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China's stock market has recently rebounded on the promise of further economic and market stimulus. The measures include cuts to a variety of interest rates , as well as support for China's flagging real estate sector . China's stimulus efforts The Shanghai Composite has rallied sharply in the aftermath of those moves but remains about 50% below its all-time high of nearly 6,000, last seen in 2007. These moves have failed to boost growth or lead to a durable and sustainable stock market rally. The U.S. stock market accounted for roughly 60% of global stock market valuation in 2023.
Persons: David Tepper, Let's, Ron Insana Organizations: Bank, Atlanta, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, European Union, U.S . Energy, Administration, The, U.S, Olympus, CNBC Locations: United States, China, It's, Shanghai, U.S, Beijing, Europe, Canada, European, The U.S, Russia, Iran, North Korea
What people say about growth and inflation doesn't matter much anymore – even as the latest consumer inflation report shows a cooling trend. That means a notable drop in both wholesale and consumer prices is coming down the road. Now, it appears that the U.S. is slipping behind the rest of the world, turning its policy actions toward growth risks rather than inflation risks. It's also important to remind Fed policymakers that there is ample evidence of slower consumer spending among middle-to-lower income families. Further, recent revisions to job growth in the 12-month period through March 2024 confirm that a soft landing is at risk.
Persons: Stocks, that's, We're, It's, Ron Insana Organizations: Treasury, U.S ., CNBC Locations: China, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with iFi AI's Ron Insana, Solus' Dan Greenhaus and Hightower’s Stephanie LinkiFi AI's Ron Insana, Solus' Dan Greenhaus and Hightower’s Stephanie Link, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the market sell-off, the Fed's next move and their market outlook.
Persons: iFi AI's Ron Insana, Solus, Dan Greenhaus, Stephanie Link iFi, Ron Insana, Stephanie Link
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAn inter-meeting Fed cut would be a mistake, says Solus' Dan GreenhausiFi AI's Ron Insana, Solus' Dan Greenhaus and Hightower’s Stephanie Link, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the market sell-off, the Fed's next move and their market outlook.
Persons: Solus, Dan Greenhaus iFi, Ron Insana, Dan Greenhaus, Stephanie Link
First, when everything is being sold – and just about everything is being sold on Monday – someone is in big trouble. The spillover effect – exacerbated by a Federal Reserve reluctant to cut interest rates even as inflation cools – has put all assets on sale. This suggests that fears of a financial market problem are greater than those of a widening Middle East war. Should the situation become more tumultuous, the Fed could be forced into cutting interest rates between meetings. Indeed, when the Fed responded to the 1998 event by cutting interest rates , stocks went on a tear before topping out in 2000.
Persons: I've, Michael Gayed, Cashin, It's, Stanley Druckenmiller, Japan —, Ron Insana Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nikkei, UBS, Term Capital Management, CNBC Locations: Japan, Israel, Iran
It is a question based on recent market behavior, corporate profit reports and prospective economic policy changes at home and abroad. It suggests that declining inflation and economic weakness may well be in our future. Recent U.S. economic data has been unexpectedly steady, with recent growth pegged at an annual rate of 2.8% in the second quarter. Unemployment data flashes a warning sign The unemployment rate remains low at 4.1% as of June, but it has risen from 3.7% back in January . Some economists argue that an increase of half a percentage point in the unemployment rate, off the lows, is a precursor to a recession.
Persons: you've, Ron Insana Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Procter, Gamble, Federal Reserve, Clearwater, CNBC Locations: Clearwater, Japan, Switzerland, Venezuela, U.S
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 3, 2024. The S&P 500 is up nearly 18% in 2024, while the Nasdaq Composite is up 22% in that same time frame. Americans have often been accused, especially by those living abroad, of having a rather narrow view of the world. But President Xi Jinping's "party over prosperity" political model continues to dampen enthusiasm among both foreign investors and domestic consumers. There may be a day that that becomes true and other economies and markets may prove more alluring, but that day has yet to come.
Persons: it's, Xi Jinping's, It's, Dorothy Gale of, Ron Insana Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, U.S, National Institution for Finance, Development, Monetary Fund, Overseas, Treasurys, U.S ., CNBC Locations: New York City, U.S, Japan, Argentina, Turkey, China, Shanghai, Italy, Spain, America, Dorothy Gale of Kansas
It's time for the Fed to cut rates at the end of July. Add to that the moderation in the consumer price index , the producer price index and the personal consumption expenditures price index – the Fed's preferred inflation gauge – and the need to wait for further signs of improvement seems like overkill. Also, if the Fed dials back policy later – rather than sooner – there will be claims of political interference if it cut rates immediately before the presidential election. The central bank has been dealing with an economy-crashing pandemic, a surge in prices and uncertainty over how its policies would affect the broad economy, inflation and consumer behavior over time. This is a factor that will likely drive inflation rates lower.
Persons: Adrian –, , Mickey, Dow Jones, Joe Biden, Adrian . Go, Ron Insana Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Dow, New York Federal, Atlanta, CNBC
There has been a fair amount of nervous chatter lately about the state of the stock market. As of Thursday's close, the S & P 500 was up about 15% in 2024, while the Nasdaq Composite was just shy of 19%. Companies like Microsoft , Cisco Systems and Intel were among the biggest gainers in the S & P 500. Further, the S & P 500 Equal Weighted Index , with a roughly 4% gain in 2024, is far underperforming its capital-weighted counterpart. .SPXEW .SPX YTD line The S & P 500 Equal Weighted Index vs. the S & P 500 in 2024 Having said that, in years past, these types of divergences would worry me to the point of distraction.
Persons: it's, Bubbles, It's, rebalancing, Ron Insana Organizations: Nasdaq, Microsoft, Cisco Systems, Intel, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, CNBC Locations: U.S
The iFi AI model, powered by IBM's Watsonx, was still projecting big upside for bitcoin miner Marathon Digital as of Friday morning. The stock was also near the top of iFi AI's projections for 30-day returns on screens earlier in June. The AI model uses a variety of inputs, including fundamental data, technical analysis and company news, to make its predictions. Here are some of the model's biggest upside plays after a week of downward-trending inflation data and sliding Treasury yields. Ron Insana, CNBC senior analyst and commentator, is the CEO of iFi AI, which launched in March .
Persons: IBM's Watsonx, Ron Insana Organizations: Marathon, Group, homebuilder, Palo Alto Networks, Palo Alto's, CNBC Locations: Marathon, Carvana, Palo
IFi AI is an investment firm that uses IBM's Watsonx to help make projections about the short-term directions of stocks. The stocks below are the highest upside stocks for the next 30 days in iFi's top confidence category that have a market cap of at least $2 billion. The bitcoin miner hasn't popped yet, with shares down about 1% month to date, but iFi still sees upside of nearly 40%. META YTD mountain Shares of Meta Platforms are below their all-time high reached in April. CNBC senior analyst and commentator Ron Insana is the CEO of iFi AI, which launched in March .
Persons: hasn't, iFi, PVH, Ron Insana Organizations: Oil, ConocoPhillips, Marathon, Holdings, CNBC
An AI model that is trying to use machine learning to pick stocks is optimistic about the outlook for some names in volatile sectors over the next month. IFi AI is a company aimed at individual investors that identifies stocks with potential upside based on a blend of fundamental, technical and news data. The stock in the model's highest confidence bracket with the most projected upside is a similarly named company — Marathon Digital . But instead of being an energy company, Marathon Digital is a bitcoin miner. CNBC senior analyst and commentator Ron Insana is the CEO if iFi AI, which launched in March .
Persons: IBM's Watsonx, , Kilroy, Ron Insana Organizations: Marathon Oil, ConocoPhillips, Marathon, iFi, Kilroy Realty, BridgeBio Pharma, Viking Therapeutics, Therapeutics, CNBC Locations: California
One AI model that is built to help investors pick winners in the stock market has grown confident in the near-term upside for a mid-sized energy stock. Some of the data sources that feed into the iFi AI model include macroeconomic updates, news articles, fundamental company data and technical trading indicators. The AI model is bullish on more energy stocks than just Marathon, as Southwestern Energy also makes the cut. One potential momentum play from the iFi AI list is Vertiv , whose share price has more than doubled in 2024. The CEO of iFi AI, which launched in March , is CNBC senior analyst and commentator Ron Insana.
Persons: Ai, Ron Insana Organizations: Oil, Southwestern Energy, CNBC Locations: Marathon, LSEG, The Ohio
One of those programs is iFi Ai, an investment information firm powered by IBM's Watsonx. IFi AI takes in a wide range of market signals and data to make projections about where individual stocks will go next. One of the outputs from the iFi AI model is a 30-day projected price return. The iFi AI model sees a gain of 23%. The iFi AI model is not the only entity bullish on Schwab.
Persons: Ai, IBM's Watsonx, Ron Insana, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, iFi, Piper Sandler, Matthew Clark, Charles Schwab, Schwab Organizations: CNBC, Paramount Global, Paramount, Sony, Skydance Media, Western Alliance
The Dow Industrials represent the productive capacity of the economy, as its original focus was on the goods-producing sector. Over recent decades, the 30-stock Dow Industrials has been expanded to include important tech, telecom and services companies. The Dow Transports, whose constituents move goods and passengers across the country and around the globe, represent final demand. .DJI .DJT YTD line The Dow Industrials vs. Dow Transports in 2024 At the moment, the divergence is relatively mild. The Dow Theory might still have the benefit of experience and wisdom.
Persons: Dow Industrials, that's, it's, Ron Insana Organizations: Dow, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow Jones Transportation, Dow Transports, Transports, Utilities, Dow Theory, Federal Reserve, CNBC Locations: U.S
The firm, called iFi AI, launches Wednesday. The company will use AI models to help generate projected returns for stocks over various time periods, according to Ron Insana, iFi AI CEO and CNBC senior analyst and commentator. IBM's watsonx powers the AI programs behind the new venture, incorporating fundamental news, technical analysis and other factors to make projections about where stocks are headed. The AI programs are already being used to help make decisions with $6 billion that is managed institutionally, Insana said. "The difference between quantitative analysis and AI-driven analysis is that AI learns and continues to learn and teach itself," Insana said.
Persons: Ron Insana, Insana, Morgan Stanley Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Wall Street
Bringing AI-powered trade ideas to individual investors
  + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBringing AI-powered trade ideas to individual investorsRon Insana, iFi AI CEO, and Rob Thomas, IBM chief commercial officer and SVP, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss what iFI AI is, how the partnership with IBM came to be, and more.
Persons: Ron Insana, Rob Thomas Organizations: IBM
In 2022, Huawei announced it signed more than 20 new or extended licensing agreements for its patents. But the sheer number of patents filed meant Huawei ranked fourth last year by the number of patent grants in the U.S., IFI said. For Huawei, licensing its patents to other companies has the potential to claw back a bit of that revenue. Huawei did not break down specific figures, and only said it met its intellectual property revenue expectations for 2021. "I don't think they had a choice in terms of sort of boosting their licensing revenue."
Data from Bloomberg Economics shows that El Salvador tops its ranking of emerging market countries that are vulnerable to a debt default. Another survey by the institute found that 76 out of 100 small and medium-size enterprises in El Salvador do not accept bitcoin payments. But in 2022, recent data shows that only 1.6% of remittances were sent to El Salvador via digital wallets. Meanwhile, its other national currency, bitcoin, is revered for the fact that it, too, is impossible to mint out of thin air. "Bitcoin doesn't solve any of El Salvador's important economic problems," he added.
Duties and Responsibilities Summary of Key Functions: Develops programme strategies in the thematic area of Effective Governance and its sub-areas. Ensures effective management and implementation of Effective Governance country programme portfolio and management of the Effective Governance Cluster team. CO business processes mapping and establishment of internal Standard Operating Procedures in Results Management, control of the workflows in the Effective Governance Cluster. Ensures effective management and implementation of Effective Governance country programme portfolio and management of the Effective Governance Cluster team, focusing on the following results: Design and formulation of country programme within thematic areas of responsibility, translating UNDP corporate priorities into local interventions. Constant monitoring and analysis of the country programme environment, timely re-adjustment of programme.
Organizations: Senior Management, UNDP, UN, Sustainable, Office, Government, UNPFSD, Management, Organization, Atlas, Financial, UNDP Country Office, Global, Administration, Economics, Law, Political Sciences, Social Sciences Locations: South, UNPFSD, Moldova, Republic of Moldova
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