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☆ The Dow is set to surge 50% by 2030 as the 'roaring 20s' are alive and well for stocks, market vet says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

With the stock market trading at record highs, the "Roaring 20s" thesis is alive and well. That's according to Ed Yardeni, who expects the Dow and S&P 500 to soar 50% by 2030. "That target could be achieved with a forward P/E of 20 and forward earnings at $400 per share," Yardeni said. AdvertisementWith stocks trading at record highs, the "Roaring 20's" bull thesis remains intact, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni. AdvertisementForward S&P 500 earnings per share hit $257.20 last week, and analysts currently estimate that S&P 500 EPS will rise to $278 in 2025 and $313 in 2026.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, —, Eric Wallerstein, Wallerstein Organizations: Dow, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, CNBC, Yardeni Research

☆ Baby boomers have been America's secret weapon for fending off recession
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewTalks of a looming recession are flaring across Wall Street, but the savings war chest of baby boomers has staved off a US downturn. AdvertisementInstead, only the goods sector has shown signs of a growth recession, Yardeni said. But that's after the lockdown's hard-to-beat buying spree; today, goods spending remains at a record high when adjusted for inflation. Related storiesBut to Yardeni, they're the reason no consumer recession has appeared in the past two years, he separately wrote in April:"The Baby Boomers watched a lot of 'Star Trek' during the 1960s. AdvertisementMeanwhile, the baby boomer focus on service spending may also have deformed indicators, making things look gloomier than they are.

Persons: —, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Organizations: Service, Business, Financial Times, Boomers

☆ The environment for the rally to continue is strong, says New York Life Investment's Lauren Goodwin
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe environment for the rally to continue is strong, says New York Life Investment's Lauren GoodwinYardeni's Eric Wallerstein and New York Life Investment's Lauren Goodwin join 'Closing Bell' to discuss earnings, Nvidia, and the outlook for the market rally.

Persons: Investment's Lauren Goodwin Yardeni's Eric Wallerstein, Investment's Lauren Goodwin Organizations: York, Nvidia

☆ Interest-rate cuts could be coming this fall, adding another wrinkle to an election set to focus on the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

In today's big story, inflation is cooling just in time for a US presidential election that will likely focus heavily on the economy . This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. The big storyThe economy and the electionAnna Moneymaker/Getty, Anna Moneymaker/Getty, Tyler Le/BISometimes, the biggest surprise is when there isn't one at all. AdvertisementOn Wednesday, Biden and Trump agreed to face off in two debates, the first coming in June . Now he has 18 direct reports, according to an internal org chart seen by Business Insider.

Persons: —, Anna Moneymaker, Tyler Le, haven't, Insider's Madison Hoff, they're, Jennifer Sor, Ed Yardeni, Jerome Powell hasn't, Powell, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, Trump's, Alyssa Powell, Keith Gill's, Jim Simons, Shaw, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Sameer Samat, Sundar Pichai, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Service, Business, Biden, White, Democratic, Renaissance Technologies, Sigma, Bloomberg, Android, Google, Microsoft, Apple, Walmart Locations: New York, London

☆ Why investors shouldn't be clamoring for rate cuts this summer
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementThe market should be careful what it wishes for when it comes to rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Ed Yardeni, a longtime market veteran, has warned of a stock market "meltup" if the Fed were to cut interest rates this summer. High interest rates on risk tipping the economy into recession, but lowering rates too quickly risks a resurgence in inflation, which could slam American consumers. Fed officials have said they're looking for more evidence inflation is on track to fall to its 2% price target before mulling rate cuts. AdvertisementFor the most part, investors aren't expecting interest rates to come down before September.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, meltdowns, Yardeni, —, they're Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Yardeni, Fed

☆ Base case for equities is a leisurely bull market, says Yardeni Research president
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBase case for equities is a leisurely bull market, says Yardeni Research presidentEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the potential return of a market melt-up, whether baby boomers will soon be spending all of their wealth, and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research

☆ From a 65% stock market crash to an imminent recession, here's a roundup of recent high-profile bear forecasts
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-12 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Despite a stock market that's less than 1% away from record highs, bearish forecasts are out in full force. And a weakening in the labor market will crush investor confidence and send the stock market falling by as much as 30%. BCA Research: A recession in early 2025 will cause 30% stock market declineBCA strategist Roukaya Ibrahim warned that a 30% correction in the stock market could be sparked by a recession early next year. Rosenberg famously predicted the 2008 recession, but his consistently bearish economic outlooks since then have largely fallen flat. Advertisement"Forward earnings rose to a record high during April, consistent with a solid labor market.

Persons: —, they're, Gary Shilling, we've, Shilling, BI's Jennifer Sor, we're, John Hussman, Hussman, wouldn't, Roukaya Ibrahim, Ibrahim, David Rosenberg, We're, Rosenberg, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, landers Organizations: Service, Wall, Hussman Investment Trust, BCA, Bloomberg Locations: Wall

☆ Earnings will make new record highs over the next few quarters, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings will make new record highs over the next few quarters, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss earnings season and his outlook for earnings for the rest of 2024.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research

☆ Stocks could tank after an ill-advised 'melt-up' if the Fed cuts rates to avoid recession
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

There's a growing risk of a stock market melt-up, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni. Yardeni said the return of the "Fed Put" means stocks could soar on the anticipation and realization of interest rate cuts. But stock market melt-ups are rarely sustainable and are often followed by a painful decline. With it comes increased risk of a stock market meltup," Yardeni said. For investors, the question is whether or not a potential stock market melt-up and subsequent decline will happen at prices a lot higher or lower from current levels.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, —, Jerome Powell, Yardeni's Organizations: Service, Federal, Wall Street

☆ People in Korea are buying gold from vending machines and convenience stores amid 2024's frenzy for the precious metal
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Korea's convenience stores and vending machines are selling gold, with younger people flocking to buy. Bite-sized gold bars have been selling since April, weighing in between 0.1 and 1.87 grams. AdvertisementGold bars are displayed for sale alongside packaged kimchi and ramen in convenience stores across Korea, with the yellow metal gaining among younger consumers in 2024. AdvertisementYoung Koreans are leading the pack of buyers snapping up gold from CU stores, accounting for 41.3% of the total purchases, according to data from the company's app. However, the country's central bank hasn't joined the gold rush, keeping its gold reserves steady at 104.4 tons since 2013.

Persons: —, hasn't, China —, David Rosenberg, Ed Yardeni Organizations: Service, Printing Corporation, Chosun, CNBC, World Gold Council Locations: Korea, South, South Korea, Asia's, China

☆ Markets worry Treasury yields could jump back to levels that sparked chaos last October
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-04 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield is hovering below levels that caused a massive crash last fall. Yet, persistent inflation and weak Treasury auctions could boost yields past the 5% mark. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. That's why Treasury auctions have become attention-grabbers for markets, as investors watch to see if there are enough willing buyers. The dangers of 5%When 10-year yields broke through the 5% mark last fall, traders panicked and the S&P 500 nosedived nearly 6% from October's peak-to-trough.

Persons: —, That's, Treasurys, Bill Gross, Ed Yardeni, Eric Sterner, Yardeni, hasn't, they're, Goldman Sachs, Sterner Organizations: Service, Treasury, Business, Treasury Department, Federal, Yardeni Research, Investment, SEI, Apollon Wealth Management

☆ Japan's yen had a rollercoaster week amid suspected intervention. Here's what you need to know
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

An undated photographic illustration of Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar bank notes. The yen touched 160.03 against the greenback on Monday, for the first time since 1990, but strengthened to 156 levels later that day amid speculation about an intervention by Japanese authorities. Japanese authorities are yet to issue an official statement confirming their role in propping up the currency. In the last few decades, while other global central banks have tightened their policies, Japan had maintained its ultra-loose policy, leading to concentrated carry trades in the Japanese yen. Market participants believe Japanese authorities will intervene further to prop up the currency.

Persons: Glowimages, they've, Nicholas Smith, Kazuo Ueda, Edward Yardeni Organizations: U.S, Glowimages, CNBC, Bank of America Global Research, Bank of Japan, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Yardeni Research Locations: propping, Japan, U.S, Bank of Japan

☆ Market needs to be 'disabused' of the expectation for two rate cuts this year, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket needs to be 'disabused' of the expectation for two rate cuts this year, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's inflation fight, why he believes the current economic scenario is nothing like the stagflationary environment of the late 1970s, and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research

☆ Billionaire investor David Einhorn shares an overlooked theory for why gold prices have spiked so much
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-28 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The recent gold rally is counterintuitive, as high interest rates typically make bullion less attractive. But billionaire investor David Einhorn has a theory that he shared in his latest investor letter. Einhorn suggests that gold's rally is potentially due to countries in the East buying gold from Western nations. To explain the strong run for gold, billionaire investor David Einhorn offered a potential theory in his latest letter to investors published this week. Others, like billionaire investor Ray Dalio, say gold can hedge risks stemming from high government debt levels.

Persons: David Einhorn, Einhorn, —, there's, David Rosenberg, Ed Yardeni, Ray Dalio Organizations: Service, Federal, Greenlight, World Gold, People's Bank of Locations: China, People's Bank of China, India, Singapore

☆ Fed will keep rates higher longer: Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed will keep rates higher longer: Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the markets, the Fed's next move, and sector moves.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research

☆ 'We've never seen this many extremes': Strategists warn of dot-com bubble similarities as expensive US stocks struggle — but this 7-part strategy can still outperform
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-13 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

From late October through March, the S&P 500 enjoyed a virtually uninterrupted 27.6% rally based on better-than-expected earnings and economic data. And while it's still well below the dot-com bubble levels, it's still too close for comfort for many investors. Related story"Those higher rates are starting to push back on elevated valuations for stocks right now," Saglimbene said. "They're all much cheaper on an earnings basis than those Magnificent 7 companies," Saglimbene said. "So I think if we avoid a recession this year, the narrative will change to a broadening of companies and sectors that can participate in earnings growth this year."

Persons: aren't, Anthony Saglimbene, Rick Pitcairn, Pitcairn, it's, we've, Raheel Siddiqui, Neuberger Berman, Siddiqui, Jon Wolfenbarger, Albert Edwards, Bill Smead, James Ragan, DA Davidson, Ragan, Saglimbene, Indrani, she's, De, Davidson, Siddiqui's Organizations: Ameriprise, Business, DA, FTSE Russell, Investors Locations: Ameriprise

☆ The CPI isn't going to change the number of rate cuts, says BD8's Barbara Doran
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe CPI isn't going to change the number of rate cuts, says BD8's Barbara DoranBarbara Doran, BD8 Capital and Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Research, join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss the CPI report, inflation and the possibility of Fed rate cuts.

Persons: Barbara Doran Barbara Doran, Ed Yardeni Organizations: BD8, Research

☆ Watch CNBC’s full interview with BD8 Capital's Barbara Doran and Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with BD8 Capital's Barbara Doran and Ed YardeniBarbara Doran, BD8 Capital and Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Research, join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss the CPI report, inflation and the possibility of Fed rate cuts.

Persons: Barbara Doran, Ed Yardeni Barbara Doran, Ed Yardeni Organizations: BD8, Research

☆ You can thank the baby boomers for the stunning strength of the US economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

You can thank baby boomers for the strong US economy, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni. AdvertisementThe US economy has baby boomers to thank for its strength and resilience even as some worry about a potential recession. Related storiesThere are now 47.7 million baby boomers who are not in the labor force, and that number grows by the day as more baby boomers hit their retirement age. Baby boomers hold a record $76.2 trillion in wealth, or about half the total US household net worth of $156.2 trillion. "The Baby Boomers watched a lot of Star Trek during the 1960s.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, hasn't Organizations: Seniors, Federal, Federal Reserve, Boomers, Trek

☆ The market again has adjusted its view on rate cuts, with as few as two now expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-08 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"While investors seem to be anxiously awaiting easing monetary policy, the current environment does not quite scream 'rate cuts!'" That sentiment has manifested itself lately in market pricing. That same day, the Labor Department will release the CPI report, which is expected to show the headline inflation rate rising 3.4% in March on a year-over-year basis, per Dow Jones. This is nonetheless "the right time to cut rates," wrote David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management. "What has underpinned this market is the promise of a series of rate cuts including March, and now it has dwindled to just a few rate cuts.

Persons: Glenmede, Dow Jones, David Kelly, Kelly, Nicholas Colas, Colas, Ed Yardeni, nonfarm, Quincy Krosby, Krosby Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investors, Labor Department, Asset Management, Fed, DataTrek, Yardeni, LPL

☆ A renowned market bear who called the dot-com bubble warns the AI and economic recovery narratives fueling stocks are weak as analyst optimism sours — and says the Fed is fueling a bubble as valuation
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-06 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

About 45% of changes to S&P 500 analysts' earnings estimates are upgrades, as shown in the chart below, down from 50% in early 2023. AdvertisementSociete GeneraleHistorically, analyst optimism has been a good indicator for the economy's direction. Below is the S&P 500's year-over-year percentage change along with the analyst optimism measure. He says the S&P 500 is in a bubble fueled by AI optimism and could fall as much as around 60%. He sees potential downside of 39% for the S&P 500.

Persons: —, Albert Edwards, Edwards, Powell's, Ed Yardeni, Let's, There's, Jeremy Grantham, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Business, Street, Nasdaq, Generale, Conference, Institute for Supply, subsiding, Fed, repo, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bears, Rosenberg Research, policymaking

☆ A growing chorus of experts don't think a rate cut is coming in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Investors are starting to take seriously the idea that the Fed might not cut interest rates in 2024. At this point, investors are viewing economic strength as ultimately good news for the stock market, if that means a recession is delayed. AdvertisementFrom seven, to three, to now potentially zero, projected interest rate cuts in 2024 are quickly going out of style on Wall Street. So a delay in interest rate cuts, on paper, would suggest lower stock prices. And better-than-expected first quarter profits have helped put a floor on a stock market that is trading near record highs, even as talks of interest rate cuts fade.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Mohamed El, Torsten Slok, Slok, Ken Fisher Organizations: Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Fed, Bank of America

☆ I'm not troubled by today's market pullback, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailI'm not troubled by today's market pullback, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action and what's ahead for the economy.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research

☆ Reading into the rise in yields
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailReading into the rise in yieldsEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss what could stand in the way of the current market rally, how many times the Federal Reserve will cut rates this year, and what to expect from S&P earnings this year.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research, Federal Reserve

☆ A real-estate investor who built a portfolio of 30 residential units using the BRRRR method breaks down why he wouldn't recommend the strategy for new investors today — and shares his 3 top approaches
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-30 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Adam Craig built up his real-estate portfolio over the last decade-plus using the famous BRRRR strategy — an acronym for buy, rehab, rent, refinance, and repeat. But he has stopped using the strategy for residential properties and said it isn't something he'd recommend for new investors. ATTOMAnother risk to using the BRRRR strategy is that home prices are not rising as fast as they were over the last few years. 3 approaches to use insteadInstead of the BRRRR, Craig recommended that new investors start off with one of a few easier options. This way, risk is reduced in terms of the time it will take and money it will cost.

Persons: Adam Craig, Craig, Craig doesn't, that's, doesn't, Louis Fed Organizations: Business Locations: St

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