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In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMuddy Waters' Carson Block on why he's shorting Fairfax FinancialCarson Block, Muddy Waters Research founder, joins 'Squawk Box' to announce a new short on Fairfax Financial, why he's shorting the company, and more.
Persons: Carson, Fairfax Financial Carson, he's Organizations: Fairfax Financial, Muddy Waters Research
An electronic board shows Shanghai and Shenzhen stock indexes, at the Lujiazui financial district in Shanghai, China October 25, 2022. "It's pretty weak," said Sat Duhra, a portfolio manager at Janus Henderson who devises a macro score for countries by tracking seven factors including PMI surveys, real exchange rates, current accounts, growth estimates and liquidity. Even in Japan, the stock market success story of the year so far, portfolio manager Zuhair Khan at UBP Investments says he's shorting or avoiding companies reliant on China sales. However, I think more importantly, it has fallen short of initial expectations," said Jagdeep Ghuman, a portfolio manager for U.S. asset manager Nuveen. Reporting by Tom Westbrook and Rae Wee in Singapore, Dhara Ranasinghe in London and Summer Zhen and Xie Yu in Hong Kong.
Persons: Aly, Janus Henderson, Seema Shah, Zuhair Khan, Prashant Bhayani, it's, Jagdeep Ghuman, Nuveen, Tom Westbrook, Rae Wee, Dhara, Zhen, Xie Yu, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, BHP, PMI, Global Investors, UBP Investments, Vegas Sands, Wealth Management, U.S, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, Rights SINGAPORE, London, Bangkok, Zealand, Europe, Thailand, Asia, Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong
Dan McNamara's Polpo Capital is shorting office real estate, a risky move that could be lucrative. If you're looking for a doomsday vision of commercial real estate, you can find it there. "I don't think this is the 'Big Short,'" McNamara told me. This doesn't mean he doesn't have a game plan to make money off cultural shifts that could forever change the state of commercial real estate. Lucas Jackson/ReutersWhere he's going longOne risk of shorting real estate is that it's more susceptible to what's known in real-estate circles as "extend and pretend."
Persons: Dan McNamara's, McNamara, it's, It's, shorting, Carl Icahn, Jim Chanos, Brendan McDermid, Dan McNamara, McNamara's, Braver Stern, Dan McNamara McNamara's, suede loafers, McNamara didn't, Josh Nester, Polpo, he's, Morgan Stanley, Kamil Sadik, Lucas Jackson, Manus Clancy, You've, David Tepper's, Trepp's Clancy, Clancy, David Tepper Organizations: Central Park, New, Polpo, New York University, Columbia, Kynikos Associates, Enron, Asset Management, Reuters, UBS, Co, Societe Generale, Securitized Credit Partners, Credit Suisse, MP, Fund, Bloomberg, of America, Simon Property, Federal Locations: Manhattan, Sixth, Central, New York City, New York, MatlinPatterson, America, China, Italy, Westchester , New York, Tribeca, York, Westchester, Waterford , Connecticut, Baltimore, San Francisco
Warren Buffett and Michael Burry are waiting for stocks to crash, Robert Kiyosaki says. The "Rich Dad Poor Dad" author pointed to Buffett stockpiling cash and Burry shorting the market. "I just watch these guys waiting for the market to crash then go back in," the "Rich Dad Poor Dad" author continued. As for Burry, he's warned of a historic bubble and predicted the "mother of all crashes." Like Buffett, he's a value investor who specializes in spotting underpriced businesses, and seeks to capitalize on sell-offs.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Michael Burry, Robert Kiyosaki, Dad, Burry, Buffett, Kiyosaki, Berkshire Hathaway, bearish, Buffett hasn't, Goldman Sachs, he's, it's Organizations: Buffett, Service, Berkshire, Scion, Management, Nasdaq, Electric Locations: Wall, Silicon, Coast
David Rosenberg took a jab at billionaire investor Bill Ackman for his bet against US Treasurys. His view contrasts to Ackman who revealed he's shorting 30-year US Treasurys as a hedge against high inflation. That contrasts to Ackman's view of stubbornly high inflation, which has led him to short US Treasurys. Bond prices tend to have an inverse relationship to interest rates. When interest rates go up, bonds usually fall.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Bill Ackman, Ackman, he's, Rosenberg, Fran Fed's Organizations: US, Service, Rosenberg Research, Reserve, Ackman's, Federal Reserve Bank of San, Federal Reserve, Pershing, stoke Locations: Wall, Silicon, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Billionaire investor Bill Ackman said he is betting against 30-year U.S. Treasurys as a hedge against the impact of long-term rates on stocks in "a world with persistent 3% inflation." Ackman, the founder of Pershing Square Capital Management, also said he is "short in size" on the 30-year U.S. Treasurys because it's "a high probability standalone bet." "We implement these hedges by purchasing options rather than shorting bonds outright," Ackman said said late Wednesday. Ackman argued that if U.S. inflation is 3% in the long term instead of 2%, 30-year Treasury yields could hit 5.5% "and it can happen soon." U.S. inflation stood at 3% in June, while yields on 30-year Treasury hit 4.2% — its highest since early November.
Persons: Bill Ackman, Olivia Tournay Flatto, Ackman, Fitch Organizations: Armory, Billionaire, Pershing, Capital Management, AAA, White, Treasury Locations: New York City
One report, written by the Federal Reserve's own economists, left me with not exactly an upbeat outlook. Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell testifies during a House Committee on Financial Services hearing, Wednesday, July 18, 2018, Capitol Hill in Washington. That is, more than a third of companies could default in the coming months, thanks to tightening monetary policy. Basically, they are predicting that companies feel pain in times of policy tightening, especially those with weaker balance sheets to begin with. Investors should monitor these bearish signals to stay ahead of a potential sell-off in the stock market.
Persons: Phil Rosen, You'll, Jerome Powell, Jacquelyn Martin, Ander Perez, Orive, Yannick Timmer, Kevin Rendino, he's shorting, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Max Adams, Hallam Bullock Organizations: Federal, Financial Services, Capitol, European Central Bank, Bloomberg, Bank of America, Barclays, Elon Musk's Locations: New York, Washington, London
Moving forward, we'll be highlighting the latest markets news in our daily flagship newsletter, Insider Today — be sure to sign up. The excitement around ChatGPT, AI, and related tech stocks is old news now, but Wall Street can't stop talking about it. Elon Musk, Nouriel Roubini, and a chorus of Wall Street firms have issued dire warnings. The country's slowing trade, weak industrial production numbers, and piling debt all ultimately present problems for Wall Street, which may be catching on to the risk. What do you see as the connection between economic troubles and AI hype?
Persons: Phil Rosen, , It's, Pepper, Paco Freire, that's, Zahra Tayeb, Elon Musk, Roubini, Kelvin Wong, Angela Weiss, Wagner, Vladimir Putin, Gary Black's, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Jason Ma, Jack Sommers Organizations: Getty, Nvidia, Federal, Street, Wall, Nasdaq, Carnival plc, Harvard, Elon Locations: New York, China, America, Los Angeles, London
Gary Black says the stock market will continue to trend higher with volatility this year. What the remainder of 2023 has in store for the stock market is anyone's guess at this point. But Gary Black, a 20-year fund manager, and the portfolio manager and managing partner at The Future Fund, has a more positive outlook. The next mega trend is big data and cyber security. mega trend losersOn the side of stocks being shorted, these are the companies that Black expects will lose market share due to these mega trends.
Persons: Gary Black, Phillip Wool, it's, Black, He's, cybertruck, Tesla, Elon Musk, Eli Lilly, Lilly, LULU, Armour Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, EV, Tesla, Company, Palo Alto Networks, Nvidia, Toyota, CNBC, Bloomberg, UA, MAX Holdings Locations: China's, overproducing
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAsset manager explains why he's shorting commercial property stocksPatrick Armstrong, chief investment officer at Plurimi, believes commercial property stocks are valued too high right now, in a trend also seen at private equity companies.
In late 2021 Matthew Tuttle launched a fund that bets against the ARK Innovation ETF. A month ago he started a new ETF that shorts stocks picked by Jim Cramer of "Mad Money." Tuttle, the CEO and investment chief of Tuttle Capital Management, is starting to get a lot of requests for "anti"-ETFs. When shorting big name investors makes senseIt's easy to assume Tuttle is motivated by personal or professional dislike for Wood and Cramer. While he's considered creating an anti-fintwit ETF, Tuttle is still positive on Fintwit itself.
Jack Kellogg began trading stocks right out of high school in 2017. I'm just using basic trend lines, support, resistance, volume, and those are all my indicators," Kellogg said. By the time the stock market began to rally hard in 2020, he was ready to ride the upwards wave. He uses it on the daily chart as a guide to determine a good buy-in price for the stock he's trading. This gives him a better sense that the stock's price action will trend according to his thesis.
Miller told CNBC on Friday that Tesla is starting to lose market share as more electric vehicles hit the road. All the major auto-makers are pivoting to electric vehicles and Tesla is starting to lose ground to them, according to Miller. And all of them are coming with electric vehicles," Miller said. Aside from competition, Miller's bearish argument on Tesla also boils down to the ongoing debate between bulls and bears: is Tesla a tech company or a car company? The earnings multiple if you consider it a tech stock is not out of whack certainly with its dominance in electric vehicles," Miller said.
Neal Berger's hedge fund returned 163% in 2022 betting on the end of the easy money era, according to a Bloomberg report. Berger said more pain is still to come for global markets and everything will continue to decline. "The reason why I started the fund was that central bank flows were going to change 180 degrees. Per the report, Eagle's View has about $700 million in assets under management, and roughly $200 million in the Contrarian Macro Fund. In particular, his Contrarian Macro Fund is mostly betting against Europen and American assets, though it also has hedges that will pay returns in upswings.
But to Musk, prices have already started dropping, which eliminates the need for the Fed to keep rates so high. If it was all [interest] rates, NDX would be down a similar amount," Black tweeted at Musk. Ultimately, Tesla investors shouldn't feel alone in their pain amid downtrodden stock prices this year. How has your view of Tesla stock changed since October? Their managers told us how they overcame a brutal year for the stock market, and shared the stock picks that worked best.
Elon Musk said the plunge in Tesla stock might present a "buying opportunity." The automaker's CEO blasted the Fed for hiking interest rates when prices may already be declining. "I keep saying that Fed rate is insane, because data I'm seeing says we're already in deflation," he tweeted. He appeared to be speaking from experience, given he's personally borrowed against his Tesla stock, and relied on leverage to finance his Twitter purchase this year. Musk may blame Tesla's stock plunge on the Fed slashing the appeal of stocks this year.
"The Big Short" investor Michael Burry, known for calling the subprime mortgage crisis, hinted that he currently has a sizable short position after being bearish throughout 2022. "You have no idea how short I am," Burry said in a Tuesday evening tweet. It's unclear what kind of bet Burry is making, if he's shorting any specific sectors or stocks or just the whole market. A new regulatory filing showed at the end of the third quarter, Burry held relatively small positions in just six names. Short positions are not disclosed in quarterly reports.
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