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The "revenue driver" in question is last year's advertising blitz from large online Chinese retailers that made up about 10% of Meta's overall revenue. Evidence of slower or moderating ad spending from big retailers with ties to the world's second-largest economy could force Meta to lean into some of its other strengths. Analysts at the firm conducted a stress test — benchmarking a worst-case scenario for Meta's Chinese ad revenue in the second half of 2024. Mizuho analysts said Meta can leverage volume drivers such as increasing the ad load on Reels using artificial intelligence. Mizuho also believes special events like the U.S. presidential election and the Olympics should help support ad spending in the back half of the year.
Persons: Shein, Bernstein, Temu, Mizuho, monetization, Josh Silverman, we're, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Jonathan Raa Organizations: Wall Street, Holdings, Nasdaq, Meta, Mizuho, Amazon, U.S, Google, CNBC, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: Temu, China, Ireland, Shanghai, Singapore, U.S, London, Meta
Shares of Logitech are up 2% on the year and could rally another 17%, if Scemama's target price holds true. Analyst Kristine Liwag accompanied the move by raising her price target to $225 from $178. The bank reiterated its overweight rating on the credit card stock but lifted its price target to $275 from $265. International revs should run above the 10%+," the analyst added. Goldman analyst Tina Hou set a 12-month price target of $34, while Bank of America analyst Ming Hsun Lee set a price objective of $35.
Persons: Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, TZE, Brian Lee, Lee, — Spencer Kimball, Didier Scemama, Scemama, — Lisa Kailai Han, Morgan Stanley, Kristine Liwag, Heico's, Liwag, Stanley Black, Decker, Julian Mitchell, Mitchell, Wells, Wells Fargo, Donald Fandetti, Fandetti, Canaccord, Kingsley Crane, Crane, Oppenheimer, Jed, Kelly foresees, FanDuel —, Kelly, Zeekr, Tina Hou, Ming Hsun Lee, Hou, Stacy Rasgon, Rasgon, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Broadcom, Bank of America, Investors, Technologies, Department of Energy, Logitech, Boeing, Barclays, Stanley, Nvidia, American, Express, American Express, U.S . American Express, Wall, Zeekr, China EV, China, Geely Automobile, AMD Locations: Monday's, EU, U.S, China, BofA
Utility stocks are an affordable way to gain exposure to the artificial intelligence trend and hedge against a slowing economy even after the sector's recent rally, according to Goldman Sachs. Yet, utility stocks still remain relatively affordable. Goldman is forecasting above consensus earnings growth of 2% on average in 2026 for the 16 utility stocks it covers. NextEra , Xcel Energy , Sempra and Southern Company offer the best exposure to the data center power demand surge among Goldman's buy-rated stocks, according to the bank. "However, a return to a rising bond yield environment could weigh on the performance of utilities," the Goldman analysts said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Ryan Hammond Organizations: Utilities, Xcel Energy, Sempra, Southern Company, American Electric Power Company, Eversource Energy, FirstEnergy Corp, Federal Reserve, Goldman Locations: U.S
On an annual basis, Costco's EPS grew 29%. After closing at a record $815.34 per share Thursday, Costco's stock declined about 1.5% in extended trading. Core merchandise was flat on a reported basis, but a two-basis-point improvement when excluding the impact of gasoline. Costco's reporting segment for so-called "other" items saw a 57-basis-point benefit on a reported basis and a 56-basis-point benefit ex-gas. Costco's inflation update remained encouraging.
Persons: We're, Ron Vachris, Gary Millerchip, Vachris, Millerchip, Costco didn't, that's, Richard Galanti, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Costco Wholesale, Costco, LSEG, Wholesale, Walmart, Club, Amazon, CNBC, Costco Self, Ucg, Getty Locations: U.S, Canada, Queens , New York
"With yields holding firm at elevated levels , large caps continue to outperform small caps. Hopes for multiple rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year have dimmed after recent inflation readings showed signs of stickiness. An economy that is growing more slowly, but with cooler inflation, could be the combination small caps need. Small caps could also benefit from an uptick in the global economy that benefits areas like manufacturing that has heavy representation in the small-cap index. Investors who really want exposure to small caps could also look outside of the U.S. Wolfe Research analyst Rob Ginsberg said in a May 29 note to clients that global small caps are outperforming their U.S. counterparts and are poised for a potential breakout.
Persons: Russell, Todd Sohn, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Chad Miller, you've, Miller, Cayla, Seder, Mark Haefele, Solita, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Rob Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, ESG, Silicon Valley Bank, Federal Reserve, Big Tech, Companies, UBS, Institute, Supply, PMI, Investors, U.S . Wolfe Research Locations: Thrivent, Silicon
Foot Locker surged Thursday after its quarterly earnings report showed signs that CEO Mary Dillon's turnaround plan is starting to pay off. At its highs of the session Thursday, Foot Locker was up nearly 32% before giving up some of those gains. That counts for something, especially when Foot Locker's stock entered Thursday down nearly 35% since the session before the March disaster. Encouragingly, Dillon told CNBC that Foot Locker and Kids Foot Locker saw positive comp-store sales. Foot Locker Why we own it: We are in Foot Locker for the turnaround.
Persons: Locker, Mary Dillon's, Dillon, Thursday's, Foot, Mary Dillon, Jim Cramer, Encouragingly, comps, Nike, we've, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Xavi Lopez Organizations: LSEG, CNBC, Nike, Holding, JD, Dick's Sporting Goods, Shoppers, Lightrocket, Getty Locations: Oregon, It's, Spain
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementWhile growth has normalized, prices still remain elevated, with median prices of existing and new homes both near all-time highs. In fact, the Housing Affordability Index fell to its all-time low last year, but Schwab noted that it seems to be pushing back up from the bottom. AdvertisementThe bank added that mortgage rates are likely to keep drifting higher, as federal interest rates normalize at around current levels. "Yet, a stabilization in activity, price growth, and interest rate volatility will likely provide a more stable foundation for the sector."
Persons: , Charles Schwab, Schwab, That's, homebuilders, it's Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Redfin
How long this trend will last is unclear, though it's clear a lot will depend on the direction of interest rates. This dynamic isn't surprising given a high interest rate environment that has pressured consumers. "Elevated interest rates are causing customers to defer their large discretionary projects," UBS analyst Michael Lasser said. "This means that a recovery should be robust as interest rates move lower." "Existing home sales also continue to be a material headwind to remodel activity as long as interest rates remain relatively high," Badishkanian said.
Persons: Richard McPhail couldn't, McPhail, Marvin Ellison, Bradley Thomas, Greg Melich, it's, Michael Lasser, Melich, bode, Wolfe, Greg Badishkanian, Badishkanian, Edward Decker, KeyBanc's Thomas, Ellison, Lowe's, Thomas, Lowe's Ellison Organizations: Home, Federal Reserve, Depot, CNBC, UBS, Home Depot, Wolfe Research, Lowe's, Pro, FactSet Locations: Lowe's, Friday's
Vistra Corp. has doubled over that period, while Constellation Energy is up nearly 62% and NextEra Energy has surged 34%. "This is not your old utility, where you just get a dividend and you're happy," Shahriar Pourreza, managing director of energy, power and utilities at Guggenheim Partners, told CNBC. The sector was oversold coming into 2024, with the market going too far in pricing in the impact of interest rates, Pourreza said. Power companies with deregulated assets are able to respond to market conditions more quickly than traditional utilities, he said. The tech sector is looking for clean energy to power data centers as they are simultaneously trying to limit their carbon footprints.
Persons: Pourreza, Jerome Powell, Goldman Sachs, Stephanie Link, CNBC's, Paul Hickey, Vistra, NextEra Organizations: Utilities, Vistra Corp, Constellation Energy, NextEra Energy, Guggenheim Partners, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Investors, HighTower Advisors, Investment Group, Constellation, Services, Microsoft Locations: It's, U.S, Wells
Shares of Palo Alto plunged 28% on Feb. 21, a session after the company delivered a more cautious outlook for the rest of 2024. The shift in business strategy requires Palo Alto to give customers its new services and products for free to demonstrate their many benefits. PANW YTD mountain Palo Alto Networks (PANW) year-to-date performance 2. The Club is focused on how much industry spend is going to Palo Alto versus competitors, but we're not concerned about demand for the company's offerings. In this photo illustration the Palo Alto Networks logo seen displayed on a smartphone and on the background.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Sellers, Nikesh Arora, Palo, We'd, it's, PANW, Arora, Jim Cramer, We've, nudging, Stephen Vintz, we're, Jim, Jim Cramer's, Rafael Henrique Organizations: Palo Alto Networks, Wall Street, Palo, Tech, Barclays, Palo Alto, billings, Wall, Alto Networks, UnitedHealth Group, Change, Healthcare, Club, Microsoft, Vans, Corp, Caesars Entertainment, Securities, Exchange, US Fed, CNBC, Networks, Getty Locations: Palo Alto, U.S, Palo, billings, Palo Alto's, Alto
Goldman Sachs said this week that there are plenty of cheap tech stocks to buy coming out of earnings. The information technology sector has reported a year-over-year earnings growth rate of 23.2%, according to John Butters, senior earnings analyst at FactSet. CNBC Pro combed through Goldman Sachs' research to find the most underappreciated buy-rated tech stocks. "Second, ANET has growing confidence in its AI position and its > $750 mn AI revenue target for 2025," he added. Second, ANET has growing confidence in its AI position and its > $750 mn AI revenue target for 2025.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Butters, Goldman, Noah Poponak, Poponak, Kash Rangan, Rangan, Michael Ng, Arista's, Ng, ANET Organizations: FactSet, CNBC, Microsoft, Teledyne Technologies, Arista Networks, Arista, TAM, Cloud Titans, Cloud Locations: 2H24
While he pulled back his price target to $26 from $32, the new target still indicates shares surging 126% from Wednesday's close. Fox's fiscal third quarter results came above Rief Ehrlich's expectations, which she noted were encouraging "amid a difficult linear advertising environment." — Fred Imbert 5:50 a.m.: Wall Street on the sidelines for Airbnb Airbnb's weaker-than-expected forward guidance has analysts worried about the company's growth outlook. Post pulled back his price target by $8 to $160, just 1.3% above where shares closed on Wednesday. Meanwhile, analyst Eric Sheridan moved his price target slightly higher to $130 from $123, suggesting around 18% downside.
Persons: Raymond James ., Jefferies, Dushyant Ailani, Ailani, — Hakyung Kim, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, … Fox, Davidson downgrades, Davidson, Tom White, Tripadvisor, we'd, White, Hakyung Kim, Raymond James Cheesecake Factory, Raymond James, Brian Vaccaro, Vaccaro, Andrew Boone, Shopify, Boone, Fred Imbert, Airbnb, LSEG, Morgan Stanley, Brian Nowak, Nowak, Bank of America's Justin Post, Post, Goldman Sachs, Eric Sheridan Organizations: CNBC, JPM Securities, Cheesecake, Bank of America, Fox, Media, of America, , Factory, Cheesecake Factory, JMP Securities, Bank of America's Locations: Wednesday's, 2H24
April saw the highest number of corporate bankruptcies in a year, S&P Global said. Eroding bets of an interest rate cut contribute to this, as burdened business throw in the towel. AdvertisementCorporate bankruptcies increased in recent months amid teetering confidence in a quick interest rate pivot. AdvertisementBy one measure, rising costs did slow when a rate cut looked likely in early 2024. But last month's stubborn inflation and slowing GDP made a Fed cut look unlikely, and yields shot up to 8.11%.
Persons: , April's, Frances Donald Organizations: P Global, Service, Federal, ICE, Fed, Investment
Read previewA more intense cold war between the US and China would have a potentially dire impact on the global economy, according to an official from the International Monetary Fund. Speaking at Stanford University on Tuesday, IMF deputy managing director Gita Gopinath said that while US-China tensions haven't yet devolved into a full-blown cold war, such an escalation would be a major headwind to global growth. Advertisement"The emergence of these 'connector' countries—perhaps most notably Mexico and Vietnam—may have helped cushion the global economic impact of direct trade decoupling between the U.S. and China," Gopinath said. Zooming out, Gopinath highlighted that geopolitical instability in regions like the Middle East and turmoil stemming from the Russia-Ukraine war has sparked trade turbulence unseen since the Cold War. The IMF emphasized that trade fragmentation carries a higher price tag today, with the goods trade-to-GDP ratio now at 45% compared to 16% at the onset of the Cold War.
Persons: , Gita Gopinath, Gopinath Organizations: Service, International Monetary Fund, Stanford University, Tuesday, Business, IMF, U.S Locations: China, Mexico, Vietnam, Russia, Ukraine
Fed not cutting rates would be a headwind to Asian markets: UBS
  + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed not cutting rates would be a headwind to Asian markets: UBSHartmut Issel, head Asia-Pacific equities and credit at UBS Global Wealth Management, says, however, that his base case is that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interests rates twice this year, starting in September.
Persons: UBS Hartmut Issel Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, U.S . Federal Locations: Asia, Pacific
Uber reported first-quarter results Wednesday that came in slightly above analysts' estimates for revenue, but the ride-hailing company posted an unexpected net loss. The company's net loss widened to $654 million, or a 32 cent loss per share, from a loss of $157 million, or an 8 cent loss per share, in the same quarter last year. Uber said its net loss includes a $721 million net headwind from unrealized losses related to the reevaluation of its equity investments. Uber reported adjusted EBITDA of $1.38 billion, up 82% year over year and slightly above the $1.31 billion expected by analysts polled by StreetAccount. Uber anticipates adjusted EBITDA of $1.45 billion to $1.53 billion, compared with the $1.49 billion expected by analysts.
Persons: Uber, LSEG, CNBC's, Dara Khosrowshahi, Khosrowshahi, StreetAccount Organizations: Uber, LSEG Revenue, StreetAccount, Mobility
Steve Eisman told Bloomberg TV that Apple will benefit from the coming wave of AI-based applications. Prospects of an AI iPhone have spurred bullish calls among other analysts. AdvertisementApple is well positioned to exploit the second leg of artificial intelligence, as the technology starts to take the form of mobile applications, Steve Eisman said. Sacconaghi's bullishness preceded Apple's winning earnings, during which CEO Tim Cook teased big AI announcements to come. AdvertisementWhen it comes to AI, Eisman has previously touted big investments in infrastructure, which would benefit from the tech's massive power demand.
Persons: Steve Eisman, , everybody's, Neuberger Berman, we're, Eisman, Bernstein's, Toni Sacconaghi, Sacconaghi's bullishness, Tim Cook, Dan Ives Organizations: Bloomberg, Apple, Service, Nvidia, AMD, Cook, Co, Securities, Worldwide Locations: China
A recession by early next year could send stocks down 30%, says BCA strategist Roukaya Ibrahim. AdvertisementThere are two factors signaling a recession by year-end or early 2025, and a downturn could spark a 30% correction in stocks, according to BCA strategist Roukaya Ibrahim. "But eventually, the unemployment rate is going to take higher and that's going to lead to concerns about a recession." Ibrahim isn't alone in calling a recession and a steep plunge in the stock market. Wall Street veteran Gary Shilling, known for predicting the mid-2000s mortgage bubble, is also forecasting a 30% stock market crash by the end of this year, with a recession likely to crush speculative bets that have piled up in recent years.
Persons: Roukaya Ibrahim, Gary Shilling, , Ibrahim, Ibrahim isn't Organizations: Wall Street, Service, Bloomberg Locations: Friday's, China, Europe
Berkshire Hathaway shares are near all-time highs ahead of the conglomerate's annual shareholder meeting, but a few worries are weighing on analysts' minds. BRK.B ALL mountain Berkshire Hathaway Class B shares But that doesn't mean the stock is without its problems. Berkshire Hathaway Energy Berkshire Hathaway has been contending with several high-profile lawsuits in recent months, including the settlement this year of a billion-dollar lawsuit with the Haslam family over how Berkshire valued Pilot Travel Centers, a truck-stop giant. Her 12-month price target of $472 implies Berkshire shares can climb roughly 18% from Thursday's closing price of $400.60 per share. "I think that the future is very bright for Berkshire Hathaway," Shanahan said.
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, Cathy Seifert, Berkshire Hathaway Energy Berkshire Hathaway, Haslam, PacifiCorp, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Edward Jones, James Shanahan, CFRA's Seifert, Seifert, Shanahan, Bull Organizations: Berkshire, Berkshire Hathaway, CFRA Research, Berkshire Hathaway Energy Berkshire, Travel Centers, Berkshire Hathaway Energy, Federal Reserve, CNBC Locations: Berkshire, Oregon, Northern California, Warren, Woodstock, Omaha , Nebraska
Less than a month ago, analysts were calling for subdued earnings growth of just 3%. Although higher rates can be a headache, Lefkowitz said earnings growth matters most. Instead of obsessing over when interest rates will fall, Lefkowitz said investors should consider the reasoning behind the Fed's decisions. "If rates are rising and that's leading to more confidence in the earnings growth outlook, then that shouldn't be a headwind to markets," Lefkowitz said. Follow this 5-part investing game planHealthy earnings growth and a resilient economy have strategists at UBS GWM bullish about US stocks.
Persons: Jonathan Golub, weren't, that's, David Lefkowitz, Lefkowitz, , shouldn't Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS, Business, UBS GWM, Bank of America, Federal, Healthcare
Coinbase reported better-than-expected revenue in its first-quarter earnings report on Thursday. Transaction revenue has historically been a primary driver of revenue, with subscription and services revenue bringing in $511 million for the quarter. The stock tends to benefit from big gains in bitcoin as large rallies in the cryptocurrency lead to increased trading volumes and demand for other services. During the first quarter, bitcoin hit a new all-time high above $73,000 in March, and ethereum, the second-biggest digital asset, underwent its first major upgrade in over a year. "Indeed, trading volumes on Coinbase's platform have come well down from early-March levels."
Persons: Coinbase, bitcoin, Raymond James analysts, Raymond James Organizations: SEC, Coinbase Locations: U.S, bitcoin, Crypto.com
Earnings per share rose 1% to $1.53, a March quarter record, and exceeded the LSEG consensus estimate of $1.50. This resulted in stronger-than-expected free cash flow, which is more important than operating cash flow because it is cash Apple can ultimately return to shareholders via buybacks and dividends. During the reported quarter, Apple paid over $27 billion to shareholders, including $3.7 billion in dividends and equivalents and another $23.5 billion via the repurchase of 130 million shares. Quarterly results Apple's services sales notched another record, which offset a slight miss in product sales and led to beats on gross and operating income. iPad sales are expected to gain double digits year over year, much better than the 5.9% expected on Wall Street.
Persons: Tim Cook, Cook, we're, Apple, Luca Maestri, Maestri, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Apple, Management, MacBook, MacBook Air, Apple Watch, Fortune, Apple Vision, KLM Airlines, CNBC, Apple Inc, Visual China, Getty Locations: China, Greater China, America, East, Canada, India, Spain, Turkey, Indonesia, WWDC, U.S, Australia, France, Germany, Japan, Shanghai
AI stocks plunged on Wednesday after AMD reported guidance that put a cloud over future AI chip demand. AdvertisementAI stocks plunged on Wednesday after AMD offered analysts 2024 revenue guidance for its AI chip that was below analyst estimates. AMD raised its 2024 revenue guidance for its MI300 AI chip by $500 million to $4 billion. While supply constraints seem to be a headwind for AMD's AI chip business, so too could be competition. The company's MI300 chip is a direct competitor to Nvidia's immensely popular H100 chip, and AMD claims that its chip outperforms Nvidia's.
Persons: , Lisa Su, Goldman Sachs, Nvidia's, Jensen Huang, Huang Organizations: AMD, Micro Computer, Nvidia, Service, Bloomberg, Nvidia's, Stanford Economic
When mortgage rates rise, consumers look for any way to lower their monthly payments, and that often leads them to adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs). These loans offer lower interest rates than their fixed-rate counterparts but are considered riskier. When mortgage rates hit record lows back in 2021, the ARM share of applications was in the 3% range. Meanwhile, the average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs decreased to 6.60% from 6.64%. "Inflation remains stubbornly high, and this trend is convincing markets that rates, including mortgage rates, are going to stay higher for longer.
Persons: Mike Fratantoni Organizations: Mortgage, Association, ARM, MBA's, Federal Reserve Locations: Hawthorn Woods , Illinois
The 10-year Treasury yield at one point in April neared 4.75% after starting the year below 4%. The anecdote, coupled with troubling inflation and economic growth data in April, helped push Treasury yields higher. More worrisome Powell commentary Wednesday after the Fed decision could further spike Treasury yields — or perhaps, he will sound confident the Fed still has a handle on inflation and rates will decline in response. However, that climb could run out of steam if Federal Reserve comments on Wednesday force Treasury yields higher. Higher interest rates constrain technology companies' ability to post the type of strong growth the sector has become synonymous with in recent years.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, worrisome Powell, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Federal, Tesla, Micro, Treasury
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