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Global inflation could see a resurgence as the Olympics and Taylor Swift concerts drive demand. Mega-events tend to spike hotel and transportation costs, UBS said. Inflation in Europe and the US has cooled, but central bankers are still wary. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementGlobal inflation could see a fresh resurgence thanks to a spending spree fueled by Taylor Swift concerts and the Olympics, UBS said.
Persons: Taylor Swift, Organizations: UBS, Service, Olympics, Business Locations: Europe
The wildest week of 2024 has investors bracing for more volatility in the week ahead, with key insight on the consumer and inflation coming at a time when recession fears are top of mind. Inflation, labor data Next week's inflation data could get less attention than it has over the past year when the Fed's fight against pricing pressures put inflation reports on center stage. Recently, it's been the labor market getting the most attention. "The market's caring much more about about labor markets and growth, than they do inflation right now," Ladner said. Week ahead calendar All times ET Monday, Aug. 12 2 p.m. Treasury Budget (July) Tuesday, Aug. 13 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (July) Earnings: Home Depot Wednesday, Aug. 14 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index (July) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Scott Ladner, it's, Ladner, , Strategas, Ryan Grabinski, RJ Assaly, Jeremy Siegel, Chen Zhao, Zhao, Price Organizations: Federal, Walmart, Home, Horizon Investments, Bank of Japan, Wharton, Fed, UBS, Investments, Treasury Budget, Price, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Materials, Tapestry, Deere, Co, Housing Locations: U.S, NAHB, Michigan
Meanwhile, the yen strengthened 0.6% to 146 against the US dollar, after losing nearly 2% on Tuesday and Wednesday combined. But those fears, as well as a further jump in the value of the yen, are still haunting the market. The volatility in the yen, which was at the heart of recent market turmoil, remains elevated, he added. On Monday, the Nikkei plummeted by the most since 1987, sparking a broader global market sell-off. The narrowing of the interest rate differentials, which had enabled the yen carry trade, could push the yen higher, Kuptiskevich added.
Persons: Hong Kong CNN —, Germany’s DAX, Shinichi Uchida, Uchida, , Stephen Innes, Alex Kuptsikevich, Masamichi Adachi, Innes, Taiwan’s Taiex, Hang Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Nikkei, CAC, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, FxPro, Federal, Fed, UBS, UBS Chief Investment, Kospi, Hang Seng Locations: Hong Kong, Europe, Japan, unwind
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — A theme emerging in the latest slew of U.S. companies' earnings reports is a drag from the China market. "Consumer sentiment in China is quite weak," McDonald's chairman, CEO and director Christopher Kempczinski, said of the quarter ended June 30. Apple said Greater China sales fell by 6.5% year-on-year in the quarter ended June 29. Procter and Gamble said China sales for the quarter ending late June fell by 9%. The only public disclosures regarding Peet's China business described it as "strong double-digit organic sales growth" in the first half of the year.
Persons: , Christopher Kempczinski, McDonald's, Lei Meng, Apple, Johnson, that's, General Mills, Kofi Bruce, Mills, Andre Schulten, Procter, Gamble, Schulten, Marriott's, Domino's, DPC Dash, There's, James Quincey, Quincey, We've, Laxman Narasimhan, Luckin Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, BEIJING, U.S, Nationwide, UBS Securities, General, Procter, Marriott, Asia Pacific, Starbucks Locations: Yichang, Hubei province, China, U.S, Canada, Greater China, Southeast Asia, Japan, South Korea, Asia, Peet's
Investors highlighted their portfolio companies and startups they had no financial ties to. Leena Rao, who oversaw the list and leads BI's VCs and startups team, estimated about 80% of the startups included are focused on AI. AdvertisementiStock; BIAs differentiated as AI startups try to be, the market has undeniably become oversaturated. Big Tech reform is coming, but Washington won't be the one doing it. Congress can't or won't act, so people who want Big Tech companies to change their ways are trying to do it through the courts .
Persons: , Kamala Harris, Tim Walz, Here's, Kimberly White, Chelsea Jia Feng, Leena Rao, BI's, That's, It's, Arindam Sandilya, Paul Dietrick, Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Adam Mosher, Mosher, YouTube's, Jimmy Donaldson, Alyssa Powell, Elon, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Boldstart Ventures, TechCrunch, Healthcare, Getty, JPMorgan, FX, UBS, BI Prosecutors, Big Tech Locations: Minnesota, we're, Washington, New York, London
DHAKA, Bangladesh — Bangladesh’s Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus has been chosen to head the country’s interim government after the nation’s longtime prime minister resigned and fled abroad in the face of violent unrest against her rule. During the investigations, Hasina accused Yunus of using force and other means to recover loans from poor rural women as the head of Grameen Bank. He was put on trial in 2013 on charges of receiving money without government permission, including his Nobel Prize and royalties from a book. In 2023, some former Grameen Telecom workers filed a case against Yunus accusing him of siphoning off their job benefits. Earlier this year, a special judge’s court in Bangladesh indicted Yunus and 13 others on charges over the $2 million embezzlement case.
Persons: Bangladesh — Bangladesh’s, Muhammad Yunus, Sheikh Hasina, Yunus, Hasina, Nahid Islam, , ” Yunus, Hasina’s, Yunus ’, Organizations: Olympics, Grameen Bank “, Grameen Bank, Grameen Telecom, Telenor, Vanderbilt University, Associated Press Locations: DHAKA, Bangladesh, bangladesh, Paris, Chittagong, United States
Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Stifel initiates GE Healthcare as buy Stifel said it's bullish on shares of the GE spin-off. Rosenblatt reiterates Nvidia as buy Rosenblatt said concerns about delays in the company's Blackwell chip are overdone. " JPMorgan downgrades Carlyle Group to neutral from overweight JPMorgan said it sees better value elsewhere. Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley said Monday's DOJ ruling on Alphabet is a negative for Apple. JPMorgan upgrades Sonic Automotive to overweight from neutral JPMorgan said investors should buy the dip in the auto company.
Persons: Stifel, it's, Morgan Stanley, Rosenblatt, Blackwell, JPMorgan, Carlyle, Piper Sandler, Piper, Palantir, KeyBanc, D.A, Davidson, Apple, GOOGL, SAH, underperform Macquarie Organizations: GE Healthcare, GE, Taiwan Semiconductor, JPMorgan, Barclays, Nvidia, Blackwell, Royal, JPMorgan downgrades Carlyle Group, Bank of America, Artificial Intelligence, Micron, Apollo, of America, Apollo Global Management, APO, Meta, Retail Media, DOJ, Apple, Aspen, Sonic Automotive, SS, UBS, Walmart, Northland, Honest, Honest Company, Macquarie, underperform Locations: Royal Caribbean, GOOGL, EVs, China
Related storiesWhile those concerns served as the kindling, it was the July jobs report that sparked terror. A closer look at the jobs report reveals that while job additions underwhelmed, jobless claims were also minimal. AdvertisementSecond-quarter earnings growth has been impressive so far and seems set to rise by low single digits, according to UBS GWM. The bullish strategy chief remarked in a note Monday that six of the 11 market sectors have enjoyed double-digit earnings growth this quarter, while only three have seen declines. "Such sell-offs can offer an opportunity to 'catch babies tossed out with the bath water,'" Stoltzfus wrote.
Persons: , Oppenheimer, Jonathan Golub, Oppenheimer Jason Draho, Americas Solita Marcelli, Marcelli, Beryl, Draho, That's, David Lefkowitz, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus Organizations: Service, Business, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Labor, UBS GWM Locations: Americas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinancial services firm says it's bullish on India's IT and telecom sectorsNiket Shah of Motilal Oswal also discusses says it also likes the country's consumer discretionary sector.
Persons: it's bullish, Shah, Motilal Oswal Organizations: Financial
With investors in a risk-off mood, AI shares with high valuations were among the first to be dumped from portfolios. Nvidia and Super Micro Computer shed about 12% each before the bell, while Advanced Micro Devices lost about 5%. Megacap technology stocks also sold off during premarket trading, with Alphabet , Meta Platforms and Amazon falling more than 5% each. Major technology stocks — with the exception of Nvidia — wrapped up a busy earnings stretch last week. Nvidia, Alphabet and Meta Platforms pulled back more than 5%, while Microsoft dropped more than 6%.
Persons: Tesla, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Nvidia —, Mark Haefele, Jefferies Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Computer, Super, VanEck, Microsoft, Apple, UBS Global Wealth Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoing back to Japanese stocks right now is like catching a falling knife: CIOKelvin Tay from UBS Global Wealth Management argues that the weak Yen is the key driver to Japan's stock market rally the past 2 years. He expects the Yen to strength to 143 against the US dollar which means the selling pressure on Japanese stocks isn't over yet.
Persons: Kelvin Tay Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management
Morgan Stanley reiterates Disney as overweight Morgan Stanley lowered its price target on the stock to $110 per share from $130 but said it is sticking with Disney shares. Morgan Stanley upgrades Prosperity Bancshares to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said the regional bank has "best in class capital and growing liquidity." Morgan Stanley initiates MKS Instruments as overweight Morgan Stanley said the controlling and measuring device manufacturing company is well positioned. Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley said it is sticking with the stock following its quarterly 10-Q report. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Walmart as overweight Morgan Stanley said it is sticking with its overweight rating on the stock following Walmart+ membership hitting a record high according to its survey checks.
Persons: Mizuho, Morgan Stanley, Disney, Lockheed Martin, Berkshire Hathaway, HOOD, Apple, Jefferies, Mars, Bernstein Organizations: Bank of America, Nvidia, Disney, Gulfport Energy, RBC, Lockheed, UBS, Berkshire, Berkshire Hathaway, Citi, RBC downgrades Moderna, Moderna, Walmart, underperform Bank of America, Netflix, Reuters, Kellanova, Boeing Locations: China, Gulfport, Berkshire, Underperform
Hong Kong/London CNN —Japanese shares soared Tuesday, clawing back some of their record losses from the previous day and underpinning a tentative recovery on global markets. Markets around the world plunged during Monday’s session when a combination of fears about a slowing US economy, rising Japanese interest rates and crumbling tech stocks combined to trigger a meltdown. The bounce in Japan is “typical after a market crash,” Neil Newman, head of strategy at Astris Advisory in Tokyo, told CNN. “It is too early to conclude that the Japanese stock market has hit a bottom,” they said, adding that any recovery would likely only occur after Japanese companies report first-half earnings in October, or even after the US presidential election in November. A stronger yenJapan’s stock market, in particular, was hard-hit by the rapid appreciation of the yen, which undermines the export competitiveness of the country’s manufacturers.
Persons: clawing, Kospi, ” Neil Newman, , , Stephen Innes, ” Newman, Newman, Fumio Kishida Organizations: London CNN, Nikkei, Nasdaq, Advisory, CNN, UBS Chief Investment, Moody’s, Bank of Japan, Management, Tokyo “, Traders, Reuters Locations: Hong Kong, London, Asia, South, Taiwan, Europe, Japan, Tokyo, South Korea
watch nowGoing into the Japanese market at this moment is akin to catching "a falling knife," Kelvin Tay, regional chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia." Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon"The only reason why the Japanese market is up so strongly in the last two years is because the Japanese yen has been very, very weak. It strengthened sharply after the BOJ raised its benchmark interest rate last week to around 0.25% and decided to trim its purchases of Japanese government bonds. A stronger yen pressurizes Japanese stock markets, which are heavily dominated by trading houses and export-oriented firms by eroding their competitiveness. Ueda also said the 0.5% interest rate level — Japan has not seen that since 2008 — was not a barrier, and rates could go even higher.
Persons: Kelvin Tay, CNBC's, Tay, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, Nikkei, U.S, Bank of, Reuters Locations: Japan
First, when everything is being sold – and just about everything is being sold on Monday – someone is in big trouble. The spillover effect – exacerbated by a Federal Reserve reluctant to cut interest rates even as inflation cools – has put all assets on sale. This suggests that fears of a financial market problem are greater than those of a widening Middle East war. Should the situation become more tumultuous, the Fed could be forced into cutting interest rates between meetings. Indeed, when the Fed responded to the 1998 event by cutting interest rates , stocks went on a tear before topping out in 2000.
Persons: I've, Michael Gayed, Cashin, It's, Stanley Druckenmiller, Japan —, Ron Insana Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nikkei, UBS, Term Capital Management, CNBC Locations: Japan, Israel, Iran
Wall Street to Big Tech: Is AI ever going to make money?
  + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Clare Duffy | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
New York CNN —There’s been one big question on the minds of Wall Streeters this tech earnings season: When will anyone start making actual money from artificial intelligence? But Big Tech still has relatively little to show for all their billions spent in terms of significant revenue gains from AI or profitable new products, and investors are starting to get antsy. Shares of both Google and Microsoft dipped following their earnings reports, a sign of investors’ discontent that their huge AI investments hadn’t led to far-better-than-expected results. She added: “Gen AI is where we’re much earlier … We don’t expect our gen AI products to be a meaningful driver of revenue in ’24. As an example of just how long it can take AI products to come to fruition, take Tesla’s AI-based “full self-driving” technology.
Persons: New York CNN — There’s, ChatGPT, , Morgan Stanley, Keith Weiss, Steven Ju, Sundar Pichai, Goldman Sachs, , ” D.A, Davidson, Gil Luria, Meta, Amy Hood, , Susan Li, that’s, ” Luria, we’re, Jim Covello, Tesla, FSD, Google’s Pichai, Mark Zuckerberg, — Luria Organizations: New, New York CNN, Big Tech, UBS, Google, Microsoft, CNN, Meta Locations: New York, Silicon Valley
US stocks plunged Friday after a weak July jobs report sparked investor panic. The Nasdaq closed in correction territory, and the VIX soared as much as 60% to hit its highest since March 2023. AdvertisementUS stocks plunged on Friday, with the S&P 500 extending its two-day sell-off to more than 3%, as a weak July jobs report sparked panic among investors. Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index, better known as the VIX, soared as much as 60% to 29.66, its highest level since March 2023. AdvertisementThe damage was exacerbated after the July jobs report showed an unexpected increase in the unemployment rate and payroll figures badly missed estimates.
Persons: , Tom Lee Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Treasury, Amazon, Intel, Federal, CME, Fed, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Americas, Here's
Wells Fargo downgrades Morgan Stanley to underweight from equal weight Wells Fargo downgraded Morgan Stanley and said the "upward premium re-rating seems over." Morgan Stanley initiates Lionsgate Studios at overweight Morgan Stanley said it's bullish on shares of the movie studio company. Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as a top pick Morgan Stanley said it's standing by the stock following an analysis of July auto sales. Morgan Stanley upgrades Mobileye to equal weight from underweight Morgan Stanley said the risk/reward is more balanced for the auto supply tech company. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Nvidia as overweight Morgan Stanley says it's sticking with its overweight rating on the AI chipmaker.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Apple, Q, Gildan, Wells, downgrades Morgan Stanley, it's, TD, TD Cowen, Cowen, Raymond James downgrades Crocs, Raymond James, CROX, Oppenheimer, Tesla, Rosenblatt, Lululemon, LULU, K's Organizations: TEAM, Apple Intelligence, Barclays, Deutsche Bank, Amazon, Big Cap Tech, Stifel, Bank of American, Bank of America, Lionsgate, Lionsgate Studios, Intel, of America, TD Cowen, Dynamics, U.S, EV, 7M, UBS downgrades, UBS, Nvidia Locations: California, USA
Here are the top stocks to own right now, according to UBS
  + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
A handful of stocks may be due for some gains, even as the market sells off. The firm added three new names to the list from the industrials and materials sectors, including Freeport-McMoRan and Norfolk Southern . UBS said Air Products is at "the forefront of the energy transition," citing the progress it is making on large "blue" and "green" hydrogen projects. Meta is trading at a multiple of 23 times earnings on a forward price-to-earnings basis, per FactSet, and UBS sees shares as attractively valued. "The company should benefit from healthy user engagement, improving monetization of Reels, and longer-term monetization of Instagram and WhatsApp offer longer-term opportunities."
Persons: Russell, Nathaniel Gabriel, Gabriel, Robert " Kelly, Ortberg, Meta Organizations: Dow Jones, UBS, Norfolk, Air Products, Chemicals, Air, Boeing, Alaska Airlines Boeing, Max, DOJ Locations: Freeport, McMoRan
AdvertisementThe amount of gold holdings in global reserves has doubled in just over five years, according to Bloomberg Intelligence analysis. "As the yellow metal carries no credit or counter-party risk, some deem it as being better insulated from financial sanctions, particularly those from the emerging world," wrote UBS' Czerwonko. Advertisement"The situation in competing jurisdictions is also dire; in the land of the blind, the one-eyed man can remain king," wrote Czerwonko. AdvertisementSimilarly, Bloomberg Intelligence said said a Wednesday report that a potential second Trump term could hasten a global currency regime change. "Any title toward isolationism in a Trump second term, such as altered US attitudes toward its role in NATO and international affairs would spur de-dollarization," wrote Bloomberg Intelligence analysts.
Persons: , Alejo Czerwonko, Czerwonko, Trump Organizations: Service, UBS, Business, International Monetary Fund, Bloomberg Intelligence, Trump, NATO Locations: Ukraine, Moscow, Swiss, Americas
Apple set to report earnings: Here's what to expect
  + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApple set to report earnings: Here's what to expectDavid Vogt, UBS U.S. IT hardware analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to preview Apple's quarterly earnings results, what to expect from the Big Tech giant, and more.
Persons: David Vogt Organizations: UBS, Big Tech
As tensions escalate in the Middle East , investors should consider adding gold and oil as a hedge. "A wider regional war could affect oil supplies, which would likely lead to quick price spikes. Gold, meanwhile, should serve its role as a more conservative asset," UBS analysts led by Tilmann Kolb told clients in a Wednesday note. Gold has risen since the Beirut strike, "underlining its risk hedge characteristics," the analysts said. High demand from banks and a likely uptick in demand when the Federal Reserve lowers rates should also push gold prices higher, they said.
Persons: Tilmann Kolb, Ismail Haniyeh, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Fuad Shukr Organizations: UBS, New York Times, Federal Locations: East, Israel, Iran, Tehran, Lebanon, Golan Heights, Beirut
It's the culmination of years of fine-tuning over successive Olympic Games — as this timeline shows. The Olympic Games are perhaps the world's best-known sporting competition, broadcast to billions worldwide. Here's how 5G capabilities have progressed at the Olympic Games since 2018, starting with a small trial at the 2018 Winter Olympics in Pyeongchang, South Korea, and expanding to today's Games-wide connectivity experience. The companies jointly developed the 5G network at what organizers called "the most innovative Olympic Games ever." Beijing Winter Olympics 2022China has long been an innovator of mobile technology, and the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing proved no exception.
Persons: , Markus Nispel, Mario Reis, Orange, Bertrand Rojat, Rojat Organizations: Paris, Service, Olympic, Extreme Networks, Europe, Olympic Games, today's, KT, Korea Telecom, Sync, Tokyo, Intel, NTT Docomo, Tokyo Games, Olympic Broadcasting Services, Games, Paris Olympic Locations: Paris, Africa, Pyeongchang, South Korea, Tokyo, Beijing, China, Orange
Swiss SIX exchange says trading halted due to technical issues
  + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Four Chinese companies raised about $1.5 billion in July by issuing shares on the Six Swiss Exchange via a new China stock connect program. Switzerland's stock exchange SIX said trading had been halted on Wednesday morning across all products until further notice due to technical problems. The Swiss stock exchange is home to companies including Nestle , Roche and UBS . "Market data and index data is not being disseminated at the moment and we are investigating the cause and trying to solve," a spokesperson at SIX told Reuters. "Trading was not affected, but we had to halt trading in Switzerland due to equal treatment of market participants."
Organizations: Six Swiss, Nestle, Roche, UBS, SIX, Reuters Locations: China, Swiss, Switzerland
In a recent research note, experts at Goldman Sachs were upbeat on the pound, commenting that sterling "tops the list" in the G-10 basket of major currency crosses. The analysts are sticking with their bet that sterling will rise against the dollar , with a target of 1.31. "Combined with still-high rates [this] could attract capital flows into GBP after many years of being a structural sell," the UBS analysts added. She added, "The tone of many of the policies announced by the new Labour government in recent days are market friendly ... The appearance of order in the U.K. government coupled with an expectation of a warmer relationship with the EU should provide for some optimism."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Keir Starmer's, Jane Foley Organizations: Bank of, UBS, Labour Party, FX, Labour Locations: Bank of England
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