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☆ Gold could be poised for another record-setting year. This obscure part of the market may see big gains
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Investors betting on another strong year for gold may want to look at an obscure part of the market: gold streaming and royalty companies. "The profitability of the gold companies wasn't keeping pace with the rise in the gold price." MacRury echoed this sentiment, pointing to historical context as a reason he believes gold prices could hurtle towards new highs. "Past easing cycles over the last 20+ years have corresponded with strong gold prices, and we expect to see gold set new record highs in 2024," he wrote. Shares of Royal Gold popped 7% in 2023, but are down more than 10% in the past 12 months.

Persons: Carey MacRury, Adam Rozencwajg, Canaccord's, Rozencwajg, it's, MacRury, Leigh Goehring, Osisko Organizations: Barrick, CNBC, Royal, Miners, Royal Gold, Barrick Gold, Federal Reserve, Franco, Wheaton Precious Metals Locations: Newmont, Franco, Nevada, Brazil, Russia, China, India, Panama, Wheaton, U.S

☆ Goldman Sachs likes this under-the-radar European sector, naming 2 stocks with almost 40% upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Europe's power grid is in dire need of an upgrade, Goldman Sachs says, naming two stocks it expects to benefit from the network's expansion and modernization. "Power grids sit in the sweet spot of electrification: besides an accelerating top line, we highlight attractive risk-adjusted returns, which are usually set on a 'cost plus' basis." Stock picks Goldman Sachs said the way to play this theme is through pure plays and green energy majors. The green energy industry has had a tough time of it since 2021 as global central banks hiked interest rates in an effort to combat inflation. "We believe power network activities represent an incremental leg in our re-rating thesis for Green Energy Majors," Goldman's analysts added, naming Enel and SSE as buy-rated stocks.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Alberto Gandolfi, Stock, Goldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Clean Energy ETF, Energy Index, Green Energy, Milan Stock Exchange, London Stock Exchange, Global Renewable Energy Locations: Europe

The Espoo, Finland-based company reported net profit of 568 million euros ($619 million) for the October-to-December quarter, down from 929 million euros in the same period a year earlier. Nokia is one of the world’s main suppliers of 5G, the latest generation of broadband technology, along with Sweden’s Ericsson, China’s Huawei and South Korea’s Samsung. Nokia's net income attributable to shareholders came in at 558 million euros in the fourth quarter, down from 931 million euros the previous year. Nokia’s sales also fell 23%, to 5.7 billion euros from 7.5 billion euros. “Looking ahead, we expect the challenging environment of 2023 to continue during the first half of 2024, particularly in the first quarter,” he said.

Persons: China’s, Pekka Lundmark, ” Organizations: HELSINKI, Nokia, 5G, Sweden’s Ericsson, China’s Huawei, South, Samsung, eBay Locations: Espoo, Finland

ANKARA, Turkey (AP) — Turkey’s central bank raised its key interest rate by another 2.5 percentage points on Thursday, pressing ahead with a series of hikes aimed at combating inflation that reached nearly 65% in December. Erdogan is a longtime proponent of an unorthodox policy of cutting interest rates to fight inflation, which runs contrary to mainstream economic thinking. The European Central Bank is expected to keep its record-high benchmark rate steady at its meeting Thursday, following a rapid series of hikes over more than a year. Hafize Gaye Erkan, a former U.S.-based bank executive, took over as central bank governor in June, becoming the first woman to hold that position in Turkey. Previously, Erdogan had fired central governments who reportedly resisted his push to cut interest rates.

Persons: Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Erdogan, Merrill Lynch, Mehmet Simsek, Hafize Gaye Erkan, Erkan, ” Organizations: European Central Bank, Turkish Locations: ANKARA, Turkey, Ukraine, U.S

LONDON (AP) — Online retailer eBay Inc. will cut about 1,000 jobs, or an estimated 9% of its full-time workforce, saying its number of employees and costs have exceeded how much the business is growing in a slowing economy. It marks the latest layoffs in the tech industry. Political Cartoons View All 253 ImagesSan Jose, California-based eBay is the latest tech company to roll out a series of layoffs after quickly ramping up hiring during the COVID-19 pandemic while people spent more time and money online. Meanwhile, Amazon said this month that it is cutting several hundred jobs in its Prime Video and MGM Studios unit. Other tech companies, including Spotify, Microsoft, Meta and IBM, also have recently cut jobs.

Persons: Jamie Iannone, Iannone, ”, TikTok, Amazon, ” Iannone Organizations: —, eBay Inc, eBay, Google, Riot Games, “ League, MGM Studios, Spotify, Microsoft, Meta, IBM, Justice Department Locations: Jose , California, Massachusetts

☆ Dollar hovers near 6-week high on Fed view; yen edges up after BOJ
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Japanese yen , though, ticked higher as expectations rose for a stimulus exit as soon as March, following hawkish comments from the Bank of Japan on Tuesday. "We have seen ECB (European Central Bank) officials push back on rate cut expectations as well, in line with the Federal Reserve." The dollar declined 0.17% to 148.085 yen, after swinging from as low as 146.99 and as high as 148.70 on Tuesday. The Bank of Canada meets on policy on Wednesday, and is expected to leave its key overnight rate unchanged at a 22-year high of 5%. Traders have unwound bullish positions built up in anticipation of U.S. approval of the country's first spot bitcoin exchange traded fund (ETF).

Persons: Mary Daly, Christopher Waller, James Kniveton, Christine Lagarde's, Sterling, Kazuo Ueda, China's, cryptocurrency, Bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, U.S, San Francisco Fed, ECB, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Canada, Bloomberg, Traders Locations: U.S

☆ JPMorgan says investors wishing for early and aggressive rate cuts will be disappointed
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Rising geopolitical headwinds and the potential for political turmoil could combine to thwart investors' hopes for the Federal Reserve to enact sharp interest rate cuts this year, according to JPMorgan Chase strategists. Markets have been betting that the Fed likely will start lowering its benchmark short-term borrowing rate by May or even as early as March. JPMorgan's investment team said the calculus could be important for investors as stocks and other asset classes look for direction. In recent days, multiple Fed officials have made remarks insisting that they are in no hurry to start cutting rates. For the full year, traders have gone from a strong chance of six cuts to a coin-flip between five and six.

Persons: Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Raphael Bostic, Christopher Waller, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Chase, JPMorgan, U.S, Fed, European Central Bank, Atlanta Fed, Federal, Market, Traders, Commerce Department Locations: 1H24

☆ Nine in 10 young Americans are considering changing jobs this year. It's another sign of growing optimism around the US economy.
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Over 90% of Gen Zers and millennials said they're considering leaving their jobs, per a LinkedIn survey. The increase reflects young workers' desire for higher pay — but also confidence in the labor market. But as this uncertainty recedes, many young Americans appear ready to jump back into the job market. While these desires were prevalent among all generations, young Americans had the highest expectations for a pay bump in 2024. If young workers don't receive the raises or promotions they expect, this could provide them with additional motivation to leave their employers.

Persons: Gen Zers, millennials, —, Zers, Gen Xers, Kantenga Organizations: Service, LinkedIn, Censuswide, Boomers, University of, Young

☆ Markets 'complacent' about the risks of a Trump win, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Mike Segar | ReutersMarkets are "fairly complacent" about the risks of a second Donald Trump presidency, which could trigger a "tantrum" in long-duration bond markets, according to Guillermo Felices, principal and global investment strategist at PGIM. watch nowSome analysts are also looking ahead through a fiscal and geopolitical lens to November's U.S. presidential election and beyond. 'Fiscal risk' at a time of high deficit The crucial point, Felices acknowledged, is America's deteriorating fiscal position in recent decades. "The market is not really focusing too much on the potential upside risks to yields that are associated with this potential repricing of term premia. [Having] fiscal risks with the sort of deficit that the U.S. is running is a really, really important one that the market will have to come to terms with again."

Persons: Donald Trump, Mike Segar, Guillermo Felices, Felices, Trump, Fitch Organizations: U.S, Republican, New, Reuters, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal, Fed, CNBC, Trump, Bank of England Locations: New Hampshire, Rochester , New Hampshire, U.S

☆ Treasury yields fractionally higher ahead of key data releases
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was around 1.7 basis points higher at 4.1109% while the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond was up just over 1 basis point at 4.3284%. U.S. Treasury yields nudged slightly higher on Tuesday morning, as market participants await the release of key economic data points later in the week. Investors are trying to gauge when the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates, which will be a key determinant of the trajectory for markets and the economy this year. Despite the uncertain rate outlook, risk-on sentiment remained robust on Monday, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 both notched all-time highs. Auctions will be held Tuesday for $46 billion of 52-week Treasury Bills and $60 billion of 2-year notes .

Persons: that's, it's, Guillermo Felices, CNBC's Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Investors, Federal Reserve, Commerce, Dow Jones Industrial, Global Investment, Treasury Bills

☆ Volkswagen and more: Barclays names European 'conviction' stock ideas — and gives one 59% upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Wall Street bank named the following five companies in its European "Conviction with Catalysts" list of stock ideas that offer strong upside potential. Enav Topping the list with the biggest upside potential is Enav , an air traffic controller company based in Italy. UCB Barclays believes Belgian biopharmaceutical company UCB can beat 2023 sales expectations thanks to its new psoriasis drug Bimzelx. Although the drug has struggled in the U.S. over side effect warnings, Barclays sees signs of healthy global demand. Volkswagen Barclays believes Volkswagen offers turnaround potential in 2024 after a disastrous 2023 and 2022.

Persons: Emmanuel Cau, Enav, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, UCB Barclays, Belgian, UCB, ABN Amro Dutch, ABN Amro, ABN, Vivendi, Volkswagen Barclays, Volkswagen Locations: Italy, U.S

☆ Bullish on Yen on a 12-month view given Japan's economic trend: Strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBullish on Yen on a 12-month view given Japan's economic trend: StrategistKathy Lien of BK Asset Management expects 'significant' unwinds in Yen carry trade in 2024 as the Bank of Japan is expected to tighten monetary policy while other major central banks are likely to cut rates.

Persons: Kathy Lien, Yen Organizations: BK Asset Management, Bank of Locations: Yen, Bank of Japan

☆ No 'economic collapse': Top Citi strategist says healthier economic growth is coming
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The global economy does not need a "collapse" in order to bring inflation back to target and return to sustainable growth, according to Steven Wieting, chief investment strategist and chief economist at Citi Global Wealth. Major economies have proven surprisingly resilient to sharp interest rate increases from central banks over the last two years. This has been particularly evident in the U.S., with recession thus far avoided and the labor market remaining robust. Talk has now turned to rate cuts as inflation remains on a downward trajectory toward central banks' targets, while growth has slowed. Wieting told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Monday that he is optimistic the global economy does not need an "economic collapse" to rein in inflation.

Persons: Steven Wieting, Wieting, CNBC's Organizations: Citi Global Wealth Locations: U.S

☆ Inflation isn’t beaten yet and risks of a new price shock are rising
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The job is not yet done,” François Villeroy de Galhau, the governor of France’s central bank, said this week in Davos. Those “upside risks to inflation” include supply chain fragmentation, trade protectionism, climate shocks and armed conflicts, according to Gopinath. As soon as central banks start lowering interest rates “people feel better, they start spending more,” she said. Now the bank has to keep interest rates high “for as long as necessary” to put inflation firmly on the path back to 2%, she added. Meanwhile, container shipping costs along many of the world’s busiest trade routes have doubled — and in some cases tripled — since the middle of December, according to data from London-based shipping consultancy Drewry.

Persons: Sergio Ermotti, ”, “ It’s, Galhau, Gita Gopinath, Francois Villeroy de, Stefan Wermuth, Gopinath, Mary Callahan Erdoes, Christine Lagarde, “, Joe Biden, Vincent Clerc, CNN’s Richard Quest, Tobias Meyer, ” Robert North Organizations: London CNN, UBS, Economic, Federal Reserve, International Monetary Fund, Bloomberg, Getty, JPMorgan, Central Bank, IMF, Oxford University, Drewry, Oxford Economics, Maersk, DHL Locations: Iran, Africa, Davos, Switzerland, Red, United States, Europe, United Kingdom, France’s, Israel, Pakistan, British, Yemen, Suez, London, Asia

Notably, the report suggested that inflation was not as powerful a force as it had been a few months back. These numbers point to a strong spring, especially with the Fed getting more dovish. “Both changes would support the economy and extend growth, but also likely weaken the US dollar,” Khurana says. Businesses are entering 2024 in a positive mood, according to Dun & Bradstreet’s quarterly Global Business Optimism index released on Tuesday. The National Association of Homebuilders’ sentiment index improved in January to its highest level since September.

Persons: “, ”, David Russell, Chip, ” Brij, Khurana Organizations: Federal Reserve, “, Fed, Wellington Management, National Association of Locations: York, Dun

FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — Cutting interest rates too soon could threaten Europe’s progress in battling the inflation that has ravaged the economy, the head of the European Central Bank said Wednesday amid widespread speculation that the bank soon will lower rates from record highs. But higher prices have spread through the economy in the form of high prices for services and higher wages. Meanwhile, sluggish economic growth and the impact of higher interest rates on economic activity have sparked bets on rate cuts. Higher rates are the typical antidote to high inflation because they make it more expensive to borrow and buy things, reducing demand for goods. “The first question for next week's European Central Bank meeting is how the bank will react to current market pricing,” Brzeski wrote in a preview of the meeting.

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Lagarde, Carsten Brzeski, ” Brzeski, “ Organizations: European Central Bank, Bloomberg, ECB, U.S . Federal, Wall Street, Union, ING, Central Bank Locations: FRANKFURT, Germany, Davos, Switzerland, Israel, Europe, Ukraine

☆ 2024 will be a perilous year for the world economy as geopolitical tensions ramp up, top economists warn
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Top economists are fretting about geopolitical tensions, according to a World Economic Forum survey. AdvertisementThe year 2024 will likely be a stormy one for the global economy as growth slows and geopolitical tensions ramp up around the world, according to a World Economic Forum survey. More than half the respondents said the world economy will get weaker this year, and 70% predicted looser financial conditions – implying that they believe central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, will start lowering interest rates at some point in 2024. Advertisement"Amid accelerating divergence, the resilience of the global economy will continue to be tested in the year ahead," WEF managing director Saadia Zahidi said. "Though global inflation is easing, growth is stalling, financial conditions remain tight, global tensions are deepening and inequalities are rising."

Persons: they're, Ray Dalio, Jamie Dimon, —, Saadia Zahidi, JPMorgan Chase, aren't Organizations: Service, US Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Sunday Times, Bridgewater Associates Locations: Swiss, Davos, Ukraine, China, Chicago

☆ UBS CEO: Markets too complacent about rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS CEO: Markets too complacent about rate cutsSergio Ermotti, CEO of UBS, outlines the main challenges the Swiss lender faces in 2024, his outlook for central banks and how their communication is creating additional uncertainty.

Persons: Sergio Ermotti Organizations: UBS

TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares were trading mostly lower on Wednesday after a decline overnight on Wall Street, while Tokyo's main benchmark momentarily hit another 30-year high. S&P 500 futures fell 0.5% to 4,775.25. Companies across the S&P 500 are likely to report meager growth in profits for the fourth quarter from a year earlier, if any, if Wall Street analysts' forecasts are to be believed. But optimism is higher for 2024, where analysts are forecasting a strong 11.8% growth in earnings per share for S&P 500 companies, according to FactSet. The index remains within 0.6% of its all-time high set two years agoFor now, traders are penciling in many more cuts to rates through 2024 than the Fed itself has indicated.

Persons: Australia's, Korea's Kospi, Stephen Innes, Brent, Stan Choe, Yuri Kageyama Organizations: TOKYO, Dow, Nikkei, Companies, Wall, Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S, AP Locations: Hong, Shanghai, New York

☆ Irish finance minister: Significant fiscal intervention right policy for Ireland
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIrish finance minister: Significant fiscal intervention right policy for IrelandMichael McGrath, Ireland's minister of finance, weighs in on the state of his country's economy, his outlook for 2024, and how central banks are impacting European economies.

Persons: Ireland Michael McGrath Organizations: Ireland

☆ Dollar advances as traders weigh rate cut expectations, eyes on data
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Traders are back projecting cuts of 160 bps this year, up from expectations of 140 bps last week. Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone, said the risk is that Waller could push back on market pricing for a March cut and show a lack of urgency to normalize policy. "That said, should he even remotely validate market pricing, then we should see U.S. 2-year bond yields fall further. Markets are pricing around 120 bps of rate cuts by the Bank of England in 2024, with the first one most likely in May. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar fell 0.43% to $0.6632, while the New Zealand dollar fell 0.39% to $0.6176.

Persons: Hamish Pepper, Christopher Waller, Waller, Chris Weston, Weston, Bank's Joachim Nagel Organizations: U.S, Federal, Bank of Japan, Fed, Traders, Asset Management, Treasury, Bank of England, New Zealand Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S

☆ Asian central banks are more 'cautious' about cutting rates, says asset management firm
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAsian central banks are more 'cautious' about cutting rates, says asset management firmKen Wong, Asia equity portfolio specialist at Eastspring Investments, says there's still some skepticism that the U.S. Federal Reserve will aggressively cut interest rates.

Persons: Ken Wong, there's Organizations: Eastspring Investments, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: Asia

BANGKOK (AP) — Shares fell Tuesday in Asia, with Hong Kong’s benchmark down nearly 2%, as jitters over Chinese markets dimmed confidence across the region. Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index fell, snapping a New Year’s winning streak that took it to its highest level in 34 years. The dollar weakened against the Japanese yen even as a former central bank official said that the Bank of Japan is preparing to end its longstanding negative interest rate policy. The dollar bought 146.12 yen, up from 145.75 late Monday and at its highest level in more than one month. Traders are largely betting on the Fed cutting its main interest rate six or more times through 2024.

Persons: —, Meituan, Kristalina Georgieva, Kospi, Germany's DAX, It's, Brent Organizations: Dow Jones, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Tencent, China Garden Holding, Ocean, IMF, CNBC, CAC, Traders, Fed, New York Mercantile Exchange Locations: BANGKOK, Asia, U.S, Shanghai, China, Beijing, South, Australia, Paris

☆ Dollar wobbles; yuan on guard ahead of China data dump
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar ebbed on Monday on renewed expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in March, while the Chinese yuan struggled near a one-month low ahead of a slew of economic data this week. The offshore yuan languished near a one-month low of 7.1925 per dollar hit on Friday, and was last at 7.1861 per dollar. "I think more PBOC (People's Bank of China) easing is coming this year," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. "I don't think (Monday's move) will materially weigh on the (yuan) because a rate cut is more or less priced in. The Australian dollar , often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, edged 0.07% higher to $0.6690.

Persons: China's, Sterling, Chris Weston, Carol Kong, Party's Lai Ching, te, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, U.S, Treasury, CPI, PPI, Bank of, People's Bank of China, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Australian, New Zealand, Democratic, Taiwan Locations: Asia, U.S, Bank of Japan, China, Taiwan

☆ Davos: A mountain of debt and a wave of elections. World leaders are hamstrung
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-14 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

London CNN —World leaders are flocking to Davos this week to pontificate on the planet’s most pressing problems. Even in the absence of a new crisis, soaring debt servicing costs will constrain efforts to tackle climate change and care for aging populations. Mortgage rates and other borrowing costs soared as investors demanded much higher premiums for owning UK debt. Mounting debt and political brinksmanship have already taken their toll on America’s credit rating, which typically affects borrowing costs for the government, businesses and households. And that would increase the government’s borrowing costs.

Persons: worryingly, Michael Saunders, ”, Saunders, that’s, Liz Truss, Dave Ramsden, Fitch, Moody’s, Raghuram Rajan, “ It’s, ” Rajan, Anna Cooban Organizations: London CNN —, Bank, CNN, Oxford Economics, Bank of England, AAA, States ’, Reserve Bank of India, Labour Party, Treasury Department, Federal, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Locations: Davos, Kingdom, Argentina, States, United States, Switzerland

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