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Market disconnectsSpeaking of mistakes in the market, Rosenthal thinks the current composition of the market is untenable and due for a correction. "We don't think the equal-weighted S&P or any kind of index ex the Mag Seven is at an extremely low valuation," Rosenthal said. Rosenthal holds CVS (CVS) in his portfolio. Nippon Sanso (NPXYY) is a Japanese oil and gas company that Rosenthal believes is undervalued. Combined with the structural tailwind of corporate reforms within Japan, Rosenthal believes this Japanese company's stock is well-positioned to appreciate in the coming years.
Persons: , Scott Rosenthal, Rosenthal, Rosenthal's, it's Organizations: Service, Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management, Wiley Global Value Fund, Business, Econ, CVS, Nippon Locations: Japan
For the past three years, software stocks have suffered as revenue growth softened, and investors remain skeptical about when it will return. For Oracle, that's its cloud infrastructure — a service that has improved Oracle's fundamental growth story, Walravens argued. This strategic move positioned Oracle as a key player in AI, fueling growth in its infrastructure as a services (IaaS) business. Oracle Cloud Infrastructure is central to this growth, offering a suite of services for AI-driven workloads. SAP YTD mountain SAP stock performance year-to-date.
Persons: Raimo Lenschow, Pat Walravens, Walravens, Bernstein, Mark Moerdler, tailwinds, Goldman Sachs, Amy Hood, it's, Keith Bachman, Bachman Organizations: Oracle, Nvidia, Barclays, Investors, Software, Services, Microsoft, SAP, Citizens, CNBC, Google, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, Microsoft Microsoft, AI Services, Wall, BMO
The growth was led by leisure and hospitality and health care and social assistance, with each category adding more than 40,000 jobs, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics . The August jobs report came in weaker than expected , and employment growth by different industries showed a mixed bag for the U.S. economy . If private education is included with the health-care group, as some economists do, that category would have grown by 47,000 jobs. Construction was a bright spot, growing by 34,000 jobs, but manufacturing shed 24,000 jobs. The health-care subsector added 31,000 jobs, or about half its average over the prior 12 months, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Persons: … We're, Betsey Stevenson Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Department of Labor Locations: U.S
Real estate stocks have been lagging the market, but here is one corner in particular where Janus Henderson sees an underappreciated opportunity. Overall, real estate stocks have started to rebound, with the S & P 500 real estate sector rallying 10% over the past month. Still, there is one area that has fared worse than many of its counterparts: industrial real estate investment trusts. The benchmark Janus uses for the overall REIT sector is the FTSE Nareit Equity REITs , which tracks commercial real estate across the U.S. "Cold storage is a specialized area within industrial that we like and where supply/demand fundamentals are also more favorable than coastal traditional industrial," Kuhl said.
Persons: Janus Henderson, Greg Kuhl, Janus, Kuhl, " Kuhl Organizations: Real, Janus, FTSE, Equity, U.S, Sun, FedEx, Industrial Realty Trust, Industrial Realty, Nasdaq, CNBC Locations: California, U.S
When it comes to tax-free municipal bonds, investors who are comfortable with taking more risk are seeing attractive returns. High-yield municipal bonds – issues that are rated below BBB by Standard & Poor's – have greater default risk than their investment-grade counterparts. Muni bonds provide tax-free income on a federal basis – and on a state basis if the investor resides in the same state as the issuer. High-yield muni bond funds have seen estimated net flows of $6.76 billion in 2024 as of June 30, according to Morningstar. Before you step in Investors looking at high-yield muni bonds, be it individual issues or the funds, ought to consider their risk appetite and their goals.
Persons: Morningstar, Beth Foos, munis, you've, Matthew Norton, Norton, Mathew Kiselak, that's, Kiselak, Morningstar's Organizations: Standard, Bank of America . Investment, muni, Morningstar, SEC Locations: corporates
Wells Fargo reiterates Nvidia as overweight Wells said it's sticking with its overweight rating on the stock. "We initiate coverage of net lease REIT Essential Properties (EPRT) with a Buy rating and $33.00 12-month price target. Citi reiterates Apple as buy Citi moved the tech giant up a spot to its number 2 top pick. Wells Fargo reiterates Amazon as buy Wells raised its price target on Amazon to $239 per share from $234. "We initiate coverage of Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) with a Buy rating and a 12-month price target of $8 per share."
Persons: Raymond James, Deere, it's, Morgan Stanley downgrades Nike, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Oppenheimer, Riley, Piper Sandler, Piper, managements, it's bullish, Rosenblatt, ASML Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Nvidia, Properties Realty Trust, Apple, Citi, Xerox, JPMorgan, Realty Trust, Inc, Travelers, Susquehanna, Nextracker, BMO, SAP Locations: Americas, China
In a Thursday note, analyst Josh Silverstein listed the firm's "most compelling" buy-rated stocks to own across the energy and utilities sectors, including Suncor Energy , Coterra Energy , SLB , NextEra Energy and First Solar . Energy and utilities sectors are faring well this year, gaining 12.5% and 8.9%, respectively, while the broader market has advanced about 9.3%. His $90 price target suggests shares could jump 15.1%. First Solar is another favorite of UBS, which assigned the stock a $350 price target that implies 26.5% upside. Other energy and utility favorites UBS named include Coterra and Suncor Energy .
Persons: Josh Silverstein, William Appicelli, Jon Windham, , SLB Organizations: UBS, Suncor Energy, Coterra Energy, NextEra Energy, . Energy, Big Tech Locations: Schlumberger
Raymond James' CIO also explained why he still sees the Fed cutting interest rates three times in 2024. But according to Raymond James chief investment officer Larry Adam, inflation is set to reverse lower and the Fed is going to cut interest rates at least three times this year. AdvertisementIf the economy slows, then so should inflation, and it should give the Fed more confidence to begin cutting interest rates. Real-time inflation metrics show a sharp declineWhile official government metrics show stubbornly high rent and used vehicle prices, real-time measures show considerably lower prices. The point is: there should be plenty of disinflation in the pipeline as CPI converges with some of these more real-time metrics," Adam said.
Persons: Raymond James, Larry Adam, Adam Organizations: Reserve, Fed, Labor, ISM Manufacturing, ISM
Eight economists, investment chiefs, and strategists that Business Insider recently spoke to credited healthier-than-anticipated consumer balance sheets and spending for the continued expansion. "Either that, or they're going to be maxed out — they can't get any more money. They're not going to have any liquidity to be able to continue to do the things they're going to do." He's also sticking with defensive stocks as consumer spending softens, including those in the consumer staples sector like Clorox (CLX) and Procter & Gamble (PG). Real estate is a "hated asset class" that's negatively correlated with interest rates, Sekera said.
Persons: shouldn't, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, they're, Sue Crotty, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clark Bellin, Bellin, David Rosenberg, They're, Rob Swanke, Swanke, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Christopher Barto, Gordon, Clissold, He's, Morningstar's Sekera, Crotty, Segal Marco Advisors, She's, Barto, that's Organizations: Business, Consumers, Segal Marco, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Commonwealth Financial Network, Nasdaq, Morningstar, Fort Pitt Capital Group, Procter, Gamble, Federal Reserve, Exxon, APA Corp, Duke Energy, Segal, Energy, Healthcare Locations: Devon, Real, NiSource
An unexpected rise in the unemployment rate suggests a surprise recession could hit the US economy, according to David Rosenberg. The unemployment rate is now 0.5 percentage points above its cycle low to 3.9%, which Rosenberg says is a worrying sign. Rosenberg's concern stems from the February jobs report, which showed the unemployment rate unexpectedly rise to 3.9% from 3.7%. AdvertisementBut the Sahm Rule isn't triggered until the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate is 0.5 percentage points or more above its low over the past year, not the absolute unemployment rate. But the rise in the unemployment rate is not the only factor concerning Rosenberg.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Claudia Sahm, isn't, Sahm, subsector
Ascendance Asset Management, founded by former AllianceBernstein investor Bob Kim, will be a multi-strategy hedge fund that plans to integrate artificial intelligence across the investing and risk management process, several sources familiar with the matter told Business Insider. Kim was the director of research at Visium and a portfolio manager for Izzy Englander's Millennium before working as the chief investment officer for AB's Arya fund, the multi-billion multi-strategy fund within the asset manager's alternatives business. AdvertisementThe firm also brought on a former executive from billionaire Stan Druckenmiller's hedge fund Duquesne, John Kovitch, to be its head of trading. The goal, sources told BI, is for each portfolio manager to have their own personalized AI agent helping them trade. These firms need people, especially investing talent, pushing up compensation and guaranteed payouts across the industry.
Persons: Bob Kim, Ascendance, Kim, Izzy Englander's, AB's Arya, Josh Adam, Adam, Steve, Goldman Sachs, Stan Druckenmiller's, John Kovitch, Bobby Jain's Jain Organizations: Service, Management, Industry, Business, SAC, Duquesne, Citadel Locations: New York, London, Asia, GLG
SpaceX founder Elon Musk and T-Mobile CEO Mike Sievert on stage during a T-Mobile and SpaceX joint event in Boca Chica Beach, Texas, on Aug. 25, 2022. SpaceX successfully sent text messages via Starlink satellites using T-Mobile's network, it announced Wednesday, as Elon Musk's company aims to bring its direct-to-device cell service to market in the coming year. The recent test comes as major players pursue the market to connect unmodified phones directly to satellites, a nascent subsector of the space economy. SpaceX last week launched the first six Starlink satellites equipped with direct-to-device, or D2D, capabilities, after receiving authorization from the Federal Communications Commission last month to test the technology. The company said it performed the texting demonstration on Monday — in which SpaceX "sent and received our first text messages to and from unmodified cell phones on the ground to our new satellites in space" — and declared the test "validates" that "the system works."
Persons: Elon Musk, Mike Sievert, Elon Organizations: SpaceX, Mobile, Boca, Federal Communications Commission Locations: Boca Chica Beach , Texas
Barclays (BARC.L), a big UK lender, fell as much as 8% after signalling major cost cuts because of weakness on its home turf. Mark Denham, head of European equities at Carmignac, said high quality companies with high valuations tend to be very vulnerable if they miss earnings. According to Kasper Elmgreen, CIO at Nordea Asset Management, the fact that the economy is now starting to slow is one factor behind investors' harsh treatment of earnings disappointments. Amid the volatility, some investors see a buying opportunity in overly punished stocks. It is an example of a highly valued stock being extra punished for the environment," Denham said.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Angelo Meda, Mark Denham, Denham, Kasper Elmgreen, Elmgreen, Fabio Di Giansante, Carmignac's Denham, Danilo Masoni, Alun John, Joice Alves, Amanda Cooper, Hugh Lawson Organizations: Sanofi, Barclays, Banor SIM, Siemens Energy, Volkswagen, Volvo, Asset Management, Euroland Equity, pharma, Thomson Locations: Milan, Swiss, London
Washington's tightened grip on artificial intelligence chip sales to China could have long-term implications for Nvidia , 2023's famed AI darling. Through Wednesday's close, Nvidia, the dominant AI player, had lost 7% this week, while Advanced Micro Devices and Marvell Technology slumped more than 2%. What it means for Nvidia Nvidia said in an SEC filing this week that the latest government curbs could hinder its new product development timeline, and a handful of chip models. The major aim of the latest U.S. restrictions is to prevent China from harnessing advanced semiconductor chips to strengthen its military. To be sure, Nvidia isn't the only company slated to feel the pressure from the latest export curbs.
Persons: Greg Bassuk, Atif Malik, Morgan Stanley's Joseph Moore, Malik, America's Vivek Arya, Harlan Sur, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Paul Meeks, Meeks, Charles Shi, JPMorgan's, Raymond James, Srini Pajjuri, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, U.S . Commerce Department, Devices, Marvell Technology, Commerce Department, Micron Technology, AXS Investments, Nvidia Nvidia, SEC, United, United Arab Emirates, Citi, Intel, Investments, Bank, America's, JPMorgan Chase, Lam Locations: China, Boise , Idaho, Vietnam, Saudi Arabia, United Arab, Freemont , California
Semiconductors are looking undervalued, thanks to the selloff in some parts of the sector, according to Morningstar. That's even more undervalued than the wider tech sector, which it believes is 5% undervalued. Morningstar noted such stocks have sold off a little in September, especially in analog and mixed signal names — two types of chips in the semiconductor industry — and even in artificial intelligence chipmakers. Outside the AI sector, the firm also likes autos, expecting more chips to be used in cars, especially electric vehicles, in the years to come. That will enable the company to achieve high single-digit long term revenue growth, Morningstar said.
Persons: Morningstar, Brian Colello, Jack Keegan, it's Organizations: Nvidia, Infineon Technologies, NXP Semiconductors, Qualcomm, Morningstar, Skyworks Locations: Taiwan
The 96,000 net jobs gain last month was more than the combined total for August and July. The U.S. labor market saw broad gains in September in a surprisingly strong jobs report that sparked a quick sell-off in the bond market . Bars and restaurants were the strongest group within leisure and hospitality, adding 61,000 jobs. That is up sharply from the 6,000 jobs added in the same month a year ago. The job market has continued to defy expectations of a significant slowdown, and in fact the numbers for August and July were revised upward.
Persons: Jason Furman, Furman, they've, subsector Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Harvard, National Economic Council, BLS, Permanente, Screen Actors Locations: U.S
Canada economy stalled in July, most likely grew by 0.1% in Aug
  + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
REUTERS/Christinne Muschi Acquire Licensing RightsOTTAWA, Sept 29 (Reuters) - Canada's economy stalled in July as the manufacturing sector posted its biggest decline for more than two years, but it most likely grew by 0.1% in August, Statistics Canada said on Friday. Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast a 0.1% month-over-month rise in July. Overall, the service-producing sector edged up 0.1% in July while the goods-producing sector posted a 0.3% contraction. The manufacturing sector shrank by 1.5% over June, the biggest month-on-month drop since April 2021, largely due to firms drawing down their inventories. The bank held its key overnight interest rate at 5% on Sept 6, noting the economy had entered a period of weaker growth.
Persons: Christinne, David Ljunggren, Dale Smith Organizations: Port, REUTERS, Rights, Statistics, Reuters, Bank of, Mining, Bank of Canada's, Thomson Locations: Port of Montreal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Statistics Canada, Pacific, British Columbia
Value investing can be challenging, humbling, and even lonely, as fund manager Sam Peters has learned over the last three decades. Markets are usually efficient, Peters acknowledged, meaning that stocks usually trade near their fair value. Thanks to this method, Peters' portfolio often has an unconventional combination of companies that offers diversification with the potential to compound abnormally large returns over time. Peters added: "I think we're going to be in a higher nominal rate environment, higher inflation environment, higher rate environment. Such a setup would favor value stocks over their growth peers, Peters said.
Persons: Sam Peters, Peters, he's, Morningstar, it's, we're, Johnson, They're, ROE, there's, Noble, Toby Rice Organizations: Trust Fund, Healthcare, Johnson, UnitedHealth, Insurance, International Group, AIG, Trust Locations: financials
HSBC initiates Zoom as buy HSBC said Zoom is the leader in video conferencing. HSBC initiates Deere as buy HSBC said in its initiation of Deere that it sees "upside in the cycle." HSBC initiates Salesforce as buy HSBC said in its initiation of the stock that it's a "margin expansion story." HSBC initiates Snowflake as buy HSBC said Snowflake is well positioned for AI. HSBC initiates Oracle a buy HSBC said in its initiation of Oracle it likes the company's cloud platform.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Rivian, it's, TD Cowen, Needham, Piper Sandler, Piper, KEY's, Lauder, Redburn, Wolfe, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Casella, Zoom, Snowflake, Northcoast, Apple, Salesforce, Ford Organizations: Bank of America, underperform Bank of America, HSBC, Anheuser, Busch InBev, UBS, WWE, UFC, Systems, Moffett, Deere, Oracle, of America, Amazon, Apple, Lenovo, Adobe, General Motors, Ford, GM, UAW Locations: Americas, 2H23, North America, U.S, China
And hedge fund manager David Neuhauser of Livermore Partners told CNBC's " Street Signs Asia " that the "best asset class" is oil stocks. Typically, in a recession, oil prices could dive to $50 a barrel, he said. Stocks to buy Neuhauser said Livermore owns small-cap energy stocks Kolibri Global and Vista Energy — because of limited supply and strong returns on capital, as well as low valuations. Still, energy stocks are an option for investors seeking inflation protection, Dietze said. He said energy stocks are "a far superior alternative" to Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities.
Persons: BofA, David Neuhauser, CNBC's, Neuhauser, Livermore, David Dietze, Dietze, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, subsector, That's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Livermore Partners, Vista Energy, Wealth Management, Exxon, Mizuho, Securities, Dominion Energy Locations: Chevron, U.S, Wednesday's, Saudi
The sports tech sector had one of its best quarters ever in Q2, according to investment bank Drake Star. The large number of new M&A deals, coupled with an influx of capital and a rebounding market, are driving growth in sports tech, Drake Star principal Mohit Pareek told Insider. In Q2, the biggest deal — and one of the largest ever sports-tech deals — was the April acquisition of WWE by Endeavor, the parent company of the UFC. Drake Star found 199 private-funding deals closed in Q2, up from 176 deals in Q1. Overall, though, less money was raised with the Q2 deals totaling $1.6 billion, compared to $1.7 billion last quarter.
Persons: Drake Star, Drake, Mohit Pareek, Pareek, , BPEA EQT Organizations: Drake Star, WWE, UFC, Endeavor, IMG Academy, NeoGames SA, Media, FuboTV, Drake Locations: Sportradar
Some on Wall Street are getting increasingly bullish on the S & P 500 , raising their price targets for the index. It increased its year-end S & P 500 price target from 4,400 to 4,900 — the highest in CNBC's Market Strategist survey . Mid-cap tech stocks : Ball said "mid tech is the equity place for tomorrow." Big tech stocks have contributed to much of the gains this year — although the rally is broadening out — but other well established "but not gigantic" tech stocks have "more premise looking ahead." Energy stocks: The S & P 500 energy subsector has underperformed this year, gaining just 1% to date.
Persons: Sanders Morris Harris, George Ball, CNBC's, Ball Organizations: Oppenheimer Asset Management, CNBC's, Citi, Trade, Energy, Enterprise Products Partners Locations: Tuesday's, bitcoin
"In sum, our message is not to be overly deterred by the significant year-to-date move in profitable AI stocks," the bank said in a Friday note to clients. Citi expects many names to meet accelerated growth expectations and views free cash flows as "increasingly compelling." Given this setup, Citi screened for AI-related stocks expected to outpace market growth expectations and experience an uptick in free cash flow margins. Consensus estimates peg long-term growth at more than 17%, with a near-term free cash flow margin of nearly 24%. Mastercard offers the greatest near-term free cash flow yield of the group, at 48.4%.
Persons: Andy Jassy soothed, Bard, ServiceNow, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citigroup, Nvidia, Citi, CNBC, Amazon, Amazon Web Services, Microsoft, Mastercard, Ford
Eli Lilly (LLY) bolstered its position in the budding weight-loss drug market after new data showed its oral obesity pill was highly effective in a mid-stage study. Eli Lilly shares are taking a breather Monday, but we see no reason to join the sellers. Eli Lilly funded the trial. Eli Lilly stock is down about 1.3% Monday afternoon, likely on some profit-taking following a solid move up last week. Eli Lilly and Company, Pharmaceutical company headquarters in Alcobendas, Madrid, Spain.
Persons: Eli Lilly, LLY, orforglipron, Orforglipron, Eli Lilly's Mounjaro, Mounjaro, Jim Cramer, Lilly's, Geoff Meacham, Meacham, Lilly, It's, we've, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Cristina Arias Organizations: Club, New England, of Medicine, Nordisk, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, Novo Nordisk, Sunday, Bank of America, CNBC, UBS, Pfizer, Company, Pharmaceutical Locations: U.S, Alcobendas, Madrid, Spain
TympaHealth has raised $23 million from Octopus Ventures for its hearing assessment platform. The London-based startup aims to make hearing diagnostic tests more accessible outside of hospitals. A startup that enables clinicians to perform hearing assessments outside of hospital settings has raised $23 million in fresh funds. TympaHealth founder and CEO Dr Krishan Ramdoo said the goal of the company was to make hearing and ear care more accessible. Despite this, waiting times for hearing services can stretch from 12 to 16 weeks given increasing pressures on the National Health Service's hearing care services, Ramdoo added.
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