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☆ Oil steadies as U.S. rate hike fears subside
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( Natalie Grover | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Brent crude was down 23 cents to $87.32 a barrel at 1251 GMT, while West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) was down 37 cents at $84.03. Oil prices have been boosted in recent days by extensions to output cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, alongside supply fears driven by the potential for conflict between Russia and Ukraine in the Black Sea region to threaten Russian oil shipments. On Thursday, OPEC said in its monthly report it expected a healthy oil market for the rest of the year, and stuck by its forecast for robust oil demand in 2024, as the outlook for world economic growth slightly improves. "The poor state of China’s manufacturing, its property sector and some stubborn world inflation stand out as issues that the oil fraternity chooses to ignore at present." Thursday's U.S. consumer prices data for July fuelled speculation the Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its aggressive rate hike cycle.

Persons: Johan Sverdrup, Carina Johansen, NTB, Brent, WTI, John Evans, Natalie Grover, Muyu Xu, Laura Sanicola, David Goodman, Mark Potter Organizations: West Texas, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: North, Saudi, Russian, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Ukraine, China, London, Singapore, Washington

☆ Oil dips as demand concerns mount; eyes on US inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( Muyu Xu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. crude inventories (USOILC=ECI) rose by 5.9 million barrels in the last week to 445.6 million barrels, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 0.6 million-barrel rise, U.S. Energy Information Administration data showed on Wednesday. U.S. crude oil exports fell by 2.9 million barrels per day last week, the steepest fall on record, to 2.36 million barrels per day (bpd), according to the data. Concerns over LNG supply drove European gas prices to a nearly 2-month high on Wednesday and buoyed the demand outlook for diesel as alternative fuel. However, oil prices remained supported by supply tightness worries as tensions between Russia and Ukraine in the Black Sea region could threaten shipment of Russian oil. Top exporter Saudi Arabia's plans to extend its voluntary production cut of 1 million barrels per day for another month to include September.

Persons: Johan Sverdrup, Carina Johansen, NTB, Brent, Phil Flynn, Priyanka Sachdeva, Phillip Nova, Jun Rong, Muyu Xu, Laura Sanicola, Muralikumar Organizations: West Texas, U.S . Energy, Price Futures, Index, CPI, Woodside Energy Group, IG, Saudi, Thomson Locations: North, China, U.S, ., United States, Chevron, Russia, Ukraine, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Washington

Brent crude fell 20 cents, or 0.2%, to $87.35 a barrel by 0006 GMT, after settling at its highest since Jan. 27 in the previous session. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) fell 23 cents, or 0.3%, to $84.17, after settling at its highest since November 2022. Chinese data on Tuesday showed crude oil imports in July fell 18.8% from the previous month to their lowest daily rate since January. China's consumer sector also fell into deflation and factory-gate prices extended declines in July, as the world's second-largest economy struggled to revive demand. Also supporting prices were top exporter Saudi Arabia's plans to extend its voluntary production cut of 1 million barrels per day for another month to include September.

Persons: Johan Sverdrup, Carina Johansen, NTB, Brent, Laura Sanicola, Muralikumar Organizations: West Texas, Saudi, Investors, U.S, Consumer, Index, Thomson Locations: North, Saudi, Russian, Russia, Washington

☆ Oil hits new highs as tighter supply offsets China demand concern
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Alex Lawler | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

An aerial view shows a crude oil tanker at an oil terminal off Waidiao island in Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China January 4, 2023. Brent crude was 54 cents, or 0.6%, higher at $86.71 by 1110 GMT having touched $87.09, the highest since April 13. Crude posted its sixth consecutive weekly gain last week helped by a reduction in OPEC+ supplies and hopes of stimulus boosting oil demand recovery in China. "There is no doubt that there is plenty of momentum here," said Naeem Aslam, chief investment officer at Avatrade. On Tuesday, oil also came under pressure from Chinese data showing crude oil imports in July fell 18.8% from the previous month to their lowest daily rate since January, although they were up 17% from a year earlier.

Persons: Brent, Charalampos Pissouros, Naeem Aslam, Yuka Obayashi, Andrew Hayley, Bernadette Baum, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: Saudi, XM, . West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, American Petroleum Institute, Official U.S . Energy, Thomson Locations: Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China, Saudi, Russian, Saudi Arabia, Russia, U.S, OPEC, Tokyo, Beijing

An aerial view shows a crude oil tanker at an oil terminal off Waidiao island in Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China January 4, 2023. China Daily via REUTERSBEIJING, Aug 9 (Reuters) - Oil prices eased in Asian morning trade on Wednesday as concerns over slow demand from top crude importer China grew after bearish trade and inflation data, outweighing fears over tighter supply arising from output cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia. "Oil prices are struggling to further rise because of lingering concerns over a sluggish recovery in China's economy and fuel demand," said Chiyoki Chen, chief analyst at Sunward Trading. Both benchmarks notched their sixth consecutive weekly gains last week, the longest winning streak since December 2021 to January 2022, helped by a reduction in OPEC+ supplies and hopes of stimulus boosting an oil demand recovery in China. In another bearish sign, U.S. crude oil stocks rose by 4.1 million barrels last week, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

Persons: Brent, Chiyoki Chen, Yuka Obayashi, Andrew Hayley, Jamie Freed, Sonali Paul Organizations: REUTERS, . West Texas, Sunward, American Petroleum Institute, Reuters, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Saudi, Thomson Locations: Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China, REUTERS BEIJING, Saudi Arabia, Russia, United States, Europe, Saudi, Tokyo, Beijing

We're be buying 400 shares of Coterra Energy (CTRA) at roughly $26.79 each. Following Tuesday's trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 1,550 shares of CTRA, increasing its weighting in the portfolio to 1.48% from 1.1%. The energy trade may be the group hit hardest Tuesday as worries about the China economic recovery, which continues to disappoint, put pressure on oil prices. CTRA YTD mountain Coterra Energy YTD performance Shares of Coterra Energy dropped more than 3.5% on Tuesday morning, one day after reporting second-quarter earnings . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

Persons: We're, Jim Cramer's, Moody's, Coterra, we're, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Coterra Energy, CTRA, Texas, Natural Resources, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: China

☆ Oil extends gains, hovers at four-month highs on OPEC+ cuts
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( Florence Tan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Crude oil storage tanks are seen in an aerial photograph at the Cushing oil hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, U.S. April 21, 2020. Both contracts notched their sixth consecutive weekly gains last week, the longest winning streak since December 2021 to January 2022. Russia said on Thursday would cut oil exports by 300,000 bpd in September. The port that handles 2% of the world's oil supply has resumed operations. OPEC+'s output cuts, China's stimulus measures, and an improved U.S. economic outlook are supporting crude prices, CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng said in a note, although she said prices were approaching near-term resistance of their April highs.

Persons: Tina Teng, Tony Sycamore, Baker Hughes, Florence Tan, Jamie Freed Organizations: REUTERS, Brent, U.S, West Texas, ANZ, CMC, Thomson Locations: Cushing , Oklahoma, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Arabia Russia, SINGAPORE, Russia, China, Russian, Ukrainian, Novorossiysk, Saudi, Saudi Aramco, Asia

☆ Here's why we're reviewing our price target on an oil stock after quarterly results and guidance
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Oil and natural gas producer Coterra Energy (CTRA) delivered mixed results after the closing bell Monday, with second-quarter sales missing expectations and profit outpacing estimates. However, natural gas liquid prices missed estimates. While management did raise their outlook for total production along with their production targets for oil and natural gas, they left capital expenditure expectations alone. Given the pressure seen on commodity prices, particularly in natural gas, management was forced to lower their outlook for operating cash flow and free cash flow. Guidance Forward guidance for both the third quarter and full year 2023 was mixed — and unfortunately, the full-year misses were on management's cash flow forecasts.

Persons: We'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Pavlo Gonchar Organizations: Coterra Energy, Revenue, Refinitiv, Natural Resources, Management, West Texas, CNBC, Energy Inc, Getty

REUTERS/Mike Segar/File PhotoLONDON, Aug 7 (Reuters) - Crude oil prices continued to climb as Saudi Arabia’s decision to extend its unilateral production cuts and signs of decelerating inflation and a soft landing in the United States improved sentiment among investors. The total position climbed to 563 million barrels (46th percentile for all weeks since 2013) on Aug. 1, up from just 282 million barrels (5th percentile) on June 27. The most recent week saw a significant number of new bullish long positions initiated (+37 million barrels) as well as former bearish shorts closed out (-14 million). If implemented in full, extra cuts announced by Saudi Arabia and Russia would remove a further 115 million barrels from the market between July and September. In the most recent week, funds were buyers of European gas oil (+20 million barrels), Brent (+19 million), U.S. gasoline (+6 million), U.S. diesel (+4 million) and NYMEX and ICE WTI (+3 million).

Persons: Mike Segar, Brent, John Kemp, Mark Potter Organizations: Bayway, REUTERS, ICE Futures, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Petroleum, Traders, U.S ., ICE, U.S . diesel, U.S, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Phillips, Linden , New Jersey, U.S, Saudi, United States, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Ukraine

Saudi Arabia on Thursday extended a voluntary oil production cut of 1 million barrels per day to the end of September, keeping the door open for another extension. Russia has also elected to reduce its oil exports by 300,000 barrels per day next month. A view shows branded oil tanks at Saudi Aramco oil facility in Abqaiq, Saudi Arabia October 12, 2019. UBS said it expects Brent prices to trade in the $85 to $90 per barrel range over the coming months. Earlier on Wednesday, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that the country's crude oil inventory declined by a record 17 million barrels last week as exports and refiners' input of crude oil ramped up in the heart of summer travel season.

Persons: Brent, Alexander Novak, Maxim, Shariq Khan, Natalie Grover, Arathy, Jason Neely, Kirsten Donovan, David Gregorio, Leslie Adler, Deepa Babington Organizations: Saudi, bbl, UBS, U.S . West Texas Intermediate, Organization of, Petroleum, REUTERS, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Russia, Saudi Arabia, U.S, Russian, OPEC, Saudi Aramco, Abqaiq, Bengaluru, London, Houston, Singapore

Brent crude futures rose 74 cents, or 0.9%, to $85.88 a barrel by 11:13 a.m. EDT (1513 GMT). Both benchmarks were set for their longest streak of weekly gains this year. Russia has also elected to reduce its oil exports by 300,000 bpd next month. A view shows branded oil tanks at Saudi Aramco oil facility in Abqaiq, Saudi Arabia October 12, 2019. UBS said it expects Brent prices to trade in the $85 to $90 per barrel range over the coming months.

Persons: Brent, Maxim, Alexander Novak, Shariq Khan, Natalie Grover, Arathy, Jason Neely, Kirsten Donovan, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Saudi, bbl, UBS BENGALURU, Brent, . West Texas Intermediate, UBS, REUTERS, Organization of, Petroleum, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Russia, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Aramco, Abqaiq, Russian, OPEC, U.S, Bengaluru, London, Houston, Singapore

REUTERS/Jennifer Hiller/File PhotoSINGAPORE, Aug 4 (Reuters) - Surging U.S. crude exports in 2023 are pushing down oil prices in Europe and Asia, proving a key source of supply as producers cut output and sanctions on Russian crude disrupt trade flows. U.S. crude exports are also easing the loss of supply after Saudi Arabia deepened output cuts from July, above what major producers agreed to in June. The widening exports illustrate the increasing influence of crude from the U.S., the world's biggest oil producer, in the global market. U.S. crude exports have averaged 4.08 million barrels per day so far in 2023, up from an average of 3.53 million bpd in 2022, according to the Energy Information Administration. PRESSURE EXTENDSThe pressure exerted from the WTI Midland exports is even extending to Asian markets for Middle Eastern crude.

Persons: Jennifer Hiller, Brent, it's, Joel Hanley, Rohit Rathod, Adi Imsirovic, John Evans, Muyu Xu, Alex Lawler, Arathy, Florence Tan, Simon Webb Organizations: REUTERS, Midland, P, Energy Information Administration, WTI Midland, United, Dubai, Surrey Clean Energy, Gazprom Marketing, Organization of, Petroleum, Exchange, Futures, Thomson Locations: Texas, U.S, SINGAPORE, Europe, Asia, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Midland, Dubai, Africa, Brazil, Singapore, WTI, Saudi, London, Houston

Both benchmarks were on track for a sixth week of gains, their longest streak of weekly gains this year. Saudi Arabia on Thursday extended a voluntary oil production cut of 1 million barrels per day (bpd) to the end of September. Russia will also slash its oil exports by 300,000 bpd in September, its Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said. The Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee of OPEC+ is unlikely to tweak its overall oil output cuts at its meeting on Friday, sources have said. But the extension of Saudi Arabia's reductions and comments by Russia ahead of the OPEC+ meeting have raised supply concerns, supporting prices.

Persons: Brent, Alexander Novak, Edward Moya, Tina Teng, Teng, Arathy Somasekhar, Christian Schmollinger, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: Saudi, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Ministerial, OPEC, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, CMC, Thomson Locations: Russia, U.S, SINGAPORE, Saudi Arabia, Saudi, Houston, Singapore

☆ Oil prices set for sixth weekly gain as producers pledge output cuts
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices rose for a second day on Friday, set for their sixth week of gains, after Saudi Arabia and Russia, the world's second and third-largest crude producers, pledged to cut output through next month. Both benchmarks were on track for a sixth week of gains, their longest streak of weekly gains this year. The Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee of OPEC+ is unlikely to tweak overall oil output policy at the meeting on Friday, sources have said. But the Saudi Arabian pledge plus comments from Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak that it will also cut its oil exports by 300,000 bpd in September have raised concerns about supply and supported prices. Higher borrowing costs for businesses and consumers could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.

Persons: Brent, WTI, Alexander Novak, John Kirby Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Ministerial, OPEC, White House, Bank of England Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Saudi, OPEC, Russian, United States, U.S

A flare burns off excess gas from a gas plant in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, U.S., November 25, 2019. Experience suggests drilling rates turn down about 4-5 months after futures prices and production rates turn down about 12 months after prices. Like oil, gas production has continued to increase in a lagged response to very high prices during the second and third quarters of 2022. Gas production growth is set to slow sharply in the second half of 2023 and into the first half of 2024 which should erode excess inventories during the winter of 2023/24. Related columns:- U.S. oil and gas production set to turn down later in 2023 (July 5, 2023)- U.S. oil and gas output still rising in response to high prices last year (June 1, 2023)- U.S. oil and gas output growth set to slow sharply (May 3, 2023)- U.S. oil drilling falls in response to lower prices (February 27, 2023)John Kemp is a Reuters market analyst.

Persons: Angus Mordant, John Kemp, David Evans Organizations: REUTERS, Angus Mordant LONDON, “ Petroleum, U.S . Energy Information Administration, OPEC ⁺, Traders, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Loving County , Texas, U.S, Gulf, Mexico, Ukraine, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, Saudi

☆ Oil prices are up 20% and energy stocks are rebounding
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

New York CNN —Energy stocks are making a comeback after being left for dead earlier this year. Energy stocks faltered in the beginning of the year, defying investors’ expectations for last year’s boom to accelerate on a lack of global supply. That drop in energy stocks came despite OPEC+ producers, the cartel of oil producing countries plus Russia, announcing several output cuts in a bid to bump up crude prices. US WTI crude oil prices have gained 22% since June 11, while global benchmark Brent is up by 19%. Jobs report will likely be strongMarkets and economists are expecting another solid jobs report on Friday, reports my colleague Alicia Wallace.

Persons: That’s, what’s, ”, Rebecca Babin, Chevron, Derek Amey, Jobs, Alicia Wallace, Daniel Zhao, Refinitiv, Read, Here’s what’s, Danielle Wiener, Bronner, We’ve, ” Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN — Energy, Energy, OPEC, Brent, Federal Reserve, CIBC Private Wealth, titans, Shell, Reuters, Glassdoor, USA Rice Federation Locations: New York, Russia, Saudi Arabia, China

REUTERS/Christian Hartmann/File PhotoSINGAPORE, Aug 3 (Reuters) - Oil prices were little changed on Thursday after a two-day decline, including a sharp drop on Wednesday, as a U.S. government credit downgrade weighed on sentiment, though concerns around supply tightness provided some support. Ratings agency Fitch downgraded the main U.S. credit rating, the world's biggest oil consumer, reflecting an expected fiscal deterioration as well as a high and growing government debt burden. Both benchmarks were trading near their highest since April on Wednesday, but closed down 2% after the ratings downgrade. "Since oil had a steady rise over the past month, it was ripe for a pullback. The oil market will remain tight over the short-term, but prices could be still vulnerable for a deeper drop," said Edward Moya, an analyst at OANDA.

Persons: Christian Hartmann, Fitch, Brent, Edward Moya, refiners, Tina Teng, Andrew Hayley, Sudarshan, Christian Schmollinger, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Energy, Administration, Organization of, Petroleum, Reuters, CMC Markets, Thomson Locations: Scheibenhard, Strasbourg, France, SINGAPORE, U.S, Saudi Arabia, China

☆ Saudi Arabia to extend voluntary 1 million barrel per day crude oil production cut into September
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( Ruxandra Iordache | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Heavyweight oil producer Saudi Arabia will extend a 1 million barrel per day voluntary crude oil output cut into September, in the third month of such declines, the state-owned Saudi Press Agency said Thursday. The 1 million barrel per day cut, which was also implemented in July and August, "can be extended or extended and deepened," SPA said. It adds to 1.66 million barrels per day of other voluntary production declines that some members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries are putting in place until the end of 2024. Voluntary cuts fall outside of the production policy agreed by OPEC and its allies, known as OPEC+. Oil prices were little changed shortly after the announcement of Saudi Arabia's voluntary production cut extension.

Organizations: Saudi Press Agency, Saudi, Organization of, Petroleum, OPEC, Brent, International Energy Agency Locations: Saudi Arabia, OPEC, Saudi, Paris

Most of the buying was in contracts linked to crude oil (+169 million barrels) with a particular emphasis on NYMEX and ICE WTI (+132 million). Short-covering has helped lift front-month WTI futures prices to over $81 per barrel on Aug. 1 from less than $68 on June 27. European gas oil futures and options have experienced an especially rapid increase in positions over the last four weeks (+29 million barrels). As a result, the net position rose to 41 million barrels (44th percentile) on July 25 from just 12 million barrels (18th percentile) on June 27. Related columns:- Depleted U.S. diesel stocks attract hedge funds (July 20, 2023)- Saudi output cut entices funds back into oil market (July 17, 2023)- Extreme pessimism gripped hedge funds on oil (July 3, 2023)- Is oil market’s glass half-full or half-empty?

Persons: Nick Oxford, ⁺, John Kemp Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters Connect, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading Commission, ICE Futures, ICE, Fund, U.S, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Midland , Texas, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Saudi, United States, WTI, Brent, North America, Europe, China

More actively traded October Brent crude futures rose $1.02, or 1.2%, to settle at $85.43 a barrel. The September Brent contract, which expired at settlement on Monday, rose 0.7% to close at $85.56 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rallied $1.22, or 1.5%, to $81.80 a barrel. Reuters GraphicsPump jacks operate at sunset in an oil field in Midland, Texas U.S. August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick OxfordSaudi Arabia is expected to extend a voluntary oil output cut of 1 million barrels per day (bpd) for another month to include September.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Brent, WTI, Nick Oxford, Edward Moya, Phil Flynn, Shariq Khan, Natalie Grover, Florence, Mohi Narayan, Christina Fincher, Louise Heavens, David Evans, Nick Macfie, Paul Simao Organizations: Saudi, . West Texas, Midland , Texas U.S, REUTERS, Organization of Petroleum, Reuters, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Futures, Thomson Locations: Riyadh, OPEC, Goldman Sachs BENGALURU, Midland , Texas, Nick Oxford Saudi Arabia, Saudi, U.S, India, Bengaluru, London, Florence Tan, Singapore, New Delhi

☆ Oil on track for biggest monthly gains in over a year
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices hovered near three-month highs on Monday, set to post their biggest monthly gains in over a year on expectations that Saudi Arabia would extend voluntary output cuts into September and tighten global supply. Both are on track to close July with their biggest monthly gains since January 2022. "We still expect the extra 1 million bpd Saudi cut to last through September, and to be halved from October." "Firmer demand is driving a moderately larger deficit in H2 2023 than expected, averaging 1.8 million bpd, and a modest 0.6 million bpd deficit in 2024," it said. Exxon Mobil's CEO Darren Woods said the company expects record oil demand this year and next year, and that this may help boost energy prices in the second half of the year.

Persons: Brent, WTI, Goldman Sachs, Darren Woods, Baker Hughes Organizations: Brent, West Texas, Saudi, Exxon Locations: Shenzhen, China, Saudi Arabia, Saudi, India, United States, U.S

West Texas Intermediate has surged more than 14% for the month, putting it on pace for its best monthly performance since its 17.2% gain in January 2022. APA APA has the strongest 50-day correlation with WTI prices of 0.71, meaning it is likely to see gains as the commodity continues to rise. Devon Energy Shares of Devon Energy have popped more than 11% month to date. It has a 50-day correlation of 0.69 with WTI, and an average correlation of 0.59 with the commodity since 2015. Pioneer Natural Resources The Texas-based oil company has a 50-day correlation value of 0.65 with WTI Crude.

Persons: Russell, Goldman Sachs, DCLA, Sarat Sethi, Pioneer's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: West Texas, CNBC, APA APA, . Devon Energy, Devon Energy, Diamondback Energy Diamondback Energy, Natural Resources, WTI Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Natural Resources The Texas

☆ Goldman upgrades oil demand outlook as market tempers growth pessimism
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Companies Goldman Sachs Group Inc FollowJuly 30 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs on Sunday revised up its global oil demand forecast for the year while sticking to its 12-month Brent price projection of $93 per barrel as higher realized inventories offset the demand boost from a less pessimistic growth outlook. Goldman analysts estimate global oil demand climbed to an all-time high of 102.8 million barrels per day (bpd) in July and see solid demand driving a larger-than-expected 1.8 million bpd deficit in the second half this year and a 0.6 million bpd deficit in 2024. A reduced recession risk and a strong effort by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to push up prices support Goldman's view on higher oil prices and an outlook for less volatility, the analysts wrote in a note. Oil prices hovered near three-month highs on Monday, set to post their biggest monthly gains in over a year on expectations that Saudi Arabia would extend voluntary output cuts into September and tighten global supply. The Wall-Street bank upgraded its oil demand estimate by around 550,000 bpd and sees 2023 supply higher by around 175,000 bpd.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Brent, Goldman, Ananya Bajpai, Swati Verma, Tom Hogue Organizations: Goldman Sachs, Organization of, Petroleum, Goldman, Saudi, West Texas, Thomson Locations: Saudi Arabia, Saudi, Bengaluru

Bolstered by supply cuts from the OPEC+ alliance announced earlier this month, both oil benchmarks gained nearly 5% for the week - a fifth straight week of gains. The benchmarks are on track to gain over 13% for the month. In an interview on Friday, Exxon Mobil (XOM.N) chief Darren Woods said he expected record oil demand this year and next. On the supply side, U.S. oil rigs fell by one to 529 this week, their lowest since March 2022, energy services firm Baker Hughes (BKR.O) said on Friday. Saudi Arabia is expected to extend the voluntary oil output cut for another month to include September, five analysts said, to provide additional support for the oil market.

Persons: Brent, Phil Flynn, Jerome Powell's, Tamas Varga, Darren Woods, Baker Hughes, Stephanie Kelly, Natalie Grover, Laura Sanicola, Andrew Hayley, Deepa Babington, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: drillers, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, U.S, West Texas, Price Futures, Federal, Exxon Mobil, Thomson Locations: France, Spain, China, OPEC, United States, U.S, Saudi, Saudi Arabia, New York, London, Washington, Beijing

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