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Wall Street has been pumping money into the Trump trade, but investors should be wary before committing capital based on campaign promises, if history is any indication. From Election Day 2016 through year-end, the asset class outperformed the S & P 500 by 8% on a relative basis. In fact, from Election Day 2016 through Election Day 2020, smallcaps tumbled more than 22%. Expand the timeline to one year out from Election Day, and the ETF underperformed the broader index by 11%. Energy Energy stocks are expected to get a huge boost from Trump, who made energy a focus of his presidential campaign , and promised to "drill, baby, drill."
Persons: Trump, Donald Trump's, elect's, Russell, Biden, Wells, Austin Pickle, , smallcaps, that's, Fred Imbert Organizations: Bank, Regional Banking, Wells, Investment Institute, Trump, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Dow Jones, . Energy Energy, Energy Locations: Wells Fargo, that's year's
"For example, during Trump's previous administration, deregulation in the energy sector boosted oil and gas stocks, benefiting energy ETFs." Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF (BND), two of the world's largest bond ETFs, and longer-term funds like iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Crypto ETFS having big year and getting bigger Since launching in January, crypto ETFs have attracted roughly $70 billion in assets, one of the most successful ETF launches ever. Bitcoin ETFs including the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the largest bitcoin ETF by assets under management, have seen significant inflows since October. Rosenberg at Texas Capital acknowledges that certain ETF sectors, like industrials ( Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF , or VIS; iShares U.S. Industrials ETF , or IYJ), "could be hurt by more tariffs."
Persons: Trump, Tom Lydon, John Davi, iShares Russell, ROE, Matt Bartolini, Bartolini, Gavi, Edward Rosenberg, Gary Gensler, Michael Novogratz, Cathie Wood, Todd Sohn, Wood, Davi, Rosenberg, industrials Organizations: Astoria, CNBC, Potential Trump, Bank ETF, Assets ETF, Trump, ETF Research, Street Global Advisors, Regional Bank ETF, Treasury, Aggregate Bond, Vanguard, Fund, Treasury Bond ETF, Texas, SEC, Commodity Futures, Galaxy Digital Holdings, ARK, Innovation, ARKK, Downside, China ETF, Texas Capital, Index, Industrials, U.S, Edge Locations: Astoria, Congress, rulemaking, Coinbase, China, Mexico
With the second half of the year underway, Oppenheimer is highlighting what it calls its top small- and midcap seasonal standout investment ideas. On the basis of price charts alone, Oppenheimer tapped midcap growth stocks as its top rotation idea from a technical perspective. Oppenheimer has a $20 price target on Zeta, implying 18% upside from Tuesday's close. In a note last month, RBC Capital Markets also rated Zeta outperform with a price target of $20. In this area, Oppenheimer likes Viking Therapeutics , reiterating the stock as one of its best ideas.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Russell, Brian Schwartz, Zeta, Novo Nordisk's Wegovy, Eli Lilly's Zepbound, Jay Olson, Freshpet Organizations: Oppenheimer, Zeta Global Holdings, Zeta, RBC Capital Markets, Novo Nordisk's, Viking Therapeutics, Therapeutics Locations: Zeta, Novo
The bull case for small caps as the second half kicks off
  + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +6 min
By contrast, the S & P 500 has already reached Jefferies' bull case of 5,400, the strategist noted. The right catalyst For investors, the bull case for small caps that prevailed when the year began, still holds. More immediately, second-quarter earnings may prove a positive catalyst for small caps since expectations are so low, according to Jefferies' DeSanctis. On a trailing 12-month basis, the S & P 500 is trading at a multiple of 25 times earnings. Ultimately, however, many investors say that a rotation into small caps is coming, even if it hasn't happened yet.
Persons: Russell, Richard Nixon, Steven DeSanctis, Jefferies, DeSanctis, Brian Leonard, Ross Mayfield, Baird, Keeley Teton's Leonard, Something's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Jefferies, CNBC Pro, Fed, Advisors Locations: Keeley
This month's rout in smallcap stocks has erased the Russell 2000's sparkling first quarter gain, and the benchmark index for smaller shares could face further trouble ahead so long as interest rates are left unchanged. A hotter-than-expected March inflation report on Wednesday pushed investors on Wall Street to extend out expectations for the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut to September from June, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool . The Fed's last interest rate increase in the current cycle was in July, 2023. Servicing debt Hall specifies that the risk to smallcaps is tied to the effect of higher interest rates on refinancing needs. "Higher for longer [interest rates have] generally been good for small cap stocks.
Persons: Russell, Smallcaps, They're, Jill Carey Hall, Hall, Steven DeSanctis, DeSanctis Organizations: Wall, Federal, Bank of America, Bank of, Jefferies Locations: U.S
Ian Walker at The Wall Street Journal
  + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Ian Walker | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Ian WalkerIan currently manages the U.K. companies desk, overseeing corporate news flashes and quick fire fills for both the Dow Jones Newswire and The Wall Street Journal's website. The desk covers all stocks from the largest FTSE100s to the smallest AIM companies across the whole range of industries and subject matters. Ian and the team report share movers, updates and interviews on the mid and smallcaps. Ian has been managing the desk since 1997 and been in the industry since 1985.
Persons: Ian Walker Ian, Ian Organizations: Dow Jones Newswire, AIM
UBS has named a raft of European small and midcap stocks it says are staging a "comeback in the making" this year. Smaller European stocks returned 0.5% in July and August, outperforming the 1.7% contraction logged by large caps in the same period, the Swiss investment bank noted. On average, stocks on UBS' list of small and mid-cap stocks were up 6.6% year-to-date, beating the MSCI European Smallcap Index by 1.2 percentage points, according to the bank. Stock picks Italian cement and ready-mix company Buzzi is among UBS' top picks, given its year-to-date performance of 53.4%. New on the radar UBS' list has also undergone a refresh to include three new stocks: Galenica , SIG Group and Talgo.
Persons: Knorr, Hugo Boss, Galenica Organizations: UBS, Stock, Bremse, SIG Group, Swiss pharma, SIG Locations: Swiss
IT, auto stocks help Indian shares hit new highs
  + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( Bharath Rajeswaran | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
BENGALURU, June 30 (Reuters) - Information technology (IT) and auto stocks helped India's benchmark indexes hit fresh record highs on Friday, after robust economic data from the United States eased fears of a slowdown and improved broader sentiment. Reuters GraphicsThe Nifty 50 (.NSEI) rose as much as 1.21% to hit an all-time high of 19,201.70, before closing at 19,189.05. The S&P BSE Sensex (.BSESN) also gained 1.26% to settle at a fresh record of 64,718.56. The Nifty 50 (.NSEI) has risen over 10.5% in the three months ended June 30, its best performance since the September quarter of 2021. Midcaps (.NIFMDCP100) also hit a fresh record while smallcaps (.NIFSMCP100) hovered around their 52-week high.
Persons: Deepak Jasani, MotoCorp, Maruti Suzuki, Bharath Rajeswaran, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: Reuters, BSE, HDFC Securities, Auto, Mahindra, Maruti, Infosys, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, United States, Bengaluru
[1/3] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., June 29, 2023. Financials (.SPSY) led the gainers after the Federal Reserve's stress test showed U.S. lenders have adequate capital to weather an economic storm. Treasury yields rose, with 10-year yields touching their highest level since early March after economic reports painted a picture of a solid U.S. economy, promoting the "higher for longer" scenario with respect to restrictive monetary policy. The dollar touched a two-week high against a basket of world currencies as upbeat economic data provided cushion to the Fed to continue raising rates. Oil prices posted modest gains as the solid economic data suggested strong demand and a steeper-than-expected drop in U.S. crude inventories.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Russell, Michael Green, Joseph Sroka, Brent, Stephen Culp, Marc Jones, Susan Fenton, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Fed, Dow, Nasdaq, Management, Dow Jones, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Japan's Nikkei, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Spain, Asia, Pacific, Japan, London
The FTSE 100 (.FTSE) rose 0.5%, while the FTSE 250 (.FTMC) added 1.1% by 0841 GMT. With a day left for the end of the first quarter of the year, the FTSE 100 is on track for gains of 2%, while the mid-cap index is likely to have a muted end. Top performing sectors this quarter include the FTSE 350 aerospace and defence (.FTNMX502010), construction and materials (.FTNMX501010) and retailers (.FTNMX404010). The FTSE 350 Automobiles and Parts sector (.FTNMX401010) added 2.5% and is among top-performing sectors this quarter. Moonpig Group PLC (MOONM.L) added 17.9% after the online card retailer said it expects revenue to expand across 2024.
"A regime change, if you will, is taking place in the market, where small caps are going to do better," said Francis Gannon, co-chief investment officer at Royce Investment Partners, which focuses on small caps. Now investors are pointing to the recent rally as proof that small caps are on the verge of a prolonged period of outperformance. 'Massively outperform' Michael Sesser, equity portfolio manager of the $558-million DWS Small Cap Core fund, believes small caps will "massively outperform" large caps over the next five to 10 years. Cantaloupe , a retail service digital payments company with a $373 million market cap, and medical imaging provider RadNet ($1.2 billion market cap) are among Sesser's picks. DWS Small Cap also owns metallurgical coal producers serving the steel industry, namely Alpha Metallurgical Resources ($2.7 billion market cap), Arch Resources ($2.6 billion market cap) and Peabody Energy ($4.2 billion market cap).
Total: 11