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Retail investor participation in the equity derivatives market jumped 500% in the three years through March, according to data from the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). Once a broker discloses an investor's net worth and income, exchanges could monitor the person's exposure to futures and options contracts across brokerage firms, the other source said. SEBI had proposed a similar framework in 2017 but dropped the idea when brokers cited difficulties in assessing the net worth of their clients. The regulator revived the idea of curbs because of the study showing widespread losses on equity derivatives trades, the sources said. South Korea's financial markets regulator in 2011 introduced entry barriers for retail investors to trade in equity derivatives, including a minimum deposit and compulsory training.
Persons: SEBI, Jayshree, William Mallard Organizations: Securities and Exchange Board of India, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, India
The International Energy Agency (IEA) and consultancy Rystad Energy have brought forward forecasts of China's peak gasoline demand by about a year to 2024, while Chinese state majors PetroChina and Sinopec (600028.SS) see it in 2025. The earlier halt in gasoline demand growth in the world's No. Reuters GraphicsAs a result of accelerating EV sales, Paris-based IEA now expects Chinese gasoline demand to peak in 2024 at about 3.7 million barrels per day (bpd), bringing forward an earlier projection of demand plateauing in 2025/2026. The research arm of China's state refiner CNPC expects gasoline demand to peak in 2025, citing accelerating sales of EVs, and sees gasoline demand shrinking 2.3% annually between 2026 and 2030. China's massive move into petrochemicals is already causing a glut globally, prompting companies to shift investments to high-end energy transition materials.
Persons: Aly, refiners, Toril Bosoni, EV's, Gaurav Batra, Mukesh Sahdev, Ma Yongsheng, Mohi Narayan, Carman Chew, Matthew Chye, Chen Aizhu, Zoey Zhang, Andrew Hayley, Florence Tan, Sonali Paul Organizations: Porsche, Auto Shanghai, REUTERS, International Energy Agency, Rystad Energy, China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, Reuters Graphics, Reuters, China, Shenghong Petrochemical, Energy, Graphics, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, Jan, Sinopec, Asia, Reuters Graphics China, Paris, U.S, North America, India, Sun, New Delhi, Singapore, Beijing
SLOWLY, STEADILYBOJ sources say the central bank is leaning towards keeping its yield control policy unchanged as policymakers wait for data to affirm wages and inflation will keep rising. The benchmark 10-year JGB yield also retreated to 0.445% from as high as 0.485%. "We don't short the JGB market. In part, it's an expensive thing to do - as you know, the Bank of Japan owns 110% of the 10-year JGB market," he said. "Nobody's calling for them to hike aggressively, just bringing some function back to the JGB market, allowing themselves to step away because the data has given them an opportunity to do so.
Persons: Jimmy Lim, Lim, Kazuo Ueda, Nigel Foo, Haruhiko Kuroda, Jim Leaviss, Leaviss, Michael Michaelides, Ales Koutny, James Athey, Athey, Kevin Buckland, Ankur Banerjee, Summer Zhen, Alun John, Divya Chowdhury, Harry Robertson, Vidya Ranganathan, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Bank of Japan, Management, ING, Investors, G Investments, Vanguard, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, Singapore, FSI, abrdn
An options strategy that's done just right will let you capture appreciation as stocks rise and generate some portfolio income. Enter covered calls. With covered calls, rising markets introduce an element of risk: Sell a covered call against a stock that takes off on a hot streak, and you miss an opportunity. "The Nasdaq 100 has had some incredible runs, and investors missed out on those if they were in the covered calls strategy," Armour said. "In a year like 2022, I'm not sure the Nasdaq 100 covered calls strategy would feel defensive."
Persons: Randy Frederick, Frederick, Bryan Armour, It's, Armour, I'm Organizations: Schwab Center, Financial Research, Corporation, Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Morningstar, JPMorgan Equity, Global, Nasdaq Locations: North America
(Photo by SAUL LOEB / AFP) (Photo by SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images)U.S. regulators on Thursday unveiled a sweeping set of proposed changes to banks' capital requirements to address evolving international standards and the recent regional banking crisis. The changes will broadly raise the level of capital that banks need to maintain against possible losses, depending on each firm's risk profile, the agencies said. While the heightened requirements apply to all banks with at least $100 billion in assets, the changes are expected to impact the biggest and most complex banks the most, they said. "Improvements in risk sensitivity and consistency introduced by the proposal are estimated to result in an aggregate 16% increase in common equity tier 1 capital requirements," the regulators said in a fact sheet. Tier 1 common capital levels measure an institution's presumed financial strength and its buffer against recessions or trading blowups.
Persons: Michael Barr, Martin Gruenberg, SAUL LOEB, Long Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Banking, Urban Affairs, Capitol, AFP, Getty Images, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Basel III Locations: Washington , DC, Basel
Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel says it's time to buy "sector neutral" stocks with earnings momentum but lagging price momentum. Names with earnings momentum Emanuel told CNBC on Tuesday that there's a group of stocks whose earnings momentum is "superior to peers." "We recommend remaining fully invested, shifting focus to a sector neutral quant screen of stocks whose EPS momentum is better than peers yet whose price momentum lags since the March inflection to Maximum Momentum," he wrote in a July 23 note. "Such 'Earnings Mo' to Price Mo'" stocks could be expected to outperform as price momentum leaders 'cool off,'" he wrote. But he said that the long-term story is "exceptionally robust," thanks to an expected "productivity boost" from China.
Persons: Evercore, Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, Price Mo, CNBC's Organizations: CNBC, Deere & Co Energy, Cheniere Energy, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Communication, Pinterest, Eversource Locations: China
The two-day jump in gasoline prices — the biggest in a year — is combining with a rally in wheat and other agricultural commodities. All told, gas prices have spiked 9 cents in 48 hours. Lower gas prices have been central to progress on slowing price increases. The IMF warned on Tuesday that grain prices could rise by 10% to 15% because of the collapse of the grain deal. Yawger noted that soybean futures have also climbed sharply amid concerns about high heat hurting crops in the United States.
Persons: haven’t, , , Patrick De Haan, unnerve, Jerome Powell, Francisco Blanch, Joe Brusuelas, Brusuelas, Robert Yawger, Yawger, De Haan Organizations: New York CNN, Federal Reserve, AAA, unnerve ’, Bank of America, RSM, IMF, Mizuho Securities, Hurricanes, Nature, ExxonMobil, CNN Locations: Russia, Ukraine, United States, Baton Rouge
Binance, CEO plan to seek dismissal of CFTC complaint
  + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
July 24 (Reuters) - Binance and its CEO and founder Changpeng Zhao are planning to seek dismissal of a Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) complaint accusing the crypto exchange of violating the Commodity Exchange Act and certain related federal regulations. Binance is due to submit its response to the CFTC complaint on July 27 and plans to seek dismissal, according to a court filing on Monday. The CFTC in March sued Binance, the world's biggest crypto exchange, and Zhao for operating what the regulator alleged was an "illegal" exchange and a "sham" compliance program. In its complaint, the CFTC said that from at least July 2019 to the present, Binance "offered and executed commodity derivatives transactions on behalf of U.S. persons" in violation of U.S. laws. The CFTC and Binance did not immediately respond to Reuters' request for comment.
Persons: Changpeng Zhao, Binance, Zhao, Juby Babu, Varun Organizations: Futures Trading Commission, CFTC, Reuters, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Binance, Justice, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru
The Federal Reserve will make its next interest rate decision on Wednesday. Sen. Elizabeth Warren told Insider another hike could "be devastating for our economy." On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will decide whether it will raise interest rates again, or maintain the pause on hikes it implemented in June. "Chair Powell must maintain the Fed's pause on rate hikes and avoid further rate increases that threaten our economy and risk throwing Americans out of work." Still, Warren and some of her Democratic colleagues have been critical of Powell's continued rate hikes.
Persons: Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts Sen, Warren, Jerome Powell, Powell, we're, Democratic Sen, John Hickenlooper Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Fed, Federal, Market Committee, Consumer, Democratic Locations: Wall, Silicon, Massachusetts
It's time for investors to hedge their bets on tech stocks after a dramatic rally through the first half of the year, according to Goldman Sachs. Arun Prakash from Goldman's derivatives research team said in a note to clients on Tuesday that tech stocks look wobbly and could be due for a pullback. "Our analysis suggests that S & P Technology stocks have become unusually crowded relative to macro assets, and we see increased risk of downside asymmetry. Put options give the holder the right to sell an asset at a pre-determined strike price, and a put option is out of the money when the strike price is below the asset's current market price. The fund does not hold some of the other Big Tech names, including Meta Platforms and Alphabet .
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Arun Prakash, Goldman's, Goldman, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: P Technology, Technology, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Big Tech, Meta
Both theory and past practice suggest that higher interest rates weigh on investment and consumption, crimping companies’ profit and forcing them to reduce hiring or lay off staff. It could also be that higher interest rates weigh on prices by pushing up borrowing costs and weakening financial markets, without requiring widespread layoffs. But economic forecasters have wrongly anticipated layoffs and higher unemployment for much of the past year. Until disinflation becomes less immaculate, the central bank has the unholy problem of choosing between lessons from history and those of the last 12 months. The U.S. unemployment rate dipped to 3.6% in June, the BLS announced on July 7.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Powell, There’s, Ben Winck, Francesco Guerrera, Peter Thal Larsen, Sharon Lam, Streisand Neto Organizations: Reuters, Federal Reserve, Wall, U.S, Fed, UBS –, Bank of International, Workers, United, Refinitiv, Consumer, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Thomson Locations: U.S, United States, payrolls, Washington, London
The 'broadening out' rally is real. Here's how to play it
  + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The S & P 500 is up 2.3% this month, but the market really is broadening out , and former market leaders (tech and consumer discretionary) are lagging. You might be surprised to discover that about 60 of the 100 companies in the Nasdaq 100 are not technology companies. The Nasdaq 100 includes Airbnb, Marriott, Costco, GE Healthcare, Ross Stores, and Honeywell. First Trust Nasdaq-100 Ex-Technology ( QQXT ) tracks an equal-weighted index of Nasdaq 100 stocks that excludes technology companies. The ProShares S & P Ex-Technology ETF ( SPXT ) tracks a market-cap-weighted index of U.S. large-cap stocks, excluding firms in the technology sector.
Persons: Banks, Russell, Todd Sohn, Dan Ives, Rush, Ives Organizations: Energy, Dow, Technology, Nasdaq, GE Healthcare, Ross Stores, Honeywell, There's, Trust, Ex, Microsoft, Nvidia, Thrones, Oracle, Apple, IBM, Meta, Adobe Locations: Financials, Marriott, Costco
Investors are awaiting Microsoft (MSFT.O), Google-owner Alphabet (GOOGL.O) and Meta Platforms (META.O) earnings this week, which will show whether their stocks justify sky-high valuations. The Nasdaq (.NDX) lagged other indexes as investors looked to non-tech stocks for bargains, lifting sectors from energy to banks. Helping the Dow (.DJI) notch its longest winning streak since February 2017, Chevron (CVX.N) gained almost 2% as the oil giant posted upbeat preliminary quarterly earnings over the weekend. Nine of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors rose, led by a gain in energy stocks (.SPNY). The S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 58 new highs and 97 new lows.
Persons: Barbie, Randy Frederick, You've, Carol Schleif, Toymaker Mattel, AMC's, decliners, Carolina Mandl, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Shounak Dasgupta, Anil D'Silva, Richard Chang Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Mattel, Chevron, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Microsoft, Google, Investors, BMO Family Office, Reuters, AMC Entertainment, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York, Bengaluru
Investors are awaiting Microsoft (MSFT.O), Google-owner Alphabet (GOOGL.O) and Meta Platforms (META.O) earnings this week, which will show whether their stocks justify sky-high valuations. The Nasdaq (.NDX) lost steam during the session as investors looked to non-tech stocks for bargains, lifting sectors from energy to banks. Barclays' head of U.S. equity strategy Venu Krishna said in a note to clients that investors are differentiating between tech companies. A few Big Tech names are driving all of the earnings upside, while the outlook for the "Rest of the Tech" is deteriorating, he said. Helping the Dow (.DJI) notch its longest winning streak since February 2017, Chevron (CVX.N) gained as the oil giant posted upbeat preliminary quarterly earnings over the weekend.
Persons: Barbie, Randy Frederick, Venu Krishna, You've, Carol Schleif, Toymaker Mattel, AMC's, Carolina Mandl, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Shounak Dasgupta, Anil D'Silva, Richard Chang Organizations: Chevron, Dow, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Microsoft, Google, Nasdaq, Barclays, Big Tech, Tech, Investors, BMO Family Office, Reuters, AMC Entertainment, Thomson Locations: U.S, New York, Bengaluru
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, July 19, 2023. U.S. stock futures were about flat on Monday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average continued its longest winning streak since February 2017. While a stronger-than-expected earnings season has helped maintain the market rally, Wall Street is also carefully awaiting the Federal Reserve's policy decision on Wednesday. "We think that the economic risk and the earnings risk [are] one-sided. Wall Street will also looking at July's consumer confidence data.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald's, Johnston Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Electric, General Motors, Verizon, Microsoft Locations: New York City
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings could damage the current market momentum, says Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric JohnstonEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald head of equity derivatives & cross assets, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the bear case for the current stock market environment.
Persons: Cantor, Eric Johnston Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald
CME Group to lay off 3% of its workforce, reallocate positions
  + stars: | 2023-07-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
July 21 (Reuters) - CME Group (CME.O), the world's largest derivatives exchange, eliminated about 100 positions, or 3% of its workforce, this week while reallocating some positions, a spokesperson said on Friday. "The company plans to reallocate the majority of those positions to new, cloud-focused technology roles," the spokesperson said in an emailed statement, adding that the overall headcount will remain the same. The spokesperson declined to comment on how many people would be reallocated or whether CME will hire additional people to maintain headcount. Chicago-based CME operator is to announce second-quarter results on Wednesday. Reporting by Yana Gaur and Urvi Dugar in Bengaluru; Editing by William MallardOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Terry Duffy, Yana Gaur, Urvi, William Mallard Organizations: CME, Thomson Locations: U.S, Chicago, Bengaluru
"We estimate that this Friday will be the largest July-options-expiration on record driven by continued growth in index and ETF options volumes. The other major change is a special rebalance of the Nasdaq 100 Index , which takes effect at the start of trading on Monday. The Nasdaq 100 rebalance will dilute the impact of the largest stocks in the index. The changes could force index funds and other investment products benchmarked to the Nasdaq 100 to adjust their holdings. The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), which tracks the Nasdaq 100, manages more than $200 billion in assets.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Marshall, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Goldman, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Microsoft, Nvidia, Broadcom Locations: New York City, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLow option prices doesn't necessarily mean it's time to buy: RBC Capital Markets' Amy Wu SilvermanAmy Wu Silverman, RBC Capital Markets head of derivatives strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why it's been a painful year trading options, rest of the year outlook, and more.
Persons: Amy Wu Silverman Amy Wu Silverman, it's Organizations: RBC Capital Markets
Regulator cancels license of FTX's Australian business
  + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
July 19 (Reuters) - Australia's securities regulator said on Wednesday it had cancelled the license of the local arm of collapsed U.S. cryptocurrency exchange FTX, effective from July 14. The Australian Securities & Investments Commission (ASIC) had last November suspended the license until May, taking back FTX's permit to deal in derivative and foreign exchange contracts to retail and wholesale clients. FTX Australia can continue to provide limited financial services for terminating existing derivatives with clients until July 12, 2024, the regulator said on Wednesday. The license cancellation has no effect on requirements for FTX Australia to continue as a member of Australian Financial Complaints Authority, and to have arrangements for compensating retail clients, it added. Reporting by Harish Sridharan in Bengaluru; Editing by Sherry Jacob-PhillipsOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Sam Bankman, FTX, Harish Sridharan, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: U.S, Australian Securities & Investments Commission, Australian Financial, Authority, Thomson Locations: Bahamas, Australia, Bengaluru
British annual consumer price inflation fell to a lower than expected 7.9% in June, below a forecast for a decline to 8.2%. June's rate was a long way off last October's 41-year high of 11.1%, but far above the BoE's 2% target rate. "Some good news on UK inflation at last, coming in below expectations for June and most importantly the core inflation rate fell more than thought," Neil Birrell, who is chief investment officer at Premier Miton Investors, said. British finance minister Jeremy Hunt said there was still a long way to go to reduce inflation towards target. Meanwhile, interest-rate derivatives showed traders no longer believe UK rates will have to rise above 6% to temper inflation.
Persons: Barratt, Taylor Wimpey, Neil Birrell, Sterling, Jeremy Hunt, Hunt, Jeremy Batstone, Carr, Raymond James, Danilo Masoni, Alun John, Dhara Ranasinghe, Andrew Organizations: Reuters, Premier Miton Investors, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: United States, European, Milan
The quickly expanding world of buffer funds now has an option for investors who want 100% downside protection. The Innovator Equity Defined Protection ETF (TJUL) was introduced on Tuesday, the latest in the firm's defined outcome suite of funds. This one is designed to give investors full downside protection over a two-year period, in exchange for capped upside participation of roughly 16.6%. Money market funds have seen huge inflows this year, suggesting many investors are still reluctant to to take on risky investments. The fund is essentially a three-pronged options strategy, using flex options.
Persons: Tim Urbanowicz, Aniket Ullal, Urbanowicz Organizations: Equity, Advisors, Trust, TJUL, Treasury
The biggest stocks in the market will soon get taken down a peg or two, at least on paper. The seven largest stocks in the Nasdaq-100 will be diluted down to 44% of the index from the current 56%. The changes mean the Invesco QQQ Trust and other funds that closely follow the index will need to sell some of the biggest stocks in the market this week. "Nasdaq slashed the NDX weight of AAPL from 20% to 12%, but this change had no clear negative effect on the stock's performance. The rebalance comes as the increased concentration of large-cap tech stocks has raised concerns the current market rally is unsustainable.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Lori Calvasina, Bram Kaplan, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Broadcom, RBC Capital Markets, JPMorgan
State news agency WAM also said the two leaders discussed a comprehensive strategic partnership between the UAE and Japan. Japan is actively developing greener and renewable energy technologies and aims to be carbon neutral by 2050. Kishida will also try to promote Japanese know-how as energy-producing countries have pledged to achieve a net zero transition, especially ahead of the COP28 climate summit to be held in Dubai in November. The GCC is a six-nation regional union that comprises Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman and Bahrain. "The secure energy supply from the UAE has supported Japan's economic growth for many years," Kishida wrote in a piece published by UAE state news agency WAM on Sunday.
Persons: Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, Kishida, Ryan Carter, Fumio Kishida's, Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, WAM, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Hikariko Ono, Rachna Uppal, Sakura Murakami, Andrew Mills, Aziz El Yaakoubi, Conor Humphries, David Evans, Alex Richardson, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: United Arab Emirates, United, UAE, United Arab, Japan, Qatar, Saudi Crown, Cooperation Council, GCC, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, Thomson Locations: Japan, Qasr Al Watan, Abu Dhabi, United Arab, ABU DHABI, United Arab Emirates, UAE, State, Dubai, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh, Tokyo, Saudi, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman, Bahrain
The Liontrust GF High Yield Bond fund has become notable thanks to one thing: A 10% dividend yield. "It's got a very high-quality credit rating, I would argue," said Donald Phillips, one of the portfolio managers behind the fund. fund manager, Liontrust GF High Yield Bond fund Donald Phillips It also holds debt considered relatively riskier by credit rating agencies but one that Phillips believes has been mispriced. The value of a credit default swap increases when the risk of default rises. He highlighted that their fund yields higher returns and charges lower fees than many similar index ETFs.
Persons: It's, Donald Phillips, Phillips, Fortescue, it's, Biden Organizations: Fortescue Metals, Liontrust, ETF Locations: Europe, CeramTec
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