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Yields on one-year real estate bonds rated AA- have widened 220 bps in the past month, data from Chinabond shows. That divergence reflects investors' expectations that Beijing will support LGFVs in order to minimise financial contagion, despite rising delinquencies among developers. Yields on LGFV bonds issued in August averaged around 3.9%, the lowest seen this year, according to data provider Dealing Matrix(DM). The chorus of economists calling for China to support LGFVs as part of measures to shore up the economy has grown. Chi Lo, Hong Kong-based senior economist at BNP Paribas Asset Management, said Beijing needs to refinance LGFV debt over the next three to five years to prevent the system from imploding.

Persons: Aly, Zhu Yangmo, LGFVs, Zhu, Chi Lo, Li Gu, Samuel Shen, Tom Westbrook, Vidya Ranganathan, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, China Central Depository, Asset Management, Garden Holdings, HK, China International Capital Corp, Tianjin Infrastructure Investment Group, AAA, China, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, Rights SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, Hainan, Beijing, Tianjin, Hong Kong, imploding, Singapore

☆ As gas prices hit 10-month highs, Citi warns major hurricanes could ‘massively’ disrupt supplies
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Oil prices could still fallFor consumers, the good news is that, outside of the risk of a bad hurricane season, Citi is bearish on oil prices. The Wall Street bank’s baseline forecast is that oil prices will drop in the coming months, a scenario that would cool gas prices. “It’s something we certainly keep a close eye on,” a White House official told CNN earlier this week. As recently as Memorial Day and July 4th, consumers were saving big on gas prices when measured against the same point last year. “Energy markets are volatile and gas prices can fluctuate,” the White House official told CNN.

Persons: Hilary, Joe Biden’s, “, CNN’s Erin Burnett, Janet Yellen, heatwaves Organizations: CNN, AAA, That’s, Citigroup, National Hurricane Center, Coast, Citi, White, “ Energy, White House Locations: Russia, Saudi Arabia, Gulf of Mexico, Mexico, California, Washington, Colorado , Arizona, Illinois, AAA . Indiana , Pennsylvania, New York

☆ Morning Bid: Bonds calm down but Chinese markets smolder
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. REUTERS/Mike Segar/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsA look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanRestive bonds showed signs of calm on Wednesday, but China's struggling economy and markets continue to unnerve world markets. A twin jolt from resurgent western debt yields and China's deepening economic funk and property sector troubles have made for a bumpy August to date. After a slew of dour retail, industrial and property investment numbers earlier this week, China reported on Wednesday that home prices fell for the first time this year. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Segar, Mike Dolan Restive, swooned, Goldman Sachs, Neel Kashkari, I'm, Fitch, JPMorgan Chase, Mike Dolan, Emelia Sithole Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Minneapolis Fed, United States, AAA, JPMorgan, Bank of America, of, Cisco, Amcor, New, New York Fed, . Federal Reserve, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Wall St, China, United, New York, Canada

☆ A former BlackRock stock chief shares 5 stocks and one area of the bond market he likes right now as growing recessionary pressures threaten to spoil the S&P 500's rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Bob Doll thinks a mild recession will hit the US economy sometime in the near-to-mid future. Outside of the stock market, Doll also thinks bonds are relatively attractive compared to last year. Within the bond market, he likes Treasurys most, with 10-year yields offering more than a 4% coupon. A 1.5% 10-year Treasury is a bad deal, and of course bonds have sold off hard," he said. Treasury bonds can be bought via a brokerage or through TreasuryDirect.

Persons: Bob Doll, Bob Doll isn't, Doll, Phillips, refiners Organizations: Conference, BlackRock, Valero, Aaa, Treasury Locations: HMOs, TreasuryDirect

CNN —Earnings season continues this week with Target, Walmart, TJ Maxx parent company TJX and other high-profile retailers set to release their quarterly results. That shift showed up in earnings results for retailers including Home Depot and Target earlier this year. US retail spending, which is adjusted for seasonality but not inflation, inched up in June but fell below economists’ expectations. Americans feel hopeful inflation is coolingAmericans are feeling more optimistic that inflation is trending down now and into the future. Consumer spending expectations ticked up from the month before but remain below levels seen during the past year, according to the report.

Persons: TJ Maxx, hasn’t, Christina Hennington, Doug McMillon, they’re, Matt Egan Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Target, Walmart, TJ, Shoppers, Home Depot, Refinitiv, “, University of Michigan’s, Consumer, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Federal Reserve, AAA, Labor Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Russia, Saudi Arabia

U.S. One dollar banknotes are seen in front of displayed stock graph in this illustration taken, February 8, 2021. Managing the ballooning debt is more challenging now than when S&P stripped the United States of its AAA rating in 2011. The deficit before interest payments was lower then, economic growth was weak but still higher than prevailing interest rates, and the Fed was buying boatloads of bonds. Interest payments as a share of federal revenue, spending, and the economy are set to reach historically high levels early in the next decade. It's not just the supply of debt that matters - demand to hold that debt is critical.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Fitch, Uncle Sam, Carter, Chris Marsh, Bonds, Phil Suttle, It's, Jamie McGeever, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: REUTERS, AAA, Fed, Carter Administration, Investors, Reuters, Treasury, CBO, Suttle, Thomson Locations: ORLANDO, Florida, Washington, United States, Foreign, China, Treasuries, U.S

☆ US gas prices climb to highest level in nearly 10 months
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

The national average for regular gasoline hit $3.85 a gallon on Monday, according to AAA. That’s the highest level since October 19 and comes just weeks ahead of Labor Day weekend when millions of Americans will hit the roads. The summer spike in gas prices has eased, with the cost to drivers moving just gradually higher more recently. The national average is up by two cents over the past week. Those year-over-year savings have nearly vanished, with the national average down just 11 cents from this point last summer.

Organizations: New, New York CNN, AAA, Labor, Utah ., Saudi, Saudi Ministry of Energy Locations: New York, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Arizona , Illinois, Utah, Utah . Colorado, Michigan

☆ Bonds bruised, China stocks and rouble sink
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

With seasonal trading volumes so thin and the events and data diary bare today at least, there's a danger of over-interpreting recent market developments. But the backup in long-term U.S. bond yields over the past couple of weeks despite relatively unchanged expectations for Federal Reserve policy moves has clearly unsettled investors. Although 2-year Treasury yields remain below 5% and are lower than they were at midyear, 10-year Treasury yields continue to probe 9-month highs around 4.20% and the yield curve has disinverted by some 20 basis points this month as a result. China's yuan hit its lowest since June as traders look to a possible easing of 1-year interest rates on Tuesday. Events to watch for on Monday:* U.S. Treasury auctions 3-, 6-month billsReuters GraphicsReuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsBy Mike Dolan, editing by XXXX <a href="mailto:mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com" target="_blank">mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com</a>.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Fitch, Goldman Sachs, Russia's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Micron Technology, Federal Reserve, United States, AAA, Treasury, . Treasury, Kremlin, Shanghai, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, United, midyear, China, Japan, Ukraine, Hong Kong, Asia

☆ US loss of AAA badge a reminder of 'regime shift' for government debt
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( Yoruk Bahceli | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

"I think it really brings home that shift being a regime shift rather than a cyclical one," Katimbo-Mugwanya said. S&P said the assumption that governments would prioritise servicing debt over spending promises had rarely been tested at such high debt levels. For now, despite the steepest increases in borrowing costs in decades, investors still see little risk in holding governments' longer-term debt. POLICY WATCHGreater focus on longer-term risks should bring scrutiny of government policies. Still, with higher debt an economic reality, few governments are left with the coveted AAA rating.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Fitch, David Katimbo, Mugwanya, Bill Ackman, Moritz Kraemer, Fichan, Kraemer, Kshitij Sinha, Martin Lenz, LBBW's Kraemer, Yoruk Bahceli, Davide Barbuscia, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, AAA, Financial, Fitch, EdenTree Investment Management, P Global, LBBW, European Union, European Commission, European Central Bank, Syz, New York Fed, Life Asset, Union Investment, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, Japan

☆ Americans can't get a break thanks to surging mortgages, food and fuel costs. Here's all the ways consumers are getting screwed.
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-12 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Americans can't get a break financially, largely thanks to higher interest rates and "greedflation." The US economy may be in good shape, but Americans are getting squeezed from all sides. On top of that, it's become more expensive to pay back debt in a world of higher interest rates. US mortgage rate are at 23-year highsHigher interest rates influence mortgage rates. Mortgage rates tend to fluctuate with 10-year Treasury yields, given lenders typically tie rates to the yield of the 10-year bond.

Persons: it's, Freddie Mac, Fitch, Larry McDonald, Paul Krugman, That's Organizations: Morning, Federal Reserve, U.S, AAA, Brent, West Texas Intermediate Locations: Ukraine, Saudi Arabia, Russia

☆ Thursday's inflation data may be low, but don't expect the Fed to declare 'mission accomplished' yet
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

But history has shown that inflation is stubborn and can last longer than expected once it becomes elevated and entrenched. "We can feel confident that inflation is moving in the right direction," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. For instance, housing-related costs, which make up about one-third of the inflation index weighting, are dropping. In particular, they don't want to declare 'mission accomplished' too soon," he said Wednesday during an interview on CNBC's "Squawk on the Street." watch nowAt the macro level, the Fed rate hikes have appeared to do minimal damage.

Persons: Mandel Ngan, Dow Jones, Mark Zandi, Zandi, they're, Richard Clarida isn't, Clarida, Joe Biden, Patrick Reilly, Banks, Reilly, John Williams of, Patrick Harker Organizations: AFP, Getty, Federal Reserve, CPI, Moody's, Federal, of Labor Statistics, AAA, Atlanta Fed, CNBC, America Economic Survey Locations: Bethesda , Maryland, John Williams of New York, Philadelphia

☆ US gas prices are surging to their highest level since October 2022 – and economists are warning of an inflation 'smile'
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US gas prices are on the rise again, stoking concerns that it could fuel inflation. The average gallon of gas traded at $3.89, its highest level since October 2022. The average gallon of gas traded at $3.89, its highest level since October 2022, per AAA. The surge in gas prices comes amid rising oil prices, largely spurred by supply cuts by key producers including Saudi Arabia and Russia. Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Analytics, said the spike in oil prices were a threat to his optimism about US inflation.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, Mark Zandi Organizations: Federal Reserve, AAA, Brent, West Texas Intermediate, Allianz Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia

☆ Congress must find debt solution without cutting Social Security, Medicare, Sen. Coons says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( Chelsey Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

WASHINGTON — Lawmakers must address the trillions of dollars that make up the national debt and deficit without touching Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security, Sen. Chris Coons said Monday. "I recognize that the art of politics is finding one that both parties can support," Coons, D-Del., said of debt reduction aims while on CNBC's "Squawk Box." "But frankly, at the end of the day, Democrats are not going to cut benefits under Social Security." Coons said Congress needs "to find a way forward in the middle that balances revenue and spending in a positive way" following Fitch's decision to downgrade the nation's long-term debt this month. The credit rating agency dropped U.S. long-term debt to AA+ from its AAA rating due in part to the drawn-out debt ceiling debate earlier this year.

Persons: Sen, Chris Coons, Coons Organizations: WASHINGTON, Social Security, AAA

☆ Fitch US credit downgrade: Former Treasury secretaries react
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-06 | by ( Eva Rothenberg | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —The US economy is resilient, but policymakers need to take the long view on the country’s fiscal challenges, three former Treasury secretaries told CNN’s Fareed Zakaria on Sunday. “But it’s in some ways a very important wake-up call.”The downgrade came after a last-minute bipartisan deal in June that suspended the US debt ceiling until early 2025. I strongly disagree with Fitch’s decision, and I believe it is entirely unwarranted,” Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Biden administration is preparing new rules that could restrict investment in certain sectors in China, according to reports. When asked about US-imposed tariffs on China, Paulson said “we are working to close markets at the same time that China is doing business with more and more of the world.”“China is a major, major competitor,” he added.

Persons: CNN’s Fareed Zakaria, ” “, ”, Henry Paulson, George W, Bush, Janet Yellen, Paulson, “, ” Timothy Geithner, Geithner, ’, ” Robert Rubin, Bill Clinton, Zakaria, Biden, –, Jennifer Hansler, Gan, Juliana Liu Organizations: CNN, Fitch, AAA, Treasury Department, Capitol, Poor’s Locations: United States, China

☆ On tap next week: Two key inflation reports and 4 Club earnings releases. Here's what we're looking for
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-05 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Economic releases : The Labor Department releases its monthly consumer price index and producer price index on Thursday and Friday, respectively. For that reason, we'd be content if the July figure doesn't indicate a resurgence of rising wholesale costs, which is a concern given a recent uptick in energy prices. On Tuesday before the opening bell, Club holding Eli Lilly (LLY) reports. Finally, Club names Walt Disney (DIS) and Wynn Resorts (WYNN) will report on Wednesday after the closing bell. In preparation for these releases, be sure to check out our first-quarter earnings report card .

Persons: we'll, Knight, Eli Lilly, We'll, donanemab, Walt Disney, We're, Tyson, Henry Schein, Li Auto, Armour, WEN, Ralph Lauren, Price, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, Labor Department, Reserve, Manufacturing, ADP, Fitch, AAA, U.S ., PPI, Coterra Energy, Walt, Wynn Resorts, Disney, Tyson Foods, TSN, KKR, Energy, Paramount, UPS, Barrick, Duke Energy, Restaurant Brands, Warner Music, Fox Corp, NRG Energy, AMC, Bros, Endeavor, IAC, Sony, SONY, Brookfield Asset Management, WYNN, Trade, Novo Nordisk, US Foods, News Corp, Air Canada, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: United States, Mounjaro, Hollywood, Las Vegas, Boston, Macao, PENN, Valvoline, VVV, Credicorp, New York City

☆ Warren Buffett is struggling to find bargains, Berkshire Hathaway's 2nd-quarter earnings show
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-05 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Warren Buffett found few bargains in the second quarter, Berkshire Hathaway's earnings show. The investor's company sold a net $8 billion of stock, and spent only $1.4 billion on buybacks. They also spent only $1.4 billion on stock buybacks last quarter, down from over $4 billion in the first quarter. They plowed a record $68 billion into stocks last year, or $34 billion on a net basis. In contrast, Berkshire sold over $18 billion of stock on a net basis during the first six months of this year.

Persons: Warren Buffett, Warren Buffett's, Berkshire Hathaway's, That's, it's, Buffett, didn't, Fitch Organizations: Berkshire, Service, BNSF Railway, Travel Centers, Treasury, CNBC, AAA, AA Locations: Wall, Silicon, Alleghany, Berkshire

Fitch told the U.S. Treasury about its ultimate decision about 24 hours ahead of the announcement. Fitch's recent talks with the Treasury did not include the actual downgrade decision, Francis said, because it had not yet been made by the agency's ratings committee. On Monday, Fitch's credit committee met, made a decision, and Treasury officials received the Fitch press release of the downgrade. "The timing of the committee was pure coincidence," Francis told Reuters on Friday, noting the date was set weeks ago. Debt ceiling votes have been "acrimonious for decades," one U.S. official complained, referring to a long history of standoffs.

Persons: Dylan Martinez WASHINGTON, Biden, Donald Trump, Harvard's Larry Summers, Jamie Dimon, Fitch, Joe Biden, Richard Francis, Fitch's, Francis, Mark Sobel, Sobel, Alexander Hamilton, David Lawder, Davide Barbuscia, Heather Timmons, Alistair Bell Organizations: Fitch, REUTERS, White House, Reuters, U.S . Treasury, Republicans, Congress, U.S, AAA, Treasury, Social Security, Capitol, Trump, longtime Treasury, Thomson Locations: Canary Wharf, London, Britain, U.S

☆ Global money market funds see largest inflows since March amid US downgrade, economic woes
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Jason Lee/Illustration/File PhotoAug 4 (Reuters) - Global money market funds attracted massive inflows in the week to Aug. 2 as investors sought safer assets amid a U.S. credit downgrade and weak economic data from the euro zone and China. Investors poured in a net $67.52 billion into global money market funds during the week, marking the biggest weekly net purchase since March 22, according to Refinitiv Lipper data. The U.S. and the European money market funds drew $58.56 billion and $14.35 billion worth of inflows, respectively, while Asia faced a second weekly outflow, amounting to $360 million. Riskier global equity funds still received inflows worth about $4.45 billion in a second straight week of net purchases. Data for 24,127 emerging market funds showed that investors withdrew about $487 million from bond funds after eight straight weeks of net purchases.

Persons: Jason Lee, Fitch, Gaurav Dogra, Patturaja, Shilpi Majumdar Organizations: Hong, REUTERS, Investors, Reuters Graphics Reuters, AAA, Global, Equity, Thomson Locations: Hong Kong, China, United States, Europe, U.S, Asia, Bengaluru

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 26, 2023. All eyes will be squarely on the July U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, due at 8:30 a.m. ET, with a Reuters poll of economists estimating payrolls increased by 200,000 jobs last month, after having risen 209,000 in June, showing labor market conditions remain tight. "Today's NFP data would be important for setting the market tone for the coming weeks," Jefferies strategist Mohit Kumar said. ET, Dow e-minis were up 10 points, or 0.03%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 8.5 points, or 0.19%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 44.25 points, or 0.29%.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Amazon's, nonfarm, Jefferies, Mohit Kumar, Stocks, DraftKings, Shubham Batra, Bansari, Savio D'Souza, Shounak Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Apple Futures, Dow, Nasdaq, Amazon.com, Microsoft, Labor Department, Fitch, AAA, Dow e, Horizon Therapeutics, Sports, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, States, Bengaluru

☆ Elon Musk touts short-term Treasurys as a 'no-brainer,' echoing Warren Buffett and Bill Ackman
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Elon Musk touted short-term Treasurys as a "no-brainer," mirroring Warren Buffett and Bill Ackman. The Tesla CEO responded to Ackman, who said he's investing cash in short-term T-bills like Buffett. The Tesla and SpaceX CEO was responding to a post on X by Ackman, who like Buffett, said he puts cash into short-term Treasurys. We also invest our cash in short term Treasurys," Ackman said. At the same time, while Ackman reveals his fondness for short-term Treasurys, he revealed on Thursday he's short on 30-year US Treasurys.

Persons: Elon Musk, Warren Buffett, Bill Ackman, Ackman, Buffett, Musk, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: Service, Privacy, SpaceX, Berkshire, CNBC, AAA, AA, Pershing Square Locations: Wall, Silicon, US

☆ How extreme heat is making your gas more expensive
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Extreme heat is contributing to this unwelcome price spike. Saudi Arabia and Russia restrain supplyOf course, extreme heat is not the sole factor behind the gas price jump. Still, high heat is clearly piling pressure on gas prices. The good news is there are signs the impact of high heat on gas prices may be easing. Kloza said gas prices could just be pennies away from their peak of the summer.

Persons: ”, Tom Kloza, Andy Lipow, Kloza, ” Kloza Organizations: New, New York CNN, Oil Price Information Service, AAA, Lipow Oil Associates, Diesel, Retail Locations: New York, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Texas , Louisiana, Gulf

☆ Opinion: The US has always made good on its debt. There’s no reason to think that will change
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Opinion Mark Zandi | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The higher the rating, the more likely the investor can trust that principal and interest payments will arrive on time. Indeed, global investors use the interest rate on US Treasury bonds to determine the interest rate on other countries’ bonds. Consider the recent battle over increasing the Treasury debt limit and looming prospects for a government shutdown later this year. These so-called governance issues are central to Fitch’s decision to downgrade the nation’s debt. The last time was in the early 1990s when interest payments on the debt ballooned, and the fiscal outlook darkened.

Persons: Mark Zandi, CNN —, Fitch, “, Thomas Jefferson, Alexander Hamilton, we’ve, Joe Biden, Bill Clinton, Newt Gingrich, Lore, Winston Churchill Organizations: Moody’s, CNN, AAA, Mark Zandi CNN, Treasury, European Union, US Treasury, Twitter, Facebook, Democrat, Republican, British

☆ Fitch downgrade of long-term U.S. debt completely justified, Blackstone's Schwarzman says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Blackstone CEO Stephen Schwarzman said Fitch Ratings had ample reason to downgrade long-term U.S. debt. The downgrade from Fitch was the first since Standard and Poor made a similar move in 2011. Schwarzman agreed with the reasoning behind the Fitch downgrade. Schwarzman added that the U.S. remains the supplier of the world's reserve currency, which should provide some confidence to investors who might otherwise view the downgrade with concern. "The U.S. is the U.S. — we are the reserve currency, [and] we do defend a large part of the world, including people who have AAA's," Schwarzman said.

Persons: Stephen Schwarzman, Fitch, Schwarzman, CNBC's, We've Organizations: Blackstone, AAA Locations: U.S

In a July update of its credit opinion on the sovereign rating, Moody's maintained its Aaa rating and stable outlook, which means likelihood of a new rating over the medium term is low. Moody's did not offer comment beyond referring Reuters to its latest credit opinion, which it said reflected its latest thinking on the U.S. sovereign credit profile. In Moody's view, these factors counterbalance "lower fiscal strength," which the agency expects will weaken. In its latest credit opinion, Moody's said it had confidence in the strength of U.S. institutions, adding that monetary and macroeconomic policies have "a long history of effectiveness." It said, however, that other aspects of policymaking are "less robust than in many Aaa-rated peers," particularly when it comes to fiscal policy effectiveness.

Persons: Fitch, Lawrence Gillum, Ryan Detrick, Moody’s, it’s, Moody's, Davide Barbuscia, Megan Davies, Diane Craft Organizations: Moody's Corporation, AAA, U.S, OECD, LPL, Carson Group, Aaa, Reuters, TRIPLE, U.S ., Treasuries, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York, U.S, United States, Australia, Canada, Fitch

☆ Morning Bid: Next up, payrolls
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. markets are reeling this week from surging funding needs, the loss of the government's prized triple-A credit rating and a still-hot labour market. Longer-dated U.S. Treasuries have taken a beating this week, with 10-year and 30-year yields surging over 20 basis points, heading for their biggest weekly jump since late December. On Friday, if economists polled by Reuters are right, non-farm payrolls will have risen by 200,000 in July -- pretty much unchanged from June. Just last month, another stronger-than-expected ADP report sent yields surging, only to be followed by a weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls report, stoking yield swings. Key developments that should provide more direction to U.S. markets later on Friday:* U.S. July non-farm payrolls* Canada July employment data* Goodyear Tire earningsReporting by Yoruk Bahceli; Editing by Christina FincherOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Yoruk Bahceli, Fitch, Jerome Powell, nonfarm, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, Yoruk, Markets, Treasury, Reuters, Citi, Traders, Goodyear, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, Yoruk Bahceli . U.S, United States, Canada

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