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The best-case scenario for stocks is if Friday's jobs report comes in slightly above consensus, according to JPMorgan. Here are the bank's five scenarios: Above 200,000 jobs added: The S & P 500 trades flat or as much as 0.5% higher. Between 160,000 to 200,000 jobs added: The S & P 500 gains between 1% and 1.5%. Between 140,000 to 160,000 jobs added: The S & P 500 rises by 0.75% to 1.25%. Between 110,000 to 140,000 jobs added: JPMorgan traders see the S & P 500 sliding between 0.5% and 1.5%.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Dow Jones, JPMorgan's, Michael Feroli, nonfarm Organizations: JPMorgan, Investors, Federal Locations: U.S
Sen. JD Vance had a good night during the vice presidential debate. But the GOP vice presidential nominee fumbled on the subject of the 2020 election. Vance refused to give a direct answer when asked if former President Donald Trump lost the 2020 race. Former Vice President Mike Pence wasn't on the stage for Tuesday night's vice presidential debate because he refused to help Trump overturn the election. Walz: Did Donald Trump lose the 2020 election?
Persons: Sen, JD Vance, Vance, Donald Trump, , Ohio, Mike Pence wasn't, Trump, Pence, Vance couldn't, Gov . Walz, I’m, Walz, h1MXP2fGY8 — Kamala, Tim Walz, Donald Trump's, didn't, Tim, I'm, Kamala Harris, It's, Mike Pence, " Walz, president's, Will, doesn't, Joe Biden's, Harris Organizations: Service, Republican, Gov, Minnesota Gov, Midwest Niceness, Capitol, Ohio Republican, CNN Locations: Springfield , Ohio, Minnesota, America, Ohio
Megan and Todd Walsh are the owners of Asheville-based Atomic Furnishing & Design. Hurricane Helene ravaged the 10-year-old business, destroying 95% of the store's inventory. AdvertisementMegan Walsh is the cofounder of Atomic Furnishing & Design, a 10-year-old vintage furniture company located in Asheville, North Carolina, which she owns and operates with her husband, Todd Walsh. This as-told-to essay is based on a transcribed conversation with Megan Walsh, 37, after Hurricane Helene ravaged the couple's business. Courtesy of Atomic Furnishing & DesignIn the meantime, we can't sit still.
Persons: Megan, Todd Walsh, Hurricane Helene, Megan Walsh, , Todd, we've, It's, Helene, I'd, Walsh, We're Organizations: Service Locations: Asheville, Hurricane, Asheville , North Carolina, Biltmore Village
India's recent stock market surge has investors viewing the country as an emerging market poised for long-term outperformance. The India NSE Nifty 50 Index , the country's domestic stock market benchmark, has soared 18.7% this year, hitting record levels. "The data show that, historically, the Indian market has offered robust returns with reduced volatility." Going back to 2015, INDA has seen bigger annual gains and smaller declines than the broader emerging market fund. How to play the Indian market Financials are among investors' favorite spots in India's booming stock market.
Persons: It's, Malcolm Dorson, Dorson, GlobalX, Russell, , EEM, INDA, Amr Abdel Khalek, Khalek, Jerome Powell, Venugopal Garre, Krishna Mohanraj, You've, Mohanraj Organizations: India NSE, Global, CNBC, U.S, Federal, Fed, Nasdaq, China, MRB Partners, Traders, Barclays, Diamond Hill Capital Management, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, ICICI, HDFC, Whitehaven Coal, Prestige Estates Locations: India, China, Dorson, U.S, Whitehaven
Presidential hopeful Donald Trump has proposed getting rid of taxes on tips and overtime. AdvertisementIf former President Donald Trump gets his way, workers who collect overtime pay or tips could stop paying taxes on them. "Their employer can pay less to keep them but the worker is not worse off because now they don't have to pay taxes on that," Shierholz said. Or it could mean some salaried workers switch to hourly wages in order to qualify for a higher rate of untaxed overtime pay. Do you collect tips or overtime pay?
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, , It's, Kamala Harris, that's, Harris, it's, Heidi Shierholz, Shierholz, Joe Hughes, Alex Muresianu, Muresianu, Hughes, Rube Goldberg, Karoline Leavitt Organizations: Service, Yale, Trump, Social Security, Taxation, Economic, Tax Foundation Locations: Arizona, America
A Trump win would benefit energy and financial stocks the most, RBC analysts say. The analysts see a Trump win as overall bullish for equities, with a Harris win more bearish. AdvertisementA Donald Trump win in November could be the best outcome for stocks, and two sectors in particular would benefit the most, according to RBC Capital Markets. Those sectors would see the most upside from a Trump win, especially if Republicans take both the White House and Congress, the analysts say. EnergyThe analysts say Trump's policies favor domestic fossil fuel production, since they aim to reduce regulatory requirements, which would lower costs.
Persons: Harris, , Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Financials, Kamala Harris, Trump, fracking, Janet Yellen Organizations: Trump, RBC, Service, RBC Capital Markets, White House, Congress, Energy, Republican, Democratic, Biden
Russia appears to have finally seized Vuhledar, a key frontline town in eastern Ukraine. AdvertisementRussia appears to have gained control over a key Ukrainian frontline town, military experts said, as the town's governor described a difficult situation for Ukraine there. Citing open sources and pro-Russian military bloggers, the Institute for the Study of War said that as of Tuesday, "Russian forces likely seized Vuhledar." Russian forces have been seen moving freely about the town and planting flags there, the ISW reported. Advertisement"It is unclear if Russian forces will make rapid gains beyond Vuhledar in the immediate future," the think tank added.
Persons: Vuhledar, , Vadym Filashkin, Filashkin, Vladimir Putin, Federico Borsari Organizations: Service, Institute for, Kyiv Post, , Ukrainian Armed Forces, Reuters, Human Rights, Politico, 155th Naval Infantry Brigade, Kyiv Independent, Center for Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Russian, Vuhledar's, Ukraine's, Donetsk, Kyiv, Moscow, Donetsk Oblast, Vuhledar, Pokrovsk
Markets are now braced for what could follow a likely Israeli retaliation against Iran. watch nowOil prices gained over 5% in the previous session following the missile strike, before tapering to a 2.5% climb. Oil infrastructure 'tempting targets for Israel'Lewis Sage-Passant, an adjunct professor of intelligence at Sciences Po in Paris, described energy markets as jittery, as investors watch for Israel's next moves. Even without direct targeting, much of the world's oil infrastructure sits under these missile's flight paths, so naturally everyone is very nervous." Questions remain whether a strong Israeli response would restore deterrence or trigger further escalation from Iran and tip the nations into a full-blown war.
Persons: Amir Cohen, Hassan Nasrallah, Lewis Sage, Jake Sullivan, Roger Zakheim, what's, Zakheim, Abbas Araghchi, Sara Vakhshouri Organizations: Reuters Israel's, Brent, West Texas, Isles, RBC Wealth Management, Sciences Po, Israel, Energy, U.S . National, Ronald Reagan Institute, Investments, Saab, BAE Systems, Thales, Rheinmetall, Iran's, SVB Energy Locations: Ashkelon, Israel, Tel Aviv, Iran, Tehran, London, Asia, Paris, U.S, Washington
Audio engineer Theo Browne recently criticized Apple's AirPods Max for their sound quality and price. Browne, a fan of the AirPods Pro, finds the mid-range sounds of the AirPods Max disappointing. AdvertisementYou don't have to look far to see Apple's AirPods Max headphones in the wild, whether it's on your morning commute or worn by someone on TikTok. In a tweet that has now received over 800,000 views, Browne even warned people: "Do NOT buy AirPods Max." Like the other AirPods, they said the AirPods Max offers an outstanding experience with active noise cancellation, spatial audio, and transparency modes.
Persons: Theo Browne, Apple's AirPods Max, Browne, Max, , Metronomy, weirdly, Douglas Stephens, Stephens, there's, Smart, Max Smart, they'll, Antonio Villas Organizations: Service, Apple, Ping Labs, Sony, Bose, Headphones.com, Bluetooth, Philips, Sony WH Locations: retails
The stock market typically cools off in October following a really strong third quarter, but any weakness could prove to be a potential buying opportunity for year-end, according to Piper Sandler. On Tuesday, the first day of the month , the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S & P 500 fell, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped more than 1%. Those losses come after the S & P 500 advanced 5.5% in the three months ended September. Since 1928, following the 34 instances when third-quarter returns were greater than 5%, the S & P 500 then slid 1% on average in October, the technician said. .SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 Many investors agree that the bias into year-end is to the upside, after some near-term seasonal weakness.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Stocks, Hurricane Helene spooked, Craig W, Johnson, Tom Lee, we've, Lee Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Fundstrat Global Advisors Locations: U.S, Hurricane
The expanding war in the Middle East, however, has reached a new boiling point as Israel has vowed a "painful" response to Iran's attack. The government of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could take aim at the Islamic Republic's oil infrastructure in retaliation, geopolitical and crude market analysts say. "The next turn in this retaliation spiral may very well involve oil – via the degrading of Iran's oil capacityor Iran's proxies attacking oil and gas shipping from the Persian Gulf," Piper Sandler analysts told clients in a Wednesday research note. If Iran's oil exports of around 1.8 million bpd were taken offline, prices would likely jump by at least $5 per barrel, McNally said. An escalation on this scale could send oil prices higher in increments of $10 per barrel, the analyst said.
Persons: Ali Mohammadi, Benjamin Netanyahu, Helima Croft, Jack Jacobs, Jacobs, Croft, Piper Sandler, Bob McNally, McNally Organizations: Persian Gulf, Bloomberg, Getty, OPEC, RBC Capital Markets, U.S, Army, Rapidan Energy Locations: Bandar Abbas, Iran, Israel, China, Persian
Deutsche Bank is striking a cautious tone on Dover 's stock ahead of the industrial conglomerate's upcoming earnings report. Late Tuesday, Deutsche Bank listed Dover as a short-term sell idea, suggesting the company will report underwhelming results that may pressure shares later this month. Other industrial stocks in our portfolio received price target increases this week, including Eaton, Stanley Black & Decker and Honeywell . Both firms raised their price target on the DeWalt owner's stock to $100 a share from $96 while maintaining hold or hold-equivalent ratings. Honeywell's price target was increased only slightly at Deutsche Bank — up merely $1 to $226 a share — and left unchanged at Barclays.
Persons: Jim Cramer, industrials, Barclays –, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim, Dover, Richard Tobin, there's, DOV YTD, DOV, It's, Eaton, Vimal Kapur, Jim Cramer's, SWK Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Federal Reserve, Barclays, Environmental Solutions, Wednesday, Honeywell, Deutsche Bank —, Barclays . Deutsche Bank, CNBC, Luza Locations: Dover, Eaton
Here’s the deal: The East Coast port strike is getting a lot of attention for its potential disruption to the economy — which is precisely the point. No dockworkers means no bananas (or whatever), which means no profits for the companies that produce and ship them. While research shows automation has obvious benefits, like lower operating costs and fewer human-related errors, port automation does not, on its own, significantly improve performance, according to a 2018 McKinsey report. But automation anxiety is rapidly spilling over into office work, where managers are adopting AI in the hopes of replacing human work or amplifying production. As Washington Post columnist Heather Long wrote Tuesday, the strike is “an early battle of well-paid workers against advanced automation.
Persons: CNN Business ’, It’s, , Dennis Daggett, Mark Felix, Sameera Fazili, Biden, it’s, , ” Fazili, Heather Long Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Hollywood, McKinsey, International Longshoremen’s Association, Economic, Getty, National Economic Council, Washington Locations: New York, East Coast, China, Singapore, Europe, Port of New York, New Jersey, Long Beach, Los Angeles, AFP
OpenAI exec Kevin Weil told BI the company has a "great bench" after CTO Mira Murati abruptly quit. AdvertisementThe hundreds of attendees at Ray Summit, an AI conference in San Francisco, were originally hoping to hear from Mira Murati, the chief technology officer of OpenAI, on Wednesday. AdvertisementIn a brief interview with Business Insider immediately afterwards, Weil praised Murati while downplaying the impact of her departure. Weil, a former Instagram executive, highlighted Mark Chen as an example of the talent still around at OpenAI. "So I'm really excited to partner with him and I'm really optimistic about what we're building."
Persons: Kevin Weil, Mira Murati, Weil, , Murati, Robert Nishihara, OpenAI, Mira, I've, Mark Chen, Chen, you've, I'm, Jane Street, Sam Altman, Ilya Sutskever, superalignment, Jan Leike, John Schulman, Barret Zoph, Bob McGrew, Bob, we've, We've Organizations: Service, Ray Summit, Business, Integral Technology, MIT Locations: OpenAI, San Francisco, Silicon
CNN —In the days after Hamas’ October 7 attack on Israel, fears ran high of a regional war. The conflict would not be contained in Gaza, the thinking went – Hezbollah would attack Israel from the north, the Houthis from Yemen, and Iranian proxies from Iraq. Israel would be forced to respond, it would come into direct conflict with Iran, and the wider war would be upon us. A day after Iran launched its largest ever ballistic missile attack on Israel – and as Israeli troops battle Hezbollah fighters on the ground in Lebanon – regional war is effectively here. Now is the time that we can attack, because Iran is fully vulnerable.”Smoke rises following Israel's bombardment in southern Lebanon on Wednesday.
Persons: Israel, Israel –, West Bank –, , Fatemeh Mohajerani, Ismail Haniyeh, Maya Alleruzzo, Benjamin Netanyahu, Nasrallah, ” Netanyahu, Hassan Nasrallah, Naftali Bennett, you’ve, ” Bennett, Baz Ratner, , United States –, Jake Sullivan Organizations: CNN, West Bank, Israeli, Israel, Hamas, , National Locations: Israel, Gaza, Yemen, Iraq, Iran, Lebanon, Damascus, Iranian, Palestinian, Tehran, Rosh Haayin, Beirut, , Hezbollah, Syria, Hodeidah, United States
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman speaks during the Microsoft Build conference at Microsoft headquarters in Redmond, Washington, on May 21, 2024. OpenAI has closed its long-awaited funding round at a valuation of $157 billion, including the $6.6 billion the company raised from an extensive roster of investment firms and big tech companies. Thrive planned to invest $1 billion in the round, CNBC previously reported. Earlier this year, OpenAI was valued at a reported $80 billion, up from $29 billion in 2023. There are also 11 million ChatGPT Plus subscribers and 1 million paying business users on ChatGPT, a person close to the company said.
Persons: Sam Altman, OpenAI, SoftBank, Sarah Friar, Friar, Mira Murati, Bob McGrew, Barret Zoph, Altman, Bret Taylor, Sam, Taylor Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, CNBC, New York Times, OpenAI, Italian Tech, Khosla Ventures, Fidelity, MGX, Tiger Global Locations: Redmond , Washington
Levi Strauss CEO Michelle Gass told CNBC's Jim Cramer on Wednesday how the denim retailer will benefit from its partnership with Beyoncé, saying the ads could help boost sales of women's clothing. "Now you bring Beyoncé into the ecosystem, you know, we think we're just set up for the long term really, really well." The collaboration comes after Beyoncé released her newest album, "Cowboy Carter," in the spring that featured a track called "LEVII'S JEANS." She claimed wholesale, a large part of Levi's business in Mexico, was down because one of the company's "key customers" had a cybersecurity breach that impacted shipping. Gass also said that the Dockers brand has "underperformed for some time," and Levi's intends to sell the business.
Persons: Levi Strauss, Michelle Gass, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Beyoncé, Levi's, " Gass, Cowboy Carter, Gass Organizations: Destiny's, Dockers Locations: China, Mexico
It also raised its price target to $210 from $187, suggesting shares could rise more than 17% from Tuesday's close. He maintained his $2,400 price target, which implies 16.2% upside potential from Tuesday's close. Bank of America's Lorraine Hutchinson reiterated her buy rating while trimming her price target to $100 from $104. Deutsche Bank analyst Krisztina Katai also maintained her buy rating and inched down her price target by $3 to $92. He also lowered his price target on shares to $40 from $42, implying upside of just 5.2% over the next 12 months.
Persons: Baird, Davidson, Raymond James, Pavel Molchanov, Molchanov, — Hakyung Kim, FANG, Betty Jiang, Jiang, Diamondback, John Pancari, Pancari, Marcelo Santos, Santos, LatAm, Santo, Elliott Hill, Bank of America's Lorraine Hutchinson, Hutchinson, Krisztina Katai, Katai, Matthew Boss, Boss, Baird downgrades Harley, Craig Kennison, Harley, Kennison, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, GE, General Electric, Barclays, Diamondback, Diamondback Energy, Endeavor, Endeavor Energy Resources, Management, T, T Bank, Federal Reserve, ISI, EA, JPMorgan downgrades, JPMorgan, MercadoLibre, Nike, Bank of, Deutsche Bank, Harley Locations: Tuesday's, Bank of America's, Hill
Or would they take a hands-off approach and let the candidates fact check each other? Vance spoke up to complain about the fact check. “Margaret, the rules were that you were not going to fact check and since you’re fact-checking me, I think it’s important to say what’s actually going on,” he protested. “When is she going to fact check Tampon Tim on all of his false statements? Video Ad Feedback Walz asked Vance if Trump lost the 2020 election.
Persons: Norah O’Donnell, Margaret Brennan, Brennan, Sen, JD Vance, Tim Walz, Vance, “ he’s, Kamala Harris’s, , you’ve, we’ve, ” Vance, Walz, ” Brennan, “ Margaret, what’s, , David Muir, Linsey Davis, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, ” Trump, Tim, Megyn Kelly, Brit Hume, Feedback Walz, Laura Ingraham, Jason Miller, Vance masterfully Organizations: New, New York CNN, CBS, Gov, Trump, Fake, Republican, Fox News, NBC, CNN Fox, CNN Locations: New York, Ohio, Springfield , Ohio, Springfield, Vance
The strategy is meant to minimize interest rate risks, explained Saraja Samant, a manager research analyst at Morningstar. Wisdom Tree has two Treasury ladder ETFs: a one- to three-year fund and a seven- to 10-year fund. Schwab has Treasury bond ladder strategies in separately managed accounts operated by its Wasmer Schroeder Strategies' team. "They can add to or take from the entire bond ladder all at once, which is challenging to do with an individual bond ladder." The 'comfort' of a ladder To build a Treasury ladder, investors can go to Treasury Direct or use a broker dealer and tailor it to their needs, Samant said.
Persons: you'll, Saraja Samant, Robert Scrudato, Schwab, Schroeder, Barry Glassman, Morningstar's Samant, Samant, Michael Kessler, Glassman, Kessler, he's Organizations: Federal, Morningstar, Treasury, BlackRock, Securities and Exchange Commission, Wealth, Albion Financial, AAA Locations: Vienna , Virginia, Salt Lake City
CNN —Asheville was touted as a climate haven, a place to escape the worst ravages of extreme weather. It pummeled western North Carolina as a tropical storm Friday. In some ways, this scenic swath of western North Carolina was primed for catastrophe. Both systems concentrated their highest rainfall on western North Carolina, killing 11 people. A recent First Street report found parts of North Carolina devastated by Helene could now experience a once-in-100 year flood every 11 to 25 years.
Persons: , Kathie Dello, Hurricane Helene, Helene, Melissa Sue Gerrits, Jesse Keenan, Susan Hassol, Dello, ” Dello, Ivan, Frances, Sean Rayford, Fred, Travis Long, Helene “, Ed Kearns, ” Kerns, Esther Manheimer, Tulane University’s Keenan, Keenan, ” There’s, Rachel Ramirez, Ella Nilsen, Brandon Miller Organizations: CNN, Asheville, Highways, Biltmore, Tulane University, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Tropical, First Street Foundation, Tulane Locations: North Carolina, America, North Carolina’s, Florida, Buncombe County, Asheville, Gulf of Mexico, California , Arizona, Carolinas, Georgia, Buncombe, Biltmore Village, Cruso , North Carolina, Canada, Vermont, West Virginia, Phoenix
That's led the market to assume rates will fall to pre-pandemic lows, BofA's Bernard Mensah says. Yet, inflationary risks will likely keep rates elevated, Mensah says. Before the pandemic, in the decade following the Great Financial Crisis, interest rates remained at historical lows. Despite the Fed's apparent confidence that pricing pressures have eased, Mensah says a variety of inflationary risks will keep interest rates higher. Other analysts have also pointed to inflation risks from geopolitical conflicts.
Persons: That's, BofA's Bernard Mensah, Mensah, , Bank of America's Bernard Mensah, Rowe Price, Tomasz Wieladek Organizations: Fed, Service, Federal Reserve, Bank of America's, Bloomberg Locations: US, China, England, Switzerland, Sweden, Canada, Mexico
JPMorgan upgrades Parr Pacific to overweight from neutral JPMorgan said the gas exploration and production company has overcorrected. JPMorgan downgrades MercadoLibre to neutral from overweight JPMorgan downgraded the online Latin American marketplace mainly due to valuation. Wells Fargo reiterates Meta as overweight Wells Fargo raised its price target on Meta to $652 per share from $647. JPMorgan upgrades SAIC to overweight from neutral The firm says it sees "profitable growth" for the IT company. Berenberg upgrades Rio Tinto to buy from hold Berenberg says the metals and mining company is a "medium-term diversified winner."
Persons: Roth, DA Davidson, Davidson, PARR, Wolfe, Raymond James downgrades, Raymond James, Guggenheim, Mizuho, it's bullish, tailwinds, Wells, Wells Fargo, Canaccord, Tesla, Berenberg, Baird downgrades Harley, Baird, Harley, Gordon, FANG, Bernstein Organizations: Iren Energy, Industries, JPMorgan, Parr, Northland, TAM, Raymond James downgrades GE, GE, Deutsche Bank, Nike, Absci Corporation, Mizuho, Kodiak, Kodiak Gas Services, Meta, SAIC, IT, Tesla, Mobile, T Bank, Buffalo, Rio Tinto, BHP, Home Depot, Barclays, Diamondback Energy, Nvidia, Apple Locations: OW, Asia, Vegas, Northland, Salesforce, Rio, American
That turned out to be a very good decision: Yglesias says Slow Boring is grossing around $1.4 million a year, with limited overhead. Substack gives writers like Yglesias — and now, Taylor Lorenz — a lot of freedom and the ability to make a lot of money. Now, she's off to work on her own via User Mag, a new Substack publication she's launching this week. The Substack was an immediate success, and within a few months, Yglesias had 9,800 subscribers, paying him around $80 a year. Yglesias says he now has nearly 18,000 subscribers, which means he is likely grossing at least $1.4 million a year.
Persons: Matthew Yglesias, Yglesias, Taylor Lorenz, , Lorenz, Harris, Vox, Ezra, doesn't, Substack, Kate Crawford, I've, Bari Weiss, Weiss, Kate, Crawford, that's, LaCroix, Matt, you've Organizations: Vox, Service, The New York Times, Washington Post, Democratic, Trump, who's, Republican, Netflix, Newsweek Locations: who's, Los Angeles, Vox.com
"All of it is very important, but the things we take for granted around us in the physical world are actually far more important." Spatial AI allows models to understand and interact with the physical world in ways previously limited to human cognition, and Nvidia is not the only one building on it. It's a spatial intelligence company building "large world models" to understand, interact with, and build on the three-dimensional world around us. AI for robotics, not just humanoid robotsIn contemplating the ultimate use of artificial intelligence, Nvidia concluded that robotics is the answer. Physical world will be changed by AI within yearsMany companies that focus on robotics and spatial intelligence are homing in on the world of manufacturing.
Persons: ChatGPT, Lebaredian, Fei, Fei Li, Andreessen Horowitz, Jensen Huang, Agustin Huerta, Globant's Huerta, Huerta Organizations: Nvidia, Stanford, Labs, Apple, North America, Franklin, Marshall College, International Locations: New Orleans, San Francisco, North, Globant, London
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