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And although Republicans are well positioned to win the majority, Democrats cannot be counted out entirely. Senate seats in the three states that Donald Trump won twice (West Virginia, Montana and Ohio) have always been the most likely to flip. Democrats aren’t trying to defend West Virginia. The three “blue wall” states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – which are also crucial presidential battlegrounds – started the cycle looking more comfortable for Senate Democrats. Keep reading here about the Senate seats that are expected to flip.

Persons: Kent Nishimura, West Virginia Sen, Joe Manchin, Donald Trump, aren’t, Jon Tester, Sherrod Brown, battlegrounds – Organizations: U.S, Capitol, West Virginia, Republican, GOP, White, Senate Locations: Washington ,, Texas, Nebraska, Florida, West Virginia , Montana and Ohio, West Virginia, In Montana and Ohio, Sens, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin

☆ The 2024 presidential election, explained
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +16 min

For Democrats, President Joe Biden dominated the primaries and faced only token opposition. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks as former President Donald Trump listens during a presidential debate at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia on September 10, 2024. Trump was accused by the Justice Department of election interference after he tried to overturn the 2020 election results. The most populous states are California (54 electoral votes), Texas (40 electoral votes) and Florida (30 electoral votes). The total number of electoral votes, 538, is an even number, which means a tie is conceivable.

Persons: CNN —, Hurricane Helene, Jonathan Drake, Kamala Harris, Tim Walz, Donald Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Ohio, Party’s Chase Oliver, Jill Stein, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Trump, Harris, Read, Joe Biden, Biden, Saul Loeb, Hillary Clinton, Roe, Wade, Harris ’, Hannah Beier, White, –, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Clinton, Nathan L, Gonzales, Kent Nishimura Organizations: CNN, Democrat, Minnesota Gov, Republican, Trump, Republicans, Democrats, Capitol, GOP, National Constitution Center, Getty, US, Justice, White, Electoral College, Voters, Washington, White House, Black, North Carolina, Georgia, Electoral, Senate, Bloomberg, Democratic Locations: Indiana, Kentucky, Alaska, Washington state, Oregon, Utah, Hurricane, Marion , North Carolina, Philadelphia, Florida, New York, Alaska , Delaware, , Vermont, Wyoming, California, Texas, Washington ,, Puerto Ricans, Doylestown , Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, West Virginia, Arizona, Nevada, West, North Carolina, Georgia, East . Arizona , Georgia, Nebraska, Maine, Trump, Omaha, Washington, Montana, Ohio

☆ Why working-class White women could be so decisive this fall
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +19 min

Those working-class White women loom as a critical, potentially even decisive, factor in Trump’s third White House bid. But while White women with a college degree have trended toward the Democrats in the presidential campaigns since then, the White women without a college degree have moved sharply in the opposite direction. She acknowledges that Trump’s alarms have resonated among working-class White women, especially older ones. Not only college-educated White women, but also the equivalent White men were much more likely than the blue-collar White women to express positive views about Harris and negative ones about Trump, Gallup found. “I think there is a lot of implicit [gender] bias with” these working-class White women, Lake said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Joe Biden’s, it’s, Harris, Harris doesn’t, ”, Lake, “, Evelyn Hockstein, Reuters “, Bradley Beychok, Beychok, gee, ” Beychok, Donald Trump, Roe, Wade, Bill Clinton, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Chip Somodevilla, Barack Obama’s, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Biden, – Harris, ” Lake, Republican pollster Christine Matthews, William Frey, ” Trump, Julia Demaree Nikhinson, –, Jackie Payne, Payne, pollsters, Jon McHenry, McHenry, Joe Biden, Mathews, Matthews, Vance, ” Matthews, White, Gallup Organizations: CNN, White, Electoral, Democrats, Trump, Democratic, PAC, Reuters, American, Republican, Edison Research, Pew Research, Michigan, Quinnipiac University, Marquette Law School, Metro, Dodge, Airport, Biden, New York Times, ”, Times, Gallup Poll, Gallup Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Flint , Michigan, Reading , Pennsylvania, Southern, Philadelphia, Juneau , Wisconsin, Siena, White, Wilkes, Barre , Pennsylvania

☆ Why education level has become the best predictor for how someone will vote
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The education gap grows“The biggest single, best predictor of how someone’s going to vote in American politics now is education level. The real swing votersTo the extent that traditional swing voters are persuadable in this election, Sosnik argued they might be people like political independents or Nikki Haley Republicans. But there’s a second group of swing voters Sosnik argued is even more important. For Trump, these are non-college-educated White voters in general, particularly men, who “if they vote, you know they’re going to vote for Trump,” he said. Young voters, who are less reliable to cast ballots, also fall into this second type of swing voters, Sosnik said.

Persons: Roe, Wade, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton’s, ” Sosnik, David Chalian, Sosnik, “, “ that’s, ”, Louis, Joe Biden, Trump, Harris, Nikki Haley Republicans, there’s, That’s Organizations: Washington CNN —, Rural, Democrats, Democratic, CNN, Democratic Party, Republican Party, Federal Reserve Bank of St, White, Lumina, Trump, Young, “ Republicans, Republican Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Utah

In September, the Harris campaign’s spending on ads about crime plummeted to just $28,000, less than 1% of its monthly broadcast TV ad spending. In August, the Harris campaign spent $7.8 million on broadcast TV ads about abortion, about 15% of its total spending that month. Economic themes also dominated Harris campaign advertising throughout August and September. In August, the Trump campaign spent about $15.5 million on broadcast TV ads about immigration, or about 41% of its monthly broadcast TV outlays. In September, that total fell dramatically to just $10,500, less than 1% of the Trump campaign’s total broadcast TV spending.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Harris ’, Joe Biden, Roe, Wade, Trump, –, Biden Organizations: CNN, White, Trump, Democratic, San, Republican, Keystone State, Michigan, Georgia, Republicans Locations: California, San Francisco, Housing, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia , Wisconsin , Arizona, North Carolina, Nevada, Keystone, Peach, Georgia, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nebraska

☆ Trump’s ground game relies on untraditional strategies to draw out battleground voters
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Steve Contorno | Fredreka Schouten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +19 min

And it’s a playbook that former President Donald Trump’s campaign has tossed aside. It’s a gamble, Trump’s campaign internally acknowledges, but one that they insist is built on data they have collected over nearly a decade and tested for the past six months. Days later, the Michigan state party chairman also plugged 10xVotes when he rolled into Traverse City, Michigan, alongside Trump running mate JD Vance. But rather than courting those voters, Trump’s campaign is in search of new ones. Trump’s campaign has also tried to seize on discord within the Democratic coalition.

Persons: Paul Hudson, “ Harris Walz ”, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Elon Musk, Tucker Carlson, JD Vance, “, ”, Dennis Lennox, Mary, Kamala Harris –, don’t, James Blair, Blair, ” Blair, Donald Trump, Anna Moneymaker, Gerald Ford, Nikki Haley, Hillary Scholten, ” Hudson, Trump’s, Charlie Kirk, Harris, Musk, –, Republicans Kari Lake, Blake Masters, Sen, Rebecca Noble, flummoxed, Joe Biden, Susie Wiles, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Julia Demaree Nikhinson, Virgin Mary, Michael, Lennox, you’re, ” Lennox, Michael Whatley, Lara Trump, Elijah Nouvelage, Jim Pillen, wouldn’t, ” Danielle Butterfield, ’, CNN’s Ali Main, Kristen Holmes, David Wright, Jeff Zeleny Organizations: CNN, Republican, Grand Rapids, Trump, Republicans, Republican Party, Veteran Affairs, Grand, White House, Van, South Carolina Gov, America PAC, Musk, Federal, Commission, Getty, Trump Force, Sunshine State, Miami Gardens, Cuban, Democratic, Florida, Biden, GOP, Michigan, Republican National Committee, RNC, University of North, Republican Gov, Nebraska’s, White, Democrat, USA Locations: doorsteps, Michigan, Grand Rapids, Grand, Traverse City , Michigan, Detroit, Grand Rapids , Michigan, Congress, Kent, Arizona, Mesa , Arizona, AFP, Arizona , Wisconsin, Wolverine, Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio, Florida, Black, Miami, Israel, Puerto, Dade County, New York, Pennsylvania, Cheboygan County , Michigan, Republican County, North Carolina, University of North Carolina, Georgia, Fulton County, Atlanta, Nevada, Nebraska, Omaha, Wisconsin , Michigan

☆ Kamala Harris’ coalition takes shape with ‘new energy’ from fraying Biden alliance
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Jeff Zeleny | Eric Bradner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

There’s a new energy that we didn’t have previously,” said Dean, who owns a coffee shop in northwest Detroit. “It’s not just we have an opportunity to make history,” said Dean, who also leads the Michigan Black Business Alliance. “This is America’s border czar – and she’s failed us,” a narrator says over video of Harris dancing at an event. The narrator describes the vice president as “Failed. “How are you feeling about the switch from Biden to Harris?” Stevens asked.

Persons: Dean, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, “, ”, Harris, “ It’s, ’, Charles Williams, Joe Biden’s, ” Williams, Biden, –, she’s, ” Trump, Trump, That’s, Rosa, Harris ’, we’ve, ” Dean, “ I’ve, Anna Moneymaker, “ Uncommitted ”, Biden –, Abdullah Hammoud, “ Wth, Hammoud, Benjamin Netanyahu, ‘, Haley Stevens, ” Stevens, Stevens, Reuben Maxbauer, I’m, There’s Organizations: Detroit CNN, Democratic, Biden, Trump, Harris, Michigan Black Business Alliance, Historic King Solomon Baptist Church, “, Democratic National Convention, Liberal, Michigan, Electoral, Michigan Democrats, Dearborn, CNN, Israeli, Trump . Make, Democrats Locations: Detroit, Michigan, Chicago, Central America, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona , Nevada , North Carolina, Georgia, Grand Rapids , Michigan, Dearborn, Israel, Gaza, Oakland County

☆ Trump and Harris enter final 100-day stretch of a rapidly evolving 2024 race
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-28 | by ( Eric Bradner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +19 min

Then, a week ago, Biden announced his exit from the race – and pointed to Harris, his vice president, as his successor. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign event in West Allis, Wisconsin, on July 23, 2024. Will Lanzoni/CNNVeepstakes, convention questionsAmong the next orders of business for Harris’ campaign is to accomplish two tasks in a period of days or weeks that Trump’s campaign achieved over months. Many of those potential picks have been offering Harris’ campaign informal glimpses of how they’d perform as her running mate through appearances on cable news shows. Then, Harris’ campaign and its allies must rapidly revise plans for the Democratic National Convention, which is set to start on August 19 in Chicago.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden’s, Trump, Trump’s, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Biden, Harris, Michelle Obama, ”, Kevin Mohatt, Reuters Trump, Margaret Thatcher, “ Margaret Thatcher didn’t, Benjamin Netanyahu’s, Netanyahu, didn’t, ” Harris, Doug Emhoff, I’m, …, “, you’re, Vance, fraudsters, cheaters, Donald Trump’s, Will Lanzoni, Eric Holder, Tony West, Harris ’, Holder, Roy Cooper, Josh Shapiro, Arizona Sen, Mark Kelly, Pete Buttigieg, Andy Beshear, Tim Walz, Harris –, Biden’s, Joe Biden, wouldn’t, ” Trump, Steven Cheung, –, Tucker Carlson’s, Carlson, they’ve, Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio, Cortez, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, Jennifer Aniston, Megyn Kelly, SiriusXM, ” Vance, it’s, ’ ” Vance, Charli XCX, ‘, ’, Jared Polis, Maxwell Frost, ” Harris ’, CNN’s KFile, George Floyd, “ We’re, Lyin ’ Kamala Harris, Dave McCormick, Democratic Sen, Bob Casey, Casey, McCormick, Kamala Harris ’, CNN’s Jeff Zeleny, Kit Maher, Terence Burlij, Sam Fossum, Alayna Treene, Alison Main, Kim Berryman, Andrew Kaczynski, Em Steck Organizations: CNN, Democratic Party, Republican Party, Democratic National Convention, Democratic, Trump, Reuters, Jewish, San, Republican National Convention, North Carolina Gov, Arizona, Transportation, Senate, Kentucky Gov, Minnesota Gov, Electoral, Sun, Biden, Atlanta, ABC, Democrat Party, Tucker Carlson’s Fox, New York Rep, Twitter, Colorado Gov, ”, Central America, Republican National Committee, Republicans, Immigration, Customs Locations: Pennsylvania, Ohio, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, West Allis , Wisconsin, Florida, St, Cloud , Minnesota, Minnesota, Washington, Israel, Massachusetts, San Francisco, California, Chicago, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, United States, Alexandria, British, ” Florida, New York, Minneapolis, Central

☆ Kamala Harris: How her warp-speed campaign launch has changed the 2024 race
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( Eric Bradner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +15 min

CNN —The five days since Vice President Kamala Harris’ campaign launched at warp speed have remade the 2024 race – and given Democrats new hope of preventing a second Donald Trump presidency. Fundraising exploded, with Harris’ campaign saying she raised $126 million between Sunday afternoon and Tuesday evening. And Democrats were more eager to devote their own time to working to elect Harris: More than 100,000 people signed up to volunteer for her bid, and more than 2,000 applied for campaign jobs, Harris campaign chair Jen O’Malley Dillon said in a Wednesday memo. The strength of Harris’ launch has at times surprised even the former Biden campaign staffers who on Sunday suddenly found themselves working for what was converted into the Harris campaign. Biden’s campaign believed his path to 270 Electoral College votes ran through the “blue wall” states – Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Persons: Kamala Harris ’, Donald Trump, Harris, Harris ’, Jen O’Malley Dillon, Trump, It’s, Ron Bieber, “ I’ve, ”, she’s, Joe Biden, Biden, Harris hasn’t, “, Base Andrews, O’Malley Dillon, Biden’s, ” O’Malley Dillon, Douglas Emhoff, Erin Schaff, Howard University hoodie, –, Nancy Pelosi’s, dispirited, fraudsters, cheaters, ” Harris, Donald Trump’s, Charli XCX, ‘, ’, Jared Polis, Maxwell Frost, Tony Evers, ” Evers, ” Trump, Felita Daniels Ashley, Olivia Jessup, Anger, Natalie Jauch, Charli, Jessup, Taylor Swift, Kesha, ” Jessup, Kevin Mohatt, ” CNN’s Alison Main, Betsy Klein, Ebony Davis, Sam Fossum, Edward, Isaac Dovere, Lisa Respers Organizations: CNN, Democratic Party, Trump, Michigan AFL, Democratic, Biden, Convention, ABC, Base, Republican, CNN’s, New York Times, Siena, Electoral, Air Force, Joint Base Andrews, Naval Observatory, Howard University, Federal, San, Democratic National Convention, Democratic Colorado Gov, ”, Milwaukee, Heritage Foundation, California Democrat, Zeta Phi Beta, of Education, “, American Federation of Teachers Locations: Houston, Gaza, – Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Sun, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Maryland, Wilmington , Delaware, San Francisco, California, British, ” Florida, Milwaukee, “, West Allis , Wisconsin, Indianapolis, America, Lisa Respers France

☆ Harris is less than 2 weeks away from naming running mate, with vetting and polling underway
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( Jeff Zeleny | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —Vice President Kamala Harris is less than two weeks away from naming her own running mate. Democrats close to the process say the roster of leading contenders being vetted still includes North Carolina Gov. A new CNN poll conducted by SSRS showed no clear leader in a matchup between Harris and Trump. The former president holds 49% support among registered voters nationwide to Harris’ 46%, a finding within the survey’s margin of sampling error. The party has said its goal is to nominate its presidential and vice presidential candidates by August 7.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Roy Cooper, Josh Shapiro, Arizona Sen, Mark Kelly, Pete Buttigieg, Harris, Andy Beshear, Tim Walz, ”, Eric Holder, Tony West, Holder, Donald Trump, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Doug Emhoff, Joe Biden, –, SSRS, Trump Organizations: CNN, Democratic, North Carolina Gov, Arizona, Transportation, Senate, Kentucky Gov, Minnesota Gov, Democrat, Harris ’, Biden, Trump, Democratic National Locations: Pennsylvania

☆ GOP leaders pursue new lawsuits over 2024 election rules – including attacking methods of voting they want supporters to use
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Fredreka Schouten | Tierney Sneed | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

“What he has said is that we would like ultimately there to only be voting on Election Day. Republican attorneys have filed an assortment of lawsuits across the county that vary in both what types of election rules they target and how seriously election law experts believe the case should be taken. The legal fight against mail voting has taken GOP lawyers to states beyond the typical presidential battlegrounds. In addition to the case targeting Mississippi’s post-election day mail ballot receipt deadline, Republicans filed a lawsuit challenging the major expansion of mail voting enacted by New York lawmakers last year. To arrive at the claim that the states’ voter rolls are bloated, Republicans are using a formula that has previously been rebuked in federal court.

Persons: Donald Trump, baselessly, Trump, Mike Johnson, “, ” Michael Whatley, that’s, ” Whatley, Whatley –, –, Rick Hasen, don’t, ” Hasen, Derek Muller, ” Muller, litigators don’t, ”, Justin Levitt, Muller, CNN’s Ariel Edwards, Levy, David Wright Organizations: CNN, Republican, Republican National Committee, Mississippi Republican Party, Magnolia, GOP, Republicans, Democrats, Trump, Trump’s, Fox News, Republican Party, RNC, University of Notre Dame, Fox, New, National Conference of State Legislatures, Pew Research Center, Democratic, Pew, The New, The New York City Council, Vermont, Loyola Law School, Biden White Locations: Magnolia State, Pennsylvania, Ohio , Georgia, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin, “, California, Colorado, Hawaii , Nevada , Oregon , Utah , Vermont, Washington, Mississippi, New York, Michigan , Wisconsin , Ohio, Arizona, New York City, United States, The New York, – Nevada, Michigan, Nevada

Although prominent election deniers in critical battleground states lost at the polls, their movement has had far-reaching impact. In reality, the livestream app suffered a glitch that caused the cameras to stop working, county officials said in a statement after investigating the blackout. IN ARIZONA, BOOSTING SECURITYIn Arizona's Maricopa County, election officials strengthened doors, added shatterproof film on windows and stationed a security guard in the ballot-counting room. In Georgia's Gwinnett County, which includes part of the greater Atlanta area, election officials held planning meetings with local law enforcement to beef up security, Elections Supervisor Zach Manifold told Reuters. The plan included keeping sheriff's officers on site for longer to ensure election staff felt safe, he said.

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