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☆ Gold rangebound with spotlight on U.S. inflation reading
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold traded in a narrow price range on Wednesday as investors looked forward to a key U.S. inflation reading that could shed more light on the Federal Reserve's interest rates trajectory. Gold traded in a narrow price range on Wednesday as investors looked forward to a key U.S. inflation reading that could shed more light on the Federal Reserve's interest rates trajectory. Spot gold rose 0.2% to $2,367.79 per ounce by 0229 GMT. Non-yielding bullion's appeal tends to shine when interest rates are lower. That may weigh on gold, which could see prices fall back towards the $2,300 level of support," Yeap said.

Persons: Gold, Jerome Powell, Powell, Yeap Jun Rong, Yeap Organizations: Traders, Global, Gold Locations: U.S, Europe, Asia

☆ Americans Are Angry Because Prices Are Constantly Changing
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Emily Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

A "good" price for something today may have seemed outlandish five years ago. A "good" price for something today may have seemed outlandish five years ago, and it's understandable to wonder whether today's price is just as fleeting. The whole idea of what's a good price for a 12-pack of carbonated soft drinks has changed dramatically over the past few years." Plenty of companies can move their prices, whether by using dynamic prices or downright raising prices, because they're the only game in town. The answer to getting accustomed to high prices is basically to forget what those numbers were in 2019.

Persons: Wendy's, they're, There's, Carly Fink, —, Fink, they'd, Jon Hauptman, Hauptman, Timothy Webb, University of Delaware who's, it's, Ravi Dhar, Taylor Swift, John Zhang, Webb, Dhar, Emily Stewart Organizations: Walmart, Price, University of Delaware, Center, Yale School of Management, Starbucks, Wharton, Business

☆ Why the Fed is stressed about presidential elections
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

New York CNN —Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sent investors mixed messages on Tuesday during his semiannual testimony to Congress. Powell is stressed about the election: Powell was asked by multiple senators about White House politics, which he dodged. While the Fed head noted that policy decisions are data dependent, “elevated inflation is not the only risk we face,” he said. The September Fed meeting will be “live”: Powell noted multiple times that every Fed policy decision is made “live” using the latest available economic data – in other words, decisions aren’t made in advance. About 75% of investors think the Fed will cut rates, and about 25% think they’ll remain the same.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, “, Donald Trump, reappoint Powell, ”, Joseph Brusuelas, Trump, Gregory Daco, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, Larkin, don’t, aren’t, David Rubenstein, he’ll, Airbnb, Isabelle Chapman, Majlie, Puy Kamp, Audrey Ash, Chris Isidore . Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN — Federal, White, “, Reserve, RSM, Federal Reserve, US Consumer, Treasury, Fed, Economics, Washington DC, Jackson, CNN, Boeing, Alaska Airlines Locations: New York, Powell, Washington, Alaska

☆ Asia-Pacific markets slip as investors assess Japan inflation data; China CPI in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Asia-Pacific markets started Wednesday lower, even as key Wall Street benchmarks rose following dovish comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell overnight. Powell signaled caution over leaving interest rates at too high a level, saying that "reducing policy restraint too late or too little could unduly weaken economic activity and employment." Over in Asia, investors will assess inflation data from China and Japan, with China releasing its consumer and producer prices data for June. Japan's corporate goods price index rose to 2.9% in June from a year earlier, in line with expectations and climbing at a faster pace compared to a revised 2.6% in May. The CGPI measures the price changes of goods traded within the corporate sector.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: U.S . Federal, PPI Locations: Asia, Pacific, U.S, China, Japan

☆ Treasury yields retreat as Fed Chair warns on keeping rates elevated for too long
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( April Roach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 10-year Treasury yield was one basis point lower at 4.2880%. The 2-year Treasury note yield was little changed at 4.6284%. U.S. Treasury bond yields were slightly down on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned that keeping interest rates elevated for too long could stunt economic growth. Powell said Tuesday that the economy and labor market remain strong, despite some recent cooling. The CPI pint is seen as a key test for the market and the outlook for rate cuts.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Capitol, Committee, House Financial

☆ Key inflation report looms on Thursday as traders grow more confident in Fed rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The consumer price index, or CPI, report for June is due out at 8:30 a.m. A widely anticipated inflation report on Thursday may solidify expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in coming months. The price changes in the components that make up the CPI index will also be a focus on Thursday, especially if the number comes in different from expectations. Both shelter and medical services are also key parts of the personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, rather than CPI. "We've seen medical services [be] pretty tame, and that's important because medical services makes up a much bigger portion of the PCE, which is the more important of the two inflation prints," Roth said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Dow Jones, Matt Brenner, Brenner, Tony Roth, We've, Roth Organizations: Federal Reserve, CPI, Wilmington Trust, PCE Locations: Wilmington

☆ Why June CPI is going to be a big moment for stock market bulls, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The June CPI report will show a continued drop in inflation, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. Lee expects a soft June CPI report will push the Fed to cut rates more than two times this year. "It's going to be a week of reckoning, and I mean a reckoning of how people view inflation and the state of the economy." Lee is also bullish on small-cap stocks, which have badly lagged the broader stock market rally so far this year. AdvertisementJPMorgan's trading desk also expects a light June CPI report will boost stock prices.

Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, —, it's, What's, JPMorgan's Andrew Tyler Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, CPI

☆ China's inflation numbers miss expectations, rising 0.2% in June
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Consumers are shopping at a supermarket in Qingzhou, China, on June 12, 2024. BEIJING — China's consumer price inflation rose by 0.2% in June from a year ago, missing expectations, while producer prices fell in-line with forecasts, data from the National Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday showed. China's consumer price index was expected to rise by 0.4% year-on-year in June, according to a poll by Reuters. The producer price index, which measures factory-gate prices, dropped by 0.8% from a year ago — in line with expectations. Core CPI, which strips out more volatile food and energy prices, rose by 0.6% year-on-year in June, slightly slower than the 0.7% increase for the first six months of the year.

Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, Reuters, CPI Locations: Qingzhou, China, BEIJING

☆ Stocks extend their winning streak, Apple pops and the PC recovery continues
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

PC recovery continues: We received two positive data points over the past two days confirming the PC recovery cycle is on track. On Tuesday IDC said the traditional PC market grew 3% in the second quarter, marking its second quarter of growth after seven straight quarters of decline. Gartner said Wednesday that worldwide PC shipments increased 1.9% in the second quarter, making it three straight quarters of year-over-year growth, according to its data. Apple pops : Apple extended its record-high streak after Bloomberg reported the company has told suppliers and partners it expects 10% growth in shipments of its new iPhone 16 this year compared with the 15 models in 2023. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jerome Powell, Powell, Gartner, Mikako Kitagawa, we've, We'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Financial Services Committee, IDC, Gartner, Bloomberg, Apple Intelligence, Apple, Costco, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Visual China, Getty Locations: China, GLP, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province

☆ Fed Chair Powell talks up progress on inflation but says rate cuts not imminent yet
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

However, central bank officials still want to see more progress before cutting interest rates, he noted. “The most recent inflation readings, however, have shown some modest further progress, and more good data would strengthen our confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2%,” he added. Fed officials expect to cut interest rates just once this year, according to their latest economic projections in June, compared to the three cuts they forecast in March. The annual PCE inflation rate registered at 2.6% in June, down slightly from 2.7% in May. Fed officials and most economists don’t see a recession this year.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Powell, Powell, Inflation, John Williams, ” Seema Shah Organizations: Washington CNN, Inflation, Committee, Financial, ” New York Fed, Congress, Fed, Asset Management Locations: India, United States

As long as inflation continues to slow, mortgage rates should ease throughout the remainder of 2024, improving affordability for hopeful homebuyers. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. Mortgage Rates for Buying a Home30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Decrease Slightly (-0.09%)The current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.62%, down nine basis points from where it was this time last week, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Essentially Flat (+0.01%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 5.99%, just one basis point higher than last week. Mortgage Refinance Rates30-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Increase Slightly (+0.16%)The average 30-year refinance rate is 7.86%, 16 basis points up from last week.

Persons: you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron

☆ Treasury yields rise ahead of fresh data, testimony from Fed Chair Powell
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over 2 basis points at 4.289%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.628% after rising by more than 1 basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Tuesday as investors looked ahead to economic data and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Investors awaited key data points slated for the week ahead, including fresh consumer and wholesale inflation figures. Several other Fed officials are also set to give remarks throughout the week and could provide more insights.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Investors, Federal Reserve, Banking, Financial Services Committee

☆ Stock market today: Indexes inch higher to new records after Powell testimony
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Investors tuned into Fed Chair Powell's testimony, but his comments did not shift interest-rate outlooks. AdvertisementThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 breached new records on Tuesday, though trades remained muted in the broader stock market. Monetary-policy outlooks were little changed after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's testimony to Congress. In his remarks, Powell highlighted mounting data of a cooling job market, and noted that the Fed wanted to see further signs of disinflation. Here's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Tuesday:Here's what else happened today:AdvertisementIn commodities, bonds, and crypto:

Persons: —, Jerome Powell's, Powell, John Lynch Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Federal, Fed, Comerica

☆ Stock market today: Indexes hover near records ahead of Fed Chair Powell's testimony
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Stock indexes are hovering near record highs ahead of the testimony of Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Meanwhile, the stock market has continued to strike new highs with help from its tech sector, with Nvidia rising 2% on Monday. Here's where US indexes stood at the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Tuesday:AdvertisementHere's what else happened today:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:Advertisement

Persons: Jerome Powell, —, Powell, Michael Barr, Michelle Bowman Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Federal, Nvidia Locations: Here's

☆ Opinion | A Beautiful Inflation Report
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Paul Krugman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

One of my go-to economic data experts emailed on Thursday morning about the latest inflation report, which showed prices actually falling in June and up only 3 percent over the past year. It was, he declared, “beautiful.”Your aesthetic sense may vary, but we’ve now had two months of really good price data, enough to puncture the bubble of pessimism that, um, inflated early this year. Many economists argued, however, that the bad data was just noise, largely reflecting one-time price resets at the start of the year. Note that the Federal Reserve focuses not on the Consumer Price Index but on an alternative measure, the personal consumption expenditure price index, which isn’t in yet for June. And since the Fed is supposed to skate to where the puck will be, not where it is right now, there’s now an overwhelming case for interest rate cuts.

Persons: we’ve, there’s Organizations: Federal Reserve, Consumer

☆ Stock futures are little changed after S&P 500 notches another record close: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stock futures were little changed in overnight trading Tuesday after the S&P 500 notched a fresh record close. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures were little changed. The S&P 500 edged up 0.07%, while the Nasdaq added 0.14%. Wednesday marks a light day for economic data, with a final wholesale inventories reading for May due ahead of the June consumer price index reading on Thursday. "If we get a cooler print on CPI this week and if get a cooler print on PPI, September will get priced in as a lock," Liz Young Thomas, SoFi's head of investment strategy, said on CNBC's "Closing Bell" on Tuesday, cautioning that at some point, cooler data may become too cool.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Dow, Powell, Liz Young Thomas, SoFi's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Senate, Committee, Financial Services Committee, PPI

☆ How to trade this week’s CPI report, according to JPMorgan
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 would increase 0.25%-0.75% under this outcome. 15% chance — CPI rises 0.25%-0.3%: The S & P 500 would drop 0.75%-1.25% under this scenario, as such a report could show shelter prices increasing. 15% chance — CPI gains by 0.1%-0.15%: This outcome would be viewed favorably by investors as it could signal accelerating "goods disinflation." The S & P 500 would jump 1%-1.5%. 2.5% chance — CPI rises more than 0.3%: Such a hot inflation report would spark a 1.25%-2.5% sell-off in the S & P 500, JPMorgan traders think.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, CPI, JPMorgan

☆ Stocks will struggle and a recession is on the table if the Fed fails to cut rates by September, Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The rally in stocks could be endangered if the Fed doesn't cut rates soon, Jeremy Siegel warned. The Wharton professor made the case for the central bank to cut rates in September as data softens. AdvertisementThe rally in stocks and the strength of the economy is at risk if the Fed doesn't start cutting interest rates soon, according to Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel. No rate cut in September could put a recession on the table, Siegel warned, in addition to endangering the trajectory for stocks. Advertisement"So although I think stocks are still in an uptrend and the growth stocks are still certainly walloping the value stocks, I think Powell has to take note," Siegel said.

Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Wharton, —, who's, Siegel, Powell Organizations: Service, CNBC, Atlanta Fed, New, Fed

☆ Treasury yields rise as investors look to inflation data due in week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over 3 basis points at 4.31%. The 2-year Treasury yield also climbed more than 3 basis points to 4.633%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Monday as investors looked ahead to key economic data due throughout the week, including fresh inflation insights. Data released Friday showed that nonfarm payrolls increased by 206,000 in June, more than the 200,000 Dow Jones forecast. Minutes from the Fed's latest meeting published last week showed that policymakers are looking for more evidence that inflation is easing before deciding to move rates.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Dow

☆ Stock market today: US stocks rise to records ahead of key June inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks jumped to record highs ahead of key economic data releases this week. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped to record highs on Monday ahead of key economic data scheduled for this week. Investors will be keenly focused on the June consumer price index report on Thursday, with Core CPI expected to rise 3.1% year-over-year, compared to May's CPI report of 3.3%. More inflation data will be released on Friday with the release of the June PPI report, which is expected to rise 0.1% on a month-over-month basis. The new inflation data will help inform investors and the Federal Reserve about the path of interest rates for the rest of this year.

Persons: Powell, —, Jerome Powell, Wells, Katie Stockton, Stockton Organizations: PPI, Service, Federal Reserve, Fed, Fed Governors, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Here's Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Wall Street thinks the US economy is getting back to normal. The election could change that
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

New York CNN —New data shows weakening in the US economy – Friday’s jobs report showed that unemployment ticked up to 4.1% in June. Inflation is easing, and so is economic growth – that combination means interest rate cuts could be on their way. Before the Bell spoke with Michael Reynolds, vice president of investment strategy at Glenmede, about investors, the economy and political landscape. We recognize that to have a thesis on the economy is to have a thesis on the consumer. The global market value for adult diapers was pegged at $12.8 billion in 2023, according to market research provider Euromonitor International.

Persons: Joe Biden, Bell, Michael Reynolds, we’ve, there’s, That’s, We’ve, Fumio Kishida, Read, Nathaniel Meyersohn Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Federal, DC, Traders, Fed, Federal Reserve, United Nations, UN, Euromonitor, Oji Holdings, Flags Locations: New York, Japan, China, Indonesia, Malaysia, United States

And at some Chipotle locations, customers filmed workers to try to make sure they didn't skimp on their burrito bowls. The three joined a growing list of consumer brands contending with customers' deep frustration over high prices — and wariness that prices will only rise more. Walmart, on the other hand, said the new price tags will cut a tedious task from store workers' to-do lists. They eliminate the need for store workers to swap out traditional paper tags. Shoppers at a Walmart store in Secaucus, New Jersey, US, on Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Persons: Wendy's, Jean, Pierre Dubé, David Chavern, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Kevin Lamarque, hasn't, Dianna Campbell, she's, Campbell isn't, Biden, skimping, Sen, Bob Casey, Andrea Foote, Tricia Moriarty, it's, Jim Cramer, CNBC's, Brian Niccol, Chipotle, We've, Wells, Zachary Fadem, Brandon Bell, It's, Kirk Tanner, Yuki Iwamura, Cristina Rodrigues, Gabby Jones Organizations: Walmart, University of Chicago Booth School of Business, Consumers, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Brands Association, Procter, Gamble, Pew Research, Pew, Reuters Shrinkflation, Federal Reserve, Customers, Gatorade, PepsiCo, CNBC, Chipotle, New York, Mexican Grill, Getty, American Farm Bureau Federation, Bloomberg, University of Chicago Locations: U.S, Goffstown , New Hampshire, Manhattan, New York City, Mexican, Austin , Texas, Queens, New York, Europe, Secaucus , New Jersey, US

In June, 30-year mortgage rates averaged around 6.58%, an 18-basis-point drop from the month before, according to Zillow data. This index is a key measure of inflation, and if it decelerated last month, mortgage rates could inch down in response. As inflation slows and the Federal Reserve is able to start lowering the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to ease. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates inched down to 6.25% last week, according to Freddie Mac data.

Persons: Fannie Mae's, homebuyers, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: Chevron

☆ Stock market today: Nvidia pushes Nasdaq, S&P 500 to record highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The S&P 500 index and Nasdaq closed at record highs, driven by a 2% gain in Nvidia. UBS raised Nvidia's price target to $150 due to strong demand for its chips and a reasonable valuation. Investors are awaiting June's CPI inflation report Thursday and comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. AdvertisementThe S&P 500 index and Nasdaq closed at record highs on Monday, driven by a nearly 2% gain in Nvidia stock. The AI darling rose after UBS raised its price target to $150 per share in a Monday note.

Persons: Jerome Powell, —, Price, Jeremy Siegel Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, UBS, Service, Nvidia's, Blackwell, Federal, Wharton School

☆ Trump's increasing election odds after debate already affecting financial markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Financial markets are slowly starting to absorb the possibility that what was once a toss-up presidential election campaign has taken a notable turn. That has put investors in a quandary of how to handicap what a Trump presidency would look like from an economic and market standpoint. .SPX mountain 2024-06-28 S & P 500 performance since the debate However, the bond market has had a bit more of a reaction. The first Trump presidency and some of his campaign rhetoric nevertheless has led to guesswork about what could be ahead. "This particularly favors financials and there will be an expectation of more M & A approval in a Trump presidency.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, specter, Biden, Trump, Mark Malek, Siebert AdvisorNXT, Handicapping, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, Ed Mills, Raymond James, Kamala Harris, Harris, Chris Krueger, TD Cowen, Krueger, ABC's George Stephanopoulos, —, Sarah Min Organizations: Republican, Trump, Treasury, Bank of, White, Reading, New York Times, Biden, Democrat Locations: Washington

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