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In a report last week, it called out high debt, banking vulnerabilities, and trade barriers. These are important downside risks that could impact the global economy, it said. AdvertisementChronic deficits are leading toward a debt-to-GDP ratio of 140% by 2032, IMF said, a situation that needs to be addressed urgently. Advertisement"These create systemic risks to the U.S. and global economy that are entirely avoidable. Meanwhile, Washington's increasingly protectionist approach to trade is a risk to US and global growth, the IMF said.
Persons: , Washington's, Biden, Trump Organizations: Monetary Fund, Service, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Republicans, Democrats, Silicon Valley Bank, Republican Locations: Washington, Silicon, Basel, China, Beijing, U.S
UBS executives covering fixed income and equity strategies outlined in a recent note four different scenarios come November: a blue sweep, a Biden presidency with a split Congress, a red sweep, and a Trump presidency with a split Congress. The two overwhelmingly likely outcomes would be a Biden presidency with a divided Congress (40%) and a Trump presidency with a Republican Congress (45%), per UBS. A Biden victory with a divided CongressA Biden presidency will likely usher in increased tax rates and regulatory oversight, UBS said. A Trump presidency combined with a Republican Congress would mean an extension of the current lower marginal tax rates, the bank said. While antitrust regulation will likely ease under Trump, he's hardly a Big Tech supporter: Trump sued Facebook, Google, and Twitter (now X) in 2021.
Persons: , Biden, David Lefkowtiz, Trump's, Tom McLoughlin, UBS's, Lefkowitz, he's, Trump, Leslie Falconio, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, UBS, Biden, Trump, Republican Congress, Business, Nvidia, OpenAI, Big Tech, Republican, Republicans, Democrats, Facebook, Google, Twitter, World Gold, Trust
"In contrast, current valuation extremes imply potential downside risk for the S&P 500 on the order of 50-70% over the completion of this cycle." JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic expects the S&P 500 to fall to 4,200, while more extreme forecasts include Jeremy Grantham's estimate in the low 3,000s. And as the stock market ground mostly higher, he persisted with his doomsday calls. He predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up about 26% over the past year.
Persons: , Jonathan Golub, Count John Hussman, Hussman, Hussman's, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Jeremy Grantham's Organizations: Service, UBS, Business, Hussman Investment Trust, New York Stock Exchange, Investor Intelligence
You can opt-out at any time by visiting our Preferences page or by clicking "unsubscribe" at the bottom of the email. download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. People are still spending money, but there's an uncomfortable awareness that years of price hikes mean each dollar doesn't go as far as it used to. "This consumer remains very cautious, specifically when you think about larger ticket discretionary purchases," he told Oppenheimer analysts Wednesday. "Why have people who are having a hard time paying their rent have to pay more for our drink?"
Persons: , they're, Joseph Lewis, Marvin Ellison, Oppenheimer, John David Rainey, Federal Reserve Banks, San Francisco Fed, Don Vultaggio Organizations: Service, Business, Bloomberg, Nike, Walgreens, Walmart, Federal Reserve, San Francisco, Philadelphia Fed, Iced Tea Locations: San Francisco, Philadelphia
Wells Fargo reiterates Nvidia as overweight Wells said it's sticking with its overweight rating on the stock. "We initiate coverage of net lease REIT Essential Properties (EPRT) with a Buy rating and $33.00 12-month price target. Citi reiterates Apple as buy Citi moved the tech giant up a spot to its number 2 top pick. Wells Fargo reiterates Amazon as buy Wells raised its price target on Amazon to $239 per share from $234. "We initiate coverage of Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) with a Buy rating and a 12-month price target of $8 per share."
Persons: Raymond James, Deere, it's, Morgan Stanley downgrades Nike, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Oppenheimer, Riley, Piper Sandler, Piper, managements, it's bullish, Rosenblatt, ASML Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Nvidia, Properties Realty Trust, Apple, Citi, Xerox, JPMorgan, Realty Trust, Inc, Travelers, Susquehanna, Nextracker, BMO, SAP Locations: Americas, China
Read previewAs a kid, Rob Chisholm was not drawn to the fast-paced, jet-setting life of a Wall Street banker. Well, maybe if I wanted to be an investment banker or something, I would care about that, Chisholm remembers thinking. Chisholm, on the other hand, is very open about his unorthodox path to Wall Street and the resulting feelings of being an outsider. AdvertisementWhen Chisholm was in college, he rejected the "cliche" of going to an Ivy League and getting a job on Wall Street. At the time, Chisholm admitted, Wall Street seemed like the "complete opposite in terms of the culture and the incentives" he thought he wanted.
Persons: , Rob Chisholm, Chisholm, Goldman Sachs, Frank Quattrone, Eager, dealmakers, he's, Wall, Goldman, I've Organizations: Service, Wall Street, Princeton, Business, Ivy League, Citi, Qatalyst Partners, Middlesex, Princeton's, Middlebury College, ACG Partners, Deutsche Bank, Investment Locations: Canada, Antigonish, Nova Scotia, Massachusetts, Vermont, Boston, San Francisco, tooting
CNBC's Jim Cramer said Friday there are stocks and sectors that would benefit if Donald Trump were to become president again. If you think Trump will win the White House, Cramer said, "That means you can go buy the banks. That means you can go buy the natural gas and energy stocks," as well as Big Tech. Cramer also said Tesla might fare better under Trump and Biden because Trump is not pro-union. China Trump has said he would be even tougher on China if he were re-elected.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, Cramer, , Joe Biden, Biden's, Biden, he's, Rather, Trump, Banks, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Nextracker, China Trump Organizations: Trump, Investing Club, Top, CNBC, White, Big Tech, Biden, Kroger, Albertsons, Capri, Disney, Club, House . Energy, New, Energy, Ford, The, Nike, Starbucks Locations: China
Gold set for third quarterly gain; traders await US inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices eased on Friday, but were set for a third straight quarterly rise, while investors looked forward to U.S. inflation data due later in the day for more clarity on the Federal Reserve's interest rate-cut timeline. After adding to its gold reserves for 18 consecutive months, official data from the People's Bank of China (PBOC) showed its holdings were flat in May. A survey by the World Gold Council, however, found that more central banks may increase gold reserves within 12 months. Gold rose more than 1% in the previous session after data showed a continued, though moderate, slowdown in U.S. economic activity. A soft set of PCE figures is required to keep hopes of Fed easing alive and further support gold, City Index senior analyst Matt Simpson said.
Persons: Ilya Spivak, Michelle Bowman, Matt Simpson Organizations: Heraeus, Solar, People's Bank of China, World Gold Council, City Index Locations: Budapest, Hungary, U.S, China
France's parliamentary election has already rattled investors as the country's risk premium rises — but two possible scenarios have still not been priced in by markets and could impact stocks in the wider European region, according to Citi. "However, the market is not priced in for far-right or far-left majority," Manthey said. "The outcome is still quite unclear, we only have polling for the first round of the election. "Let's put the announcement of the election in the context of the positioning of the investors. If the French election outcome "is very market unfriendly ... markets in Europe are quite correlated.
Persons: Beata Manthey, CNBC's, Manthey, Emmanuel Macron's, Let's, we've Organizations: Citi, CAC Locations: Sunday's, Europe, U.S
JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley said Friday that they were boosting both dividend payouts and share repurchases, while rivals Citigroup and Bank of America made more modest announcements. JPMorgan, the biggest U.S. bank by assets, said it was raising its quarterly dividend 8.7% to $1.25 per share and that it authorized a new $30 billion share repurchase program. Morgan Stanley, a dominant player in wealth management, said it was boosting its dividend 8.8% to 92.5 cents per share and authorized a $20 billion repurchase plan. Citigroup said it was raising its dividend 5.7% to 56 cents per share and that it would "continue to assess share repurchases" on a quarterly basis. Bank of America said it was increasing its dividend 8% to 26 cents per share.
Persons: Brian Moynihan, Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, Jane Fraser, Morgan Stanley, Dimon Organizations: Bank of America, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Washington , D.C, Federal Reserve Locations: Hart, Washington ,, New York
Image Israel’s finance minister, Bezalel Smotrich, center, has threatened not to renew the provision, which makes it easier for Israeli banks to work with Palestinian banks. But many called the West Bank’s current economic predicament the most difficult yet. Before the war, Mahmoud Abu Issa, 53, was earning over $2,000 a month — an enviable salary in the impoverished West Bank — as a construction worker in Israel. If Palestinian banks want to offer shekel accounts, they must maintain links with Israeli banks and rely on them to process shekel transactions. Since 2017, Israel’s Finance Ministry has issued the waiver indemnifying the Israeli banks, according to Lilach Weissman, a spokeswoman for the ministry.
Persons: Bezalel Smotrich, Smotrich, Israel, Biden, Mr, Smotrich —, , Menahem Kahana, Mahmoud Abu Issa, , Abu Issa, Mohammad Rabee, Shadi Abu Afifa, , Abu Afifa, Jake Sullivan, Lilach Weissman, Akram Jerab, Eytan Fuld, Azzam, Shawwa, Rawan Sheikh Ahmad Organizations: West Bank, Palestinian Authority, Palestinian, Agence France, Mr, Palestinian Authority’s Finance Ministry, Israel’s Finance, Quds Bank Locations: Gaza, Bank, U.S, Israel, Hebron, , Palestinian, Palestine
"There are better places to make money with a lot lower risk," he added, naming several stocks he likes right now. "Right now, technology stocks are selling at 30 and 40 times earnings. The markets are at 22 times earnings. Trading at 22 times forward earnings, he said the stock offers "a great business at a very good price." The market is 21 times earnings.
Persons: David Katz, CNBC's, Katz, We're, — CNBC's Amelia Lucas Organizations: Nvidia, Cisco Systems Technology, Cisco Systems, Cisco, Starbucks, Bank of New York Mellon, PNC Financial Services Locations: U.S, Israel
Customers of HSBC , Nationwide and Virgin Money suffered outages to their online banking services on Friday, in the latest such disruption to plague an industry which increasingly relies on such digital access as it closes physical branches. Thousands of HSBC customers in Britain were unable to access online banking services on Friday, as the bank acknowledged an outage affecting some users of its website and banking app. The bank said at 1115 GMT it had restored access to online and mobile banking, after more than 7,000 customers had complained of problems, according to website DownDetector which tracks such outages. Virgin Money said some of its customers could not access online and mobile banking, while Nationwide said some customers' salary or pension payments were delayed. Some 6,000 branches have closed in Britain since 2015, according to consumer publication Which?.
Persons: Virgin Money Organizations: Citigroup Inc, State Street Corp, Barclays Plc, HSBC Holdings Plc, HSBC, Nationwide, Virgin Money, Virgin Locations: Wharf, Britain
It's tough to find growth stocks selling at a reasonable valuation, but searching for companies whose bottom lines are still expanding but not too richly priced could give investors a leg up entering the second half of the year. With the S & P 500 ahead by 15% in the first half alone and the S & P and Nasdaq Composite both near all-time highs, now might be the time for investors to adjust their portfolios accordingly. With that in mind, one time-tested strategy to consider is screening for stocks that offer growth at a reasonable price, or GARP, combining tenets from both value and growth investing. CNBC Pro recently screened for stocks in the S & P 500 that fit the GARP approach. With a year-to-date rally of 11%, electric company Emerson Electric was also on the list of GARP stocks.
Persons: Baird, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Nicole DeBlase, Fred Imbert Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC Pro, Companies, Royal Caribbean Group, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Investment, Emerson Electric, Deutsche Bank Locations: Oppenheimer, Milwaukee
Barbara Corcoran has been in the real estate industry for over 40 years. Barbara Corcoran has made quite a name for herself with more than 50 years in the real estate business. Over the years, Corcoran has shared key pieces of real estate advice on various topics, including the best places to buy a home, why young people should invest in real estate early, and more. Finally, "you want to make sure you make the key improvements in your kitchen," Corcoran said. "Ask them if they have any special discounts for good customers who have been banking with them for a while," Corcoran recommends.
Persons: Barbara Corcoran, Corcoran, Elvis Duran, There's, there's, Young, it's Organizations: Sunshine State, CNBC Locations: Florida, U.S, , New York
As Wall Street digested the dismal outlook from the world's largest sportswear company, at least six investment banks downgraded Nike's stock. Analysts at Morgan Stanley and Stifel took it a step further, specifically calling the company's management into question. The company also said it expects fiscal 2025 sales to be down mid-single digits when it previously expected them to grow. If you ask Phil Knight, Nike's founder and its chairman emeritus, Donahoe is doing just fine. "I am optimistic in Nike's future and John Donahoe has my unwavering confidence and full support."
Persons: Jim Duffy, Morgan Stanley, Stifel, Donahoe, Matt Friend, That's, Hoka, Jessica Ramírez, Jane Hali, Nike didn't, they've, Kevin McCarthy, Neuberger Berman, CNBC's Scott Wapner, " McCarthy, They've, you've, it's, he's, Phil Knight, John Donahoe Organizations: Nike, eBay, Air Force, Air, Associates, CNBC Locations: 2HCY25, China, , U.S
U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivers remarks during a press conference following the announcement that the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, in Washington, U.S., June 12, 2024. The U.S. Federal Reserve and European Central Bank could move to cut interest rates in September as key data provides further signs that inflation is cooling in the U.S. and the euro zone, a Morgan Stanley strategist said Friday. "We're more optimistic that both the Fed and ECB will cut rates in September," he told "Squawk Box Europe." And I think, for the Fed, inflation is continuing to fall," he added. A majority of economists polled by Reuters now anticipate the Fed will cut interest rates from its current range of 5.25% to 5.50% this September, with a further trim projected later in the year.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Morgan Stanley, Andrew Sheets, Sheets Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, CNBC, Fed, ECB, Reuters Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Europe
The on-cycle recruiting process is not easy on these young bankers, who are often already working 80+ hour weeks in their new investment-banking jobs. The conventional wisdom on Wall Street has always been that the most hawkish PE firms walk away with the most impressive candidates. Odyssey doesn't participate in on-cycle recruiting because it prefers to fill positions in what is known as "off-cycle," or the months that follow the initial recruiting process. It all leaves me thinking about the PE recruiting cycles of the future. To be overly cautious, I've already penciled in a calendar reminder for 2025: "Monitor for PE recruiting cycle kickoff."
Persons: Thoma, Goldman Sachs, haven't, Emmalyse Brownstein, Anthony Keizner, They're, Keizner, spokespeople, , I've, I'm Organizations: Service, Wall, Business, Apollo, KKR, Thoma Bravo, JPMorgan, Search, Rice, BI, TPG, Bain Capital Locations: freaked, New York City, New York, Clayton, Dubilier, Thailand
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Walgreens Boots Alliance — The stock plummeted more than 24.5% after the retail company reported third-quarter earnings results that missed Wall Street's expectations . Levi Strauss — The denim maker's stock tumbled 17.1% after revenue came in at $1.44 billion for the second fiscal quarter. International Paper — Shares of the paper manufacturing company fell nearly 8% following the news that Suzano is no longer pursuing a potential acquisition of the company. Hunterbrook Capital, a hedge fund Hunterbook is affiliated with, has a short position in the company's shares. Micron Technology — The memory chip stock shed nearly 7% after Micron Technology offered guidance that was roughly in line with expectations.
Persons: Levi Strauss, Suzano, Gary Friedman, AeroVironment, Goldman Sachs, Alex Harring, Samantha Subin, Lisa Kailai Han, Michelle Fox Organizations: Walgreens, Alliance, CVS, LSEG, Hunterbrook Media, Hunterbrook, Micron Technology, Arista Networks, Citi
"The stock price has lagged but we don't see any other catalysts medium term, hence we are moving to the sidelines." Micron shares were down 5% in the premarket. The analyst reiterated a buy rating on Micron stock with a $175 per share price target, implying nearly 23% upside from Wednesday's $142.36 close. He raised his price target to $158 per share price from $138, calling for 11% upside. Arya maintained a buy rating on Micron stock with a $170 per share price target, or about 19% upside moving forward.
Persons: Vivek Juneja, — Brian Evans, TD Cowen, Cowen, John Blackledge, Keefe, David Konrad, Brian Evans, Christopher Danely, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Hari, Vivek Arya, Arya, Caio Ribeiro, Ribeiro, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Micron Technology, Bank of America, Petrobras, JPMorgan downgrades U.S, Bancorp, JPMorgan, U.S . Bancorp, New York Mellon, Bank of New, Bank of New York Mellon, BK, Mellon, Micron, MU, Citi Locations: Brazil, U.S, Bank of New York, CY2025
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIncrease in expenses and risks impacts Fed's bank 'stress test' results, says BofA's PoonawalaEbrahim Poonawala, Bank of America Securities senior North American banks analyst, joins CNBC's 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Federal Reserve's stress test on banks, the health of regionals, and more.
Persons: BofA's Poonawala Ebrahim Poonawala Organizations: Bank of America Securities Locations: American
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. banks are in a good and resilient place, says Wells Fargo's Mike MayoMike Mayo, Wells Fargo, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss big banks stress tests and his outlook for the sector.
Persons: Wells, Mike Mayo Mike Mayo Locations: Wells Fargo
Morgan Stanley sees a comeback in Wall Street deals underway — and expects some financial stocks to reap the benefits. However, Goldman Sachs said sponsor-led mergers and acquisitions do not necessarily need a decrease in interest rates to take off. Stadnik said a capital markets renaissance is one key reason to be overweight money center banks. Of this group, he called Goldman Sachs the "purest play" on this theme. Goldman Sachs shares have climbed more than 15% this year.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Andrei Stadnik, Stadnik, Morgan Stanley's, Goldman Sachs, Blackstone, Morgan, LSEG Organizations: Wall Street, JPMorgan, LSEG Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRyan: Investors should view the banks as being in a great position from a capital perspectiveDevin Ryan of Citizens JMP discusses the Fed's latest stress tests, and whether banks will be more conservative with their capital return plans than in past years.
Persons: Ryan, Devin Ryan, JMP
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStick with momentum winners in this market, says Raymond James' Matt OrtonMatt Orton, chief market strategist at Raymond James Investment Management, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss why he believes in sticking with mega-cap stocks, a bullish case on big banks, and more.
Persons: Raymond James, Matt Orton Matt Orton Organizations: Raymond James Investment Management
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