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The board’s Consumer Confidence Index slid to 98.7, down from 105.6 in August, the biggest one-month decline since August 2021. By contrast, the index had a reading of 132.6 in February 2020, a month before the Covid pandemic hit. Each of the five components the organization samples fared worse on the month, with the biggest fall coming among those aged 35-54 and earning less than $50,000. “Consumers’ assessments of current business conditions turned negative while views of the current labor market situation softened further. Consumers were also more pessimistic about future labor market conditions and less positive about future business conditions and future income,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board.
Persons: Dow, , Dana Peterson, Stocks, ” Peterson Organizations: Conference Board, Treasury, Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Tuesday she thought her colleagues should have taken a more measured approach to last week’s half percentage point interest rate cut as she worries that inflation could reignite. In explaining her rationale, Bowman said the half percentage point, or 50 basis point, reduction posed a number of risks to the Fed’s twin goals of achieving low inflation and full employment. Though Bowman favored a reduction, she preferred the Fed lower by a quarter percentage point, more in line with the traditional moves at the central bank. In recent statements, Fed officials have cited easing inflation and a softening labor market as justification for the cut. At last week’s meeting, individual policymakers indicated they expect another half percentage point in cuts this year and another full point in 2025.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Organizations: Federal Locations: Kentucky
CNBC Daily Open: Vaguely reassuring Fedspeak
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. In an interview with CNBC, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said, "We still have a strong, healthy labor market. But I want to keep it a strong, healthy labor market." Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic was more circumspect.
Persons: IXIC BRBY, Jerome Powell, Michael Nagle, Neel Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, yesterday's Fedspeak, Dow, Jeff Cox, Brian Evans, Alex Harring Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Market, New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Minneapolis, Atlanta Fed, National Association of State, Chicago Fed, Dow, Nasdaq Locations: New York, U.S
A weak consumer confidence reading caused indexes to briefly drop early morning. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Investors reacted with dismay after the latest consumer sentiment reading, with confidence among US consumers logging its largest one-month drop in more than three years. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index came in at 98.7 for September, well below consensus estimates of a 104 reading. Advertisement"It's never good to see consumer confidence fall this much.
Persons: , Jamie Cox, Jensen Huang Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Harris Financial, Federal Locations: China
September consumer confidence falls the most in three years
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The board's Consumer Confidence Index slid to 98.7, down from 105.6 in August, the biggest one-month decline since August 2021. By contrast, the index had a reading of 132.6 in February 2020, a month before the Covid pandemic hit. "Consumers' assessments of current business conditions turned negative while views of the current labor market situation softened further. Consumers were also more pessimistic about future labor market conditions and less positive about future business conditions and future income," said Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board. The last time the confidence index dropped more came as inflation was just beginning a climb to what ultimately was the highest level in more than 40 years.
Persons: Dow, Dana Peterson, Stocks, Peterson Organizations: Conference Board, Treasury, Federal Reserve
The yield on the 10-year Treasury was more than 4 basis points higher at 3.789%, while the 2-year Treasury yield rose 2 basis points to trade at 3.597%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Tuesday as market participants awaited fresh economic data and further comments from Federal Reserve officials. The 10-year Treasury yield ended last week almost 8 basis points higher after the U.S. central bank lowered interest rates by 50 basis points on Wednesday. "I think after 50 basis points, we're still in a net tight position," Kashkari said in a CNBC "Squawk Box" interview. On the data front, consumer confidence data for September and Richmond Fed surveys for September are both scheduled to be released at 10 a.m.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, we're, Kashkari, Michelle Bowman, Adriana Kugler, Jeff Cox, Brian Evans, Jenni Reid Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Minneapolis Federal, CNBC, Fed, Richmond Fed Locations: U.S, Minneapolis
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLuxury sector facing prolonged downturn as China demand wanes, analyst saysJon Cox, head of European consumer equities at Kepler Cheuvreux, comments on the luxury sector outlook and the stocks he favors.
Persons: Jon Cox Organizations: Kepler Locations: China
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Tuesday she thought her colleagues should have taken a more measured approach to last week's half percentage point interest rate cut as she worries that inflation could reignite. In explaining her rationale, Bowman said the half percentage point, or 50 basis point, reduction posed a number of risks to the Fed's twin goals of achieving low inflation and full employment. Though Bowman favored a reduction, she preferred the Fed lower by a quarter percentage point, more in line with the traditional moves at the central bank. In recent statements, Fed officials have cited easing inflation and a softening labor market as justification for the cut. At last week's meeting, individual policymakers indicated they expect another half percentage point in cuts this year and another full point in 2025.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman Organizations: Federal Locations: Kentucky
SEOUL, South Korea (AP) — As the plane descended into Seoul, Robert Calabretta swaddled himself in a blanket, his knees tucked into his chest like a baby in the womb. The South Korean government has accepted a fact-finding commission under pressure from adoptees, and hundreds have submitted their cases for review. Western governments turned a blind eye, sometimes even pressuring South Korea for children, while promoting the narrative that they were saving orphans with no other options. Robert Calabretta, right, and his biological father, Lee Sung-soo, during a visit in Daegu, South Korea, in August 2020. Laurie Bender was approached by a strange woman while playing in the front yard in South Korea in 1975.
Persons: Robert Calabretta swaddled, they’d, , , , doesn’t, Robert Calabretta, Lee Sung, Calabretta, “ You’re, Patricia Nye, ” Nye, Holt, weren’t, ” Michaela Dietz, Robyn Joy Park, Rae, hasn't, Jae, Lee, ” Lee, Lee Moo, wasn’t, David Goldman, she’d, Laurie Bender, Bender, Han Tae, Philsik Shin, Helen Noh, Noh, ” Noh, he’d, Susan Soonkeum Cox, Kim Jin Sook, Francis Carlin, ” Carlin, , Carlin, ” Bender, you’ve, Han Organizations: The Associated Press, South, AP, Frontline, International Social Service, University of Minnesota, ISS, BBC, , Holt Children’s Services, Eastern Social Welfare Society, Korea Welfare Services, Korea Social Service, Records, Health Ministry, Red Cross Hospital, U.S, Korea’s Anyang University, Seoul’s Soongsil University, Holt International, Catholic Relief Services, South Korean, FRONTLINE, PBS Locations: SEOUL, South Korea, Seoul, United States, South, Western, adoptees, U.S, Australia, Daegu, Korean, West, Korea, Geneva, , Asia, Europe, North America, Pasadena , Calif, Boryeong, American, New York, , Oregon, Holt, Holt Korea
While GM has withdrawn most of its previously announced electric vehicle targets, the automaker believes its EV sales momentum is finally building thanks to an expanding lineup of all-electric vehicles — spanning a price range of roughly $35,000 to more than $300,000. GM sold nearly 21,000 EVs in the U.S. in July and August — almost matching its full second-quarter EV sales. GM’s EV sales through August were up about 70% compared with a year earlier. It still remained more than 20,000 units shy of Hyundai/Kia EV sales through last month. Growing EV lineupGrowing EV lineupGM currently offers eight “Ultium-based” EVs for consumers — referring to its electric vehicle architecture and battery technologies.
Persons: WARREN, Mary Barra, Elon Musk’s, ” Rory Harvey, , ” Harvey, GM’s, Tesla, Harvey, , Stephanie Brinley, ” Brinley, EVs, ” “, ‘ Butts, Barra, carmaker Organizations: General Motors, Detroit, U.S, GM, Elon Musk’s carmaker, Hyundai, Kia, Ford, CNBC, Detroit automaker, Motor Intelligence, EV, P, ” Cox Automotive Locations: Mich, North America, U.S, Detroit, Barra, U.K, , EVs
Luxury stocks slip as fears grow of a prolonged downturn
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — European luxury stocks tumbled on Monday as analysts warned of a deteriorating demand outlook, particularly among high-spending Chinese consumers. "Following the post-Covid peak in consumption in 2022, luxury sector revenues have been sequentially slowing. Across European luxury firms, they expect a 1% revenue decline in 2024. The Stoxx Europe Luxury 10, an index tracking top names in the sector, managed to hold flat but has fallen 3.82% in the year to date. 'Prolonged period of weakness'They're not alone in their bearish view on Europe's luxury sector.
Persons: Hugo Boss, Germany's Hugo Boss, Burberry, Kering, Hermes, Jon Cox, Kepler Cheuvreux, CNBC's, Cox Organizations: Hugo, Hugo Boss AG, Bloomberg, Getty, Bank of America, Korean, BofA Securities, Kepler, U.S, CNBC, Burberry Locations: Shanghai, China, American, Europe
Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Monday that he expects policymakers to dial down the pace of interest rate cuts after last week's half percentage point reduction. "I think after 50 basis points, we're still in a net tight position," Kashkari said in a CNBC "Squawk Box" interview. "Right now, we still have a strong, healthy labor market. In their latest economic projections, FOMC members indicated that rate is probably around 2.9%; the current fed funds rate is targeted between 4.75% and 5%. Speaking separately Monday morning, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic indicated he expects the Fed to move aggressively in getting back to a neutral rate.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, we're, Kashkari, Kasharki, Raphael Bostic, Bostic Organizations: Minneapolis Federal, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Fed Locations: Minneapolis
While GM has withdrawn most of its previously announced electric vehicle targets, the automaker believes its EV sales momentum is finally building thanks to an expanding lineup of all-electric vehicles – spanning a price range of roughly $35,000 to more than $300,000. EV sales data provided to CNBC by the Detroit automaker, which publicly reports sales quarterly, shows a notable increase for GM through August. GM sold nearly 21,000 EVs in the U.S. in July and August – almost matching its full second-quarter EV sales. GM's EV sales through August were up about 70% compared with a year earlier. It still remained more than 20,000 units shy of Hyundai/Kia EV sales through last month.
Persons: Mary Barra, Frederic J, Brown, Elon Musk's, Rory Harvey, Harvey, GM's, Tesla, Stephanie Brinley, Michael Wayland, Brinley, EVs, Scott Mlyn, Butts, Barra, carmaker Organizations: Cadillac, AFP, Getty, WARREN, General Motors, Detroit, U.S, GM, Elon Musk's carmaker, Hyundai, Kia, Ford, CNBC, Detroit automaker, Motor Intelligence, EV, P, Cox, Electric Locations: Los Angeles, Mich, North America, U.S, Detroit, Barra, U.K
CNBC Daily Open: One day makes all the difference
  + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "Recalibration" Fed Chair Jerome Powell's use of the word "recalibration" seemed to reassure investors that the central bank's 50 basis point cut wasn't that worrying. It signaled the Fed wasn't responding to a slowing economy, but shifting focus to ensuring employment doesn't dip further, wrote CNBC's Jeff Cox. At the end of Washington's song, she croons, "What a difference a day makes / And the difference is you."
Persons: BOE, Jerome Powell's, Jeff Cox, Dinah Washington, Oppenheimer, Brian Belski, Powell, , Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Hakyung Kim, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, JPMorgan Chase, of England, Monetary, Fed, Dow, Nvidia, Apple, BMO Locations: New York, Dinah Washington . Washington
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said Friday he supported a half percentage point rate cut at this week's meeting because inflation is falling even faster than he had expected. A week before the Fed meeting, markets were overwhelmingly pricing in a 25 basis point cut. Along with the decision, individual officials signaled the likelihood of another half point in cuts this year, followed by a full percentage point of reductions in 2025. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman was the only Federal Open Market Committee member to vote against the reduction, instead preferring a smaller quarter percentage point cut. "I was a big advocate of large rate hikes when inflation was moving much, much faster than any of us expected," he said.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, CNBC's Steve Liesman, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Fed, Market, Commerce Department
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. [PRO] Commodity price movements Stocks have rallied on the back of the Fed's rate cut. The S&P climbed 1.7% to end at 5,713.64, the first time the broad-based index has broken through the 5,700 ceiling. At the end of Washington's song, she croons, "What a difference a day makes / And the difference is you."
Persons: Stocks, it's, Jerome Powell's, Jeff Cox, Dinah Washington, Oppenheimer, Brian Belski, Powell, , Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Hakyung Kim, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Citi, HSBC, People's Bank of, Bank of, Fed, Dow, Nvidia, Apple, BMO Locations: New York, China, Japan, Asia, People's Bank of China, Bank of Japan, Dinah Washington . Washington
Found Golf Balls CEO Shaun Shienfield, whose company recovers and resells millions of lost balls across the US and Canada each year, told CNN that he gauged the average to be between three and four each round. Using Shienfield’s low estimate, that’s over 1.5 billion balls lost in the US every year since 2020. “While precise global estimates are challenging … the worldwide figure could easily exceed 3 to 5 billion golf balls lost each year,” Petersen told CNN. Mitchell Schols, founder of Canada-based Biodegradable Golf Balls, put a “very conservative” estimate for North America at one million balls lost to oceans annually. One UK-based man told CNN in 2015 that he could earn up to £100,000 (about $114,000) annually by diving to retrieve golf balls from lakes on golf courses.
Persons: Woods, Jonathan Ferrey, Shaun Shienfield, Torben Kastrup Petersen, ” Petersen, Loch, Cam Bauer, fairways, Jae C, Paula Gallani, Jack Taylor, Bonifas, Paul Barker, Alex Livesey, Josh Noel, Richard Heathcote, Sam Greenwood, Mohammed Afzal Abdul Afghanistan'shas, Mohammed Afzal Abdul, Shah Marai, Africa's, Alf Caputo, Mi Jung Hur, Michael Cohen, Matthew Savoca, Davis, Alex Weber, Savoca, Weber, Jack Johnston, Ezra Shaw, ” Savoca, , there’s, , Mitchell Schols, Petersen, Kevin C, Cox, Schols, Albus Golf, ” Schols, Jared C, Tilton, “ I’m Organizations: CNN, United States Golf Association, National Golf Foundation, Danish Golf Union, La, Don Mueang International Airport, Getty, Chicago Tribune, Tribune, Service, La Paz Golf Club, AFP, Soviet Army, Kenya, Ladies European, Indy Women, Tech, University of California, Carmel High School, Monterey Bay National, National, Canada, North America, , USGA, Pebble Beach Resorts Locations: Pebble Beach , California, Stillwater, Monterey , California, Canada, Greenland, Norway, Hawaii, France, Bangkok, Don, AFP, North, South Korea, Washington, Uummannaq, Coeur D'Alene, Death Valley , California, South Carolina, Bolivia, Kabul, Kenya, Australia, Ceduna, Kalgoorlie, Monterey Bay, Pebble Beach, Cypress Point, Carmel, California, Monterey, Japan, England, Germany, America, , Spanish, London, Florida
Anna Moneymaker | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. By contrast, the prevailing sentiment among experts was that a 25-point cut was more likely, according to a CNBC survey. And he was likely aware that a bigger-than-usual cut might connote that the Fed's worried about the economy. "I don't see anything in the economy right now that suggests that the likelihood of a recession, sorry, of a downturn, is elevated," Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker, Jerome Powell's, Powell, , Jeff Cox, Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Washington , DC
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has unveiled his latest buzzword to describe monetary policy, with a "recalibration" of policy at a pivotal moment for the central bank. "This recalibration of our policy stance will help maintain the strength of the economy and the labor market, and will continue to enable further progress on inflation as we begin the process of moving forward a more neutral stance," Powell said. Financial markets weren't quite sure what to make of the chair's messaging in the meeting's immediate aftermath. However, asset prices soared Thursday as investors took Powell at his word that the unusually outsized move wasn't in response to a substantial slowing of the economy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 jumped to new highs in trading Thursday after swinging violently Wednesday.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, didn't, Tom Porcelli Organizations: Financial, Dow Jones Industrial
Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. By contrast, the prevailing sentiment among experts was that a 25-point cut was more likely, according to a CNBC survey. And he was likely aware that a bigger-than-usual cut might connote that the Fed's worried about the economy. "I don't see anything in the economy right now that suggests that the likelihood of a recession, sorry, of a downturn, is elevated," Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Jeff Cox, Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Washington , DC
At its much-anticipated meeting Wednesday, the Fed approved a half percentage point, or 50 basis point, cut to its benchmark funds rate that ran counter to the 25 basis point move that many Wall Street economists and strategists had been expecting. The benchmark fed funds rate now stands at 4.75% to 5.00% after Wednesday's move. Futures market pricing Thursday suggested a 25 basis point move in November followed by a 50 basis point cut in December, according to the CME Group's FedWatch. A basis point equals 0.01%. "Ultimately what we found most important in what Powell said was also among the least surprising things he said: future decisions are going to depend on the data," Feroli wrote.
Persons: Michael Feroli, Feroli, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Fed, Street Locations: U.S
Monica says the first line on the entire series. Courteney Cox on "Friends." NBCFirst appearance: Season one, "The Pilot/The One Where Monica Gets a Roommate"The first scene of "Friends" shows Monica (Courteney Cox) talking to her friends in Central Perk coffeehouse. Her first line, which is the first of the series, is "There's nothing to tell! It's just some guy I work with," in reference to a date she has later that night.
Persons: Monica, Courteney Cox Organizations: NBC Locations: Central
The matrix of individual officials' expectations pointed to another full percentage point in cuts by the end of 2025 and a half-point in 2026. In all, the dot plot shows the benchmark rate coming down about 2 percentage points beyond Wednesday's move. On core inflation, the committee took down its projection to 2.6%, a 0.2 percentage point reduction from June. In fact, the last time the monthly hiring rate was this low – 3.5% as a share of the labor force – the unemployment rate was above 6%. At his press conference following the July meeting, Powell remarked that a 50 basis point cut was "not something we're thinking about right now."
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, Market, Dow Jones, Fed, Gross, Atlanta Fed
CNBC Daily Open: Hoping for a half-point cut
  + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Without any warning signs flashing red, it's difficult for the Fed to justify lowering rates by more than a quarter point. That's why some economists and analysts hope the Fed will cut by half a point. "But I suspect they'll cut 25," Zandi added.
Persons: Anna Moneymaker, Mark Zandi, they'll, Zandi, Hope, Jeff Cox, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Dow, Moody's Locations: Washington , DC, U.S
Wall Street got the big rate cut it wanted, but markets failed to sustain a rally. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday cut its key overnight lending rate by a half percentage point . Ryan Sweet, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, noted that the half-point cut suggests slowing growth is increasingly concerning Fed policy makers. "The Fed is likely worried that labor demand would weaken more, causing additional stress points in the labor market." "A larger cut probably was not needed out of the gate, but that should support risk-on asset allocation."
Persons: Ryan Sweet, Sweet, Nancy Tengler, Tengler, Scott Helfstein, Jeff Cox, Michelle Fox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Oxford Economics, Fed, Global
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