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☆ Earnings in the week ahead could be the next catalyst for a broadening market
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

IWM 5D mountain iShares Russell 2000 ETF Next week's earnings results will help investors glean whether that rotation trade is sustainable. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which is weighted more toward the real economy than is the S & P 500 and Nasdaq, rose to a new record above 40,000. According to FactSet consensus estimates, S & P 500 companies are set to post blended earnings growth of 9.2% in the second quarter. "It's not unthinkable to see us exiting this year at 5,800 on the S & P," he said. This follows a difficult 2Q, when 75% of Large Cap Core managers trailed the S & P 500," Palfrey wrote.

Persons: Patrick Palfrey, Hogan, Keith Buchanan, Buchanan, Palfrey, David Sekera, Quincy Krosby, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Huntington Organizations: Nasdaq, UBS, Investors, Riley, Dow Jones, Globalt Investments, Riley Securities, Big Tech, Core, LPL, BlackRock, Bank of America, Taiwan Semiconductor, Price, Retail, Hunt Transport Services, State, PNC Financial Services, UnitedHealth, United Airlines, Discover Financial Services, U.S . Bancorp, Johnson, Citizens Financial Group, Philadelphia Fed, Netflix, T Bank, KeyCorp, American Express, Halliburton, Fifth Third Bancorp, Regions Locations: Nasdaq, NAHB, Horton, Blackstone, Taiwan

☆ Gold eases, but set for weekly gain on Fed rate cut bets
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices edged lower on Friday, but were headed for a third straight week of gains as cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation data boosted hopes of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September. Gold prices edged lower on Friday, but were headed for a third straight week of gains as cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation data boosted hopes of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September. "Inflation outlook and interest rate picture have moved in favor of gold this week. As we move closer to a lower interest rate environment, conditions could be ripe for gold to set new record highs before the year is out," said Tim Waterer, KCM Trade's chief market analyst. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

Persons: Tim Waterer, KCM, Mary Daly, Austan Goolsbee, Waterer Organizations: Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed Bank, Chicago Fed Bank Locations: U.S

☆ Unexpected bad news for inflation: Wholesale prices rose in June
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —Wholesale price inflation unexpectedly accelerated in June to its highest rate since March 2023. That’s an unwelcome development for the US economy one day after the government announced that consumer prices declined on a monthly basis for the first time in four years. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.2% after holding flat in May. Economists had expected that prices would increase 0.1% on a monthly basis and hold steady at 2.2% annually. Prices dropped on a monthly basis for the first time since May 2020, and annual inflation slowed to 3%, its slowest rate since June 2023.

Persons: That’s, Price, ” Clark Bellin, Bellin Organizations: CNN —, of Labor Statistics, PPI, Federal Reserve

☆ What's driving Friday's big market comeback, a day after heavy tech selling
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Matthew J. Belvedere | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Green day : A lot was working in the stock market on Friday. But it was hard to see through an ugly rotation out of this year's Big Tech winners in favor of more interest rate-sensitive stocks. Many of our hot tech stocks took a breather this week. It's more evidence of why Jim Cramer calls these two names "own, don't trade" stocks. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, Russell, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Wells Fargo, NII, toolmaker Stanley Black, Decker, Morgan Stanley, That's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Big Tech, Federal, Nasdaq, PPI, Fed, Meta, Nvidia, Apple, Ford, Abbott Laboratories, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Financial, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: Morphic, Wells, New York City, Mairo

☆ Japan's Nikkei falls over 2% amid suspected yen intervention; U.S. inflation cools more than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Early Friday, the yen also suddenly strengthened against the dollar after the U.S. inflation data release, prompting analysts and traders to suspect a possible intervention from the country's ministry of finance. The yen traded at 158.55 against the U.S. dollar at roughly 12 a.m. Tokyo time after trading around 161.52 late Thursday. The currency strengthened further against the greenback, currently standing at 158.23. On Friday, Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda said that authorities will take action as needed in the foreign exchange market. Reuters also reported that Kanda said recent yen moves were somewhat rapid, but declined to comment on whether authorities had intervened in the currency.

Persons: Masato Kanda, Kanda Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, greenback, Reuters Locations: Asia, Pacific, U.S, Tokyo

☆ Wholesale prices rose 0.2% in June, slightly hotter than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A measure of wholesale prices rose more than expected in June as Wall Street assesses when the Federal Reserve will feel comfortable cutting interest rates. The producer price index rose 0.2% last month, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday. The PPI is a gauge of prices that producers can get for their goods and services in the open market. Friday's report comes shortly after the June consumer price index came in cooler than expected on Thursday. The Fed's preferred inflation reading is the personal consumption expenditure price index.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Port, Federal, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, Traders Locations: Port of Los Angeles, San Pedro , California

Average 30-year mortgage rates fell to 6.89%, down six basis points from the week before, according to Freddie Mac. As inflation slows and the Federal Reserve is able to start lowering the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to trend down. This would remove a significant amount of upward pressure off of mortgage rates, allowing them to finally trend down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit.

Persons: Freddie Mac Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed Locations: May's, Chevron

☆ JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon warns inflation and interest rates may stay higher
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon on Friday issued another warning about inflation despite recent signs of easing in price pressures. "Therefore, inflation and interest rates may stay higher than the market expects." His comments came after this week's data showed the monthly inflation rate dipped in June for the first time in more than four years, which fueled bets that the Federal Reserve could cut rates soon. Dimon joined many economists in sounding the alarm on the U.S.' burgeoning debt and deficits. The federal government has so far spent $855 billion more than it has collected in the 2024 fiscal year.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Jerome Powell Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal, U.S Locations: U.S

☆ This week's most overbought stocks include several real estate names and a regional bank
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Take a look at this week's overbought names. Pittsburgh-based regional bank PNC Financial is among the week's most overbought names with an RSI of around 73. PNC YTD mountain PNC in 2024 Several real estate investment trusts, or REITs, are also at risk of a slide following this week's rally. American Tower , Alexandria Real Estate Equities and BXP are this week's three most overbought stocks. Shares of American Tower and Alexandria Real Estate Equities gained 5.9% and 6.9%, while BXP climbed more than 8%.

Persons: BXP, Corning Organizations: Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Depot, Caterpillar, CNBC Pro, Pittsburgh, PNC Financial, CPI, PNC, Alexandria Real, American, Management, Corning Locations: Big, Alexandria

☆ The big change that could come for the economy in September
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Wall Street’s expectations for a September rate cut rose to roughly 93% on Thursday from 73% the day before, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. “A September rate cut should be a done deal at this point,” wrote Ron Temple, chief market strategist at Lazard, in a Thursday note. Some economists worry that if the Fed doesn’t cut rates by then, cracks could begin to deepen in the labor market. A September rate cut “may not be the magic elixir some investors are seeking,” wrote Brent Schutte, chief investment officer at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, in a Monday note. On an annual basis, consumer prices are increasing at their slowest pace since June 2023, matching the lowest annual rate since early 2021.

Persons: ”, Ron Temple, Jerome Powell didn’t, Brent Schutte, Alicia Wallace, —, Elisabeth Buchwald, McDonald’s, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Lazard, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Taco Bell Locations: New York, Burger

☆ CNBC Daily Open: S&P retreats, yen surges, Tesla sinks
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The declines follow the lowest consumer price index in over three years. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell, while U.S. oil prices rose on hopes of a rate cut. The Fed is "one step closer to a September rate cut," said Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing at E-Trade.

Persons: Jesse Pound, Chris Larkin, Kit Juckes, Elon Musk, Jamie Dimon's Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Dow Jones, Treasury, U.S, Societe Generale, Delta Air Lines, Paris, Bloomberg, JPMorgan Locations: U.S

☆ American Century's Rich Weiss says Fed could cut twice this year, urges investors to stay diversified
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Rich Weiss wouldn't be surprised if the Federal Reserve cuts rates twice this year — and potentially before the November election. The comments from Weiss come as Wall Street continues to weigh whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates before year-end. But Weiss urges investors to diversify in this concentrated market. Although a riskier bet, Weiss is also finding opportunities in the real estate sector, which he expects should recover as rates fall. Bonds also look attractive should yields continue to come down, and could outperform stocks through the end of 2024, he added.

Persons: Rich Weiss wouldn't, CNBC's Dominic Chu, Weiss, that's, Bonds Organizations: Federal Reserve, Century Investments, American

☆ 10 things to watch in the stock market Friday, including bank earnings and inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

10 things to watch Friday, July 12 Will the market rotation out of year-to-date tech winners and into the rest of the market continue? JPMorgan reported a top and bottom line beat: Revenue of $50.99 exceeded estimates of $49.87 billion; adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.26 beat by 7 cents. No change to full-year 2024 expectation of $91 billion net interest income (NII) and $92 billion in adjusted expense. Revenue of $20.69 billion beat estimates of $20.29 billion and EPS of $1.33 beat by 4 cents. NII of about $13.5 billion beat estimates of $13.22 billion.

Persons: Charlie Scharf's, Wells, Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Investment, Equity, Wells, Citigroup, UBS, Technologies, Citi, Wester Digital, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, New York City

☆ Stock market today: Indexes edge higher as traders digest fresh inflation data and bank earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks edged higher on Friday after a rough prior session as traders digested new data and earnings. Banks including JPMorgan and Citi kicked off second-quarter earnings season. AdvertisementUS stocks were slightly higher on Friday as new inflation data dropped and big US banks kicked off second-quarter earnings season. Even with Friday's strong PPI, we still believe a September rate cut is in play," Clark Bellin, president and CIO of Bellwether Wealth, said. AdvertisementMeanwhile, big US banks opened up the second-quarter earnings season.

Persons: —, Clark Bellin, Wells Organizations: JPMorgan, Citi, Service, Federal Reserve, Bellwether Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Oil prices tick up as crude, gasoline inventories ease
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices edged higher on Thursday as crude stocks fell after U.S. refineries ramped up processing and as gasoline inventories eased, signaling stronger demand. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 36 cents, or 0.5%, to $82.47 a barrel. U.S. crude inventories fell by 3.4 million barrels to 445.1 million barrels in the week ended July 5, far exceeding analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 1.3 million-barrel draw. Gasoline stocks fell by 2 million barrels to 229.7 million barrels, much bigger than the 600,000-barrel draw analysts expected during the U.S. Fourth of July holiday week. Lower interest rates decrease the cost of borrowing, which can boost economic activity and oil demand.

Persons: Brent, Beryl, Price, CME's, Jerome Powell Organizations: . West Texas, U.S, of, Petroleum, Federal Locations: Los Angeles , California, U.S, CME's FedWatch

☆ The Nasdaq looks ugly, giving many stocks in the broader market their time in the sun
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

However, most stocks were up with about 6 to 1 advancers to decliners on the New York Stock Exchange. The reverse happened Thursday as those stocks became a source of funds to buy the rest of the market, especially the housing stocks, solar stocks, real estate stocks, utilities, cyclical, and small caps. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on July 11, 2024 in New York City.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Russell, Banks, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange, Meta, Palo Alto Networks, Big Tech, FedWatch, CPI, PPI, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, Getty Locations: decliners, Wells Fargo, New York City

☆ Prices fell in June for the first time since the start of the pandemic
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

CNN —US consumer prices did something in June that they haven’t done since the early part of the pandemic: They fell. Economists were expecting a 0.1% monthly increase and an annual gain of 3.1%, according to FactSet consensus estimates. Excluding energy and food prices, a closely watched “core” index of underlying inflation also slowed more than expected. Dow futures rose 80 points. Nasdaq futures rose 0.3% as well.

Persons: — Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury

☆ Biden touts cooling inflation, slams Trump tariffs at press conference
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Josephine Rozzelle | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

President Joe Biden on Thursday trumpeted the latest inflation report in the opening remarks of his highly anticipated solo press conference in Washington. "Just this morning, we had a great economic report showing inflation is down," he said. Biden then criticized former President Donald Trump's proposed economic policy, which includes a 10% baseline tariff on all U.S. imports. "Meanwhile, Trump's calling for a 10% tariff on everything Americans buy, including food from overseas, vegetables and other necessities," he said. The press conference was a high-stakes event for the president, who has been facing calls to drop out of the 2024 race after his performance last month at the first debate with Trump.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump's Organizations: U.S . Department of Labor, Trump Locations: Washington

☆ Gold climbs as traders brace for U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices firmed for a third consecutive session on Thursday, with investors awaiting U.S. inflation data due later in the day for more insights on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. Gold prices firmed for a third consecutive session on Thursday, with investors awaiting U.S. inflation data due later in the day for more insights on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. Any downside surprise in the CPI report could weaken the dollar and push up gold prices to the $2,400 level, said Marex analyst Edward Meir. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that the U.S. central bank would make interest rate decisions "when and as" they were needed. Spot silver climbed 0.7% to $31.04 per ounce, platinum firmed 0.4% to $993.25 and palladium gained 0.7% to $992.90.

Persons: Edward Meir ., Lisa Cook, Meir, Jerome Powell, Wang Tao Organizations: Index, Traders Locations: U.S

☆ Fresh Inflation Data Is Expected to Show Continued Cooling
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The Consumer Price Index likely climbed at a moderate pace in June, which would be welcome news for Federal Reserve officials who are watching for further evidence that they have wrestled rapid inflation under control. After stripping out food and fuel prices for a sense of the underlying trend, the “core” price index is expected to have climbed 3.4 percent compared to year earlier, unchanged from the previous report. Inflation is expected to remain moderate on a monthly basis. Economists forecast just 0.2 percent core inflation on a monthly basis, which would match the reading for May. Fed officials have been watching for evidence that inflation is still coming down as they contemplate when to begin cutting interest rates.

Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Fed

☆ Inflation falls 0.1% in June from prior month, helping case for lower rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The monthly inflation rate dipped in June, providing further cover for the Federal Reserve to start lowering interest rates later this year. The all-items index rate fell from 3.3% in May, when it was flat on a monthly basis. The annual increase for the core rate was the smallest since April 2021. A 3.8% slide in gasoline prices held back inflation for the month, offsetting 0.2% increases in both food prices and shelter. Housing-related costs have been one of the most stubborn components of inflation and make up about one-third of the weighting in the CPI, so a pullback in the rate of increase is another positive sign.

Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI Locations: U.S

☆ Live Updates: Inflation Likely Cooled Further in June
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

Overall inflation was probably 3.1 percent in June on an annual basis, down from 3.3 percent in May and the coolest reading since January, based on Bloomberg economist forecasts. Economists forecast just 0.2 percent core inflation on a monthly basis, which would match the reading for May. Fed officials have been watching for evidence that inflation is still coming down as they contemplate when to begin cutting interest rates. And Thursday’s inflation reading is poised to be markedly cooler than the 9.1 percent rate when inflation peaked at in 2022. Fed officials meet in late July, but few economists expect a move that early.

Persons: ” Jerome H, Powell, that’s, “, ” Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Fed

☆ Jim Cramer: Costco's membership fee hike actually signals good news for inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer said Thursday that Costco 's membership fee hike suggests inflation is becoming more manageable for consumers. The fee increase "is significant because management said it wasn't going to raise its membership fee until they saw inflation under control," Cramer said on " Squawk on the Street ." Costco late Wednesday announced its long-awaited membership fee increase — the first since 2017. The membership fee hike has been a second catalyst the Club has been waiting for. Profits from the fee increase will go into the bottom line while some will be reinvested in the business.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, — Organizations: Costco, Gold, CNBC, Management Locations: U.S, Canada

☆ Stock futures are flat Thursday after S&P 500 suffers worst day since April: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stock futures were little changed Thursday night after the S&P 500 had its worst session since April, dragged lower by investors' rotation out of mega-cap tech stocks. S&P 500 futures were marginally higher. Futures linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average were up by around 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures traded near the flatline. Investors sold their Big Tech winners, pushing Nvidia lower by 5.6% and leading to a 4.1% decline for Meta Platforms . The S&P 500 is up 0.3% through Thursday's close, while the Nasdaq is down nearly 0.4%.

Persons: Dow, Russell, Warren, We've, Wells Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Investors, Big Tech, Meta, Traders, Federal, 3Fourteen, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, University of Michigan Locations: Thursday's, Wells Fargo

Supply and DemandThe case for housing deregulation starts with Econ 101: Allowing builders to significantly increase housing supply leads to much lower prices. It isn’t rising demand, as the U.S. population rose even faster back when housing prices were roughly stable. Standard of LivingWhat would happen if homebuilders could once again freely build until housing prices were driven back down to cost? The admittedly small number of studies on the link between YIMBY and babies support common sense: Less regulation lowers housing prices, and lower housing prices generally raise birth rates and hasten child-bearing. In a rational world, the panacea policy of housing deregulation would be a done deal.

Persons: Ben Denzer, Taylor, Wharton, homebuilders, Thomas Piketty’s, ”, Matthew Rognlie, Peter Ganong, Daniel Shoag, Anne Case, Angus Deaton Organizations: Republicans, Research, Area, Wharton, Francisco, Francisco Los Angeles New, Francisco Los Angeles New York Phoenix Denver Houston Dallas, Japan Japan France France Britain Britain, Japan Japan France France Britain Britain Canada, → Utah Nevada Arizona New, San, San Francisco New, Atlanta Houston Boston, Democrats, Republican Locations: Minnesota , Oregon, California, New York City, Houston, Dallas, Francisco Los, Francisco Los Angeles New York, Wharton, United States, Japan, France, Britain, Canada, U.S, Japan Japan France France, Japan Japan France France Britain Britain Canada Canada, Bay, Dodge, → California Nevada Florida New York Arkansas, → Utah Nevada Arizona, → Utah Nevada Arizona New York West Virginia, Washington, San Francisco, San Francisco New York Los Angeles Rochester, N.Y, Atlanta

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