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A close above 4,796.56 on the S&P 500 would confirm that the index has been in a bull market since bottoming out on Oct. 12, 2022, by one commonly used definition. By that definition, the bear market that began when the S&P 500 hit its previous record on Jan. 3, 2022 was not particularly painful. The S&P 500 closed down 25.4% at its lowest point, making this the fourth shallowest bear market experienced by the index since 1928, according to data from Yardeni Research. Over the last 50 years, the S&P 500 has risen an average of 16% in the three-month period leading up to a bull market. By contrast, the S&P 500 has logged average gains of just 0.2% and 2.0%, in the one-month and three-month period after a bull market is confirmed.
Persons: Carlo Allegri, San Francisco Fed, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: St, REUTERS, Yardeni Research, Reuters, San Francisco, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S
It comes as the US aims to break China's stranglehold over the global electric battery supply chain. Key US automakers like Tesla and Ford are still using Chinese technology in their electric cars. AdvertisementChina is well and truly winning the EV race — and now the White House has unveiled new rules to try and keep Chinese companies out of the US electric car market. The new restrictions could be a headache for US auto manufacturers, which have traditionally relied on China for their battery technology . The American EV market, meanwhile, has stuttered in recent months , with legacy automakers slashing investment and cutting back targets.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Elon Musk's Tesla Organizations: Ford, Service, White, American EV Locations: China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, Michigan
[1/2] Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 1, 2023. The Pentagon said it was aware of reports regarding attacks on an American warship and commercial vessels in the Red Sea on Sunday, while Yemen's Houthi group claimed drone and missile attacks on two Israeli vessels in the area. Such worries flared after Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack into southern Israel but subsided in recent weeks. Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist at LPL Financial, said a widening conflict could push some investors to take profits on the recent rally in stocks. Signs of an intensifying Middle East conflict could also boost oil prices, which have slumped in recent weeks.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Yemen's, Quincy Krosby, , , Phil Orlando, Federated Hermes, Santa Claus, Orlando, I'm, Krystal Hu, Ira Iosebashvili, Chizu Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Hamas, Pentagon, Reuters, LPL, U.S ., Federated, West Texas, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, American, Israel, United States, Iraq, Iran, Santa
Vesna Andjic | E+ | Getty ImagesWith roughly one month left in 2023, there's still time to reduce your tax bill or boost your refund, experts say. In 2018, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act nearly doubled the standard deduction, slashing the number of filers who itemized. Make the most of your tax bracketBefore completing a year-end strategy that adds to your income, you should see if you can afford to "run up the income tax brackets," Dietz said. Pretax IRA contributions : You can still make up to $6,500 in pretax IRA contributions ($7,500 for age 50 and older) for 2023, which may offer a deduction. However, you need to check IRA tax break eligibility first.
Persons: Vesna Andjic, there's, Akeiva Ellis, deferrals, Ellis, Robert Dietz, Dietz, It's, Louise Cochrane Organizations: Vanguard, Taxpayers, Bernstein Private Wealth Management, Locations: Boston, Minneapolis, Alameda , California
"We always said we will win the heartland states," BJP President Jagat Prakash Nadda told Reuters. However, a 28-party opposition alliance led by the Congress party has come together to jointly fight BJP, posing a new challenge. But the alliance did not feature in the state polls due to internal rivalries and it was a direct contest between BJP and Congress. Politicians and analysts say state elections do not always influence the outcome of the general elections or accurately indicate national voter mood. Results of the last round of state elections before national elections have been misleading in the past.
Persons: Stringer, Narendra Modi, Modi, Rahul Gandhi, Jagat Prakash Nadda, Jyotiraditya Scindia, Gandhi, Supriya Shrinate, Gurmeet Chadha, Ira Dugal, Lincoln, Christopher Cushing Organizations: REUTERS, DELHI, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Telangana, Reuters, Developmental, Congress, Thomson Locations: Madhya Pradesh, Indore, India, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Telangana, Karnataka, Mizoram, Mumbai
The Cavalry Is Not Coming
  + stars: | 2023-12-02 | by ( New York Times Audio | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: 1 min
The New York Times Audio app is home to journalism and storytelling and provides news, depth and serendipity. It is available to Times news subscribers on iOS. If you haven’t already, download the app and sign up for our weekly newsletter. Our new audio app is home to “This American Life,” the award-winning program hosted by Ira Glass. The app includes a “Best of ‘This American Life’” section with some of our favorite bite-size clips, so you can enjoy the show even if you don’t have a lot of time.
Persons: Ira Glass Organizations: New York Times
That helped India expand at a forecast-beating 7.6%, making it one of the world's fastest-growing major economies. It has been driven by rising incomes for many Indians, a severe housing shortage in big cities and strong population growth. Builders are bullish long-term with many saying the boom could last two to three years and some even more optimistic. "The housing market could continue to perform well for another three to four years," Sanjeev Jain, managing director at Parsvnath Developers, a leading real estate company, noting that India is in the initial stages of a housing growth cycle. The government is also trying to boost the availability of affordable housing by providing subsidies, which is encouraging construction in India's smaller towns and cities.
Persons: Nifty, Sunil Sinha, Sanjeev Jain, Prashant Thakur, Jayesh Rathod, Narendra Modi's, Manoj Kumar, Nigam, Ira Dugal, Edwina Gibbs Organizations: DELHI, Fitch, Builders, Parsvnath Developers, Reuters, Graphics, Advisory, Prestige Estates, DLF, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: India, China, Mumbai, New Delhi, Bangalore, rocketed, Thane, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Gujarat
The key catalyst for stocks will likely continue to be the expected trajectory of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. In September, historically the weakest month for stocks, the S&P 500 fell nearly 5%. The S&P 500 gained nearly 9% gain in November, historically a strong month for the index. Overall, December has been the second-best month for the S&P 500, with the index up an average of 1.54% for the month since 1945, according to CFRA. Many other names have languished: The equal-weighted S&P 500, whose performance is not skewed by big tech and growth stocks, is up around 6% in 2023.
Persons: Mike Segar, Santa Claus, Stocks, We've, Sam Stovall, Claus, Kraft Heinz, BofA, Sameer Samana, Dow, Michael Hartnett, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Research, Investors, LPL, BofA Global Research, PayPal Holdings, CVS Health, Kraft, Wells, Investment Institute, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Coinbase Global, Innovation, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Santa, New York
Illustration: Jarred BriggsTax breaks for charitable donations come in many flavors, and this year Congress has a new one for seniors called an IRA charitable gift annuity. It allows older owners of traditional IRAs to donate account funds to a charity and get tax breaks plus income payments for life. Brian and Deborah Smith of Park City, Utah, plan to try this option next year. That’s when Deborah Smith turns 73 and has to begin required withdrawals from her traditional IRA. She will donate $53,000 of her $550,000 account to the Episcopal church where the couple is active and Deborah serves on the board.
Persons: Jarred, Brian, Deborah Smith, That’s, Deborah Organizations: Episcopal Locations: Park City , Utah
Financial Gift Ideas for Any Age
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Nick Fortuna | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Seeding a ‘529’ college-savings plan for young children or a Roth IRA for teenagers can give your loved ones a leg up. Illustration: Alex NabaumU.S. consumers entered this holiday season planning to spend an average of $654 on gifts, with the likeliest purchases going to gift cards, vacation and travel, and toys and games, according to the Conference Board Holiday Spending Survey. Instead of giving these traditional gifts, wealth advisers say a financial-related gesture or present might be the best gift of all—the one that keeps on giving. Even small financial gifts can help to position young people for success or help seniors to enjoy their retirement, financial advisers say.
Persons: Roth, Alex Nabaum Organizations: Conference
The benchmark index closed at 4,594.63, nearly 6 points above its previous closing high for 2023 set in late July. The S&P 500 is up over 19% year-to-date after posting its biggest monthly rise in over a year in November. The S&P 500 reached its previous 2023 closing high on July 31, also spurred in part by excitement over developments in artificial intelligence technology. The megacaps' outperformance has increased their combined weight to well over one-fourth of the entire S&P 500, meaning the stocks' moves have outsized influence on the benchmark index. The S&P 500 currently trades at roughly 19 times forward earnings estimates, compared to a historical average of 15.6 times.
Persons: Mike Segar, Jerome Powell, Stocks, Lewis Krauskopf, Noel Randewich, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Valley Bank, Citigroup, Microsoft, Nvidia, Thomson Locations: Lower Manhattan, New York, U.S
Most grandparents offer some form of financial help to their children and grandchildren. Between inflation, rising housing costs, and increasing interest rates, it makes sense that grandparents and parents may want to help support their children and grandchildren financially. If parents weren't supporting their adult children, they'd have almost $3,000 more annually to put into their retirement funds, that same research found. Studies show that many grandparents are sabotaging their own financial future to help their adult children and grandchildren." Or grandparents might consider cohabitating with adult children and grandchildren to save money.
Persons: , I'd, Cyrus Bamji, Savings.com, Bamji, it's, there's, Baby Boomers, Roth Organizations: Service, Alliance, Lifetime, AARP, Alliance for Lifetime
Gen Z is the youngest generation in the workforce and many members want to retire early. Gen Z is in the workforce … and they are already looking for the exits. Gen Z is starting out with less money, more expenses, and higher costs." Here are a few issues Tisdale says Gen Zers could see impact their early timeline for retirement:1. What might help Gen Z reach their goal"It's important for Gen Z, since they are just getting started, to learn business basics and educate themselves on entrepreneurship, side hustles, and investing," Tisdale told Personal Finance Insider.
Persons: , Gen Zers, Stacey Tisdale, Gen Z, Tisdale, Zers, Gen, Robinhood, Z Organizations: Service, Transamerica Center, Retirement Studies, Finance
Yields on the U.S. benchmark 10-year Treasury , which move inversely to prices, saw their steepest decline in more than a decade. The Fed chair reiterated that the fight against inflation was far from finished and said the central bank was ready to further tighten monetary policy if necessary. Investors see a strong chance of the central bank delivering a rate cut as early as March 2024, LSEG data show. In late 2022, for example, many expected a recession would hit this year, forcing the Fed to loosen monetary policy. The economy proved resilient while monetary policy stayed tight.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Brendan McDermid, Powell, Paul Nolte, Christopher Waller, “ Powell, that’s, , Ed Al, James St . Aubin, David Randall, Lewis Krauskopf, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Daniel Wallis Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Fed, Treasury, Murphy, Sylvest Wealth Management, Columbia Threadneedle Investments, Sierra Investment Management, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
Storage tanks and gas-chilling units are seen at Freeport LNG, the second largest exporter of U.S. liquified natural gas, near Freeport, Texas, U.S., February 11, 2023. Reuters/Arathy Somasekhar/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsDec 1 (Reuters) - Investors have been piling into an exchange-traded fund (ETF) designed to track U.S. natural gas prices, in spite of the commodity's dismal performance in 2023. The U.S. Natural Gas Fund's (UNG) (UNG.P) price, tied to the performance of futures contracts on the commodity, has plunged 60.7% so far this year, falling 27% in November alone. Analysts said the drop in the ETF's price came alongside a fall in the price of natural gas sparked by milder than usual weather across the United States in recent weeks. Natural gas prices fell about 22% in November, the single largest monthly percentage drop since a 40% decline in January.
Persons: Arathy, Stacey Morris, Morris, UNG, Suzanne McGee, Ira Iosebashvili, Emelia Organizations: Reuters, Natural, Analysts, New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Thomson Locations: Freeport, U.S, Freeport , Texas, United States
The country's economy expanded 7.6% in the July-September quarter, trouncing estimates of a 6.8% rise, data released on Thursday showed. He had an earlier forecast growth at 6.7%. The government stuck to its 6.5% growth forecast for the year, but chief economic advisor V. Anantha Nageswaran said he was "more comfortable with an upside to this projection than before". Reuters GraphicsCitigroup revised its growth forecast for the financial year upwards by 50 basis points to 6.7% citing a pick-up in investment activity. "This reaffirms our view of sustained investment recovery," the Wall Street bank's chief India economist Samiran Chakraborty said in a note.
Persons: Ranita Roy, Saumya Kanti Ghosh, V, Anantha Nageswaran, Gross, Samiran Chakraborty, Chakraborty, Radhika Rao, Gaura Sen Gupta, Ira Dugal, Nivedita Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, State Bank of India, Reuters Graphics Citigroup, Street bank's, DBS, IDFC, Bank Economics Research, Thomson Locations: Kolkata, India
Kirban, 48, is the co-founder and executive chairman of The Vita Coco Company, which started selling its namesake coconut water in 2004. Today, Vita Coco is a behemoth in its own right, sporting a $1.6 billion market cap as of Thursday afternoon. It commands nearly 50% of the U.S. coconut water market, according to the company's U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filings. I remember just sitting there, in this old apartment that I lived in at the time, thinking and thinking and thinking. Somehow, I went from "Holy s---, we're dead," to ... "Holy s---, let's go and beat the s--- out of them."
Persons: Michael Kirban, Vita Coco, Zico, Ira Liran, Mark Rampolla, Kirban, let's, I'd, it's, Guy Oseary Organizations: CNBC, Vita Coco Company, Cola Company, Cola, U.S . Securities, Exchange Locations: Zico, U.S
Yellen will tour a Livent Corp (LTHM.N) facility in Bessemer City, North Carolina, that processes lithium hydroxide, a key ingredient in electric vehicle batteries. The plant near Charlotte is doubling its capacity due to increased demand for electric vehicles spurred by consumer tax credits of up $7,500 approved in the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act. These include $142 billion in EVs and batteries and $71 billion in clean energy manufacturing, and she attributed much of the investment to tax credits in the inflation reduction act. The Biden administration in coming days is expected to release new guidance on the levels of Chinese content that EV batteries can have and still qualify for IRA tax credits. It will take time for this to fade and for people to feel the benefits of higher wages, he added.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Joe Biden, Yellen, Biden, Donald Trump, Larry Sabato, we're, Sabato, David Lawder, Howard Schneider, Chizu Organizations: . Treasury, U.S, Livent Corp, Midwest, EV, University of Virginia's Center, Politics, Thomson Locations: North Carolina, Bessemer City , North Carolina, Charlotte, EVs, Argentina, Canada, U.S
For much of this year central banks have successfully pushed back against rate cut bets. "I believe the Fed will act rationally and begin to cut rates by the end of next year, but we can't rule out the scenario that the Fed is not going to cut rates and just let the ramifications of recession do what they do." Reuters GraphicsSHIFT NEARINGMarkets now fully price in a 25 basis point U.S. rate cut in May, having seen a 65% chance earlier this week. "There are now committee members in all three (banks) willing to talk about rate cuts next year," said Chris Jeffery, head of rates and inflation strategy at LGIM. "The ECB should begin to ease policy as soon as April 2024, with risks that a more sinister downturn in growth could warrant a rate cut as soon as March," he said.
Persons: Jonathan Ernst, ramping, It's, Nate Thooft, Goldman, Christopher Waller, Huw Pill, Yannis Stournaras, Chris Jeffery, we'd, Dario Perkins, Simon Harvey, Yoruk, Naomi Rovnick, Harry Roberston, Davide Barbuscia, Ira Iosebasvili, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Dhara Ranasinghe, Catherine Evans Organizations: . Federal, REUTERS, ECB, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Manulife Investment Management, Treasury, Graphics, Bank of England, Deutsche, Lombard, Traders, Yoruk Bahceli, Thomson Locations: Washington, United States, Europe, Goldman Sachs, Greek, Amsterdam, London
Rates futures markets are showing cuts being priced as early as May 2024, according to LSEG data. The prospects for rate cuts received a boost on Tuesday after Fed Governor Christopher Waller, deemed a hawk, hinted at lower interest rates in the months ahead if inflation continued to ease. Deutsche Bank economists on Monday projected 175 basis points in Fed rate cuts in 2024, but said that those cuts would come with a mild recession in the first half of next year. “Absent rapid Fed easing, we expect a more challenging macro backdrop for stocks next year,” they wrote in a Wednesday report. Others said investors may be overestimating how quickly the Fed might react to signs of slowing inflation.
Persons: Carlo Allegri, Jack Ablin, ” Ablin, Christopher Waller, , Jake Schurmeier, Schurmeier, Thomas Barkin, Charlie McElligott, Michael Green, David Randall, Lewis Krauskopf, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Cresset, Gross, Harbor, Reuters, Richmond Fed, Nomura Securities, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, Management, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, stoke, Carolina, New York
Apple has released a list of the 10 most popular podcasts of 2023. Apple shared a roundup on Tuesday of the most popular podcasts of 2023. But today, we will be focusing on the top 10 podcasts overall, according to Apple. Denise Truscello"Stuff You Should Know" will, according to Apple Podcasts, teach you everything you need to know about science, history, religion, crime, and more. It is the top health and fitness-related podcast on Apple Podcasts and Spotify, according to the podcast's website.
Persons: Apple, , Josh Clark, Chuck Bryant, Denise Truscello, Clark, Byrant, Shankar Vedantam, Chance Yeh, Andrew Huberman, Mark Zuckerberg, Priscilla Chan, Drew Angerer, Alaina Urquhart, Ash Kelley, Urquhart, Kelley, Glass, Astrid Stawiarz, Ira Glass, Chicago that's, Jason Bateman, Will Arnett, Sean Hayes, Frazer Harrison, Manny Carabel, Amy Sussman, Getty, Ryan Reynolds, Jennifer Aniston, Will Ferrell, Adam Sandler, Gary Hershorn, It's, Michael Barbaro, Sabrina Tavernise, Ashley Flowers, Audiochuck, Brit Prawat Organizations: Apple, Service, SYSK, NPR, The Washington Post, National Public, Public Radio Exchange, Getty, NBC NBC Dateline, NBC, Nielsen Media Research, The New York Times Locations: Stanford, Boston
Any active investor knows the name Robinhood — but do you know about Robinhood Gold? Robinhood Gold is a suite of features and tools that span both non-retirement brokerage accounts and IRAs held within Robinhood. Here are three reasons you might want to consider Robinhood Gold for your money:1. Open a Robinhood Gold account today. The cash sweep program and Robinhood Gold are offered through Robinhood Financial LLC.
Persons: IRAs, Goldman Sachs, it's, Gold Organizations: Gold, HSBC, Citibank, Bank of Baroda, US Bank , Bank of India, Truist Bank, T Bank, First Horizon Bank, EagleBank, CIBC Bank, IRA, Morningstar, Nasdaq, Robinhood, Robinhood Financial Locations: Robinhood, Wells Fargo
The remaining acreage, in New Mexico, Oklahoma, Nevada, North Dakota and Utah, will be sold on Nov. 30, Dec. 5 and Dec. 12. The UN's "Conference of the Parties" on climate, known as COP 28, will begin on Thursday and will take place over the same two weeks. Dozens of nations plan to push for the world's first deal to phase out carbon dioxide-emitting coal, oil and gas at the meeting. "Instead of doing the necessary work to fight climate change, Biden continues to support the expansion of fossil fuels here in the U.S.," Nicole Ghio, senior fossil fuels program manager for Friends of the Earth, said in a statement. Biden's Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), a climate change law passed last year, made oil and gas auctions a prerequisite for renewable energy development.
Persons: Rick Wilking, Biden, Joe Biden, Nicole Ghio, Trump, Nichola Groom, Aurora Ellis Organizations: REUTERS, drillers, United Nations, Interior Department's, Interior Department's U.S . Bureau of Land Management, Department, Thomson Locations: Ft . Laramie , Wyoming, Wyoming, Dubai, Interior, Interior Department's U.S, New Mexico , Oklahoma , Nevada , North Dakota, Utah, U.S
"If there is a regime shift, then what has worked could be quite different from what does work," McLennan said. That means the growth stocks that dominated for years may come back to earth in the mid-2020s. He also recommends that investors diversify away from growth stocks that thrived under low rates and instead broaden out to value-oriented names. Valuations explain 80% of a stock's returns over a decade, according to Bank of America. Smead sees energy in stocks in Canada also outperforming in the coming decade, as well as European banks.
Persons: , Peter Bates, Rowe Price, Damanick Dantes, We're, Dantes, you've, He's, Matt McLennan, McLennan, Kimball Brooker, Morningstar, Nicola Stafford, Stafford, it's, Molina, Bates, Russell, Cole Smead, that's, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, Bob Doll, Doll, Smead, Michael Sheldon, Sheldon, who's, there's, Chris Chen, Chen, Roth Organizations: Service, Business, Global, International, McLennan, First Eagle Global Fund, Eagle Investments, Goldman, Asset Management, Stock, Molina Healthcare, Vanguard Value, Healthcare, Bank of America, Comerica Wealth Management, MRB Partners, Canadian, Crossmark Global Investments, BlackRock, Energy, P Bank ETF, RDM Financial, Social Security, Social, Insight Financial, Trust, IRA Locations: Canada, Colmar, United States, Canadian, Europe, Treasuries
High-yield savings accounts, CDs, and I Bonds are good options depending on how soon you want to buy. As a financial planner, I have seven creative ways to save for a first home down payment. Automate monthly contributions to a high-yield savings accountOne of the easiest ways to grow your home down payment is to save in a high-yield savings account. Currently, many high-yield savings accounts are offering 4% to 5% or higher. Set up automatic transfers from your checking account to this high-yield savings account.
Persons: , Roth IRAs Organizations: Service
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