlington
Following the ruling, Bank of America downgraded Spirit to an underperform rating, while Susquehanna downgraded the airline to negative. Rivian — The electric vehicle manufacturer slid nearly 8% following a downgrade to a hold rating from Deutsche Bank. Polaris , Mattel — The stocks moved following rating changes from Morgan Stanley. Meanwhile, toymaker Mattel slid 2.8% after Morgan Stanley downgraded shares to equal weight, citing lofty consensus estimates and a tough 2024 outlook. Marathon Digital — The crypto mining firm slid 3% during Wednesday's trading session.
Persons: JetBlue's, Sinclair —, Sinclair, SolarEdge — SolarEdge, Teladoc, Davidson, Nutanix, William Blair, Uber, Ford, Morgan Stanley —, Ted Pick, Morgan Stanley, TD Cowen, Gregory Lewis, , Alex Harring, Yun Li, Pia Singh, Samantha Subin Organizations: Spirit Airlines, JetBlue Airways —, Bank of America, Susquehanna, Interactive, LSEG, Diamond Sports Group, Diamond, Barclays, Broadcom, VMware, Wolfe Research, Deutsche Bank, UBS, JPMorgan, Polaris, Mattel, Automotive, Boeing, Federal Aviation Administration, BTIG, Marathon Digital Locations: Europe, China
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