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China's aggressive stimulus measures have sparked a significant stock market rally. Still, traders, investors, and speculators have sent China's stock market to its best month in nearly a decade, signaling that the market players think that Beijing's moves are a "bazooka." The People's Bank of China's stock market stimulus was unusual. An active stock market and improved investor confidence will improve expectations for economic development," the media outlet wrote. Mainland China's stock markets will also be closed from Tuesday to Monday.
Persons: , Vishnu, Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Criss Wang, Data.TS, Varathan Organizations: Service, CSI, People's Bank, China Securities Journal, Chinese Communist Party, Hong Kong Stock Exchange Locations: China, Asia, Japan
The measures were significant because Beijing has been holding back on a "bazooka" stimulus even though China's economy has been struggling to stage a convincing recovery post-pandemic. To be sure, this is not the first attempt China has made at boosting its economy in the past few years. However, Beijing's display of resolve also triggered market speculation that it's alarmed and panicked over the state of its economy, which is facing multiple challenges. Related storiesNotably, even on the heels of China's big stimulus announcement, most analysts also think Beijing still needs to do more to boost China's economy, particularly in boosting gloomy domestic demand. "Onshore stocks are a policy- and momentum-driven market, and policy signals don't get much clearer than this," they wrote.
Persons: , Pan Gongsheng, Andrew Rocco, Rocco didn't, Pan, Freya Beamish, Rory Green, Anthony Sassine, Sassine, Rocco, macroeconomy, China's CSI300 Organizations: Service, People's Bank of China, Business, Lombard, Investors, Zacks Investment Research, Global Data.TS, Yahoo Finance, Data.TS Locations: China, Beijing, Swiss, London
Local residents with umbrellas walk out of a metro station in rain during morning rush hour on September 20, 2024 in Beijing, China. China News Service | China News Service | Getty ImagesBEIJING — More economists are calling for China to stimulate growth, including those based inside the country. His presentation Saturday at Renmin University's China Macroeconomy Forum was titled: "A basket of stimulus and reform, an economic revitalization plan to substantially expand domestic demand." "The elephant in the room is the property market," said Xu Gao, Beijing-based chief economist at Bank of China International. To restore confidence and stabilize the property market, Xu said that policymakers should bail out the property owners.
Persons: Liu Shijin, Liu, Goldman Sachs, China's, Xu Gao, Xu, Nomura, Gabriel Wildau, Teneo, Yi Gang, Wildau, Yi Organizations: China News Service, Getty, Development Research, State Council, CNBC, China Macroeconomy, Goldman, Bank of China International, Center for, People's Bank of China Locations: Beijing, China, BEIJING, Renmin, Center for China, U.S
Read previewMore children fell into poverty last year — and it could signal a major issue for both candidates as the presidential election heats up. But child poverty rose faster than that, from 12.4% to 13.7%. "The effectiveness of such a policy is evident when one considers the effects of the Child Tax Credit." And with child poverty only worsening, what candidates can deliver for parents might be particularly salient. Is the rise in child poverty and lack of assistance impacting your family?
Persons: , Steven Durlauf, Joe Biden's, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, Joseph Costello, Harris, Walz, JD Vance, Anna Kelly, Kelly, Trump, Adam Ruben, Josh Bivens, they'd Organizations: Service, Business, The University of Chicago, Stone Center for Research, Harris School of Public, Child Tax, Pew Research Center, Economic Security, Census, Economic Policy Institute, jkaplan Locations: U.S
That waiting game has only intensified with a potential interest rate cut in sight. "What our customers tell their pros is, 'Everything I read tells me interest rates will be lower in three to six months,'" McPhail said. An interest rate cut could help move the needle for Home Depot as sales slow. The Federal Reserve has dropped hints that an interest rate cut could come soon. Even with an interest rate cut, Decker said, "people still might pause a little bit until some of this gets sorted out."
Persons: Richard McPhail, McPhail, Ted Decker, Jerome Powell, Decker, , Diana Olick Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Depot, Mortgage News Locations: El Cerrito , California
Several companies appear oversold this week and could be due for a rebound after a wild week on Wall Street. Stocks with a 14-day RSI reading below 30 often indicate that it's oversold, with a potential rebound possible ahead for the company's shares. Here are some of the most oversold names: Dexcom is the most oversold stock of the list, with a 14-day RSI of 11.6%. Wells Fargo recently reiterated its overweight rating on Disney and its $136 price target, which implies shares could gain 52.4%. That's driven the stock's RSI to more than 81.
Persons: , Walt Disney, Wells Fargo, we're, Steven Cahall, Wall, Sara Senatore, Senatore, FactSet, LSEG, Myers Squibb, Northrop Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Stock, Entertainment, Walt, Disney, DIS, Media, " Bank of America, Mohawk Industries, RSI, Northrop Grumman, Citizens Financial Group Locations: Bristol
Read previewBarely a week after the failed assassination of former US President Donald Trump, investors are already moving on from the "Trump trade." The "Trump trade" refers to investor strategies that reflect the market consequences of a second Trump presidency. Schumacher said the "Trump trade" has run its course and is "about done for now." Focus on Fed interest rate decisionTo be sure, a second Trump presidency — including his administration's trade and tariff policies — would have important implications for the macroeconomy and markets, say most analysts. On Wednesday, Fed Governor Christopher Waller indicated that the central bank would cut "in the not-too-distant future."
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, Michael Schumacher, Schumacher, Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho Bank's, Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller Organizations: Service, Trump, Business, Federal Reserve, US Treasury, Bloomberg, Wells, Wells Fargo Securities, Fed, Swiss, UBS Locations: Wells Fargo, Asia, Japan
Instead of getting a young company with a lot of growth ahead, IPO investors are getting stocks that are already near the top of their valuations, Morgan Stanley argues. Experts say that despite barriers to investment — like high net worth standards and regulatory scrutiny — the shift to private markets is hard to stop. Deepwater offers venture capital funds that provide access to private market companies at early stages. To be sure, novice investors face hurdles exploring private markets, including steep fees and the lack of a public exchange investment vehicle. He added that public markets are still ripe with opportunity and shouldn't be ignored for the sake of private market investing.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Edward Stanley, That's, Stanley, who's, Gene Munster, Paul Meeks, Meeks, Munster, shouldn't Organizations: Asset Management, Piper, Deepwater, Management, Federal Locations: Snowflake, Airbnb, London, Munster
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump presidency tariffs could be a 'major downside growth risk' for China, says Goldman SachsHui Shan, chief China economist of Goldman Sachs, says the implications for the macroeconomy are significant if Donald Trump wins the U.S. presidential election and imposes a 60% tariff on Chinese imports.
Persons: Goldman Sachs Hui Shan, Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump Organizations: Email, U.S Locations: China
Morgan Stanley sees a comeback in Wall Street deals underway — and expects some financial stocks to reap the benefits. However, Goldman Sachs said sponsor-led mergers and acquisitions do not necessarily need a decrease in interest rates to take off. Stadnik said a capital markets renaissance is one key reason to be overweight money center banks. Of this group, he called Goldman Sachs the "purest play" on this theme. Goldman Sachs shares have climbed more than 15% this year.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Andrei Stadnik, Stadnik, Morgan Stanley's, Goldman Sachs, Blackstone, Morgan, LSEG Organizations: Wall Street, JPMorgan, LSEG Locations: U.S
Just ask Ross Stores: America’s largest off-price retailer reported earnings and revenue that beat analysts’ forecasts last week. The US Labor Department releases April figures on job openings, quits, hires and layoffs. The US Commerce Department releases April figures on new orders for manufactured goods. The US Commerce Department releases April data on exports and imports. Friday: The US Labor Department releases May data gauging the state of the job market, including monthly payroll growth, wage gains and the unemployment rate.
Persons: Ross, , ” Adam Orvos, ” TJX, TJ Maxx, LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton, ” Clayton Allison, Allison, ” Allison, Brown Forman, Campbell Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, Washington CNN, Companies, Ross Stores, Marshalls, Burberry, Prime Capital Investment Advisors, CNN, Walmart, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, CrowdStrike, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Body, US Labor Department, US Commerce Department, Bank of Canada, Autodesk, Smucker, DocuSign, Vail Resorts, European Central Bank Locations: Washington, North America, Europe, Australia, Americas, Zumiez
Deutsche Bank sees more room for the S & P 500 to run this year as strong earnings growth drives multiples. Binky Chadha, the firm's chief U.S. equity and global strategist, raised his year-end forecast for the broad index to 5,500 from 5,100. "We see the earnings cycle having plenty of legs," he told clients. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Index year to date Chadha said he's been overweight on financial, consumer cyclical, material and utility stocks in this environment. The updated expectations come as the S & P 500 has roared back near all-time highs despite a correction at the start of the second quarter.
Persons: Chadha, he's Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Wall Locations: Europe
First-class travel has exhibited special strength, though management noted that can be tied in part to a resurgence of business trips. People taking these loans are more likely to be lower-income with no more than a high school diploma, Lanier said. Daniel Acker | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesFrozen food maker Tyson Foods has seen consumers shifting more to eating at home than the quick-service restaurants it supplies. It's also important to remember that lower-income Americans were feeling financial pressures before the pandemic, said Tyler Schipper, an associate professor of economics at the University of St. Thomas in Minnesota. Airbnb touted interest in travel to events like the Paris Olympics and the European Cup in Germany this summer.
Persons: there's, It's, Christophe Le Caillec, underscoring, Blair Lanier, Lanier, McDonald's, Tyson, Daniel Acker, Tyson Foods, Stanley Black, Decker, Jane Fraser, CNBC's Sara Eisen, Fraser, Nancy Lazar, Piper Sandler, Tyler Schipper, Thomas, Schipper, Eric Thayer, We've, Cliff Pemble Organizations: TSN, American Express, Federal Reserve, CNBC, People, University of Michigan, San Francisco Federal Reserve, U.S, PepsiCo, Bloomberg, Getty, Tyson, Management, Adobe Analytics, Furniture, Citigroup, University of St, Airlines, Delta Air Lines, JetBlue Airways, Caribbean . Booking Holdings, Paris Olympics, European, Ticketmaster, Cedar Fair, Flags, Wayfair, Garmin Locations: America, U.S, Minnesota, New York, Germany, Valencia , California
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed trajectory is 'bumpy' as macroeconomy has a lot of momentum, says Dreyfus and Mellon's ReinhartVincent Reinhart, Dreyfus and Mellon chief economist and former Fed economist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the current macroeconomic picture relative to the Fed's trajectory, how hawkish Jerome Powell will sound, and much more.
Persons: Dreyfus, Mellon's Reinhart Vincent Reinhart, hawkish Jerome Powell Organizations: Mellon, Fed
Investors are fearful. They shouldn’t be
  + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
The economy has been extraordinarily resilient for the past few years — consistently proving the naysayers wrong, he says. For all of the market gloom last week, stocks are still near all-time highs, and this earnings season has been strong. Investors have been worrying about the Federal Reserve keeping rates higher for longer. I speak with many institutional investors, and I don’t see them folding in fear. Residual lubricant reduced the retention of the pad to the pedal,” the NHTSA wrote in the recall document.
Persons: , Philipp Carlsson, there’s, Carlsson, Szlezak, they’re, I’m, it’s, I’ve, we’re, TikTok, Brian Fung, Joe Biden, Tesla, Chris Isidore, Peter Valdes Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Boston Consulting, ByteDance, NHTSA Locations: New York, Europe, Ukraine, Israel, Washington
Across the country, from Denver and Seattle to Washington, DC, and New York, cities are deciphering whether to slash their budgets. (Most states' fiscal years run from July 1 to June 30.) States and cities are facing pressure from societal issues that will weigh on tax revenue and increase costs for years to come. Aging populations mean a smaller percentage of the population that's of working age, putting downward pressure on tax revenue. But as federal funds have petered out, structural problems have resurfaced.
Persons: Justin Marlowe, Lucy Dadayan, Carol O'Cleireacain, it's, Marlowe, O'Cleireacain, Josh Goodman, Goodman, Liz Farmer, Baltimore's Francis Scott Key, Farmer, Emily Stewart Organizations: Boston, University of Chicago Harris School of Public Policy, Municipal Finance, Pew, Urban, Brookings Tax, Urban Institute, Business Locations: Denver, Seattle, Washington, New York, California , Maryland, Arizona, New York City, New York , New Jersey, Detroit, COVID, States, Maryland, United States
A recent Wall Street Journal poll of American voters in swing states found that while people think the national economy is in bad shape, they feel good about their personal finances. In Gallup polling from last April, just 16% rated the economy as “good” or “excellent,” but 45% said their personal finances were “good” or “excellent.”But according to available data the economy has improved. But the dichotomy between how people feel about their own finances and the economy at large presents a different conundrum. It’s important to look at consumer behavior and not just sentiment when determining how Americans feel about the economy, said Harris. Those behaviors signal that Americans, overall, actually feel pretty good about their economy.
Persons: New York CNN — Nathan Frederiksen, , , ” Frederiksen, It’s, “ We’ve, I’ve, ” He’s, , Wisconsin —, Joe Biden, Ben Harris, else’s, ” Harris, Harris, Jonathon Barricklow, Barricklow, we’d, Dave Koloskee, he’ll, Megan McCoy, we’re, ” McCoy, Julie Levitch, Suze Orman, she’s, I’m, ’ ”, , they’re Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, Gallup, Economic, Brookings, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Facebook, Kansas State University, , Finance, LinkedIn Locations: New York, Boise , Idaho, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina , Nevada , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, it’s, United States, Bowling Green , Ohio, East, Europe, Erie , Pennsylvania, Scottsdale , Arizona
The cargo ship Dali sits in the water after running into and collapsing the Francis Scott Key Bridge on March 26, 2024 in Baltimore, Maryland. Engineers in Maryland on Saturday began lifting a piece of Francis Scott Key Bridge out of the waterway in Baltimore, the first step in a long process to reopen the city's shipping port. "I cannot stress enough how important today and the first movement of this bridge and the wreckage is," said Gov. To execute the first lift of the bridge on Saturday, engineers cut a piece of the bridge to make it manageable for their crane. "Our economy depends on the Port of Baltimore and the Port of Baltimore depends on vessel traffic."
Persons: Dali, Francis Scott Key, Wes Moore, Baltimore Mayor Brandon Scott, Joe Biden, we've, Shannon Gilreath, Moore Organizations: Francis Scott Key Bridge, Baltimore , Maryland . Engineers, U.S . Coast Guard, Baltimore Mayor, Government, Coast Guard, Port Locations: Baltimore , Maryland, Maryland, Baltimore, Port of Baltimore, U.S
Boeing’s problems could soon become your problem
  + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
Washington CNN —Boeing’s problems aren’t just Boeing’s. One of America’s biggest manufacturers is dealing with some serious production, quality and safety problems that worsened this week after a 787 Dreamliner plunged suddenly mid-flight, injuring dozens of passengers. Southwest and United earlier this week said they expect Boeing to ship them fewer planes than they planned on receiving, so they’ll hire fewer pilots. (Boeing continued to build the 737 Max throughout the crisis). And Boeing’s years of problems have led to success for its French rival Airbus, which has overtaken Boeing as the world’s largest aircraft manufacturer.
Persons: Washington CNN —, aren’t, ” Kathy Bostjancic, , , ” José Torres, Max, ” Lisa Simon Organizations: Washington CNN, America’s, Boeing, Airbus, Alaska Airlines, Nationwide, CNN, Interactive Brokers, New York Fed, The New, Fed, Boeing hasn’t, Federal Aviation Administration, Revelio Labs Locations: Southwest,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's a relatively slow rate cut desire from the Fed, says Jefferies' David ZervosDavid Zervos, Jefferies chief market strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Zervos' response to Austan Goolsbee's latest comments, the question marks around the macroeconomy, and much more.
Persons: Jefferies, David Zervos David Zervos, Austan Organizations: Jefferies
Dollar steady as traders weigh economic data, yen fragile
  + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar was steady on Friday, on track for its fifth straight weekly gain, as investors take stock of economic data and firm expectations of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in June, while the yen traded at the psychologically key 150 per dollar level. But overall market expectations on the timing of the first Fed cut and magnitude of the cut will continue to drive volatility in FX markets." "We will likely soon contemplate the appropriate time for monetary policy to become less restrictive," Bostic said. Investor focus has been on comments from policymakers, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell due to give the Senate banking committee its biannual monetary policy update on March 7. The Australian dollar eased 0.20% to $0.651, while the New Zealand dollar is down 0.21% to $0.609.
Persons: Christopher Wong, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Jerome Powell, pare, Kieran Williams, bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, PPI, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Federal, Asia FX, InTouch, Markets, New Zealand Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, Singapore, U.S, Japan, Asia, Germany
— Alex Harring 6:46 a.m.: HSBC sees Snowflake pulling back after rally Snowflake's good news has already been priced in with a recent rally, according to HSBC. Analyst Sara Russo upped her price target by $26 to $72, now implying a smaller downside of 43%. — Alex Harring 6:05 a.m.: Macquarie moves to sidelines on Sony There's reasons for pause on Sony , Macquarie warned. Still, the analyst noted the "many" risks to the stock price, including valuation and if the ETFs become a competitor to Coinbase itself. The bank initiated coverage of the medical technology stock with a buy rating and a price target of $100 per share.
Persons: Ulta, Oppenheimer, Rupesh, Parikh, Alex Harring, Snowflake, Stephen Bersey, Bersey, Bernstein, Sara Russo, Russo, — Alex Harring, Skechers, Jesalyn Wong, Wong, Macquarie, Damian Thong, Thong, deconsolidation, Colin Isaac, Eastman, Isaac, EBITDA, Piper Sandler, Harsh Kumar, Kumar, Kenneth Worthington, Worthington, Sezgi Oezener, Taha Kass, Oezener, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, JPMorgan, HSBC, GE Healthcare, ISI, Distributors, Sony, Macquarie, U.S, Eastman, Eastman Chemical, Nvidia, GE Healthcare HSBC, General Electric, Learning, Amazon, Science & Technology Locations: Wednesday's, Sony's U.S, premarket, Coinbase
Barthélémy Kiss, 36, is a politics graduate running his second AI company Powder. Kiss has hired career switchers and liberal arts grads to work on his most recent AI project. Working on this startup, I've learned that people with a liberal arts background have a major edge in our industry. The liberal arts grads we've hired have a creative, human-centric approach to understanding the best applications of AI in their respective fields. We need creative thinkers to get the best out of AI technologyHuman creativity is crucial in the AI space.
Persons: Barthélémy, Kiss, switchers, grads, , Eric Risser, We've, I've, grads we've, Stan, Maryan, Pierre Boulez Organizations: Service, Unity, Creative, Ircam Locations: Paris
Happy Days Are Here Again, Say American Consumers
  + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Tim Smart | Feb. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +3 min
Consumers are happy, the stock market is near record highs, inflation is moderating and the labor market is defying all forecasts. Apparently, very little as the latest reading on consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan confirmed on Friday. The final consumer sentiment survey for January posted a 13% increase to 79, almost a 10-point surge from December’s 69.7 reading, echoing earlier estimates. “This morning’s strong jobs report diminished the chances of the Fed cutting in March,” said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial. This means businesses are in a good position despite the macro headwinds and uncertainty about growth expectations.”
Persons: , , Joanne Hsu, ” Hsu, , David Royal, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: University of Michigan, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta’s, LPL
Rupert Murdoch's The Wall Street Journal made widespread cuts to its DC bureau on Thursday in a restructuring that several insiders called a "bloodbath." They were also, however, expected, since staffers had been told a restructuring was coming in preparation for the installation of the Journal's new Washington coverage chief Damian Paletta, who starts February 5. The new Washington bureau will focus on politics, policy, defense, law, intelligence and national security. The expanded Finance & Economics coverage area will unify our reporting on the macroeconomy, global economic trends, monetary policy, credit and banking, and financial markets. Brent Kendall, the law bureau chief, will take on the expanded role of Justice, Judiciary and Law Editor.
Persons: Rupert Murdoch's, Amara Omeokwe, James Graff, Emma Tucker, Tucker, Damian Paletta, Jodi Green, Liz Harris, they'd, Marie Beaudette, Marie, Damian, Brent Kendall, Brent, Emma Organizations: Journal, Business, News Corp, Staff, Finance, Federal Reserve, Economics, Justice, Judiciary Locations: Washington, New York, China, U.S
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