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☆ Hot inflation and high estimates could ruin the Q1 earnings season. Why investment chiefs are increasingly worried — and the bull case that profits are still underestimated.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Without strong profit progress in the Q1 earnings season starting in mid-April, US stocks may surrender their 8.2% year-to-date gain. Loftier estimates, top-heavy earnings are reasons for worryFirms have a rather low bar to clear in the upcoming earnings season, as is often the case. The market's largest companies are disproportionately driving earnings growth in addition to stock returns, Goldman Sachs found. The Q1 earnings season begins in earnest on Friday as big banks share results. Early reporters have beaten earnings estimates by 13.5%, Golub wrote, which he added is more than double the typical rate.

Persons: Richard Saperstein, James Ragan, David Kostin, Goldman Sachs, Kostin, Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise, we're, Saglimbene, Arun Bharath, Bharath, Jonathan Golub, Golub, they're Organizations: Federal Reserve, Business, Treasury Partners, DA Davidson, Nvidia, Big Tech, Bel Air Investment Advisors, UBS, Institute for Supply Management Locations: America

☆ Ford stock can go higher by taking a page of out Detroit rival GM's playbook
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

General Motors is buying back a ton of stock; Ford, so far, not so much. Before the buyback disclosure late this year, Ford had been down 10%, which was less than GM's 14% decline. In 2023, Ford spent $5.33 billion on dividends and stock repurchases, with only 6.3% of that total on buybacks. In guidance alongside Q4 numbers, Ford said it expects warranty costs for full-year 2024 to be flat year over year. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Ford, Jim Cramer, General Motors, Adrian Yanoshik, Jim, Morgan Stanley, Adam Jonas, Jonas, BEV, John Lawler, Redburn's Yanoshik, Jim Cramer's, Paul Hennessy, LightRocket Organizations: General Motors, Ford, GM, CNBC, General, United Auto Workers, Capital, Renaissance, Getty

☆ Instead of passing Ukraine aid, the House is voting on bills to shield home appliances from government regulations
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Madison Hall | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The GOP-led House of Representatives keeps stalling to bring a Ukraine aid bill to a vote. It may be because Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene threatened to oust the speaker if he did so. The House is considering six bills next week surrounding household appliance regulations. AdvertisementAs Ukraine aid continues to stall, the House of Representatives announced plans to address legislation barring government regulations on home appliances. His reluctance could stem from Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene threatening to oust him from leadership last month.

Persons: Marjorie Taylor Greene, —, Mike Johnson Organizations: GOP, Service, Business Locations: Ukraine, Israel

☆ The Big Number: 5.3%
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Marie Solis | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

In recent months, the Fed had been signaling that there would be two or three rate cuts this year. But on Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index had climbed 3.8 percent on an annual basis in March after volatile food and fuel prices were stripped out. That “core” index was stronger than what economists had forecast.

Organizations: of Labor Statistics

☆ 10-year yield could test 5.3%, says NewEdge Wealth's Ben Emons
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email10-year yield could test 5.3%, says NewEdge Wealth's Ben EmonsBen Emons, NewEdge, joins 'Fast Money' to talk bond yield possibly hitting 5.3%,Treasurys demand, and more.

Persons: NewEdge Wealth's Ben Emons Ben Emons

☆ Income investing opportunities emerge as the outlook for rate cuts moves to September
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

IEI has a 30-day SEC yield of 4.26% and carries an expense ratio of 0.15%. BINC, which is actively managed, has a 30-day SEC yield of 5.6% and a net expense ratio of 0.4%. Investors can use ETFs to tackle that space: Vanguard's Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCIT) has a 30-day SEC yield of 5.33%. There's also the iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (IGIB) , offering a 30-day SEC yield of 5.4%. Hunting dividend payers Higher rates have overshadowed opportunities among dividend-paying stocks, which look less attractive to income investors who can find risk-free yields easily.

Persons: it's, Michael Carbone, Carbone, Gargi Chaudhuri, Collin Martin, There's, Michael Clarfeld Organizations: Dow Jones, Traders, Federal, Treasury Bond ETF, SEC, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Corporate Locations: Chelmsford , Massachusetts, BlackRock, ClearBridge

☆ Dollar firms, yen skids as Fed cut wagers crumble
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

U.S. one hundred dollar bills are being shown in this picture illustration taken in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on Dec. 15, 2023. Japan intervened in the currency market three times in 2022 as the yen slid toward what was then a 32-year low of 152 to the dollar. The Japanese central bank last month ended eight years of negative interest rates but yen has remained rooted near 151 per dollar levels since then. The euro was last at $1.0744, having dropped 1% on Wednesday ahead of the European Central Bank, or ECB, meeting later in the day. The Australian dollar was little changed at $0.651, while the New Zealand dollar eased 0.17% to $0.598.

Persons: Masato Kanda, Kyle Rodda, Rodda, Kazuo Ueda, Kevin Cummins, Sterling Organizations: Fed, Reuters, Bank of, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, U.S, NatWest, Treasury, European Central Bank, ECB, New Zealand Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, Tokyo, Japan, Bank of Japan, U.S

Amid preparations for its spaceplane's maiden flight and an initial public offering as soon as next year, Sierra Space is expanding its satellite offerings. "We've actually been waiting for six months, so it's like, this [name], we really thought about it," Tom Vice, Sierra Space chief executive said in an interview for CNBC's "Manifest Space" podcast. Valued at $5.3 billion as of September, Sierra Space was spun out of defense contractor Sierra Nevada Corporation three years ago. Sierra Space touts a diverse space and defense tech portfolio spanning space transportation, space habitation, propulsion and satellites. It's perhaps best known for its NASA-contracted, reusable spaceplane Dream Chaser which will run cargo resupply missions to the International Space Station and eventually carry humans to and from orbit.

Persons: We've, Tom Vice, Eren, Jeff Bezos Organizations: Space, Sierra Space, Sierra Nevada Corporation, Fatih, NASA, International Space Station, Pentagon, U.S, FAA

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 20-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Increase (+0.15%)The average 20-year fixed mortgage rate is 15 points up from where it was last week, and is sitting at 6.30%. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Rise (+0.20%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.11%, up from last week. Mortgage Refinance Rates30-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Decrease (-0.30%)The average 30-year refinance rate is 7.06%, 30 basis points lower than last week. Mortgage rates also rose dramatically in 2023, though they started trending back down toward the end of the year.

Persons: you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: Federal Reserve, Mortgage Bankers Association, Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron

☆ Live Updates: Inflation Expected to Remain Stubborn
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +4 min

Policymakers have made it clear that they want to see further evidence that inflation is cooling before they cut interest rates. But Fed officials do not want to cut rates before they are confident that inflation is on track to return to normal. That threat of lingering inflation has become a more serious concern for policymakers since the start of the year. Inflation has flatlined in recent months after months of steady declines, raising some alarm at the Fed and among forecasters. Going into the year, investors expected the Fed to cut rates sharply in 2024 — to about 4 percent — but have dialed back those expectations.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Laura Rosner, Warburton, it’s, you’ve, ” Organizations: Federal, Fed, Goldman, Deutsche Bank Locations: Central

☆ Zelenskyy bashes the idea Ukraine would cede land to Russia — the core of Trump's reported secret plan to end the war
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | Paul Ronzheimer | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy dismissed Trump's reported secret plan to end Russia's war. According to The Washington Post, Trump favors Ukraine ceding territory to Russia to end the war. "If the deal is that we just give up our territories, and that's the idea behind it, then it's a very primitive idea," Zelenskyy said in an interview with Axel Springer media outlets. AdvertisementIn a statement to the Post, Trump's campaign cast doubt on any claims that the former president has formulated a way to end the war. "President Trump is the only one talking about stopping the killing."

Persons: Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Trump's, Trump, Zelenskyy, —, Donald Trump, Axel Springer, Joe Biden's, Karoline Leavitt, @ZelenskyyUa, Z69XAR0f0f, Paul Ronzheimer, Vladimir Putin, Putin, Mike Johnson, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Johnson, Mitch McConnell, Reagan, McConnell, Biden Organizations: The Washington Post, Service, Washington Post, CNN Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Crimea, Kharkiv, Russian, Israel, Taiwan, Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia

☆ Higher for Longer After All? Investors See Fed Rates Falling More Slowly.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Investors were betting big on Federal Reserve rate cuts at the start of 2024, wagering that central bankers would lower interest rates to around 4 percent by the end of the year. But after months of stubborn inflation and strong economic growth, the outlook is starting to look much less dramatic. Market pricing now suggests that rates will end the year in the neighborhood of 4.75 percent. That would mean Fed officials had cut rates two or three times from their current 5.3 percent. Central bankers do not want to risk tanking the job market and causing a recession by keeping interest rates too high for too long.

Organizations: Federal

☆ Ukraine ‘will lose the war’ if US aid not approved, says Zelensky
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-08 | by ( Christian Edwards | Maria Kostenko | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —Ukraine “will lose the war” if the United States Congress does not approve military aid to help it resist Russia’s invasion, President Volodymyr Zelensky said. “It’s important to specifically address the Congress: if the Congress doesn’t help Ukraine, Ukraine will lose the war,” Zelensky said Sunday during a video meeting of the Ukrainian fund-raising group UNITED24. “If Ukraine loses this war, other countries will be attacked. Zelensky previously told CNN that “millions” could die in Ukraine’s war with Russia if US lawmakers do not approve the aid package. There’s certain weapons systems, certain logistical support which the European countries simply cannot provide to Ukraine” such as air defense systems, he said.

Persons: Ukraine “, Volodymyr Zelensky, “, ” Zelensky, ”, Mike Johnson, Zelensky, Ukraine’s, Russia –, –, Anton Shtuka, Franz, Stefan Gady, Gady, UNITED24 ’ Organizations: CNN, United States Congress, Senate, Getty, International Institute for Strategic Studies Locations: Ukraine, “, Kyiv, Russia, Israel, Moscow, Avdiivka, Kharkiv, AFP, ”, Washington, Ukrainian

☆ Mortgage-backed securities offer high-quality income and are relatively cheap, UBS says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-08 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors looking for high-quality income, as well as a bargain, should turn to agency mortgage-backed securities, according to UBS. Agency MBS are debt obligations backed by the government and are issued by agencies such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae. However, agency MBS lagged their higher-quality counterparts because they are highly correlated to interest rate volatility, she said. As gross domestic product slowly trends lower, the market will become more comfortable with the likelihood of the Fed cutting rates, Falconio said. Banks, which have been investing excess deposits in Treasurys, will be among those turning to agency MBS, Falconio said.

Persons: Leslie Falconio, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, Falconio, Janus Henderson, Banks Organizations: UBS, CNBC, Agency MBS, Federal Reserve, MBS, SEC, Securities ETF Locations: UBS Americas, Treasurys

☆ Planning to Combine Business and Leisure Travel? You’re Not Alone.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-07 | by ( Amy Zipkin | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

“I take advantage, because I don’t know when I’m going to return,” Ms. Buchmann said of the decision to combine downtime with a business trip. As postpandemic work life has changed, and arrangements now include full-time office attendance as well as hybrid and remote work, so, too, has business travel. The phenomenon known as bleisure, or blended business and leisure travel, was initially embraced largely by digital nomads. But such combined travel is now also popular with people outside that group. Allied Market Research, a subsidiary of Allied Analytics, based in Portland, Ore., estimated that the bleisure travel market was $315.3 billion in 2022 and would reach $731.4 billion by 2032.

Persons: Melinda Buchmann, Josh, “, ” Ms, Buchmann Organizations: RevShoppe, Park, Lake Louise, Allied Market Research, Allied Locations: Florida, Banff , Alberta, Banff, Lake, Portland ,

☆ Bull market breaks its stride with the S&P 500's first 2% dip in a long while
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-06 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Was that a change in the market's character last week, or is it still the same old bull? This is generally to the good, as boring markets are bullish markets while they remain that way. Rates and commodities worries Other asset markets have also been at least inviting the question about a potential shift in character. The good news on this, as I keep insisting, is that it hasn't been a truly Fed-driven market. Though it's easy to imagine the market chafing at this kind of higher-rate, higher-growth equilibrium if it continues too much longer.

Persons: Ned Davis, Jerome Powell, hasn't, That's, We're, It's, Andrew Kelly Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Treasury, Fed, Investors Intelligence, Investment, Deutsche Bank ., New York Stock Exchange Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ A supercomputer is tracking one of most exciting soccer title races for years. It keeps coming up with different predictions
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Ben Church | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

CNN —A supercomputer is tracking one of the most exciting English Premier League title races in years and with three clubs involved, separated by a matter of points, it keeps spitting out different predictions as it analyzes thousands of simulations. Liverpool leads the title race on 70 points, with Arsenal second on 68 and City third on 67. Manchester City has the chance to win an unprecedented fourth straight Premier League title. Oli Scarff/AFP/Getty ImagesTwists and turnsLiverpool’s result follows a successful night for Manchester City and Arsenal on Wednesday, with both teams easing to victories. The team now looks focused on winning a league title as the perfect way of saying thank you to Klopp after his years of service.

Persons: “, ”, Oli Scarff, Kevin De Bruyne, Erling Haaland, Phil Foden, –, Arsenal breezed, Mikel Arteta, Martin Ødegaard’s, they’ll, Guardiola, David Price, ” Guardiola, Arteta, Klopp, Sheffield United – Klopp, Darwin, Conor Bradley, Mo Salah, Molly Darlington, Nunez, Ivo Grbic’s, Alexis Mac Allister, Cody Gakpo, ” Klopp, – it’s Organizations: CNN, English, League, – Liverpool, Arsenal, Manchester City –, Premier League, Liverpool, ”, Sheffield United, Manchester City, Reds, Aston Villa, Champions League, Crystal, team’s Champions League, Real Madrid, City, Manchester United, Old, FA, Arsenal FC, Getty, Invincible, Gunners, Luton, Reuters, Chelsea Locations: Liverpool, AFP, City, Luton, Old Trafford, Arteta, London, Chelsea

☆ Friday's analyst calls: Netflix seen adding to huge gains, Krispy Kreme gets upgrade
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Citi raised its target price to $106 from $101, which amounts to about 25% upside from Thursday's $84.47 close. Ollie's stock has ticked down 6.2% in 2024. SoFi stock has been under pressure in 2024 with a nearly 27% pullback. —Brian Evans 6:07 a.m.: Pivotal Research Group raises Netflix price target to Wall Street high Pivotal Research Group expects Netflix to outperform estimates for subscriber growth and average revenue per user in 2024 and beyond. Netflix stock has surged about 27% in 2024.

Persons: McDonald's, Anthony Pettinari, Brian Evans, Ollie's, Anthony Chukumba, — Brian Evans, KBW, Keefe, Timothy Switzer, Jeffrey Wlodarczak, Piper Sandler, Krispy, Krispy Kreme, Piper, Brian Mullan, Mullan Organizations: CNBC, Netflix, Sofi Technologies, Citi, Capital, Holdings

☆ Comic featuring Superman’s first ever appearance sells for record $6 million
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Issy Ronald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —A 1938 comic featuring Superman’s first appearance sold for $6 million at auction on Thursday, becoming the most expensive comic ever, according to Heritage Auctions, which handled the sale. And despite its age, this comic was still in very good condition, with rich colors and a little wear at the top. Only two other unrestored copies exist in better condition, Heritage Auctions said, and only 100 in total are estimated to survive out of the 200,000 originally printed. The comic was in remarkably good condition for its age. Other copies have also sold for record-breaking prices, including one in 2021 that went for $3.25 million and became the most expensive ever comic at the time.

Persons: Barry Sandoval, Jerry Siegel, Joe Shuster, Lois Lane, ” Organizations: CNN, Heritage, Heritage Auctions, CGC Comics

☆ Gold continues record rally after Fed comments; U.S. data in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Gold prices rallied to a record high on Thursday as Federal Reserve officials reiterated expectations of interest rate cuts in 2024, even if their timing was unclear, while traders await key U.S. jobs data. Spot gold was steady at $2,299.28 per ounce, as of 0343 GMT, and hit a record high of $2,304.09 earlier in the session. Bullion has hit record highs in each session since last week's Thursday. The U.S. jobs report for March is due to be released on Friday, with new inflation data coming next week. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding bullion.

Persons: Bullion, Michael Langford, Jerome Powell, Langford Organizations: Federal, U.S, Scorpion Minerals Locations: U.S

☆ Lirvana Labs developed an AI companion that it thinks will revolutionize the classroom. Here's the pitch deck the startup used to land $5.3 million.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( Samantha Stokes | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewAI has been a boom for the education space, and one startup just raised millions by convincing investors that large language models and generative AI will supercharge kids' learning. The startup, Lirvana Labs, just raised $5.3 million in seed funding from Kapor Capital, Transcend Capital Partners, and Chingona Ventures, Business Insider has learned. Lirvana Labs is betting that AI can counteract these trends. The startup's tech is available via a mobile app, which costs $9.99 monthly or $69.99 annually. Check out the 13-slide pitch deck Lirvana Labs used to raise its seed-funding round.

Persons: —, Christie, Clement Pang, Pang, Christie Pang Organizations: Service, Lirvana Labs, Kapor, Partners, Chingona Ventures, Business, National Center for Education Studies, Nations Locations: Menlo Park , California, Lebanon

☆ 10 popular McDonald's menu items that cost up to 168% more now than a decade ago
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( Alex Bitter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Collectively, the cost of a group of the most popular McDonald's items has doubled in that time. FinanceBuzzAmong the biggest McDonald's price hikes was for the McDouble sandwich, which went from an average price of $1.19 in 2014 to $3.19 in 2024 — a 168% increase. McDonald's has increased prices multiple times over the past decade. Executives acknowledged in February that McDonald's price increases had put off customers who made $45,000 a year or below. The fried-chicken chain Popeyes increased prices by 86%, while Taco Bell hiked them by 81%, the study found.

Persons: McDonald's, Price, —, FinanceBuzz, Burger, Taco Bell, Daniel Roccato Organizations: Starbucks, Service, Mac, Burger King, Business, Taco, University of San, Knauss School of Business Locations: McDonald's

☆ 7 jobs that pay well and are still scrambling to hire
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

There were around 8.8 million job openings in the US in February. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Openings for jobs have dropped from a rate of 6.0% in February 2023 to a rate of 5.3% this past February. Tuesday's news release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics said February job openings "changed little at 8.8 million" since January. Across industries, here are the roles with a multitude of openings, or an urgent need to hire.

Persons: —, Nick Bunker Organizations: BI, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bloomberg, North America, Business

☆ 7 jobs that pay well and have a ton of hiring demand right now
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

There were about 8.8 million job openings in the US in February. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Openings for jobs have dropped from a rate of 6% in February 2023 to 5.3% this past February. Tuesday's news release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics said February job openings "changed little at 8.8 million" since January.

Persons: —, Nick Bunker Organizations: Business, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bloomberg, North America

☆ These are Piper Sandler's favorite stocks for the second quarter
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

As a cloak of unease shrouds the market, it might be time for investors to consider turning to quality stocks, according to Piper Sandler. Piper Sandler also identified United Airlines as a quality stock to buy. The airline carrier stock moved to a ranking of 2 in the current quarter, from its previous ranking of 4. Microsoft is another quality name that could win big, Piper Sandler said. Microsoft stock rose on Monday after a report from The Information said that the company was planning a $100 billion data center project with OpenAI .

Persons: Piper Sandler, Piper Sandler's, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Piper, Communications, Verizon, Airlines, Boeing, United Airlines, Reuters, U.S . Federal Aviation Administration, Microsoft, Jefferies

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