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☆ Brace for a 10% slide in the S&P 500 as stagflation makes the Fed unlikely to cut rates, Stifel says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The stock market is headed for a 10% decline over the next quarter, Stifel analysts warned. AdvertisementThe stock market is headed for a sell-off in the coming months that will see the S&P 500 drop 10%, according to Stifel strategists. When adjusted for inflation, the overall S&P 500 remains below its level at the end of 2021 — something that could be "emblematic of underlying problems" in the market, Stifel said. "We continue to forecast the S&P 500 corrects about -10% to ~4,750 before the end of 3Q 2024 from the recent peak," strategists said in a note on Tuesday. When the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 transitions out of a Secular Bull Market it historically enters a 'Secular Bear Market,' which is a much more treacherous period for investors."

Persons: —, Stifel, Stocks Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Secular

☆ Hedge fund manager Mark Yusko sees sign of 'very unhealthy markets,' warns stocks are overvalued
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHedge fund manager Mark Yusko sees sign of 'very unhealthy markets,' warns stocks are overvaluedMark Yusko, Morgan Creek Capital Management CEO & CIO, joins 'Fast Money' to discuss why he believes the markets may be in trouble.

Persons: Mark Yusko Organizations: Morgan Creek Capital Management Locations: Morgan Creek

☆ The S&P 500 could climb 23% next year if Treasury yields fall and AI momentum stays strong, research firm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Falling yields and continuing excitement for AI could boost the S&P 500 to 6,500, the firm said. "This expectation that AI hype will increase and that Treasury yields will fall underpins our long-standing forecast for the S&p 500 to hit 6,500 by end-2025." But narrow stock market rallies have the potential to last years, Rielly said, suggesting the stock market run-up could continue for now. Warnings of a market bubble have proliferated as the S&P 500 notched a series of record-highs this year. Capital Economics has also warned of a stock market correction akin to the 1929 and dot-com crashes, which could begin in early 2026.

Persons: That's, —, Reilly, that's, Rielly Organizations: Capital Economics, Service, Treasury, Street, NVIDIA, Capital

☆ 'The one thing I really wish I did': 3 self-made millionaires who retired early share their biggest money regrets
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-01 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Early retirees often have plenty of reasons to gloat about their financial prowess. CNBC Make It spoke with three millionaire early retirees who have no second thoughts about the decision to live on their own financial terms, although there are some things they wish they had done differently. He eventually saved a large portion of his salary and invested it, but that wasn't necessarily the case early on. "The one thing I really wish I did more of was saving, and especially investing more aggressively," he says. Chasing maximum gainsAlex Trias left his job at age 41 and a few years later, moved to a popular destination for American early retirees: Portugal.

Persons: Steve Adcock, Adcock, Alex Trias, Trias, Noki Organizations: CNBC Locations: Portugal, Lisbon

☆ Your guide to Wall Street analyst research and how to use it like the investing pros
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Wall Street sell-side research is a key part of the financial markets, written by analysts working for brokerage firms, investment banks and other institutions. Research reports An analyst's published research report might include a company overview with basic information about a company's business, products and position in the relevant market. This is especially true when an analyst is first initiating research coverage into a particular company or industry. Analyst recommendations affect stock prices every day , especially if an analyst or her firm is highly reputable or believed to hold expertise in a particular area. Contrarian indicators Analyst recommendations can occasionally act as a contrarian indicator , too.

Persons: Merrill Lynch, Henry Blodgett, Merrill Organizations: Research, Wall, Sarbanes, Oxley, Global, Securities and Exchange Commission, National Association of Securities Dealers, CNBC Pro Locations: Sarbanes

☆ The stock market rally is running on fumes as earnings growth can't keep up with sky-high prices, top economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The stock market is primed for a correction as equity valuations hit historically high levels, according to economist David Rosenberg. AdvertisementThe stock market is "primed for a correction" as earnings valuations hit historically high levels, according to economist David Rosenberg. That suggests that the expansion in the S&P 500's forward price-to-earnings valuation multiple to 21x from 18x in October is getting stretched. Wall Street consensus for the S&P 500's 2024 earnings per share is $245, which is the same forecast today as it was in October, before the stock market staged a near-30% rally. AdvertisementThat has informed Rosenberg's consistently bearish view, but the economist did say that high valuations on their own do not mean the stock market can't go higher from here.

Persons: David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, —, " Rosenberg, Rosenberg's Organizations: Service

☆ Are AI companies overvalued?
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAre AI companies overvalued? Mitchell Green, Lead Edge Capital founding partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the AI technology races, whether some AI companies are overvalued, and more.

Persons: Mitchell Green Organizations: Edge Capital

☆ Nvidia not overvalued despite low forward P/E and market cap, says DataTrek's Nick Colas
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNvidia not overvalued despite low forward P/E and market cap, says DataTrek's Nick ColasSean Myers, assistant professor of finance at the Wharton School, and Nicholas Colas, co-founder at DataTrek Research, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss Nvidia's valuation, how much weight to give P/E ratios, and more.

Persons: Nick Colas Sean Myers, Nicholas Colas, CNBC's Organizations: Nvidia, Wharton School, DataTrek Research

☆ It may be time to take some profits in Nvidia, chart analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-29 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Nvidia is now a $2.8 trillion company, an eyewatering figure that places the graphics processing unit maker just behind Apple ($2.9 trillion) and Microsoft ($3.2 trillion) in the S & P 500. At the same time, however, more investors wonder if Nvidia is overvalued and they should start taking profits, especially as the broader market comes under pressure from higher Treasury yields. Nvidia has surged above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and it now boasts a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 66. A move toward the upper band could mean the stock is overbought. Correction: A previous version of this article misstated the values of Nvidia, Apple and Microsoft.

Persons: Josh Brown, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Walmart, Netflix, Wealth, Bollinger

☆ Homes on billionaire hot spot Nantucket are falling into the ocean at an alarming rate — but the wealthy won't stop buying
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( Madeline Berg | Dan Latu | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +14 min

Over the past two centuries, Nantucket has gone from a whaling town to a hippie refuge to a holiday hot spot for billionaires. "To use a well-worn phrase, come hell or high water, people are still buying multimillion-dollar homes on Nantucket." Between 2030 and 2100, the number of structures exposed to coastal erosion is expected to go from 113 to 860. "Without erosion, this would be an extremely valuable area," Baxter Road resident Joshua Posner told BI. "It's not inexpensive, but it is worth doing," Posner told BI.

Persons: Steve Schwarzman, Eric Schmidt, Barry Sternlicht, Elizabeth Gibson, David L, Ryan, Bruce Percelay, Edward Sanford's, he'd, Percelay, Greg Mckechnie, you'd, Barry Sternlicht's, Suzanne Kreiter, Shelly Lockwood, who's, I'm, Joshua Posner, Jack Welch, Bill Belichick, —, Sanford, Lockwood, Nature, Yorker Brendan Maddigan, Maddigan, Mckechnie, Schwarzman, She's, Posner, he's, Helmut Weymar, Anne Atherton Organizations: Resilience, Business, Boston Globe, Getty, Estate, Nantucket, Coastal, Nantucket's Cisco, Cisco, Beach, Patriots, Yorker, Preservation Fund, Baxter, Conservation, Conservancy, The New York Times, Conservation Commission, Nature Locations: Nantucket, England, Cape Cod, Nantucket's, Madaket, Sconset, Brant, Baxter

☆ CNBC's Inside India newsletter: The secret of the stock market rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-23 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

This report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. "This particular product, and broadly speaking, the domestic investor, has driven the upsurge in the Indian stock markets," Mahesh Nandurkar, head of India research at Jefferies, told CNBC. For instance, of the nearly 4,900 actively traded India-listed stocks, 300 stocks had a fall in revenue in the last two consecutive financial years. Foreign investors have historically had a significant influence on local equity markets. For now, the savings directed into equity markets are still a tiny proportion of the overall savings Indians put away annually.

Persons: it's, Mahesh Nandurkar, Hermes, Jonathan Pines, Deepak Jasani, Jefferies, Nandurkar Organizations: Association for Mutual Funds, SBI Equity, Opportunities, ICICI Prudential, Advantage Fund, Jefferies, CNBC, Federated Hermes, HDFC Securities Locations: India, Japan

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Macy's, Lowe's, Peloton, Zoom Video and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Macy's — The department store operator added about 3% after beating earnings estimates for the first quarter and raising its full-year outlook. AutoZone reported revenue of $4.24 billion while analysts polled by FactSet forecast $4.29 billion. XPeng — Shares gained 5% after the Chinese electric vehicle firm beat first-quarter estimates on the top and bottom line. The company reported revenue of 25.6 billion yuan, a 38.6% decrease from the fourth quarter of 2023. Zoom Video — Shares slipped nearly 3% even after the video conferencing company reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue for the first quarter.

Persons: Macy's, Lowe's, XPeng, Baird, David Koning, billings, Li Auto, Paul Lejuez, Wall, LSEG, — CNBC's Michelle Fox, Sarah Min, Jesse Pound Organizations: FactSet, Palo Alto Networks, —, Technologies, Lam Research, Citi Locations: Keysight

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Peloton, Lam Research, Lowe's, AstraZeneca and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Lowe's — The home improvement stock fell 2.9% despite the company posting a first-quarter earnings and revenue beat. By comparison, analysts surveyed by FactSet had penciled in $1.45 in earnings per share on $1.21 billion in revenue. XPeng — U.S-listed shares jumped nearly 5% after the Chinese EV company topped first-quarter estimates for revenue and said it anticipates a rise in quarterly deliveries. AutoZone reported $4.24 billion in revenue for the quarter, below the $4.29 billion expected by analysts, according to FactSet. Sprout Social — Shares dropped 4% after Sprout Social responded to a Reuters report, citing sources familiar, that said its founders are in talks to take the social media strategy company private.

Persons: Lam, Macy's, Tony Spring, Marvin Ellison, BlackLine, FactSet, Keysight, AutoZone, Li Auto, Li, Yun Li, Jesse Pound, Sarah Min, Alex Harring, Lisa Han, Samantha Subin Organizations: AstraZeneca — U.S, Traffic Safety Administration, Dell Technologies, Citi, Baird, Palo Alto Networks, Keysight, EV, Reuters, Li Auto Locations: billings, —

☆ We're in the era of heat pumps — a market that experts say is 'set to skyrocket'
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

This old technology getting some fresh attention is a trend investors may not want to miss: Heat pumps. Heat pumps provide both air conditioning and heat — all in one device. Heat pumps could play a viable role in this regard," Muhedini said in a research note last week. The DOE also runs a Residential Cold Climate Heat Pump Technology Challenge , which is partnered with Trane, Carrier, and Johnson Controls, among other leading heat pump makers. In the chemicals sector, companies that produce more eco-friendly refrigerants for heat pumps could one day reap the benefits of recent legislation in the U.S. that will ban next year the production of heat pumps that use refrigerants with high levels of global warming potential.

Persons: hasn't, They're, William Thompson, Amantia, Muhedini, Thompson, Johnson, Jefferies, Stephen Volkmann, Trane, Andrew Kaplowitz, Deane Dray, Dray, Lennox, Owens, It's, they've, Nestle Organizations: UBS, McKinsey, Barclays, United Nations, UN, International Energy Agency, Johnson Controls, Carrier, Solutions, Citi, Wednesday, U.S . Department, DOE, Trane, RBC Capital, Johnson, Companies, Rockwell Automation, Honeywell International, Arkema, Unilever Locations: industrials, U.S, Paris, Trane, Monday's, Spain, Switzerland

Jefferies upgraded MercadoLibre to buy and raised its price target on the stock. Asiya Merchant kept her buy rating and and hiked up her price target by $45 to $170, which suggests shares could jump 16.9% from Monday's close. Nodding to the stock's strong recent performance, analyst David Koning downgraded Toast shares to neutral and maintained his $28 price target. Analyst Kashy Harrison downgraded the stock to neutral from overweight and lowered his price target to $4.50 from $9, implying 8.4% upside. He also raised his price target to $2,100 from $1,400, implying upside of about 20% over the next 12 months.

Persons: Jefferies, Piper Sandler, Asiya Merchant, Merchant, Dell, — Pia Singh, Baird, David Koning, Koning, Morgan Stanley, Chan, TSMC, Piper Sandler downgrades, Kashy Harrison, Harrison, Alex Wright, Wright, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Sunnova Energy, Citi, Dell, Citi Research, TAM, Taiwan Semiconductor, Nvidia, Energy, NOVA, Jefferies Locations: America, Monday's, Kong, securitizations

☆ Roaring Kitty's tweet sent GameStop spiking. The company's cofounder shares his outlook on where the stock is headed and advises hedge funds on how to navigate it.
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

There's no sense in this, said Gary Kusin, the cofounder of Babbage, the company to which GameStop traces its roots. Imagine if Taylor Swift's brand or company went public, and all the Swifties bought stock, the shares would be overvalued. What Wall Street doesn't understand is that there are Swifties in the video game industry. "If I worked on Wall Street, I would find some other stocks and some other places to go; I wouldn't touch GameStop." And I believe that's exactly what's ailing Wall Street right now," Kusin said.

Persons: Michael Burry, Keith Gill, Gary Kusin, Babbage, Kusin, It's, Taylor, Swifties, Shorting, doesn't, Citron, Brooks, Macy's Organizations: GameStop, Melvin Capital Management, Technology, S3 Partners

☆ Cramer warns against 'meme stock mania,' says to sell GameStop and AMC
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer said investors should get out of stocks like GameStop and AMC , both of which saw huge rallies this week triggered by social media. "When I see meme stock mania taking over again, led by GameStop and AMC, I need to remind you that this is irrational," he said. AMC and GameStop soared after "Roaring Kitty," the man who helped bring on 2021's enormous GameStop short squeeze, posted online for the first time in about three years. To Cramer, GameStop is overvalued compared to its peer electronic retailers. GameStop and AMC did not respond immediately to requests for comment.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer Organizations: GameStop, AMC

☆ Cramer's Lightning Round: Don't buy MicroStrategy
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon AllianceBernstein's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Confluent's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon MicroStrategy's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon AeroVironment's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Albemarle's year-to-date stock performance.

Persons: I'm, We've, AeroVironment, Sterling Organizations: Sterling Infrastructure

☆ Lightning Round: Nu Skin is an overvalued stock, says Jim Cramer
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLightning Round: Nu Skin is an overvalued stock, says Jim Cramer'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer weighs in on stock including: AllianceBernstein, Cardinal Health, Confluent, Pure Storage, Microstrategy, AeroVironment, Sterling Infrastructure, Nu Skin, Oracle, and Albemarle.

Persons: Jim Cramer Organizations: Cardinal, Sterling Infrastructure, Oracle Locations: Albemarle

☆ Warren Buffett's selling stocks like Apple as he sees trouble ahead — but he'll spend if markets crash: elite strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-12 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewWarren Buffett is cashing in stocks like Apple because he knows the good times won't last — but he'll spend big once disaster strikes, a veteran strategist says. AdvertisementThe conglomerate's disposals fueled a $21 billion increase in its stack of cash and Treasurys to a record $189 billion. Related storiesDietrich underscored that as a value investor, Buffett prizes underpriced assets and avoids expensive ones. Apple, which remains Buffett's largest stock holding by far, has more than tripled in value since he finished building the position in 2018.

Persons: —, Warren Buffett, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, Buffett, Dietrich, He's, Jeff Bezos, Jamie Dimon, Meta's Mark Zuckerberg, he'll, Goldman Sachs, Davidson Organizations: Service, Apple, Business, Berkshire Hathaway, Berkshire, Walmart, downturns, Electric, Dow Chemical Locations: Berkshire

☆ Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller trimmed his Nvidia bet after huge gains, said AI is a 'little overhyped' at this point
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Stanley Druckenmiller told CNBC he pared some of his Nvidia exposure in late March. The investor is confident in the stock's worth, but sees market enthusiasm in AI as overhyped for now. But AI will be a long-term play to pursue over the years, with a big payoff down the road. Nvidia, a semiconductor company, has become central to emerging AI technology,with most of the software run by the firm's chips. Over the past year Druckenmiller has also held exposure to AI large-caps such as Microsoft and Alphabet.

Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, —, he's, ChatGPT, Druckenmiller, We've Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Service, Duquesne Family Office, Microsoft

☆ Inside the Growing Alarm Over Blackstone's BREIT Real-Estate Fund
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Bethany Mclean | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +23 min

Investors in Blackstone's real-estate fund asked for their money back in droves — more than $15 billion to date. Unless the real-estate market comes roaring back, analysts warn, BREIT could end up shrinking to a fraction of its current size, leaving the fund's investors holding the bag. Only 3% of BREIT's holdings are in office buildings, which have been ground zero for commercial real estate pain. Advertisement"Not all real estate is created equal," BREIT boasted in a recent letter to stockholders, "and where you invest matters." "Commercial real estate is a slow burn," Brian Moynihan, the CEO of Bank of America, recently observed.

Persons: Blackstone, —, BREIT, REITs, Steve Schwarzman, Jeenah, Nate Koppikar, Craig McCann, BREIT's, Chilton, McCann, McCann, Horacio Villalobos, That's, Donald Trump, Robert Chang, Schwarzman, Michael Blackshire, Phil Bak, Stephen Schwarzman, Shannon Stapleton, Brian Moynihan, it's, It's Organizations: BREIT, Orso Partners, Securities Exchange Commission, Blackstone, SEC, Chilton Capital Management, SLCG Economics Consulting, Publicly, University of California, Regents, Armada Investors, Reuters, Bank of America Locations: BREIT, Lisbon, Fideres

☆ May will be a month that determines how returns for the year will look: NYU's Aswath Damodaran
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMay will be a month that determines how returns for the year will look: NYU's Aswath DamodaranAswath Damodaran, NYU professor of finance, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss whether big tech is overvalued, his market outlook, and more.

Persons: Damodaran Organizations: NYU

☆ These 5 stocks are perfect examples of a time-tested strategy that can outperform in any market, according to a stock-picker whose ETF beat 90% of its peers in its first full year
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The Copenhagen-based firm subadvises funds like the Harbor International Compounders ETF (OSEA), which O'Reilly has co-managed since its launch in early September 2022. But despite launching less than two years ago, O'Reilly said in a recent interview that the ETF's success didn't happen overnight. "We feel the strategy that we have can work in any market environment," O'Reilly said. The ETF is more balanced when it comes to countries, as no more than 13% of its stocks are from a single nation. 5 international stocks to buy nowAfter outlining his investing strategy, O'Reilly spoke about five companies he's especially excited about now.

Persons: Peter O'Reilly, who's, O'Reilly, You've, he's, Germany — Organizations: London, Asset Management, Business, Carnegie Asset Management Locations: Ireland, Dublin, Copenhagen, France, Japan, United Kingdom, Germany

☆ Stocks could have further to fall in May after this month’s market woes
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 is down by more than 3% this month, though it has still registered a more than 6% advance for the year. But many investors worry stocks have further to go before finding a durable bottom. They say stocks look overvalued even after the recent pullback, and they cite troubling headwinds for equities. 'Sell in May and go away' May has a reputation as a historically weak month for stocks. Carson Group's Ryan Detrick noted that stocks have actually been higher in May during the last nine out of 10 years.

Persons: Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Jeff Hirsch, he's, It's, Hirsch, Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, we've Organizations: Investors, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Treasury Bond ETF

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