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In today's edition, our team breaks down a key Nebraska state senator's decision to stand in the way of a Trump-backed drive to change how the state allocates its electoral votes. Trump allies have pushed for a special legislative session intended for the Republican-controlled legislature to change Nebraska to a winner-take-all system instead of awarding electoral votes by congressional district. The developments appear to cap months of deliberations over whether Nebraska lawmakers could change the way the state apportions its electoral votes in a way that would benefit Trump. Nebraska allocates its electoral votes by congressional district, and the swing district around Omaha has twice gone to Democrats in recent years, giving them one electoral vote from an otherwise ruby-red state. But if lawmakers changed that to a winner-take-all model, Trump would be all but certain to win all of Nebraska’s electoral votes.
Persons: Jonathan Allen, Bridget Bowman, Adam Edelman, Katherine Doyle, Allan Smith, Ben Kamisar, Donald Trump, Sen, Mike McDonnell, Trump, Kamala Harris, Mark Murray, Democratic Party — Harris, Harris, , Biden’s favorability, Harris ’, Trump’s favorability, Trump’s, , Jeff Horwitt, J D, Joh, Hou, ari, us jobs, Rea Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Trump, Key, Key Nebraska Republican, Nebraska Republican, Republican, NBC News, Nebraska, Electoral, Democratic Party, Democrats, Democratic, New York Times, aig Locations: Nebraska, Key Nebraska, , Omaha, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Siena, Arizona , Georgia, North Carolina
But while lower mortgage rates may translate to more buying power for homebuyers, America’s housing market woes aren’t likely to be solved solely by rate cuts. But Enterprise Community Partners, the nonprofit where Donovan currently serves as CEO, estimates that the US needs 7 million new units in order to stabilize the housing market. “There are a lot of factors that have affected the housing supply and these are complicated issues to solve. “We’re not expecting mortgage rates to fall that much further, and we still think that the mortgage rate ‘lock-in’ effect will still be there,” Dougherty said. “Things will probably pick up as rates come down, but we’re not looking for a high-octane rebound,” Dougherty said of the housing market.
Persons: they’d, aren’t, , , Shaun Donovan, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, ” Donovan, Harris, Trump, Donovan, Jerome Powell’s, Freddie Mac, Charles Dougherty, That’s, “ We’re, ” Dougherty, ” Powell, that’s, Dougherty, “ It’s, ” Ryan McLennan Organizations: CNN, Housing, Urban Development, National Association of Realtors, Partners, Federal, Fed, National Association of Home Builders, homebuilders, Consumer Financial Locations: America, Wells Fargo, Houston, homebuying
Today, it is just over $3,000,” said Harris, who also serves as chair of the National Association of Home Builders. Vice President Kamala Harris has proposed offering $25,000 in down payment assistance to first-time homebuyers and incentives to homebuilders to construct more housing for first-time homebuyers. Former President Donald Trump has said he would lower housing costs by opening federal land to development, rolling back regulations and reducing overall inflation. But homebuilders say they face a web of challenges that have been nearly two decades in the making and will likely take years to resolve. One major barrier to driving down prices and increasing supply has been a shortage of workers, homebuilders said.
Persons: Carl Harris, , Harris, — he’s, Mike Forsum, Freddie Mac, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, , Robert Dietz, It’s, Dietz, Sheryl Palmer, homebuilder Taylor Morrison, homebuilders, we’ve, Palmer, Forsum, “ I’m, Homebuilders, Taylor Morrison, They’ve, that’s, ” Harris, “ It’s Organizations: National Association of Home Builders, Landsea, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Wichita , Kansas, Atlanta, Las Vegas, Raleigh , North Carolina, Dallas, , Sacramento , California, Texas, Fort Worth , Texas, Phoenix, Buckeye, Orlando , Florida, In Wichita
Read previewUS equities are trading near record highs after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week, but a long-time chartmaster doesn't believe the euphoria is warranted. Add in an unclear path forward for interest rates and geopolitical risks, and Keller said stocks will struggle to break past today's levels. Homebuilders such as DR Horton (DHI) can be a prime beneficiary of lower interest rates, Keller pointed out. "And when you think about what that means, that usually means: really good setup for homebuilders. Utilities also stand out, not only due to their defensive qualities, but because their yields look more attractive as falling interest rates weigh on bond yields.
Persons: , doesn't, David Keller, Keller, Whoever's, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Jeff Muhlenkamp Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Fed, Business, Sierra Alpha Research, Republican, Enphase, Trump, Utilities Locations: StockCharts.com
The Fed's interest rate cut will ease financing conditions for homebuilders, analysts told BI. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve's rate cut will surely impact the housing market, but its effect likely won't affect arguably the most important part of the equation: keeping affordability tight. But how this translates into a much-needed supply boost is a different story, and there are factors the Fed cut won't fix. Lingering uncertaintiesAdvertisementFor instance, Nanayakkara-Skillington noted that material pricing, from drywall to steel mill products, has weighed heavily on homebuilders since the pandemic.
Persons: , it'll, NAHB's, Skillington, NAHB, Michael Neal, Fitch, Neal Organizations: Service, National Association of Home Builders, Urban Institute senior, Fitch
UBS' John Lovallo on homebuilder stocks
  + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS' John Lovallo on homebuilder stocksJohn Lovallo, UBS homebuilders analyst, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss why he is bullish on builders, how lower interest rates will affect the stocks and housing market, and more.
Persons: John Lovallo Organizations: UBS
It also means lots of talk from the experts about "normalizing the yield curve" in the bond market — meaning getting back to a setup where bonds with longer maturities yield higher rates than those with shorter-term maturities. That's referred to as "yield curve inversion," which has historically signaled an upcoming recession. Currently, however, the yield curve looks more like a check mark than a gradually rising hill. An inverted Treasury yield curve messes with that dynamic. Everyone, from private citizens to multinational corporations benefits from a normalized yield curve because normal means less uncertainty, which means more predictability.
Persons: Jerome Powell, shouldn't, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, CNBC, Federal, Getty Locations: U.S, Washington , DC
Mortgage rates are rising: Here's what you need to know
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMortgage rates are rising: Here's what you need to knowThe Investment Committee debate what rising rates means for home buyers and homebuilders.
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Salesforce was having a strong session as well, taking in stride the late-day Wall Street Journal report that Disney will no longer use Salesforce-owned Slack after a data hack. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, Jim Cramer's, Lisa Su, Salesforce, Slack, Procter & Gamble, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Tech, Devices, Journal, Disney, Barclays, Treasury, Procter, Fed, FedEx, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Procter &
The Fed was widely expected to lower short-term interest rates, but the 25 basis points versus 50 debate raged right up until the announcement. Mortgage rates: We talked last week during our September Monthly Meeting about how housing activity can start to pick up when mortgage rates fall off their cycle highs to somewhere in the range between 5% and 6.5%. However, what the data shows is how sensitive activity is to every dip in mortgage rates. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jerome Powell, Stanley Black, Decker, Mortgage Banks, Jim Cramer's, Lisa Su, Oliver Garden, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Federal Reserve, Stanley, Mortgage, Micro, LongHorn, Darden, Jim Cramer's Charitable
Stocks in the firm's coverage universe have "significantly front-loaded expected rate cut benefits, well in excess of prior fed cycles," he said. The chances of a smaller 25 basis point cut have fallen to a 41% chance. Barclays analyst Matthew Bouley is watching the data very closely as well and said a lot will depend on how consumers react as mortgage rates fall. Bouley said this is one of the clearest signs yet that a recent decline in mortgage rates is bringing buyers into the market. Slightly more than half the analysts who cover the stock rate it a buy or overweight, it said.
Persons: Mike Dahl, Dahl, Toll, Taylor Morrison, Matthew Bouley, Bouley, Horton Organizations: Federal Reserve, RBC Capital Markets, Tri, Tri Pointe Homes, Toll, RBC, KB, Barclays Locations: Tri Pointe, staving, Horton
The week before, Broadcom had allegedly disappointed, causing Nvidia , the inevitable key to this market, to continue its descent. Which brings me back to the initial concept of the big declining week followed by the big advancing week. A good week for Kamala Harris turns out to be a big week for Nextracker — and that's really it for now. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Larry Ellison, Ellison, Cerner, Ellison's, Eaton, Jensen, Bing, Microsoft's Bing, underinvesting, Huang, Blackwell, Dupont, Kamala Harris, Nextracker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal, Broadcom, Nvidia, Oracle, Marvell, Meta, Microsoft, Google, mightily, Street, Fed, Dreamforce, downer, Adobe, JPMorgan, Healthcare, pharma, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Silicon Valley, San Francisco
The S & P 500 rebounded 4% this past week, almost clawing back all of the prior week's horrible decline. Fed watch The Fed is the big market event this week. ET: Fed rate decision Before the bell: General Mills (GIS) After the bell: Steelcase (SCS) Thursday, Sept. 19 8:30 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jensen Huang's, Goldman Sachs, Jim, Huang, Lisa Su, Su, Vimal Kapur, Morgan, Brian Niccol, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jerome Powell, They're, Lennar, Doug Yearley, Mills, LEN, Jim Cramer's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Club, Technology, CNBC, Oracle, Devices, TAM, Apple, Honeywell, Starbucks, Barclays Global Financial Services, Fed, FedEx, homebuilder, Home Depot, Darden, Jim Cramer's Charitable, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Las Vegas, U.S, America, Horton, New York City
Oracle — The stock rose nearly 2% after the database software company raised its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook . Uber — Shares of the ride-sharing company advanced more than 5% following news that it plans to expand its partnership with Alphabet's Waymo . Adobe — Shares tumbled 9% after the software company issued weaker-than-expected guidance for the current quarter. Unity Software — Shares of the game engine company added nearly 7%. Discovery — Shares advanced about 9% after the media conglomerate entered an early renewal agreement with Charter Communications.
Persons: Kevin Clark, RH —, Gary Friedman, Alphabet's Waymo, Uber, Stifel, Biden, David Zaslav, , Jesse Pound, Sean Conlon, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim Organizations: JPMorgan, Oracle, Aptiv, — Stock, Adobe, Boeing, Unity, Holdings, PDD Holdings, Redfin Corporation, Federal Reserve, U.S, Home, Warner Bros, , Charter Communications, Discovery Locations: U.S, Austin , Texas, Atlanta, China
Jim Cramer talks strong performance of homebuilder stocks
  + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer talks recent performance in homebuilders. Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email
Persons: Jim Cramer Locations: homebuilders
Read previewA wave of younger buyers are about to enter the housing market in a trend that could spark a boom for homebuilders, according to one housing analyst. That's because young Americans are itching to buy a home, and they'll likely enter the housing market in droves once mortgage rates come down, he told CNBC in a recent interview. AdvertisementThe 30-year fixed mortgage rate hovered around 6.35% the last week, Freddie Mac data shows, close to their lowest level since early 2023. Yet, 89% of existing homeowners have a mortgage rate below 6%, Redfin found in a survey at the start of the year. Mortgage rates, though, could be slow to come down, housing experts say.
Persons: , Phillip Ng, they'll, We've, Ng, Freddie Mac, Redfin, Pricing's Organizations: Service, Jefferies, CNBC, Business, Buyers, National Association of Realtors, Builders, Mortgage Locations: Redfin
Read previewVice President Kamala Harris says she has a plan for America's middle class— building an "Opportunity Economy" to help them succeed. "Vice President Harris grew up in a middle class home as the daughter of a working mom. She believes that when the middle class is strong, America is strong," the Harris campaign wrote in a section titled "Build an Opportunity Economy and Lower Costs for Families." But just what exactly is Harris looking to do when she says she's going to build up the middle class through her "Opportunity Economy" agenda? During the debate, Harris accused Trump of only wanting to offer tax breaks to the richest people, while Trump countered by saying Harris lacked a detailed plan.
Persons: , Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump, she's, Biden, Trump, Alice Tecotzky, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, American, Biden, Pharma, New York Times, Siena College Locations: America, North Carolina
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy the U.S. can't build homes fast enoughLarge homebuilders have grown their positions in numerous key housing markets since the late 2000s financial crisis. Their growth coincides with long-term slowdowns in building permitting and construction productivity which contribute to escalating prices for buyers and renters, experts say. As an economic tightening cycle slows real estate investment, politicians are promoting policy tools that could alter how homes are built in the U.S.
Locations: U.S
In this article DHILENPHM Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTShareholder returns for top homebuilders D.R. Horton and Lennar outpaced the wider S&P 500 between August 2014 and August 2024. Quintero's research suggests lower levels of competition among homebuilders may contribute to the U.S. housing shortage. "The supply shortage that we have estimated [is] anywhere from 2 [million] to 8 million. Some people put it at even 20 million housing units that we are short," said Tobias Peter, co-director of the American Enterprise Institute's Housing Center.
Persons: LEN PHM, Horton, Lennar, LEN, Luis Quintero, Tobias Peter, Margaret Whelan, Whelan Organizations: Industry, Johns Hopkins University Carey School of Business, American Enterprise Institute's Housing Locations: United States, California, Texas
Read previewThe latest figures from Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway suggest consumers are faring better than they were just a year or two ago. Thomson ReutersHomeServicesReal estate brokerage revenues were almost flat and after-tax earnings rose 21%. New home unit sales rose 11% after dropping 20%, but pre-tax earnings fell 10%, similar to their 12% decline last year. But pre-tax earnings jumped 10% due to higher margins and lower operating expenses that offset the lower sales. AdvertisementRetailThe odd one out was the retailing subdivision, where revenues fell 4.5% and pre-tax earnings fell 23%.
Persons: , Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Here's, Thomson, Warren Buffett, Clayton, Rick Wilking, Berkshire, They've, There's Organizations: Service, Business, Thomson Reuters, Clayton Homes, Reuters McLane, Berkhire Hathaway Locations: Warren Buffett's, Berkshire, Renton , Washington, Omaha , Nebraska
Yes, the S&P 500 is just off of all-time highs following a 36% percent rally from October to July. Major stock prices begin to perform poorly, which drags down the S&P 500 Index, which in turn causes the selling of the index. The index selling puts a drag on the largest-cap stocks, which adds more legs to the index selling." The S&P 500 is up 49% since late 2022 as bears have continued to warn of downside. AdvertisementSecond, lower interest rates would spark demand and could cause inflation to resurface, which would be good for oil stocks, Smead said.
Persons: , Smead doesn't, Smead, Warren, We're, Dow, Jeremy Grantham, John Hussman, Stocks, LEN Organizations: Service, Business, Morningstar, Smead, Bank of America, Technology, Fund, Federal, Fed, DR, Occidental Petroleum, Apache
In 1973, the median size of completed single-family homes was 1,525 square feet, according to US Census data. But as the cost of buying a home has exploded and McMansions have fallen out of favor, homebuilders have reversed course, building smaller homes with an eye to first-time buyers. Today, smaller, often more affordable homes under 1,000 square feet are harder to come by in most US suburbs. According to an NAHB survey, 17% of homebuilders said they built homes on smaller lots in 2023 to support home sales, and 14% said they built more townhouses. Smaller homes and fewer amenitiesHeather Eisenmann, a Realtor who specializes in selling new construction in Clarksville, Tennessee, said that she’s noticed that many of the new homes she shows now have smaller bedrooms and living rooms.
Persons: Jordyn Carias, , homebuilders, Alan Ratner, , we’ve, Levittowns, wasn’t, Jacob Anbinder, ” Anbinder, Levitt, Irving Haberman, Michael Murray, Heather Eisenmann, she’s, ” Eisenmann Organizations: CNN, Zelman, Associates, National Association of Homebuilders, Cornell University, Sons, National Association of Realtors, Census Bureau Locations: Muscatine , Iowa, America, Levittown, New York, Puerto Rico, Real, United States, Horton, Clarksville , Tennessee, Muscatine, Sacramento
The Real Estate Select Sector ETF (XLRE) is the worst performing sector ETF in 2024, up about 3.5% right now. The ETF is net-flat going all the way back to September '22. But, it has been the best sector ETF in July, with a monthly gain of nearly 8%. The answer is a resounding yes… if the breakout in the SPDR S & P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) to new highs is any indication. And if rates are going to keep declining, then XLRE will have a strong tailwind to potentially catch up to XHB once again.
Persons: XLRE hasn't, XLRE, XHB, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Where inflation is the highest and lowest in America
  + stars: | 2024-07-28 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
The Honolulu metro area in Hawaii, meanwhile, saw the nation’s highest annual inflation rate in May, at 5.2%. Housing costs have therefore eased over the past year, tugging inflation overall much lower. Tight housing-market conditions are also plaguing New York, which at one point boasted the lowest inflation rate in the country. Housing costs make up about a third of the Labor Department’s CPI, a closely watched inflation gauge. Inflation is down substantially from the 40-year highs of two years ago, but housing costs have remained stubbornly elevated.
Persons: , Barbara Denham, Brian Adcock, Willy Nunn, homebuilding, Adcock, , Jane Castor, it’s, homebuilders, Carl Bonham, Mengshin Lin, Roseann Freitas, ” Freitas, Freitas, Josh Green Organizations: Washington CNN, Consumer, Nationwide, Aloha State, Oxford, Labor Department’s CPI, Federal, Boomers, Tampa Bay Chamber, Miami, Tampa, Homes, CNN, ” Tampa, Urban, University of Hawaii, Washington Post, Building Industry Association of Hawaii Locations: The Tampa, St, Petersburg, Clearwater, Florida, Honolulu, Hawaii, Tampa Bay, homebuilding, Houston , Minneapolis, Denver, Central Florida, New York, Tampa The Tampa, Tampa, Hillsborough County, Pasco County, Miami, , Urban Hawaii, Lahaina , Hawaii, Lahaina
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConcerns about unsold homes and price drops are unwarranted, says Evercore ISI's Stephen KimStephen Kim, homebuilders analyst at Evercore ISI, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the housing market.
Persons: Evercore ISI's Stephen Kim Stephen Kim Organizations: Evercore ISI
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