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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMorgan Stanley's Sherry Paul: It's important for investors to be 'forward-thinking'Sherry Paul, Morgan Stanley Private Wealth Management managing director, joins CNBC's 'Closing Bell' to discuss how she sees the economy, her year-end playbook, and more.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Sherry Paul, Sherry Paul, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Morgan Stanley Private Wealth Management
Link: Dixon is changing the company and the strategy.
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLink: Dixon is changing the company and the strategy. Stephanie Link, Chief Investment Strategist at Hightower, recommends Gap for Q4 due to strong cash flow and new leadership, and highlights Morgan Stanley's growth potential in net interest income and wealth management.
Persons: Dixon, Stephanie Link, Hightower, Morgan
Alphadyne Asset Management hired JPMorgan's Thomas Byuen as a commodity index portfolio manager. Hedge funds like Balyasny and Jain Global have poached big bank commodity traders in recent years. Byuen, global head of commodity index trading, joined the bank in 2012 out of college, according to his LinkedIn profile and industry records. More recently, Jain Global, the most hyped new hedge fund launch in years, hired BofA's Max Lee, head of commodity and FX systematic strategy trading. Commodities is a top strategy at the fund, which brought in ex-Macquarie exec David Hochberg to lead the unit.
Persons: JPMorgan's Thomas Byuen, , wasn't, Thomas Byuen, Max Lee, Mike Severo, LMR, Goldman Sachs, Will Scott, Morgan Stanley, Dan Deighton, Balyasny, Deighton's, BofA's Max Lee, David Hochberg Organizations: Asset Management, Jain, Service, Alphadyne, Management, JPMorgan, Verition Fund Management, Balyasny Asset Management, LMR Partners, Commodities, Macquarie Locations: BofA
Generac Holdings — Shares of the maker of power generators surged 8% as Hurricane Milton intensified into a Category 5 storm . Amazon — The e-commerce stock lost 2.9% after Wells Fargo downgraded shares to equal weight from overweight and cut its price target, citing slowing growth and competition from Walmart. Hershey – Shares fell 2% after the chocolate maker was downgraded to neutral at UBS and to market perform at Bernstein. JPMorgan downgraded shares to underweight from neutral, citing dwindling confidence in the Israel-based company grapples with share loss concerns and volume challenge. JPMorgan downgraded shares to neutral, citing limited EPS upside from here.
Persons: Milton, Wells, Chubb, Morgan Stanley, Coty, Ashley Helgans, Arcadium, Bernstein, GLP, Ciena, , Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox, Sean Conlon, Pia Singh Organizations: Generac Holdings, Walmart, Pfizer —, CNBC, Insurance, , Allstate, Travelers, Progressive, Hurricane, Universal Insurance, Air Products, Chemicals, Garmin —, Garmin, Jefferies, Rio Tinto, Hershey –, UBS, Butterfly Equity, JPMorgan, Apple Locations: Florida, Hurricane Milton, Fort Lauderdale , Florida, Wells Fargo, California, Israel
Jim Cramer is planning to stay in the game with Constellation Brands , despite a Wall Street firm moving to the sidelines on the Mexican beer importer. Shares of New York-based Constellation Brands fell 1.5% Monday, off their lows of the session. In the June-to-August period reported Thursday, beer sales rose 6%, compared with increases of 8%, 11% and 11.8% in its three prior quarters. In explaining why we're sticking with Constellation, Jim said Monday he liked what he heard from Constellation Brands CEO Bill Newlands during the executive's appearance Friday on "Mad Money." This uptick coincided with increased marketing spending behind its top beer brands, Newlands said.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, there's, Bill Newlands, Newlands, , Kim Crawford, Meiomi, Duckhorn, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Constellation Brands, Bank of America, Modelo, Corona, Constellation, CNBC Locations: York, Mexico, Corona, San Anselmo , California
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Oil prices also continued their climb higher on escalating tensions in the Middle East — though Jim Cramer cautioned investors against chasing the concurrent rally in energy stocks at this point. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, downgrades, We'll, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Jim, Abbott, Louis, Stocks, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Apple, DuPont, Constellation Brands, Federal, U.S, Bank, Abbott Laboratories, FDA, CDC, NIH, Abbott Labs, Pfizer, American Express, KB, Netflix, Air Products, Chemicals, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S, St
Goldman lowers recession odds to just 15%
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The bank's economists over the weekend lowered their recession probability to just 15%, which chief economist Jan Hatzius classified as the "unconditional long-term average." September's smashing nonfarm payrolls surge of 254,000 and a downward move in the unemployment rate served as a catalyst for the firm to nearly abandon the chance of a contraction. Prior to the report, traders had been betting that the Fed might repeat its 50 basis point — half percentage point — interest rate cut from September before the end of the year. But expectations have swung now, and Goldman concurs with market pricing that the "next few meetings" will see 25 basis point moves. That's about 1.5 percentage points lower than the current level and 2 full percentage points below the pre-September cut.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Hatzius, Goldman, Lisa Shallett, Morgan Stanley, Shallett Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Friday's rally on a strong jobs report gained momentum into the close and pushed the stock market into the green for the week. Inflation data: The September consumer price index (CPI) report is out Thursday. The September producer price index (PPI) is out Friday. Jim said last week that investors who don't own AMD shares should buy some ahead of CEO Lisa Su's presentation. ET: Consumer price index 12 p.m.
Persons: we'll, Jim Cramer, Friday's, Matthew Graham, Israel, Joe Biden, Wells, Jim, we're, We're, Morgan Stanley, Lisa Su's, Su, Jim Cramer's, Michael M Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Mortgage News, Mortgage News Daily, CNBC, Devices, PPI, Bank, Nvidia, SOXX Semiconductor, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, DAL, JPMorgan, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: U.S, Iran, Israel, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, New York City
Insider Today: Consultants hit the exits
  + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Matt Turner | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
This post originally appeared in the Insider Today newsletter. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . This week's dispatchHot jobs reportgradyreese/Getty, Tyler Le/BIThe US economy added way more jobs in September than expected. AdvertisementThe jobs report on Friday showed 254,000 jobs added, way ahead of the 147,000 expected, while unemployment dropped to 4.1%. Here's what it all means:Rates: The strong job numbers likely mean a longer wait for lower rates.
Persons: , Tyler Le, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Harris, Alyssa Powell, Marc Rowan, Apollo, Rowan, Natalie Ammari, Scooping, Van Cleef, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Business, Service, UC Berkeley, Fed, Dow, Deloitte, Accenture, Reuters, Apollo Management, Apollo, JPMorgan Locations: Zegna, Bridgewater
AdvertisementCorporate earnings are on pace for their best non-pandemic year since 2018, and market strategists expect the party to continue in the upcoming earnings season and into 2025. "There's not always a one-for-one relationship between economic growth and earnings growth," Reynolds said. "You can still see earnings growth at a pretty robust level, even if economic growth moderates to some extent. "That could be a little bit of a headwind for the market," Saglimbene said. That's a normal earnings growth kind of environment, and I think that's enough to continue to push the market higher."
Persons: , Mike Reynolds, Anthony Saglimbene, He's, Saglimbene, Joe Quinlan — who's, Bank of America —, Quinlan, Reynolds, it's, Andrew Slimmon, Jim Baird, Plante, Michael Smith, Smith, There's, Slimmon, he's Organizations: Service, Business, Ameriprise, Merrill, Private Bank, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Financial, Allspring Global Investments, Bears Locations: what's
Below, four market experts share how investors should allocate their money going forward. The US job market blew past economists' predictions, with total nonfarm payrolls increasing by 254,000 last month — over 100,000 more jobs than expected. Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer, Independent Advisor AllianceThe job market is showing signs of strengthening with the September data. With that being said, the current environment presents many opportunities to invest in equities, according to Zaccarelli. "Recession fears are elevated, and we think those are underpriced, underappreciated parts of the market," Zaccarelli said.
Persons: , we've, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Sonders, there'll, it's, Jeffrey Roach, Roach, Lisa Shalett, Morgan, Shalett, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Investors, Fed, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Independent
Dealmaking activity has picked up, but it's not been enough to fully unlock Morgan Stanley shares. Morgan Stanley ended Friday within a dollar of its all-time closing high of $108.73 reached back in February 2022. Friday's positive developments are welcome news – but not enough to add clarity on our path forward for Morgan Stanley. For the time being, the Club is taking a wait-and-see approach with Morgan Stanley stock. If there is a surge in IPO and M & A activity that HSBC forecasted, Morgan Stanley is well-positioned to benefit.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley's, Jim, Goldman Sachs, it's, Wells, We're, Morgan, Banks, Dan Simkowitz, Jim Cramer's, Bing Guan Organizations: HSBC, KBW, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty
Morgan Stanley is pounding the table on several stocks as investors wait to see if October markets are tumultous or quiet. Morgan Stanley said that even though recent data shows that total cold storage inventory has been down, Lineage still sees plenty of room for growth. Morgan Stanley walked away from Thermo's recent analyst day raving about the stock. Overseas growth, especially in China, remains subdued for now, but Morgan Stanley is optimistic that the latest China stimulus will improve the economic outlook. In addition, Morgan Stanley sees a "significant runway" for higher margins as the Federal Reserve continues its rate-cutting cycle.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Ronald Kamdem, Kamdem, Tejas Savant, Savant, Manan Gosalia, CRE, Gosalia Organizations: T Bank, Taiwan Semiconductor, Tejas, T, Buffalo, MTB, Federal Reserve, Taiwan Locations: U.S, China
Vista Outdoor has announced a deal to sell its two divisions for $3.4 billion. It is set to sell Revelyst, its sporting goods business, for around $1.13 billion. That deal is subject to the completion of the sale of its ammunition business, Kinetic Group, for about $2.23 billion. Advertisement"Together, the CSG Transaction and the SVP Transaction represent an enterprise value of $3.35 billion for Vista Outdoor and will deliver an estimated $45 per share in cash to Vista Outdoor stockholders," the press release says. AdvertisementCzechoslovak Group is being advised by JPMorgan on the new deal, while Morgan Stanley is advising Vista Outdoor.
Persons: , Michael Callahan, Morgan Stanley, Vista's Organizations: Kinetic, Service, Partners, Czechoslovak Group, CSG, Vista, Vista Outdoor, Reuters, JPMorgan, Moelis, Company Locations: Minnesota, Prague
Vista struck a deal to sell its sporting goods unit, Revelyst, to investment firm Strategic Value Partners for $1.1 billion, according to a statement seen by Reuters. Taken together, the two deals value Vista at $45 per share, topping a rival $43 per share offer from MNC Capital, an investment firm led by former Vista board member Mark Gottfredson. The sale of Revelyst is expected to close by January, subject to regulatory approvals and the completion of the CSG deal. In June, the CSG deal was cleared by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, which reviews foreign investments over possible national security concerns. In July, Vista launched a strategic review to explore all its options, after failing to gather investor support for the CSG deal.
Persons: Vista, Mark Gottfredson, Michael Callahan, Glass Lewis, David Geenberg, MNC's, Victor Khosla, Morgan Stanley, Moelis, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Flag, New York Stock Exchange, Partners, Reuters, Czechoslovak Group, CSG, MNC Capital, Vista, MNC, Institutional, Services, Federal, Remington, Foresight, Bushnell Golf, North, Foreign Investment, Strategic Value Partners, JPMorgan Locations: U.S, Prague, Revelyst, Minnesota, Russia, Ukraine, North America, United States, Colleyville , Texas
Western sanctions have forced Russia to rely on the Chinese yuan for reserves and trade. China's financial system is deeply tied to the greenback, limiting diversification options. These include the entrenched role of the greenback in the global commodities trade and much larger foreign reserves than Russia, wrote Greene, a former senior advisor at the US Treasury. However, many CIPS participants are highly connected to the dollar financial system and potentially subject to the reach of US sanctions. The dollar is still kingIn short, China just can't copy Russia's sanctions-proofing playbook and is likely to continue orbiting around the dollar financial system in the near-term.
Persons: , China —, Robert Greene, Greene, China's, It's, dollarization, James Lord, Morgan Stanley's, Michael Zezas Organizations: Service, Carnegie Endowment Asia, US Treasury, Patomak Global Partners, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Locations: Russia, China, Beijing, Russia's, Ukraine
In today's big story, Google Search is going to look a whole lot different thanks to generative AI . According to Rhiannon Bell, the vice president of user experience for Google Search, it's a "pretty dramatic shift from where we were before." AdvertisementAnd yes, in case you were wondering if it was coming, Google is going to start putting ads in its AI Search results — but only when Google deems them relevant. Google's new AI-organized search results GoogleSearch's revamp addresses a big concern for the rest of the internet. One survey conducted earlier this year found 60% of people who used Google's AI search found it more effective than non-AI powered Search.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Tyler Le, Hugh Langley, Tech's, Hugh, Rhiannon Bell, Gen, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Ned Davis, Kalshi, Andy Jassy F, Carter Smith, Chelsea Jia Feng, Andy Jassy, Marc Andreessen, he's, Alyssa Powell, dockworkers, hasn't, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Service, Costco, Tech, Google, Getty, Ned, Ned Davis Research, CFTC, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Amazon, LinkedIn, YouTube, EU . US Department of Labor Locations: China, San Francisco, EU, New York, London
British tech tycoon Mike Lynch died from drowning, an inquest heard. Lynch and six others died after the superyacht Bayesian sank off the coast of Sicily in August. Lynch founded software company Autonomy in 1996 and sold it to HP for more than $11 billion in 2011. AdvertisementTech tycoon Mike Lynch died from drowning after the Bayesian superyacht sank off the coast of Porticello, Sicily, an inquest heard on Friday, multiple outlets reported. Lynch, his 18-year-old daughter Hannah, and five others died after the vessel was caught in a heavy storm in August.
Persons: Mike Lynch, Lynch, , Hannah, Mike Brown, Jonathan Bloomer, Morgan Stanley, Judy, Brown, Jonathan, Judy Bloomer —, Chris Morvillo, Neda —, Recaldo Thomas, Matthew Griffiths, James Cutfield, Tim Parker Eaton Organizations: Autonomy, HP, Service, Tech, Morgan, Morgan Stanley International, Reuters, BBC Locations: Sicily, Porticello, Autonomy
Banks up : Financials were also strong Friday, with Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley our top performers on the session. Beer boss : Shares of Club stock Constellation Brands were bouncing Friday, one day after a steep post-earnings slide . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, It's, WTI, Prices, Banks, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Jim, Goldman Sachs, Beer, Bill Newlands, Newlands, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, ., Fed, West Texas, Drug Administration, Centers for Disease Control, National Institutes of Health, NEC, Club, Abbott Laboratories, Constellation Brands, Modelo, Constellation, Morning, Costco, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S, Israel, Mexico, Wells
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Jim Cramer calls September's nonfarm payroll growth a "no landing" number, meaning we don't have to waste energy debating a hard economic landing versus a soft landing. AMD stock is starting to reflect that, he added, but it hasn't had nearly the gains of rival Club stock Nvidia this year. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, September's, Jim, Lisa Su, hasn't, Morgan Stanley, Wells, It's, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Dow, Nasdaq, Club, AMD, Nvidia, Bank, Fed Locations: U.S, Israel, San Francisco, Wells Fargo
AdvertisementThe September jobs report offered good news all around — except to those expecting a second straight jumbo 50-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month. In addition, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1%, bucking estimates that it would stay unchanged at 4.2%. Analysts agree that September's blowout job numbers make an aggressive interest rate cut harder to justify. Advertisement"Did the Fed even need to cut rates in September, let alone cut by 50 basis points?" Late last month, the bank predicted that investors would take on more risk if the unemployment rate hit 4.1% and if payrolls reached above 150,000.
Persons: , Seema Shah, Glen Smith, Morgan Stanley, payrolls, Smith Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, GDS Wealth Management, Federal
Shares of Rivian Automotive dropped about 8% during premarket trading Friday after the electric vehicle startup delivered fewer vehicles in the third quarter than analysts had expected and lowered its annual production forecast for 2024. The company said the lower production target — down from 57,000 units to between 47,000 and 49,000 — was because of a "production disruption due to a shortage of a shared component" for its R1 vehicles and commercial van. "This supply shortage impact began in Q3 of this year, has become more acute in recent weeks and continues. As a result of the supply shortage, Rivian is revising its annual production guidance to be between 47,000 and 49,000 vehicles," the company said in a statement. A Rivian spokesman said the component causing the problem is part of its in-house motors, but he declined to disclose any further details.
Persons: RJ, Morgan, We've Organizations: Rivian Automotive
One alternative would be to sail to West Coast ports on the other side of the country, likely using the Panama Canal, a journey of thousands of miles that would hike costs and add weeks to delivery times. Bryan R. Smith / AFP - Getty Images fileThe ILA is seeking a big pay raise along with commitments to halt port automation projects it fears will kill jobs. The USMX had offered a 50% pay bump, but the ILA said it was insufficient to address its concerns. The strike affects 36 ports — including New York, Baltimore and Houston — that handle a range of containerized goods. Biden’s administration has repeatedly said it will not use federal powers to halt the strike.
Persons: , Everstream’s Jena Santoro, Bryan R, Smith, USMX, ” USMX, , Joe Biden’s, Morgan Stanley Organizations: International Longshoremen’s Association, Reuters, ILA, United States Maritime Alliance, Getty, Houston, National Retail Federation Locations: U.S, East Coast, Gulf Coast, West Coast, Panama, Maine, Texas, Bayonne , New Jersey, AFP, New York, Baltimore
The dockworkers' strike threatens supply chains, while Hurricane Helene caused costly damage. Devastation from Hurricane Helene, a dockworkers' strike, and escalating conflict in the Middle East all threaten to scramble supply chains and inflate prices. How much the strike impacts prices depends on how much of a cushion companies have built to deal with any bottlenecks. Bottlenecks also encourage carriers to raise their prices, increasing retail and consumer goods prices, Kent said. The hurricane has also disrupted some supply chains, including healthcare supplies and high-purity quartz needed for semiconductor manufacturing.
Persons: Helene, , Israel ramped, Douglas Kent, Dockworkers, dockworkers, Morgan Stanley, Kent, Fazili, Lauren Saidel, Baker, she's, Biden, Hurricane Helene, Adam Kamins Organizations: Service, Association for Supply Chain Management, JPMorgan, National Economic, Biden, ITR, International Longshoremen's Association —, United States Maritime Alliance, Homeowners Locations: Israel, Iran, Hurricane, Lebanon, Maine, Texas, East Coast, Gulf, Kent, West Coast, North Carolina, Florida
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSeasonality is still here despite an okay September, says NewEdge's Cameron DawsonNewEdge Wealth's Cameron Dawson, Virtus’ Joe Terranova and Morgan Stanley's Ellen Zentner, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the Fed, potential for a soft landing and their market outlook.
Persons: NewEdge's Cameron Dawson, Wealth's Cameron Dawson, Virtus ’ Joe Terranova, Morgan Stanley's Ellen Zentner Organizations: Virtus ’
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