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Minneapolis CNN —The US job market cooled back down in June, adding just 209,000 jobs, and fueling optimism that the economy is on course to nail that elusive soft landing of lowering inflation without triggering a recession. That being said, last month’s job growth still outpaces the pre-pandemic average. “The job growth is slowing, but I don’t actually think that’s necessarily a bad thing,” Rucha Vankudre, senior economist for labor market analytics company Lightcast, told CNN. “In the tug of war between the labor market and the economy, there is still a push and pull, yet the labor market remains strong,” Becky Frankiewicz, president and chief commercial officer of ManpowerGroup, said in commentary issued Friday. In June, sectors such as government, as well as health care and social assistance, saw the biggest job gains: 60,000 and 65,200, respectively.
Persons: Rucha Vankudre, We’re, Becky Frankiewicz, ManpowerGroup, , Lightcast’s Vankudre, ” “, Joe Brusuelas, ” Brusuelas, “ We’re, Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CNN, , Federal Reserve, Service, BLS, RSM, Fed Locations: Minneapolis
Women’s labor force participation has rebounded from the pandemic “she-cession” and returned to its pre-pandemic form of making progressively historic labor market gains. By February of 2020, the labor force participation rate for prime working-age women was 77% — just shy of the record 77.3% set during the dot-com era, BLS data shows. The pandemic walloped the leisure and hospitality and education and health services sectors, where women make up the majority of the workforce. The economic evolution and recovery from the pandemic helped accelerate favorable drivers for women to enter the workforce. Separately, new research shows that although women were outnumbered by men in the US workforce, women could be disproportionately affected by businesses’ adoption of generative AI: One recent analysis estimates that 79% of working women (nearly 59 million) are in occupations susceptible to disruption and automation.
Persons: ” Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter, , ” Pollak, Allison Joyce, didn’t, they’re, That’s, University of North Carolina’s, Dana Peterson, we’ve, , ” —, Jeanne Sahadi Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, of Labor Statistics, Bloomberg, Getty, Baby Boomers, Pew Research Center, University of North, University of North Carolina’s Kenan, Flagler Business School, Conference Board, CNN Locations: Minneapolis, America, Bolivia , North Carolina
The financials sector is down 2%, while energy is nearly 9% lower. These unloved sectors are growing attractive to investors increasingly torn over whether a long-feared U.S. recession will ever materialize. Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial noted a "tug of war" in the market over the likelihood of a recession. The healthcare sector trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.6, well below the 20.1 ratio of the broad S&P 500. Yet a continued rally in megacaps will likely stretch their valuations further, prompting some investors to rotate toward healthcare and financials, LPL Financial's Krosby said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Quincy Krosby, Sameer Samana, Max Wasserman, Financials, Tom Ognar, Morgan Stanley, John Quealy, Financial's Krosby, David Randall, Megan Davies, Michelle Price, Richard Chang Organizations: YORK, Global, BofA, Commerce Department, LPL Financial, Reserve, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, FINANCIALS, Miramar Capital, Abbott Laboratories, Allspring Global Investments, LPL Financial Holdings Inc, Trillium Asset Management, Russell, Thomson Locations: U.S, BlackRock, Wells Fargo, megacaps
Minneapolis CNN —When the June jobs report lands on Friday, it’s all but certain to show that the US labor market has added jobs for 30 consecutive months. And this year’s monthly average of 314,000 net job gains far exceeds what was seen before the pandemic, including during that 100-month stretch post-Great Recession. Sarah House, senior economist at Wells Fargo, said she’s expecting a “gradual cooling” to wash over the labor market. “The jobs market is not collapsing,” she said. The timing of the Fourth of July holiday resulted in a load of labor market data landing within 24 hours of the government’s monthly jobs report.
Persons: Sarah House, she’s, , wilder, Andy Challenger, ” Aaron Terrazas Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Labor, Challenger, Fed Locations: Minneapolis, Wells Fargo
The U.S. jobs market is still on fire, no matter how much effort policymakers put into cooling it off. The Dow Jones consensus estimate is that payrolls rose by another 240,000, and the unemployment rate is projected to nudge lower to 3.6%. Those waiting for the jobs picture to deteriorate, then, are going to have to continue to be patient. "The demise of the labor market has been something that has seemed to be just around the corner for the last nine months or so. Much like economists for the past year or so have been expecting the U.S. to tip into recession any day now, they've been looking for the labor market to lead the way.
Persons: Dow Jones, Thomas Simon, they've, Simon Organizations: Labor Department, Jefferies, Federal Reserve
Sunak has reiterated his "total support" for the Bank of England and under fire Governor Andrew Bailey. Meanwhile, economic growth has all but stagnated and public debt has surpassed 100% of gross domestic product for the first time since March 1961. "What is perhaps surprising is that the energy shock in the U.K. was larger than in most of mainland Europe." In a recent CNBC-moderated panel at a monetary policy forum in Sintra, Portugal, Bailey noted that the U.K. labor force is unique in remaining below its pre-Covid levels. Thanos Papasavvas, founder of ABP Invest, also alluded to the unique susceptibility of the U.K. to high inflation, but said the Bank of England should have been alive to this far earlier.
Persons: Sunak, Andrew Bailey, STEFAN ROUSSEAU, Rishi Sunak, Shaan Raithatha, CNBC's, We've, they've, Raithatha, we've, Richard Flax, Panmure Gordon, Simon French, Bailey, it's, Brexit, Catherine Mann, It's, Panmure Gordon's, French, Thanos Papasavvas Organizations: Bank of England, Getty, Sunak's Conservative, The Bank of, Vanguard, CPI, CNBC, Bank, Monetary, Committee, Panmure, ABP Invest Locations: The Bank of England, U.S, Ukraine, Europe, Moscow, Sintra , Portugal, U.K, British
Investors should look to stocks that enhance productivity as companies seek to replace scarce labor with machines, according to Evercore ISI. The chart below includes two stocks Emanuel found for each use case. The stock has surged more than 50% since the start of 2023, rebounding along with other technology stocks after 2022's sell-off. Equinix shares have risen nearly 17% year to date and Evercore ISI expects shares to advance another 8.5%. The stock should also be helped by reshoring trends, as well as its investments in AI and improving labor productivity, Emanuel said.
Persons: Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, Evercore, There's, Zscaler, ZS, Ingersoll Rand, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: ISI, CNBC Pro Locations: Tuesday's
The oldest members of Gen Z are just a few years into being part of the workforce, and they're already being stereotyped as lazy. Hustle culture isn't dead — it's just getting a Gen Z rebrand. When I think of my peers and Gen Z, I don't hear anyone talk about corporate success or climbing the corporate ladder. Jade WaltersWalters, like many of her peers, has a side hustle: The Ninth Semester, a Gen Z career resource. As Gen Zers gain ground in the labor force, it's likely those values will flow through other generations of workers, too.
Persons: Gen, they've, Gen Zers, — it's, Zers, Jade Walters, it's, Jade Walters Walters, Martha Bird, Walters, Covid, Bird, DeAndre Brown, Brown, Hustling Organizations: ADP Locations: Chicago, Los Angeles
Barbie, Her House and the American Dream
  + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Anna Kodé | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +17 min
Barbie, Her House and the American Dream Take a stop-motion journey with the young, single homeowner of the Dreamhouse. Today according to Mattel, the toymaker behind the iconic doll, a new Barbie Dreamhouse is sold every two minutes. A vintage Barbie doll puts a record on, dances and sits down. He came to Barbie’s house.”Now, Ms. Dalsing lives in Saint Joseph, Mo., in what she called her own dream house. “In the early 2000s, single women were the fastest growing group of home buyers in the United States,” she said.
Persons: Ken isn’t, Barbara Millicent Roberts, Roberts —, Barbie, ” Ruth Handler, Ken, Handler’s, , Barbie’s Dreamhouse, , Deborah Dinner, wasn’t, weren’t, Barbie’s, Felix Burrichter, “ Barbie Dreamhouse, ” Barbie’s, Sue Dalsing, Dalsing, “ Ken didn’t, , ” It’s, Elliot Handler, Handler, Lisa McKnight, Mattel’s Barbie, Hugh Hefner’s, Helen Gurley Brown’s, , Brown’s, Brown, Young, Tiffany, Barbie —, Houseplants, Burrichter, might’ve, Maddie Bone, Bone, Homer, , Ms, Amy Castro, ” Ms, Castro, Isabelle Roy, , Roy, He’s, Barbie couldn’t, Christie, Kim Culmone, Catherine E, McKinley, Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer, Greenwood, Spencer, It’s Organizations: Mattel, New York Times, , Cornell University, Survey, Wisconsin ., Furniture, The Times, Spice, University of Pennsylvania’s School of Social Locations: crave, Britain, Saint Joseph, Mo, Barbie’s, Wisconsin, Levittown, Waldoboro, United States, Canadian, Alberta, Palm Springs
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStarwood Capital CEO Barry Sternlicht: Labor force 'structurally hard' to kill with interest ratesBarry Sternlicht, Starwood Capital chairman and CEO and chairman of Starwood Property Trust, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's inflation fight, commercial real estate, market outlook, and more.
Persons: Barry Sternlicht Organizations: Starwood Capital, Labor, Starwood Property Trust
Minneapolis CNN —More prime working age women are employed in the United States now than ever before. The labor force participation rate for women between 25 and 54 years old set a record high in April and then again in May, rebounding from the pandemic “she-cession” and returning to its pre-pandemic form of making progressively historic labor market gains. Estimates that nearly eight out of 10 women workers could be affected “are just staggering,” said Julia Pollak, chief economist with online job marketplace ZipRecruiter. “Some of these things are becoming more prevalent, and that’s supportive of more women in the labor market,” she said. On the other hand, AI could prove harmful and threatening for any role that is highly “automatable,” Peterson said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, University of North Carolina’s, , Julia Pollak, it’s, Mark McNeilly, Flagler, “ It’s, ‘ I’m, ’ ” McNeilly, , Pollak, didn’t, Dana Peterson, that’s, ” Peterson, Ben Zweig, Jobs, Peterson, we’ve, Sara Mannheimer, Kathrin Ziegler, ” Meredith Nudo, you’re, Nudo Organizations: Minneapolis CNN —, University of North, University of North Carolina’s Kenan, Flagler Business School, Kenan, Flagler, UNC Kenan, CNN, of Labor Statistics, Conference Board, Baby Boomers, Labs, Montana State University, Institute of Museum and Library Services, Librarians, Digital, National Association of Voice Locations: Minneapolis, United States, Houston
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday affirmed that more interest rate increases are likely ahead until additional progress is made on bringing down inflation. Following last week's two-day FOMC meeting, officials indicated they see rate increases totaling 0.5 percentage point through the end of 2023. "Nonetheless, inflation pressures continue to run high, and the process of getting inflation back down to 2% has a long way to go." Powell later said that the Fed has adjusted its approach to policy after implementing rate hikes at the most aggressive pace since the early 1980s. He also emphasized that rate decisions will be made based on incoming data and meeting by meeting, rather than on a preset course.
Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell, doesn't Organizations: Financial Services, Market, Federal, Federal Reserve, Fed, of Michigan Locations: Washington ,
Job opportunities and wages rise for teensEconomists are predicting another strong summer for teen employment in 2023. Already, teens make up 18% of all summer hires this year, up from 15% a year ago, according to data from payroll platform Gusto. "The market for teens is hotter than it's ever been," said Luke Pardue, an economist at Gusto. watch nowThe strong labor market and increased demand for low-wage work have also contributed to a rise in labor force participation. Now, teens are more likely to have a paying job over the summer and while in school compared with just a few years ago.
Persons: Luke Pardue, Gregg Murset Organizations: New, U.S . Department of Labor
Just over 1 in 4 workers is now entitled to salary transparency by law — and proposals could double that number in the next few years. Pay transparency has become a cornerstone of the labor force in recent years, with Colorado becoming the first state to require employers post pay ranges on job ads in 2021. So far, eight states have salary transparency laws on the books: California, Colorado, Connecticut, Maryland, New York, Nevada, Rhode Island and Washington. Several cities and counties like Cincinnati and Jersey City, N.J., have their own pay transparency requirements. Proponents of salary transparency say it's a crucial piece to closing racial and gender wage gaps, which have barely budged in years.
Persons: , J.B . Pritzker, Kelly Evans, ‘ They’ll Organizations: National Women's Law, Washington D.C, Gov Locations: Colorado, California , Colorado , Connecticut, Maryland , New York , Nevada, Rhode Island, Washington, Cincinnati, Jersey City, N.J, Alaska , Georgia, Hawaii , Illinois , Iowa , Kentucky, Maine , Massachusetts , Missouri, Montana , New Jersey , Oregon, South Dakota , Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Illinois, U.S
At the current rate, it will take 131 years to close the global gender gap, according to the World Economic Forum. Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty ImagesIt could now take 131 years to close the global gender gap after an "entire generation" of progress was lost to Covid-19, according to the World Economic Forum. European countries lead on gender equalityThe Global Gender Gap Report, now in its 17th year, benchmarks gender-based gaps in fours areas: economic participation and opportunity; educational attainment; health and survival; and political empowerment. While no country has yet achieved full gender parity, the top nine ranking countries have closed at least 80% of their gap. watch nowOn a regional level, Europe has the highest gender parity at 76.3%, overtaking North America, where 75% of the gap is closed.
Persons: WEF, Saadia Zahidi, Zahidi, CNBC's Joumanna, there's Organizations: Economic, U.S, Pacific, Getty Locations: Iceland, Norway, Finland, New Zealand, Sweden, Germany, Nicaragua, Namibia, Lithuania, Belgium, Europe, North America, United States, Latin America, Caribbean, Eurasia, Central Asia, East Asia, Saharan Africa, Southern Asia, East, North Africa
Jason Koerner | Getty ImagesCHICAGO — The spirits industry is overcoming economic headwinds to meet changing consumer preferences as it chips away at the dominance of beer. Despite supply chain issues and high inflation, the beverage alcohol industry has a lot to toast to these days, said Chris Swonger, president and CEO of DISCUS. "This is a great American success story," Swonger said of the industry's market share supremacy. As the spirits industry works to maintain its top spot this year amid fears of a recession, here are some key trends industry leaders who spoke to CNBC see shaping the business today. The company runs incubator and accelerator programs to develop Black talent within the spirits industry.
Persons: Casamigos, Alo, Jason Koerner, Beer, Chris Swonger, Swonger, We're, George Clooney, Mark Wahlberg, Wahlberg, Aron Marquez, Ryan Reynolds, Sean, Diddy, Combs, Kendall Jenner, Dwayne Johnson, Michael Jordan, David Beckham, it's, Patrick Shorb, Molson Coors, Tobin Ludwig, Pinkard Organizations: Alo Miami, Getty, CHICAGO, CNBC, Diageo, Chicago, Brands, Heineken, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Molson, Hella, Black Locations: Miami, United States, Chicago, Pennsylvania
A tentative deal between the Pacific Maritime Association and the International Longshore and Warehouse Union was announced Wednesday night, ending 14 days of worker slowdowns and stoppages that crippled port productivity. The new contract is for six years and will cover workers at all 29 West Coast ports. "We are also pleased to turn our full attention back to the operation of the West Coast Ports." In a landslide vote, ILWU Canada workers authorized a strike at Canadian West Coast ports as early as June 24. Correction: A tentative deal between the Pacific Maritime Association and the International Longshore and Warehouse Union was announced Wednesday night.
Persons: slowdowns, James McKenna, Willie Adams, Labor Julie Su, Su Organizations: Pacific Maritime Association, Warehouse Union, West Coast Ports, Labor, CNBC, SSA, Logistics, Canadian Locations: Coast, San Francisco, California, Los Angeles, Long Beach, Oakland, The, Seattle's, Port, Seattle, Canada, Canadian West, Panama, East Coast
The Moral Crisis of America’s Doctors
  + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( Eyal Press | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +6 min
Dean’s essay caught my eye, too, because I spent much of the previous few years reporting on moral injury, interviewing workers in menial occupations whose jobs were ethically compromising. There are, of course, plenty of doctors who like what they do and feel no need to speak out. But more and more doctors are coming to believe that the pandemic merely worsened the strain on a health care system that was already failing because it prioritizes profits over patient care. They are noticing how the emphasis on the bottom line routinely puts them in moral binds, and young doctors in particular are contemplating how to resist. They’re the instruments of betrayal.”Not long ago, I spoke to an emergency physician, whom I’ll call A., about her experience.
Persons: roustabouts, I’d, , Will, Ming Lin, Lin, Robert McNamara, ” Dean, Jonathan Shay, , couldn’t, she’d Organizations: St, Joseph Medical Center, Blackstone Group, Temple University Locations: Bellingham, Wash, Philadelphia, United States
New job data show a changed labor market
  + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
TRUCKERS, MANAGERS AND THERAPISTS The Post-Pandemic Workforce What new data show about the U.S. labor market that emerged from the coronavirusThe pandemic sparked what seemed a massive reshuffling of who does what in the American workforce. Keeping track of that shifting landscape falls to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which every year details how many people do different types of jobs. The graphic shows the number of jobs in 22 occupational categories in 2016, 2019 and 2022. The graphic shows how the percentage share in the total workforce changed from 2019 to 2022 for each of 22 occupational categories. With natural population growth slowing, immigration could play an important role in how labor demands are met.
Persons: Jobs, Green Roofers Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Movers, Sales, Mental Health, Federal Reserve Locations: COVID, U.S
Russia's central bank sounded alarms on inflation amid the falling ruble and a record labor shortage. Since then, the central bank has brought rates back down as inflation has cooled. Other data have shown Russia is suffering from a record labor shortage as Vladimir Putin's war on Ukraine delivered a major shock to the workforce. And the mass exodus of Russians to other countries to escape military service or economic hardship has made the labor shortage even worse. The labor shortage also contributed to a sharp drop last month in Russia's industrial production, which tumbled 5% from the prior month.
Persons: , Elvira Nabiullina, Vladimir Putin's Organizations: Service, Reuters, Kremlin Locations: Ukraine, Russia
There is "good news for both inflation and growth," Evercore ISI Chair Ed Hyman said in a client note Tuesday. Fed officials already had been largely discounting shelter prices that they expect to recede through the year. Core services inflation "is likely to slow significantly for the rest of this year and next," Hyman wrote. To be sure, inflation is likely to remain a problem ahead, and Fed officials have stated multiple times that the current level is too high . Both increases "should also be an important reminder to markets and Fed officials," Citigroup economist Andrew Hollenhorst wrote Wednesday.
Persons: bank's, Ed Hyman, Hyman, , Christopher Waller, Andrew Hollenhorst, Janet Yellen, Yellen, we're Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, PMI, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Canada, Citigroup
Portugal is the latest country to experiment with a four-day workweek, and businesses are getting an assist from the government. Businesses say they want to see if a shortened workweek will help reduce employee stress and burnout, and in turn improve worker retention. Researchers also hope to track the economic, social and environmental implications of a four-day business week in Portugal. Although no country has fully adopted a four-day workweek, trials have run in South Africa, Belgium, Iceland, Japan and elsewhere. Check out: Congressman wants to make 32-hour workweek U.S. law to ‘increase the happiness of humankind’
Persons: Kelly Evans Organizations: Employers, OECD, University of London, University of Reading, Borders Service, European Union, European, Area Locations: Portugal, Portuguese, United Kingdom, Ireland, U.S, South Africa, Belgium, Iceland, Japan
A stronger economic recovery began to take hold in early 2015, but it most likely would have begun earlier without the 2011 debt standoff and resulting budget cuts. The biggest cost from the debt standoff, however, was the fact that it helped establish debt standoffs as the new normal. The real losers from the 2023 debt deal are American taxpayers, who can expect a similar debt standoff, with all of its costs, in two years if we still have a divided government then. Taxpayers should want to pay as little as possible for that debt, and that requires keeping borrowing costs low. But the debt ceiling is currently only used to provide the minority political party the leverage necessary to get their priorities passed.
Persons: , Janet Yellen Organizations: Republicans, Taxpayers Locations: United States
Russia's economy faces a "massive brain drain," a former central bank adviser told NPR. Alexandra Prokopenko, a former adviser at Russia's central bank, told NPR last week that many educated and skilled workers have fled the country. And about 200,000 Russian troops have been killed or wounded while fighting in Ukraine, with some estimates putting losses at 500 troops a day. As for Prokopenko, she also fled Russia soon after last year's invasion and is now a scholar at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center in Germany. Prokopenko has sounded previous alarms on Russia's economy this year, saying in a report in May that Western sanctions will keep Russia's economy frozen.
Persons: Alexandra Prokopenko, , it's, we've, Prokopenko, Vladimir Putin's, Putin Organizations: NPR, Service, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, West, Financial Times Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Germany
A quick search reveals #over55ontiktok has 47.4 million views, and @oldgays has 11 million followers. Her agency works with Amazon and others to find TikTok influencers over 55. "Older influencers have popped in popularity recently," Karwowski told the Times. And while these older influencers probably won't generate enough income to retire on, it can help give them a financial boost, the Times says. Posting on TikTok could encourage retirees to overcome ageist stereotypes that insinuate older adults and technology don't mix.
Persons: , Zers, TikTok, Mae Karwowski, Lillian Droniak, Karwowski, they've, Harry Styles Organizations: Service, New York Times, Amazon, Times Locations: TikTok
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