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India stocks have run up so high that China looks relatively attractive, said Abrdn's Xin-Yao Ng, Singapore-based investment manager of Asian equities. Until the Chinese economy rebounds, his strategy is to pick stocks. Chinese stocks have dropped over the last several months, with the Shanghai Composite trading near lows not seen since the early months of the pandemic in 2020. All this follows a year in which mounting concerns about China's economy and lack of stimulus have kept investors on the sidelines. But for China's economy overall, a slew of concerns from geopolitics to an aging population remain.
Persons: Abrdn's Xin, Yao Ng, Abrdn's Ng, Ng, Li Qiang, he's, Abrdn, We've Organizations: Shanghai, Equity Fund, Eye, Nike Locations: India, China, Singapore, Davos, Mindray
China's working age population is shrinking
  + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Many Meituan food delivery workers are lining up to make preparations in Shanghai, China, on January 14, 2024. (Photo by Costfoto/NurPhoto via Getty Images)BEIJING — China's working age population is shrinking as a share of the total number of people in the country, according to official data released Wednesday. People ages 16 to 59 accounted for 61.3% of mainland China's population last year, down from 62% the prior year, National Bureau of Statistics data showed. A shrinking working age ratio means fewer people have to support a larger share of the population, even as the number of people in China overall declines. China's total population dropped by more than 2 million people to 1.41 billion in 2023 from the prior year.
Organizations: Getty Images, National Bureau Locations: Shanghai, China, BEIJING
China was due Wednesday to release GDP figures for 2023, and previously announced an official target of around 5% growth for the year. Despite significant growth in sectors such as tourism and electric cars, China's economy last year did not rebound from the pandemic as quickly as many banks had initially expected. watch nowThe International Monetary Fund in November also cited China's policy announcements as a reason for its decision to raise the 2023 growth forecast to 5.4%, from 5% previously. However, the IMF said it still expected China's growth to slow in 2024 to 4.6% "amid continuing weakness in the property market and subdued external demand." In the long term, analysts generally expect China's economy to slow further from a high base.
Persons: Pan Jianyong, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Li Qiang, Haibin Zhu, Li Organizations: Co, Getty, Visual China, BEIJING —, Economic, Tuesday, UBS, Citi, JPMorgan, CNBC, China, China Economic, Monetary Fund Locations: MEISHAN, CHINA, Sichuan, Meishan, Sichuan Province, China, Davos, Beijing, decelerating
China's youth unemployment rate still high at 14.9%
  + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's youth unemployment rate still high at 14.9%Excluding people still in school, the unemployment rate for young people aged 16 to 24 was 14.9%, while the rate in cities in December was 5.1%. CNBC's Evelyn Cheng reports.
Persons: CNBC's Evelyn Cheng
BEIJING — China missed fourth-quarter GDP estimates on Wednesday, while it resumed reporting the unemployment rate for young people. GDP for the last three months of 2023 rose by 5.2%, according to China's National Bureau of Statistics. Excluding people still in school, the unemployment rate for young people aged 16 to 24 was 14.9%, while the rate in cities in December was 5.1%. Online retail sales of physical goods rose by 8.4%, accounting for nearly 28% of overall retail sales. Retail sales for December saw a 29% surge in jewelry and 26% increase in purchases of clothes and shoes.
Persons: Zhiwei Zhang Organizations: China Vanke Co, National Bureau of Statistics, Investment Locations: China, Hefei, BEIJING
Li Qiang, China's premier, delivers a special address on the opening day of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, on Tuesday, Jan. 16, 2024. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesChinese Premier Li Qiang said that tech innovations should not be used as a way to restrict or contain other countries. "Scientific and technological fruits should benefit humanity as a whole, instead of becoming a means to restrict or contain the development of other countries," Li added, calling for "more open measures." watch nowFollowing his speech, Li spoke about the risks and opportunities of generative AI, such as ChatGPT, in a brief question-and-answer session with World Economic Forum Founder Klaus Schwab. Li met with Swiss President Viola Amherd ahead of the Davos conference and is set to visit Ireland later in the week.
Persons: Li Qiang, Li, Klaus Schwab, ChatGPT, , multilateralism, Viola Amherd Organizations: Economic, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Baidu, Swiss, Davos, Ireland, Monday Locations: Davos, Switzerland, Beijing, Washington, U.S, China, Swiss
Goldman Sachs calls the China story today one of "rebalancing," and has picked 40 buy-rated stocks to play the theme. They predict certain consumer names, artificial intelligence companies and rising global players will be among the Chinese stocks that can do well. December data and fourth-quarter GDP due out late Tuesday New York time may give more clues on China's economic trajectory — and whether policymakers need to act. For China's economic outlook, comparisons to Japan may ultimately be more academic as the debate has become more about the extent to which national security has replaced economic growth as the priority. "Very often I'm asked the question, will China ignore development as it talks more about security?"
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Japan's, Kinger Lau, Morgan, Robin Xing, Goldman, Lau, Li Qiang, Liu, SICC, Arthur Kroeber, Dragonomics, Liu Jianchao, Michael Bloom Organizations: Beijing, China Equity, China New Economy Summit, China, New, Invesco, Central Commission, Financial, Economic Affairs, Laboratories, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, U.S, StarPower Semiconductor, Wire China, Communist Party's, Foreign Locations: China, Japan, Hong Kong, Beijing, New York, Davos, Shanghai, U.S, Shenzhen, Europe
Chinese AR glasses and software company Rokid announced it raised $70 million in a funding round led by the government of Hefei city. BEIJING — Chinese augmented reality glasses and software company Rokid this week announced it raised 500 million yuan ($70 million) in a funding round led by the government of Hefei city. Augmented reality (AR) technology allows digital images to be imposed over the real world. Apple' s Vision Pro virtual reality headset, set for release on Feb. 2, also allows users to see the real world using what the company calls "spatial computing" technology. Rokid sells AR glasses for consumers.
Persons: Rokid, Misa Zhu Organizations: CNBC Locations: Hefei, BEIJING, Hefei city, Shanghai, China
Aly Song | ReutersBEIJING — China's annual exports fell for the first time in seven years in 2023, even as shipments in December beat expectations, customs data showed Friday. But for 2023, exports fell 4.6%, the first such annual drop since a 7.7% decline in 2016, according to Wind Information. By country, the U.S. remained China's largest trading partner. Russia was a rare bright spot, with China's exports to the country climbing nearly 47% in 2023, and imports rising almost 13%. China's exports in most product categories fell in 2023, with machinery, boats and home appliances among the few exceptions.
Persons: Aly Song, Caixin, Larry Hu, Zhiwei Zhang Organizations: Reuters, Information, of Southeast, Nations, European Union, U.S ., China, National Bureau, Statistics Locations: Yangshan, Shanghai, China, Reuters BEIJING, U.S, Russia
Secretary Yellen and Vice Premier Lifeng will hold meetings ahead of the APEC summit being held in San Francisco. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)BEIJING — Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng met with global financial executives Wednesday and pledged to make it easier for foreign institutions to invest in the country, state media said. Vice Premier He is also director of the office of the Central Commission for Financial and Economic Affairs. "China will continue to deepen the reform and two-way opening-up of its capital market, facilitate cross-border investment and financing, and attract more foreign financial institutions and long-term capital to China," He reportedly said at the meeting, according to state news agency Xinhua. China has gradually allowed foreign financial institutions to take majority control of their local operations.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Yellen, Lifeng, Justin Sullivan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: FRANCISCO, People’s, Ritz Carlton Hotel, APEC, Central Commission, Financial, Economic Affairs, U.S, Xinhua Locations: CALIFORNIA, People’s Republic of China, San Francisco , California, San Francisco, BEIJING, China
China says the U.S. has 'weaponized' chip export controls
  + stars: | 2024-01-11 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Chinese and U.S. flags flutter near The Bund, before U.S. trade delegation meet their Chinese counterparts for talks in Shanghai, China July 30, 2019. BEIJING — China's Ministry of Commerce said Thursday the U.S. is weaponizing export controls and using them as a tool. "The United States has instrumentalized and weaponized export control issues," she said, calling for the Dutch side to "respect the spirit of the contract and support businesses in conducting compliant trade." She was responding to a question about ASML, the Netherlands-based company that makes lithography machines that are key to manufacturing advanced semiconductors. ASML said in a Jan. 1 statement the Dutch government restricted it from exporting some lithography products to China.
Persons: Shu Jueting, ASML Organizations: Bund, BEIJING — China's Ministry of Commerce, CNBC Locations: Shanghai, China, BEIJING, United States, Netherlands
China investors will be asking these 3 questions in 2024
  + stars: | 2024-01-09 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +6 min
CHONGQING, CHINA - JANUARY 02: People visit the 2nd International Light and Shadow Art Festival at the Fine Arts Park on January 2, 2024 in Chongqing, China. For all the geopolitical risks, the attraction of China as a fast-growing market has waned as the economy matures. Many were disappointed when China's economy did not rebound as quickly as expected after the end of Covid-19 controls in December 2022. Real estate is a clear example of a debt-fueled sector, one that has accounted for about a quarter of China's economy. Machinery, electronics, transport equipment and batteries combined contributed to 17.2% of China's economy in 2020, Citi analysts said.
Persons: it's, Jason Hsu, They're, Liqian Ren, Goldman Sachs, Ding Wenjie, Ding Organizations: Fine Arts, Art, Getty, Visual China, U.S, Citi, People's Bank of, Rayliant, Rayliant Global Advisors, National Bureau, China Asset Management Co, CNBC, Machinery Locations: CHONGQING, CHINA, Chongqing, China, BEIJING, Covid, People's Bank of China, Beijing, WisdomTree
Bernstein didn't even initiate coverage of BYD until September, with an outperform rating and price target of 359 Hong Kong dollars. BYD trades in Hong Kong, and on the Shenzhen exchange in mainland China. "I'm a long observer and investor in Tesla," Ogan said. "What I think will tip BYD like the volumes tipped Tesla is when people start realizing BYD is an energy company," Ogan said. Nomura's China autos and auto parts analyst Joel Ying likes BYD with an even higher price target of 382 Hong Kong dollars.
Persons: BYD, Bernstein didn't, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Taylor Ogan, Ogan, Tesla, Xiao Feng, CLSA, Joel Ying, Ying, Xiaomi's SU7, That's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Hong, Snow Bull, Nasdaq, Elon Musk's, HK, Hesai Tech Locations: Hong Kong, Norway, Brazil, China, Shenzhen, Asia, Europe, North America, U.S, Inovance, Ningbo Tuopu
BYD's new luxury brand Yangwang is selling its first model, the U8, for more than 1 million yuan (US$160,000). While Tesla's Model Y was the best-selling purely battery-powered car in China for the six months ending in November, BYD vehicles accounted for four of the top 10 such cars sold during that time. When including hybrids, seven BYD cars made the top 10 list. That's according to China Passenger Car Association data cited by consumer information site Autohome. Here are the five best-selling BYD new energy vehicles in China, according to the data:
Persons: BEIJING — BYD, Tesla Organizations: BEIJING —, China Passenger Car Locations: BEIJING, China
Signage for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. covers the front facade of the New York Stock Exchange November 11, 2015. Cloud competition from HuaweiAlibaba has been an industry leader in the cloud business. Alibaba in November blamed U.S. restrictions on chip sales to China for the decision to pull the cloud IPO. Alibaba said its cloud business revenue grew by just 2% year on year in the quarter ended Sept. 30. Those resellers were other companies that had acted as distributors or agents for Alibaba cloud and received commissions.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, It's, Alibaba, hasn't, they're, Duncan Clark, Clark, , Jack Ma, Brian Wong, Eddie Wu, Trudy Dai, Daniel Zhang, Yi Zhang, , Alibaba's, Canalys, BDA's Clark Organizations: Alibaba Group Holding, New York Stock, Reuters, BDA, Alibaba Group, Alibaba, Duncan Clark BDA, Huawei Alibaba, Huawei, Tencent, “ Global Locations: Reuters BEIJING, U.S, China, Beijing, Alibaba
Arjun Kharpal | CNBCBEIJING — BYD produced more than 3 million new energy vehicles in 2023, surpassing Tesla 's production for a second straight year. Tesla said Tuesday it produced 1.84 million cars in 2023. While total production surpassed Tesla, BYD manufactured 1.6 million battery-only passenger cars and 1.4 million hybrids, putting Tesla on top for battery-only production. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart iconEven though it surpassed the 3 million mark, BYD's annual sales slightly missed CLSA's expectations for 3.05 million vehicles. BYD said it sold 3.02 million new energy vehicles in 2023.
Persons: BYD, Arjun Kharpal, Tesla, Elon, Aito, Geely, Zeekr, Nezha, Joel Ying, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC BEIJING, Elon Musk's, Monday, Overseas, CNBC, EV, China, EU Locations: Europe, Munich, Germany, China, Hong Kong, Hungary
The top-performing U.S.-listed Chinese stocks for 2023 weren't well-known internet names. But topping PDD were three stocks that basically doubled or more for the year: ACM Research , New Oriental Education and Ehang . Overall market struggled Individual stock gains contrast with a steep decline for Chinese stocks overall. The outperforming mainland Chinese stock index was the Beijing Stock Exchange 50 Index, up by about 15% in 2023, according to Wind. Correction: This story has been updated to reflect that ZKH is listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
Persons: Alibaba, it's, Dong, Goldman Sachs, Ehang, Allen Chang, EHang, Goldman, Hollysys Organizations: PDD Holdings, ACM Research, New Oriental Education, Nvidia, Wings Logistics, United Arab Emirates, Auto, Technologies, Ascendent, Partners, New York Stock Exchange, U.S, CSI, Beijing Stock Locations: China, New, Hong Kong, ., United Arab, Shanghai, Beijing
BEIJING — Chinese consumer electronics company Xiaomi on Thursday detailed plans to enter China's oversaturated electric vehicle market and compete with automaker giants Tesla and Porsche with a car model it says it spent more than 10 billion yuan ($1.4 billion) to develop. Pronounced "Sue Qi" in Mandarin, the Xiaomi SU7 beats Porsche's Taycan and Tesla's Model S on acceleration and other metrics, Lei said during a three-hour presentation Thursday. This is an area of potential advantage for Xiaomi, which is best known for its smartphones and home appliances and previously said it wants to create a "'Human x Car x Home' smart ecosystem." The SU7 is integrated with Xiaomi's smartphones and internet-connected home appliances, Lei announced Thursday. Lei said the vehicle will also be compatible with Apple 's iPhone, iPad, CarPlay and AirPlay.
Persons: Lei Jun, Sue Qi, Porsche's Taycan, Lei Organizations: Tesla, Porsche, BMW, Mercedes, Benz, Apple Locations: BEIJING, U.S
AI boom fails to propel China's cloud market growth
  + stars: | 2023-12-27 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
BEIJING — Excitement over artificial intelligence isn't yet fueling a boom in cloud services spending in mainland China. "The Chinese cloud services market remains conservative, relying heavily on government and state-owned enterprises to drive growth," tech market analysis firm Canalys said in a report Wednesday. Training AI models on the cloud, following a surge of interest in the potential of ChatGPT-like services, has been expected to drive the industry's growth. Alibaba 's cloud business, with the country's largest market share at 39%, reported just 2% year-on-year revenue growth in the quarter ended Sept. 30. Huawei, which isn't publicly traded and is the second largest cloud player, didn't separately state its cloud revenue for the third quarter, nor did Hong Kong-listed Tencent .
Persons: Canalys, isn't Organizations: Artificial Intelligence, Huawei Locations: Shanghai, BEIJING, China, Hong Kong
"With a lower revenue for online games, the ad industry would be impacted too," he said. UBS estimates online games account for about 20% of the online ad industry's revenue. BEIJING — China's proposed gaming rules would hit smaller developers more than large ones, while also reducing overall online advertising revenue, according to UBS. It's "very common" for online games to encourage daily sign-in and offer rewards for the initial in-app purchase, UBS's Fong said. "As the online game is a very creative industry," he said, "we believe the game developers would likely design other means to attract and retain users."
Persons: Kenneth Fong, BEIJING —, UBS's Fong, Fong Organizations: UBS, Christmas, Gaming, National Press, Administration Locations: China, Hong Kong, BEIJING, Beijing
Other Southeast Asian countries such as Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Vietnam also claim parts of the South China Sea. "The key to developing a healthy, stable, and sustainable military-to-military relationship is ... a correct understanding of China," China's Defense Ministry said in a readout of the Brown-Liu virtual call. China has consistently maintained its claim over self-governed Taiwan and the majority of the South China Sea. The U.S. has documented more than 180 coercive and risky air intercepts against its aircraft in the region between 2021 and 2023, according to its latest China Military Power Report. This includes their bilateral Defense Policy Coordination Talks, Military Maritime Consultative Agreement talks, and opening lines of communication between the leaders of the respective military commands in the South China Sea and the broader Pacific.
Persons: Cope, Charles Brown, Liu Zhenli, Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, General Brown, General Liu, Nancy Pelosi, Brown, Liu, — CNBC's Evelyn Cheng Organizations: Air Force, Clark Air Base, U.S, Joint Chiefs of Staff, Economic Cooperation, Biden, Beijing, U.S ., Defense Ministry, U.S . Defense Department, People's Liberation Army, Maritime, Eurasia Group Locations: Philippines, Mabalacat, Pampanga, Asia, San Francisco, Eurasia, China, Taiwan, Beijing, Singapore, Manila, South China, Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, United States, The Hague, U.S, South
While not strictly an IPO, the listing was soon followed by Vietnamese tech unicorn VNG's filing to list on the Nasdaq. As local companies grow, "they are outgrowing the ability of those markets to provide the capital that they need," said Drew Bernstein, co-chairman of accounting firm MarcumAsia. Since the fallout over Didi in the summer of 2021, regulation and a tepid U.S. IPO market have stalled most Chinese listing plans. She said given the success of Southeast Asian ride-hailing company Grab , more Vietnamese companies are starting to look beyond the domestic market to regional business. George Chan, global IPO leader at EY, expects "a lot" of companies from Southeast Asia will reach the IPO stage in the next 12 to 18 months, and might also consider the Hong Kong exchange.
Persons: Scott Mlyn, VinFast, Johan Annell, VNG, Drew Bernstein, It's, Bernstein, who'd he'd, Didi, Gary Dvorchak, Blueshirt, Nguyen Nguyen, Vu Van, ELSA, Van, George Chan Organizations: New York Auto Show, CNBC BEIJING, U.S, Spade, Nasdaq, ARC Group, China -, Renaissance Capital, Investor, CNBC, World Bank, Southeast Asia — Locations: Asia, U.S, Vietnam, Beijing, Cayman Islands, Malaysia, China, China - U.S, Thailand, Indonesia, Singapore, Southeast Asia, Hong Kong
BEIJING — More controls on tech exports to China will be coming as needed, despite business concerns, U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told CNBC in an exclusive interview. "We have to change constantly," Raimondo told CNBC's Morgan Brennan over the weekend on the sidelines of the Reagan National Defense Forum. They want a clear line in the sand," the commerce secretary said. "The truth of it is though, technology changes, China changes and we have to keep up with it." In October 2022, the U.S. Department of Commerce's Bureau of Industry and Security announced sweeping export controls that restrict the ability of companies to sell certain advanced computing semiconductors or related manufacturing equipment to China.
Persons: Gina Raimondo, Raimondo, CNBC's Morgan Brennan, " Raimondo, it's Organizations: . Commerce, CNBC, Reagan National Defense, U.S . Department of Commerce's, of Industry, Security Locations: BEIJING, China
Tencent Music Entertainment is convincing more people in China to pay for music. Because of the size of China's market, it's more than Spotify 's claim of 574 million monthly active users —across 184 countries and territories. TME's "music value [is] still underappreciated," Morgan Stanley analysts led by Alex Poon wrote in a late November report. "We see room for [TME] music revenue to double and profit to triple in the next three years," the Morgan Stanley analysts wrote, noting "limited risks from macro and competition." Revenue from music subscriptions is estimated to rise 38% in 2023 versus 2022, Morgan Stanley estimates.
Persons: That's, Morgan Stanley, Alex Poon, ADRs, TME, Alex Yao, Gross, JPMorgan's Yao, Tencent, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Tencent, Entertainment, Spotify, Kugou Music, JPMorgan Locations: China, U.S, Tencent, 3Q23
China e-commerce is one of Goldman's top preferred sub-sectors — and there will be six key themes coming up in 2024, the bank said. The themes are: Consumers' focus on value for money — for which e-commerce platforms are well positioned. Goldman said that despite slowing consumption growth in China, e-commerce and e-commerce advertising is still one of its top preferred sectors — thanks in part to global expansion and attractive valuations. Goldman also expects its global e-commerce arm Temu to continue its growth momentum as a result of its global expansion. Goldman expects its third favored name — Kuaishou — to continue outpacing the industry.
Persons: , Goldman, Pinduoduo, Temu, Kuaishou, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Evelyn Cheng Locations: China, U.S, Pinduoduo, China's
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