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The outcome of November's presidential election could have major implications for some popular technology stocks. Meanwhile, a victory by Vice President Kamala Harris may lead to tighter AI regulations focused on safety, ethics and protecting consumers. AI chip giant Nvidia is another likely winner in both split scenarios and a Republican sweep. Heightened antitrust controls over Google and its local search monopoly in a Democrat sweep and split Harris government should also benefit shares of Yelp down 27% this year. Republican sweep Raymond James views Salesforce as a potential big winner in a Republican sweep, noting that "more favorable" corporate tax rates should benefit cyclical software names.
Persons: Raymond James, Donald Trump, Trump, Ed Mills, Kamala Harris, Mills, Harris, Melissa Fairbanks, John Davis, Andrew Marok, bode, Salesforce, Davis, Datadog, Adam Tindle, Josh Beck Organizations: Democrat, Veeva Systems, Flex, Visa, Democratic, Republican, Trump, Republican Senate, Microsoft, Nvidia, Verizon, U.S, Google, Apple, Texas, Intel, Qualcomm, Apollo Global Management, Arista Networks Locations: China, Washington, outperformance, Saudi Arabia, Yelp
Amazon , Meta Platforms and Apple are eating away at Microsoft's once-sizable lead in the heated artificial intelligence arms race, according to D.A. Early investments in ChatGPT creator OpenAI gave Microsoft the first-mover advantage in the AI race. Davidson analysts praised Amazon, Meta, and Apple as their top three. AMZN YTD mountain Amazon YTD In particular, D.A. META YTD mountain Meta Platforms YTD As for Meta, the Club sees potential in how AI helps boost user engagement with its chatbot baked into Facebook, WhatsApp and Instagram.
Persons: Davidson, Jim Cramer, Jim, it's, Gross, OpenAI, Copilot, That's, D.A, Mike Sievert, Jim Cramer's, Adam Gray Organizations: Microsoft, Big Tech, D.A, Apple, Club, Services, AWS, Amazon, Meta, Facebook, Mobile, Apple Intelligence, CNBC, Getty Locations: Microsoft's, Redmond, Washington, D.A, San Francisco, New York City
All of our Super Six megacaps were higher, even Club stock Apple was pushing to stay in the green after getting mixed reviews on Monday's iPhone 16 event. That's an interesting line because you could argue that Starbucks needs to pullback its aggressive expansion plans in the world's second-largest economy. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Daniel Pinto, Pinto, JPMorgan's, else's, Jamie Dimon, Wells, Morgan Stanley, ramping, Brian Niccol, Niccol, Buster's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Apple, JPMorgan, Barclays Global Financial Services Conference, Dow, Starbucks, The Club, GameStop, Dave, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Banks, U.S, United States, China
However, given that September has historically been the worst month of the year for the market, we're layering in some technical analysis to identify some buy levels. We published our prior buy levels analysis on June 26. Clearly, we should have been a bit more conservative in our buy levels, however, in our defense shares only traded below $162 for two days. However, we must be mindful that a move there would once again mean we've broken below the 200-day moving average. Below that and we're looking for the 200-day moving average to hold at around $89 apiece.
Persons: we're, we've, that's, wouldn't, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Mark Zuckerberg, Emily Chang, Jason Henry Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, Club, CNBC, Meta, Inc, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Menlo Park , California
CNBC Daily Open: Wall Street soars; Starbucks ousts CEO
  + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Wall Street soarsWall Street rose after producer prices came in softer than expected, raising hopes of a rate cut. Starbucks ousts CEOStarbucks surprised investors by replacing CEO Laxman Narasimhan with Chipotle CEO Brian Niccol, driving Starbucks' stock up more than 24% while Chipotle fell as much as 10%. Under Narasimhan's tenure, Starbucks' performance has struggled, marked by weak sales in the U.S. and China, its two largest markets. The latest inflation data strengthens the market's expectations of an interest rate cut at the Fed's September meeting.
Persons: Laxman Narasimhan, Brian Niccol, Chipotle, Niccol, Richard McPhail Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Treasury, Starbucks, Google, Gemini, Federal Reserve, PPI Locations: New York City, U.S, China
—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: DVN, Katie Stockton Organizations: Devon Energy, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: Devon
S&P 500 futures bounced in overnight trading after the broad index notched its worst day in nearly two years as global markets sold off. Futures tied to the S&P 500 rose 0.9%, while Nasdaq 100 futures rallied 1.2%. The 30-stock Dow dropped 1,033.99 points, or 2.6%, while the S&P 500 slid 3%. These fears spilled over into global markets, with Japan's Nikkei 225 index registering its worst daily decline since Black Monday in 1987. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq are down 5%, 6% and 8% respectively in three days, their worst 3-day performance in more than two years.
Persons: Dow, Quincy Krosby, LPL, Tesla, It's, Keith Lerner, Truist's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Futures, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, Bank of Japan, Nvidia, Apple, VanEck Semiconductor, Traders, Palantir Technologies, Lucid Group Locations: New York City
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Nvidia pulled back 7% and Microsoft fell 0.9% during the normal session before reporting earnings after the bell. Still, Microsoft beat estimates as quarterly revenue increased 15% from a year ago to $64.73 billion and net income rose to $22.04 billion. Starbucks missStarbucks' quarterly revenue slid 1% to $9.11 billion, missing forecasts as same-store sales declined for the second straight quarter. Net income fell to $1.05 billion from $1.14 billion a year ago, though it met analysts' expectations.
Persons: Tamas Varga, PVM, Tom Lee Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Big Tech, Nasdaq, megacaps Meta, Apple, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Microsoft, Fed, Microsoft Microsoft, West Texas Intermediate, Brent Locations: New York City, U.S, China
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Nvidia pulled back 7% and Microsoft fell 0.9% during the normal session before reporting earnings after the bell. Still, Microsoft beat estimates as quarterly revenue increased 15% from a year ago to $64.73 billion and net income rose to $22.04 billion. Starbucks missStarbucks' quarterly revenue slid 1% to $9.11 billion, missing forecasts as same-store sales declined for the second straight quarter. The South Korean tech giant said sales of high-end memory chips used in servers will continue to be strong.
Organizations: CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, New York City . Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal, Bank of, Nasdaq, megacaps Meta, Apple, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Microsoft, Fed, Microsoft Microsoft, Bank of Japan, Nikkei, Seng, Samsung, Samsung Electronics, Revenue, South, Reading, Fed Stock, Federal Reserve Locations: New York City, Bank of Japan, U.S, China, Shanghai
CNBC's Jim Cramer said Monday the recent reshuffling on Wall Street is about more than a resurgence in small-cap stocks. "This market is not experiencing a smallcap rally, it's experiencing a rally in everything else but the tech titans. Cramer suggested the market isn't being led solely by a few smaller-cap companies that are performing well. Instead, he said, large institutions may be buying poor quality small stocks "as part of a larger basket" with indexes like the Russell 2000 or the S&P Small Cap 600. There are also larger companies that have seen huge gains recently as part of the market broadening, he said, such as McDonald's .
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Russell, Wall, McDonald's Organizations: titans
On Friday, the tech-heavy S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite ended the week with losses, down 0.8% and 2.1%, respectively. However, the bulk of Magnificent Seven results is set for release in the week ahead. As it is, all seven of the Magnificent Seven companies closed out the week with losses. FOMC meeting, July jobs report Elsewhere, investors will also be reviewing the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision set for release on Wednesday. Traders will also get insight into the labor market next week, with the release of the July jobs report on Friday.
Persons: Russell, Ryan Grabinski, John Belton, Tesla, Belton, FactSet, Stanley Black, Decker, Lam, Kraft Heinz, Ingersoll Rand Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Microsoft, Facebook, Apple, Nvidia, 2H, 3Q, Gabelli, Traders, Dallas Fed, Semiconductor, Nation Entertainment, Electronic Arts, Starbucks, Match Group, Caesars Entertainment, Corning, Howmet Aerospace, Procter, Gamble, Pfizer, Merck, Co, PayPal, ADP, Civilian Workers, Chicago PMI, MGM Resorts International, Allstate, Lam Research, eBay, Qualcomm, Western, Cruise Line Holdings, Hess, Boeing, Mobile, Marriott International, GE Healthcare Technologies, Generac Holdings, Mastercard, Labor, PMI, Manufacturing, Intel, Holdings, Motorola Solutions, Technology, Air Products, Chemicals, Jobs, Exxon Mobil, Chevron Locations: Chicago, Albemarle, Kellanova, Hershey, Moderna
Nasdaq futures fell after Alphabet and Tesla reported earnings. Tesla auto revenue dropsTesla's second-quarter earnings fell short of expectations as automotive sales declined for the second consecutive quarter. YouTube's ad revenue fell short of estimates amid increased competition from platforms like TikTok. GM skidsGeneral Motors' beat second-quarter earnings estimates but shares fell 6% as it restructures its struggling autonomous vehicles and Chinese business. RBC Capital Markets' Tom Narayan highlighted GM's expectation that second-half earnings will be $2.5 billion lower than in the first half.
Persons: Tesla, Ruth Porat, Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Tom Narayan Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Tesla, GM, General, RBC Capital Markets, United Parcel Service, UPS, Barclays, CNBC Pro Locations: New York City, U.S, Waymo
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Monday told investors how a possible Kamala Harris administration might affect the market, suggesting her policies would be better for megacaps and international outfits. "If you own many stocks of international companies and you want to vote your portfolio, Harris is more likely to help than hurt. After President Joe Biden bowed out of the 2024 race, he backed Vice President Harris for the Democratic nomination. According to Cramer, Biden seemed to hold the belief that "big business is bad business," but Harris may have a "more nuanced approach." Cramer said he could see Harris having close communication with Big Tech leaders.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Kamala Harris, Biden, Harris, Joe Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Gavin Newsom, Cramer, Donald Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Ohio, Vance, bode Organizations: Trump, Democratic, Big Tech, Taiwan Semiconductor, Republicans Locations: Washington, California, America
Vice President Kamala Harris is a better candidate for Wall Street and the stock market than President Joe Biden, CNBC's Jim Cramer said Monday. Biden on Sunday ended his struggling re-election campaign and threw his support behind Harris to replace him at the top of Democratic ticket in the race against Republican nominee Donald Trump. Harris as the Democratic nominee would "absolutely" be a net positive for the stock market and American business compared with Biden, Cramer said on "Squawk on the Street." Cramer contended that Harris has a more sophisticated view on business issues than Biden, particularly on the technology industry. "This whole idea that she's a clone of his, it's just completely wrong," Cramer added.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Biden, Harris, Donald Trump, Harris —, , Cramer, it's Organizations: Wall, Sunday, Democratic, Republican, Biden, Apple, Google, Meta Locations: California, Harris
AI's trillion dollar time bomb
  + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Jasmine Wu | Laura Batchelor | Deirdre Bosa | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAI's trillion dollar time bombThere's a time bomb ticking in the AI space: spending is too high, and returns are too low. Megacaps like Meta, Google and Amazon have seen capex spending surge as they throw cash at building out the infrastructure to stay ahead of the AI game. Microsoft in particular has spent billions at a premium valuation, and shelled out $13 billion investing in OpenAI while Apple was reportedly able to secure a partnership with the startup darling for free just 18 months later. That could be a warning for the broader AI space, as experts sound the alarm on the widening gap between what companies are spending on AI, and what they're getting back from it.
Persons: Apple, they're Organizations: Google, Microsoft
As megacaps continue to decline, CNBC's Jim Cramer said he remains optimistic about their prospects in the long run. "You just need to get over the hump, a hump that periodically scares people out of this whole asset class." Cramer said he always encourages investors take profits on winners when they can, otherwise it's possible to "get obliterated." And owning losers can feel more difficult than owning winners because it's more obvious why the latter might be on the decline, he added. Cramer said the arguments against these stocks are "for real," but similar to what has been said about them for years.
Persons: megacaps, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Eli Lilly Organizations: Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla
Jim Cramer explains how to trade Thursday's tech sell-off
  + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
After buyers fled from Big Tech on Thursday, CNBC's Jim Cramer advised investors to take advantage of the rotation but beware that it may not last long. It's historically broadened things out, and tomorrow you'll get another chance to make money with today's winners," he said. "But if interest rates stop going down, and stop going down hard, then please do not overstay your welcome." The move was propelled by a low consumer price index reading, fueling Wall Street's hopes that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. Housing and industrial stocks such as Home Depot and Caterpillar saw a boost as they stand to benefit from lower rates.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, you'll, Cramer Organizations: Big Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Federal Reserve, Depot, Caterpillar
Stocks could be due for a pullback this summer given high second-quarter earnings growth expectations, according to Citi. In the second quarter, S & P 500 companies are expected to post a year-over-year earnings growth rate of 8.8%, according to a FactSet estimate. That is a forecast Chronert said is "probably a reach," especially for the 493 S & P 500 companies outside of Nvidia and the megacaps. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Last week, Chronert was among several strategists on the Street to hike their S & P 500 year-end target on the strength of a handful of megacap tech stocks that have carried the broader index to all-time highs. According to a CNBC Pro survey , strategists on a median basis anticipate the S & P 500 will rise to just 5,500 by the end of the year.
Persons: Scott Chronert, Chronert, CNBC's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Citi, Nvidia, ISI, CNBC
Stock futures hovered near the flatline Tuesday evening after the S&P 500 rebounded from a rough start to the week. S&P 500 futures hovered pulled back 0.03, while Nasdaq 100 futures hovered near the flatline. In Tuesday's regular trading, both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite ended three days of declines, buoyed by a bounce in Nvidia shares. The artificial intelligence darling's market cap gives it tremendous sway over the S&P 500, and its 154% surge in 2024 has raised concerns over a lack of breadth in this year's rally. "We look for the market to broaden out, but it's not necessarily a binary choice between megacaps and smaller caps, but more bias going forward to looking at these other companies in the S&P 500."
Persons: Dow, Paul Hickey, CNBC's, it's, General Mills Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, FedEx, Rivian Automotive, Volkswagen, Nvidia, Investment Group, Federal, Micron Technology Locations: Paychex
While most of the S & P 500 has reported first quarter earnings, three notable names — where the options trade quite actively — have yet to report. Signs of improvement in this area showed up with their last earnings report on March 11th. The stock was flat when they reported earnings in June of 2023, but it fell double digits when they reported in September and December last year. ORCL YTD mountain Oracle, Year-to-date A more cautious approach to a bullish bet on Oracle could be to buy call options. One could offset a portion of this cost (and the volatility crush that generally follows an earnings report) by selling a June 14th weekly $130 call.
Persons: aren't Organizations: Oracle, Oracle Corp, Broadcom Inc, Adobe Inc, Broadcom, Adobe, Gamestop, Microsoft, Amazon, AWS, Morningstar
The Wall Street investment bank analyzed the holdings of 707 hedge funds with $2.7 trillion of gross equity positions at the start of the second quarter. Goldman found that hedge funds added to under-the-radar winners across the entire AI universe, particularly players in infrastructure, including Marvell Technology , TD Synnex , AES Corporation and Littelfuse . Copper miner Freeport-McMoRan and solar tracking company Nextracker, both involved in AI's power production, also saw increased popularity among hedge funds. Hedge funds also trimmed positions in other megacap stocks benefiting from the AI enthusiasm, including Microsoft , Meta Platforms and Amazon . Apple was the exception in the so-called " Magnificent Seven " group — hedge funds added exposure to the Tim Cook-led iPhone maker, according to Goldman.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Ben Snider, Tim Cook Organizations: Marvell Technology, AES Corporation, Littelfuse, Walgreens Boots Alliance, American, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Apple Locations: Freeport, McMoRan
The Big Tech earnings next week could revive a flagging market, or at least give investors direction into where stocks are going from here. Wall Street is hoping next week's megacap tech results will give investors insight into where the artificial intelligence trade is going from here, as a bounce in tech could lift the indexes. They're also hoping a slew consumer commentary will give investors insight into the state of the economy. However, he said any pullback in the tech names could give investors an opening to start "nibbling away" at additional exposure. Personal Income 10 a.m. Michigan Sentiment NSA final Earnings: T. Rowe Price Group , Colgate-Palmolive , Exxon Mobil , Chevron , AbbVie , Phillips 66
Persons: Tesla, They're, Kim Forrest, Elon Musk, Emily Leveille, Scott Ladner, Ladner, Horizon's Ladner, FactSet, Baker Hughes, Philip Morris, Lockheed Martin, Raymond James Financial, Rowe Price, Phillips Organizations: Big Tech, Google, Microsoft, Bokeh, Nasdaq, Investors, Deutsche Bank, Reuters, Thornburg Investment Management, Meta, Consumer, Visa, Chicago, Verizon Communications, Ameriprise, Truist, PMI, New, Richmond Fed, Enphase, Tesla, NextEra, Philip Morris International, Halliburton, United Parcel Service, PepsiCo, Lockheed, Raytheon Technologies, GE Aerospace, Grill, Business Machines, Lam Research, Ford Motor, Technology, Waste Management, Universal Health Services, Raymond, Boeing, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Mobile, Capital, Financial Corp, Intel, Western Digital, Comcast, American Airlines Group, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Caterpillar, Tractor Supply, Royal Caribbean Group, GE, PCE, NSA, Rowe Price Group, Colgate, Palmolive, Exxon Mobil, Chevron Locations: China, Europe, U.S, NextEra Energy, Freeport, McMoRan, . Kansas, Michigan, AbbVie
The soaring price of bitcoin could delay the Federal Reserve's plans to cut interest rates, according to JPMorgan. The bank said signs of froth in risk assets like bitcoin could lead to higher for longer interest rates. AdvertisementThe record rally in bitcoin could lead the Federal Reserve to delay its planned interest rate cuts later this year, according to JPMorgan. That froth could ultimately drive the Fed to hold off on its planned interest rate cuts, which are often stimulative for risk assets, as it could unleash another round of inflation. "This may keep monetary policy higher for longer, as premature rate cutting risks further inflating asset prices or causing another leg up in inflation," Kolanovic said.
Persons: Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Christopher Waller Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal Reserve Locations: bitcoin
Stocks have ripped to record highs this year, led by a few major technology names as investors bet artificial intelligence will boost profits. That doesn't mean there aren't opportunities for investors looking for stocks at more attractive valuations, especially during pullbacks, Sethi said. Sethi highlighted several attractively valued stocks to buy on a pullback, including Johnson & Johnson , GSK , Freeport-McMoRan , Schlumberger and Google parent Alphabet . From the health-care sector, Sethi highlighted pharmaceutical companies Johnson & Johnson and GSK as "very cheap stocks." When it comes to major technology stocks, Sethi pointed out that Alphabet, one of his firm's core holdings, is currently trading at a discounted level.
Persons: Sarat Sethi, Douglas C, Sethi, FactSet, that's Organizations: Lane & Associates, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Johnson, GSK, Schlumberger, Google, Freeport, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta Locations: Freeport, McMoRan
Despite the odds, active managers turned in a better-than-expected performance in 2023, according to a report out today by S & P Global. The bad news: the long-term performance of active managers remained dismal. The majority (60%) of large-cap fund managers underperformed the S & P 500 in 2023, according to S & P Global. While that may not seem like an impressive performance, it is slightly better than the historic average of 64% that underperform the S & P 500. Surprising, because 2023 was a tough year for active managers.
Persons: Dow, Anu Ganti, Dow Jones, Ganti Organizations: P, Dow Jones, U.S, Dow Jones Indices Locations: U.S
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