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CNN —Ford is recalling more than 550,000 F-150 pickups in the United States because of an issue that can cause the transmission to suddenly and unexpectedly, at any speed, shift down to first gear. Before that happens, a malfunction indicator light in the truck’s gauge cluster may turn on Ford spokesperson Maria Buczkowski said in an email to CNN. To fix the problem, Ford dealers will update the trucks’ control module software at no cost to the owner. Ford will start mailing letters to owners of the trucks involved in a few days. A new software update to fix the 2014 trucks will be ready sometime in the next three months, Buczkowski said.
Persons: CNN — Ford, Maria Buczkowski, Ford, Buczkowski Organizations: CNN, Ford Locations: United States
Now people are taking full-blown holidays while on the job as part of a trend that's been called "quiet vacationing." It's a stark reminder of how broken American work culture is, just in time for summer. Pretending to work when you're not or acting like you're putting in more hours than you do is not a new phenomenon. If you're quiet vacationing and your boss doesn't know, good for you, I guess. Regardless of how up front (or not) employees are, at the end of the day, American work culture is the bad guy here.
Persons: margarita, munches, they're, Rebecca Zucker, they'd, , it's, overworkers, Malissa Clark, Clark, downshift, Zucker, We're, we're, aren't, doesn't Organizations: Harris, Workers, University of Georgia, Business Locations: sipping, American
When consumer sentiment falters or the economy starts to teeter, RV sales follow suit, said Michael Hicks, an economics professor at Ball State University and director of Indiana University’s Center for Business and Economic Research. “People don’t make these large, luxury purchases unless they’re actually feeling better about the economy,” said Hicks, who follows the RV industry closely. “It’s so sensitive to interest rate changes, which often precede a downturn.”A Winnebago travel trailer at Motor Sportsland RV dealership in Salt Lake City on April 6, 2020. Nika Shneyder and her father and business partner, Alex Shneyder, standing by a Chill RV in Malibu RV Park, California, in 2019. They moved down to a historically strong, but noticeably smaller, 493,000 the next year, according to data from the RV Industry Association.
Persons: That’s, Nika Shneyder, “ We’re, ” Shneyder, , Michael Hicks, , Hicks, George Frey, bode, ” Michael J, Happe, hasn’t, We’ve, we’ve, Covid, Alex Shneyder, Nika, they’d, Monika Geraci, David Titus, Ty Wright, there’s, Ball State’s Hicks, ’ Titus, they’re, we’ll, Titus, ” Titus Organizations: CNN, Ball State University, Indiana University’s Center for Business, Economic Research, Bloomberg, Getty, Winnebago Industries, RV Industry, Dealers, RVs, Consumers, HL Enterprise, Manufacturing, of Labor Statistics Locations: Los Angeles, teeter, Salt Lake City, YOLO, Malibu, , California, Elkhart , Indiana, The Northern Indiana, South Bend, Elkhart, , Elkhart .
Despite a stock market that's less than 1% away from record highs, bearish forecasts are out in full force. And a weakening in the labor market will crush investor confidence and send the stock market falling by as much as 30%. BCA Research: A recession in early 2025 will cause 30% stock market declineBCA strategist Roukaya Ibrahim warned that a 30% correction in the stock market could be sparked by a recession early next year. Rosenberg famously predicted the 2008 recession, but his consistently bearish economic outlooks since then have largely fallen flat. Advertisement"Forward earnings rose to a record high during April, consistent with a solid labor market.
Persons: , they're, Gary Shilling, we've, Shilling, BI's Jennifer Sor, we're, John Hussman, Hussman, wouldn't, Roukaya Ibrahim, Ibrahim, David Rosenberg, We're, Rosenberg, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, landers Organizations: Service, Wall, Hussman Investment Trust, BCA, Bloomberg Locations: Wall
Read previewThe US could be "sleepwalking" into a recession, and signs of a downturn in key areas of the economy are starting to show, according to top economist David Rosenberg. That's a strong sign the economy is weakening, as manufacturing has only contracted on two occasions since 1997 without the economy later slipping into recession, Rosenberg noted. The 2-10 Treasury yield curve, a notoriously accurate recession indicator, has signaled a coming downturn since July 2022. The labor market is cracking, a slowdown in services activity is dragging on real-time growth, and forward looking financial signals still point to a coming slowdown," Rosenberg said. Rosenberg has been warning of a coming recession for months — and fears of a downturn are rising as investors anticipate the Fed keeping interest rates higher-for-longer.
Persons: , David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, We're, That's Organizations: Service, Business, Treasury
—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: XLU, Katie Stockton Organizations: Utilities, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities
The U.S. economy continued to grow but at a sharply slower rate early this year, as strong consumer spending was offset by pockets of weakness in other sectors. Taken on its own, the downshift in growth is not necessarily worrisome, particularly given that the Federal Reserve has been trying to cool off the economy. And the weaker first quarter numbers were driven in part by big shifts in business inventories and international trade, which often swing wildly from one quarter to the next. Still, the slowdown has come at the same time that the Fed’s fight against inflation has stalled: Prices rose more quickly in the first quarter than at the end of last year. That raises the uncomfortable possibility that high interest rates are taking a toll on economic activity but not succeeding in fully taming inflation.
Organizations: Gross, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Opinion: Trump videos send wildly different messages
  + stars: | 2024-03-31 | by ( Richard Galant | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +19 min
We’re looking back at the strongest, smartest opinion takes of the week from CNN and other outlets. In a video promoting the Bible, Trump said, “Religion and Christianity are the biggest things missing from this country. … we need to bring them back.”On Good Friday, Trump posted a very different kind of video. It showed an image of President Joe Biden lying sideways and tied up in the bed of a pickup truck. “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s independent presidential campaign can’t win, but it could swing the presidency to former President Donald Trump,” Begala wrote.
Persons: Matthew Arnold, Homer, King James, Donald Trump, , Lee Greenwood’s, AJ Willingham, Trump, Joe Biden, Drew Sheneman, MAGA, Biden, Fareed Zakaria, ” Zakaria, Candida Moss, he’ll, he’s, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Julian Zelizer, ” “, , ” Clay, , Obama, “ Obama, CNN Trump, , Attorney Alvin Bragg, “ Trump, Stormy Daniels, ” Norman Eisen, Andrew Warren, James Antle III, stoked, Letitia James, Dali, Francis Scott Key, Tasos Katopodis, Richard Timme, ” Timme, Salvatore R, Mercogliano, , Jalal Baig, Catherine, Princess of Wales, Baig, Paul Hockenos, “ It’s, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Nicole Shanahan, Eric Risberg, Paul Begala, Ross Perot, George H, Bush, “ Robert F, can’t, ” Begala, ” Shanahan “, Sergey Brin, Hillary Clinton, Pete Buttigieg, Ro Khanna, Lee Drutman, Mark Osler, Jill Filipovic, Lisa Murkowski, Obeidallah, Johnson Ronna, Ronna McDaniel, Justin Sullivan, McDaniel, ” McDaniel, David Zurawik, Jack Ohman, Walt Handelsman, Tim Hubbard, Dennis Muilenburg —, Max, David Calhoun, , ” Hubbard, Annelle, ” Sheline, ” Don’t, Frida Ghitis, Putin, Howard Fischer, Keith O’Brien, Pete Rose, Nick Anderson, Agency Sara Stewart, Mary Ziegler, Patrick T, Brown, shouldn’t, Emma Firth, Carter ’ Parkwood, Roxanne Jones, Cowboy Carter, Beyoncé, ” Jones Organizations: CNN, Oxford University, New, Trump, Nasdaq, NYPD, Hollywood, Biden, Cupp, Obama, Manhattan, Attorney, Democratic, US Coast Guard, Baltimore, Federal Highway Administration, RFK Jr, RFK, Google, The New York Times, Republican National Committee, NBC News, , Press, NBC, MSNBC, Content Agency Boeing, Notre Dame, Boeing, US State Department, Israel, Tribune, Agency, Sony, AP Locations: Independence, New York City, America, New, Manhattan, Queens, New York, Baltimore, Coast, Suez, Port, China, Argentina, Red, Gaza, Wales, Northern California, California, Israel, Columbia
Berlin CNN —For old-school connoisseurs of the automobile — usually men — driving means operating a beloved vehicle by touch, with three pedals underfoot and a shift stick at hand. Paul Hockenos Hayyan Al-YousoufIn Europe, this clientele is responsible for a good deal of the moaning about manual transmission’s demise. Well, Zen or not, the day of manual transmissions is speeding to an end — and this layman is shedding no tears. For one, the oft-repeated benefits of a stick shift over an automatic have been redundant now for years. The explanation: automatics select the right gear for the vehicle, usually the highest gear possible.
Persons: Paul Hockenos, , Paul Hockenos Hayyan, Mercedes Benz, upshift, ’ ”, Sigmund Freud, it’s, Robert M, It’s, , , Cristine Organizations: CNN, Berlin CNN, Porsche, BMW, Volkswagen, Swiss, Neue Zürcher, Art, Environmental Protection Agency, International Energy Agency, Toyota Locations: Berlin, Europe, New Berlin, Yousouf, Germany, New York, San Francisco, Oslo, Norway
If you like your situation right now — your job, your house, your car — you can keep it. The labor market has cooled off somewhat, making it less advantageous to hunt for a new job. The car market is in a similar situation. Employers are hiring as if there's a relatively weak labor market, not a strong one. Yes, the labor market is strong, but it's not a great time to go looking for a new job.
Persons: Joanne Hsu, there's, they're, , Dana Peterson, that's, it's, Matt Darling, Darling, Tamara Charm, Charm, Emily Stewart Organizations: University of Michigan, Labor Statistics, Conference Board, Companies, Employers, Niskanen, McKinsey, Business
If the forecast is close to accurate, it would mark a considerable downshift from January's explosive growth of 353,000, but still representative of a fairly vibrant labor market. "This is kind of a cautious labor market. ZipRecruiter's quarterly job-seeker survey showed expectations for the medium-term outlook hitting a series high, while applicants also indicated stronger levels of confidence in their financial wellbeing and current state of the labor market. A jobs market that remains red-hot could deter the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates this year as expected. In its most recent survey of economic conditions, the Fed found that the ultra-tight labor market has loosened somewhat, but there are still active pockets.
Persons: Spencer Platt, Dow, Julia Pollak, they're, Pollak, Raphael Bostic, they've, Tom Gimbel, Jerome Powell, Gimbel Organizations: Chelsea Market, Getty, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Employers, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Challenger, Labor, Survey, LaSalle Network, Big Tech Locations: Manhattan, New York City, U.S, Covid
Based on my interviews with 263 people ages 100 or older, I've found that the world's longevity champions conduct themselves based on what I call the "Power 9." People in the Blue Zones eat their smallest meal in the late afternoon or early evening, and they don't eat any more the rest of the day. Plant slantBeans, including fava, black, soy and lentils, are the cornerstone of most Blue Zones diets. Wine at 5 p.m.People in Blue Zones, even some Adventists, drink alcohol moderately and regularly. Put loved ones firstCentenarians in the Blue Zones keep aging parents and grandparents nearby or in the home, which studies show can lower the disease and mortality rates of their children.
Persons: I've, Loma, outlive Organizations: Research Locations: Okinawa, Japan, Sardinia, Italy, Costa Rica, Ikaria, Greece, Loma Linda , California
The up-and-coming indie twang band Wednesday released a track called “Formula One” on their 2023 album. Glynn Wedgewood, COTA's senior vice president of music and entertainment, says the track first introduced live music performances with Elton John in 2015. “Artists in Residency can really help bridge that gap.”Tiësto, a lifelong F1 fan, released the album “Drive” in April, featuring an F1 racing helmet on the cover. The Vegas race is the most expensive event on this year’s calendar. The mastermind behind the “Barbie” soundtrack already knows there’s a big crossover between music fans and F1 fans.
Persons: George Harrison, Mario Andretti namecheck, Quest’s, , Red Bull, Sergio “ Checo ” Perez, will.i.am, J Balvin, John Legend, Keith Urban, Kylie Minogue, Glynn Wedgewood, COTA's, Elton John, Taylor Swift, COTA, Adam Lambert, ” Wedgewood, “ It's, , “ It’s, Stefano Domenicali, , Lil Wayne, “ Let’s, J, he’s, , Charles LeClerc, Lewis Hamilton, Christina Aguilera’s, Chloe, Aston Martin, Lance, “ I’ve, hasn’t, Mark Ronson, Barbie, Barbie ’ Organizations: ANGELES, One, Monaco, Las Vegas, U.S, Vegas, ESPN, One’s, Formula One, Prix, Marina, Circuit, , Ferrari, Mobile Locations: , Americas, Austin , Texas, Miami, Wedgewood, Singapore, U.S, Florida, Vegas
Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the PCE price index rose 0.3%, after edging up 0.1% in August. The so-called core PCE price index rose 3.7% on a year-on-year basis in September, the smallest gain since May 2021, after increasing 3.8% in August. Stripping out housing, the core PCE price index rose by a mild 0.2%. The super core PCE price index advanced 4.3% year-on-year in September. Policymakers are watching the super core PCE price index to try and gauge their progress in combating inflation.
Persons: Bing Guan, Sal Guatieri, James Knightley, Chris Low, Pooja Sriram, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Commerce Department, Federal, BMO Capital Markets, Commerce Department's, Economic, Reuters, Consumer, ING, FHN, Treasury, Fed, Barclays, Thomson Locations: SoHo, New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, Toronto, New York
The 10-year yield on Thursday afternoon stood at about 4.7%, some 18 basis points from the 16-year highs touched last week. “Every time the Fed pauses, yields come down, but the market is not convinced they’re quite there yet." There's plenty of evidence that financial conditions, which reflect the availability of credit in the economy, have tightened in recent months. Credit market spreads have widened as investors demand a higher yield on riskier assets, such as corporate bonds. Fed funds futures show investors pricing in a roughly 15% chance of the central bank's raising rates next month, from around 27% last week.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, , Leslie Falconio, they’re, Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan, Mark Dowding, Goldman Sachs, Edward Al, Hussainy, Neuberger Berman, Jonathan Cohn, Davide Barbuscia, Ira Iosebashvili, Megan Davies, Leslie Adler Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, . Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management, Reuters Graphics, Dallas Fed, RBC Global Asset Management, Reuters, Treasury, Columbia, Nasdaq, Nomura Securities International, Thomson
Bonds are starting to make a lot of sense for investors, Forrest said. Even after pulling back somewhat from those levels, the benchmark yield remains within striking distance of the key 5% threshold. The potential unwinding of what BofA recently called the "greatest bond bear market in history" has more investors trying to lock in higher yields ahead of potential rate cuts next year from the Federal Reserve. 'A lot for us to love bonds' Other investors are building out their bond exposure. The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) is off by more than 2% in 2023, but greater than 1% on the week.
Persons: Kim Forrest, she's, Forrest, Bonds, Treasurys, Forrest isn't, Nancy Tengler, She's, , Tengler, Bryce Doty, Emily Roland, CNBC's, I've, Roland, we've, Lawrence Gillum, Bokeh Capital's Forrest, Sit Investment's Doty, LPL Financial's Gillum, Gillum, Sit's Doty, Doty Organizations: Bokeh Capital Partners, Bank of America, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Laffer, Sit Investment, John Hancock Investment Management, LPL, Bloomberg, Bond, Aggregate Bond, Bond Market, Corporations Locations: U.S, Israel
Stock futures were near flat Wednesday night as investors readied for the final trading days of what's shaping up to be a weak month and quarter. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both added 0.1%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite added 0.02% and 0.2%, respectively, while the Dow finished 0.2% lower. Friday marks the end of what has been a tough trading month and quarter. The S&P 500 is slated to finish the month down 5.2% and the quarter off by about 4%.
Persons: Ross Mayfield, Baird Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Micron Technology, Dow, Treasury, PCE, Nike
Storm clouds are growing over the U.S. economy as the third quarter winds down this week. There is the ongoing strike by United Auto Workers members against the major car manufacturers. There is the rising price of oil with the international benchmark Brent crude now sitting above $93 a barrel. Aiding the economy’s escape from a downturn has been an unusual set of circumstances that include falling inflation, rising wages and some leftover stimulus from the COVID pandemic. “Such a shutdown could leave a visible mark on the economy,” Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY Parthenon, said last week.
Persons: Bob Doll, ” Gregory Daco, ” Daco, ” Wells Organizations: United Auto Workers, Brent, Crossmark Advisors, Federal Reserve, , Fed Locations: U.S
Employers added 187,000 jobs in August, above expectations and in line with a labor market that is rebalancing back to normal, the Labor Department reported on Friday. Other labor market data released this week showed a gradual softening of demand for workers from employers. And private payroll firm ADP’s monthly jobs survey for August found employers added 177,000 jobs in the month, below expectations. “Clearly, the labor market is softening,” says Tony Welch, chief investment officer at Signature FD. The downshift reverses a period of high growth for the labor market coming out of the pandemic.
Persons: , Venkat Balakrishnan, Scott Hamilton, Tony Welch Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Resources, Compensation Consulting Locations: Washington
The Labor Department said Friday that the economy added 187,000 jobs in August even as the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.8%. The August jobs report was another sign that the U.S. labor market is cooling off, though some of the sectors that have fueled the post-pandemic rebound remain strong. "Leisure and hospitality still remains well below pre-pandemic levels of employment, and well below pre-pandemic trends in employment. That was driven by a drop of nearly 37,000 positions in trucking, which the Labor Department attributed to a business closure. The sub-category for motion picture and sound recording dropped close to 17,000 jobs, the Labor Department said.
Persons: we're, Andrew Patterson, Patterson, CNBC's Gabriel Cortes Organizations: Labor Department, Vanguard, Hollywood Locations: United States
Unemployment for truck drivers could move higher as larger carriers, like Yellow, feel more pain. The freight recession may also signal a "detox" from the artificial demand spikes and gross margins seen in the pandemic. Retail demand for trucking, too, trended downward in July after a brief uptick early in the month. "This further supports the idea that the freight recession will remain through the rest of 2023." To be sure, much of the freight recession may actually point to a reversion to pre-pandemic trends after years of elevated demand for e-commerce.
Organizations: Motive, Service, Louis Locations: Wall, Silicon, COVID
Sterling traded higher after recovering knee-jerk losses following the Bank of England's decision to downshift to a quarter point rate hike on Thursday. The U.S. dollar index , which gauges the currency against a basket of six counterparts, edged 0.06% lower to 102.39 in Asia. On Thursday, it had pushed to the highest since July 7 at 102.84 at one point, but lost steam later in the day with the monthly nonfarm payrolls report looming on Friday. The dollar slipped slightly to 142.40 yen , as long-term Treasury yields - which the currency pair tends to track closely - retreated from Thursday's nearly nine-month high at 4.198% in Tokyo trading. At the same time, "unless or until what's been happening with Treasury yields reverses, there's no meaningful prospect of dollar-yen coming down here, unless we see a very dramatic deterioration in risk sentiment," he added.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Sterling, Kristina Clifton, BoE, Ray Attrill, Attrill, Kevin Buckland, Brigid Riley, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of, of, U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National Australia Bank, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: China, Asia, Thursday's, Tokyo, U.S
U.S. Dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. Sterling traded slightly higher after recovering knee-jerk losses following the Bank of England's decision to downshift to a quarter point rate hike on Thursday. Meanwhile, the risk-sensitive Australian dollar strengthened amid a rebound in Chinese stocks and U.S. equity futures. The U.S. dollar index , which gauges the currency against a basket of six counterparts, edged 0.07% lower to 102.38 in early Asia. However, the dollar edged higher to 142.64 yen , aided by the rise in long-term Treasury yields to a nearly nine-month high at 4.198% overnight.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Sterling, BoE, Ray Attrill, Attrill, Hong, Kevin Buckland, Brigid Riley, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of, of, U.S, National Australia Bank, European Central Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, Nasdaq, Thomson Locations: Asia, Sterling, U.S, China
Dollar struggles before payrolls test, Aussie rebounds
  + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Banknotes of various currencies: the Japanese Yen, the Australian dollar, the Swedish crown, and the US American dollar on a table in Hamburg, Germany, 19 February 2016. Sterling traded slightly higher after recovering knee-jerk losses following the Bank of England's decision to downshift to a quarter point rate hike on Thursday. Meanwhile, the risk-sensitive Australian dollar strengthened amid a rebound in Chinese stocks and U.S. equity futures. The U.S. dollar index , which gauges the currency against a basket of six counterparts, edged 0.07% lower to 102.38 in early Asia. However, the dollar edged higher to 142.64 yen , aided by the rise in long-term Treasury yields to a nearly nine-month high at 4.198% overnight.
Persons: Sterling, BoE, Ray Attrill, Attrill, Hong Organizations: US, Bank of, of, U.S, National Australia Bank, European Central Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, Nasdaq Locations: Swedish, Hamburg, Germany, Asia, Sterling, U.S, China
Washington, DC CNN —The number of small businesses saying they raised their prices fell in June to its lowest level since March 2021, according to a survey released Tuesday by the National Federation of Independent Business. The share of respondents who reported higher prices dropped by three points last month to 29%, “still a very inflationary level but trending down,” the report showed. “Inflation and labor shortages continue to be great challenges for small businesses,” said the NFIB’s chief economist Bill Dunkelberg in a release. The current tight labor market has been keeping pressure on employers to raise prices to protect their margins — a dynamic that Fed Chair Jerome Powell discussed in recent remarks. The impact of improving supply chainsThe economy has slowed from its red-hot pace after rebounding from the pandemic, but some dynamics that prompted businesses to raise prices have been slowly unwinding.
Persons: , Kieran Clancy, , Bill Dunkelberg, Jerome Powell, Mary Daly Organizations: DC CNN, National Federation of Independent Business, Pantheon, Federal Reserve, Fed, Research, San Francisco Fed Locations: Washington, San
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