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It's a big week for the stock market with a deluge of economic data set to be released. AdvertisementIt's going to be a massive week for the stock market as investors prepare for a deluge of economic data and corporate earnings results. Raymond James' chief investment officer Larry Adam highlighted the top five things to watch this week that could have a big impact on stock market prices. Finally, the April jobs report set to be released on Friday will be closely watched by investors. The jobs report will provide an update on the strength of the labor market," Adam said.
Persons: Raymond James, , Larry Adam, Adam, Jerome Powell, Powell, Treasurys Organizations: Fed, Service, Treasury Department, Treasury, Apple, Investors, ISM Manufacturing, Manufacturing
Analyst Laura Champine also lowered her price target to $80 from $85, implying a 6% increase for the stock. "New York City office is one of the few REIT subsectors seeing improved demand," the analyst wrote. The bank double-upgraded the e-commerce platform to overweight from underweight and hiked its price target to $62 from $35. Feather added that eBay stock is currently trading at a discount versus peers, with Etsy trading around 35% higher. "JetBlue's DNA aligns with our broader preference for loyalty, premium, and international exposure ... albeit with less vigor than the Big 3," the analyst wrote.
Persons: TD Cowen, Morgan Stanley, Needham, Laura Martin, Andy, Martin, — Jesse Pound, Laura Champine, Champine, — Lisa Kailai Han, Tesla, Emmanuel Rosner, Elon Musk, Rosner, Fred Imbert, John Kim, Kim, SLG, KeyBanc, Eric Heath, Heath, Nathan Feather, Feather, James West's, West, Jamie Baker, Baker, Lisa Kailai Han, Matthew Ramsay, Ramsay Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Amazon, Wholesale, BJ's Wholesale, Deutsche Bank, Tesla, Reuters, BMO Capital Markets, Green Realty, New York City, SL Green Realty, SL Green, SL, KeyBanc, eBay, EBAY, GE, ISI, GE Vernova, General Electric, JPMorgan, JetBlue JPMorgan, JetBlue, Jetblue, Technology, NVIDIA, Match Group Locations: China, Manhattan, York City, Wednesday's, York
"We are initiating coverage of Samsara (IOT) with a Buy rating and $42 price target." Deutsche Bank adds a catalyst call buy on Estee Lauder Deutsche added a short-term buy rating on shares of the beauty giant. Bernstein reiterates Apple as market perform Bernstein said it's getting more "constructive" on Apple shares but is sticking with its market perform rating for now. "We are initiating coverage of AES with a Buy rating and $21PT. "We are initiating coverage on shares of Beacon Roofing Supply (BECN), a leading roofing products distributor in the United States, with a Buy rating and $135 PT."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Oppenheimer, JPMorgan, Lauder Deutsche, Mizuho, TD Cowen, Cowen, it's, Bernstein, Jefferies, Kite, Kite Realty Jefferies, GE Vernova, Tesla, Needham, Andy, BTIG, Davidson, Barnes, Morgan Stanley downgrades, Morgan Stanley, Etsy, Rosenblatt, Swift, Janney Organizations: Bank of America, Cisco Systems, Goldman Sachs, P, JPMorgan, JetBlue, Bancorp, SPT, Oracle, Deutsche Bank, Linde, Mizuho, LIN, Nvidia, Apple, Kite Realty, GE, Metro NY, SSS, Deutsche, Infrastructure, FTAI Infrastructure, BMO, New, AMC, Barnes Group, AES Corporation, AES, eBay, EBAY, UW, ZS, Comcast, CNBC, Benchmark, Beacon Locations: New York City, OW, United States
Raymond James' CIO also explained why he still sees the Fed cutting interest rates three times in 2024. But according to Raymond James chief investment officer Larry Adam, inflation is set to reverse lower and the Fed is going to cut interest rates at least three times this year. AdvertisementIf the economy slows, then so should inflation, and it should give the Fed more confidence to begin cutting interest rates. Real-time inflation metrics show a sharp declineWhile official government metrics show stubbornly high rent and used vehicle prices, real-time measures show considerably lower prices. The point is: there should be plenty of disinflation in the pipeline as CPI converges with some of these more real-time metrics," Adam said.
Persons: Raymond James, Larry Adam, Adam Organizations: Reserve, Fed, Labor, ISM Manufacturing, ISM
During 2022-2023, ocean carriers used some of those reserves for their own buying sprees to expand their footprints. While adding to the ocean carrier bunker fuel costs, they are being compensated.. "The Red Sea diversions are a good thing for ocean carriers. The big question mark is the duration of the diversions and the surcharges the ocean carriers can charge. Those two regions have steadily taken market share away from the West Coast ports, with shippers also benefitting from investments in ports infrastructure. "The West Coast ports have strengthened infrastructure," Iampieri said.
Persons: Marc Iampieri, Cash, Iampieri, Jeff Bezos, It's, Paul Brashier, Brashier, AlixPartners Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Dow Jones Transportation, Fortune, Convoy, Amazon, Technology, Ocean, Maersk, CNBC, ITS Logistics Locations: Panama, Red, East Coast, AlixPartners, Flexport, Europe, North America, Asia, West Coast, East, Gulf, Mexico, West, Los Angeles, Long
New York CNN —It’s no secret that commercial real estate (CRE) has become a source of stress for banks. Regional banks were on high alert recently after New York Community Bancorp (NYCB) reported steeper-than-expected future losses on commercial real estate loans. So why is it that the smaller, regional banks are so much more exposed to commercial real estate? Office real estate is among the bank’s smaller commercial real estate subcomponents. Robbins of Valley National Bank told CNN “we remain comfortable with our diverse and granular commercial real estate portfolio.”Office real estate is just one component of commercial real estate, albeit the most worrisome to banks and economists.
Persons: New York CNN —, Goldman Sachs, Fitch, Banks, BankRegData, Flagstar, , JPMorgan Chase, , Michael Brochstein, it’s, Ira Robbins, Robbins, CNN “, Carlos Barria, Organizations: New, New York CNN, New York Community Bancorp, Flagstar Bank, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, National Bank, JPMorgan, Getty, Valley National Bank, CNN, Fitch, FDIC, Reuters Locations: New York, Morristown , New Jersey
New York CNN —The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite index and S&P 500 broke records Thursday afternoon. The S&P 500, meanwhile, gained 0.5% to close at a new high of 5,096.27. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day slightly higher, up 47 points, or 0.1%. The S&P 500 was up 5.2% for the month, the Dow was 2.2% higher and the Nasdaq gained 6.1%. All S&P 500 subsectors ended the month in positive territory.
Persons: Austan Goolsbee, , , subsectors, Bitcoin, bitcoin Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Commerce Department, Fed, Investors, Chicago Fed, Council, Foreign Relations, Dow, Deutsche Bank, Nvidia Locations: New York
But can the momentum continue for AI stocks continue? But our estimates could prove to be conservative in light of recent developments like Open AI's text-to-video model Sora and management commentary from Nvidia," Marcelli said. Both Microsoft and Alphabet reported increased cloud revenue growth thanks to AI, and revenue from their AI models and applications should see significant growth in the next five years, she said. "Given the strong AI-related tailwinds, we see 18% year-over-year earnings growth in 2024 for the global tech sector, including information technology and internet," Marcelli said. 2 trades to ride the AI waveTo take advantage of further AI upside, Marcelli said UBS prefers two market subsectors: semiconductors and software.
Persons: Solita Marcelli, Marcelli Organizations: Nvidia, Business, UBS, UBS Americas, Microsoft, VanEck Semiconductor, Invesco Semiconductors, Software Sector, P Software & Services, Big Tech
Its price target of $4,380 suggests nearly 18% upside from Friday's close. "We expect numbers to reset lower (again) with the downward revision a negative catalyst for the multiple, and the margin story likely being pushed out to 2025," wrote analyst Christian Carlino. Analyst Anthony Powell accompanied the move by raising his price target to $204 from $194, implying a potential 15% rally for the stock. The investment firm upgraded the airline stock to market-perform from underperform, boosting its price target to $32 from $26. His price target of $338 per share implies upside of just 5% from Friday's close.
Persons: Bernstein, Evercore, Piper Sandler, Brian Mullan, Mullan, — Jesse Pound, Aaron Kessler, — Michelle Fox, JPMorgan downgrades Holley, Holley, Christian Carlino, Carlino, HLLY, hasn't, — Lisa Kailai Han, AvalonBay, Anthony Powell, Powell, AVB, Lisa Kailai Han, Joshua Shanker, Morgan Stanley, bullish Tesla, Tesla, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Russell Quelch, Quelch, MSCI, Arun Viswanathan, Viswanathan, Rosenblatt, Hans Mosesmann, Mosesmann, Michael Linenberg, Linenberg, David Vernon, David Raso, Raso, Assuredness, Fred Imbert, ~$ ~$ Organizations: CNBC, Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Deutsche Bank, JetBlue, Caterpillar, Foods, . Restaurant, Seaport Research, Booking Holdings Seaport Research Partners, Booking Holdings, JPMorgan, Barclays, Bank of America, AIG, of America, Tesla Network, RBC, Ball Corporation, Markets, Ball Corp, Aerospace, BAE Systems, Ball, Micro Computer, Super Micro Computer, Micro, ASM, Spirit Airlines, Bernstein, Spirit, Boeing Max, ISI, CAT Locations: Southwest, Friday's
CNBC's Investing in Space newsletter offers a view into the business of space exploration and privatization, delivered straight to your inbox. But – in the latest edition of "SpaceX is the industry exception, not the rule" – the company's recent announcement that it will de-orbit 100 Starlink satellites is a different story. For one, that number represents about 2% of the Starlink satellites launched to date. And, at SpaceX's current rates, they're able to produce and launch replacement satellites in about two weeks time. More importantly, in the ongoing conversation about space debris: SpaceX has a distinct incentive to make sure any faulty Starlink satellites don't end up in the future path of its own rockets and spacecraft.
Persons: CNBC's Michael Sheetz, Brian Weeden Organizations: SpaceX, Secure, Foundation
Here are 6 signals investment bankers are watching as they pray for an M&A rebound in 2024. By contrast, activity from private equity firms "was off almost 40%," he said. In 2021, private equity firms transacted $1.5 trillion across 2,869 deals, according to Dealogic. Last year, private equity M&A made up 40% of total activity, according to Goldman Sachs. AI companies, many of which are only now being formed, need to mature, and the winners and losers need to come into focus, bankers said.
Persons: Wall, LSEG, Goldman Sachs, Vito Sperduto, Sperduto, we've, Stephan Feldgoise, Hess, Anthony J, Carfang, Cash, Goldman, Goldman's Feldgoise, Feldgoise, Mark Sorrell, I'm, Harold M, Lambert, Jerome Powell, Greg McBride, McBride, Jonathan Gray, dealmaking, Gray, Rob Chisholm, Chisholm Organizations: Fed, London Stock Exchange, Business, RBC Capital Markets, Conference Board, Conference, Federal, Goldman, Federal Reserve, Private, Bankers, DOJ, FTC, Federal Reserve Board, Bankrate, of Labor Statistics, Cisco, LSEG, Qatalyst Partners, Citi, & $ Locations: LSEG, Ukraine
If this year's early Santa Claus rally is any indication, investors may be getting too optimistic about the prospects of a rate cut early next year, according to Wolfe Research. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S & P 500 hit fresh year-to-date closing highs on Friday. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 YTD chart Investors have been sending stocks flying on the back of expectations that the Federal Reserve will adopt more dovish policy next year. Senyek's base line scenario for 2024 sees these factors bringing the S & P 500 to 4,250 by year-end 2024, implying about an 8% drop. His bull case takes the S & P 500 up to 4,995 for a 9% gain, while his bear case calls stocks to plunge 22% to 3,565.
Persons: Santa Claus, Chris Senyek, Senyek Organizations: Wolfe Research, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Traders, pharma Locations: Santa, U.S
With the economy stumbling along slower than the Bank of Canada forecast just last week, analysts said there is no need to raise rates again from 5.0%, a 22-year high. July GDP was revised to being marginally negative from an initial report of zero growth, Statistics Canada said. This data reaffirms our view that the Bank of Canada is done raising rates for this cycle," Figueiredo said. The central bank has said its previous rate hikes are sinking in. The projected contraction in third-quarter annualized growth is far lower than the Bank of Canada (BoC) forecast last week.
Persons: Chris Helgren, Tiago Figueiredo, Figueiredo, Macklem, Benjamin Reitzes, Reitzes, Ismail Shakil, Steve Scherer, Dale Smith, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Roberts Bank, REUTERS, Rights OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, Canadian, Reuters, Statistics, BoC, BMO Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: Delta, British Columbia, Canada, Canadian, Statistics Canada, Ottawa
Rite Aid's bankruptcy is likely to be a bigger boost to retailers such as Walmart and Costco than it will be to other drugstore chains, according to UBS. And as drugstore closures accelerate, dollar stores may be able to scoop up some of the abandoned locations. Discount chains Dollar Tree and Dollar General could also benefit from drugstore closures. Dollar stores, in particular, could also expand into store fronts once operated by drugstore chains. For dollar stores, the real advantage will be the real estate left behind.
Persons: Michael Lasser, it's, Lasser, Stephen Buschbom, Buschbom, Gordon Haskett, we've Organizations: Walmart, Costco, UBS, Rite Aid, CVS Health, Walgreens, CVS, Kroger, Target, KR, Wall Street, FactSet, Albertsons, HSBC Locations: U.S
After Beijing cracked down on real estate developers' high debt levels, banks and other financial institutions drastically pulled back on lending to those companies. Meanwhile, China's latest development plans have emphasized advanced manufacturing — production of goods of higher value than apparel and other lower-cost goods Chinese factories have been known for. But analysts increasingly realize that the high-growth days of real estate are over, weighing further o n the economy in the near term. Oxford Economics expects the economy to slow to a 4.4% pace in 2024 and 4.0% in 2025, dragged down by real estate. China is set to release third-quarter GDP, retail sales, industrial production and fixed asset investment on Wed., Oct. 18.
Persons: That's, hasn't, Banks, Gill, Kharas, Louise Loo, Loo, Brian Tycangco Organizations: People's Bank of China, Oxford, Stansberry Research, HSBC, World, Network Locations: China, Beijing, Oxford, Friday's
Semiconductors are looking undervalued, thanks to the selloff in some parts of the sector, according to Morningstar. That's even more undervalued than the wider tech sector, which it believes is 5% undervalued. Morningstar noted such stocks have sold off a little in September, especially in analog and mixed signal names — two types of chips in the semiconductor industry — and even in artificial intelligence chipmakers. Outside the AI sector, the firm also likes autos, expecting more chips to be used in cars, especially electric vehicles, in the years to come. That will enable the company to achieve high single-digit long term revenue growth, Morningstar said.
Persons: Morningstar, Brian Colello, Jack Keegan, it's Organizations: Nvidia, Infineon Technologies, NXP Semiconductors, Qualcomm, Morningstar, Skyworks Locations: Taiwan
The Arm IPO is here, but many ETFs will not be buyers
  + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +6 min
The Cupertino, Calif.-based company licenses its processorIPO and tech enthusiasts are excited about the Arm Holdings Plc initial pubic offering, and with good reason: it's the first big tech IPO in more than two years. However, some investors who would like to get immediate exposure to the Arm IPO through ETFs may be disappointed. However, this particular IPO highlights several difficulties that even large companies like Arm have in acquiring a broader ownership base through ETFs. The first problem is that Arm is not a U.S. company, it's British — which generally would exclude it from the S&P indexes. Potential ETF buyers: Nasdaq-100 ETF, IPO ETFsThere are some potential ETF buyers.
Persons: Matt Bartolini, Howard Silverblatt, Van Eck, Jan Van Eck, Todd Sohn, it's, Matt Kennedy, Nate Geraci, I'm Organizations: ARM Holdings, Arm Holdings, Nasdaq, Tech, ARM, P, SPDR Technology, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, Street Global Advisors, Global, Renaissance, Van Eck Semiconductor, CNBC, Vanguard Total U.S, Renaissance Capital Locations: Cupertino, Calif, U.S, SPDR Americas
China is starting to show what sway it has in the semiconductor supply chain, and stocks are only starting to react. About a week ago on July 3 , China's Commerce Ministry announced export restrictions on germanium and gallium would take effect on Aug. 1. WestSummit claims about 20 billion yuan ($2.77 billion) in assets under management. China's latest export curbs follow sweeping U.S. export restrictions in October to limit Chinese businesses' access to advanced semiconductor technology. One of Delta's investments, Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics, raised just over 1 billion yuan in an initial public offering on Shanghai's Star board on June 1.
Persons: Bo Du, Du, WestSummit, Greg Ye, Ye, Wei Jianguo, Wei didn't, Brian Tycangco, Tycangco Organizations: China's Commerce Ministry, . Geological Survey, WestSummit Capital Management, CNBC, Delta Capital, Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics, Shanghai's Star, Stansberry Research, Materials, Earth Holdings Locations: China, Yunnan, U.S, Shenzhen, Shanghai, Washington, Beijing
OTTAWA, June 30 (Reuters) - The Canadian economy was unchanged in April from March, missing forecasts, before likely rebounding with a 0.4% jump in real gross domestic product in May, Statistics Canada said on Friday. March GDP was upwardly revised to 0.1% growth from an initial report of flat growth. Canada's goods-producing sector expanded 0.1% in April, but were offset by a slight decline in the service-producing sector. The mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction sector and the utilities sector are expected to be post declines in May. Declines in wholesale trade as well as finance and insurance also contributed to the softness in the services sector.
Persons: Statscan, Ismail Shakil, Dale Smith Organizations: OTTAWA, Statistics, Reuters, Bank of Canada, Public Service Alliance of Canada, Thomson Locations: Statistics Canada, Ottawa
OTTAWA, June 30 (Reuters) - Canada's economy regained momentum in May after stalling in April, Statistics Canada data showed on Friday, leaving the door open for the Bank of Canada to hike interest rates in July. The economy was unchanged in April from March, missing forecasts, in what economists said was the fallout from a federal civil servant strike in April. Canada's goods-producing sector expanded 0.1% in April, but were offset by a slight decline in the service-producing sector. Figueiredo expects the central bank to raise interest rate by another 0.25% in July. Money markets see a roughly 61% chance of the central bank hiking rates in July.
Persons: Statscan, it's, Doug Porter, Desjardins, Tiago Figueiredo, Figueiredo, Ismail Shakil, Nivedita Balu, Dale Smith, Jonathan Oatis, Philippa Fletcher Organizations: OTTAWA, Statistics, Bank of Canada, Reuters, BMO Capital Markets, Public Service Alliance of Canada, Toronto Stock, Canadian, Thomson Locations: Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Toronto
But hedge funds and mutual funds have lagged the broader market this year. Although hedge funds and mutual funds may be trailing the market for the moment, don't count them out just yet. Here's what hedge funds and mutual funds are buying, and why investors may want to steal a page from their playbook. Beyond financials and tech, hedge funds and mutual funds moved in tandem across the rest of the market, turning their attention to defensive equities. Among all of those funds, Goldman Sachs found there were nine stocks that they deemed "shared favorites" between two different Goldman Sachs indexes.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Russell, Consumer Staples Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Tech, Mutual, Mastercard, Visa, Services, Consumer, Utilities, Communication Services, Healthcare, Mutual Fund Locations: financials
It has a market-weight rating on six sectors: consumer discretionary, energy, industrials, information technology, materials, and real estate. Goldman SachsGoldman's favorite sectors haven't changed since late April: it's still overweight consumer staples, energy, healthcare, and communication services. Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley's top sectors are consumer staples, healthcare, and utilities, which reflects its defensive outlook about stocks. The firm is neutral about communication services, energy, financials, industrials, materials, real estate, and tech (excluding cyclicals). It has a neutral "perform" rating on almost all other sectors, including communication services, consumer staples, energy, financials, healthcare, materials, and real estate.
Persons: — Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Oppenheimer, Truist —, BofA, Savita Subramanian, Goldman Sachs, it's, Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Investors, Bank of America, BMO Capital Markets, Tech Locations: Charlotte
WASHINGTON, May 31 (Reuters) - New rules under consideration would restrict the flow of U.S. investments and know-how into Chinese companies working on advanced semiconductors, artificial intelligence and quantum computing, a U.S. Treasury official said on Wednesday. Reuters reported in February that the Biden administration plans to ban investments in some Chinese technology companies and increase scrutiny of others, three sources said, as part of its plan to crack down on the billions that American firms have poured into sensitive Chinese sectors. China hawks in Washington blame U.S. investors for transferring capital and valuable know-how to Chinese tech companies that could help advance Beijing's military. Separately, Republican Senator Bill Hagerty asked about efforts to restrict the supply of U.S. origin goods to Chinese telecommunications company Huawei. Reporting by David Shepardson and Daphne Psaledakis in Washington, and Karen Freifeld in New York; Writing by Chris Sanders; Editing by Daniel WallisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Paul Rosen, Biden, Bill Hagerty, Thea Rozman Kendler, Kendler, David Shepardson, Daphne Psaledakis, Karen Freifeld, Chris Sanders, Daniel Wallis Organizations: Treasury, Reuters, Republican, Huawei, Exports, Commerce, Thomson Locations: U.S, China, Washington, New York
May 19 (Reuters) - Canadian retail sales fell by 1.4% in March from February at C$65.29 billion ($48.83 billion), on lower sales at motor vehicles and parts dealers, as well as gasoline stations, Statistics Canada said on Friday. Sales were seen to rise by 0.2% in April, the agency said in a flash estimate. Sales were down in five of nine subsectors, representing 55.5% of retail trade. In volume terms, retail sales decreased 1.0%. (Percent changes) Mar Mar Feb(rev) Feb(prev)mo/mo yr/yr mo/mo mo/moTotal -1.4 +2.4 -0.2 -0.2Excluding autos/parts -0.3 +0.5 -0.7 -0.7NOTE: Analysts surveyed by Reuters forecast a 1.4% decline in retail sales in March from February.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMaritime battery technology is becoming 'smaller, cheaper and safer,' says energy tech companyJoep Gorgels of EST-Floattech says "therefore the application becomes larger for subsectors in shipping."
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