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The BOJ will now look to utilize its short-term interest rate as its primary policy tool. It will employ an interest rate of 0.1% to current account balances held by financial institutions at the central bank from March 21, while encouraging the uncollateralized overnight call rate (another interest rate used as a policy lever by the bank) to remain at around 0 to 0.1% — effectively raising interest rates from -0.1% previously. It would resort to "nimble responses" in the form of increased Japan government bond purchases and fixed-rate purchases of JGBs, among other things, if there is a rapid rise in long-term interest rates. Japanese investors have looked elsewhere for better returns given years of artificially depressed interest rates in their home market. The Fed is due to announce its own interest rate decision on Wednesday.

Persons: Japan Alexander Spatari, Kazuo Ueda, Rob Carnell, BOJ, Ueda, Michael Brown, —, JGBs, Vishnu Varathan, Hayden Briscoe, Briscoe Organizations: Japan's, Japan Inc, Asia, ING, CNBC, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Mizuho Financial Group, Bank of America, Barclays, U.S . Federal, UBS Asset Management Locations: Dotonbori, Japan, Japan's, U.S, Mizuho's, Asia

☆ Japan slipped into a technical recession. The Bank of Japan has to juggle supporting the yen and fragile growth
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Clement Tan | In Clemtan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda is under pressure to stem yen depreciation driven by the divergence between high U.S. interest rates and Japan's ultra easy policy. Yet, he is also constricted by high inflation that BOJ policymakers still deem unsustainable, even as it crimped domestic demand and tipped the economy into a technical recession. She previously served as a member of BOJ policy board from 2011 to 2016, helping to make monetary policy decisions. At its January meeting, the BOJ decided unanimously to keep short-term interest rates at -0.1%. BOJ policymakers have been cautious and fastidious with their primary task: reflating an economy that's been mired in decades of deflationary pressures.

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Sayuri Shirai, CNBC's, dousing, BOJ, Shirai Organizations: Istock, Getty, Bank of Japan, Germany, Keio University Locations: Tokyo, Japan

☆ China producer prices dip in January for a 16th month; consumer prices slip again
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Clement Tan | In Clemtan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

China's producer prices declined for a 16th month in January, while consumer prices slipped for a fourth month. CPI slipped 0.3% in December. On a monthly basis though, CPI climbed 0.3% in January from December, slightly weaker than median expectations for 0.4% growth. On a monthly basis, this translated into a 0.3% growth in January from December, NBS said. China stands as a stark outlier among the world's major economies, which are mostly battling stubbornly high inflation.

Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, NBS Locations: Beijing, reflating, China

People walk past the headquarters of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), the central bank, in Beijing, China September 28, 2018. Going by Wall Street's decline on Thursday, sparked by a spike in long-dated U.S. bond yields following a weak 30-year auction, the mood will be one of caution, at best. Annual producer price inflation has been negative for a year, although consumer inflation only briefly dipped below zero in July. On Thursday the yield curve flattened the most in a single day since March, a 'bull' flattening led by heavy buying of long-dated bonds. Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Friday:- China PPI and CPI inflation (September)- China trade (September)- Singapore policy decision and GDP (Q3)By Jamie McGeever; Editing by Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Jason Lee, Jamie McGeever, Stocks, Josie Kao Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, PPI, CPI, September's PPI, Reuters, Treasury, China PPI, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, U.S, Singapore, South Korea, India

☆ Analysis-China's economic gloom hangs over Japan's long-awaited recovery
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( Tetsushi Kajimoto | Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

TOKYO (Reuters) - Policymakers in Tokyo believe China’s deepening economic woes could hit Japan’s fragile recovery, especially if Beijing fails to shore up demand with meaningful stimulus, potentially delaying an exit from ultra-loose monetary policy. China is Japan’s largest trading partner, accounting for 20% of its exports, having replaced the United States in 2020. “Exports to China had already been weak and headwinds to inbound tourism are clearly bad for Japan’s economy,” said Toru Suehiro, chief economist at Daiwa Securities. Firms also promised wage hikes unseen in three decades this year, heightening the case for a retreat from decades of ultra-loose monetary policy. The darkening outlook for Japan’s recovery may push back the timing of a BOJ policy shift.

Persons: Marko Djurica, Kazuo Ueda’s, ”, Hiroyuki Ogawa, Ogawa, Takeshi Niinami, Toru Suehiro, Ueda, Toyoaki Nakamura, “, Seisaku Kameda Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of Japan’s, Reuters, Japan, Komatsu Ltd, Komatsu, Suntory Holdings, Daiwa Securities, Japan’s Sompo Holdings Locations: TOKYO, Tokyo, Beijing, Japan, United States, China

In a sign of growing pessimism over China, the government also said its monthly economic report for August that "concern over China's outlook" was among risks to Japan's recovery. "Exports to China had already been weak and headwinds to inbound tourism are clearly bad for Japan's economy," said Toru Suehiro, chief economist at Daiwa Securities. "All in all, it's hard to justify tightening monetary policy any time soon." Firms also promised wage hikes unseen in three decades this year, heightening the case for a retreat from decades of ultra-loose monetary policy. The darkening outlook for Japan's recovery may push back the timing of a BOJ policy shift.

Persons: Marko Djurica, Kazuo Ueda's, Hiroyuki Ogawa, Ogawa, Takeshi Niinami, Toru Suehiro, Ueda, Toyoaki Nakamura, Seisaku Kameda, Tetsushi Kajimoto, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of Japan's, Reuters, Japan, Komatsu Ltd, Komatsu, Suntory Holdings, Daiwa Securities, Japan's Sompo Holdings, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, China, TOKYO, Beijing, United States

☆ 'Long way to go': Bank of Japan douses hopes that policy tweak marks the end of easy policy
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-02 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

watch nowThe Bank of Japan has pushed back on speculation its recent policy adjustment marked the start of a tightening cycle. On Friday, the BOJ unexpectedly loosened its yield curve control, a move some market watchers said marked the start of the end of the Japanese central bank's ultra-easy monetary policy position. The BOJ's yield curve control is part of its ultra-easy monetary policy, which also includes keeping short-term interest rates at -0.1%. It is aimed at reflating growth in the world's third-largest economy and sustainably achieve its 2% inflation target after years of deflation. There is no free lunch for any policy," Ichida said.

Persons: Shinichi Ichida, Ichida, Bank of Japan Ichida Organizations: Bank of, Bank of Japan Locations: Bank, Bank of Japan, Chiba prefecture

[1/3] A street sign for Wall Street is seen outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York, U.S., July 19, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File PhotoSummaryCompanies U.S., European shares tick up as traders eye CPI, earningsChina inflation surprisingly weak in JuneDollar, oil prices declineJuly 10 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks rose slightly on Monday, while oil prices and the dollar dipped, as investors digested Chinese economic data and looked ahead to a key U.S. inflation report and corporate earnings. "Stubbornly high U.S. CPI inflation data this week could bolster the recent bond yield surge as markets expect the Fed to hike rates." Currently futures imply around a 90% probability of a rise to 5.25%-5.5% this month, up 25 basis points. The yield on 10-year U.S. notes fell 4 basis points on Monday to 4.008%.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Matthias Scheiber, Wells, Michael Barr, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Nell Mackenzie, Mark Heinrich, David Evans, Will Dunham, Christina Fincher Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Allspring Global Investments, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Citi, PepsiCo, BlackRock Investment, U.S, Federal Reserve, Federal, Thomson Locations: New York City , New York, U.S, China, reflating, London, Europe, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Boston

☆ Asia shares edge higher, China disinflation a drag
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Chinese consumer price figures surprised on the soft side with inflation falling in June and essentially unchanged from a year before. The gains in China helped MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) firm 0.6%. Japan's Nikkei (.N225) eased 0.7% in the wake of a higher yen, while South Korea (.KS11) added 0.2%. Fed officials have been mostly hawkish in their communications, while markets have also priced in higher rates in Europe and the UK. Canada's central bank meets this week and markets imply a 67% chance of another hike.

Persons: Bonds, Yen, Goldman Sachs, Brent, Wayne Cole, Stephen Coates Organizations: Nikkei, SYDNEY, Alibaba, HK, Japan's Nikkei, South, Nasdaq, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, PepsiCo, Federal Reserve, Fed, Thomson Locations: U.S, China, Beijing, reflating, Hong, Asia, Pacific, Japan, South Korea, Wells Fargo, Europe, Saudi Arabia, Russia

☆ Kuroda departs BOJ after inflation fails to fly like 'Peter Pan'
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-07 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The 78-year-old gives his press conference at 0630GMT, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) said. Kuroda was not the first BOJ chief to attempt to influence public perceptions with monetary easing. In 2015, he alluded to the Peter Pan fairy tale in explaining that to fire up inflation, the BOJ needed to have the public believe in its monetary magic with massive stimulus. When allusions to Peter Pan and spacecraft failed, the BOJ shifted to a defensive, long-term approach in 2016 with the introduction of yield curve control (YCC). "The BOJ's failure to change public expectations raises a lot of questions about the effectiveness of unconventional monetary policy."

☆ Kuroda less dovish as he departs BOJ after decade of massive stimulus
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Haruhiko Kuroda, governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), at the central bank's headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, on Thursday, May 27, 2021. Haruhiko Kuroda, governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), at the central bank's headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, on Thursday, May 27, 2021. Kuroda was not the first BOJ chief to attempt to influence public perceptions with monetary easing. When allusions to Peter Pan and spacecraft failed, the BOJ shifted to a defensive, long-term approach in 2016 with the introduction of yield curve control (YCC). "The BOJ's failure to change public expectations raises a lot of questions about the effectiveness of unconventional monetary policy."

With inflation expectations already "sufficiently" high, core consumer inflation could exceed the BOJ's 2% target next fiscal year, and open scope for the central bank to abandon its 0% target for the 10-year bond yield, Hoshi said. The BOJ must start worrying about the possibility of inflation accelerating more than expected." A member of various government committees and an expert on macroeconomic policy, Hoshi spoke as a panelist at the BOJ's workshop on Nov. 25 that discussed Japan's wage dynamics. Under yield curve control (YCC), the BOJ guides short-term interest rates at -0.1% and pledges to guide the 10-year bond yield around 0%. If the BOJ were to normalise monetary policy, it will do so in several stages starting with the removal of the 10-year yield target that is distorting the shape of the yield curve, he said.

☆ BOJ's Kuroda flags tweak to ultra-low interest rates as future option
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-02 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

TOKYO, Nov 2 (Reuters) - Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said on Wednesday a tweak to the central bank's yield curve control (YCC) policy could become a future option, but dismissed not now. "If the achievement of our 2% inflation target comes into sight, making yield curve control more flexible could become an option," Kuroda told parliament. The remark will likely keep alive market expectations of a tweak to the central bank's ultra-low interest rates when the dovish Kuroda's second, five-year term ends in April next year. The BOJ remains an outlier among a global wave of central banks tightening monetary policy as it focuses on reflating a fragile economy with aggressive stimulus. Kuroda has repeatedly stressed the bank's resolve to keep monetary policy ultra-loose.

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