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Despite a stock market that's less than 1% away from record highs, bearish forecasts are out in full force. And a weakening in the labor market will crush investor confidence and send the stock market falling by as much as 30%. BCA Research: A recession in early 2025 will cause 30% stock market declineBCA strategist Roukaya Ibrahim warned that a 30% correction in the stock market could be sparked by a recession early next year. Rosenberg famously predicted the 2008 recession, but his consistently bearish economic outlooks since then have largely fallen flat. Advertisement"Forward earnings rose to a record high during April, consistent with a solid labor market.
Persons: , they're, Gary Shilling, we've, Shilling, BI's Jennifer Sor, we're, John Hussman, Hussman, wouldn't, Roukaya Ibrahim, Ibrahim, David Rosenberg, We're, Rosenberg, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, landers Organizations: Service, Wall, Hussman Investment Trust, BCA, Bloomberg Locations: Wall
“It was Michael Cohen,” Davidson responded. Cohen is the only witness who will testify about Trump’s alleged involvement in both the decision to pay Daniels and the plan to reimburse Cohen for advancing the money. Prosecutors allege that during the February meeting, Trump and Cohen agreed how Cohen would be paid back. Arguably the most negative assessment of Cohen came from Davidson, who negotiated the hush money deal with Cohen on Daniels’ behalf in 2016. “There were times where Mr. Cohen did things that you felt were not helpful to what you were trying to accomplish, right?” Bove asked Trump’s 2016 campaign press secretary.
Persons: Michael Cohen, Donald Trump’s, Cohen, Stormy Daniels, David Pecker, Hope Hicks, , Daniels, Keith Davidson, Daniels ’, Gina Rodriguez –, “ Gina, Keith, ’ ” Davidson, , Joshua Steinglass, ” Davidson, Trump, Trump’s, Pecker, ” Steinglass, Todd Blanche, Elie Honig, Cohen’s, antagonizing Trump, Juan Merchan, Merchan, Cohen ’, Emil Bove, ” Pecker, Bove, Gary Farro, ” Farro, Davidson, ” Cohen, Christ, I’m, I’ve, ’ ”, Jeff McConney, ” McConney, Matthew Colangelo, Hicks, , ” Bove, ” Hicks Organizations: CNN, Trump, National Enquirer, American Media Inc, Prosecutors, Office, Daniels, Trump Organization Locations: Manhattan, Trump’s New York, Moscow, thedirty.com, Washington
Trump’s lead jumped to 9 points over Biden when Kennedy, Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independent Cornel West were included in the ballot test. (To make the debate stage, candidates must also appear on state ballots totaling at least 270 electoral votes. I should point out that third party and independent candidates tend to see their polling decline over the course of the campaign. Now, it’s quite possible that Kennedy voters will stick by him the more they hear about his positions. National polling for the most part has, after all, shown Kennedy voters prefer Trump to Biden, though not uniformly.
Persons: Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Ross Perot, Perot, Biden, Trump’s, Jill Stein, Cornel West, Ralph Nader, Gary Johnson, I’m, , Trump, Kennedy –, Kennedy “, Kennedy’s, we’ve, they’re, Don’t Organizations: CNN, Trump, Biden, Green Party, Cornel, Green, Libertarian Party, NBC, NBC News, Monmouth University, Quinnipiac University Locations: Monmouth
More than a quarter of US metros are still recovering from COVID-era job losses, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported. Today's job market amplifies fears of another recession, which some experts say could hit as soon as this year. AdvertisementAs analysts clash over when the next recession will befall the US, large swaths of the country are still bogged down in the previous downturn. The Federal Reserve Bank of New YorkBut this trend is especially distinct in the Northeast, a region that's home to particularly impacted metros. By this indicator, a recession started in October, confirmed further by accelerating job erosion, Danielle DiMartino Booth said.
Persons: , Danielle DiMartino Booth, it's, Frances Donald, Donald, We're, Gary Schilling Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, Service, US metros, QI, Bloomberg, Wall Street Locations: COVID, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Rust Belt, California, Hawaii, New Orleans, Honolulu, San Francisco, Cleveland , Detroit, Pittsburgh, Northeast, New York City, New York
Some are practicing something called "AI washing," which Securities and Exchange Commission chair Gary Gensler explained in a video includes "false claims to investors by those purporting to use those new technologies." In reality, what AI washing leads to is a breakdown of confidence between vendors and their consumers, enterprise partners and investors. Bates says so-called button-pushing applications are AI washing, too. "These prompts that are being sold as AI companies, they have to be maintained and monitored and adjusted in order to work." Stewart says even 80–90% gross profitability for a fully AI company with limited human intervention is standard.
Persons: they're, Gary Gensler, It's, it's, Michael Stewart, Timothy Bates, Bates, Toby Coulthard, Coulthard, Microsoft's, Stewart Organizations: Securities, Exchange, SEC, Inc, University of Michigan, Flint College of Innovation & Technology, Lenovo, General Motors
Cold Stone Creamery is facing legal action over 'pistachio' ice cream that contains no pistachios. AdvertisementThe parent company of Cold Stone Creamery is facing legal action after a New York woman ordered "pistachio" ice cream only to discover that it didn't contain pistachios. It all started when the plaintiff visited a Cold Stone Creamery in Levittown, Long Island, in July 2022, ordering what she believed was a pistachio ice cream. The plaintiff's lawyers argued that had she been aware of this, she wouldn't have bought the ice cream. Related storiesIn the ruling, the plaintiff compared Cold Stone Creamy's pistachio ice cream to offerings from Häagen-Dazs and Ben and Jerry's, both of which contained real pistachios.
Persons: , Gary R, Brown, wouldn't, Jerry's, Kahala Brands, Taco, Oren Bitan Organizations: Service, Cold, Eastern, Court, Kahala Brands, Kahala, Business, Taco Bell Locations: New York, York, Brooklyn, Levittown, Long, Häagen
Socialites are playing chess on "The Real Housewives of New York City." In 1990, according to the US Chess Federation, only 4% of chess players were women. Out in the world, chess' resurgence has been accompanied by a wave of new clubs and events. I made a pilgrimage to the Marshall Chess Club, a 109-year-old institution in Greenwich Village. The following evening, I went to an East Village bar and found a very different scene at Club Chess.
Persons: we'd, she'd, I'd, festers, Judit Polgár, Gary Kasparov, , Juliana Gallin, Jennifer Shahade, Alejandro Ramírez, Ramírez —, Ramírez, Shahade, Levy, Hikaru Nakamura, Rey, Anna Cramling, Miguel Pereira, Cramling, Nakamura, Bill Withers, Frank Marshall, Alexander Luke Bahta —, athleisure, you've, it's, Magnus Carlsen, Hans Niemann, Carlsen, Niemann, Dean Mouhtaropoulos, I've, Kasparov, they're, Vladimir Kramnik, Chess.com, Kramnik, Fabiano Caruana, Dan Timbrell, doesn't Organizations: Mechanics ' Institute, Housewives, New, US Chess Federation, FIDE, Washington Post, Marshall Chess Club, Chess, The Guardian, New York, whacking, Computer, YouTube Locations: San Francisco, New York City, Berkeley , California, Greenwich Village, hipsters, American, East, Canadian, Romanian, Netherlands, It's, New York, Russian
Donald Trump spent his day off from court at a supporters' dinner at Mar-a-Lago, Axios reported. The former president hosted fans who'd bought NFTs from his "Mugshot Edition" collection. Footage from the event showed Trump claiming that Joe Biden "has no idea" what crypto is. The mugshot NFTs cost $99 apiece. AdvertisementIn one post on X, the former president is seen saying: "Can we donate to the Trump campaign using crypto?
Persons: Donald Trump, Axios, who'd, Joe Biden, , Daniels, Joe, Trump, Crypto, Frank Degods, Biden, Gary, Gensler, you'd Organizations: Mar, Trump, Service, Biden, Securities, Exchange, SEC, cryptocurrencies
Apple 's latest $110 billion stock buyback authorization is the granddaddy of them all — the biggest in corporate history. Assuming an average annual $100 billion buyback by the Club name going forward, we wanted to look at just how much that is worth to shareholders. With more records set for its installed base of active devices and services in Q2, Apple stock rose nearly 6% on Friday, the session following Thursday evening's release. The net cash position is important because Apple aims to be net cash neutral over time. At a valuation of 28 times earnings, we arrive at a share price of about $182 each, right around where it was trading Wednesday.
Persons: let's, Apple, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Gary Hershorn Organizations: Apple, Club, Vision, Vision Pro, CNBC, Corbis, Getty
“Disclose, divest, we will not stop, we will not rest” is a frequent chant ringing through pro-Palestinian college protests. A proposal Columbia students put forward in December calls for divestment from Microsoft, Airbnb, Amazon and Alphabet, among others. Administrators at some universities, including Brown and Northwestern, have agreed to talks with students about divestment as part of agreements to end campus encampments. Before the war in Gaza, it had been pretty easy for universities to make compromises around divestment demands, but those expedient choices are haunting them now. Every investment in elite schools’ endowments is up for debate.
Persons: Airbnb, Brown, , Organizations: Hamas, Columbia, Microsoft, West Bank, University of Michigan Regents Locations: Israel, Columbia, Northwestern, Gaza
A recession by early next year could send stocks down 30%, says BCA strategist Roukaya Ibrahim. AdvertisementThere are two factors signaling a recession by year-end or early 2025, and a downturn could spark a 30% correction in stocks, according to BCA strategist Roukaya Ibrahim. "But eventually, the unemployment rate is going to take higher and that's going to lead to concerns about a recession." Ibrahim isn't alone in calling a recession and a steep plunge in the stock market. Wall Street veteran Gary Shilling, known for predicting the mid-2000s mortgage bubble, is also forecasting a 30% stock market crash by the end of this year, with a recession likely to crush speculative bets that have piled up in recent years.
Persons: Roukaya Ibrahim, Gary Shilling, , Ibrahim, Ibrahim isn't Organizations: Wall Street, Service, Bloomberg Locations: Friday's, China, Europe
A "soft landing" scenario is unlikely for the US economy, Citi CEO Jane Fraser said. "We're seeing a much more cautious low-income consumer," Fraser said. AdvertisementIt's going to be tough for the US to stick an economic soft landing, and rampant inflation is hitting lower-income Americans hard, Citi CEO Jane Fraser said. "It's hard to get a soft landing," Fraser told CNBC on Monday. Yet, Fraser cautioned against declaring a soft landing was a done deal.
Persons: Jane Fraser, Fraser, , Gary Shilling, Roukaya Ibrahim Organizations: Citi, Service, CNBC, Federal Reserve
Calling AI profound, Buffet said that the technology is like a "genie" — once it gets let out of the bottle, it could have disastrous effects. It's a question, he said, that has riddled the best economists for a century. Warren Buffett is the first to admit he doesn't know much about artificial intelligence. This rebound has led to questions from corporate executives about factors that could be at play, from AI to return-to-office mandates. "Every company is looking at AI and deciding where it will help them," he said during a recent interview on CNBC's "Money Movers."
Persons: Buffett, Buffet, Warren Buffett, it's, couldn't, John Maynard Keynes, Keynes, Gary Cohn, Cohn, Dev Ittycheria, Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, Sam Altman, Robert Solow, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: Apple, Berkshire Hathaway, Berkshire, IBM, National Economic, CNBC, Nvidia, McKinsey, Harvard Business Locations: Omaha, Berkshire
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSEC Chair Gensler on crypto regulation: Right now investors aren't getting the required disclosuresSEC Chair Gary Gensler joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the agency's oversight of the crypto market, the SEC's Wells notice to Robinhood Crypto, Consensys lawsuit against the SEC, why the agency charged Trump Media auditor with 'massive fraud', and more.
Persons: Gensler, aren't, Gary Gensler, Wells, Robinhood Crypto Organizations: SEC, Trump Media
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSEC Chair Gary Gensler dodges Trump Media campaign finance questionsSEC Chair Gary Gensler joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the agency's oversight of the crypto market, the SEC's Wells notice to Robinhood Crypto, Consensys lawsuit against the SEC, why the agency charged Trump Media auditor with 'massive fraud', and more.
Persons: Gary Gensler dodges, Gary Gensler, Wells, Robinhood Crypto Organizations: SEC, Gary Gensler dodges Trump Media, Trump Media
Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler on Tuesday refused to comment on speculation of whether Trump Media is a funding organ for Donald Trump's presidential campaign. "What's important is that their disclosures are accurate and that folks aren't in the market front-running or trading on insider information." As the majority shareholder, Trump stands to gain the largest financial boost from DJT upswings. On Friday, Trump's stake added 36 million more shares to his existing 78.8 million, due to a clause in the company's contract that unlocks bonus shares as the stock hits certain checkpoints. Given that bump, Trump's stake had a paper value of over $5 billion at Tuesday's market open.
Persons: Gary Gensler, Donald Trump's, I'm, Gensler, Trump, upswings, Trump's Organizations: Securities, Exchange, Trump Media, Nasdaq, Trump
A coming recession could end up sparking a "violent correction" in stocks, Gary Shilling told BI. The top forecaster pointed to warning signs of a downturn, such as a weaker job market. AdvertisementInvestors should be prepared for a recession with the potential to send the stock market plummeting this year, according to top forecaster Gary Shilling. That could be the final blow to the stock market rally fueled by investor overconfidence, causing stocks to drop by as much as 30%, Shilling said. Related storiesThe job market, for one, is "obviously slipping" as firms pull back on hiring, Shilling said.
Persons: Gary Shilling, , overconfidence, Shilling, we've, we're Organizations: Service, Business, Wall, Employers, San Francisco, Treasury
Former US President Donald Trump attends his trial for allegedly covering up hush money payments linked to extramarital affairs, at Manhattan Criminal Court in New York City, on May 2, 2024. The historic hush-money trial, which still has another three to five weeks to go, marks the first-ever criminal trial of an ex-U.S. president. Fined $9,000 for contempt of courtFormer US President Donald Trump sits in the courtroom at Manhattan criminal court in New York, US, on Friday, May 3, 2024. Prosecutors dig inRepublican presidential candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump shouts during a campaign event in Freeland, Michigan, U.S. May 1, 2024. Pecker, who said that he purchased the story in order to bury it, said that Trump never reimbursed the company.
Persons: Donald Trump, Doug Mills, He's, he's, Juan Merchan, Trump, Merchan, Attorney Alvin Bragg, Joe Biden, , doesn't, Trump's protestation, Chris Conroy, Brendan Mcdermid, Michael Cohen, Stormy Daniels, Daniels, David Pecker, Pecker, Donald Trump's, Timothy A, Clary, Cohen, Karen McDougal, Rhona Graff, McDougal, Gary Farro, Keith Davidson, Davidson, Hope Hicks, Alex Wong Organizations: Manhattan Criminal, Afp, Getty, Manhattan Supreme, Reuters, Attorney, Trump, Truth Social, Republican, National Enquirer, American Media, White House, Capitol Locations: New York City, Manhattan, Wisconsin, Michigan, New York, Waukesha , Wisconsin, Freeland , Michigan, U.S, Republic, Washington , DC
Both rappers released diss tracks that took blistering personal shots on Friday night. "He doesn't have the heart for the lying, disrespect, and animosity it requires to make an effective diss track," Pierre wrote. Later in the track, Drake references Cole's diss track and apology. At the end of the track, Lamar samples a 1994 Tupac interview to simulate a conversation between the two rappers. "6:16 in LA" also parodies Drake's song titles, which often feature location names and timestamps.
Persons: Kendrick Lamar, Drake's, Drake, , Lamar's fiancée Whitney Alford, Lamar, Aubrey Drake Graham —, Lamar dissed Drake, J, Cole, Rick Ross, Cole —, Taylor, Joseph Okpako, WireImage Lamar, Jermaine Cole, Big, Wale, Pusha, Meek Millz, Big Sean, Jay, Tyler, Mac Miller, Kunta, Lamar hasn't, Meek, Getty, Tim Mosenfelder, Aubrey, Muhammad Ali, Michael Jackson, Jackson, Prince, Mike Jack, Prince . Prince, , rics, Organizations: Metro Boomin, Service, Future, Metro, HBO, Drake, Wireless, Lamar, Big, Rocky, Rap Locations: Drake's, Lamar, LA, Florida
Watch CNBC's full interview with IBM's Gary Cohn
  + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with IBM's Gary CohnGary Cohn, IBM vice chairman and former NEC director, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss whether Cohn liked Friday's jobs report, whether the inflation numbers will start to come in lower, and more.
Persons: IBM's Gary Cohn Gary Cohn, Cohn Organizations: IBM, NEC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed will be happy with jobs report which showed cooling in employment, says IBM's CohnGary Cohn, IBM vice chairman and former NEC director, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss whether Cohn liked Friday's jobs report, whether the inflation numbers will start to come in lower, and mo
Persons: IBM's Cohn Gary Cohn, Cohn Organizations: IBM, NEC
An initial target of the SEC under a second Trump administration would be to roll back the new climate disclosure rules, these people explained. Gensler and the SEC adopted a rule in March requiring large publicly traded companies to disclose their levels of greenhouse gas emissions. Gensler argues greenhouse gas emission levels and other climate related data have a material impact on businesses, and investors deserve to know this information. But an SEC chaired by a Trump appointed Republican would likely remove these Biden-era disclosure requirements, these people said. The prospect of a Trump pullback on the SEC's climate disclosure rules is also tied to the former president's dislike of environmental, social and governance investment standards, some of these people explained.
Persons: Donald Trump, Gary Gensler, Trump, Joe Biden, Gensler, Biden Organizations: The Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Trump, Republican, CNBC Locations: Freeland , Michigan, U.S
Mr. Trump, 77, is charged with falsifying 34 business records to hide the payment to Ms. Daniels. He has denied the felony charges, and having had sex with Ms. Daniels and Ms. McDougal. The tabloid had agreed to buy negative stories about Mr. Trump and then bury them. Image Michael D. Cohen, Mr. Trump’s former fixer, was the point of contact for a lawyer seeking to sell stories. Mr. Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee, is planning rallies in Wisconsin and Michigan — both battleground states — on Wednesday.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Juan M, Trump’s, Stormy Daniels, Keith Davidson, Karen McDougal, she’d, Daniels, McDougal, Davidson, Dylan Howard, . Bauer, Griffin, , Howard, Mr, Ms, Michael D, Cohen, Justice Merchan, Michael Cohen, Gary Farro, Dave Sanders, Todd Blanche, Farro, Blanche, Cohen “, Melania Trump, Barron’s, Merchan Organizations: National Enquirer, Trump, Trump . Credit, Getty, Trump Organization, First Republic Bank, The New York Times, Prosecutors, SPAN, Republican Locations: Los Angeles, Trump ., Wisconsin, Michigan
At the University of California, Los Angeles, student journalists reporting on violent clashes between protesters said they were assaulted and gassed. On some college campuses rocked by the demonstrations, access has been restricted to students only, effectively making student journalists the only reliable news media reporting on the campus protests and clashes. Student Editor Anna Dai-Liu told CNN that she was gassed, and other student reporters were assaulted, with one reporter being taken to emergency care. “Student journalists have a unique and essential role on their campuses in observing and disseminating news,” said Gary Green, executive director of the Student Press Law Center. Jelani Cobb, dean of the Columbia Journalism School, also applauded student journalists for their reporting on the campus protests.
Persons: Anna Dai, Liu, , ETIENNE LAURENT, , Adelmi Ruiz, Ruiz, ” Ruiz, Jake Offenhartz, ” Meghnad Bose, CNN’s Gabe Cohen, CNN Meghnad Bose, ” Bose, Julia Vargas Jones, Vargas Jones, Corinne Catibayan, ” Vargas Jones, “ It’s, Gary Green, ” Green, Jelani Cobb, ” Cobb Organizations: CNN — Journalists, At Columbia University, University of California, UCLA, Daily Bruin, CNN, , Getty, Israel, “ UCLA, California State Polytechnic University, Humboldt, ABC, Columbia University, Hamilton, Associated Press, Columbia University's Graduate School of Journalism, Columbia Journalism School, Columbia Univeristy, Columbia University’s, Columbia Spectator, UCLA’s Daily Bruin, , Student Press Law Locations: Israel, Gaza, New York, Los Angeles, Northern California, University of California Los Angeles, AFP, Humboldt County, Hamilton, Philippines, Columbia
Within weeks, the two-year-old US Affordable Connectivity Program (ACP) is set to run out of funds, and Congress appears unlikely to authorize more. Even as many older and rural Americans may be thrust into financial hardship due to the ACP’s collapse, indigenous communities could fare even worse. Because tribal members can now work remotely, they are no longer forced to move away from their communities to seek opportunity, they told CNN. For example, Mitchell said, after decades of decline in Mohawk fluency, a growing number of tribal members are now involved in online language immersion. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) Seth Wenig/AP/FileInstead, some say, the collapse of the ACP will become another stain on the US government’s centuries-long track record of breaking promises to tribal communities.
Persons: Kelly, , , “ That’s, ” Kelly, Mike Johnson, Pennsylvania Democratic Sen, John Fetterman, Fetterman’s, Jonathan Nez, “ I’ve, Loren King, Geoffrey Starks, ” Starks, Allyson Mitchell, Mitchell, Nez, ” Nez, Derrick VanSoolen’s, Choctaw, ” VanSoolen, they’re, Bois, Randy Long, Gary Johnson, Paul, Seth Wenig, I’ll Organizations: Washington CNN, Mohawk, CNN, Connectivity Program, FCC, Pennsylvania Democratic, Federal Communications Commission, Treasury, US Federal Communications Commission, Mohawk Networks, Navajo, ACP, Emergency, Program, Choctaw Nation, Bois Forte, Paul Bunyan Communications Locations: St, Lawrence, New York, Canadian, Mohawk, America, Navajo, Oklahoma, Oklahoma , Arizona, New Mexico, Alaska, South Dakota, Arizona, Minnesota, Regis
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