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☆ 10-year Treasury yield falls as investors look to key data in week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over three basis points to 4.2077%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last less than one basis point lower to 4.5043%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Monday as investors awaited key economic data slated for the week and markets considered the latest U.S. political developments. Investors looked ahead to key data due this week that is set to provide fresh hints about the state of the economy and could inform the Federal Reserve's decision-making when it comes to monetary policy. According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders were last pricing in an around 96% chance of a September rate cut.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, White, Democratic

Understanding the Federal Reserve's role in mortgage ratesThe Federal Reserve's actions are a big influencer in where mortgage rates head. In the time since the Fed began raising rates, mortgage rates have climbed steadily. The Fed's impact on mortgage rates FAQsHow does the Federal Reserve affect mortgage rates? The Federal Reserve influences mortgage rates by setting the federal funds rate, which impacts borrowing costs, investor activity, and market conditions. When the Fed raises interest rates, mortgage rates often increase as well, making borrowing more expensive.

Persons: Michael Gifford, Fannie Mae's Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, it's, Mortgage Bankers Association, Reserve, Chevron Locations: lockstep

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Biden drops out, endorses Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on June 01, 2023 in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Get the CNBC Daily Open report in your inbox every morning and keep up to date with the markets wherever you are. Big Tech faces the challenge of rekindling Wall Street's enthusiasm after a $900 billion tech rout.

Persons: Sebastian Raedler, haven't, Stephanie Pope, Max, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Elon Musk, Dan Ives, Lina Khan, Khan, Ives, CrowdStrike, Fred Imbert, —, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Kevin Williams, Leslie Josephs, Josie Rozzelle, Kevin Breuninger, Dan Mangan, Zev Fima, Spencer Kimball, Lim Hui Jie Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Bank of America, Boeing, Farnborough, Trump, Microsoft, Securities, Big Tech, Google, Apple Locations: New York City, London, New York, New Delhi, Washington

Mortgage rates have steadily been decreasing for several months now. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of factors, including economic trends, Fed policy, investor demand, and more. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowToday's refinance ratesMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. This is a significant slowdown compared when it peaked at 9.1% in 2022, which means mortgage rates should start trending down soon. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: they've, Freddie Mac, you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Chevron

Like other consumer rates, mortgage rates are impacted in large part by what's going on in the economy. This allowed mortgage rates to drop as low as they did, with 30-year mortgage rates reaching an all-time low of 2.65% in January 2021, according to Freddie Mac. Because mortgage rates are still so high, some hopeful homebuyers have decided to wait for lower rates to start shopping for homes. Mortgage rates in 2024: FAQsWill mortgage rates go down in 2024? All consumer interest rates, including mortgage rates, should start to ease as soon as inflation slows further.

Persons: Homebuyers, homebuyers, what's, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Lawrence Yun, that's Organizations: Fed, Bureau of Labor Statistics, NAR, National Association of Realtors, CNBC, Federal Housing Finance Agency, Veterans United, Loans, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Association Locations: Chevron

☆ How Biden's unpopular economic record could be a challenge for Kamala Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

As the frontrunner for the Democratic party's nomination, Kamala Harris will have to run, for better or worse, on President Joe Biden's economic record. It will be just one challenge Harris will have to overcome to defeat her Republican opponent, former President Donald Trump . Despite historically low unemployment and macro growth that has defied long-held expectations for recession, the economy is Biden's soft spot. "I don't see a lot of daylight between her views on economic policy and those of the administration," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics , a Democrat who has advised administrations of both parties. Possible change at the Fed One area of difference between Biden and Harris could be a crucial one — the Federal Reserve.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden's, Biden, Harris, Donald Trump, She's, Greg Valliere, she's, There's, Mark Zandi, Zandi, nonfarm, Joseph LaVorgna, Biden's, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, reappoint Powell Organizations: Democratic, Biden, Republican, AGF Investments, Reuters, Moody's, Democrat, Economic Council, Nikko Securities, Federal Reserve, Senate, Beacon, Advisors Locations: California

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Biden drops out
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Starbucks stake Activist investor Elliott Management has taken a substantial stake in Starbucks and is engaging with management to boost the company's share price, according to the Wall Street Journal. Get the CNBC Daily Open report in your inbox every morning and keep up to date with the markets wherever you are. Big Tech faces the challenge of rekindling Wall Street's enthusiasm after a $900 billion tech rout.

Persons: haven't, Stephanie Pope, Max, Elliott Management, Laxman Narasimhan, Howard Schultz, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Elon Musk, Dan Ives, Lina Khan, Khan, Ives, CrowdStrike, Fred Imbert, —, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Kevin Williams, Leslie Josephs, Josie Rozzelle, Kevin Breuninger, Dan Mangan, Zev Fima, Spencer Kimball, Rohan Goswami Organizations: CNBC, Dow, Boeing, Farnborough, Wall Street, Starbucks, Trump, Microsoft, Securities, Big Tech, Google, Apple Locations: London, New York, New Delhi, Washington

☆ S&P 500 futures are little changed as investors await key earnings reports: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

S&P 500 futures are near flat Monday night, with traders readying for earnings reports from major companies after the benchmark posted its best day in more than a month. Futures tied to the broad index sat near their flatline, as did Nasdaq 100 futures . The S&P 500 rose more than 1% for its best session since early June, while the Dow ticked higher by 0.3%. The S&P 500 was led higher by the information technology and communication services sectors, which gained roughly 2% and 1.2%, respectively. "If we get that bullish inflation report, I think you could see another leg higher in small caps and the banks."

Persons: Russell, Larry Tentarelli, Tentarelli, Mattel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Blue, Motors, Comcast, UPS, Technology, CNBC

Though many Americans believe the housing market is at risk of crashing, the economists who study housing market conditions overwhelmingly do not expect a crash in 2024 or beyond. How low demand can cause a housing market crashA sudden drop in homebuying demand can lead to a housing market crash. What a housing market crash would mean for homebuyersAnything is possible, and nobody has a crystal ball to see for certain what will happen in the housing market in the coming months and years. Preparing for a potential housing market crashRight now, you probably don't need to be preparing for the housing market to crash. Housing market crash FAQsWhat are the key signs of an impending housing market crash?

Persons: homebuyers, Fannie Mae's, Lawrence Yun, Yun, isn't Organizations: Housing Survey, National Association of Realtors, Housing Locations: exurbs, Chevron

☆ Inflation, jobs and labor: The economy a new Democratic nominee will face
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Eva Rothenberg | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The US economy added 206,000 jobs in June, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported July 5, a small dip from May’s tally of 215,000 jobs. Inflation rates are nowhere near the pandemic-era peak reached in June 2022, when US inflation hit 9.1%, its highest annual rate in more than 40 years. As of last month, annual inflation was 3%, down from 3.3% in May, according to the Consumer Price Index. But the legislation comes as some manufacturing jobs have also been cut due to outsourcing. Manufacturing jobs across the country have plateaued at 13 million employees after recovering from a sharp pandemic-related downswing in 2020, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Persons: Joe Biden, ”, Biden, Jobs, aren’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, Democratic, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Fed, Consumer, Index, “ Companies, White House, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: New York, America, United States, China, Arizona , Colorado , New Mexico , Oregon, Texas

As long as inflation continues to slow, mortgage rates should tick down further throughout the remainder of 2024. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Barely Tick Up (+0.02%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 5.68%, just two basis points higher than last week. Mortgage Refinance Rates30-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Fall (-0.37%)The average 30-year refinance rate is 7.08%, 37 basis points down from last week. Mortgage rates also rose dramatically in 2023, though they started trending back down toward the end of the year.

Persons: you'll, It's, refinance, they've Organizations: Federal, Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron

Mortgage rates have been trending down this month, and they could fall further throughout the remainder of 2024. This should remove some of the upward pressure off of mortgage rates and allow them to decrease. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates fell to 6.05% last week, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates increased dramatically over the last two years, but they're expected to go down at some point this year.

Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Federal, Zillow, Federal Reserve Locations: Chevron

☆ Alphabet earnings and 3 more things we're watching in the stock market next week
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-20 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +12 min

But in general, this is the kind of development we've hoped to see ever since Starbucks' massive earnings miss April 30. We'll take the nearly 7% pop in shares Friday and hope it's only the beginning of recovery for the beaten-up stock. Fed's fave inflation measure : The personal spending and income report will be the most closely watched economic report next week. Earnings : As the second-quarter earnings season picks up pace, we'll hear from five Club holdings next week including Google parent Alphabet . Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Russell, Donald Trump, — Trump, Jim Cramer, Trump, Donald Trump's, Taiwan's TSMC, Joe Biden's, Biden, Biden's, he's, Elliott, we've, We'll, it's, we'll, Sartorius, Ford, Jim Farley, We're, Honeywell management's, —, Zions, BOK, Brown, BRO, Lockheed Martin, Philip Morris, Clark, Lamb, Edwards Lifesciences, DOV, Dr Pepper, CARR, Baker Hughes, Booz Allen Hamilton, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow, Republican National Convention, GOP, Bloomberg Businessweek, Trump, Elliott Management, Starbucks, Street Journal, Technology, General Motors, Honeywell, Dover, Products Company, Verizon, Truist, SAP, Semiconductors, Crown Holdings, Cadence Design Systems, Medpace Holdings, AGNC Investment, Logitech International S.A, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust, Berkley Corp, Spotify Technology S.A, United Parcel Service, GE Aerospace, GE, Cola Company, Lockheed, Comcast, Polaris Industries, Philip Morris International, Company, HCA Healthcare, Moody's Corporation, Enphase Energy, Texas Instruments Incorporated, Chubb Corporation, Seagate Technology plc, Maine, Packaging Corporation of America, Weatherford International plc, Canadian National Railway Company, FTAI Aviation Ltd, Mattel, Vertiv Holdings Co, Lamb Weston Holdings, NextEra Energy, Tenet Healthcare, Fisher, GE Vernova, Boston Scientific Corporation, General Dynamics, Lennox International, Software Technologies, CME Group, Fortive Corporation, Co, Roper Technologies, Teck Resources Limited, Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Economico Mexicano S.A, Dominion Freight, Otis Worldwide Corporation, OTIS, Ford Motor Company, Grill, Business Machines, IBM, Viking Therapeutics, Las Vegas Sands Corp, Newmont, Whirlpool, Globe, WM, O'Reilly Automotive, Annaly Capital Management, Honeywell International, American Airlines Group, Hasbro, Southwest Airlines Co, New York Community Bancorp, RTX Corporation, AstraZeneca, Carrier Global Corporation, Integer Holdings Corporation, Valero Energy, Texas, Juniper Networks, Boston Beer Company, Physicians Realty Trust, Allison Transmission Holdings, Corp, Columbia Banking, Digital Realty Trust, Edison International, Myers Squibb, Charter Communications, 3M Company, Booz, Centene Corporation, AON, Barnes, Colgate, Palmolive, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, U.S Locations: U.S, Taiwan, FactSet, China, Dover, Cleveland, Alexandria, ZION, W.R, Freeport, Kimberly, Cal, Teck, Las, ORLY, New, Banc, Bristol, Milwaukee , Wisconsin

☆ Earnings plus key reports on economic growth and inflation put the consumer in focus next week
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The consumer will be in focus next week as investors head into the thick of earnings season and await some major macroeconomic reports. So far, just 14% of S & P 500 companies have reported earnings results. As one strategist noted, Wall Street is about to get insight into the economy from more than half the broad market index. The thick of earnings Earnings season is off to a strong start. Credit card company Visa will be reporting next week after American Express' results this week suggested inflationary pressures have reached the higher-end consumer.

Persons: Russell, We're, Terry Sandven, Sherwin, Williams, Charles Ashley, Read, Ashley, We've, It's, Lockheed Martin, Kimberly, Clark, General, Philip Morris, Lamb Weston, Northrop, Rowe Price Organizations: Federal, Nvidia, U.S, Bank Asset Management, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Whirlpool, Catalyst Funds, Visa, American Express, Google, Commerce, FactSet, Fed, Chicago, Verizon, Richmond Fed, Enphase Energy, Capital, Texas, Williams, Comcast, General Motors, United Parcel Service, Philip Morris International, GE Aerospace, PMI, O'Reilly, Grill, Business Machines, Vegas Sands, Ford Motor, Technology, NextEra Energy, GE, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, American Airlines, CBRE, Valero Energy, Hasbro, Tractor Supply, Northrop Grumman, Southwest Airlines, Honeywell International, Norfolk Southern, Rowe Price Group, Myers Squibb, Colgate, Palmolive Locations: —, Freeport, McMoRan, Vegas, . Kansas, Michigan, Bristol

☆ Why these 8 things have gotten much more expensive even as inflation cools
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The consumer price index rose 3% year-over-year — it hasn't been below 3% since March 2021. However, eight expense categories had price increases of more than 10% over the last year. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In June, the consumer price index rose 3% year-over-year, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics — it hasn't been below 3% since March 2021. The expense categories with the biggest year-over-year price declines included smartphones, used cars, and apples — each fell by over 10%.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, of Labor Statistics, Business

Much of the week was dominated by the market rotation out of 2024 technology winners into small caps and value stocks. Sector scoreboard: Energy, financials, and real estate were the three big S & P 500 sector winners during the uneven week. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, advancers, Donald Trump, Bill Newlands, we've, it's, We've, Newlands, there's, Trump, Danaher, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Michael M Organizations: CNBC, ., Nasdaq, Dow Jones, New York Stock Exchange, Trump, Communication, Constellation Brands, Corona, Modelo, Republican, Constellation, Ford, Honeywell International, Dover, Fed, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, Santiago, Getty Locations: Real, China, Chipotle, U.S

☆ Treasury yields rise as investors weigh rate outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over one basis point to 4.2000%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last less than one basis point higher to 4.4706%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Friday as investors considered the path ahead for interest rates after the latest comments from Federal Reserve officials. Investors digested remarks from Fed policymakers made throughout the week as they weighed the potential path ahead for interest rates. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell also this week said that rate cuts would begin before inflation reaches the 2% target.

Persons: Mary Daly, we're, Daly, Christopher Waller, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, Fed

☆ The Trump trade: how a red wave could impact stocks, bonds, and commodities
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Read previewAs we near the November elections, investors are increasingly focused on what a Donald Trump win would mean for global markets and economies. The charts below show how stock sectors moved in the 24 hours after the debate and how a Trump administration might impact sectors with varying regulatory burdens. If Trump wins, investors will need to cut through the noise and at least understand how he might impact different parts of the economy. Where monetary policy is concerned, leading economist Christophe Barraud believes a Trump administration could pressure the Federal Reserve to be very accommodative on rates, in other words, steeper or sooner cuts. It expects a Trump Administration to allow LNG export permits after the Biden Administration attempted to halt them.

Persons: —, Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Joe Biden, Trump, Solita, Samantha Lamas, Goldman, Goldman's Jan Hatzius, Christophe Barraud, Bloomberg Businessweek Trump, Morgan Stanely, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Service, Trump, Business, Trump Media, Technology, UBS, Americas Global Wealth Management, Morningstar, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg Businessweek, Korea, Asia Pacific's, Republican, Trump Administration, Biden Locations: Predictit, Mexico, Canada, China, Japan, Germany, Asia, Goldman Sachs, Washington

☆ Will the rally in small-cap stocks last? Investors share their take — and their picks
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Investors are flocking to small-cap stocks right now, driving this segment of the market to new highs this week. He also noted that the Russell 2000 is outperforming the S & P 500 by the widest margin since November 2021. But according to him, one group of small-cap stocks could do well if rates were to stay higher for longer: regional banks. However, Turnquist cautioned that small-cap growth stocks would find the outlook tougher than small-cap value stocks, as they are more sensitive to economic health. How to play small-caps Investors who have been making a play for small-caps include billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller , who revealed a big bullish position in small-cap stocks last quarter.

Persons: Russell, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, we've, There's, Trump, Kelvin Wong, Donald Trump, Wong, Stanley Druckenmiller, FactSet, David Dietze, Dietze, Jay Hatfield, Kilroy, Jefferies, Hatfield, —, Yun Li Organizations: CNBC, LPL, U.S . Federal, Federal Reserve, Citi, Wealth Management, CNBC Pro, Corp, Jefferies Locations: U.S, America

Mortgage rates are down this week, with 30-year mortgage rates averaging around 6.30%, according to Zillow data. This should remove some of the upward pressure off of mortgage rates and allow them to trend down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit. Once the Fed starts cutting rates, which may happen this year, mortgage rates should fall even further.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Freddie Mac Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Fed, Zillow, Federal Reserve Locations: Chevron

Read previewFormer President Donald Trump said the Federal Reserve should not cut interest rates before the presidential election, according to an interview he did with Bloomberg Businessweek. The Federal Open Market Committee has two interest rate decisions scheduled before the election in July and September. "I think it's past time for them to cut interest rates," Zandi said. During a February interview with Fox News, Trump accused Powell of being "political" and planning interest rate cuts to coincide with the election. "I think he's going to do something to probably help the Democrats, I think, if he lowers interest rates," Trump said, adding that "it looks to me like he's trying to lower interest rates for the sake of maybe getting people elected."

Persons: —, Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, Mark Zandi, Powell, Zandi, Claudia Sahm, Sahm, he's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg Businessweek, Business, Democratic, Federal, Reserve, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Fed, New Century Advisors, Fox News, Stanford's Business, Government, Society, Trump, Wall Street

☆ Treasury yields tick higher as markets digest comments by Fed officials
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Katrina Bishop | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The yield on the 10-year Treasury was trading around 4.1672% at 2:20 a.m. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was also 2 basis points higher at 4.4524%. U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Thursday as investors digested a range of comments by Federal Reserve officials and what they could mean for interest rates. It comes as traders increasingly bet on a September interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with a reduction in July now seen as highly unlikely. Earlier this week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said interest rates would likely be cut before inflation reaches 2%.

Persons: Christopher Waller, John Williams, Thomas Barkin, Jerome Powell, you've, Powell, Dow Jones, —, Jeff Cox Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Federal, York Fed, Wall Street Journal, Richmond Fed, Deutsche Bank, Economic, of Washington D.C

☆ Fed Governor Waller sees central bank 'getting closer' to an interest rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday suggested that interest rate cuts are ahead soon as long as there are no major surprises on inflation and employment. "So, while I don't believe we have reached our final destination, I do believe we are getting closer to the time when a cut in the policy rate is warranted." Keeping with statements from other policymakers, Waller's sentiments point to an unlikelihood of a rate cut when the Federal Open Market Committee meets later this month, but a stronger likelihood of a move in September. "Given that I believe the first two scenarios have the highest probability of occurring, I believe the time to lower the policy rate is drawing closer," Waller said. Williams noted that inflation data is "all moving in the right direction and doing that pretty consistently" and is "getting us closer to a disinflationary trend that we're looking for."

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, John Williams, Williams Organizations: Federal, Kansas City Fed, Market Committee, CNBC, New York Fed, Wall Street, Fed, Traders

☆ Lower interest rates could be coming soon. Here's what's at stake if they aren't.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Madison Hoff | Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

At the end of July, the Federal Open Market Committee will announce its next decision on interest rates. Some economists have recently been pointing to similar concerns with the Fed keeping interest rates high. As Sahm pointed out, it would take time for reduced interest rates to "flow through to the economy." "You want to begin a process of taking the pressure off of the economy," Sahm said. AdvertisementZandi said interest rates on credit cards and Buy Now, Pay Later rates could come down, along with a decline in auto lending rates and mortgage rates.

Persons: —, Mark Zandi, Jerome Powell, Powell, Claudia Sahm, it's, Sahm, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Brian Rose, Rose, Zandi, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee Organizations: Service, Moody's, Business, Federal, CME FedWatch, Fed, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Sahm Consulting, Federal Reserve, Democratic, UBS, Chicago Federal, Wall Street Journal

☆ IMF sees ‘bumps’ in path to lower inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The International Monetary Fund warned Tuesday that upside risks to inflation have increased, calling into question the prospect of multiple Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. In its latest World Economic Outlook update, the IMF said "the momentum on global disinflation is slowing, signaling bumps along the path." The rise in sequential inflation in the U.S. earlier in 2024 has put it behind other major economies in the quantitative easing path, the report said. However, IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas told CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" on Tuesday that one rate cut from the Fed is most appropriate this year, highlighting still-stubborn services and wage inflation as complications to the path to lower inflation. Despite the encouraging CPI report, Gourinchas stated the uptick in inflation earlier in the year indicates that the path toward lower inflation and rate cuts "could take a little bit longer than maybe the markets are expecting."

Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, CNBC's, Gourinchas Organizations: Monetary Fund, Traders, U.S . Labor Department Locations: U.S

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