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☆ Bringing manufacturing back to the US is a $10 trillion opportunity for the economy, Morgan Stanley says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Morgan Stanley estimated that bringing manufacturing back to the US could add $10 trillion to the economy. The bank pointed to a 20-year stagnation of the industrial economy as production was sent offshore. AdvertisementThe US economy could unlock trillions in value over the next decade if more manufacturing activity comes back to the US, according to Morgan Stanley. The Biden administration, meanwhile, has poured billions into its push to increase chip production in the US and boost the manufacturing and industrial sectors. The cumulative effects could be "pretty profound" across the US economy, Snyder said, with the boost to industry and manufacturing bound to raise GDP.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, —, Chris Snyder, Snyder, Morgan Stanley's, Trump, Biden Organizations: Service, Biden, of Supply Management, Commerce Department, Economic

☆ The Fed is done cutting rates this year as the 'phantom recession' is finally dead, market vet says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The Fed is done cutting interest rates for the rest of the year, according to Ed Yardeni. Fears of a recession have been almost completely eliminated, the market vet said in a note. The no-show Fed-triggered recession will remain a no-show, especially now that the Fed has started to lower the FFR even though it isn't warranted by the performance of the economy," Yardeni wrote. I think it broadens out from the Magnificent Seven to the S&P 493," Yardeni added, speaking to Bloomberg on Monday. "We're going to have another quarter where I think earnings will go to a record-high in the third quarter."

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, —, landers, they're Organizations: Service, Reserve, Yardeni, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Services, Institution of Supply Management, Atlanta Fed, Fed, Bloomberg, Investor

☆ The economy is in an industrial recession and higher oil prices could spark a full downturn, Wall Street economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The US is in an industrial recession, according to Piper Sandler economist Jake Oubina. A spike in oil prices could be enough to tip the economy into a full recession, Oubina added. But in general, the economy's showing an industrial recession," Oubina said in an interview with Fox Business on Tuesday. AdvertisementThe economy could slip into a broader recession if there's a spike in oil and energy prices, Oubina added. "Oil prices spiking, energy prices spiking in the past, have been enough to tip the economy from a slowing into a recession.

Persons: Piper Sandler, Jake Oubina, —, That's, Oubina, Brent Organizations: Service, Institute of Supply Management, Fox Business, Atlanta Fed, Bank of America Locations: Iran, Israel

☆ 45 unfairly punished stocks primed for a revival: Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

During the sell-off, strategists at Goldman Sachs recommended buying the dip in US stocks, albeit carefully, as they reiterated their year-end S&P 500 price target of 5,600. Economically sensitive stocks have lagged defensives by at least 5 percentage points in a single week 12 times since 2000, according to Goldman Sachs. "Despite the weak jobs report, our economists believe continued economic expansion is far more likely than recession," Kostin wrote. Goldman Sachs found that those micro factors explained 86% of stock returns in the first half of 2024, versus the long-term average of 57%. Fewer worries about the near-term economic outlook mean stocks will no longer trade in lockstep — a win for active investors.

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, abate, lockstep — Organizations: Service, Goldman, Business, Institute of Supply, Walmart Locations: Japan, lockstep, Monday's

☆ Gold little changed as traders seek more data for Fed rate cues
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices were little changed on Monday as traders awaited more U.S. economic data this week, after recent data showed that inflation stabilized and lifted hopes for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates later this year. Gold prices were little changed on Monday as traders awaited more U.S. economic data this week, after recent data showed that inflation stabilized and lifted hopes for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates later this year. "Gold is getting a little bit of support after the marginally softer than expected Personal Consumption Expenditures numbers supported the notion that the Fed can cut rates this year," Rodda said. Data on Friday showed that the U.S. inflation had stabilized in April, raising bets for a rate cut in September. Spot gold may break support at $2,319 per ounce, and fall towards $2,302, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

Persons: Bullion, Kyle Rodda, Rodda, Wang Tao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Capital.com, Institute of Supply, PMI, Traders Locations: .

☆ Markets are underestimating the potential for an economic slowdown, and 'greedflation' won't help investors anymore, Societe Generale says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-11 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewInvestors are underestimating the risk of an economic slowdown, and "greedflation" among companies can't prop up the market any longer, Société Générale said in a note this week. Firms hiking prices likely helped avoid a deeper slump in profits stemming from a slowing economy, Société Générale strategist Albert Edwards said. "The Greedflation driven surge in margins helped stop the profits slowdown turning into a deep downturn. A recession still poses a decent risk to the economy, though investors have warmed up to the prospect of a soft-landing.

Persons: —, Société Générale, they're, Société, Albert Edwards, Greedflation, Edwards, –, Evercore, quant, Andrew Lapthorne, David Rosenberg Organizations: Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, New, Fed, Institute of Supply, Evercore ISI

LONDON/HONG KONG, July 4 (Reuters) - Global stocks held steady on Tuesday, as investors balanced the inflationary force of rising oil prices with hopes that central banks would not over-tighten monetary policy into a potential recession. Earlier in the session, Australia's central bank held interest rates steady at 4.1%, saying it needed time to assess the economic impact of its rate hikes so far. Complicating the outlook for inflation, oil prices rose on Tuesday as markets weighed supply cuts for August by top producers Saudi Arabia and Russia. Brent crude futures climbed 0.6% to $75.09 a barrel, with West Texas Intermediate crude adding the same amount to $70.23. "At least the improved supply-demand imbalance seems to be having an effect on price pressures," Capital Economics global economist Ariane Curtis said.

Persons: Europe's, Brent, Ariane Curtis, Curtis, Manishi Raychaudhuri, Raychaudhuri, Schatz, Paul Volcker, Ankur Banerjee, Sam Holmes, Himani Sarkar, Alex Richardson Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Wall, West Texas, Institute of Supply Management, Economics, Asia, BNP Paribas, Treasury, Independence, U.S, Fed, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, Saudi Arabia, Russia, U.S, Singapore

☆ White House hails the end of the supply chain nightmare
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —White House officials on Thursday hailed the unclogging of supply chains and suggested that further easing of bottlenecks will help cool inflation. “Critical supply chains are significantly more fluid and resilient than they were when the President took office,” White House officials wrote in a supply chain scorecard shared first with CNN. The traffic jam of vessels backed up ports, once a symbol of the supply chain crisis, has all but disappeared. The White House economists said it is a “positive development for consumers” and struck a hopeful tone it will continue. The blog post said there is a high correlation between producer prices and supply chain pressures, suggesting the easing in supply chain pressure may continue to cool inflation.

Persons: ”, Biden, Biden’s, ” Lael Brainard, ” Torsten Slok, “ Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, CNN, National Economic Council, Consumers, IRI, Shipping, New York Federal, Apollo Global Management, Defense, EV, White House Council, Economic Advisers, Institute of Supply, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, Ukraine

☆ Billionaire bond investor Jeffrey Gundlach dials up his warning of a US recession, pointing to signs of falling demand
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

"Bond King" Jeffrey Gundlach warned that a US recession is imminent, pointing to signs of weakening demand. "It's pretty clear that we have the look of soon to be at the front end of a recession," the billionaire investor said. Gundlach has consistently rang the alarm on an oncoming downturn as the economy faces a raft of headwinds. "It's pretty clear that we have the look of soon to be at the front end of a recession," Gundlach said. This is not the first time Gundlach, often called "Bond King" for his success in fixed-income investing, has warned of a oncoming US recession.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, —, David Rosenberg, that's Organizations: Service, Privacy, DoubleLine, CNBC, Deutsche Bank, Institute of Supply Management, Federal Reserve

Nestle (NESN.S) and Hershey (HSY.N) said they paid the LID premium. But when the COVID pandemic cratered demand, global cocoa prices plunged before they built up a cushion. Ivory Coast and Ghana say companies should pay both premiums. Industry data from the International Cocoa Organisation (ICCO) shows cocoa output in Ivory Coast rose to record levels in the 2020/21 season. Of the roughly 2 million tonnes of cocoa Ivory Coast produces each year, between 20-30% is grown illegally in protected forests by an estimated 1.3 million people, many of them children.

☆ Stock futures tick lower on Thursday night: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-02 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stock futures inched downward on Thursday night as investors pondered the Federal Reserve's rate-hiking path in light of fresh commentary from central bank speakers. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.15% and 0.21%, respectively. The S&P 500 is up 0.28%, while the Nasdaq has a 0.60% gain. The road ahead is a tough one for the central bank, regardless of the messaging they're relaying to the public. Investors will also listen for further commentary from central bank officials, including Fed Governor Michelle Bowman and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin.

☆ Dow tumbles 483 points as economic data strengthens the case for more Fed hawkishness
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-05 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The Dow more than 500 points as traders flinched at new data that made a case for the Fed to stay hawkish. ISM services sector data for November turned higher, and factory orders increased in October. Survey data from the Institution of Supply Management showed that services sector activity picked up last month, with a reading of 56.5, up from 54.4 in October. Meanwhile, data from the Commerce Department showed that factory orders were up 1% in October, beating expectations for an increase of 0.7%. Here's where US indexes stood after the 4 p.m. closing bell on Monday:Here's what else happened today:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:

☆ Futures fall as investors await more data before Fed meet
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SummarySummary Companies Futures down: Dow 0.41%, S&P 0.44%, Nasdaq 0.28%Dec 5 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures fell on Monday as investors awaited more data, including a report on the services sector, to gauge the Federal Reserve's next move at its rate-setting meeting later this month. But near the end of the week, equities lost some momentum after November's robust U.S. payrolls report challenged hopes for a less aggressive Fed. Investors see a 91% chance that the U.S. central bank will increase the interest rates by 50 basis points next week, with the rates peaking in May 2023. ET, Dow e-minis were down 139 points, or 0.4%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 17.75 points, or 0.44%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 33.75 points, or 0.28%. Reuters reported China was set to announce the further easing of some of the world's toughest COVID curbs as early as Wednesday.

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