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Wholesale prices were flat in September, below expectations
  + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A measure of wholesale prices showed no change in September, pointing to a continued easing in inflation, the Labor Department reported Friday. The producer price index, which measures what producers get for their goods and services, was flat for the month and up 1.8% from a year ago. Within the PPI, a 0.2% decline in final demand goods prices offset a 0.2% increase in services. A 3% jump in deposit services costs pushed the services index higher, while professional and commercial equipment wholesaling prices tumbled 6.3%. Similarly, the index for gasoline fell 5.6%, holding back gains on the goods index.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Labor Department, PPI, Fed
Chinese stocks are poised for a huge run-up in the next year, according to Renaissance Macro's Jeff deGraaf. Other notable investors have been looking to buy the dip in Chinese stocks amid continued stimulus efforts. Other traders on Wall Street have shown interest in buying the dip in Chinese equities, despite fear that Beijing's economic slowdown could stick around. Other strategists on Wall Street have made bullish calls on Chinese equities in recent weeks, with eyes on continued stimulus measures in Beijing. Goldman Sachs predicted China's stock market could rally another 20%, thanks to "more substantial policy measures" and Chinese stocks being oversold, strategists said in a note.
Persons: Jeff deGraaf, , deGraaf, Beijing didn't, Mario Draghi, Michael Hartnett, Yuan Wei, Yuan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Macro, CSI, Bloomberg, Beijing, Investors, Bank of America, Investment Fund Management Co Locations: , Beijing, China, Wall, Shenzhen, Hong Kong
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. During the Club's Morning Meeting, Jim Cramer said Wall Street is "starting earnings season off with a bang." Club stock Wells Fargo rose more than 5.5% after quarterly profit exceeded estimates. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Melius, Jensen Huang, Morgan Stanley, CrowdStrike, Stocks, Tesla, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, AMD, Melius Research, Nvidia, Alto Networks, JPMorgan, Ferrari Locations: Wells, BlackRock
IBM is up twice as much as the market the past 12 months (and, per chance, twice as much as the S & P 500 Technology Sector and the NASDAQ 100 Index). And those engaged in the business of short selling, IBM is judged to be a good candidate. THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. THE CONTENT IS GENERAL IN NATURE AND DOES NOT REFLECT ANY INDIVIDUAL'S UNIQUE PERSONAL CIRCUMSTANCES. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: Business Machines, IBM, Technology, NASDAQ, , CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "I am totally comfortable with skipping [rate cuts for] a meeting if the data suggests that's appropriate," Bostic told The Wall Street Journal in an interview Thursday. The data suggests so. But Bostic acknowledged it's important to see whether individual data points cohere into a larger pattern, or if they're just "janky," as Bostic put it.
Persons: Justin Sullivan, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Joseph Brusuelas, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim Organizations: Getty, CNBC, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Federal, Market, RSM Locations: San Rafael , California
Gold drifts higher after data supports U.S. rate-cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices climbed on Friday after recent data supported bets for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month, while market participants awaited the U.S. Producer Price Index report for further direction. Spot gold rose 0.5% to $2,641.70 per ounce by 0245 GMT but was down about 0.4% for the week. Data on Thursday showed that U.S. consumer prices rose slightly more than expected in September, while jobless claims increased to 258,000 in the week ended Oct. 5, versus estimates of 230,000. "Gold is seeing short-term gains as recent data has been positive. If the PPI data comes in softer, gold's momentum could continue upward," said Kelvin Wong, OANDA's senior market analyst for Asia Pacific.
Persons: Price, Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, CME's Organizations: Federal, PPI, Asia Locations: Tokyo, Japan, CME's FedWatch, Beirut
Investors who fear stubborn inflation, if not an outright rebound, got a bit of a salve on Friday morning. Wholesale prices showed no change month over month for September, coming in below expectations. The producer price index report may help offset some of the slight concerns about Thursday's consumer price index report, which was a bit hotter than expected. The personal consumption expenditures price index for September will be released on Oct. 31. "We think the Fed is really still on track to cut 25 [basis points] at each of the next two meetings," Seif added.
Persons: David Seif, Seif, Wells Organizations: Nomura Securities, Fed, PPI, Traders, JPMorgan Chase, BNY Mellon Locations: Wells Fargo
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell arrives to a news conference following the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee at the William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building on September 18, 2024 in Washington, DC. This week's inflation data provided more evidence that the Federal Reserve is nearing its objective, fresh on the heels of the central bank's dramatic interest rate cut just a few weeks ago. Consumer and producer price indexes for September both came in around expectations, showing that inflation is drifting down to the central bank's 2% target. The Wall Street investment bank on Friday projected that the Commerce Department's personal consumption expenditures price index for September will show a 12-month inflation rate of 2.04% when it is released later this month. The Fed prefers the PCE as its inflation gauge though it uses a variety of inputs to make decisions.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Austan Goolsbee Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Washington , DC, Commerce, Fed, PCE, Chicago Fed, CNBC Locations: Washington ,
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering near 6.20%, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates are in the mid 5% range, according to Zillow data. Average Refinance Mortgage Rates TodayRefinance rates are a bit higher today after dropping in September. Last month, 30-year refinance rates averaged 5.89%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.19%.
Persons: they've, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, refinance Organizations: Fed, Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: Chevron
AdvertisementThis as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Khristianne Uy, known as Chef K, a 42-year-old private chef for celebrities based in Los Angeles. I was introduced to working as a private chef through someone I met at work. Related storiesIn 2003, I did a one-year unpaid internship with a seasoned private chef to advance my career. Being a private chef is different because there's no egoYou have to get curious about what your clients want and ask them how you can improve. There's so much on the horizon, I'm working on a cookbook and some docuseries — maybe even my own reality show.
Persons: Khristianne, K, Kardashian, , Khristianne Uy, It's, I'd, Simon Fuller, James Cameron's, Susan Cameron, There's, I've, Charlie Sheen, Jonas Brothers, Ryan Seacrest, there's, Ryan, Kris Jenner, it's, I'm, James Charles, Lauryn Haas Organizations: Service, lhaas Locations: Philippines, LA, Los Angeles, New York, California, Hulu, Japan
And, with earnings season set to ramp up, that could mean further gains. Already, on Friday, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo were rallying in midday trading after reporting their latest results this week, an auspicious start to the earnings season. A strong earnings season Earnings results next week will be dominated by reports from the banking sector, giving investors further insight into the health of the capital markets as well as the consumer. Several regional banks are also set to announce how they did in the most recent quarter as well, such as PNC Financial Services Group and Citizens Financial Group. Even so, investors are optimistic about the outlook for corporate profits this earnings season, especially with expectations having come down.
Persons: what's, Oppenheimer, Wells Fargo, Charlie Ashley, Ashley, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Ross Mayfield, Catalyst's Ashley, Baird's Mayfield, Mayfield, Charles Schwab, Huntington Bancshares Organizations: Dow Jones, Tech, Nvidia, JPMorgan Chase, Traders, Federal Reserve, Catalyst Funds, Nasdaq, Ashley . Bank of America, PNC Financial Services Group, Citizens Financial Group, Private Wealth Management, Treasury, Columbus, Columbus Day, Index, United Airlines, Hunt Transport Services, Citigroup, State, Goldman Sachs Group, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Johnson, Bank of America, PNC Financial Services, UnitedHealth, Price, PPG Industries, Steel Dynamics, Discover Financial Services, CSX, Abbott Laboratories, U.S . Bancorp, Financial Group, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Netflix, T Bank Corp, Elevance, Truist, Blackstone, Housing, Schlumberger, Procter, Gamble, Fifth Third Bancorp, Regions Financial, American Express Locations: Ashley, bullish, Prologis, NAHB
China's Ministry of Finance, pictured here in Beijing in 2021, is refunding taxes and cutting fees to support economic growth. China's Finance Minister Lan Fo'an is set to hold a press conference at 10 a.m. on Saturday local time on "intensifying" fiscal stimulus policies, the country's State Council Information Office said. Authorities are likely to affirm that at the press conference on Saturday, Zhao said. At the time, Chinese major indexes began to rally, surging over 25% as investors cheered on the slate of stimulus measures. Lan Fo'an, China's Minister of Finance, attends a press conference during the second session of the 14th National People's Congress (NPC) in Beijing on March 6, 2024.
Persons: Cong, Lan Fo'an, NDRC, Zheng Shanjie, Chen Zhao, CNBC's, Zhao, Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley, Wang Zhao Organizations: of Finance, Bloomberg, Getty, China's Finance, Beijing, Investors, National Development, Reform, Authorities, China's Ministry, Finance, China's, National People's Congress, Afp Locations: Beijing, country's, Shanghai, Asia
The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell around 2 basis points to 4.075%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was down by more than 2 basis points to 3.974%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield edged lower on Friday as market participants awaited the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) report. The yield on the 10-year Treasury briefly topped 4.1% in the previous session following commentary from Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic that suggested his openness to a cutting pause. Sticking on the data front, investors will turn their attention to the release of the latest PPI reading, which is expected at 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Dow, — CNBC's Brian Evans Organizations: Treasury, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street Journal, Fed, U.S, Consumer, Index, PPI Locations: U.S
SeongJoon Cho | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "I am totally comfortable with skipping [rate cuts for] a meeting if the data suggests that's appropriate," Bostic told The Wall Street Journal in an interview Thursday. The data suggests so. "This choppiness to me is along the lines of maybe we should take a pause in November," said Bostic, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee.
Persons: SeongJoon Cho, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Joseph Brusuelas, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim Organizations: AMD, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Federal, Market, RSM Locations: Pike, Seattle , Washington, US
With all eyes on China right now, one fund manager is bullish on the country regardless of any "bazooka" stimulus measures, saying investors should be getting involved. Starting on Sept. 24, China announced a string of stimulus measures aimed at boosting China's economy . Stephen Roach, for example, former chief economist at Morgan Stanley, warned investors against being too swept up in the China market rally . 'Starting point' For those looking to invest in China, Glass said a good "starting point" was Midea Group , which makes appliances and industrial robots. Analysts' average price target is 4.49 Hong Kong dollars, which gives the stock almost 30% potential downside from its current price around 6.40 Hong Kong dollars.
Persons: Steven Glass, Glass, hasn't, CNBC's, Stephen Roach, Morgan Stanley, Midea Organizations: Sydney, Pella Funds, Investors, National Development, CSI, HSBC, Generations Fund, Midea Group, China Equity, Hong, Garden Services Holdings Locations: China, Pella, Hong Kong, Shenzhen, U.S, Hong
JPMorgan and Wells Fargo reported strong earnings that eased fears of a consumer slowdown. September's producer price index was flat, calming inflation concerns amid rising yields. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon praised his bank's performance in the earnings release but warned that geopolitical conditions are "treacherous and getting worse." AdvertisementApart from earnings results, retail sales data, set to be released on October 17, is the next big data release for investors to watch. Here's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Friday:AdvertisementHere's what else is going on:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:
Persons: Dow Jones, Wells, , Wells Fargo, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, David Russell Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Dow Jones, PPI, Business, Bank of America
JPMorgan Chase is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings before the opening bell Friday. The biggest American bank has thrived in a rising rate environment, posting record net income figures since the Fed started hiking rates in 2022. Now, with the Fed cutting rates, there are questions as to how JPMorgan will navigate the change. Last month, JPMorgan dialed back expectations for 2025 net interest income and expenses, and analysts will want more details on those projections. Wells Fargo is scheduled to release results later Friday, while Bank of America , Goldman Sachs , Citigroup and Morgan Stanley report next week.
Persons: Chase Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon's, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Chateau, JPMorgan, LSEG Revenue, Trading, American, Fed, KBW, Bank of America, Citigroup Locations: Versailles, Paris, Wells
A handful of stocks stood out as the biggest winners on Wall Street this week, and analysts think they have more room to run. Consensus price targets from analysts polled by LSEG imply 16% upside for shares moving forward. Super Micro Computer also made the list, with shares of the information technology stock up nearly 16% on the week. Analysts polled by LSEG forecast upside of nearly 62%, per their consensus price targets. Consensus forecasts from analysts polled by LSEG forecast about 19% upside moving forward.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Dow Jones, Stocks, LSEG, Andrew Didora Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, CNBC Pro, Bank of America, Computer, Nvidia, LSEG
Now that the Federal Reserve has started to cut the federal funds rate, those yields are moving lower. Lincoln Financial's analysis shows that cash yields have historically fallen by 2%, on average, twelve months after the start of a Fed cutting cycle. What to do with excess cash Instruments like CDs, high-yield savings accounts and money market funds are a good place to stash cash for emergencies and upcoming expenses. However, the forward market implies that they should start to look appealing relative to money funds in about six months, Abate wrote. "We expect investors to rotate from money funds into IG only if compensated for the risk," he noted.
Persons: Joe Boyle, Sallie Mae, Goldman Sachs, Marcus, Michael Kaye, Jayson Bronchetti, Lincoln, Boyle, Lincoln Financial's Bronchetti, Bronchetti, we've, Joseph Abate, Abate Organizations: Hartford Funds, Investors, Federal Reserve, American, Financial, Synchrony, Fed, Lincoln Financial, Bloomberg U.S, Barclays, Reserve, IG Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S
US stocks rose as September's wholesale price data showed cooling inflation. The producer price index was flat, and core PPI rose less than expected in September. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Friday after Producer Price Index data for September came in lower than expected, signaling a continued cooling of wholesale inflation. The producer price index was flat month-over-month, below economist estimates of a 0.1% rise. Apart from earnings results, retail sales data, set to be released on October 17, is the next big data release for investors to watch.
Persons: Wells, , Price, David Russell, Russell, Jamie Dimon Organizations: PPI, JPMorgan, BlackRock, Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Here's Locations: Wells Fargo, BlackRock
The S & P 500 touched a record in early trading and was headed for its fifth-straight winning week. Excluding the energy sector, S & P 500 profit growth should be 8-10%," the bank wrote in a note to clients. "Many of these companies are benefiting from continued strong growth in AI investment spending and monetization," UBS added. "In aggregate, the Magnificent 7 will account for 21% of S & P 500 profits in 2024 and closer to 25% in 2025." The bank sees the S & P 500 climbing to 5,900 by year end and 6,200 by June 2025.
Persons: Banks, Wells Organizations: UBS, Investors, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve Locations: Wells Fargo, BlackRock
After the latest blast of consumer inflation data, traders are facing a conundrum around how they should interpret the monthly numbers. September's consumer price index report topped the Street's expectations, rising 0.1% from the month prior and increasing at a pace of 2.4% over the past 12 months. Still, the annual inflation rate was the lowest since February 2021. Relative to expectations, September's CPI number does not imply a reacceleration of inflation. Rather, the rate of consumer inflation continues to slow, albeit at a more modest pace than some had hoped for.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nonfarm payrolls, Austan Goolsbee, Ron Insana Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Social Security, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, CNBC Locations: U.S
Dollar bulls suffer setback as traders add to Fed cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The U.S. dollar fell from two-month highs hit overnight versus its major peers after signs of weakness in the labor market boosted the case for quicker Federal Reserve rate cuts. Bets for a quarter-point Fed rate cut on Nov. 7 increased to 83.3% from 80.3% a day earlier, with the remaining odds for policy to stay steady, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. A week earlier, there was a 32.1% chance of a half-point reduction and 67.9% probability of a quarter-point cut. The dollar added 0.06% to 148.68 yen , inching back towards Thursday's high of 149.58 yen, a level previously not seen since Aug. 2. The Australian dollar held firm at $0.67395 after rebounding from its lowest since Sept. 16 at $0.6702 on Thursday.
Persons: Tapas Strickland, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic Organizations: U.S, Treasury, National Australia Bank, Fed, Chicago Fed, Atlanta Fed Locations: China
Heavy rain clouds pass over the city of London skyline on September 23, 2024 in London, United Kingdom. European markets are expected to open slightly higher on Friday as investors take in U.K. gross domestic product (GDP) figures and look ahead to highly anticipated fiscal stimulus from China. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 index is poised to open 19 points higher at 8,254, Germany's DAX 23 points higher at 19,228, France's CAC up 15 points at 7,559 and Italy's FTSE MIB 11 points higher at 33,943, according to data from IG. The U.K. economy returned to growth in August, according to official data published on Friday. Asia-Pacific markets mostly traded higher on Friday, breaking ranks with U.S. stocks, which saw key benchmarks dip overnight as investors reacted to a hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation report.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: France's CAC, IG, Reuters ., U.S, CSI Locations: London, United Kingdom, China, U.K, Reuters . Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong
Another key US inflation gauge fell in September
  + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
CNN —Inflation for US producers slowed further in September, adding to hopes that prices aren’t getting jacked up before they get to consumers. The annual rate is running faster than the 1.6% gain economists expected, according to FactSet estimates; however, August’s rate was revised higher from the initial 1.7% estimate, so prices still fell in September. PPI is important because it’s often seen as a bellwether for the price increases consumers will wind up paying down the line. On Thursday, the Consumer Price Index — a measurement of average price changes for commonly purchased goods and services — cooled to 2.4%, its lowest rate since February 2021. As a result, Fed officials have now shifted from trying to contain inflation to trying to keep the job market healthy, the other half of their so-called dual mandate.
Persons: Price, that’s Organizations: CNN, of Labor Statistics, PPI, Federal Reserve
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