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Opinion | Meet the New Boss, Same as the Old Boss
  + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Jamelle Bouie | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
In just a few months, Trump may join the exclusive club of two-time presidential losers. Of course, it is still too early to make any real prediction about November. But the sharp reversal in Trump’s electoral fortunes raises an obvious question worth thinking about now: If Trump loses, and perhaps especially if he loses badly, what comes next for the Republican Party? One of the defining attributes of his leadership of the Republican Party is the extent to which he has so thoroughly reshaped Republican identity while leading Republican politicians to a string of national election defeats. Following Trump’s surprise win in 2016, Republicans either lost or underperformed in 2018, 2020 and 2022.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Andrew Jackson, Abraham Lincoln, Franklin Roosevelt, Ronald Reagan, Trump’s, George H.W, Bush, Doug Mastriano Organizations: Republican Party, Trump, Republican Locations: — Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Kari Lake, Arizona, Pennsylvania
More than in any other foreign arena, Vance has sought to echo Trump on the Ukraine war. In doing so, he emphasized the thick vein of “scarcity politics” that runs through his foreign policy, arguing that the U.S. can’t equip Ukraine with enough materiel to hold back an opponent as vast as Russia. Vance described Ukraine ceding territory to Vladimir Putin as being in “America’s best interest” while appearing more supportive than Trump of remaining in NATO. The foreign policy views of Pence, vice president when Trump was in office, while not loved by everyone, were at least “mature” — they were informed by several terms experiencing the consequences of foreign policy becoming reality, according to Daniel Kurtzer, a former U.S. ambassador to Israel and now a professor at Princeton. Vance, on the other hand, brings “no foreign policy experience, certainly no expertise,” Kurtzer says, and he will fall in behind his boss when needed.
Persons: JD Vance, Donald Trump, , , Vance, Clayton Allen, , Anna Moneymaker, Trump, Bronwen Maddox, “ He’s, ” Allen, Biden, Vladimir Putin, Chatham House’s Maddox, Joe Biden, ” Vance, Patrick Baz, doesn’t, William Ruger, Israel, — Trump, Jair Bolsonaro, Viktor Orban, ” Trump, Stephen Maturen, Vance “, Dick, Cheney ”, George W, Allen, Hitler, Mike Pence, Pence, Daniel Kurtzer, ” Kurtzer, Benjamin Netanyahu, Charles Hollis, Hollis, Trump’s, ’ ”, Maddox, Grover Cleveland Organizations: Marines, Yale Law School, Gaza, Ohio, GOP, Eurasia Group, Republican Party, NATO, Republican National Convention, Democrat, Republicans, NAFTA, China, Getty, American Institute for Economic Research, Kremlin, Bloomberg, Trump, Princeton, United, Aperio Intelligence Locations: Iraq, U.S, Ukraine, Sierra Vista, London, Kyiv, Russia, lockstep, Europe, Mexico, Baghdad’s, Owerij, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Great Barrington , Massachusetts, Ukrainian, Taiwan, , St Cloud, Minn, Israel, China, Gaza, Saudi Arabia, Iran, United States, Montezuma, Canada
Anatomy of a Landslide
  + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Josh Holder | Lauren Leatherby | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +9 min
Vote share for the Conservatives dropped all over the country SCOTLAND NORTHERN IRELAND ENGLAND WALESAnatomy of a Landslide Support for the Conservatives plummeted, propelling the Labour Party into power. ... they lost almost half to Labour ... 372 seats Labour 412 ... and 60 to the Liberal Democrats Labour 200 Reform 4 S.N.P. Labour won a landslide with just a third of the vote0 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Vote share Seat share Labour won almost two-thirds of seats with just a third of votes. Seat Vote Green 0 20% 40% 60% Vote share Seat share Labour won almost two-thirds of seats with just a third of votes. 29.4 15.5% 2019 2024 Lib Dem 9.3 7.7% 2019 2024 Green 3.4 11.1% 2019 2024 Reform 2.8 11.3% 2019 2024 Next youngest constituencies 33.9 38.1% 2019 2024 45.3 24.0% 2019 2024 10.9 10.9% 2019 2024 2.3 6.1% 2019 2024 3.2 17.2% 2019 2024 Older constituencies 25.6 32.4% 2019 2024 49.2 26.4% 2019 2024 12.5 13.7% 2019 2024 2.5 5.4% 2019 2024 2.0 16.4% 2019 2024 Oldest constituencies 20.6 25.9% 2019 2024 55.1 30.3% 2019 2024 13.5 15.9% 2019 2024 2.9 5.7% 2019 2024 0.6 16.3% 2019 2024 Source: Age data from the Office for National Statistics and Scotland Census Note: Constituencies are bucketed by median age.
Persons: Nigel Farage, Farage’s, Organizations: Conservatives, WALES, Labour Party, Scottish National Party, Labour, Liberal Democrats, Scottish, Liberal, Conservative Conservatives, Conservative, Liberal Democrats Labour, Liberal Democrats Lab, National Government, Conservative Party, Center, Conservative Labour, Left Green Labour, Green Party, Green, Office, National Statistics, Reform Locations: SCOTLAND, England, postindustrial, Midlands, North, United Kingdom, Britain’s Parliament, Scotland
How Support for Britain’s Conservative Party is Collapsing2024 polls suggest the Conservatives may lose most of their seats. Most Conservative voters plan to vote for somebody else 2019 election 2024 election polling Fewer than half of Conservative voters say they are sticking with the party. 3% Other Most Conservative voters plan to vote for somebody else 2019 election 2024 election polling Fewer than half of Conservative voters say they are sticking with the party. 3% Other Most Conservative voters plan to vote for somebody else 2019 election 2024 election polling Fewer than half of Conservative voters say they are sticking with the party. How party support has changed since the 2019 election Conservative party Conservative support has dropped across the board, even among older voters who formed their base.
Persons: Mori, Ipsos Mori, Survation YouGov Ipsos Mori, Nigel Farage, Rishi Sunak’s, Liz Truss, David Cameron, pollsters, , Keir Starmer, It’s, Starmer, Boris Johnson, Farage, , Will Jennings, ” Mr, Jennings Organizations: Britain’s Conservative Party, Conservatives, Labour, Conservative, Health, Crime Defense, Housing Education Education Brexit Defense, Welfare, National Health Service, Liberal Democrats, Greens, Conservative Party, Bristol Central, Green, Labour Conservatives S.N.P, Dems, Greens Plaid Cymru Reform, Northern Ireland, Northern, Brexit, University of Southampton, Locations: British, Britain, YouGov, Russia, Europe, Britain’s, Israel, Gaza, England, Northern Ireland, Midlands, England's, London
On May 14, President Biden announced a major escalation of the country’s emerging climate trade war with China, raising existing tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles to 100 percent — a unilateral quadrupling. A few days earlier, responding to reports of Biden’s plans, Donald Trump outdid him, promising tariffs of 200 percent should he win the 2024 election. Five years after blasting Trump for imposing tariffs on Chinese exports, Biden raised them — on aluminum, steel, lithium batteries, solar cells and semiconductors, among other products. In 2019, Chinese E.V. Nearly 60 percent of all the world’s E.V.s are now sold in China, which is home to three of the world’s four biggest E.V.
Persons: Biden, Biden’s, Donald Trump outdid, It’s, , Gaia, David Autor, Tesla, BYD Organizations: Trump, Democratic Locations: China, U.S, Washington, Chinese
Millennials are turning to more creative and affordable ways of getting on the property ladder, such as buying a fixer-upper. One day, while out walking, she noticed a beautiful, old house that "seemed empty and looked a wreck." A couple bought a 19th-century manor house in Ohio they saw in the Cheap Old Houses newsletterThe Angeleauxs pose in front of Walnut Hill, a house they found on the Cheap Old Houses Instagram account. In May 2022, the Cheap Old Houses newsletter advertised an 1800s manor house in the small village of Higginsport, Ohio. During the renovation, Wormann handled a termite infestation in the beams, disposing of mountains of trash, and firing unreliable contractors.
Persons: , Betsy Sweeny, Betsy Sweeny Betsy Sweeny, Sweeny, Kayli, Angeleaux, Connor, Kayli Angeleaux, Connor Angeleaux's, We're, Farleigh, Olamide Soyemi, Cullen Farleigh Olamide Soyemi, Cullen Farleigh, Soyemi, creatives, Cullen, Anton Wormann, Anton Wormann Anton Wormann, Wormann, hadn't, akiya Organizations: Service, McClain House, Federal Housing Association Locations: Wheeling , West Virginia, McClain, Virginia, Ohio, Walnut Hill, Utah, Higginsport , Ohio, Colombus, London, East London, Swedish, Tokyo, Japan, Sweden
There were three important deaths recently: Ted Kaczynski, Silvio Berlusconi, Cormac McCarthy. Or maybe not so strangely assorted; maybe the three men were variations on a theme — that theme being alienation, and specifically masculine alienation, from the patterns and rules of late-modern civilization, and the different rebellions that alienation might inspire. In a phrase, when we talk about traditional modes of manhood, we’re often talking about mastery through physical strength and the capacity for violence. That kind of mastery will always have some value, but it had more value in 1370 than 1870, and more in 1870 than it does today. And the excess, the superfluity, must therefore be repressed, tamed or somehow educated away.
Persons: Ted Kaczynski, Silvio Berlusconi, Cormac McCarthy, we’re
Three Books That Make Tess Gunty Angry
  + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +4 min
I can’t believe I get to share a time period with all of these people. In this poem, the speaker is thunderstruck by a newfound “plague of gratitude.” The speaker says: “Not long ago I was hard to even/hug ... The poem plunged me into that first miraculous flash of hope you enjoy after a long storm of bad brain chemistry. They are facilitated by an absence of legal restrictions and the primeval excuse that if We don’t do it first, They will. My family is always shocked by how many books on neuroscience and quantum physics I’ve amassed.
Persons: Claudia Rankine, Anne Carson, Maggie Nelson, Yuri Herrera, Zadie Smith, Diane Williams, Valeria Luiselli, Olga Tokarczuk, Rachel Kushner, Elena Ferrante, Ben Lerner, Carmen Maria Machado, Joy Williams, Hanif Abdurraqib, Nuar Alsadir, Robin Coste Lewis, Natalie Diaz, Ocean Vuong, Sharon Olds, Morgan Parker, Tommy Pico, Terrance Hayes, Ada Limón, Tracy K, Smith, Annie Baker, Amy Herzog, Paula Vogel, Svetlana Alexievich, Rachel Aviv, Ed Yong, Matthew Desmond, Alexandra Kleeman, Susan Choi, Chris Ware, Tommy Orange, Javier Zamora, Jenny Offill, Annie Ernaux, Anne Enright, Lydia Davis, Raven Leilani, Mark Z, Jennifer Egan, George Saunders, Wolf, Kaveh Akbar, ” Akbar alchemizes, , I’m, Patrick Radden Keefe, Sackler, , Brian Christian, I’ve, Iain McGilchrist, Alex Locations: Ocean, America, , postindustrial Indiana
In the Welsh language, the virtually untranslatable word “hiraeth” (pronounced here-ayeth) describes a blend of nostalgia and longing for a time that can never be recreated. For Wrexham, a working-class town in northern Wales, it was a feeling that came to define a postindustrial malaise that descended in the 1980s as the last remaining coal mines shuttered their rickety gates and, later, the furnaces at the nearby steelworks ran cold. Only the beloved soccer club, Wrexham A.F.C., remained: the oldest team in Wales, a perennial also-ran but still an indomitable source of local pride. “We went through so much as a town,” said Terry Richards, 56, a lifelong fan of the club as he sat at home in the team’s bright scarlet jersey. “Those were difficult times.”
Betsy Sweeny bought a 3,025-square-foot crumbling Victorian house when she was 27 for only $18,000. Sweeny's living room during renovations. Betsy SweenySweeny's renovated living room with replica curved glass windows. It wanted staged after photos, so within 12 weeks, I finished one bathroom, the living room, the dining room, the foyer, and the exterior. The primary bedroom, living room, dining room, and baths were completely finished — the kitchen was ugly.
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