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Investors should turn their attention toward Ciena as the firm plunges deeper into edge routing, according to Raymond James. He also hiked his price target to $70 from $58 on the stock, implying upside of 44%. Leopold highlighted the firm's potential success from investments in the edge routing sector, as well as continued market expansion and "Huawei displacements." CIEN YTD mountain CIena's plunge into edge routing could be the rocket fuel the firm needs to displace Huawei, according to Raymond James. But Ciena also has the opportunity to significantly displace Huawei, Leopold said, specifically in the optical transport and switching and routing markets.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSanlam: There are many high quality names in the tech sector that are secular growth driversHannah Gooch-Peters of Sanlam Investments discusses the big gains in the tech sector this year, and how that's a function of investors rotating away from more cyclical parts of the market, and how they positioned themselves at the end of last year.
What the banking crisis means for mortgage rates
  + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Generally, home buyers can anticipate mortgage rates to move down through the rest of this year as the banking crisis drags on, which could cool down inflation. Neither the actions of the Federal Reserve nor the bank failures directly impact mortgage rates. When Treasury yields go up, so do mortgage rates; when they go down, mortgage rates tend to follow. Following the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday, bond yields — and the mortgage rates that usually follow them — fell. “Homebuyers in 2023 have shown themselves to be quite sensitive to any changes in mortgage rates,” Fratantoni said.
Starwood Capital CEO Barry Sternlicht said the U.S. is headed into a recession because the Federal Reserve has been hiking interest rates too aggressively. "The economy will have a hard landing," Sternlicht said on CNBC's " Squawk Box " Thursday. The Fed and other regulators took emergency actions to safeguard depositors at the failed banks, but concerns still linger about a run on deposits at some regional banks. Sternlicht said he and his colleagues looked at six regional banks over the weekend and studied their mark-to-market losses on assets. "They didn't even stress test these banks if rates rose, so they should have been the first ones to see what they were doing to the regional banks," Sternlicht said.
Walmart is laying off hundreds of employees at e-commerce facilities across the country, as the big-box giant and other retailers brace for a tougher year ahead. Walmart, the nation's largest private employer, is shrinking its workforce as many retailers plan on roughly flat or declining sales. Walmart's e-commerce rival, Amazon , announced 9,000 job cuts on Monday, following 18,000 layoffs in January. Walmart anticipates slower sales growth and lower profits in the coming year, as Americans put more of their money toward buying necessities like food and household essentials. E-commerce sales for Walmart's U.S. business rose 12% in the most recent fiscal year, which ended Jan. 31.
LONDON, March 20 (Reuters) - Lawyers from Switzerland, the United States and UK are talking to a number of Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bond holders about possible legal action after the state-backed rescue of Credit Suisse by UBS (UBSG.S) wiped out AT1 bonds, law firm Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan said on Monday. Quinn Emanuel said it was in discussions with Credit Suisse AT1 bondholders representing a "significant percentage" of the total notional value the instruments. PIMCO had 3.49% of its 5.66 billion euro ($6.06 billion) GIS Capital Securities Fund in Credit Suisse AT1 bonds, the Morningstar data showed. Lazard Asset Management had 7.4% of its 1.45 billion euro Lazard Capital Fi SRI fund allocated to Credit Suisse AT1 debt. GAM's 1.15 billion euro Star Credit Opportunities fund's exposure to Credit Suisse AT1 debt was 4.81% at the end of last month, based on the Morningstar data.
Why People Are Worried About Banks
  + stars: | 2023-03-18 | by ( Christine Zhang | David Enrich | Karl Russell | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +12 min
First Republic Bank was forced to seek a lifeline this week, receiving tens of billions of dollars from other banks. These are known as unrealized losses — they turn into real losses only if the banks have to sell the assets. +2 % 0 –4 First Republic Pacific Western Signature −8 Plotted quarterly ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 +2 % 0 –4 Silicon Valley Western Alliance Zions −8 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 +2 % 0 First Republic Pacific Western Signature –4 −8 Plotted quarterly ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 +2 % 0 Silicon Valley Western Alliance Zions –4 −8 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 +2 % 0 First Republic Pacific Western Signature –4 −8 Plotted quarterly ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 +2 % 0 Silicon Valley Western Alliance Zions –4 −8 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 Source: Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council Note: Includes both “held-to-maturity” and “available-for-sale” securities, meaning both long- and short-term investments. Banks’ cash and noncash assets Plotted quarterly $200 billion Pacific Western Signature 150 100 First Republic 50 0 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 $200 billion Western Alliance Zions 150 100 50 Silicon Valley 0 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 Banks’ cash and noncash assets $200 billion Pacific Western Signature 150 100 50 First Republic 0 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 $200 billion Western Alliance Zions 150 100 50 Silicon Valley 0 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 Source: Federal Financial Institutions Examination CouncilMidsize banks like SVB do not have the same regulatory oversight as the nation’s biggest banks, who, among other provisions, are subject to tougher requirements to have a certain amount of reserves in moments of crisis. Last weekend, the Fed announced a program that offers loans of up to one year to banks using the banks’ government bonds and certain other assets as collateral.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFund strategist: We were buying Intuit stock during the stock market sell-offHannah Gooch-Peters, global equity investment analyst at Sanlam Investments, said her fund is buying shares of tax specialist Intuit amid the stock market sell-off over problems in the banking sector.
Kamala Harris dodged a question about if Biden broke a campaign promise with the Willow project. On Wednesday night's episode of "The Late Show With Stephen Colbert," Colbert first asked Harris what the major issues will be that define the upcoming 2024 election, in which Biden and Harris are expected to run for re-election. Colbert asked the Vice President. Colbert then asked about the blowback the Biden-Harris administration is now facing because of the Willow project approval. After pushing her three times, Harris still would not answer whether Biden broke a campaign promise, prompting Colbert to move on in the interview.
President Biden has renewed his commitment to ending the 1031 exchange, a popular tax-deferral tool. Real-estate investors said the negative consequences of doing so could outweigh any gains. They said one impact of ending it could be pushing investors to take their money out of real estate. Of course, real-estate investors — from small-time mom-and-pop landlords to big corporate firms — will want to protect their wealth, and will meet any move to end the 1031 exchange with friction. If they take away the 1031 exchange, there's no incentive not to eat the goose.
Risk indicators such as the rates on credit default swaps are rising for the European banking sector following the failure of Silicon Valley Bank last week. CDS — a type of financial derivative — rise in value as the risk of default increases. CDS rates above one percentage point are an extremely rare event seen only during market stress, such as the height of the euro zone debt crisis in 2012. No other European bank had rates above this level. CDS rates were at about 0.6% for Germany's largest lender Deutsche Bank , the second highest currently, which saw a nine basis point jump in CDS rates since the beginning of March.
Sovereign funds and other entities in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE are pouring millions into US media and entertainment. Saudi Arabia is trying to pitch itself to the world as a cultural and economic reformer and spur tourism. Even those media players that are comfortable with invetment from the Middle East may not find funds flowing, one Hollywood veteran said. A major live WWE event in Saudi Arabia is slated for May. Of the growing ties between US entertainment and media and Middle East investors, this person added, "Presumably media organizations got into this to help society make better decisions."
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTreasury ETFs easier to buy than Treasury notes, says F/M Investments' Alex MorrisAlex Morris, chief investment officer at F/M Investments, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss volatility and positive yields in Treasurys, and the benefits of the Treasury ETFs.
Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% in February from 0.5% in January as Americans faced persistently higher costs for rents and food. On a yearly basis, the CPI rose 6% in February, compared with 6.4% the previous month. The S&P 500 banking index (.SPXBK) rose 2.9% after recording its biggest one-day percentage drop since June 2020 in the previous session. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 6.05-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 3.52-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded two new 52-week highs and five new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 18 new highs and 79 new lows.
This isn’t 2008: There are some key differences between today’s banking saga and what happened in 2008. This time around the US federal government stepped in early to guarantee all customer deposits and restore confidence in the US banking system. Here comes CPIFormer banking regulators, economists and Wall Street analysts are increasingly calling for the Federal Reserve to pause its inflation-fighting interest rate hikes because of the current banking sector chaos. Last Wednesday, investors were putting 70% odds of a half-point interest rate hike at the Federal Reserve policy meeting next week, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Analysts expect the inflation rate to come in at 6% year-over-year (down from 6.4% in January) and at 0.4% month-over-month (down from 0.5% in January).
BERLIN, March 14 (Reuters) - European banks are not completely in the clear after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SIVBV.UL) and Signature Bank (SBNY.O) even though they do not face a systemic risk, the president of German economic research group DIW said on Tuesday. But he said many European banks were also facing this issue. "We have to be very careful," Fratzscher said, adding that German banks haven't fully recovered from the 2008 financial crisis initiated by the fall of Lehman Brothers, which had "systemic meaning" and caused a domino effect. "We don't see that in the case of SVB, which is relatively small," he said. Reporting by Maria Martinez; Editing by Miranda Murray and Alison WilliamsOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Buy the dip in American Express shares, Wells Fargo says
  + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
American Express is showing "strength in uncertain times," according to Wells Fargo, which is confident in the stock following an investor meeting with Chairman and CEO Stephen Squeri and Chief Financial Officer Jeff Campbell. Fandetti maintained his overweight rating on American Express, and reiterated his price target of $200 per share, implying 27% upside from Monday's close. He added that despite the "turmoil" in U.S. banking following the failure of SVB and Signature Bank that spurred a broad selloff in financial stocks, American Express was confident in its business outlook. Wells Fargo believes that American Express' advantage around small and premium business customers is strengthening, making it more difficult for its competitors to catch up. American Express shares were up 1.8% on Tuesday before the market open.
Hong Kong CNN —The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), which courted Chinese start-ups, has caused widespread concern in China, where a string of founders and companies rushed to appease investors by saying their exposure was insignificant or nonexistent. “As China’s first technology bank, SPD Silicon Valley Bank is committed to serving Chinese science and technology companies, and has always had sound operations in accordance with Chinese laws and regulations.”It’s unclear what will happen to SVB’s ownership of the joint venture. BeiGene, one of China’s largest cancer-focused drug companies, said Monday it had more than $175 million uninsured cash deposits at SVB, which represents approximately 3.9% of its cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments. Zai Lab, a pharmaceutical firm, announced that its cash deposits at SVB were “immaterial” at about $23 million. “We never opened an account with Silicon Valley Bank, nor placed a deposit,” he said late Sunday on his Weibo account.
UK's Domino's expects tech investments to hit 2023 profit
  + stars: | 2023-03-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
March 9 (Reuters) - Britain's Domino's Pizza Group Plc (DOM.L) said on Thursday its profit this year would be impacted by investments in cloud-based technology platforms, sending its shares down more than 8%. The company said it expects underlying core profit this year to be within market expectations, excluding about 9 million pounds ($10.69 million) to be incurred in costs from investments in two new cloud-based IT systems. Brokerage Jefferies, however, said the outlook including investment costs implied a 7% decline from the group's market forecast of 137.6 million pounds for 2023. Domino's reported 2022 underlying core profit of 130.1 million pounds, compared with 136.4 million pounds in the previous year, affected by the technology investments, higher costs and food inflation. Shares of London-listed Domino's, a franchisee of U.S.-based Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ.N), was down 8.2% at 0900 GMT.
Stock market declines can create bargain-buying opportunities for investors looking to generate long-term wealth. Many millennials are looking for their first chance to participate, having lacked adequate savings during prior market downturns. That's because a falling stock market creates discounts and a chance to buy high-upside assets on the dip. The 28-year-old is among the TikTok financial influencers telling their young audiences not to miss out on the next stock market slump. Some have argued that overvalued markets, slowing population growth, and rising interest rates could weigh down US stock market returns for at least the next decade.
Real estate crowdfundingReal estate crowdfunding is a strategy that allows enterprises to raise capital from large groups of individuals. Real estate investment trusts (REITs)If you want to wade into real estate, investing in a real estate investment trust (REIT) will provide exposure to the market without the time and cost commitment of buying your own property. Invest in your own homeFinally, if you want to invest in real estate, look closer to home — your own home. Strategies for successful real estate investingWhatever form your real estate investment takes, certain strategies will stand you in good stead. Pure investment plays — which don't involve hands-on management from you — include real estate crowdfunding, investing in real estate limited partnerships, and buying into real estate investment trusts.
The goals of the administration's Inflation Reduction Act will be "procedurally impossible" without streamlined permitting for lower carbon energy infrastructure, Conoco CEO Ryan Lance said in remarks at the CERAWeek energy conference. A major Conoco oil project in northern Alaska, called Willow, has been stalled by court and environmental reviews. Willow holds about 600 million barrels of oil and gas and has the support of Alaskan politicians and native groups. "If we don't get (the oil) from Alaska, it's going to come from someplace. As examples of long-term investments, he cited Conoco's liquefied natural gas projects in the US, Qatar and Australia.
Berkshire Hathaway's latest annual report illustrates that the company has deployed nearly $90 billion in investments since 2020. In 2020, Buffett and co. had spent a then-unprecedented $25 billion on stock buybacks, and set a new record of $27 billion in 2021. But even after all that, Berkshire still ended last year with $129 billion in cash and short-term investments. Fundstrat expects the stock market to see its strongest rally of the year soon. Avoiding a recession would actually be bad news for the stock market.
Lordstown Motors loss widens on steep costs, delivery delays
  + stars: | 2023-03-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
[1/2] Workers tend to an unfinished Lordstown Motors Endurance electric pick-up truck on the assembly line at Foxconn's electric vehicle production facility in Lordstown, Ohio, U.S. November 30, 2022. REUTERS/Quinn Glabicki/File PhotoMarch 6 (Reuters) - Lordstown Motors Corp (RIDE.O) on Monday posted a bigger loss for the fourth quarter, as the electric-vehicle (EV) maker struggled with production costs and missed its delivery target for the Endurance pickup truck. However, Lordstown suspended production last month due to performance and quality issues with some components and reported sales of only six vehicles. Net loss for the quarter ended Dec. 31 stood at $102.3 million, compared with $81.2 million a year earlier. The company had cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments of $221.7 million as of Dec. 31, up from $203.5 million in the preceding quarter.
Top of mind, however, is undoubtedly the path of interest rate hikes, with market pros nervously looking to the Federal Reserve's next rate decision on Mar. Anastasia Amoroso, chief investment strategist at iCapital, believes the "biggest market risk" right now is the Fed raising the terminal rate to a range of 6% to 6.5%. One obvious area fixed income, with Ma Yung-Yu, chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management, calling the asset class a "welcome relief and benefit to the portfolio." David Dietze, managing principal at Peapack Private Wealth Management, believes investors should "stay the course" in stocks. He noted that stock prices are "off their highs" — and the market has never failed to rebound to new highs.
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