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Futures rise ahead of CPI data, Fed rate decision in focus
  + stars: | 2022-12-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
SummarySummary Companies Futures up: Dow 0.22%, S&P 0.29%, Nasdaq 0.34%Dec 12 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday ahead of monthly consumer inflation data, while investors braced for the Federal Reserve meeting later this week. The Nasdaq (.IXIC) shed 4%, and S&P 500 (.SPX) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) lost 3.4% and 2.8%, respectively. ET, Dow e-minis were up 73 points, or 0.22%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 11.25 points, or 0.29%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 39.25 points, or 0.34%. Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN.O) tumbled 4.3% after the company paused its partnership discussions with Mercedes-Benz Vans on electric van production in Europe. Reporting by Shubham Batra and Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru Editing by Vinay DwivediOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Consumer prices data for November, due Tuesday, will provide fresh clues on the central bank's monetary tightening plans. The S&P 500 declined 0.73% to end the session at 3,934.38 points. The Nasdaq declined 0.70% to 11,004.62 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.90% to 33,476.46 points. Declining stocks outnumbered rising ones within the S&P 500 (.AD.SPX) by a 3.3-to-one ratio. The S&P 500 posted 5 new highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 54 new highs and 213 new lows.
Producer prices climbed 7.4% last month on an annual basis, the Labor Department's report showed, compared with economists' expectations of a 7.2% increase. Core producer prices, which exclude volatile food and energy components, jumped 6.2% compared with estimates of a 5.9% rise. Consumer prices data for November, due Tuesday, will provide fresh clues on the central bank's monetary tightening plans. U.S. stocks had snapped a recent run of losses on Thursday after data showed initial jobless claims modestly rose last week, suggesting the labor market was deteriorating. The S&P index recorded five new 52-week highs and one new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 24 new highs and 96 new lows.
Wall Street's main indexes had come under pressure in recent days, with the S&P 500 shedding 3.6% since the beginning of December on expectations of a longer rate-hike cycle and downbeat economic views from some top company executives. Such thinking had also weighed on the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC), which had posted four straight losing sessions prior to Thursday's advance on the tech-heavy index. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 7, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidNine of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors rose, led by a 1.6% gain in technology stocks (.SPLRCT). The S&P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and three new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 232 new lows.
SummarySummary Companies Weekly jobless claims rise in line with estimatesSalesforce slips on downgradeIndexes up: Dow 0.72%, S&P 0.82%, Nasdaq 1.19%Dec 8 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 gained ground on Thursday, lifted by technology and energy shares, while a rise in weekly jobless claims suggested the labor market was slowing down. "More people are filing jobless claims, which shows labor forces are weakening a little bit," said Thomas Hayes, chairman at Great Hill Capital LLC in New York. Ten of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes rose, led by 1.5% gain in technology stocks (.SPLRCT). Most mega-cap technology and growth stocks such as Apple Inc (AAPL.O), Nvidia Corp (NVDA.O) and Amazon.com (AMZN.O) rose between 1.4% and 4.2%. The S&P index recorded 11 new 52-week highs and two new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 53 new highs and 132 new lows.
"It's just one data point that leads to the Fed cooling down their aggressive hikes, but it doesn't change December's 50 basis point (rate hike). The key is going to be the data between December and February as to what they do next." The U.S. central bank has raised its policy rate by 375 basis points this year in the fastest hikes since the 1980s. Adding to the fears, the yield curve between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes has also widened in the recent days. ET, Dow e-minis were up 148 points, or 0.44%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 22.5 points, or 0.57%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 65.5 points, or 0.57%.
[1/2] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 29, 2022. For the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX), it was the fifth straight session that it has declined, while the Nasdaq (.IXIC) finished down for the fourth time in a row. The S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 7.34 points, or 0.19%, to close at 3,933.92 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped 56.34 points, or 0.51%, to finish at 10,958.55. The S&P 500 is on track to snap a three-year winning streak. The S&P 500 posted seven new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 61 new highs and 307 new lows.
The benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) fell for the fifth straight session on Wednesday. The Nasdaq (.IXIC) was down for the fourth straight session, dragged lower by a 1.3% drop in Apple Inc (AAPL.O) on Morgan Stanley's iPhone shipment target cut and a 3.9% fall in Tesla Inc (.IXIC) over production loss worries. The CBOE volatility index (.VIX), also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose to a two-week high to 23.01 points. The S&P 500 is on track to snap a three-year winning streak, down 17.4% so far in 2022. The S&P index recorded six new 52-week highs and seven new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 36 new highs and 226 new lows.
[1/2] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 29, 2022. "From the bigger picture, the Fed has hiked rates to a point where markets are expecting monetary policy to be restrictive enough to cause a mild recession." The CBOE volatility index (.VIX), also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose to a two-week high at 23.01 points amid increased investor anxiety. Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) slumped 2.9%, down for a third straight session over production loss worries at its Shanghai plant. The S&P index recorded two new 52-week highs and six new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 25 new highs and 149 new lows.
SummarySummary Companies Apple down, Morgan Stanley cuts Dec shipment estimateCarvana tumbles, Wedbush slashes PT to Street lowFutures down: Dow 0.25%, S&P 0.48%, Nasdaq 0.82%Dec 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes were set to open lower on Wednesday after warnings of a looming recession from major Wall Street bankers offset optimism around China relaxing its strict zero-COVID rules. Fears of a recession due to the U.S. Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hikes to curb inflation pulled the S&P 500 (.SPX) lower for a fourth straight session on Tuesday, with all major Wall Street indexes ending down 1%-2%. "From the bigger picture, the Fed has hiked rates to a point where markets are expecting monetary policy to be restrictive enough to cause a mild recession." The CBOE volatility index (.VIX), also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose to a two-week high at 23.01 points amid increased investor anxiety. ET, Dow e-minis were down 85 points, or 0.25%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 19 points, or 0.48%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 94.75 points, or 0.82%.
Futures fall on growing fears of recession
  + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
SummarySummary Companies Futures down: Dow 0.11%, S&P 0.21%, Nasdaq 0.30%Dec 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures edged lower on Wednesday after warnings of a looming recession from major Wall Street bankers offset optimism around the easing of China's strict zero-COVID rules. Fears of a recession due to the U.S. Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hikes to curb inflation pulled the S&P 500 (.SPX) lower for a fourth straight session on Tuesday, with all major Wall Street indexes closing down 1-2%. ET, Dow e-minis were down 36 points, or 0.11%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 8.25 points, or 0.21%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 34.75 points, or 0.3%. Among other stocks, GameStop Corp (GME.N) jumped 1.1% ahead of its third-quarter results where it is expected to report a 4.5% rise in revenue. Reporting by Shubham Batra and Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D'SilvaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
[1/2] The Wall Street entrance to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) is seen in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2022. However, technology names generally suffered as investors applied caution toward high-growth companies whose performance would be sluggish in a challenging economy. Most of the 11 major S&P sectors declined, with energy and communications services (.SPLRCL) joining technology (.SPLRCT) as leading laggards. Future economic growth prospects were in focus on Tuesday following comments from financial titans pointing toward uncertain times ahead. The S&P 500 posted three new 52-week highs and nine new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 52 new highs and 262 new lows.
[1/2] The Wall Street entrance to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) is seen in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2022. Future economic growth prospects were in focus on Tuesday following comments from financial titans pointing toward uncertain times ahead. The S&P banks index (.SPXBK) was down 2.6%, with Bank of America leading declines with a 5.6% drop. Fears about economic growth come amid a re-evaluation by traders of what path future interest rate hikes will take, following strong data on jobs and the services sector in recent days. "If economic growth continues to be better than what people are expecting, there are chances that the Fed would have to continue to be hawkish," said Rusty Vanneman, chief investment strategist at Orion Advisor Solutions.
[1/2] The Wall Street entrance to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) is seen in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2022. Concerns about a steep increase in borrowing costs have boosted the dollar, while weighing on equities and bond markets this year, with the S&P 500 down 17.5%. The S&P 500 rallied 13.8% in October and November on hopes of smaller rate hikes and better-than-expected earnings. The bank sector index (.SPXBK) fell 2.1%, with Bank of America leading declines with a 4.9% drop. The S&P index recorded three new 52-week highs and eight new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 30 new highs and 191 new lows.
"It's the recession fear that a lot of investors have ... the concern is that profits begin to drop more meaningfully in the recession." As of Dec. 2, analysts expected S&P 500 companies to report a drop of 0.6% in fourth-quarter earnings after posting a 4.4% rise in the third quarter, according to Refinitiv IBES data. ET, Dow e-minis were down 31 points, or 0.09%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 2 points, or 0.05%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 4.75 points, or 0.04%. Meanwhile, a Tuesday runoff election in Georgia between Democratic U.S. Among individual stocks, GameStop Corp (GME.N) rose 1.6% in premarket trading following a media report on layoffs.
[1/2] The Wall Street entrance to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) is seen in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2022. The lender's chief executive said the bank's research predicted three quarters of mild negative growth next year. JPMorgan Chase and Co's (JPM.N) top boss Jamie Dimon also warned of a mild to more pronounced recession ahead. As of Dec. 2, analysts expected S&P 500 companies to report a drop of 0.6% in fourth-quarter earnings after posting a 4.4% rise in the third quarter, according to Refinitiv IBES data. The S&P index recorded three new 52-week highs and six new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 15 new highs and 109 new lows.
Broadly, indexes suffered as data showed U.S. services industry activity unexpectedly picked up in November, with employment rebounding, offering more evidence of underlying momentum in the economy. Investors see an 89% chance that the U.S. central bank will increase interest rates by 50 basis points next week to 4.25%-4.50%, with the rates peaking at 4.984% in May 2023. The rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee meets on Dec. 13-14, the final meeting in a volatile year, which saw the central bank attempt to arrest a multi-decade rise in inflation with record interest rate hikes. "Stock Exchange" is seen over an entrance to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on Wall St. in New York City, U.S., March 29, 2021. Although bank profits are typically boosted by rising interest rates, they are also sensitive to concerns about bad loans or slowing loan growth amid an economic downturn.
Broadly, indexes were suffering as data showed U.S. services industry activity unexpectedly picked up in November, with employment rebounding, offering more evidence of underlying momentum in the economy. In other economic data this week, investors will also monitor weekly jobless claims, producer prices and the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey for more clues on the health of the U.S. economy. It was weighed by U.S. natural gas futures slumping more than 8% on Monday, as the outlook dimmed due to forecasts for milder weather and the delayed restart of the Freeport liquefied natural gas (LNG) export plant. EQT Corp (EQT.N), one of the largest U.S. natural gas producers, led declines with a 7.1% drop. Although bank profits are typically boosted by rising interest rates, they are also sensitive to concerns about bad loans or slowing loan growth amid an economic downturn.
Data showed U.S. services industry activity unexpectedly picked up in November, with employment rebounding, offering more evidence of underlying momentum in the economy. "Right now it's more of an issue of watching the Fed and they are going to need to tighten and longer than needed." Investors see an 89% chance that the U.S. central bank will increase interest rates by 50 basis points next week, with the rates peaking in May 2023. All major Wall Street indexes notched a second straight week of gains last week, with the S&P 500 rising 1.13%, the Dow gaining 0.24% and the Nasdaq climbing 2.1%. The S&P index recorded four new 52-week highs and one new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 54 new highs and 39 new lows.
The U.S. Labor Department reported that nonfarm payrolls increased by 263,000 jobs last month compared with economist expectations for 200,000 jobs. "That sentiment shift has been more powerful than any 'negativity' to be taken from today's jobs report," he said. MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.15% on the day but added 1.5% for the week. Earlier it had jumped sharply in response to the jobs data, gaining as much as 0.82%. Gold prices also regained some lost ground from their earlier reaction to the jobs data.
"Adding to the Fed's problems, monetary conditions have loosened in recent weeks as the dollar and longer-dated Treasury yields have fallen and credit spreads have narrowed. This is undoing the tightening effects of the Fed's recent rate rises." Investors now see an 87% chance that the Fed will increase interest rates by 50 basis points in December, down from 91% before the jobs data was published on Friday. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 5.14-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and a 3.09-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded two new 52-week highs and no new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 15 new highs and 40 new lows.
Futures slip ahead of November jobs report
  + stars: | 2022-12-02 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
SummarySummary Companies Futures off: Dow 0.07%, S&P 0.02%, Nasdaq 0.07%Dec 2 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures edged lower on Friday as investors await the monthly jobs report for November, which would provide more clues on the Federal Reserve's path of monetary tightening. The Labor Department's jobs report due at 8:30 a.m. Investors now see a 91% chance that the U.S. central bank will increase interest rates by 50 basis points in December, with the rates peaking under 5% in May 2023. "The market is looking for the Goldilocks scenario for U.S. jobs numbers on Friday," said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell to 10-week lows and the two-year note , which often indicates interest rate expectations, slipped to early October lows.
A reading from the Commerce Department showed consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, rose 0.8% after an unrevised 0.6% increase in September. The core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index, excluding volatile items, eased to 0.2%, against expectations of 0.3%. "People are feeling that the worst is behind us," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York. The S&P 500 index (.SPX) closed above its 200-day moving average for the first time since April in the previous session, while the Nasdaq index (.IXIC) ended over 4% higher. FEDWATCHInvestors also await nonfarm payrolls data on Friday, with the ADP report on Wednesday suggesting cooling demand for labor.
SummarySummary Companies Futures: Dow dips 0.16%, S&P flat, Nasdaq off 0.11%Dec 1 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures were little changed on Thursday after a strong Wall Street rally in the previous session on hopes of a potential downshift in the Fed's policy on aggressive rate hikes, while Salesforce fell on news of its co-CEO to step down. The S&P 500 index (.SPX) closed above its 200-day moving average for the first time since April in the previous session, while the Nasdaq index (.IXIC) ended over 4% higher. "Seeing a little bit of profit taking," said Rick Meckler, partner at Cherry Lane Investments in New Vernon, New Jersey. Powell, however, cautioned that the fight against inflation was far from over and indicated that the terminal rate will be "somewhat higher" than the 4.6% indicated by policymakers in their September projections. ET, Dow e-minis were down 56 points, or 0.16%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 2 points, or 0.05%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 13.25 points, or 0.11%.
SummarySummary Companies Investors look to Powell speech for interest rate cluesU.S. consumer confidence slips in NovemberS&P 500 -0.16%, Nasdaq -0.59%, Dow +0.01%Nov 29 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended down on Tuesday, with losses in Apple and Amazon ahead of an upcoming speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that could provide hints about magnitude of future interest rate hikes. Investors will be looking for clues about when the Fed will slow the pace of its aggressive interest rate hikes. The S&P 500 energy sector index (.SPNY) rallied 1.3%, while gains in oil prices on expectations of a loosening of China's strict COVID controls were later offset by concerns that OPEC+ would keep its output unchanged at its upcoming meeting. The S&P 500 declined 0.16% to end the session at 3,957.60 points. The S&P 500 posted three new highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 68 new highs and 183 new lows.
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