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Recent data sets the Fed up to cut interest rates twice this year, JPMorgan's David Kelly said. The bank's chief global strategist predicted Fed rate cuts were coming in September and December. Yet, he warned that stocks are expensive, and investors should be wary of adding exposure at high valuations. The chief global strategist predicted central bankers would begin dialing back interest rates at the September policy meeting, with another cut likely in December. But rate cuts shouldn't be the signal for investors to flock to the stock market, Kelly said.
Persons: JPMorgan's David Kelly, , David Kelly, That's, Kelly, We've, John Hussman Organizations: Service, Asset, CNBC
Some key inflation readings in the week ahead could bolster the case for a September interest rate cut, as investors deliberate how long stocks can sustain their rally to record highs. After a rocky start to the year, a recently improving inflation picture has investors hopeful the Federal Reserve could soon start to lower rates. Stubborn inflation patches The June consumer price index is expected to show a slight improvement in the headline number. In May, for example, shelter inflation rose 0.4% on the month and 5.4% on the year, while other key items declined. Monday, July 8 3 p.m. Consumer Credit (May) Tuesday, July 9 6 a.m. NFIB Small Business Index (June) Wednesday, July 10 10 a.m. Wholesale Inventories final (May) Thursday, July 11 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index (June) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: nonfarm payrolls, Mark Malek, FactSet, there's, Ross Mayfield, Baird, Mayfield, David Kelly, CNBC's, Wells, Price, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CPI, PPI, FactSet, University of Michigan, Asset Management, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, Consumer Credit, Treasury Budget, Air Lines, Conagra, JPMorgan, Bank of New York Mellon Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Michigan, Fastenal
Stocks within the adoption frameworkWhile there could be a few angles one might use to determine where a company fits within AI's development, Goldman Sachs created their version of AI's adoption phases. Additional early winners of AI were mega-cap technology names that had steep earnings growth and attracted a lot of investors. Throughout 2023, there was a 53% gap in annual earnings growth between the top five AI names and the rest of the S&P 500. But as we enter 2025, Goldman estimates that the earnings growth between the big five and the rest of the market will tighten. The graph below demonstrates Goldman's forecast of a slowdown in earnings growth from the concentrated names and a modest pickup for the broader market.
Persons: , It's, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Goldman Organizations: Service, Business, Chief US, Nvidia, Microsoft, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Management
On Today’s Episode:Labour Party Wins U.K. Election in a Landslide, by Mark Landler, Megan Specia and Stephen CastleMajor Democratic Donors Devise Plans to Pressure Biden to Step Aside, by Kenneth P. Vogel, Theodore Schleifer and Lauren HirschHurricane Beryl Gains Strength as It Bears Down on Yucatán, by Jovan Johnson, Emiliano Rodríguez Mega and Eric NagourneyF.B.I. and Justice Department Open Criminal Investigation in Chinese Doping Case, by Michael S. Schmidt and Tariq Panja
Persons: Mark Landler, Megan Specia, Stephen, Kenneth P, Vogel, Theodore Schleifer, Lauren Hirsch, Jovan Johnson, Emiliano Rodríguez Mega, Eric Nagourney F.B.I, Michael S, Schmidt, Tariq Panja Organizations: Labour, Stephen Castle Major Democratic, Biden, Justice, Investigation
The artificial intelligence boom is straining America's power grid. All three trends have sparked ongoing concerns about the power-hungry nature of new technologies as they push America's shaky power grid to the limit. And with hundreds of millions of users already interacting with AI tools like ChatGPT, the power demand for AI technologies is only set to rise. Bank of America put into perspective the challenges faced by the power grid as it grapples with surging demand from AI data centers. AdvertisementSome eye-opening stats about the US power grid cited by Bank of America include:"The US grid produces 1,250 gigawatts (GW) of electricity from 9,200 generating units.
Persons: Baird, Ted Mortonson, , Mortonson, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Oracle, Wall Street Journal, Constellation Energy, Xcel Energy, NextEra, Southern Co Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, East, NextEra Energy
Influencers have changed the ad industry. Now what?
  + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( Gaelle Legrand | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +9 min
Commercial playsTania Bryer: In 1994, it was considered groundbreaking – using an ad to flip gender roles on their head. They're somehow interacting with brands through the prism of influencers, and it gives them a way to talk back. Tania Bryer: A 2019 Edelman study revealed that consumers' trust in the brands they purchase from had declined, but trust in influencers was up. Tania Bryer: And Chawawa says that trust also extends to the type of influencer brands work with. Tania Bryer: And while that may be convenient for brands, creator economy strategist Jamie Gutfreund says it can hurt influencers.
Persons: Tania Bryer, Munya Chawawa, Instagram, Munya, Richard Edelman, Edelman, They're, Joe Gagliese, There's, that's, it's, TikTok, Blake Chandlee, Goldman Sachs, You've, I've, copywriters, Emily, Jamie Gutfreund, influencers Organizations: YouTube, Trust, influencers Locations: influencers, Paris
The bull case for small caps as the second half kicks off
  + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +6 min
By contrast, the S & P 500 has already reached Jefferies' bull case of 5,400, the strategist noted. The right catalyst For investors, the bull case for small caps that prevailed when the year began, still holds. More immediately, second-quarter earnings may prove a positive catalyst for small caps since expectations are so low, according to Jefferies' DeSanctis. On a trailing 12-month basis, the S & P 500 is trading at a multiple of 25 times earnings. Ultimately, however, many investors say that a rotation into small caps is coming, even if it hasn't happened yet.
Persons: Russell, Richard Nixon, Steven DeSanctis, Jefferies, DeSanctis, Brian Leonard, Ross Mayfield, Baird, Keeley Teton's Leonard, Something's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Jefferies, CNBC Pro, Fed, Advisors Locations: Keeley
Hurricane Beryl, the earliest Category 5 hurricane ever recorded in the Atlantic, tore through a new swath of the Caribbean, where it had left islands flattened and communities inundated, then continued toward Mexico on Thursday. In Jamaica, residents who emerged from shelters took in a landscape of farmland that had been devastated, homes that had sustained damage and roads that were covered with toppled utility poles and foliage. “The whole place mash up,” Steve Taylor, a resident of the low-lying coastal town of Mitchell Town, told a local television station. St. Elizabeth, a farming region known as the country’s bread basket, was hit particularly hard. “Southwest St. Elizabeth is facing complete devastation,” said Jamaica’s agriculture minister, Floyd Green.
Persons: ” Steve Taylor, Elizabeth, , Floyd Green Locations: Caribbean, Mexico, Jamaica, Mitchell, St
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewDuring the summer months, if you're not on vacation yourself, it feels nearly impossible to avoid seeing pictures or videos of everyone else's trips to popular hotspots. But while both destinations still attract several million tourists yearly, some ultra-rich vacationers seek more exclusive locations away from the hoi polloi. Its casinos, luxury shopping, and excess of yachts make it "a playground for the ultra-rich," according to West. Courtesy of Fraser YachtsFive-star hotels have attractive amenities, but luxury yachts unlock another level of privacy and mobility for those rich enough to own or charter one.
Persons: , Alexa West —, Aman, Kylie Jenner, Justin Bieber, Valentin Luthiger Andermatt, Knight Frank, Mark Cavendish Organizations: Service, United Nations World Tourism Organization, Business, Aman Resorts, Aman Resorts Aman Resorts, Monaco Monaco, Monaco, Wall Street, Yachts, Fraser Yachts Locations: japan, Italy, Tourism, US's Utah, Aman Resorts Aman, Its Utah, Utah, Switzerland, Monaco, Mykonos, St, Tropez, Sardinia, Carinthia
Although larger grocery stores will offer a bigger variety, it generally won't be as vast as an American supermarket. For instance, urban grocery stores in Germany simply don't have the physical capacity the way many American grocery shops do, allowing American shops to stock numerous brands and types of the same product. You have to bag your own stuffAt most major American grocery stores, your groceries generally get bagged for you as you check out. Most Germans do their grocery shopping at standard and discount grocery stores. Opening times at German grocery stores may seem short in comparison to US storesMany Americans who visit Germany are surprised to find that German grocery stores have more limited opening times than they are used to.
Persons: , you'll Organizations: Service, Business, Omega, Aldi Locations: Germany, United States, American, Bavaria, Bavarian, Frankfurt, Hamburg, Turkish, Berlin, Kafer, Munich
Extravagant pre-wedding celebrations have already sent Indian media into a frenzy and social media feeds are abuzz over what’s to come. Anant Ambani and Radhika Merchant at their pre-wedding celebrations in Jamnagar, Gujarat, India on March 1, 2024. The Ambani pre-wedding celebrations had elaborate floral arrangements. Actor Ranveer Singh and his wife and actor Deepika Padukone pose for a photo during the pre-wedding celebrations earlier this year. Coordinating with Merchant, Ambani also wore a custom black suit designed by Wun, encrusted with jewels.
Persons: Anant Ambani, Radhika Merchant, Mark Zuckerberg, Bill Gates, partygoers, Katy Perry, Andrea Bocelli, Mukesh, Nita Ambani –, Reuters Ambani, Mukesh Ambani, Ambani, Anant, Viren Merchant, Nita, Manish Malhotra, , Merchant, , Radhika, Mangal Utsav, Vishnu, Nita Ambani, Manish Malhotra Malhotra, Ranveer Singh, Deepika Padukone, Malhotra, Sabyasachi Mukherjee, Tarun Tahiliani, lehenga, Manish Malhotra Ambani’s, Rohit Bal, Lorraine Schwartz, Versace, Blake Lively, Robert Wun, ” Mareesha, Salman Khan, Ram Charan, Shah Rukh Khan, Aamir Khan, Narendra Modi, ” Parikh, Vanessa Almeida, Jamnagar Organizations: CNN, Backstreet Boys, Convention, Reliance Industries, Reuters, Bloomberg, Brown University, Reliance, pharma, Viren, Encore Healthcare, New York University, Vogue, sangeet, Sangeet, Merchant, All India Traders Locations: what’s, Jamnagar, Europe, Mumbai, Gujarat, India, Jamnagar ., Bharatnatyam, Agra, Uttar Pradesh, Hong Kong, Goa
In today's big story, a tough sales report for Tesla can't slow the EV maker's turnaround . After a dreadful start to the year, the EV maker has been running on all cylinders on a full charge. Tesla's polarizing CEO also notched a massive victory when investors approved Elon Musk's $55 billion pay plan . But what is new at Tesla, and what sparked the company's recent market rally, are big promises from its CEO. As automakers reconsider their EV strategy , Tesla has figured out how to build cars cheaper than anyone else .
Persons: , I'm, Tesla, Jordan Strauss, Chelsea Jia Feng, Insider's Nora Naughton, BI's Filip De Mott, hasn't, Karol Serewis, Musk's, Nora, it's, he's, Musk, Apu Gomes, Steve Cohen's Point72, Ken Griffin's, Mark O'Hare, Larry Fink, execs, Marc Benioff, trouncing, It's, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, they've, Morgan Stanley, Beryl, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Chelsea, Wall, Elon Musk's, Getty Images, Getty, Ken Griffin's Citadel, BlackRock, EU, Google, YouTube Locations: Wick, Jamaica, New York, London
Jamaica was hammered by a surge of water, damaging winds and flooding rainfall on Wednesday as Hurricane Beryl delivered a glancing blow when it passed just south of the coast, claiming at least one life on the island. The effects of the storm, a Category 4, struck Jamaica just days after it swept through the eastern Caribbean, killing at least seven other people. Ahead of the hurricane, Jamaica closed its airports and issued an evacuation order for low-lying and flood-prone areas. The storm was the strongest to approach the island in over a decade. The last time a major hurricane passed within 70 miles of Jamaica was in 2007, and it has been even longer since one made landfall.
Persons: Beryl, , Dickon Mitchell Organizations: Petite Locations: Jamaica, Caribbean, Carriacou, Petite Martinique, Grenada
Forest City, Malaysia was used as a set for a Netflix reality show, "The Mole." Planned as a $100 billion mega-complex, Forest City has become a ghost town with few residents. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementMalaysia's $100 billion ghost city was meant to house 700,000 people. The empty city, just over Singapore's western border, was used for an episode on the second season of Netflix reality show "The Mole," which debuted last week.
Persons: Organizations: Netflix, Service, Business Locations: Forest City, Malaysia
She's now selling her startup to WakeCap, a Saudi Arabia-based company that has contracts with many of the kingdom's construction megaprojects such as "desert cities." Instead, Eisnor exited early, selling her startup to help it scale faster. WakeCapBuilt toughFor nine years, Eisnor had a front-row seat at a tech rocketship, Waze, the Israeli-born maps and navigation company. "There is a reality in construction software that a lot of the names that you might know, they're going to be hovering around, say, $10 million in ARR. Eisnor is staying on as chief strategy officer, and Crews by Core's chief technology officer, Gene Gutnik, now leads tech for the combined company.
Persons: Ann Eisnor, Crews, Eisnor, I'm, Caterina Fake's, Hassan Albalawi, Albalawi, Kajima, , WakeCap's Albalawi, they're, Gene Gutnik, WakeCap Organizations: Service, Business, NFX, GV, Google, McKinsey & Company, Autodesk, Core, Core's Locations: Saudi Arabia, United States, Saudi, Silicon, Silicon Valley, Israeli, hyperscale, WeWork
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on June 24, 2024. During Tuesday's main trading session, the broad market index rose 0.62% to close above 5,500 for the first time. U.S. stock futures traded near the flatline Wednesday morning after the S&P 500 closed above 5,500 for the first time. As the S&P 500 continues to climb, concern is growing across Wall Street that the narrow leadership of the rally is not sustainable for much longer. The New York Stock Exchange closes early at 1 p.m.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Scott Chronert, Chronert Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow, Paramount Global, Wall Street, The New York Times, Skydance Media, Federal Reserve, Citi Research, P Global U.S, Services, ISM, The New York Stock Exchange, Independence Locations: U.S
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Downgrade : We're dropping Estee Lauder to our 2 rating from a buy-equivalent 1 rating and lowering our price target to $140 per share from $162. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Estee Lauder, Nicolas Hieronimus, Hieronimus, Lauder YTD, Lauder, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Apple, Microsoft, Nike, Management, L'Oreal, JPMorgan, Labor, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: China
Read previewAfter Big Tech's meteoric rise in the stock market, valuations may be coming back down to earth. Elevated Big Tech valuationsThe stock market is incredibly narrow, with just a few mega-cap tech stocks driving the market rally. Overall, the tech sector has risen by roughly 40% since November 2023. AdvertisementTruistAccording to Lerner, tech valuations are overheating in the short term, fueled by investor optimism. The tech sector's forward P/E has increased 19% just since May 1st of this year, jumping from 26x to 31x.
Persons: , Keith Lerner, Lerner Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Apple, Google, Business, Utilities, P Telecom, US Telecommunications ETF, Vanguard Utilities Index Fund
Some of the main winners of the AI boom will be stocks currently sliding under the radar. Across the road, ground has been broken on another data center. This specifically means data centers, which will be increasingly key for storing information as AI becomes more mainstream. On a single-stock basis, Digital Realty Trust — the only data center real estate investment trust listed on the New York Stock Exchange — has jumped 38% over the last year, while the Global X Data Center & Digital Infrastructure ETF has climbed 12%. Mortonson says it's difficult for software companies to build around AI.
Persons: , Ted Mortonson, Baird, we're, Goldman Sachs, hasn't, That's, Travis Miller, Miller, Mortonson, There's Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Goldman, Digital Realty Trust, New York Stock Exchange, X Data, Digital Infrastructure ETF, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Morningstar, Business, Software, Utilities Locations: US, Korea, India, Europe
Trump Tower is coming to Saudi Arabia
  + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
New York CNN —The Trump Organization revealed plans Monday to develop a luxury Trump Tower in Saudi Arabia. If completed, it appears the Jeddah tower would be the Trump Organization’s first major project in Saudi Arabia. Dar Global said the project will target the “luxury Saudi Arabian market and international investors.”The new project in Saudi Arabia comes just days after the Trump Organization and Dar Global unveiled a $500 million Trump International hotel complex in Oman. The Trump Organization’s new projects in the Middle East could raise concerns about potential conflicts of interest should former President Donald Trump return to the White House. The family business is run by his sons Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump.
Persons: Dar, Arkan, Eric Trump, Donald Trump, Dar Global, Dar Al Arkan, Trump, ” Donald K, Sherman, ” Sherman, , Donald Trump Jr Organizations: New, New York CNN, The Trump Organization, Trump, Dar Global, Trump Organization, Dar, Trump International, The Trump, Citizens, Responsibility, Washington, CNN Locations: New York, Saudi Arabia, Jeddah, Saudi, Oman
Noemi Cassanelli/CNNA man works at Shaikh’s workshop in Dharavi slum on April 14. “All slum redevelopment is quite fraught,” Kamath said. Noemi Cassanelli/CNNWomen chatting in Dharavi on April 14 Noemi Cassanelli/CNNA woman carrying fabric walks along a narrow alley in Dharavi on April 14. He is India’s largest airport operator and owns India’s biggest private port operator and private thermal power operator. The state and Adani deny any wrongdoing, but that hasn’t stopped many residents from viewing Adani and his government ties with suspicion.
Persons: Noemi Cassanelli, Masoom Ali Shaikh, , , Gautam Adani, Jeff Bezos, ” Adani, ” Shaikh, ” Lofty, Dharavi, they’re, Lalitha Kamath, ” Kamath, aren’t, Dilip Gabekar, Narendra Modi, Adani, , Gabekar, Shaikh, They’re, Baburao Mane, Mane, CNN Neeta Jadhav, Neeta Jadhav, Jadhav, Dhanshuk Purshottamwala, He’s, Kamath, Prasant, hasn’t, Modi, ferociously, Reshma Prasant Organizations: CNN, India CNN, Adani, Tata Institute of Social Sciences, Reuters, Adani Enterprises, Bharatiya Janata Party, Private, Manohar Joshi, NDTV Locations: Mumbai, India, CNN Mumbai, Dharavi, Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat, Tamil Nadu, , Adani, Maharashtra, It’s, India’s
RBC Brewin Dolphin: Overweight in U.S. stocks and tech
  + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBC Brewin Dolphin: Overweight in U.S. stocks and techJanet Mui, head of market analysis at RBC Brewin Dolphin, says investors will still prefer to hold mega-cap tech and other stocks with strong balance sheets as U.S. economic data starts to slow.
Persons: Janet Mui Organizations: RBC
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Despite the overly concentrated market that's piled into mega-cap technology stocks, the bulk of gains are still coming from that sector. While some investors fear that part of the market is too rich, they also aren't sure where else to find their gains. "So looking forward, we're somewhat concerned about the concentration right now in the market with the tech sector of the S&P, which is up 15%; the tech sector is up 27%". You want to ensure broad exposure to infrastructure, which means looking for an ETF that holds the sector's biggest names.
Persons: , Mimi Duff, Duff, we're, it's, there's Organizations: Service, GenTrust's, Business, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Dev, Infrastructure, International Energy Agency Locations: York, Washington, Maryland
The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are hovering around all-time highs, having rallied roughly 15% and 18%, respectively. The 30-stock Dow and S & P 500 each posted losses, down by 0.1%, each. In recent days, a number of Wall Street firms have hiked their year-end S & P 500 targets to catch up with this year's surprisingly strong rally. On a median basis, strategists expect the S & P 500 will end the year at 5,500, a CNBC Pro survey shows . June jobs report Markets will be closed Thursday for the Fourth of July holiday.
Persons: chipmaker, Craig Johnson, Piper Sandler, Goldman Sachs, Scott Chronert, CNBC's, Chronert, Piper Sandler's Johnson, Bill Merz, Merz, He's, Jamie Meyers, Laffer Tengler, he's, Meyers, Bank's Merz Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Microsoft, Deutsche Bank Research, Equity, Dow, Wall Street, Citi, ISI, CNBC, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, PMI, Manufacturing, ADP, PMI Services, Services PMI, Constellation Locations: U.S
CNBC's Jim Cramer said Friday there are stocks and sectors that would benefit if Donald Trump were to become president again. If you think Trump will win the White House, Cramer said, "That means you can go buy the banks. That means you can go buy the natural gas and energy stocks," as well as Big Tech. Cramer also said Tesla might fare better under Trump and Biden because Trump is not pro-union. China Trump has said he would be even tougher on China if he were re-elected.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, Cramer, , Joe Biden, Biden's, Biden, he's, Rather, Trump, Banks, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Nextracker, China Trump Organizations: Trump, Investing Club, Top, CNBC, White, Big Tech, Biden, Kroger, Albertsons, Capri, Disney, Club, House . Energy, New, Energy, Ford, The, Nike, Starbucks Locations: China
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