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Mortgage rates for October 13, 2024, are flat around 6.20%, according to Zillow data. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering near 6.20% today, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates remain in the mid 5% range, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.
Persons: they've, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, They'll Organizations: Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron
This time of year typically tests nerves, more so when — as now — an election is onrushing and the S & P 500 was already up 20% for the year. Since June 30, the equal-weighted S & P 500 has gained 9.5%, more than triple the Nasdaq 100's rise. A buyer at the mid-July S & P 500 peak of 5667 sustained a quick 8% tumble in three weeks. Goldman Sachs calculated VIX being this elevated with the S & P 500 calmly clicking to record highs is essentially unheard-of. Cash that's still yielding well more than inflation and bonds holding their value allow investors to shoulder higher equity exposures rather than rotating out.
Persons: isn't, it's, Goldman Sachs, Cash, Friday's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, American Association of, Deutsche, , Bank
Advertisement"The banks are going to have to dispose of that real estate," Barkham told Business Insider in an interview. John Vavas, a real estate finance attorney at Polsinelli who works with commercial real estate lenders, has worked on a handful of office-to-residential conversion deals this year. There's around 1.2 billion square feet worth of office space that could be spun into residential space, Yardi said in a separate report. Late payments on commercial real estate loans have climbed to 1.42% in the second quarter, the highest rate in nearly 10 years. Commercial real estate prices, meanwhile, dropped another 9% year-over-year in the first quarter, Fed data shows.
Persons: , Richard Barkham, Barkham, RentCafe, John Vavas, Yardi, Vavas Organizations: Service, Federal, Silverstein Properties, Washington DC Locations: New York, United States, New York City, Dallas, Chicago, Los Angeles
China’s ‘New Great Wall’ Casts a Shadow on Nepal
  + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +14 min
Hilsa Village NEPAL CHINA Area of detail CHINA Humla District NEPAL Kathmandu INDIA 75 miles NEPAL CHINA Hilsa Village CHINA Area of detail Humla District NEPAL Kathmandu INDIA 75 miles Source: OpenStreetMap, ESRI By Agnes ChangThe Nepalis have other complaints, too. “This is the new Great Wall of China,” said Jeevan Bahadur Shahi, the former provincial chief minister of the area. Without proper roads, it takes goat herders three days to cover the seven miles from Simikot, Nepal, to Humla. CHINA NEPAL CHINA-NEPAL BORDER CHINA NEPAL CHINA-NEPAL BORDER CHINA NEPAL CHINA-NEPAL BORDERThe Chinese side used to be nearly as remote, the seclusion broken only by a flow of pilgrims to Mount Kailash, which is holy to four faiths. Just 20 miles away is the junction of China, Nepal and India.
Persons: Nepalis, Agnes Chang, Dalai Lama, , Jeevan Bahadur Shahi, Xi’s, Xi, Brian Hart, ” Mr, Hart, Arzu Rana Deuba, , Saud, Saud’s, , Mr, Deuba, Pan Yue, China “, Shahi, Lhamu Lama, Hilsa, Pema Wangmu Lama Organizations: Chinese Communist Party, Covid, China Power, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Liberation Army, U.S . Department of Defense, The New York Times, Nepali Home Ministry, The Times, Communist, Security, Guard, Times, National Ethnic Affairs, Nepali Locations: Tibet, Nepal, Nepal’s Humla District, China, Hilsa, NEPAL CHINA, CHINA Humla District NEPAL Kathmandu INDIA, NEPAL CHINA Hilsa, CHINA, Humla, NEPAL Kathmandu INDIA, ESRI, Nepali, Nepal’s Humla, Simikot, Beijing, Washington, Philippine, India, Humla District, N.P, Hulma, Kathmandu, Vietnam, People’s Republic of China, CHINA NEPAL CHINA, NEPAL, Mount Kailash, Xinjiang, Purang, , Bhutan, District
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are around 6.20%, according to Zillow data. In September, 30-year refinance rates averaged 5.89%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.19%. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. Now that the Fed has cut rates, mortgage rates may not drop much in October.
Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, they've Organizations: Fed, Zillow Locations: Chevron
This is while S&P 500 valuations remain high, putting the market at risk for big declines. In a September note, Wolfenbarger shared the below chart from Bank of America showing 19 of 20 valuation measures they monitor as being overvalued. That means the S&P 500 would have to fall 60% just to return to the historical average. But it's still unclear how accurate the September jobs data is. Future revisions and further lackluster jobs data could resume investor fears that a downturn is a serious potential threat.
Persons: Jon Wolfenbarger, , Merrill Lynch, St, Louis Fed, Wolfenbarger, September's, it's, David Rosenberg Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, JPMorgan, Conference Board, Global, Bank of America, Rosenberg Research, Nvidia Locations: St
Fed rate cuts are likely to help push bitcoin and other risk assets higher, but some stablecoin issuers could suffer a hit to their revenue. Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC) dominate the market, making up 70% and 21%, respectively, according to CryptoQuant. "As rates begin to fall, that has a giant impact on their [profit and loss] and their bottom line." Stablecoins – cryptocurrencies that promise a fixed value peg to another asset, usually the U.S. dollar – are widely seen as crypto's killer app. Jeremy Allaire, CEO of USDC issuer Circle, told CNBC lower interest rates are "a very good thing" for the company because lower interest rates will likely increase investment and economic activity – which would benefit the company.
Persons: Bernstein, Kevin Lehtiniitty, they're, Wainwright, Kevin Dede, Jeremy Allaire, Allaire Organizations: U.S ., CNBC
The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average powered to new highs on Friday and capped off a winning week as banking behemoths ushered in a promising start to the third-quarter earnings season. The broad index gained 0.6% to end at 5,815.03, while the Dow rallied 409.74 points, or nearly 1%, to finish at 42,863.86. The S&P and Nasdaq jumped 1.1% each, while the Dow toted a 1.2% gain. A strong start to the third-quarter earnings season provided a lift to stocks. That included a cooler-than-expected September producer price index reading after the consumer price index increased slightly more than expected.
Persons: , , Craig Sterling, JPMorgan Chase, Wells, Kim Forrest, Forrest, Stocks, Goldman Sachs, David Russell, Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Bokeh Capital Partners, , Federal, Federal Reserve
The unprecedented destruction Hurricane Helene has wreaked on western North Carolina could take months, if not years, to rebuild. “We are always playing like we’re one point down,” a Trump campaign official said. A Trump campaign official pointed to efforts to expand the Trump tent with surrogates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Tulsi Gabbard and Iowa Gov. The Harris campaign also hosted community meals that fed 120 families, and it is organizing similar events, spending more than $30,000 on relief efforts. Ultimately, after Biden toured North Carolina, Harris visited once in her official capacity after she visited Georgia to underscore relief efforts.
Persons: Helene, Kamala Harris, That’s, Harris, Donald Trump, Republicans —, Trump, it’s, , Morgan Jackson, Roy Cooper, Josh Stein, ” Jackson, Mark Robinson, Hurricane Helene, Brendan Smialowski, Nikki Haley, Sen, Thom Tillis, Tillis, , Thomas Mills, ” Jonathan Felts, Robinson, Harris “, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Tulsi Gabbard, Kim Reynolds, Haley, Trump’s, JD Vance, ” Harris, Bill Clinton, Andy Beshear, we’ll, ” Donald Trump, Michael M, ” Dory MacMillan, Joe Biden, Biden, Harris didn’t, “ He’s, Zeb Smathers, ” Smathers, “ We’ve Organizations: Democratic, Republicans, Republican, North Carolina, Trump, Gov, Getty, White, GOP, Federal Emergency Management, FEMA, Democratic North, Iowa Gov, Blue Dog, Univision, Kentucky Gov, U.S, Capitol, North Carolina Legislature, Democratic Party Locations: North Carolina, Greenville —, Hurricane, Meadowbrook, Augusta, Ga, AFP, Pennsylvania, Trump, Democratic North Carolina, Ohio, Raleigh, Kentucky, , Valdosta, North Carolina , Georgia, Florida, Tennessee, Georgia, Canton , North Carolina
JPMorgan Chase is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings before the opening bell Friday. The biggest American bank has thrived in a rising rate environment, posting record net income figures since the Fed started hiking rates in 2022. Now, with the Fed cutting rates, there are questions as to how JPMorgan will navigate the change. Last month, JPMorgan dialed back expectations for 2025 net interest income and expenses, and analysts will want more details on those projections. Wells Fargo is scheduled to release results later Friday, while Bank of America , Goldman Sachs , Citigroup and Morgan Stanley report next week.
Persons: Chase Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon's, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Chateau, JPMorgan, LSEG Revenue, Trading, American, Fed, KBW, Bank of America, Citigroup Locations: Versailles, Paris, Wells
After the latest blast of consumer inflation data, traders are facing a conundrum around how they should interpret the monthly numbers. September's consumer price index report topped the Street's expectations, rising 0.1% from the month prior and increasing at a pace of 2.4% over the past 12 months. Still, the annual inflation rate was the lowest since February 2021. Relative to expectations, September's CPI number does not imply a reacceleration of inflation. Rather, the rate of consumer inflation continues to slow, albeit at a more modest pace than some had hoped for.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nonfarm payrolls, Austan Goolsbee, Ron Insana Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Social Security, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, CNBC Locations: U.S
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell arrives to a news conference following the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee at the William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building on September 18, 2024 in Washington, DC. This week's inflation data provided more evidence that the Federal Reserve is nearing its objective, fresh on the heels of the central bank's dramatic interest rate cut just a few weeks ago. Consumer and producer price indexes for September both came in around expectations, showing that inflation is drifting down to the central bank's 2% target. The Wall Street investment bank on Friday projected that the Commerce Department's personal consumption expenditures price index for September will show a 12-month inflation rate of 2.04% when it is released later this month. The Fed prefers the PCE as its inflation gauge though it uses a variety of inputs to make decisions.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Austan Goolsbee Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Washington , DC, Commerce, Fed, PCE, Chicago Fed, CNBC Locations: Washington ,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAI thinks there's a greater chance of the Fed pausing than the market does, says Doug ClintonDoug Clinton, Intelligent Alpha founder and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss how his firm is using AI to determine investment strategies, what data goes into the AI model, avoiding human bias, and more.
Persons: Doug Clinton Doug Clinton Organizations: Intelligent Alpha
Now that the Federal Reserve has started to cut the federal funds rate, those yields are moving lower. Lincoln Financial's analysis shows that cash yields have historically fallen by 2%, on average, twelve months after the start of a Fed cutting cycle. What to do with excess cash Instruments like CDs, high-yield savings accounts and money market funds are a good place to stash cash for emergencies and upcoming expenses. However, the forward market implies that they should start to look appealing relative to money funds in about six months, Abate wrote. "We expect investors to rotate from money funds into IG only if compensated for the risk," he noted.
Persons: Joe Boyle, Sallie Mae, Goldman Sachs, Marcus, Michael Kaye, Jayson Bronchetti, Lincoln, Boyle, Lincoln Financial's Bronchetti, Bronchetti, we've, Joseph Abate, Abate Organizations: Hartford Funds, Investors, Federal Reserve, American, Financial, Synchrony, Fed, Lincoln Financial, Bloomberg U.S, Barclays, Reserve, IG Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S
Investors who fear stubborn inflation, if not an outright rebound, got a bit of a salve on Friday morning. Wholesale prices showed no change month over month for September, coming in below expectations. The producer price index report may help offset some of the slight concerns about Thursday's consumer price index report, which was a bit hotter than expected. The personal consumption expenditures price index for September will be released on Oct. 31. "We think the Fed is really still on track to cut 25 [basis points] at each of the next two meetings," Seif added.
Persons: David Seif, Seif, Wells Organizations: Nomura Securities, Fed, PPI, Traders, JPMorgan Chase, BNY Mellon Locations: Wells Fargo
As a wedding planner, I've heard my fair share of questions some guests feel embarrassed to ask. If you already gave the couple a wedding gift, you don't need to bring another to the event. Here are answers to common ones I find wedding guests are too embarrassed to ask. AdvertisementCan I wear white to a wedding if I'm not the one getting married? You can wear white to a wedding, but it may not be worth it.
Persons: I've, , it's, you've, Ale_Koziura, I'm, Solange, Alan Ferguson's Organizations: Service
And, with earnings season set to ramp up, that could mean further gains. Already, on Friday, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo were rallying in midday trading after reporting their latest results this week, an auspicious start to the earnings season. A strong earnings season Earnings results next week will be dominated by reports from the banking sector, giving investors further insight into the health of the capital markets as well as the consumer. Several regional banks are also set to announce how they did in the most recent quarter as well, such as PNC Financial Services Group and Citizens Financial Group. Even so, investors are optimistic about the outlook for corporate profits this earnings season, especially with expectations having come down.
Persons: what's, Oppenheimer, Wells Fargo, Charlie Ashley, Ashley, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Ross Mayfield, Catalyst's Ashley, Baird's Mayfield, Mayfield, Charles Schwab, Huntington Bancshares Organizations: Dow Jones, Tech, Nvidia, JPMorgan Chase, Traders, Federal Reserve, Catalyst Funds, Nasdaq, Ashley . Bank of America, PNC Financial Services Group, Citizens Financial Group, Private Wealth Management, Treasury, Columbus, Columbus Day, Index, United Airlines, Hunt Transport Services, Citigroup, State, Goldman Sachs Group, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Johnson, Bank of America, PNC Financial Services, UnitedHealth, Price, PPG Industries, Steel Dynamics, Discover Financial Services, CSX, Abbott Laboratories, U.S . Bancorp, Financial Group, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Netflix, T Bank Corp, Elevance, Truist, Blackstone, Housing, Schlumberger, Procter, Gamble, Fifth Third Bancorp, Regions Financial, American Express Locations: Ashley, bullish, Prologis, NAHB
Jim Cramer has been considering a potential investment in BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, and we're now adding it to our Bullpen stocks-to-watch list. In addition to BlackRock, Club name Wells Fargo was among the companies that delivered strong results. Jim Cramer said Friday he knows the stock has run a lot, "but that doesn't mean it can't run more." As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, We've, Larry Fink, Fink, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, It's, Jim, Wells, Jim Cramer's, Michael M Organizations: BlackRock, Management, CNBC, Global Infrastructure Partners, Federal Reserve, Club, New York Times, Santiago, Getty Locations: BlackRock, New York City
Gold drifts higher after data supports U.S. rate-cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices climbed on Friday after recent data supported bets for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month, while market participants awaited the U.S. Producer Price Index report for further direction. Spot gold rose 0.5% to $2,641.70 per ounce by 0245 GMT but was down about 0.4% for the week. Data on Thursday showed that U.S. consumer prices rose slightly more than expected in September, while jobless claims increased to 258,000 in the week ended Oct. 5, versus estimates of 230,000. "Gold is seeing short-term gains as recent data has been positive. If the PPI data comes in softer, gold's momentum could continue upward," said Kelvin Wong, OANDA's senior market analyst for Asia Pacific.
Persons: Price, Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, CME's Organizations: Federal, PPI, Asia Locations: Tokyo, Japan, CME's FedWatch, Beirut
Another key US inflation gauge fell in September
  + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
CNN —Inflation for US producers slowed further in September, adding to hopes that prices aren’t getting jacked up before they get to consumers. The annual rate is running faster than the 1.6% gain economists expected, according to FactSet estimates; however, August’s rate was revised higher from the initial 1.7% estimate, so prices still fell in September. PPI is important because it’s often seen as a bellwether for the price increases consumers will wind up paying down the line. On Thursday, the Consumer Price Index — a measurement of average price changes for commonly purchased goods and services — cooled to 2.4%, its lowest rate since February 2021. As a result, Fed officials have now shifted from trying to contain inflation to trying to keep the job market healthy, the other half of their so-called dual mandate.
Persons: Price, that’s Organizations: CNN, of Labor Statistics, PPI, Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCIO says 25 basis point cuts by the Fed seem likely but don't rule out another surpriseFabiana Fedeli, chief investment officer for equities, multi-asset and sustainability at M&G Investment, comments on the Federal Reserve's next moves.
Persons: Fedeli Organizations: G Investment, Federal
Wholesale prices were flat in September, below expectations
  + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A measure of wholesale prices showed no change in September, pointing to a continued easing in inflation, the Labor Department reported Friday. The producer price index, which measures what producers get for their goods and services, was flat for the month and up 1.8% from a year ago. Within the PPI, a 0.2% decline in final demand goods prices offset a 0.2% increase in services. A 3% jump in deposit services costs pushed the services index higher, while professional and commercial equipment wholesaling prices tumbled 6.3%. Similarly, the index for gasoline fell 5.6%, holding back gains on the goods index.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Labor Department, PPI, Fed
September's robust job growth signaled what looks like a booming labor market. In general, the job market is booming. There's some tension hiding in the dataOn its face, the labor market is looking rosy. Job openings ticked up in August but have been broadly declining since 2022, adding to the tough labor market picture for job seekers. Related storiesEven though the labor market has cooled, it's largely done so without mass layoffs or a full-blown recession.
Persons: , ​ ​ Cory Stahle, they're, Liz Wilke, Elizabeth Renter, Matt Colyar, Claudia Sahm, Julie Su, Wilke, It's Organizations: Service, Workers, Moody's, New Century Advisors, mhoff
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering near 6.20%, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates are in the mid 5% range, according to Zillow data. Average Refinance Mortgage Rates TodayRefinance rates are a bit higher today after dropping in September. Last month, 30-year refinance rates averaged 5.89%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.19%.
Persons: they've, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, refinance Organizations: Fed, Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: Chevron
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "I am totally comfortable with skipping [rate cuts for] a meeting if the data suggests that's appropriate," Bostic told The Wall Street Journal in an interview Thursday. The data suggests so. But Bostic acknowledged it's important to see whether individual data points cohere into a larger pattern, or if they're just "janky," as Bostic put it.
Persons: Justin Sullivan, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Joseph Brusuelas, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim Organizations: Getty, CNBC, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Federal, Market, RSM Locations: San Rafael , California
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